4FB trade ideas
Meta Might Break OutMeta Platforms has consolidated for several months, but now the social-media giant could be attempting a breakout.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the $328 level. It was the high on February 2, 2022, immediately before the stock’s biggest drop ever. (The selloff was prompted at that time by weak results and business challenges involving Apple.) META tested that zone on October 11-12 before pulling back. But last week it returned to close slightly above it for the first time. Remaining here or continuing higher may confirm a breakout.
Second, a series of higher weekly lows may suggest longer-term buyers are active.
Third, the stock has danced around its 50- and 100-day simple moving averages (SMAs). However the faster SMA remains above the slower one, a potential sign that the longer-term trend is still bullish. They’re also above the 200-day SMA.
Finally, you have fundamentals. META’s earnings, revenue and users topped estimates on October 25. The stock initially fell on worries that violence in the Middle East could hurt advertising. That may create potential for buyers to come off the sidelines if worst-case scenarios don’t pan out.
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META ~ Snapshot TA (Daily / Nov 2023)NASDAQ:META chart mapping/analysis.
Bullish consolidation higher within an ascending parallel channel (white).
Bull target(s)
Breakout above descending trend-line resistance (white dotted)
Overhead gap fill (~361.59)
Prev ATH + upper range of parallel channel (light blue) confluence resistance zone
Bear target(s)
Ascending trend-line support (green dotted)
Golden Fib Pocket
Lower range of ascending parallel channel (white)
50% Fib
Underlying gap fills (~214.11 / ~201.03 / ~183.78)
38.2% + gap fill (~201.03) confluence support zone
Meta Platforms Inc (META): Financial Analysis & Growth ForecastOverview of Meta Platforms, Inc.:
Meta Platforms, Inc. (NASDAQ: META) has evolved significantly from its origins as a social media company, diversifying into virtual and augmented reality technologies. This analysis explores Meta's financial performance, estimated growth potential, and positioning among key competitors like Apple Inc (AAPL), Snap Inc (SNAP), Microsoft Corp (MSFT), and Amazon.com Inc (AMZN).
Financial Performance Analysis:
Revenue and Net Income: META showed substantial revenue growth, although with some fluctuations in net income in recent years.
Cash Flow: Strong cash generation from operations, with significant capital expenditures indicating strategic investments.
EPS: Demonstrated growth, reflecting the company's profitability.
Estimated Growth Projections:
Based on current trends and market dynamics, estimated annual growth rates for META might be:
Year 1: 10-15%
Year 2: 10-15% (cumulative on top of Year 1)
Year 3: 10-15% (further cumulative increase)
Competitive Analysis:
Apple Inc (AAPL): A tech giant focusing on consumer electronics, software, and services, with a strong ecosystem and brand loyalty.
Snap Inc (SNAP): Specializes in social media and camera technology but is smaller in scale compared to META.
Microsoft Corp (MSFT): A leader in software, cloud computing, and now expanding in gaming and AI, overlapping with some of META's interests.
Amazon.com Inc (AMZN): A dominant player in e-commerce and cloud services, also exploring AI and consumer tech, sharing some market segments with META.
Conclusion:
META's strategic focus on immersive technology and its strong base in social media platforms position it uniquely in the tech industry. While facing stiff competition from established giants like AAPL, MSFT, and AMZN, and innovative companies like SNAP, META's diversification into AR/VR and its expansive user base across its social platforms provide it with a solid foundation for future growth.
Disclaimer:
This post is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Investors should perform their own research and consider personal financial goals before making investment decisions.
META Consolidation Breakout: Going With the Flow For NowFundamentals:
I just checked out META's balance sheet. Its sales were over 20% for the first time since December 2021. I would like that to continue for two more quarters because the last two were not as good; however, they did accelerate consecutively since August or December 2022. That was the bottom of the stock's fall.
Technicals :
As sales accelerated into 2023, the stock formed a stage 1 bottom around January 2023 to March 2023. It was a 5 week base after a prolonged downtrend from Sept. 2021 to January 20223.
Kijun Trend Bounce+Wicked Daddy Deeper Pull Back Squeeze
Breakout of stage 2 consolidation
Trade Plan:
I will add META next week with a stop below 277, risking about 0.2%.
Amazon Partners With Meta For Shopping Via Instagram & Facebook.The initiative, which involves asking consumers to link their Amazon accounts to their social-media profiles, could make Meta more attractive to advertisers and let Amazon attract more shoppers from outside its web store.
The unprecedented partnership between the two companies also could help them fend off challenges from TikTok, which has launched a US e-commerce marketplace, as well as such Chinese upstarts and Temu and Shein.
US shoppers will see real-time pricing, delivery estimates and product details on select Amazon ads running on Facebook and Instagram, according to an Amazon spokesperson.
Amazon has been working to better target customers outside of its main app and marketplace. The company rolled out “Buy with Prime” last year as a way to generate logistics revenue from transactions made on other websites and enhance the value of Prime memberships.
Meta has struggled to make inroads in e-commerce. The company abandoned its Instagram shop tab, which let users find shoppable content on their feeds, and shut down live shopping features for Facebook and Instagram.
Technical Analysis
Price Momentum
META is trading near the top of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average.
What does this mean?
Investors have been pushing the share price higher, and the stock still appears to have upward momentum. This is a positive sign for the stock's future value.
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Meta Is Up 1%The first thing you notice is the 50 EMA.
the second thing you will notice is the 200 EMA.
Another thing you will notice the price is above the 50 EMA.
Also the price is above the 200 EMA.
Looking into the chart you will see that the price has gaped up
this is an important metric to notice.
Another thing you will see is that the price is in an uptrend.
This is one of my favourite stocks of 2023.
Why is Meta NASDAQ:META in an uptrend ?
Feel free to leave a comment on your thoughts.
Disclaimer:Do not buy or sell anything i recommend to you.
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$META - 15 MIN 2 steps for Bullish Scenario with T1S Indicator:
1. Candles Above the Green Line:
• Check that the candles on the chart are positioned above the green line of the T1S indicator. This could be an indication of bullish momentum.
2. Bars Above Zero:
• Ensure that the bars on the T1S indicator are above zero. This condition might suggest positive market sentiment or upward price movement.
2 steps for Bearish Scenario with T1S Indicator:
1. Candles Below the Green Line:
• Verify that the candles on the chart are positioned below the green line of the T1S indicator. This condition may indicate bearish momentum or a potential downward trend.
2. Bars Negative Below Zero:
• Confirm that the bars on the T1S indicator are in the negative territory and located below zero. This setup suggests a negative market sentiment or downward price movement.
TrianglePrice appears to be in the nose of a Symmetrical Triangle.
Almost like a vacuum the 2 lines converge when a symmetrical triangle forms. The one is unusually narrow at the apex which may indicate a break one way or the other soon.
Neutral until broken.
Targets in green are for a break to the upside with T1 in larger type than T2 and so on.
Orange type was calculated for a break to the downside.
No recommendation
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buy meta in range of 315-325Meta was strong in last month correction, stock trading around lifetime high is considered as strong momentum stock.
higher high and higher low can be seen on daily chart , which makes it strong momentum stock.
Good to buy META at 315-325 range .
target expected 700-1000. in 1-2 year.
short term target 600
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Disclaimer:This is not financial advice.Do not buy or sell anything i recommend
do your own research before you trade.
This commentary is just for educational purposes only
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pt2. TSLA NVDA AAPL MSFT AMZN META GOOGL Price Forecast00:00 QQQ Forecast
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07:58 Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis
10:20 Nvidia Stock NVDA Forecast Technical Analysis
13:37 Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis
15:16 Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast Technical Analysis
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18:46 Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast Technical Analysis
19:55 Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
META - Bearish LookMeta was not able to hold above the previous highs (higher time frame). The buyers ran out of fuel and it seems like sellers are taking over at least for now. Taking a short position to $275 area.
For me, its an OTM options on this trade, to keep my risk exposure as minimum as possible, while trying to gain the max profits from this opportunity. Beginning of December expiry to allow the price to mature, in case we get stuck in a chop.