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Bullish Outlook for Microsoft Ahead of EarningsIn Microsoft, we see an open volume-imbalance gap at the top of the target range. The market tends to close these gaps sooner or later. In our experience, they are more reliable than “normal” gaps. In view of the technical chart situation and the stable fundamentals, we are bullish on Microsoft ahead of the earnings. Please note: The stop loss shown is merely an idea. Experience shows that market movements at earnings are very volatile. It may therefore make sense to wait until after the figures are published before taking a position.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by Ochlokrat
How Did MSFT Stock Price React To Global Outage?How Did MSFT Stock Price React To Global Outage? On 19th July, a global outage occurred. Numerous computers running Windows worldwide experienced "blue screens of death" (BSOD), affecting companies in different sectors, including airlines, hospitals, media, banks, and others. The outage was caused by a CrowdStrike's Falcon Sensor update, a component of the Windows system that essentially works to protect computers from cyber threats. CrowdStrike quickly acknowledged the issue, stating that it was not a cyberattack but an update error, and suggested a solution. According to CNBC, the large-scale outage did not significantly impact the operation of most financial markets. Representatives of the New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq stated on Friday that they were operating despite the issues with the CrowdStrike update. The only noticeable unpleasant consequence for most was the inability to calculate the Russell stock indices, including the popular Russell 2000. However, the confusion was resolved later on Friday. At the same time, the large-scale outage affected stock prices, including Microsoft. In pre-market trading on Friday, MSFT's price dropped below $430, but during the main session, the price managed to rise above it. As technical analysis of the MSFT chart shows, the $430 level is important – as it acted as resistance in March-May 2024. Therefore, its role as support might be justified by analysts. Additionally, the MSFT share price is near the lower boundary of the upward channel (shown in blue), which may provide additional support. However, no one can guarantee that the mentioned support levels will lead to a subsequent bullish impulse. On 19th July, we wrote about bearish signs on META stock charts. These are bearish aggression signs, which are concerning: → the price's inability to reach the upper boundary of the blue channel in early July; → a wide bearish gap when breaking through the median on 17th July. Wall Street analysts remain positive for now. According to TipRanks, the average forecast for MSFT is $504.12 (+15.33% from the current price) over the next 12 months. Microsoft's Q2 earnings report, scheduled for release on 30 July, has the potential to significantly alter the balance of sentiments. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by FXOpen
1
Top 7 Books to Learn Advanced Technical Analysis for StocksTop 7 Books to Learn Advanced Technical Analysis for Stocks Mastery of advanced technical analysis is one of the factors that separates casual traders from experienced ones. Financial markets are not simple, so it’s important to understand the subtleties of price movements and chart patterns. This FXOpen article is best suited for experienced traders who already have basic trading knowledge but are looking to delve into advanced technical analysis. We’ve compiled a list of the 7 best books to learn stock trading that explain its complexities and offer invaluable insights and strategies to potentially enhance your trading. What Are the Best Books to Learn Stock Trading? Typically, sketchy knowledge from blogs or YouTube videos won’t be enough to allow someone to understand and improve technical analysis. Then, people turn to reading, trying to find the best books to learn the stock market that are available. The best stock market books are characterised by their practicality, expertise, and ability to provide valuable insights for investors and traders. They often cover a range of topics and are authored by experienced professionals in the field. Below, you’ll see a list of 7 books and their descriptions. 1. The Art and Science of Technical Analysis: Market Structure, Price Action, and Trading Strategies Author: Adam H. Grimes This book is a pioneering work that connects an academic view of markets, technical analysis, and effective trading. It explores why randomness dominates markets most of the time but not always. The author focuses on how technical analysis can be used to identify statistically validated patterns in certain market conditions. In reviews of the work, readers state that the book demolishes TA misconceptions and provides insight into the psychology of market players. The book is supported by extensive research and helps readers recognise technical patterns. 2. The Definitive Guide to Point and Figure Author: Jeremy Du Plessis One of the top books on stock trading is the work of Jeremy Du Plessis. This book is dedicated to technical analysis and Point and Figure charting. It includes a detailed explanation of the history and development of the technique from its invention to the present day and covers the construction of graphic patterns, the reasons for their creation, and ways of interpreting them. According to reviewers, the book provides knowledge that gives you an edge. After reading it, you will no longer look at price targets and risk-reward ratios like you used to. 3. Elliott Wave Principle: Key to Market Behavior Authors: Robert R. Prechter Jr., A.J. Frost, Charles J. Collins This book is a worthy reference for technical traders. It gives a good understanding of the Elliott wave principle, a form of technical analysis that traders use to analyse financial market cycles and trends. It’s not for amateurs, but experienced traders love it. The book is rather specialised as it contains material on one narrow topic, so it’s not a complete guidebook to mastering trading. Nevertheless, it’s very informative and concentrated. Reviewers note that the book teaches readers how to apply Elliott wave theory not only on stocks but also on commodities and forex markets. 4. Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns Author: Thomas N. Bulkowski This book is dedicated to trading on news and significant events, including quarterly earnings announcements, retail sales, and stock upgrades and downgrades. It offers empirical data illustrating the effectiveness and ineffectiveness of the patterns. The Bulkowski Encyclopedia has been a bestseller for a long time, and now the author has released an updated, improved version and added many new patterns and strategies, as well as updated market statistics. Everything you will read in the theoretical part is backed up with figures and calculations and validated. 5. Technical Analysis Using Multiple Timeframes Author: Brian Shannon This is one of the books for the stock market dedicated to many aspects of trading at once. You will learn how you may enter established trends with low risk, recognise and take advantage of cyclical capital movements in all markets, evaluate the potential of a trade using technical analysis, and much more. Reviewers mention that it provides powerful insights into how to use different timeframes to determine trends, confirm signals, and manage risk. The book is not complicated, but it is suitable for experienced traders, as it collects and systematises a huge block of information about the market. 6. Beyond Candlesticks: New Japanese Charting Techniques Revealed Author: Steve Nison This book provides a detailed analysis of Japanese candlestick charting techniques and how to use them in technical analysis. It discusses how to use candlestick patterns to identify trends, confirm signals, and manage risk. Readers value its step-by-step instructions, detailed charts and graphs, and clear guidance on tracking results. Moreover, the book helps readers understand the psychology of traders in the stock market and the logic behind their decisions. 7. Effective Trading In Financial Markets Using Technical Analysis Authors: Ashish Kyal, Smita Roy Trivedi Along with other books in this list, the work of Ashish Kyal and Smita Roy Trivedi explains how to use technical analysis in financial markets. It covers technical analysis tools, backtesting, and algorithmic trading in detail. It teaches readers how to use technical indicators and chart patterns, confirm signals, and manage risk. Readers say that it’s written in simple language, and there are multiple examples, case studies, comparisons, and figures for different assets and markets. Unlike many classic trading books, this work focuses a lot on the Indian market. It will be useful to those who are interested in that region. Final Thoughts It’s not an easy task to list the best books for trading in the stock market. If everything is clear in terms of materials for those who are just entering the world of trading, advanced books are harder to choose. Experts say that if you already have background knowledge, you can select books that either combine and systematise information about trading or deal with one specific area in detail. The more you read, the more experience and skills you will gain. And if you want to put your knowledge into practice, you can open an FXOpen account. Log in to the TickTrader trading platform to see real-time asset charts and try out your strategies. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:MSFTEducation
by FXOpen
3
MSFT: A Potential Buy Amid Market Volatility.Given the current technical indicators and market conditions, here is a speculative trading strategy for MSFT: Long Position: Entry Point: Consider entering a long position if the price approaches the strong support level around $418.53. Price Target: Aim for the resistance level at $455.40 initially, with a potential to reach $492.85 in the medium term. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at $410 to mitigate potential losses. Short Position: Entry Point: If the stock breaks below the $418.53 support level, consider a short position. Price Target: Target the next support level at $390.10. Stop Loss: Set a stop loss at $430 to limit potential losses. Examining the candlestick patterns, MSFT has displayed a series of red candles with significant upper wicks, suggesting persistent selling pressure. The price action reflects a bearish sentiment in the short term, but the long-term trend remains bullish, supported by the company’s robust fundamentals and continuous growth in its cloud computing division, Azure.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by AxiomEx
Microsoft WingsSharing some zones I find of interest and some ideas or potential scenarios I might want to have a lookout for. The stock wants to fly but how high? I have an interest in the purple zone in case it is reached in its time interval. Also for the upside, I have a peculiar interest in the white curve potential resistance which is mostly an estimation not a precise line level, but will be looking for weakness near it in case there are signs for a potential reversal. The green line will eventually be broken, not sure about the white one, which could prop up the price until it encounters the white curve. For more bearish toned scenarios, I look at the green and the red zones as potential support zones for reversals or just consolidations, but also having a lookout for a potential comeback that doesn't quite include these areas of interest for the big event that can propel this higher, even if the earnings disappoint and it takes another hit with a bearish wave. The marked time stamp could be meaningless, unless significant price action indicating potential reversal after descent occurs near it.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by nen
4
MSFT support 438.8 .382/50% =wave 4 5th ahead 473/488The chart posted is that of MSFT we have now dropped .066 % and this is equal to the last wave drop making waves 2 and 4 equal .And the drop is .50 % of the rally from 404.5 to the peak 469.25 and we are also at .382 of the rally from 388 low april , if we break here I would look for the decline to drop to 431.5/428.8 before we turnup and see the last up phase in the Bull market targets are from 473 to 488 I lead towards 481
NASDAQ:MSFT
by wavetimer
End of Microsoft Bull Run ReachedFrom Left to Right: 1. Horizontal Resistance off of Doji High. 2. Price falls to 200 EMA. 3. Trend-Based Fib Extension is drawn from Bullish Engulfing Pattern Low at 200 EMA to Doji High (confirming previous Doji resistance), and finally down to Bullish Engulfing Pattern. 4. Price broke out of the $340 horizontal resistance and hit Yearly Fibonacci Pivots targets R1 & R2. 5. Trend-Based Fib Extension targets 0.786 & 0.886 reached. 6. Monthly Fib Pivots targets R1 & R2 reached. 7. TD Sequential 9 Sell Signal.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by zerocashcool
2
Is There the Best Time to Trade Stock CFDs?Is There the Best Time to Trade Stock CFDs? If you ask experienced traders, many will say that they trade on certain days or at certain times of the day. Their choice is determined by the market dynamics, volatility, and liquidity. It’s crucial to understand when the best time of the day, week, and month to trade stocks may be. This FXOpen article delves into the intricacies of timing, which may help traders optimise their strategies for greater effectiveness. Is There the Best Time to Day Trade? The operational hours of stock markets vary according to their respective time zones, resulting in differing opening and closing times. For example, the US stock market opens at 9:30 and closes at 16:00 local time, while the UK market opens at 8:00 and closes at 16:30 local time. The theory states that to identify potentially the best time frame for day trading, many traders break the day into four blocks, such as the opening bell, mid-morning, lunch hour, and afternoon, and look at the advantages and challenges that each timeframe presents. Opening Bell The opening bell sets the tone for the day, marking the beginning of market activity. As the market opens, there is a surge in trading activity. Traders react to overnight news, economic reports, and pre-market movements. The opening bell often brings increased volatility and liquidity. Many traders believe the opening bell may be the best time of day to buy stocks if positive news is released after the market closes. Some traders prefer scalping because short-term price fluctuations offer numerous entry and exit points. However, high volatility brings increased risks. Adjusting position sizes and using appropriate risk management strategies are critical during this period. Midday At midday, volatility tends to decrease. Midday trading usually exhibits more consistent patterns compared to the opening or the final hours of the day. Some traders prefer to rely on technical analysis and historical data to identify trends. This part of the day is commonly used for planning, given that a substantial portion of the day's news has already been incorporated into stock prices, so traders analyse markets and try to identify future trends. Lunch Hour The lunchtime lull is characterised by a decrease in trading activity. But if your lunch is earlier or later, it’s essential to adapt your trading strategy to this reduced activity. With lower trading volume, executing large trades becomes more challenging. Strategies for handling low activity may involve adopting longer timeframes or refraining from aggressive trading. Some traders adjust position sizes and become more cautious when entering the market to avoid significant slippage. Afternoon Some traders use the afternoon as the best time to sell stocks during the day if the price of the stock has risen. They sell it and go to bed without worrying about a drawdown during the night. And if this happens, they can buy the stock again in the morning at a lower price. Late-day trends and reversals may offer favourable opportunities for swing traders. They can capitalise on price movements by holding positions overnight. Effective position management, including setting appropriate stop-loss and take-profit levels, is critical with this strategy. Trading on the TickTrader platform, you will have access to accurate price data and comprehensive charts with numerous technical tools that may help you decide what to do with a particular stock (buy, sell, or hold). What Days Traders Usually Trade Stocks Moving to a larger scale, it is important to decide which days of the week you are going to trade. Remember that there is no specific best day of the month to buy or sell stocks because the decision to trade depends on market trends, economic conditions, and individual company performance. Monday There may be events or news over the weekend that affect market sentiment. Traders react to the weekend news when the markets open on Monday. This is why Mondays see more volatility than other days of the week. Additionally, institutional investors make significant trades at the beginning of the week based on their analysis of weekend news. Just like the first few hours after opening, the first day of the week may be more appropriate for scalping and news-based trading. However, this depends on current market conditions. Traders consider economic indicators, company fundamentals, and the most recent news. Midweek (Tuesday to Thursday) The middle of the week usually provides consistency, giving room for strategic trading. Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday trading may have a more stable rhythm than the beginning and end of the week. Traders take advantage of well-established price trends. It may be easier to find patterns and trends at this time. Nevertheless, traders always remain alert to mid-week news and events. Friday On Fridays, traders and investors tend to close positions before the weekend. They may sell their assets on Friday to lock in potential returns before the weekend. Additionally, some traders believe that it’s a good day to buy stocks that have dropped in price earlier in the week. Closing or adjusting positions on Fridays is a common practice to reduce the risk of potential gaps over the weekend. Risk management tools are widely used as the market may open with gaps after the weekend. Evaluating risk tolerance is a crucial step for traders around the globe to consider. However, not all market participants choose a single day for trading. They believe that there are the best stocks for day-to-day trading. Is There the Best Month to Trade Stocks? Historically, the best months to trade in the stock market have been October, November, and December. This is because these months tend to have higher trading volumes and more positive market performance due to end-of-year financial reporting and holiday shopping. Still, there are three key points that are associated with trading opportunities in different months. - Seasonal trends. Historical patterns show that specific sectors tend to outperform or underperform in certain months. Seasonal fluctuations can affect sectors in different ways – changes may be different in the agro-industry, tourism, and manufacturing. - Earnings season. The earnings calendar becomes a critical tool during the earnings season. Traders plan their strategies around key earnings announcements, as these events can trigger significant market movements. - Year-end trading. Market participants often reassess their portfolios towards year-end, considering tax implications and making strategic adjustments. Rebalancing portfolios at the close of the year is a common practice. Final Thoughts Trading stocks on a specific day of the week or during certain hours doesn’t guarantee returns, as the stock market’s behaviour is influenced by various factors, and past performance does not necessarily indicate future results. However, there are patterns that are seen in the market year after year, and trading at certain times of the day or day of the week can be justified. If you are interested in trading stocks via CFDs, open an FXOpen account. FXOpen offers a gateway to the dynamic world of CFDs, allowing you to trade with tight spreads and commissions from $1. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:MSFTEducation
by FXOpen
1
MSFT: Potential Top SignalThe daily chart of MSFT highlights a potential top signal characterized by a bearish candlestick pattern following a strong uptrend. This signal indicates a possible reversal or at least a significant pullback. The bearish candlestick pattern near the top suggests that sellers are gaining control after a strong bullish run. A key level to watch on the daily chart is the bullish rejection support line at $458.97, which is the low of the previous bullish candlestick. The 21-day EMA is another critical support level that can provide additional confirmation of the trend direction. The hourly chart provides a more granular view of the recent price action, showing a bearish pivot point around $464.47. This level marks the point where the price has shown a significant rejection, forming a lower high and a subsequent lower low, indicating a bearish trend in the short term. The red arrows on the chart highlight the direction of the recent downward movement, suggesting continued bearish pressure. The potential top signal on the daily chart and the bearish pivot point on the hourly chart indicate a possible continuation of the downward movement. If the price breaks below the $458.97 support line with increased volume, the 21 EMA (D) will be its next technical target. If the price manages to hold above the $458.97 support line and shows signs of reversal, such as bullish candlestick patterns, it could indicate a resumption of the uptrend. It all depends on how it’ll react now that it is approaching its key support level. In summary, MSFT is showing potential bearish signals with a top signal on the daily chart and a bearish pivot point on the hourly chart. However, key support levels need to be monitored for any signs of reversal. For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions. Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation. “To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore All the best, Nathan.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
3
Microsoft's Earnings: A Prudent Approach for InvestorsInvestors often face a dilemma when considering whether to buy a stock just before its earnings announcement or wait it out. This decision can have significant implications for their portfolios. Currently, software giant Microsoft presents investors with precisely this dilemma, as it prepares to unveil its fiscal third-quarter numbers after Thursday's closing bell. While the company has shown impressive performance in recent times, concerns have arisen due to a recent decline in its stock. This prompts the question: should investors anticipate disappointing Q3 results, or could this be an overreaction with potential bullish catalysts in the earnings report? While predicting the future remains elusive, refraining from purchasing Microsoft stock ahead of Thursday's report appears prudent from a risk-management perspective. Here's why: Firstly, short-term fluctuations, including those triggered by earnings reports, often pale in comparison to long-term trends. Regardless of Friday's outcome, the impact on Microsoft's trajectory over the next five years is likely to be minimal. Thus, optimizing trade entries based on short-term movements may not align with a long-term investment horizon. Moreover, recent history serves as a reminder. Despite exceeding expectations in the last quarter, Microsoft experienced a slight decline post-earnings due to disappointing guidance. While past events may not perfectly predict future outcomes, they can offer insights into market behavior. Another factor to consider is the current market sentiment. The intensified selling of Microsoft shares suggests investor caution ahead of the earnings release. Whether due to perceived overvaluation or broader market weakness, this reluctance to hold the stock warrants attention. However, exercising caution does not guarantee a decline post-earnings. Microsoft's fundamental strengths, including its dominance in the personal computer ecosystem and significant strides in cloud computing and artificial intelligence, position it for long-term growth. Analysts anticipate robust revenue and earnings growth in the foreseeable future. For those hesitant to act, patience may be a virtue. While delaying may not yield substantial benefits, it aligns with a focus on the bigger picture. Microsoft's enduring value transcends quarterly fluctuations, making it a compelling long-term investment. Ultimately, the decision to buy or wait hinges on individual risk tolerance and investment goals. While uncertainty looms over Thursday's earnings, Microsoft's solid fundamentals suggest that any short-term volatility presents buying opportunities for those with a long-term perspective.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by FOREXN1
1