TSLA - Melt up & Crash series [5 - Final]Nothing changed. All holding well
One of two routes. All I know is once tsla hits the low it's a buy for a long time.
Not financial advice
4TSLA trade ideas
TSLA LONG ~ All the technicals are there!TSLA will still hit $2600 ~ Says Cathie Wood
Will it? Let's take a look ~
ELON is pissing people off and investors are worried, Tarrif FUD, brand deterioration.
All of this doesn't matter
Why?
Pull up TSLA YoY earnings since 2013 and you will see that their revenue growth is outrageous, this past year is really the very first time TSLA flat lined, but holding at 25B revenue.
From a technical analysis since 2013 on the LOG chart, you can see TSLA has done a 10x rally twice, and has held strong support through it's bear cycles. The next it due by 2027.
TSLA has been uptrend for over a year, and broke it's ATH 6 months ago.
Voluming is rising in the longterm
and literally the conservatives love him,
If you think competitors are nipping at their heels think again. The infrastracture that Elon has built with his mega factories, and their positioning in the market is so insane other's don't even come close.
On the short term,
The FUD will wash away,
TSLA is finding support at the bottom of the channel,
shorterm volume is waning on the sell offs,
Shorts will get squeezed by end of June,
and Up and UP TSLA will continue.
BTFD!
Quick correctionI bough some puts form 05/02 strike 242.5. I think is going to respect that resistance in short term. I'll take the loss if it breaks up that resistance. Also SPY is hitting a resistance zone. We might see a pull back soon.
TESLA 22 APRIL 2025This is my analysis for Tesla irrespective of its earnings. If yoiu have any doubts feel free to leave a txt.
I am long with proper RR & risk management
TSLA Tesla Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought TSLA before the recent rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 230usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-4-25,
for a premium of approximately $10.70.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Tesla Stock: Neutral Bias Persists Following Earnings ReportTesla’s stock is currently hovering near the $250 level, after a bullish gap formed following the release of its latest earnings report. Initially, the company's results fell short of expectations: earnings per share came in at $0.27 versus the expected $0.39, and total revenue reached $19.3 billion versus $21.11 billion anticipated by the market. Despite this, the stock's initial reaction was a bullish gap, fueled by brief, fleeting optimism, but the session ultimately closed with a notable indecision candle, casting some doubt on whether a new short-term uptrend is truly beginning.
Bearish Channel Remains in Play:
Despite the recent upward jump in the latest session, buying momentum has so far failed to break through the upper boundary of the descending channel that has persisted since late December. For now, this bearish channel remains the most important formation to monitor, based on recent price behavior.
MACD:
The MACD histogram is currently oscillating close to the neutral zero line, indicating that the average strength of the recent moving average swings remains largely neutral. If this behavior continues, the market may lack a clear short-term trend.
ADX:
The ADX indicator is showing a similar setup. The line continues to hover around the 20 level, which typically signals indecision in the market. This reflects a neutral tone in the current price movement, suggesting that a lack of momentum is driving a series of directionless swings. Unless the ADX line starts to rise steadily, a neutral bias may continue to dominate the stock in the short term.
Key Levels:
$220 – Key Support: This level marks the lowest point in recent months. A break below this support could reactivate the bearish channel that has defined short-term price action.
$290 – Technical Barrier: Aligned with the 200-period simple moving average, a bullish breakout above this level could pose a serious threat to the current bearish trend channel.
$330 – Final Resistance: This level is aligned with the 100-period simple moving average. If the stock reaches this area, it could confirm a shift in market momentum and pave the way for a more sustained bullish trend on the chart.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Trendline multiple hits and reversalTSLA earning with technical analysis, poor earning. so we can see closing the gap and lower.
TESLA: $250 | Waiting for Reset and Buy back at Sub $100Royal Arabs of mid east aka pals of Elon booking gains
and informed players wait for buy back of funds
as SHORTS are piling up with momentum kicking in
in addition to Elon spreading himslef as DOGE frontman in Trump's campaign to making America Great Again ...
$TSLA will we see the breakdown?TSLA – Watching for Main Short Setup
📉 1H Chart Breakdown
Tesla is approaching a critical area. If the market starts to unwind, this could offer a main short opportunity.
Price is currently hovering above a key support zone (highlighted on chart). A confirmed break below this level could accelerate the downside.
🟣 First Target: ~$216
🔻 Main Target: $180 if momentum builds and support fails.
Indicators and EMAs suggest increasing bearish pressure. Keep an eye on volume and broader market sentiment to confirm entry.
CRUISE CONTROL - TSLAGood Morning,
Have we finally confirmed the cruise control button on TSLA? Maybe. The bulls and the bears must definitely be loving this price action!
Lets run the skinny.
Lowest low YTD: April 7th 2025 - 214.00$ STILL UNDEFEATED
Topped Out : April 9th, 2025 - 273.00$
Unconfirmed Support: April 21rst - 223.00$
I am calling this a buy.
Enjoy!
Tesla Shares (TSLA) Drop Nearly 6% Ahead of Quarterly ReportTesla Shares (TSLA) Drop Nearly 6% Ahead of Quarterly Report
On Monday, Tesla’s share price fell by almost 6%, dipping below $230 and hovering near its yearly low. Since the beginning of 2025, Tesla shares have lost approximately 44% in value, marking their worst quarter since 2022.
Why Is TSLA Falling?
There is no shortage of investor concerns, including (as reported by various media outlets):
→ Elon Musk’s involvement with the Trump administration, which is said to be distracting him from focusing on Tesla, particularly as signs emerge of slowing progress in the development of robotaxis and autonomous driving technology.
→ A decline in demand — both for the Cybertruck model specifically and the product line in general — especially amid protests and boycotts across the US and Europe. Tesla previously reported 336,681 vehicle deliveries in Q1, down 13% compared to the same period last year.
→ Increased competition from Chinese carmakers, uncertainty around international trade tariffs, and other contributing factors.
According to The Wall Street Journal, analysts at Barclays and Oppenheimer have voiced concerns about “brand dilution” and weakness in China, while Dan Ives of Wedbush is hopeful for an “inspirational vision” from Elon Musk.
Technical Analysis of TSLA Stock
We previously noted the importance of the $220 support level, which prevented the price from falling further during the first half of April (as indicated by the arrow), at a time when broader stock indices showed much more bearish trends.
That level still appears relevant for now, but it’s likely that the upcoming quarterly earnings report will trigger a sharp increase in volatility. Should investors find the results underwhelming, TSLA’s share price could fall to the lower boundary of the current descending channel (highlighted in red), potentially breaching the psychological $200-per-share mark.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
$TSLA in penalty box. Stock remains range bound. After the new administration was elected in Nov 2024, AMEX:TSLY stock had a huge bull run since then. It doubled between Nov 2024 to Dec 2024. Since the stock has sold off heavily and has lost more than 50% of its value. It recently bounced back from the lows of 214 $ which was the 0.785 Fib Retracement level if we plot the Fib levels from its highs to the lows. And then it bounced back lower 254 $ which is the 0.618 Fib Level.
AMEX:TSLY is steadily trading within these 2 Fib levels and seems that it fails to break out of this pattern. The stock seems to build a base between 250 and 214 which can be a good place to accumulate the stock. With Elon distracted by DOGE affairs it seems we are missing any catalyst for this stock. So NASDAQ:TSLA fans can keep on accumulating here and wait for a breakout. But to all my NASDAQ:TSLA fans there are already breaks out in other large caps in progress. Look at $MSFT. More regarding NASDAQ:MSFT in the upcoming blogs
Verdict: NASDAQ:TSLA accumulate between 214 – 250 $ if you need to. Else look for other mega caps.
TSLA TESLA the road to below $20Last leg of the 1st leg down bottoming this summer below $100
Than a dead cat bounce into Autumn and a final leg down during the deep 2026 Recession
dumping below $20
The Tesla daily chart is hanging on a thread...Are things about to get worse for Elon Musk's net worth?
The Tesla daily chart is hanging on a thread...
Short on Tesla IncTesla has touched the 200 moving average on three separate occasions in conjunction with the nasdaq remaining below the 200 moving average therefore I placed shorts for Tesla and the Nasdaq with stop losses slightly above the 200 day moving average. The risk to reward is potentially significant. Let's see what the outcome is!
Why I'm not holding Tesla Tesla was dropping! I got in at around 220. However, within three weeks, I sold for a small profit.
BUT, why did I sell? This is why I'm not holding NASDAQ:TSLA
It's time to buy!
From a technical and historical point of view, buying Tesla right now makes perfect sense. The stock has a history of making significant price gains, is currently oversold, and is testing key support areas, such as the monthly 50 SMA.
A trader or investor who is 100% technical-based, this stock looks like a dream.
However, all the hype hits the floor when the fundamentals are considered...
Meh...
✔ The company has been increasing sales and cash year-on-year until recently
✔ Tesla has plenty of cash and assets. A simple acid test ratio shows liabilities vs. assets around 1:2.
❌ The issue is profit. Both gross and net profit margins have been falling year-on-year. The net profit margin is down from 15% two years ago to 7% last year.
❌ Worse, the current forecasts predict decreased sales and other key financials.
Poor and worsening financials are a clear red flag when buying stocks. Stay away. No matter how appealing the price looks.
Don't get me wrong, I don't think Tesla is doomed, and it may still yield returns. However, I would not be surprised if the stock consolidates or moves lower from here. For me, Tesla is not the significant buy it once was.
$TSLA trading opportunitiesObjectives:
- Trade objective is to build a full position into TSLA before market recognises FSD revenue
- Happy to accumulate more, to lower average cost
What happened:
- Market structure for TSLA remains bullish in the mid to long term with Market Bias indicator maintaining green
- Observed weaker BX-trender indicator on daily basis, suggesting weaker purchases from market movers
- short term topped at $290s
- expecting some pull back to smart money buy zone at $260s - $270s
Next steps:
- i will take long position into TSLA at smart money buy zone
Mid Week Market Update (April 30, 2025)Just a little quick mid week update on the markets so far looking at AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ NASDAQ:TSLA TVC:USOIL NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:MSFT
Long TSLA if it opens up tomorrow. Could get bad if it drops.
TSLA Buy/Hold/Sell zones. Huge green area if it opens higher tomorrow.
Daily Price Action: TSLA Tuesday 4/29/2025In this video, we will be looking into the potential price action TSLA.
TSLA 4H chart analysisPrice: 275.59, down 3.28%.
Trend: Bearish (red TrendShift), confirmed by MACD (bullish momentum fading).
Support: 222.79 (strong, multiple tests).
Resistance: 274.68 (recent high, failed breakout).
Volume: 11.2M, declining on upticks, suggesting weak buying pressure.
Indicators: MACD bearish crossover, TrendConfirm bearish.
Outlook: Likely to test support at 222.79; break below could target 200.00. Resistance at 274.68 caps upside.
Price Action with S/R and MACD
TSLA Bull or bearish NASDAQ:TSLA 28-04.2025
TSLA is looking suspicious, but the market is still bearish until proven otherwise other words until price moves back and above the fair value gap in the S&P 500 and re establishes up trend. Price can add on to the confirmation of the newly broken resistance and then rebound for further confirmation and then add on upward. Or this will turn out to be a more likely false break out and then bounce back into then consolidation chamber.
