MSTR....the force of gravity is strongMSTR is in news and buying up BTC at the top again with debt from retailers, I mean what could ever go wrong? Let's dive in to the downward channel and find out.....Yes, it looks like it broke the resistance line, but I think the Champagne effect of the new crypto friendly president is still in the bottle. Let's be patient and wait to see what happens. My sense is that it will drop like a ton of bricks and MSTZ (inverse) will rise like a falcon.
If you want to make money in trading you can't think like everyone else (sheep)....
Best of luck and always do your own due diligence!
4MSTR trade ideas
MSTR - Back to a new short levelAfter hitting Profit Target 1 (PTG1), itโs time to make a decision about the remaining position.
The fact is, MSTR tested the 1/4 level for the second time and found solid support there. Now weโve moved higher, back to the centerline.
For me, itโs clear: if we get an Open and Close โ a full bar โ above the CL, Iโll close the rest of my short position.
I still think MSTR is heavily manipulated. Besides the fact that this Bitcoin catalyst isnโt following BTCโs moves the way it should, itโs cheating investors for profits.
That said โ if thereโs weakness, Iโll continue building the position. If I had no position, this is the place where I would open it on a Short trigger.
If thereโs strength, Iโll close it.
Long MSTR Next Week: Stay Bullish Amid Bitcoin Momentum
- Key Insights: MicroStrategy continues to attract attention through its
aggressive Bitcoin investment strategy, enhancing its appeal to
institutional investors. As digital asset adoption grows, MSTR is seen as a
potential hedge against inflation. Its inclusion in the NASDAQ 100 could
further bolster investor confidence and drive demand for its shares, making
it a compelling long position in the current market.
- Price Targets:
- Next week targets: T1 = 410, T2 = 425
- Stop levels: S1 = 375, S2 = 360
- Recent Performance: MSTR's stock has shown resilience amid a volatile market,
supported by its strategic investments in Bitcoin that resonate well with
the current market dynamics. Recent trading activity indicates a bullish
sentiment, with shares fluctuating within a stable range that suggests an
ongoing interest from both retail and institutional investors.
- Expert Analysis: Market analysts express optimism about MicroStrategy's stock,
given its unique position as a tech company heavily invested in Bitcoin. The
consensus leans toward a positive outlook, especially with the anticipated
institutional demand for cryptocurrency exposure. The strategic use of
equity and debt to bolster its Bitcoin position is viewed favorably, further
enhancing its market sentiment.
- News Impact: The recent discourse around MicroStrategy's status in the NASDAQ
100 underscores its elevated standing in the tech sector. As other
corporations consider similar cryptocurrency strategies, MicroStrategy may
act as a trailblazer, influencing market dynamics and sentiment in favor of
crypto-investing trends among corporate treasuries.
Should You Follow Michael Saylorโs BTC Moves? Letโs Think TwiceIn the crypto world, Michael Saylor is a household name. The co-founder of MicroStrategy has become one of Bitcoinโs most vocal advocates, with his company accumulating a massive Bitcoin treasury. Many view his purchases as a signal of confidence, believing that if someone with his track record is buying, it must be the right move.
But is it wise to follow his lead without question?
Letโs take a closer look at the full story and consider why doing your homework is essential before jumping in headfirst.
The Rise of Michael Saylor: Bitcoinโs Biggest Cheerleader
Saylor didnโt become a prominent figure in the crypto space until 2020, when MicroStrategy announced its first Bitcoin purchase.
Since then, he has positioned himself as a thought leader in the industry, frequently championing Bitcoin as the ultimate store of value.
However, Saylorโs newfound reputation as a financial visionary often overshadows his earlier historyโa history thatโs worth examining.
A Look Back: The Dot-Com Bubble and MicroStrategyโs Decline
In the late 1990s, MicroStrategy rode the wave of the dot-com boom, with its stock soaring to impressive heights. But like many other tech companies of the era, it faced a harsh reality check when the bubble burst.
MicroStrategyโs stock plummeted, and for the better part of two decades, it languished near its lows.
During this period, Michael Saylorโs reputation as a business genius took a backseat. It wasnโt until Bitcoinโs meteoric riseโand MicroStrategyโs pivot to buying and holding Bitcoinโthat Saylor regained the spotlight.
Is It Genius or Just Timing?
Hereโs the question we need to ask: Is Michael Saylorโs success in Bitcoin a result of brilliant foresight, or was he simply in the right place at the right time?
Bitcoinโs Performance: The timing of MicroStrategyโs Bitcoin purchases coincided with a strong bull run in the market. This rise in Bitcoinโs value undoubtedly contributed to Saylorโs renewed status as a financial savant.
Reputation Rebound: Itโs easy to appear โsmartโ when your investments are soaring. But how much of that success is due to skill, and how much is due to external factors like market trends?
The Danger of Blindly Following Big Names
While itโs tempting to follow someone like Michael Saylor, assuming he has insider knowledge or an unbeatable strategy, history teaches us a valuable lesson:
Even Experts Can Be Wrong: Many celebrated investors have made costly mistakes, especially when riding trends. The dot-com bubble is a prime example of how quickly fortunes can change.
Market Conditions Are Key: What worked for Saylor may not work for everyone, especially as market conditions evolve. Bitcoinโs past performance is no guarantee of future results.
The Importance of Doing Your Own Homework
Instead of blindly following big names, take the time to develop your own understanding of the market. Consider:
Risk Tolerance: Are you prepared for the volatility that comes with Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies?
Market Fundamentals: Do you understand the underlying factors driving the assetโs value?
Your Strategy: Does buying Bitcoin (or any other asset) align with your financial goals and investment timeline?
Final Thoughts
Michael Saylorโs success with Bitcoin is undeniably impressive, but itโs essential to view his story in context. His rise to prominence as a Bitcoin advocate came after years of MicroStrategyโs struggles, and much of his newfound fame coincided with Bitcoinโs broader bull market.
Rather than simply mimicking his moves, take a step back and assess your own strategy. Remember, the smartest investors arenโt those who blindly follow the crowdโtheyโre the ones who do their research, weigh the risks, and make informed decisions.
In trading and investing, doing your homework is the real key to success. Donโt let someone elseโs narrative cloud your judgment.
MSTR - Potential RunnerWe got a nice recent 50MA reclaim on MSTR and trading out of the falling wedge makes me think this one can get quite bullish again.
Other influential factors include things like Bitcoin over 100k again, a president that is pro-crypto, a government that is growing in debt, etc.
MR, mstrLots of hype in the crypto space, im just trying to make a little jingle. doesn't bother me if its up or down. This elliot wave ABCDE pattern is making me want to bet against the hype. A to C if u copy the line and move it below over B to D it lines up perfect. Each touch of the lines is 7 days. Monday will be 7 days from D to E. Fib retracement from previous high, has a .764% coming in at around 407$. Tag of the upper line on Monday also lines up right around 407$. I give this pattern a high probability of playing out. Should it play out, the targets would be first the lower bound and then 210-250 range.. Risk, if the hype is validated and it blows through the upper bound it will likely either consolidate on top or come back to retest. So, if it blows through the line and hangs out, exit the trade. On a pattern like this you do not want to see it trading very long on top of the trendline if at all.. Entry, it should go all the way to 407$. Looking to enter 402$-406$ short. Lets see how she rides ;)
Major Price Movement Incoming for MSTR!Signalist has detected a precise pattern in NASDAQ:MSTR trading activity, signaling that a substantial price movement is imminent. This isnโt a random fluctuationโitโs a carefully analyzed precursor to a significant market event.
๐
What to Expect:
โ Timeline: Anticipate a major move within the next 1 to 4 upcoming 3-hour candles.
๐ Monitor the Charts: Keep an eye on MSTRโs price action over the next few candles.
Prepare Your Strategy: Whether youโre bullish or bearish, have your trading plan ready to capitalize on the move.
MSTR - 2 months FALLING WEDGEโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
Since 2014, my markets approach is to spot
trading opportunities based solely on the
development of
CLASSICAL CHART PATTERNS
๐คLetโs learn and grow together ๐ค
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Hello Traders โ
After a careful consideration I came to the conclusion that:
- it is crucial to be quick in alerting you with all the opportunities I spot and often I don't post a good pattern because I don't have the opportunity to write down a proper didactical comment;
- since my parameters to identify a Classical Pattern and its scenario are very well defined, many of my comments were and would be redundant;
- the information that I think is important is very simple and can easily be understood just by looking at charts;
For these reasons and hoping to give you a better help, I decided to write comments only when something very specific or interesting shows up, otherwise all the information is shown on the chart.
Thank you all for your support
๐๐๐ ALWAYS REMEMBER
"A pattern IS NOT a Pattern until the breakout is completed. Before that moment it is just a bunch of colorful candlesticks on a chart of your watchlist"
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โ DISCLAIMER โ
Breakout Area, Target, Levels, each line drawn on this chart and any other content represent just The Art Of Chartingโs personal opinion and it is posted purely for educational purposes. Therefore it must not be taken as a direct or indirect investing recommendations or advices. Entry Point, Initial Stop Loss and Targets depend on your personal and unique Trading Plan Tactics and Money Management rules, Any action taken upon these information is at your own risk.
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MSTR(Assuming Bitcoin breaks up...)
From a TA perspective only: i can see a setup where there is a breakout rally back towards 450$, where, following correction may lead to another, shallower inverse shoulder of a bigger pattern and a return to the ATH, completing the falling wedge pattern.
Not financial Advice.
filb.
Opening (IRA): MSTR 2x225/2x240/460/490 Iron Condor... for a 7.00 credit.
Comments: IV remains high here at 112.4%. Going "double double" (put spread half the width of the call spread, but 2 x the number of contracts) to accommodate skew. Earnings are on 2/4, so will probably want to get out before then.
Metrics:
Max Profit: 7.00
Buying Power Effect: 23.00
ROC at Max: 30.43%
50% Max: 3.50
ROC at 50% Max: 15.22%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, roll in untested side on side test to about half the delta of the tested side. Given earnings on the horizon, will naturally just money/take/run for less if presented with the opportunity.
$MSTR Continues to FLY to $800. if BTC breaks 100K, CLEAR SKIESThere seems to be the idea that BTC held strong at $92K. We saw a bounce to FWB:98K and MSTR bounced off a similar key level.
Based on this trend, as well as the continued crypto regulation news, we can potentially see MSTR being the next 3x runner in the year IF BTC breaks 100K once again, suggesting further new highs.
This trend would suggest that we can see MSTR $800 by as early as MAY. or some potential consodilation during the summer, with a final blowout in late DEC 2025.
What do you think is the new BTC / MSTR target?
MSTR: Bullish Momentum Faces Key Resistance๐ฅ LucanInvstor's Strategy:
๐ฉธ Short: Below $335.13, targeting $320 and $300. The MACD shows weakening momentum, and the price is approaching key resistance at $399.88.
๐ฉธ Long: Above $363.01, aiming for $399.88 and $410. A breakout above this resistance could extend the bullish trend, but the weakening MACD signals uncertainty.
๐ฅ LucanInvstor's Commands:
๐ฉธ Resistance: $399.88 โ A key resistance level; if broken, the bullish trend may continue.
๐ฉธ Support: $335.13 โ A critical support level; a breakdown below this could lead to further declines.
MicroStrategy's bullish momentum has paused near resistance. If the price holds above key support levels, a breakout could occur. However, the MACD indicates weakening bullish strength.
๐ "In moments of uncertainty, discipline and precision will guide your actions."
Opening (IRA): MSTR 180/210/410/440 Iron Condor... for a 6.03 credit.
Comments: High IV at 95.8%. Here, going delta neutral, 1/10th the price of the underlying for my wing width, and setting up my short option strikes at the 16 delta on both sides.
Metrics:
Max Profit: 6.03
Buying Power Effect: 23.97
ROC at Max: 25.16%
50% Max: 3.02
ROC at 50% Max: 12.58%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max; roll in untested side on side test.