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4MSFT trade ideas

CHATGPT crashes and Microsoft rejects the 200 day moving averageChatGPT went down world wide at the open of trading Monday causing MSFT to reject a retest of the 200 day moving average. This could add more structural problems in VOL since hedged equity and option flows are weakest until next week. My target is 248 today with an extension possible as low as 245. These AI fumbles are a good sign that AI is still a slave to human mistakes and errors. See how this plays out but certainly is a headwind to the bullish break higher in tech NVDA is another AI moving stock to watch if this is a rejection it may add to an acceleration to the downside. I'll likely get out of short position if ChatGPT comes back online.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by SPYvsGME
1
Microsoft Corporation [PRICETIMETABLE]Applying curves to mimic exponential slope function behind candle formation. Comparing to use of straight lines for identifying trends. Why? Since there is no straight lines in nature or most of physical processes. Market is alive entity which vibrates and application of straight lines is not exactly what I'm looking for. After new formed candles we will se how market behaved to such obstacles. It's like we're giving the market lead knowing it's nature of price in given time. Not reversing at this current fib means that it extends to next from starting point as whole fib (Fib expiration). More it accumulates, the more potent gets opposite market incentive. Alignment of Fib retracement of a wave to previous is sign that it is measured without imbalance. Mind violet zone or even better mind intersections with normal trendlines which proves interconnectedness of tables drawing tools which are actually based on candles. Evaluation a wave in terms of the other makes sense because of cause-effect chain emerging in respect to its timing. I labeled as Education/tutorial because I'll learn from market's behavior myself. Making it public so other people are also part of my journey.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by fract
5
MSFT BEARISHMicrosoft’s (MSFT) MACD in the daily timeframe shows bearish momentum and the price closed below the $251 level. Hence a daily close below $248 could provide short-selling opportunities as prices could retest the $234 support. In addition, an EMA10- EMA20 deadly cross could further support this bearish possibility. In contrast, Microsoft could trend higher if prices closed above $257. Such price action could open the door for a retest of February 2023’s high of $275.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by Boring_Trader
The Clarity of Renko'sThis is not a chart reading - and i'll keep it super short ... this is just a quick reminder that we have many powerful tools that we can use to enhance our analysis and trading outcomes.. too many that we sometimes forget to use them. The above chart shows a great example of that .. I was going thru the daily analysis and thought i should share this note with fellow TV chartists and traders. The 2 panels show 2 identical charts, same time frame, same date range, same symbol and same indicators .. the only difference, the chart on the right hand side is a Renko It's surprising to see how clearer the picture is when we analyze the chart and the price/volume action through the Renko lens. Taking for example, the 3 double/triple top formations and how they were expressed on both charts .. which chart is easier to action and trade? so the quick note here is, let's not forget about these powerful tools - and continue to leverage them as much as possible - Before initiating the next trade, check your Renko :) Note: most of my indicators and TA concepts are "Renko-friendly" ;) Notes & comments ?
Editors' picks
NASDAQ:MSFTEducation
by RedKTrader
8
Microsoft 1H OutlookWide Pattern Coverage and Derived Price Levels: Keeping in mind the narrative of upcoming FED tightening policy because CPI & PPI figures. Also many longer term investors were disappointed about the financial reports of MSFT CORP. This negative incentive sets general dilation of falling fractal which covers negative market intentions. Fractal of Falling: Net BSP (EMA Smoothed): Constant Time Cycles: Since a sharp downward movement has occurred I doubt that the market incentive is fully priced in. Unless price holds strong blue and does a little pullback followed by side trend till TimeFib 2. I expect further fall to shake bears off the market to become bullish. A longer bearish wave would cover report induced sale but not recent negative economic reports.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by fract
Microsoft -> It's Now Or NeverHello Traders, welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis . On the weekly timeframe Microsoft stock just recently created an awesome double bottom and also already broke above the neckline confirming the weekly pattern. As we are speaking the market is retesting the neckline of the double bottom which is now turned support so from a weekly perspective I just do expect the continuation towards the upside from here. On the daily timeframe however the market is currently massively bearish and I definitely don't want to catch a falling knife so I am now just waiting for some bullish structure on the daily timeframe before I will look to enter longs to capitalize on the continuation towards the upside. Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
Editors' picks
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by basictradingtv
69
MSFT, Something interesting about to happenMicrosoft is now waiting for something to happen, specially with this GPT news and integration which makes the fundamental side interesting, adding an extra volatility to the stock. Right now after the breakout of the downtrend line and the MA 200 there was a rejection in the 280 zone, price is heading to the downtrend line and the MA 200 that are now powerful supports. If there is not a breakout of those supports and the WTO gets below the 0 section, the long side will be an appealing option with targets at 273.5, 280 and 293. However, if price breaks such a powerful supports the decline will be the better option and we assess levels then.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by Trade_Bang
Is it “game over” for Microsoft's Activision acquisition?When two hugely successful companies join forces, the initial market response is not always a bullish one, and traders who follow company mergers and takeovers know the only thing to count on is volatility. But what about the long run? Should traders buy in early and wait for the big picture to move the markets? What’s happened so far? Microsoft (MSFT) made headlines in January after announcing a hefty $69 billion bid to acquire Activision Blizzard (ATVI), the largest video game developer of all time. The acquisition is Microsoft's biggest ever. Despite the huge number, this isn't necessarily a crazy bet for Microsoft. Gaming was already a booming business before the pandemic, and lockdowns further increased its appeal. Estimates put gaming revenue increases at over 20% in recent years, approaching a staggering $200 billion, which has attracted the attention of tech giants such as Apple, Netflix, Amazon, and, of course, Microsoft. Traders have already seen movement on the charts since the announcement, but the deal isn’t done just yet, as competitor Sony raised concerns about the monopolization of the industry. This brings the UK's regulatory commission, Competition and Markets Authority (CMA), into play. What the CMA says about Microsoft’s acquisition The CMA is expected to announce its provisional findings soon, which could either clear the way for the mega-deal, or put an unappealable halt to it. The CMA has expressed concerns that the takeover could lead to competition issues in the console and subscription market, as well as in the growing cloud gaming sector. Microsoft's goal in acquiring Activision Blizzard is to add popular games like Call of Duty to its portfolio, which already includes the Halo franchise and Minecraft. Regulators around the world are worried that Microsoft dominance may soon make it harder for rivals to access Activision's popular titles. The CMA's decision is significant, as UK courts rarely overturn CMA merger decisions, and if the deal is blocked, there is little recourse for Microsoft and Activision. The CMA's ruling will come before decisions from the EU and the US Federal Trade Commission, which has sued to veto the transaction. In the hopes of greasing the wheels, Microsoft offered to grant a 10-year license for Call of Duty to its rival Sony. But that doesn’t address the issue that all upcoming Activision titles may become XBOX exclusives, leaving Sony’s PS5 catching dust in the corner. Conclusion If Microsoft’s Activision acquisition goes through, MSFT stocks probably won’t make much movement. Even though the purchase is $69 Billion, the effect on the company's profitability won’t be seen anytime soon—if ever. In contrast, Activision stock soared by 25% after the acquisition was announced. If the deal is blocked, we may see those early investors pulling out, and a rather rapid correction for ATVI. Don’t forget, last year the CMA concluded that Meta's purchase of GIPHY would limit choice for social media users, and Meta was ordered to sell GIPHY, so it’s not such a stretch to imagine the deal getting canceled. MSFT is an amazing company to trade either way, but consider focusing your research and analysis on ATVI in the coming weeks and months and be ready for the CMA decision. - By Paul Reid
NASDAQ:MSFT
by Exness_Official