4MSFT trade ideas
Msft educational I gave entry on Thursday for msft in H1 n H4 time frame this is D1 time frame is matching what we see in H1 n H4 soo what do we do when we see this we buy you also check how market is trending on the left the way it pull back n continuation of the trend,I want everyone to be profitable n take things easy n stop overthinking,even if you buy from this level n .market float to 380 to 350$.that doesn't mean it won't goo up that just mean a delay of the trend n a chance to enter more position low,what makes you loose money in the market is fear n back up of money,first you need money n scared to loose money,example if you have 100k n you take 10k to the risk n other have 1k n put 500$ into risk I can swear the 1k one won't be comfortable n can cut investment early but the 100k will be willing to sacrifice that 10k you know why,because he have enough back up to get bek in the game if things didn't goo the way he planned but this 1k have bigger problems n that 500$ is too much to loose he can't even afford to loose it too soo he must investment early. Take what small profit or small looses n 10k grow to another 100k,both have money but one terminated contract lols is very funny but reality.fear of what if what if is the one that makes or breaks a trader.
MSFT - Time for long tradeMSFT is ready for a long trade here. This chart is parked right in between a bullish and bearish, a little confusing one. But I'm inclining towards long side unless rest of the market goes down.
Long - 408-415
Stop loss - 395
Target 1 - 450 - If this level breaks and holds, we've high chances of going up
Target 2 - 468
Target 3 - 492
MSFT Bounce at 100EMA with Bullish bar - Careful of Earnings Many people think earnings period for stock is not the time to trade. But what I learn is opposite... earnings with manipulation candlestick is very potent.... Lets put this theory to the test... Buying 99 Days calls with $3 as max loss ( nothing to worry about)
Is Microsoft Heading to 370?I'm seeing a potential bearish scenario shaping up for Microsoft (MSFT) based on what looks like a descending triangle pattern in the price chart.
Here's what I'm noticing:
Descending Triangle: The price action seems to be making lower highs, which forms that downward-sloping trendline. But at the bottom, there's a relatively flat support line. This kind of pattern often suggests that sellers are slowly starting to take control.
Possible Breakdown: If the price drops below that lower support line of the triangle, it could be a strong signal that the momentum is shifting downwards.
Price Target - 370: I think there's a chance we could see a significant drop to the 370 level. This is based on the pattern and the fact that there might be some strong selling pressure or negative news around Microsoft.
Of course, I need to be cautious:
Confirmation Needed: Just breaking below that support line isn't enough. I'll want to see increased volume during the breakdown to be more confident.
Risk Management: I know trading is always risky, so I'll make sure to use stop-loss orders to limit my potential losses if things don't go as expected.
Fundamentals Matter: I can't ignore the fundamental factors affecting Microsoft's price, like their earnings reports, what's happening in the tech industry, and the overall market conditions.
False Breakdowns Happen: Sometimes the price can break down and then quickly reverse. I'll need to watch closely and wait for confirmation before making any decisions.
It's important to remember that this is just my interpretation of the chart pattern, and I'm not giving financial advice. The actual price movement could be different. I'll definitely do my own research and maybe even talk to a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Potential long in $MSFT**Scenario:**
The 30-, 50-, and 200-day SMAs have been perfectly aligned for a bullish move for the past few days.
Since the low point in August, the price has been making higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish trend.
The seasonality in NASDAQ:MSFT (bullish Q4) is about to begin.
The last bullish wave has already been corrected by 50%, which may be sufficient for the next move.
Microsoft (MSFT) Shares Drop Over 3% This MonthMicrosoft (MSFT) Shares Drop Over 3% This Month
An overview of stock market charts since the beginning of the month reveals that while the Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) is in positive territory, Microsoft (MSFT) shares have underperformed significantly. The opening price on 1st October was $427.47, but by yesterday's close, it had fallen over 3%.
One of the key drivers behind this bearish sentiment is analysis from Oppenheimer, suggesting that Microsoft's financial performance may be negatively impacted by losses related to OpenAI. Additionally, Oppenheimer downgraded Microsoft's stock rating, a concerning sign ahead of the upcoming third-quarter earnings season.
Technical analysis of Microsoft's (MSFT) stock chart shows that the price is hovering around a critical support zone, which is formed by:
→ the lower boundary of an upward channel that has been in place since early 2024 (marked in blue);
→ the psychological level of $400 per share.
What could happen next?
Bullish outlook: Microsoft's (MSFT) share price may reverse upwards from this support zone. Yesterday’s bullish candle indicates a potential increase in demand.
Bearish outlook: The median line of the blue channel has acted as resistance (shown by the arrow). It’s possible that the next level where bears could confirm control is the former support at $425.
Which scenario plays out largely depends on Microsoft's upcoming earnings report, scheduled for 22nd October.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Oct 8: MSFT ready to explode to the upsideAug 5 was an important low for tech stocks and many stocks in the market, as shown in the weekly RSI that the drop has corrected the whole rally from 2022.
Since then, MSFT has been going sideways in an ascending channel in two sets of 1-2 waves as shown in the 4 hour chart. This is typical for accumulation or basing before price acceleration in wave 3.
Great buy opportunity here.
Microsoft: Beginning of a Downtrend?
NASDAQ:AAPL
After a prolonged uptrend in Microsoft’s stock that lasted over a year, there are now some technical signals suggesting that this upward momentum might be reversing.
As shown in the image (attached), one of the key indicators of this potential shift is the moving average crossover. The 50-day moving average has crossed below the 200-day moving average. This pattern, often referred to as a “death cross”, is a classic technical sign that a stock may be entering a downtrend.
While this is by no means a guarantee, it’s a signal worth paying attention to, as it typically reflects a change in market sentiment. Combined with other potential indicators, this could be the beginning of a bearish phase for Microsoft.
What are your thoughts? Are we looking at a correction, or is this just a short-term blip?
Disclaimer: This post reflects my personal opinion and analysis. It is not financial advice. I am not responsible for any actions taken by others based on this information. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions.
Microsoft LONG MSFT is looking great to long here, good 4R:R.
There is a 4H rsi bullish divergence right on support this is supporting the bullish idea.
I am targeting the wick fills at
TP1 :420
TP2 :423
LAst TP 425
SL is 4H closure below red support line at 413. after It could wick fill below at 410 but this depends on the overall market.
MSFT Setting up for a Long trade**Microsoft Value Correlation to USD and Interest Rates
>We are approaching oversold region for both correlations
**Election Year Seasonality forecast
>Setting up for a Bullish move on October 10
Technical Analysis:
1. Price could reach the highlighted Demand Zone and bounce.
2. Price could also reach the Gap Below the Demand zone. Price Gaps are like magnets because this is a market imbalance.
OTHERS:
>Scalpers can ride the Bearish trend until price reaches Demand Zone
>Long term traders can position for a Long trade at Demand Zone or at the Gap area.
***As always, manage your own trades, trade safe and make sure to do your due diligence when analyzing the charts.***
Microsoft Clear Long - Term Elliott Wave PatternSometimes individual stocks can have clear Elliott wave patterns. Since October 2022 Microsoft (MSFT) rallied in a clear Elliott five – wave extended Impulse pattern. The decline from its July 2024 top was impulsive followed by a clear Single Zigzag correction.
A third wave down could now be developing. If so it could break below the August bottom and reach at least a .618 retracement of the 2022 to 2024 rally.
Microsoft (MSFT): Decision Point – Will It Hold or Drop?Since our last analysis on Microsoft, not much has changed in terms of price action, as it rose to $469 before getting stuck again at $416. However, there is one major development – Microsoft has formed a new trend channel. We have marked this crucial channel in red and labeled it "Must hold for more upside," emphasizing its importance. A major decision is approaching for $MSFT.
Either Microsoft holds this channel, leading to a surge higher, or it loses this level, which would confirm the bearish head and shoulder pattern. We've maintained a bearish outlook on Microsoft since January 2024, and recent developments seem to support our analysis. For now, we're patiently waiting and letting the market decide.
If Microsoft loses the channel, we could find initial support for wave (A) around $316-306. However, a better buying opportunity for wave II may present itself closer to $220 – though reaching this level will take some time. 🫡