4MSTR trade ideas
$MSTR short the bounceWith bitcoin looking to bounce and $MSTR trading below its base value in bitcoin I believe it will have a bounce but likely find resistance in the low to mid 300s at the resistance trend line of the downtrend that is forming. Since $MSTR is leveraged up on bitcoin I would expect to see them drop a lot more then Bitcoin. If bitcoin eventually goes low enough its possible for MSTR to go bankrupt so I believe they are a good way to get exposure to shorting the crypto space.
Serious Risk For Microstrategy & Bitcoin (MSTR + BTC)This is a short post. Over the last few months, I've written and spoken about why Michael Saylor's entrance into Bitcoin has contributed to my skepticism about the valuation of the market, since the MSTR chart eerily echoes the bubbly behavior from the dotcom boom. As leverage and profit come out of the market, I think MSTR will be severely impacted. Saylor himself has said that holding MSTR is the closest you can get to holding a Bitcoin spot ETF. I think this is all going to backfire, and result in a precipitous drop for both. If MSTR declines back to $160 per share, I expect Bitcoin also to fall at least 50% and break the $20k line.
As shown on the left, Bitcoin can bounce at this trendline to begin the next month and perhaps make an attempt at the $50k level. This is seeming less and less likely, but you never know! I always acknowledge the alternate possibility. We'd need to see a dovish shift from the fed and/or student loan cancellation for that to occur, in my opinion.
Immediate Bearish targets for Bitcoin:
$17.2k
$13.4k
$9.7k
MSTR:
$227
$165
$121
This is not meant as financial advice. This is meant for speculation and entertainment only - this represents my opinion. There are plenty of other opinions out there :)
-Victor Cobra
$MSTR Bounce to ShortNatural covering/buyers here. Could see the lows get taken out and get shorts really worked up and emotional only to squeeze them out back to low $400s where quarterly vwap sits and is curling down. Would be a perfect way to trap new longs and also shake out the shorts looking to freeload and ride the momentum downwards. Some of this depends on BTC spot, some depends on the Q's and where the FOMC decision takes us tomorrow. IMO not a good company, pretty ugly balance sheet and I wouldn't be shocked to see this eventually go much much lower. As with intraday movements on anything tradeable, when price keeps probing lows and highs it doesn't not usually do so to bounce/reject like many retail is taught to buy/short at similar levels. It creeps around these levels to BREAK them even if momentarily, get everyone off sides and THEN make the real move up or down. Good luck.
NASDAQ:MSTR Bear of The DayMicroStrategy Incorporated provides enterprise analytics software and services worldwide. It offers MicroStrategy, an enterprise platform, which provides a modern analytics experience by delivering insights across multiple devices to users via hyperintelligence products, visualization and reporting capabilities, mobility features, and custom applications developed on the platform; analysts and data scientists with seamless access to trusted, governed data directly within their tools; and APIs and gateways, multiple deployment options, enterprise semantic graph, scalability, and security. The company also provides MicroStrategy Support that helps customers to achieve their system availability and uptime goals, and to improve the overall experience through highly responsive troubleshooting and proactive technical product support. In addition, it offers MicroStrategy Consulting that provides customers with architecture and implementation services to help them quickly realize results, and helps to achieve returns on investment derived from understanding of data; and MicroStrategy Education that offers free and paid learning options. The company provides its services through enterprise sales force and channel partners. It serves companies from a range of industries, including retail, consulting, technology, manufacturing, finance, banking, insurance, healthcare, education, and telecommunications, as well as the public sector. The company was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Tysons Corner, Virginia.
$MSTR Long term 3k and higherMicroStrategy Incorporated provides enterprise analytics software and services worldwide. It offers MicroStrategy, an enterprise platform, which provides a modern analytics experience by delivering insights across multiple devices to users via hyperintelligence products, visualization and reporting capabilities, mobility features, and custom applications developed on the platform; analysts and data scientists with seamless access to trusted, governed data directly within their tools; and APIs and gateways, multiple deployment options, enterprise semantic graph, scalability, and security. The company also provides MicroStrategy Support that helps customers to achieve their system availability and uptime goals, and to improve the overall experience through highly responsive troubleshooting and proactive technical product support. In addition, it offers MicroStrategy Consulting that provides customers with architecture and implementation services to help them quickly realize results, and helps to achieve returns on investment derived from understanding of data; and MicroStrategy Education that offers free and paid learning options. The company provides its services through enterprise sales force and channel partners. It serves companies from a range of industries, including retail, consulting, technology, manufacturing, finance, banking, insurance, healthcare, education, and telecommunications, as well as the public sector. The company was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Tysons Corner, Virginia.
MSTR looking to re-enter a SHORT position BTC breaking downMSTR's Michael Saylor is a FOOL. As a publically traded company he is a fiduciary and has a mandate to act responsible. Borrowing $2.5 billion dollars the company bondholders and shareholders are on the hook for to speculate on shitcoin will be the downfall of MSTR. I suspect there is (or SHOULD BE) an ongoing SEC investigation which could potentially bring indictments and a receivership of MSTR being setup to liquidate what's left of the companies assets and make the shareholders as whole as possible. Buying Bitcoin is no different that if Michael Saylor borrowed this money to buy lottery tickets, baseball cards, a 300 foot yacht. It's unlawful and not part of the overall business. MSTR will be under water soon as bitcoin continues breaking down because it is GARBAGE and has ZERO intrinsic value whatsoever like the other 18,000+ alt shitcoins. Attorneys, litigation, lawsuits, class actions will cause MSTR to be INSOLVENT.
MicroStrategy 4x side by sideHere's a MicroStrategy 4x side by side 1hr chart with related tickers. I'm not certain about this sideways action short term. The geopolitical situation can change Bitcoin's movements out of nowhere. MicroStrategy is either consolidating for another leg up or stalling for a short-term leg down. I'm neutral as of right now.
MSTR
BITO
COIN
BTC
Do your own due diligence, your risk is 100% your responsibility. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. You win some or you learn some. Consider being charitable with some of your profit to help humankind. Good luck and happy trading friends...
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7pt Trading compass:
Price action, entry/exit
Volume average/direction
Trend, patterns, momentum
Newsworthy current events
Revenue
Earnings
Balance sheet
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+5% portfolio trades, capital risk management
Beware of analyst's motives
Emotions & Opinions
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Lack of planning & discipline
Forgetting restraint
Obdurate repetitive errors, no adaptation
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Trading View app!, Brokerage UI
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Trading log (pencil & graph paper)
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Sorted watch-list
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pi RSI - trend momentum
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