Costco Wave Analysis – 20 May 2025- Costco broke resistance level 1020.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1080.00
Costco recently broke the resistance level 1020.00, which stopped the previous waves 1 and (b), as can be seen from the daily Costco chart below.
The breakout of the resistance level 1020.00 accelerated the active impulse waves 3 and (3).
Given the clear daily uptrend, Costco can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1080.00 (former monthly high from February and the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 3).
4COST trade ideas
"Costco in Focus: Two Catalysts, One Smart Entry"📌 Strategic Entry in Costco (COST): Solid Stock with Immediate Catalysts
Today I entered Costco (COST) by purchasing shares based on our structured methodology of 20 key criteria — combining technical strength, strong fundamentals, and strict risk control. This decision is further supported by two major short-term catalysts.
🔍 Why Costco – and Why Now?
✅ Meets our full 20-point checklist:
Strong uptrend (above MA50 & MA200)
Healthy RSI, not overbought
Consistent volume supporting price action
Fundamental strength: steady growth, recurring revenue via memberships
Clear risk management: no leverage, capital exposure <6%
📈 Catalyst #1: Earnings Today (May 29)
Analysts expect EPS of $4.24 and revenue of $63.1B. Historically, Costco tends to outperform expectations, which may trigger a bullish move.
🌎 Catalyst #2: U.S. GDP Release (Today at 8:30 AM EST)
With forecasts around +2.2%, confirmation would support a strong consumer environment — ideal for retail leaders like Costco.
🧠 Our Execution Plan:
Buying the shares directly (no options, no leverage) to avoid inflated IV risk.
Target zone: $1,040–$1,070 short term.
Trailing stop in place to protect gains post-earnings.
📊 Bottom Line:
This is not speculation — it’s structure. Costco offers a rare alignment of solid fundamentals, technical confirmation, and immediate macro + micro catalysts.
Strategy on. Emotions off.
📌 Disclaimer:
This content is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Always do your own research or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
$COST earnings short, possible uptrend selloff(Sorry for mobile charts/posts)
NASDAQ:COST Hello, looking at multiple time frames on Costco I am going to take a stab at a short. This name isn’t unfamiliar with big moves so an 8% to 10% move could take place here on earnings forecast. Granted, they could not divulge any details but I think that wouldn’t be good and amidst the tariff rhetoric which has been the narrative for retail names could add headwind. 6/6 $900p is what I will take a stab at. 1 contract will suffice as there could be a good R/R especially if you hedge. If you look at the Monthly chart this thing is bought up heavily. I am going to try and get a good entry so I’m not risking what I may feel is too much on an earnings “lotto.” $100-$150 on a contract will be good in my book.
WSL
COST - breakout above $1020 steady uptrendCOST - stock in an steady uptrend but now consolidating and holding support well. Looking for calls on this one above $1020 for a breakout move higher. Next resistance at $1050 and $1075. Stock is strong on indicators. Stock has earnings end of the money could see $1110 pre earnings.
COSTCO: 4 touches/rejections. Can we pop over gap?Costco looks loaded.
4 touches along the resistance, looks like a big wedge forming. Next touch can be a break out to upside, fill gap and move with momentum upside.
OR
Green ray for the entry to downside. We got data tomorrow as well..
Do your DD! Not FA but let me know what you think!
Base Case Costco 810. Total company revenues were up 6% compared to a year ago. The Profit Margin of 2.9% was better than the longer-term average of 2.5%. A 90x multiple applied to a Sales Growth Rate of 9% would imply a share price 810. Costco's narrative revolves around execution. Considering the company continues to execute and deliver top-line growth, the stock will be rewarded in some form.
Costco (COST) Breakout Alert! Ready to Soar? Costco (COST) Breakout Alert! Ready to Soar?
Hey traders! Check out this bullish setup on Costco Wholesale (COST) . The stock just broke out above key resistance at $987.72 after a solid consolidation phase, with a clear target of $1,052.87 (+4.91% potential gain). The risk-reward ratio here is a juicy 2.47, with a stop at $919.88 to protect against downside.
Why I’m Excited:
Strong momentum with higher highs and higher lows.
Ichimoku Cloud support below, showing bullish trend continuation.
Buy signals (green triangles) aligning perfectly with the breakout.
Trade Plan:
Entry: $1,003.41 (current price)
Target: $1,052.87 (+4.91%)
Stop Loss: $919.88 (-1.99%)
What do you think—bullish or bearish on COST? Drop your thoughts below, like if you’re in on this trade, and share with your trading crew! Let’s get the convo going!
#Costco #Bullish #Breakout #Trading #Investing
$COST Rising WedgeCost perfectly tagged the upper line of the rising wedge that we have seen play out over the past couple of weeks. I opened some puts at the top today in hopes that it breaks to the downside of this wedge for a target around $900. This would also complete the right shoulder of H&S on daily chart.
$COST Getting TiiightCostco has been bouncing between these trendlines the past couple of days. I'm expecting a big move in either direction soon, but right now its 50/50. My lean on the longer time frame is to complete the H&S on the daily chart to the downside after potentially trying to fill the gap at 1020.
Reversal Pattern Triggered, Key Levels in FocusCostco has formed a clear Head and Shoulders pattern within an ascending channel that supported price action since late 2023. The recent break below the neckline suggests a potential trend reversal and opens the door for a deeper correction.
Price has broken the lower boundary of the channel and is currently trading around $916.48. If bearish momentum continues, key support levels to watch are:
🔹 $876.47 – first reaction zone after the breakdown.
🔹 $788.38 – intermediate support.
🔹 $713.76 – measured move target from the H&S pattern.
The bearish outlook would be invalidated with a sustained recovery above the $1,000 area.
📉 Bearish bias remains as long as price stays below the neckline and inside the descending structure.
COSTCO: Massive rebound on the 1W MA50 can go for +45% profit.Costco has just turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.966, MACD = -6.590, ADX = 35.211) as it's on the 3rd straight green week ever since it touched and held the 1W MA50. This rebound, though not an absolute bottom on the 2 year Channel Up, is the new technical bullish wave of the pattern. We've had so far 2 main +45.14% price surges in the past two years. We estimate that to be the 3rd and last up until the end of the year. Go long, TP = 1,270.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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COST in Buy ZoneMy trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when at three of these events happen:
* Price tags the top or bottom of parallel channel zones
* Money flow spikes beyond it's Bollinger Bands
* Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at near oversold overbought level
* Price at Fibonacci levels
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price in buying zone at bottom of channels
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level
Money flow momentum is spiked negative and under at bottom of Bollinger Band
Entry at $898
Target is upper channel around $1000
COSTCO Power HouseWatching Costco going up to $1004 in order to see reaction time for either bullish or bearish.
Costco is well structured and definitely a good investment m, but current sentiment could break Trend support.
Up for 1004 for reaction. Very short term buying opportunity for now. Probably a 1 day move before watching reaction.
Breaking: COSTCO Shares Dip 2% In Premarket Amidst Earnings MissCostco Wholesale Corporation (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:COST ), together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of membership warehouses in the United States, reported fiscal second-quarter sales that topped analysts’ estimates, but earnings missed as costs rose.
The membership-based retailer saw revenue rise 9% year-over-year to $63.72 billion, above the analyst consensus from Visible Alpha. However, Costco's net income of $1.79 billion, or $4.02 per share, missed expectations, despite rising from a year earlier. The results came as merchandise costs rose 9%.
The period marked the company’s second quarter since its membership fee hike went into effect in September. Revenue from membership fees rose 7% year-over-year to $1.19 billion, though executives previously said they expect the impact on margins to be weighted to the back half of the fiscal year and into fiscal 2026.
Technical Outlook
Shares of Costco slid 1.5% in after-hours trading Thursday following the release extending the lost to premarket trading hours, with the asset down 2.02% in Friday's premarket session.
For Costco shares, the immediate support lies within the 1-month low axis. Should Costco shares face selling pressure the 1-month low should serve as a point of reprieve for Costco shares. With the RSI at 50 a breakout above the 1-month high should spark a bullish reversal for Costco shares respectively.
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought COST before the rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of COST Costco Wholesale Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 1030usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-3-21,
for a premium of approximately $22.15.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Selling Premium Going into Costco EarningsGiven Costco’s historical tendency for minimal post-earnings stock movement, along with inflated IV in the options market, selling premium via a bear call spread is a high-probability, risk- managed strategy to profit from an expected IV crush and minimal price movement following earnings.
Key Points Supporting the Thesis:
1. Historical Price Movement: Over the past 4 years, Costco’s stock has experienced an average post-earnings price movement of only 1.24%. The majority of moves have been within a modest range of -1% to +2%. This indicates that despite earnings announcements, the stock tends to remain within a predictable price range, minimizing the potential for significant directional price swings.
2. Implied Volatility and Overpricing of Options: Currently, the options market is pricing in a 4.6% move for Costco’s stock post-earnings. Given Costco’s historical price movement patterns, this is an overestimation of potential volatility. IV tends to collapse after earnings announcements.
3. Costco’s High Valuation: Costco is currently trading at a P/E ratio of 61, which is significantly higher than historical levels. This suggests that the stock is already expensive relative to its
earnings potential, making it less likely to experience a massive upward movement after earnings. The high valuation also means that even strong earnings may not drive significant upside, further increasing the likelihood of a muted post-earnings reaction.
4. Earnings Catalysts and Market Behavior: Costco’s earnings reports historically have had limited impact on the stock’s price due to the company’s stable revenue and earnings growth.
Investors have already priced in much of the growth potential, leading to minimal surprise reactions to earnings releases. The combination of low historical price movement and high IV makes this a prime environment for selling premium, as the likelihood of large moves is low, while option prices remain high.