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4MSFT trade ideas

20% to 40% Dip Coming for Microsoft?DISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational & entertainment purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to be involved with this market. Trading involves significant risk, do your own due diligence. A concerning sign for Microsoft bulls triggered a few weeks ago. We saw the DPO divergence confirmed. Price targets to the downside of this confirmation imply a 20% to 40% dip is coming for Microsoft. Do you think Microsoft is heading for a dump? I do. See you down there.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by Tradius_Trades
Microsoft seem to have made intermittent top. Look for reversalNASDAQ:MSFT has fallen in 5 waved from the top made in July and in process of retracing that down-move in ABC. The fall from top could be either a larger degree wave 1 or wave A. In both cases, soon wave 3 or C down should start since the wave 2/B has completed 61.8% retracement which is at 436.73. Stock closed below that level yesterday which makes me wonder if the down-move in wave 3/C has begun already. Assuming down-move has started, we should head towards 364 as per wave equality (3=1 or A=C), though if economic macros stay recessionary then the move could stretch to 1.6 or 2.6 times the size of wave 1/A (in log).
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by YetAnotherTA
MSFT: Top Signal Below Resistance?Looking at MSFT's daily chart, the price action shows a strong upward movement recently, breaking above the key resistance level at $426.79 and reaching the next resistance at $441.48. The 21-day EMA is currently trending upward, supporting the bullish momentum. However, the price is now pulling back slightly from the $441.48 resistance level, which might indicate short-term profit-taking or consolidation after the strong rally. A sustained breakout above $441.48 would indicate further bullish potential, but the price needs to stay above this key point to maintain this momentum. If the price materializes a top signal, the next support would likely come around $426.79, the previous resistance level, now support - Princciple of Polarity. On the hourly chart, MSFT is moving within a well-defined ascending channel, with the price bouncing between the channel's support and resistance lines. The recent pullback from $441.48 suggests a minor correction within the channel, but as long as the price remains above the channel's lower boundary and the 21-hour EMA, the uptrend remains intact. Overall, MSFT is in a bullish structure, but the immediate test will be how it reacts to the pullback from the $441.48 resistance. A breakout above this level would confirm continued strength, while a failure to hold the short-term support levels could signal further consolidation or correction. For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions. Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation. “To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore All the best, Nathan.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
1
Microsoft Announces $60 Billion Buyback and Dividend HikeMicrosoft Corp. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSFT ) recently announced two major moves designed to bolster shareholder value and solidify its position as a leading tech giant. The company unveiled a $60 billion stock buyback program along with a 10% increase in its quarterly dividend. This announcement has sent positive waves through the market, and investors are keeping a close eye on what this means for Microsoft's long-term outlook, especially amid its aggressive investments in artificial intelligence (AI). The $60 Billion Buyback: Strategic Capital Allocation On Monday, Microsoft revealed plans to repurchase up to $60 billion of its stock. While this figure may seem colossal, it represents less than 2% of the company's market cap, which currently stands at a staggering $3.2 trillion. Buybacks are a strategic way for companies like Microsoft to return capital to shareholders, reduce the number of shares outstanding, and increase earnings per share (EPS). The buyback plan can be canceled at any time, signaling flexibility in Microsoft's strategy to navigate market conditions. The announcement comes at a critical time when investors are pressuring the company to show returns on its heavy spending in AI development, particularly through its flagship product, the Copilot AI assistant, and other AI-driven tools. ### Dividend Hike: Rewarding Loyal Shareholders In addition to the stock buyback, Microsoft also announced a 10% hike in its quarterly dividend, raising it by 8 cents to 83 cents per share. This marks the 20th consecutive year the tech behemoth has increased its dividend, a testament to its commitment to rewarding long-term investors. The higher dividend will be payable on Dec. 12, 2024, to shareholders of record as of Nov. 21. The steady rise in dividend payments is indicative of Microsoft’s robust financial health. As it continues to post consistent earnings, the dividend increase signals confidence in sustained cash flow generation, even as the company allocates substantial capital toward AI infrastructure. A Focus on AI Investments The timing of the buyback and dividend announcement coincides with Microsoft's unveiling of several new AI features. During its recent "Wave 2" event, Microsoft introduced updates to its Copilot AI, including enhancements in Excel, OneDrive, and Outlook. These AI-driven tools are part of the company’s broader push to integrate advanced machine learning and AI capabilities into its suite of products, driving future growth. Jefferies analysts have described Microsoft as a "top AI beneficiary," citing strong adoption rates of its Copilot features and improvements in user experience. This aligns with the company’s focus on using AI as a growth driver, especially as demand for AI outpaces the company’s capacity to deliver. Stock Performance and Technical Outlook Microsoft stock has been on an upward trajectory, rising 15% year-to-date, and showing consistent strength over the past year. On Tuesday, NASDAQ:MSFT surged 1.66%, buoyed by the announcement, and continues to hold investor confidence. Technically, Microsoft’s stock sits at an RSI of 66, indicating bullish momentum. This level is approaching overbought territory but still suggests room for continued growth, especially as Jerome Powell’s much-anticipated speech on rate cuts approaches. The stock’s resilience is evident as it has managed to retake all its moving averages and break past a 426.79 short-term high, a level seen as critical resistance. Moreover, Microsoft has been in a steady upward trend since September 2023, maintaining consistent gains month-over-month. This steady performance is a signal of both investor confidence and the company’s ability to deliver, even amid macroeconomic uncertainty. Conclusion: Microsoft’s latest financial moves—both the $60 billion buyback and the dividend hike—demonstrate its ability to reward investors while continuing to focus on long-term growth. As it positions itself as a leader in AI, Microsoft’s ongoing investments are expected to pay off significantly in the years ahead. With a solid balance sheet, growing dividends, and continued stock buybacks, Microsoft’s outlook remains strong. While some volatility may lie ahead due to macroeconomic factors, the combination of smart capital allocation and a focus on next-gen technology like AI puts Microsoft in a prime position to continue its upward trajectory in both stock price and market influence. Investors looking for long-term stability combined with growth potential should keep Microsoft on their radar as it navigates the evolving tech landscape.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by DEXWireNews
MSFT Share Buyback + Bull Flag BreakoutMSFT had a shorter term bull flag breakout last week, but stalled around $430 which has been previous support/resistance. Not much action on it today, but they just announced a buyback and dividend after hours. So far only seeing a small pop in after hours trading. I'm skeptical about tech stocks in particular being bullish, but right now we have a lot of breakouts and bullish charts. I wouldn't do anything crazy until after FOMC, but this is one I'll have my eye on. Not only do we have the news, but I consider this $430 area to be a major one. If it is able to break back above and continue the momentum, it should eventually hit the bull flag pole target around $456. Next upside target from there would be ATH. I'd be comfortable holding longs until it breaks back below $430 at which point I'd stop out.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by AdvancedPlays
Negative signals on Microsoft as AI plumet on the wayWe identify a negative shoulder-head-shoulder formation which at it's end touches the 200 day line, all ahead of today's news that the chip maker's market is plumeting. Additional put/sell signals are triggered when the trend lines confirm or the price won't come back over 200D. Microsoft is renown for its involvement in AI products, especially in OpenAI. The demand for chips halted when NVIDIA recently postponed the release of Blackwell, the next generation of AI-propelling chips. Data centers equipping for future demands on AI business withhold investments as they won't run with the current generation of chips for the short period of time until Blackwell is launching, but with the latest generation and cutting-edge technology for the maximum time possible. Meanwhile the think tank and advisor to U.S. Military and Government, RAND Corporation , surveyed why AI projects in the industry fail: Miscommunication or misunderstanding what problems need to be solved using AI, following a false perception of what AI can actually do - beginning with the impression the term "AI" makes to non-tech persons. Organizations lack the necessary data to adequately train effective AI models. The necessary amount of data might never be acquired due to diverse obstacles on collecting them. Organizations focus more on using the latest and greatest technology than on solving real problems for their intended users. Therefore, the circle of problems where AI solutions are applicable, might not be as big as initially thought. This is what happened to the blockchain. Organizations might not have adequate infrastructure to manage their data and deploy completed AI models, which increases the likelihood of project failure. Infrastructure for serious AI is exhaustive and needs up to 300-times bigger databases and hardware equipment than for regular software services. Then again, you have to feed it all with the required amount of data, of which, as pointed out earlier, is not enough there. AI projects fail because the technology is applied to problems that are too difficult for AI to solve. This is a general problem on the current generation of AI, as it lacks the required spark of creativity to originate ideas which are not based on patterns earlier learned. In other terms, generative, LLM-based AI, which is the current generation, would never be able to be a pioneer in anything, because it remixes mash-ups from earlier experience, at best! The current dips of chip makers, combined with the problems of sourcing sufficient data and industry becoming more and more disenchanted with AI, might trigger another tech bubble burst, which, if it happens, would be imminent right now.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by Johnny_TV
MSFT looks good but be carefulMSFT is recovering from a huge drop a few weeks ago. It has formed a higher low, and now we need to see a higher high (check the right shoulder of the H&S pattern). If we see a higher high, we can safely say that we have a continuation of the uptrend, with a likely target of an all-time high (ATH). However, if MSFT drops and falls below the neckline, it could be the end for MSFT for years. MSFT has formed a huge H&S pattern with a neckline around 400. So, there are several significant support levels: the round number 400, the neckline, and the trendline from 2022. If MSFT drops below these, it could be disastrous.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by Consistent_Trades
Microsoft - Correction Is Not Over Yet!Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) can still drop a little lower: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 It seems like the correction on Microsoft is not over yet and following previous price action and market structure, a move back to the previous triangle breakout level seems to be quite likely. However Microsoft still remains in an overall bullish market so looking for long setups is best. Levels to watch: $350 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by basictradingtv
Simple Portfolio Management StrategiesSimple Portfolio Management Strategies In financial market systems, where complexity often obscures the path to effective trading and investing, there can still be clarity and certainty based on the use of simple portfolio management strategies. In this FXOpen article, you will learn about portfolio meaning in investment and how to manage it. Investment Portfolio: Fundamentals When talking about portfolio management, the investment portfolio definition often comes to mind. However, portfolio management can be an effective technique not only for investors but also for medium- and long-term traders. The traditional definition states that an investment portfolio is a carefully selected collection of assets, such as stocks, bonds, indices, commodities, real estate and more, owned by an individual. This collection is not just a random assortment — it is selected strategically with the aim of achieving specific financial goals while managing risks. An investment portfolio is not static. It responds to market conditions, economic shifts, and personal goals. Therefore, it’s vital to have various portfolio management strategies in place to adapt to market conditions. Although traders don’t own the assets they trade, if they hold positions for days, weeks, or even months, they can also implement the following strategies. In trading and investing, complexity can be a hidden adversary. Overly intricate portfolio management strategies typically lead to confusion and missed opportunities. Yet, simplicity brings clarity. Having a clear path for making well-informed decisions helps reduce stress and improve your performance. And there is a great benefit in simple strategies. Clear and easy-to-follow investment portfolio management strategies empower investors to navigate this fast-paced realm with confidence. The Concept of Equal Weight Allocation Equal weight allocation means dividing your investments equally among the different assets in your portfolio. This is made to sidestep the trap of putting all your eggs in one basket. This strategy minimises the impact of any single asset’s performance on your overall portfolio. Advantages Equal weight allocation offers a panoramic view of the market. Distributing your investments helps you gain exposure to diverse assets, reducing vulnerability to market swings. It’s a balanced approach. Considerations Equal weight allocation doesn’t consider individual asset performance or risk. This means that the loss in one asset may exceed the income from another, but for traders who value a straightforward path, this option works. The Main Ways to Diversify Think of diversification as your safety net. This strategy involves spreading your investments across various assets, making your portfolio resilient to turbulence. If one falters, others pick up the slack, minimising the potential losses. Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) MPT is one of the approaches to diversification. It’s like assembling the perfect puzzle, optimising your portfolio based on your risk tolerance and the desired return. The theory suggests that investors are risk-averse, so the main task is to boost profits with minimal risks. This approach makes your fund allocation harmonious. Sector and Industry Diversification There is an opinion that the diversification of sectors and industries is a fine art, but you can definitely learn it if you read a lot and track market changes. By allocating your investments to sectors that work differently in various conditions, you further reduce the risk. For example, you can consider the combination of the technology industry with healthcare or oil and gas companies with the agro-industry. One of the ideas is to choose those assets that act as counterweights. Advantages Spreading investments across different asset classes minimises the impact of a poor-performing asset. This helps to stabilise the portfolio during market fluctuations. Diversification allows exposure to multiple sectors, industries, and regions, increasing the chances of benefiting from emerging trends. Considerations Holding too many assets can lead to increased complexity in portfolio management. Managing a portfolio requires regular monitoring and adjustments. Also, it’s vital to know how to choose assets that are negatively correlated, as if assets are positively correlated, they will move in a similar direction even when your price predictions are incorrect. On our TickTrader platform, you’ll find multiple instruments that help our clients analyse market trends and diversify correctly. Trading several markets on one single platform is simple and convenient. The Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) Strategy Dollar-cost averaging means investing a certain amount regularly, regardless of market ups and downs. The strategy involves reducing the impact of volatility by dividing the entire amount of investments into parts that are invested according to a predetermined schedule. This is a reasonable step aimed at mitigating the effects of market volatility. Advantages DCA turns market fluctuations into its ally, allowing you to accumulate more when prices are low and less when they are high. The strategy provides psychological relief from consistent investment. Considerations DCA might miss out on rapid market upswings, but by and large, this is a strategy of balance and moderation, mitigating the effects of market volatility. Portfolio Rebalancing Portfolio rebalancing is the practice of adjusting your portfolio back to its original allocation. Think of your investment portfolio as a garden. Just as plants grow at different rates, the assets in your portfolio can change over time. Rebalancing a portfolio is like tending your garden, making sure that no one plant overwhelms the others. It’s a strategic process of changing your investments to maintain the desired mix of assets. In real life, it would look like this: Suppose you set a goal to have 60% stocks and 40% indices in your portfolio. If the number of stocks rises to 70% due to market trends, rebalancing will bring them back to 60%, and you can reinvest them in indices. In a trading portfolio, you can set precise targets for risky and risk-averse assets, control the number of positions in both groups and rebalance depending on the market conditions. Why Rebalance? Market fluctuations can upset the balance of your portfolio. Rebalancing prevents one asset from dominating and helps to manage risks. This brings your portfolio in line with your goals and risk tolerance. The easiest way to restore balance is to set regular intervals. You adjust your investments according to your original plan. This ensures that your portfolio stays the same without overly complicating the situation. When buying and selling, keep in mind the potential costs and taxes. Rebalancing should not outweigh the benefits. Advantages Rebalancing ensures that your portfolio stays in line with your initial asset allocation, preventing it from drifting due to market changes. It also helps prevent the portfolio from becoming overly concentrated in a single asset class. Considerations Deciding when and how often to rebalance can be challenging, as overreacting to short-term market movements may hinder long-term performance. Additionally, frequent rebalancing can lead to increased trading costs. Final Thoughts With portfolio management techniques, traders learn to use different strategies and diversify their portfolios. And here, simple methods underpin sound decision-making. Traders choose strategies that suit their goals, styles, and risk tolerance. You can open an FXOpen account to start your journey. As you use the power of simplicity, you will be ready to master portfolio management and improve your trading. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:MSFTEducation
by FXOpen
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