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COSTCO WHOLESALECOSTCO WHOLESALECOSTCO WHOLESALE

COSTCO WHOLESALE

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4COST trade ideas

Reversal Pattern Triggered, Key Levels in FocusCostco has formed a clear Head and Shoulders pattern within an ascending channel that supported price action since late 2023. The recent break below the neckline suggests a potential trend reversal and opens the door for a deeper correction. Price has broken the lower boundary of the channel and is currently trading around $916.48. If bearish momentum continues, key support levels to watch are: 🔹 $876.47 – first reaction zone after the breakdown. 🔹 $788.38 – intermediate support. 🔹 $713.76 – measured move target from the H&S pattern. The bearish outlook would be invalidated with a sustained recovery above the $1,000 area. 📉 Bearish bias remains as long as price stays below the neckline and inside the descending structure.
NASDAQ:COSTShort
by JAG_Trader
COSTCO: Massive rebound on the 1W MA50 can go for +45% profit.Costco has just turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.966, MACD = -6.590, ADX = 35.211) as it's on the 3rd straight green week ever since it touched and held the 1W MA50. This rebound, though not an absolute bottom on the 2 year Channel Up, is the new technical bullish wave of the pattern. We've had so far 2 main +45.14% price surges in the past two years. We estimate that to be the 3rd and last up until the end of the year. Go long, TP = 1,270. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:COSTLong
by InvestingScope
COST in Buy ZoneMy trading plan is very simple. I buy or sell when at three of these events happen: * Price tags the top or bottom of parallel channel zones * Money flow spikes beyond it's Bollinger Bands * Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at near oversold overbought level * Price at Fibonacci levels So... Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing. Price in buying zone at bottom of channels Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level Money flow momentum is spiked negative and under at bottom of Bollinger Band Entry at $898 Target is upper channel around $1000
NASDAQ:COSTLong
by chancethepug
Breaking: COSTCO Shares Dip 2% In Premarket Amidst Earnings MissCostco Wholesale Corporation (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:COST ), together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of membership warehouses in the United States, reported fiscal second-quarter sales that topped analysts’ estimates, but earnings missed as costs rose. The membership-based retailer saw revenue rise 9% year-over-year to $63.72 billion, above the analyst consensus from Visible Alpha. However, Costco's net income of $1.79 billion, or $4.02 per share, missed expectations, despite rising from a year earlier. The results came as merchandise costs rose 9%. The period marked the company’s second quarter since its membership fee hike went into effect in September. Revenue from membership fees rose 7% year-over-year to $1.19 billion, though executives previously said they expect the impact on margins to be weighted to the back half of the fiscal year and into fiscal 2026. Technical Outlook Shares of Costco slid 1.5% in after-hours trading Thursday following the release extending the lost to premarket trading hours, with the asset down 2.02% in Friday's premarket session. For Costco shares, the immediate support lies within the 1-month low axis. Should Costco shares face selling pressure the 1-month low should serve as a point of reprieve for Costco shares. With the RSI at 50 a breakout above the 1-month high should spark a bullish reversal for Costco shares respectively.
NASDAQ:COST
by DEXWireNews
Selling Premium Going into Costco EarningsGiven Costco’s historical tendency for minimal post-earnings stock movement, along with inflated IV in the options market, selling premium via a bear call spread is a high-probability, risk- managed strategy to profit from an expected IV crush and minimal price movement following earnings. Key Points Supporting the Thesis: 1. Historical Price Movement: Over the past 4 years, Costco’s stock has experienced an average post-earnings price movement of only 1.24%. The majority of moves have been within a modest range of -1% to +2%. This indicates that despite earnings announcements, the stock tends to remain within a predictable price range, minimizing the potential for significant directional price swings. 2. Implied Volatility and Overpricing of Options: Currently, the options market is pricing in a 4.6% move for Costco’s stock post-earnings. Given Costco’s historical price movement patterns, this is an overestimation of potential volatility. IV tends to collapse after earnings announcements. 3. Costco’s High Valuation: Costco is currently trading at a P/E ratio of 61, which is significantly higher than historical levels. This suggests that the stock is already expensive relative to its earnings potential, making it less likely to experience a massive upward movement after earnings. The high valuation also means that even strong earnings may not drive significant upside, further increasing the likelihood of a muted post-earnings reaction. 4. Earnings Catalysts and Market Behavior: Costco’s earnings reports historically have had limited impact on the stock’s price due to the company’s stable revenue and earnings growth. Investors have already priced in much of the growth potential, leading to minimal surprise reactions to earnings releases. The combination of low historical price movement and high IV makes this a prime environment for selling premium, as the likelihood of large moves is low, while option prices remain high.
NASDAQ:COST
by KevinBurrows
2
Implied Volatility Action For CostcoSorry no video today but, I am looking at Costco For an earnings play in options. I'll be targeting the 20 delta calls end the week of their earnings and I will be exciting the day of earnings (they accounted after market close). The idea here is that theta decay will be out weighed by implied volatility. The chart itself is showing strength but, the daily has a potential anti pattern setting up. So knowing when we are incorrect is imperative.
NASDAQ:COSTLong
by JoeRodTrades
2
Costco Wave Analysis – 25 February 2025 - Costco reversed from support level 1025.00 - Likely to rise to resistance level 1080.00 Costco recently reversed up from the support level 1025.00 (which stopped wave iv at the start of February) intersecting with the 20-day, moving average and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from January. The upward reversal from the support level 1025.00 stopped the previous minor correction 2, which belongs to wave (5) from December. Given the clear daily uptrend, Costco can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1080.00 (top of the previous impulse wave 1).
NASDAQ:COSTLong
by FxProGlobal
Costco Wholesale: Robust Earnings Support Bullish Trend◉ Technical Observation ● The stock price is exhibiting a strong uptrend, moving within an ascending parallel channel. ● A recent breakout from a rounding bottom pattern has propelled the price higher, nearing the upper boundary of the channel. ◉ Two Possible Scenarios 1. Rejection and Pullback: The price may face resistance at the upper end of the channel, leading to a potential decline. 2. Breakout and Continuation: Alternatively, the price may break through the upper boundary, sustaining the uptrend and driving the stock higher. ◉ Q1 FY25 Result Highlights ● Net Income: Up 13.1% to $1.79 billion, compared to $1.58 billion in Q1 FY24. ● Comparable Sales: Increased by 5.2% in the US and 5.8% in Canada. ● E-commerce: Comparable sales soared by 13%, with adjusted e-commerce comparable sales rising to 13.2%. ● Membership Revenue: Grew by 7.8% to $1.166 billion, reflecting strong customer loyalty. ● Gross Margin: Improved by 24 basis points to 11.28%.
NASDAQ:COST
by NaranjCapital
COSTCO - Time to break above and beyond the All time HighHi guys , today we are going to overview one of the retail giants COSTCO. Fundamentals : Revenue Growth and Profitability : Consistent Revenue Growth: Costco has demonstrated steady revenue growth, driven by an expanding membership base, increased same-store sales, and international expansion. Profit Margins: While Costco operates with low gross margins due to its focus on low pricing, its operating margins benefit significantly from recurring membership income. This structure ensures financial stability even in competitive environments. Financial Health: Balance Sheet Strength: Costco has a strong balance sheet with manageable debt levels and ample liquidity. Its ability to generate robust free cash flow supports both operations and shareholder returns. Dividend Growth: Costco pays a reliable dividend, which has seen consistent growth over the years. Additionally, the company occasionally issues special dividends, highlighting its commitment to returning value to shareholders Valuation Metrics: Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: Costco often trades at a premium valuation compared to peers due to its consistent performance and strong brand equity. Price-to-Sales (P/S) Ratio: Reflecting its robust revenue generation capabilities, Costco’s P/S ratio is higher than the retail industry average but supported by predictable growth. And some potential risks : Thin Margins: Costco’s low-margin strategy leaves little room for error, and rising costs (e.g., labor, logistics) could pressure profitability. Economic Sensitivity: While generally resilient, Costco could face challenges if economic conditions significantly impact discretionary spending or if competition intensifies. Foreign Exchange Risk: With international operations, Costco is exposed to currency fluctuations that could affect earnings. Technical analysis : The company has been running on a very healthy uptrend throughought 2024 and has had 4 green earning seasons which gives a positive bullish trend conversion,with analysists focusing on another green earnings in their Q4 report this gives us the necessary confirmations for a up-trend: Entry has been made at : 921 Target will be above the ATH : 1030 As always my friends happy trading! P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
NASDAQ:COSTLong
by DG55Capital
2
Costco Wave Analysis – 4 February 2025 - Costco broke round resistance level 1000.00 - Likely to rise to resistance level 1050.00 Costco is rising inside the minor impulse wave 3, which previously broke the key round resistance level 1000.00, which stopped wave i at the start of December. The active impulse wave 3 belongs to the higher order impulse wave (3) from the start of August. Given the strong daily uptrend, Costco can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1050.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 3).
NASDAQ:COSTLong
by FxProGlobal