Why I am not bearish without confirmation on NVDAThis video is an overview on why I am currently still bullish on NVDA and NQ overall.
4NVDA trade ideas
Never Nvidia, No? Surely Not!I hadn't looked at the NASDAQ:NVDA chart for months until today and I simply can't unsee this.
NVDA appears to be in the final stages of a Weekly Double Top pattern.
You can clearly see two near equal highs from November 24 and January 25.
After the neck of the Double Top was breached, the price attempted to reach a new high but failed. The failed high was powered by 3 consecutive weeks of declining volume which suggests momentum exhaustion.
If NVDA price drops through $126, it is very possible that the price could fall towards $55.
Why is the price projection so low?
The last 1/4 low has already been breached, so this level is unlikely to serve as strong support, leaving the price to potentially falls freely towards 2024's low.
The green areas highlight the Bullish Fair Values Gaps for NVDA on the Weekly time frame. As you can see there are numerous and they are all underneath the current price!
Won't Earnings push it to ATH? It's of course it's possible. And if it did, it wouldn't necessarily invalidate this set up!
Let's see what happens!
Be Cautious on NVDABe very careful on NVDA...
Double top already confirmed with neckline of "M" broken.
Mid term trends all confirmed down
The key is whether there is support around 121.82-123.90
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(NVDA 1W chart)
The key is whether it can receive support and rise around the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.5 (120.14) ~ 0.618 (127.46).
If not, and it falls, it is expected to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Accordingly, there is a possibility that it will touch around 104.75.
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(1D chart)
The key is whether it can rise above 121.82-123.90 and receive support.
If not,
1st: Fibonacci ratio 0.382 (113.42)
2nd: 104.75
You need to check whether it is supported near the 1st and 2nd above.
At this time, the important thing is whether the price can be maintained above the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart and remains, it is likely to turn into a downtrend, so be careful when trading.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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Nvidia stumbles to test 200 MA post earningsWill the dip buyers emerge here?
US markets continue to remain on the back foot, with the tech sector in sharp focus after Nvidia’s earnings. The chip giant initially climbed over 1% in pre-market trading but swiftly reversed, dropping 4% as investors reacted to results that, while decent, failed to dazzle. With chipmakers driving market volatility and concerns mounting over US-China tech tensions, Nvidia’s performance today could set the tone for the sector.
Adding to uncertainty, Donald Trump reignited trade war fears, announcing that tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China will take effect on 4 March.
Let's see if Nvidia dip-buyers will emerge to defend the 200-day MA around $126 area, or whether we will see further weakness heading into the close. Next key levels to watch include $120.00 and $115.00. Wednesday's low of $128.50 is now the key resistance level to watch. It would be a bullish scenario if we go back above this level now.
On a macro front, attention turns to Friday’s Core PCE data following weak economic reports, including a 4.6% slump in pending home sales and rising jobless claims. Next week we have ISM PMIs and NFP jobs report, as well as a rate decision from the ECB, all to look forward to.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
NVDA Cup & Handle FormationNVDA Cup & Handle Formation = Bullish Continuation Pattern Completion
Target Projected for Thursday Feb 27 Closing Candle/Price = $140.12
Updates:
NVDA EARNING DAY1Neutral to slightly bearish setup until earnings.
If it holds the channel support, there is a strong upside potential.
If it breaks down, a move toward 120 or lower is likely.
Earnings will be the key driver. If you are considering a trade, waiting for post-earnings confirmation is safer.
nvda moving forward after earningswe should be looking at a downside risk of ~105 and upside of ~155 upon this earning end of month, with next quarter moving toward 166, depending on global political tension between the world and the US, but anything further will be a wild guess because despite AI/robotics are the future, we are experiencing new domestic policies unheard of other than when USA was first established.
AI is not a bubbleNVIDIA reported earnings of 89 cents per share on revenue of $39.33 B for Q4. While revenue grew 77.94% on a year-over-year basis. The consensus earnings estimate was 84 cents per share on revenue of $37.72 B. The company said it expects Q1 revenue of $42.14 B to $43.86 B, and gross margins of 70.5% to 71.5%, which calculates to non-GAAP earnings of 89 cents to 97 per share.
Long trade idea:
long = 130
stop = 125
profit = 160
NVDA options data:
3/21 expiry
Put Volume Total 159,655
Call Volume Total 331,044
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.48
Put Open Interest Total 1,957,392
Call Open Interest Total 2,368,522
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.83
4/17 expiry
Put Volume Total 125,626
Call Volume Total 81,625
Put/Call Volume Ratio 1.54
Put Open Interest Total 521,463
Call Open Interest Total 712,523
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.73
5/16 expiry
Put Volume Total 32,339
Call Volume Total 49,339
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.66
Put Open Interest Total 366,100
Call Open Interest Total 389,827
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.94
Breaking: Nvidia ($NVDA) Surges 4% on Earnings BeatNvidia (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ), the U.S.-based semiconductor giant, has once again outperformed market expectations, reporting $39.3 billion in Q4 revenue, a 2.7% increase beyond analyst projections. While its dominance in AI chips remains unchallenged, a surprising growth driver has emerged: its automotive and robotics segment. With demand for driver-assist technology soaring, this segment is poised to become Nvidia’s next multi-billion-dollar business.
The Rise of Nvidia’s Automotive Business
Nvidia’s automotive and robotics revenue surged by 103% year-on-year, reaching a record $570 million in Q4 FY2025. This brings its total segment revenue for the fiscal year to $1.69 billion, marking the second consecutive year above the $1 billion threshold.
Although automotive contributes just 1.45% to Nvidia’s total revenue, analysts predict exponential expansion as real-world applications of autonomous driving and robotics continue to develop.
Technical Analysis
As of the latest session, NASDAQ:NVDA closed up 3.67% and continued its positive momentum, rising 2% in premarket trading. From a technical standpoint, Nvidia is approaching a bullish breakout, supported by the following indicators:
- RSI at 48: This suggests the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, leaving ample room for an upward push.
- Key Fibonacci Levels: In case of a pullback, the 65% Fibonacci retracement level serves as a strong support zone, providing a potential rebound point.
- Breakout Potential: A move above the 1-month high could signal further bullish momentum, paving the way for new highs.
With AI-driven demand surging, and Nvidia's automotive and robotics division gaining traction, the company is well-positioned for long-term profitability. Investors should keep a close watch on technical breakouts and fundamental milestones, as Nvidia continues to redefine the future of AI and autonomous technology.
Nvidia (NVDA) Share Price Dips Slightly After Earnings ReportNvidia (NVDA) Share Price Dips Slightly After Earnings Report
Following the close of the main trading session yesterday, Nvidia released its quarterly earnings report, exceeding analysts' expectations:
→ Earnings per share: Actual = $0.89, Expected = $0.84
→ Revenue: Actual = $39.3 billion, Expected = $38.1 billion (a 78% increase year-on-year)
It was also revealed that Nvidia’s latest AI chip family, Blackwell, generated $11 billion in sales for the quarter. This eased concerns that transitioning to the Blackwell chip series could lead to a decline in revenue.
How Nvidia (NVDA) Shares Reacted to the Earnings Report
Despite the strong earnings, Nvidia’s share price did not benefit significantly. Post-market trading saw heightened volatility, with NVDA shares fluctuating between $126 and $136 in the first few minutes after the report’s release.
As volatility subsided, NVDA stabilised around $129, slightly below Wednesday’s closing price of $131.37, reflecting a decline of approximately 1.7%.
Technical Analysis of NVDA Stock Chart
In February, NVDA’s share price continued to hold below the lower boundary of its previous upward trend channel after failing to break the psychological barrier at $150. Specifically:
→ The lower channel boundary has now acted as resistance (indicated by the arrow).
→ A downward trend channel (marked in red) is becoming increasingly apparent.
As a result, NVDA shares have not shown the ability to recover from the panic sell-off on 27 January, when Nvidia and other leading AI companies saw their stocks plummet following the success of Chinese startup DeepSeek.
NVDA Share Price Forecast
Analysts remain optimistic, possibly due to the expected increase in AI-related capital expenditure by major tech firms in 2025. Additionally, the upcoming GTC conference could serve as a bullish catalyst, likely featuring new product announcements within the Blackwell family.
According to TipRanks:
→ 33 out of 36 analysts recommend buying NVDA shares.
→ The 12-month average price target for NVDA is $177.
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Chart Pattern Analysis of NVDA
K4 break up the previous high price and close upon the resistance.
It is a bull signal for the market.
But there is still a concern about the lower demands along the recent candles.
Perhaps K4 is a fake up candle.
If that is a fact,
K5 will not likely create a higher high and usually will break down the resistant immediately.
Considered K5 is near the support along the uptrend channel,
The market will choose to break up or fall down here.
If K5 break up K4,
It will be a good place to buy then.
If K5 close below the resistance,
The consolidation will expand down to test 116USD.
It will be another good place to buy then.
NVDA at a Critical Level! Will This Bounce Hold or Break? Technical Analysis for February 27, 2025:
1. Current Price Action:
* NVDA saw a significant drop but found temporary support near $124.39, aligning with a key volume area.
* A falling wedge pattern has formed, with a slight breakout attempt before a rejection at $130-$132.
* Strong volume increase at the lows suggests buyers are stepping in.
2. Key Levels to Watch:
* Support: $124.39 (Previous low) → Critical level; if broken, next major demand zones are $120 & $115.
* Resistance: $130 - $132 (Point of Control - POC) → Needs a break for bullish continuation.
* Upside Targets: $138.50, $141.50, $143.44 (Major resistance walls).
3. Indicators Analysis:
* MACD: Bearish momentum but could reverse if volume increases.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold; potential for a short-term bounce.
* Volume Profile: Heavy resistance at $130-$132; low liquidity below $124 could accelerate downside.
GEX & Option Strategy for Tomorrow and the Week:
1. Gamma Exposure (GEX) Insights:
* Call Walls: $138.50, $143.44, $150 → Resistance areas; breaking these could trigger a gamma squeeze.
* Put Walls: $120, $118, $115 → Key support zones where market makers may buy back short positions.
2. IV & Sentiment:
* IVR: 59.4 (moderate)
* IVx Avg: 87.1 (elevated) → High implied volatility favors option sellers.
* Call Positioning: 16.9% bullish sentiment.
* GEX Sentiment: Slightly bearish for now but could flip bullish above $132.
3. Trading Suggestions:
* Bullish Setup: Long if NVDA reclaims $132; target $138-$143, stop $129.
* Bearish Setup: Short if NVDA fails to hold $130; target $124-$120, stop $133.
* Options Play: Selling put spreads at $120 support or call spreads near $143 resistance.
📌 My Thoughts & Suggestion:
* NVDA is in a make-or-break zone at $130-$132; a strong break here could lead to a recovery toward $138-$143.
* If market weakness continues, $124-$120 support could get tested.
* Be cautious with options as IV is high, making premiums expensive.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading. 🚀
NVDA Technical Analysis & GEX Options Setup for February 26, 202📌 Key Observations from the Charts
1. Market Structure & Price Action:
* NVDA recently broke down from 141-143, currently consolidating around 135.01.
* Support Levels:
* 134.27 (current price zone, short-term support).
* 129.08 (major support & put wall zone).
* 123-120 (critical gamma zone, could see acceleration if breached).
* Resistance Levels:
* 136.84 (POC, first resistance).
* 141.46 (VAH & key rejection level).
* If NVDA loses 129, expect a sharper decline to 123-120.
2. Volume Profile & Auction Levels:
* Point of Control (POC): 136.84 → Key resistance level that needs to be reclaimed for upside.
* Value Area High (VAH): 141.46 → Major resistance zone.
* Value Area Low (VAL): 134.27 → Must hold for buyers to prevent further decline.
3. Indicators Review:
* MACD: Bearish, downward momentum is still present.
* Stochastic RSI: Oversold, but no confirmation of a reversal yet.
🛠️ Options GEX Analysis
* Call Resistance:
* 145-150 → High gamma resistance, strong call walls.
* Put Walls & Support Zones:
* 129 → Highest Put Wall & Negative NETGEX Support.
* 120-118 → Strong Put Wall—if broken, NVDA could drop significantly.
* Implied Volatility (IVR & IVx):
* IVR 51.9 | IVx Avg 79.4 → Higher volatility, larger price swings expected.
* Call Positioning 23.7% → Weak bullish positioning, suggesting more downside risk.
📈 Trade Setups & Game Plan
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Preferred Setup)
🔹 Entry: Short below 134 confirmation.
🔹 Target 1: 129.08 (Put Wall Support).
🔹 Target 2: 120-118 (Put Wall Breakdown Level).
🔹 Stop-Loss: Above 138 (invalidates breakdown).
🔹 Options Strategy:
* Buy PUTS 135/125 expiring 1-2 weeks out if breakdown confirms.
* Debit Put Spread (Bearish 135P/120P for risk control).
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Less Likely)
🔹 Entry: If price reclaims 138-141, targeting 145+.
🔹 Target 1: 141.46 (POC, first resistance).
🔹 Target 2: 145.00 (major resistance).
🔹 Stop-Loss: Below 134 invalidates upside move.
🔹 Options Strategy:
* Sell 120/115 Put Credit Spread for a bounce play.
🎯 My Thoughts & Suggestions
* Main Bias: Bearish, unless 138+ is reclaimed.
* Gamma Risks: Below 129, strong gamma exposure can push NVDA lower quickly.
* Options Play: Puts look stronger based on GEX positioning & technical weakness.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Please do your own research and consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NVDA earnings bullish I do dowsing with a pendulum & it's a good test to try it for earnings since there are big moves. It's kind of hit or miss, but really interesting & everyone follows NVDA still, so let's see what energy it has!
I get nervous when there's bullish energy & the stock moves as I'm doing my reading, but this is pretty bullish info I have. Watch for a move up maybe 12%, which takes it to around $145. I also got the number 47, so that's a possibility also.
I did have a little bearishness in saying to sell rallies. I'd be watching the date 3/3 for a possible retracement back down if it does, in fact, go up. It pretty bullish short term though.
I have positive energy in indexes too, so I thought it may be in part because NVDA could influence things, so we'll see.
NVDA | $100 supportNASDAQ:NVDA update on how price action is looking like compared to the last post. We mainly saw price stalling out around $120 after the gap was made, and then a anticipation for movement back to resistance.
After analyzing how buyers did over time we expect more strength in sellers as buyers lost a bit of steam and also created lower highs.
Could imagine a selloff back to $100 then a quick move back up to resistance once again.
A bit too soon to tell but will keep an eye out.
NVIDIA's Run is done!?With growing tensions between the two economical titans in U.SA & China further exasperated by the new administration in the white house & their looming tariff charges, we arrive at a major junction with what seems to be the worst possible time as Nvidia a major pillar of the recent success enjoyed by the tech industry and no doubt world economy as a by product gears up its financial data at a time where stains are being spotted on the floor leading to early signs of blood on the streets. Technical analysis shows that decline in price action could see a weak end of the month for Nvidia, the market is showing signs of fear with a large selloff in the tech sector with the S&P dropping 2.25% week ending 21/02, if financial data released by Nvidia is not pleasing to shareholders a major sell of could continue what was started in December and see price head to as low as $46. Eyes will also be on the situation of Taiwan and how hostile the relationship becomes between the USA, China & Taiwan.
NVDA at a Pivotal Level! Reversal Incoming or More Downside?Technical Analysis (TA) & Price Action
NVIDIA (NVDA) has been in a clear downtrend, forming a falling wedge on the 1-hour timeframe, which is often a precursor to a potential reversal. The stock is approaching a critical support level near $124-$126, where buyers may step in.
Key observations:
* Trend Structure: NVDA remains in a falling wedge pattern, typically a bullish reversal formation if it breaks out.
* Support & Resistance:
* Major Resistance: $134 (previous breakdown level).
* Key Support: $124 (PUT support zone).
* Breakout Target: $138 - $143 if NVDA reclaims momentum.
* MACD Indicator: Slightly bearish but showing early signs of a potential crossover, indicating momentum shift.
* Stoch RSI: Approaching overbought conditions, meaning a relief rally could be on the horizon.
Options Flow & GEX Analysis
The GEX (Gamma Exposure) indicator signals significant PUT positioning at $120-$124, making it a crucial level for a bounce. A breakdown below this zone could trigger a gamma-driven sell-off, while a breakout above $134 could lead to a short squeeze.
* IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 63.3, with IVx avg at 85.8%, indicating high volatility.
* Call Side Bias: 22.1% of options flow, showing some bullish positioning despite the decline.
* Key GEX Levels:
* PUT Wall & Key Support: $124 → Holding above could trigger a relief bounce.
* CALL Resistance & Upside Target: $138 → Breakout above this would confirm a reversal.
Trade Plan & Suggestions
📌 Bullish Reversal Setup (Preferred Play)
* Entry: Above $130 with confirmation.
* Target 1: $134
* Target 2: $138-$143 (Extended breakout target).
* Stop-loss: Below $124
📌 Bearish Breakdown Setup (Hedge Play)
* Entry: Below $124 with strong selling pressure.
* Target: $120 → $115 (Next PUT Wall).
* Stop-loss: Above $128
Final Thoughts
NVDA is at a make-or-break zone, with $124 as the key support level to watch. If it holds, we could see a sharp reversal toward $134+. However, breaking below could bring another leg down to $120-$115. Given the high volatility, traders should be prepared for sharp price movements.
📢 Risk Management: Use tight stop-losses and wait for confirmation before entering a trade.
🔹 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly before trading.
Nvidia (NVDA) Scalping & Mid-Term Analysis Market Overview
Trend: Strong Bearish 📉
Resistance: $128.83 → EMA 200 acts as a ceiling
Support: $126.00 → Short-term demand zone
Indicators:
MACD: Bearish momentum but flattening
RSI: 46.16 (Neutral), no clear reversal signal
VWAP: Below average → sellers maintain control
🩸 Risk: Upcoming earnings report tomorrow could trigger volatility
🔥 Scalping Strategy (5x Leverage)
🩸 Momentum Scalping:
Buy: Near $126.50–$127.00, targeting $128.50 (+1.2%)
Sell: Near $128.50–$129.00, targeting $126.50 (-1.5%)
Stop-loss: Below $125.90
🩸 Breakout Scalping:
Above $129.00: Long to $133.00 (+3.1%)
Below $126.00: Short to $124.00 (-1.6%)
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks)
Bullish above $130: If Nvidia beats earnings expectations, possible $135-$140 retest
Bearish below $126: If earnings disappoint, likely drop to $120
🔥 News & Market Context
🩸 Earnings Report Tomorrow → Nvidia’s Q4 results could cause a major move
🩸 AI Sector Sentiment: Bullish long-term, but short-term risk is high
🔥 Decision:
🩸 Short-term: Scalp long near $126.50, sell at $128.50+
🩸 Mid-term: Wait for earnings to define the trend
🩸 Ideal Play: Scalp bounces cautiously, big move expected post-earnings
👑 Final Verdict:
"Volatility is the playground of the prepared. Adapt or be left behind." – LucanInvestor
NVDA continues to dive deeper on Inflation etc. worries...LikelyOn lower times frames, there's a Gap at 120, so likely that's where she's headed...
NVDA, Long, 15m✅ NVDA is currently at a key support zone at 134, signaling a potential upward move. The price is expected to rise toward the key resistance at 137.10.
LONG 🚀
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$NVDA Earnings SetupNASDAQ:NVDA
Nvidia needs to absolutely dominate the market with both earnings and guidance. Last time they beat by 10% and sold off. Right now is a very difficult time in the market. Many tech companies are beating earnings, then selling off. Shay expects Nvidia to report strong earnings, however, he sees Nvidia having a pullback quarter but the timing is uncertain. As long as it holds the 200 MA, he remains in position. Nvidia has cemented its position in the AI and quantum computing thematics, with its CUDA platform and NVDL Link being essential for future workloads. Doubt remains though about lowered AI cloud workloads due to compute restraints. Demand is still way higher than supply, but questions remain surrounding easing of supply constraints and whether Nvidia has another leg left for exponential growth.
Here are our key levels to watch through earnings:
Under bullish trendline and $130.56, aim for $114.
Over bullish trendline and $130.56, aim for $140.
