4XOM trade ideas
EXXON MOBIL Will it recover the devastating December?Exxon Mobil (XOM) gave us an excellent buy signal on our last idea (September 27 2024, see chart below) as it quickly hit our $120 Target:
Since the November 22 2024 (Lower) High though, it had an aggressive sell-of that stopped on the December 20 2024 Low. The price has stabilized for now but hasn't yet gained the necessary momentum to stage a rebound.
On the other hand, there are some very encouraging signals that justify going long as the Risk/ Reward Ratio has turned very favorable for buying. The price might not be exactly at the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up but the 1W RSI is on the 38.35 Support, which is the exact level where the it bottomed on January 19 2024, on the previous Higher Low.
At the same time, the 1D MACD has completed a Bullish Cross, which has always been a solid buy entry below the 0.0 level. As a result, even though the stock may deliver one last pull-back to test the bottom of the 14-month Channel Up, it is worth buying now as the upside is significantly higher. Our Target is the Resistance 2 level at $126.40.
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Exxon Long Play2/6/24: New Demand Zone reached. Feb '24 reached a new higher-high, which either gives sustained price above $102 and continues up (Plan A), or price falls further into demand testing $95 and adding positions along the way, reducing cost average. $95 would be the bulls last chance at breaking out of the $116-120 Supply Zone.
Exxon Mobil (XOM): Preparing for a Q1 2025 SetupHeading into Q1 2025, we believe NYSE:XOM could present a promising buying opportunity, and we are preparing a setup to align with our bias. Since April, we have been closely monitoring Exxon Mobil, and the technical picture continues to gain clarity as the stock respects both the range middle and range high. The wave ((b)) overshot wave A by a significant margin but still within acceptable limits for a flat correction.
Since the overshoot in early October, NYSE:XOM has seen a substantial decline—falling 17% over 75 days, a significant move for this stock. The primary driver behind this decline seems to be ongoing shareholder challenges. Over the last three years, Exxon Mobil has resisted calls for meaningful carbon emissions reductions, instead doubling down on traditional oil and gas operations. Legal action against shareholder activists pushing for emissions reduction targets has only added to the controversy, with proposed changes falling short of expectations.
The shareholder concerns highlight a critical point: some voting patterns defy logic when aligned with long-term goals. Questions remain about whether Exxon Mobil should, or can, prepare for a carbon-neutral future. The widely publicized shareholder vote in 2021, which many hoped would lead to substantial changes, seems to have produced minimal practical outcomes.
Despite these issues, we see potential for NYSE:XOM to resolve its challenges in the near future. From a technical standpoint, we observe a strong likelihood of a wave C drop into the $101–$92 range, which aligns with the 61.8%–78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels. This would be a key area to begin building a position.
XOM to 108My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when price tags the top or bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price at bottom of channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level
VBSM is negative and at bottom of Bollinger Band
Price at or near 3.618 Fibonacci level
Entry at $105
Target is $108 or channel top
Crucial Moment for XOMThere was a substantial up-trend since Oct. 2020. This trend ended at about $100. Price increased to $127 but has since fallen to $106. There was resistance at $105 in 2014 and this is a key level again. Price is currently $106 and $105 is support. This is a crucial moment the stock given there is not a well-defined up-trend now, and price is so close to support. Also, volume has been decreasing during the up-trend since 2020 which indicates the trend is losing pressure to maintain it. Going long now is o.k., but a stop should be used at $104 which is just below support. If price falls below $105, the stock can be shorted down to support at $95. See three highlighted areas. This is a 10% drop from $106. This is not investment advice.
Really nice Bounce coming for XOMThis NYSE:XOM chart is looking really solid for a potential bounce! Here’s why:
Strong Support:
The price has pulled back to a key area near the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels. These levels often act as a strong base for a reversal.
Trendline Holding:
There’s a long-term upward trendline right under the current price, adding extra support.
Oversold Indicators:
The Stochastic Oscillator is deeply oversold, meaning it could be ready to turn up.
The RSI is showing bullish divergence – the price made lower lows, but the RSI made higher lows. That’s often a great sign of a potential reversal.
Momentum Shifting:
The MACD is still negative, but it looks like it’s starting to lose steam. A crossover could be on the way.
Potential Play:
If this holds, we could see a bounce back to $113-$116 in the short term. Watch this one closely, and as always, have a stop-loss plan in case it breaks below support.
This setup looks like a great opportunity to me. What do you think?
$XOM Trade Analysis DarkPoolsKey Observations:
Descending Wedge Pattern:
The chart shows a descending wedge, marked by a narrowing price range between the green support line and red resistance line. This is a bullish reversal pattern.
Price is currently testing the upper red resistance trendline, signaling a potential breakout.
Dark Pool Levels:
Key levels include:
111.76 (BA SW).
110.82 and 109.12 acting as potential support or resistance zones based on price action.
These levels suggest significant institutional activity, making them critical for trade planning.
Support and Resistance:
Support levels:
The wedge's lower green trendline near 106.28.
Major dark pool support at 104 (BB SW 104).
Resistance levels:
108.07 (Dark Pool Level).
111.76 and 112.00 (Dark Pool and Fibonacci target).
Higher targets at 115.00, 117.50, and 120.00 (Fibonacci extensions).
Trend Analysis:
The price is currently near the 8 EMA and 21 EMA, suggesting consolidation and potential for a breakout.
A break above 108.07 (dark pool level) could trigger bullish momentum.
Trade Idea:
Entry:
Breakout Entry: Enter above 108.07 if confirmed with strong volume.
Pullback Entry: Enter near 106.28, the lower wedge support, for a better risk-to-reward ratio.
Profit Targets:
112.00: First target aligning with Fibonacci and dark pool levels.
115.00: Second target, key Fibonacci extension.
117.50: Third target based on continued bullish momentum.
120.00: Final target for a strong bullish move.
Stop Loss:
Close below 106.00: Invalidates the wedge pattern breakout.
Close below 104.00: Signals bearish continuation, as the price would break significant support.
Risk Management:
Ensure position size aligns with risk tolerance.
Risk-to-reward ratio should be at least 1:3, considering entry at 108.07, stop loss at 106.00, and initial target at 112.00.
Additional Notes:
Volume Confirmation: Look for above-average volume on breakout above the wedge's resistance line.
Dark Pool Reaction: Monitor price action near dark pool levels (especially 108.07 and 111.76) for reversals or breakouts.
Fibonacci Levels: Higher Fibonacci extensions suggest strong potential upside if the breakout is sustained.
Exxon Mobil corp setting for a bigger correctionHello,
Exxon Mobil Corp engages in the exploration, development, and distribution of oil, gas, and petroleum products. It operates through the following segments: Upstream, Downstream and Chemical. The Upstream segment produces crude oil and natural gas.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS- Checklist
Structure drawing (Trend line drawing on past price chart data)- As shown below
Patterns identification (Naming patterns on past price chart data for future wave)- The price is a corrective pattern. Expanding triangle
Future indication (Reading indicator for future wave)- 0 crossover on MACD. Breakout on the corrective wave could confirm further upside
Future wave (Drawing on future price chart using future indication from indicator)- As shown
Future reversal point (Identifying trend reversal point on price chart using structure)- Target price $126 for exit (no buy opportunity from current price)
Next earnings report date: Jan 31st 2025
Market capitalization: 528.77 Billion
ExxonMobil financial performance for the first nine months of 2024:
Total Revenue and other income at 266.159 billion nine months ended 30th September 2024
Year-to-date earnings were $26.1 billion versus $28.4 billion in the same period last year
Net Income including non-controlling interests at $27.1 Billion, a decrease of $2.2 billion from the prior year period.
Cash and cash equivalents $26.9 billion versus $31.5 Billion in the same period last year
Total liabilities at 185.5 billion versus $163.8Billion in the same period last year
ExxonMobil plans to continue its strategic focus on high-return projects and operational efficiencies, with an anticipated investment level of approximately $28 billion in 2024. The company aims to advance its low carbon business plans, including carbon capture, biofuel production, and other emission reduction initiatives.
Acquisition of Pioneer Natural Resources: Completed on May 3, 2024, this acquisition is expected to bolster upstream production capabilities, particularly in the Permian Basin.
www.tradingview.com
Challenges and Risks
Market Risks: Price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas, industry refining margins, and chemical margins.
Operational Risks: Integration of the Pioneer acquisition, volume growth and production challenges, and higher expenses from increased depreciation and maintenance activities.
Regulatory Risks: Tax-related items, government mandates, and changes in sustainable production levels due to government-imposed production limits or sanctions.
Emerging Risks: Supply chain disruptions, environmental regulations, and future policies and technological advancements related to emissions reduction and sustainability.
Management’s Strategies: Focus on strategic projects and high-value products, structural cost savings, and prioritizing investments in high-return projects while maintaining a strong balance sheet and consistent shareholder returns.
Our Recommendation
Exxon Mobil remains fundamentally strong with a robust balance sheet, but its stock appears overstretched, presenting some risk. The company’s stock has been trading in a sideways range since February 2023 to date. In October 2024, the company traded at a 52-week high of 126.34, a gain of over 30% just in the year 2024. While a Trump presidency could influence the oil industry, fluctuations in oil prices typically have a more significant impact on oil company stocks. Recently ExxonMobil CEO Darren Woods was quoted to saying “I don’t think the level of production in the U.S. is being constrained by external restrictions,”. He added: “I’m not sure how ‘drill, baby, drill’ translates into policy.”
Given the current price of $120.31, we do not see an immediate buying opportunity. Instead, we recommend exiting around the all-time high of $126.34, as a larger correction in the stock seems likely.
President-elect Donald Trump said that oil and gas industry executive Chris Wright would be his pick to lead the Department of Energy. Wright is the founder and CEO of Liberty Energy. He is a defender of fossil fuel use and is expected to support Trump's plan to maximize production of oil and gas.
Good luck & best of luck.
Exxon is oversold (the most since 2020)NYSE:XOM is inside it's sideways channel since March 2024 and trades within a price range of $108 - $123 with one failed breakout to the upper side in October.
The recent pulldown came from commodity prices (oil) and political drama about how much oil will be offered in Trump's term. Of course, it would be best if supply will not outpace demand too much since this would let oil prices drop. Trump will learn this soon enough. Because of that it's mostly noise what we have seen in this chart.
The level at $108 offered strong support twice and the sector (XLE) is also offering support itself. Also, the last time we've seen this stock so oversold was during the Covid crash in 2020.
From a fundamental perspective, Exxon Mobil's recent performance highlights its strong investment potential. The company's total shareholder yield, combining dividends and buybacks, now exceeds 7%, offering substantial returns to investors. In Q3 2024, Exxon reported $8.6 billion in net profit, with a 25% production increase, partly due to the acquisition of Pioneer Natural Resources. Despite a 5% earnings decline from lower commodity prices, Exxon's diversified operations and strategic investments in alternative energy position it well for long-term growth. The recent stock price dip presents an attractive entry point for investors seeking robust returns in the energy sector.
Target Zones
$114.00
$123.00
Support Zones
$108.00
Oil Industry, Paper Trading, 3 Step Trading SystemThe oil industry is not going anywhere you have to think about
The benefits of energy in your community as you
Are reading this right now.
You have access to the internet and that gives you an advantage
Especially when it comes to learning about trading.
Also, you have access to Trading View which is a good platform
To use the paper trading simulation software.
You have my permission not to think about the
Bad the trades that discouraged you. But instead, focus on using this
Simulation tool that Trading View offers to you for
FREE.
This simulation tool will help you
Better your trading skills whether you are a
Beginner
Or an expert looking to learn a new trading system.
This tool should give you a positive feeling
And remove the fear of learning how to trade
Using these recommendations I show you.
In future if you use this trading simulation tool
You will be better prepared to take advantage
Of the trading opportunities around, whether you
Use the Rocket Booster Strategy or you
Develop your own trading system.
This simulation tool on trading view will
Help you speed up your learning curve
When the right time comes for you to use real money
And when you practice long enough you
Will enjoy the process and you will view it
Like a video game.
So we are now looking at this chart
XOM... NYSE:XOM
Using the Rocket booster Strategy
This price is in an uptrend.
How do we know this?
Well, the rocket booster strategy has 3 steps:
1) The price has to be above the 50 EMA
2) The price has to be above the 200 EMA
3) The price has to gap up in an uptrend
Now that you understand this strategy you
Can apply this same strategy to this
Stock price of XOM
And you can see that the rocket booster
Strategy is on this chart.
Do you see the benefits of simulation trading?
Do you see that energy prices are at all time lows?
Do you see the gap up on this chart?
If you want to learn more rocket boost
This content.
Disclaimer: Do not buy or sell anything
I recommend to you. Trading is risky please
Learn risk management and profit-taking,
By using a simulation trading tool
Before you try to trade with real money.
Because you will lose your money whether you like it
Or not.
Job losses, Momentum, And The 3-Step SystemThe oil market prices have actually underperformed
Right now you should be looking into the equity markets
Instead of the crude oil prices.
You have this stock XOM NYSE:XOM as your opportunity to trade
Right now because the momentum on this
Stock is very low.
Right now yes the jobs numbers for this company
Are expected to drop in 2025
With the company planning to reduce its
Workforce but don’t focus on this negative sentiment
With this stock price, it’s a good time for you
To consider buying it, at the lowest momentum
It should be able to return you with at least 3%
In under a month depending of course
On the type of margin you decide to use
The process may feel like a burden but
You just need to be patient
As you undertake a risk management of at least
3 days to hold your position
Looking at this chart you can see the rocket
Booster strategy which has the following 3 steps
• The price has to be above the 50 EMA
• The price has to be above the 200 EMA
• The price should gap up in an uptrend
Now that you understand this strategy you
Can use it to understand the trend analysis of
Most equity stock prices
• Do you see that you don’t have to follow this negative sentiment?
• Have also noticed how the mainstream media is boosting this negative news?
• Have you seen that crude oil inventories have actually increased? As a result of the new policies or the latest economic news published by the US Government?
Rocket boost this content to learn more
Disclaimer: Trading is risky please learn risk management, and profit-taking strategies
Because you will lose money whether you like it or not.
Also, do not buy or sell anything I recommended to you. Please do your own research before you buy or sell anything.
XOM Stock + The 3 Step Rocket Booster Strategy You are thinking about trading
And wether you should day trade or swing trade.
You already have the will to learn more, otherwise you wouldn't be reading this content
Trading is hard to learn and master and so I want you to not think about how bad your past experiences
Where with learning how to trade.Focuss on learning about a good way to trade the right way.Because with
The proper risk management you can enjoy trading the right way.
Can you imagine trading with a mindset knowing you have opportunity to learn more about the different trading systems?
Learning about the Rocket 🚀 Booster Strategy will feel simple and easy and quick.
The 3 Step Rocket Booster Strategy:
👉The price has to be above the 50 EMA
👉The price has to be above the 200 EMA
👉The price has to gap up in a trend
Now that you understand the 🚀 Rocket booster strategy according to this stock NYSE:XOM
You can tell wether a stock is in an uptrend or not.
Do you see that you can either swing trade or day trade?
Do you understand that you can learn more eventhough trading is hard to master?
Do you see that with risk management you can learn to enjoy trading?
Rocket 🚀 Boost this content to learn more.
Disclaimer ⚠️ Trading is risky please learn risk management and profit taking strategies because you will lose money wether you like it or not
XOM Stock + The Rocket Booster 3 Step SystemHello there i had one of those days again
where I was doubting myself.
I kept thinking about the labour market and how people
in this market are so lucky because
its so easy to have someone give you a paycheck
unlike myself, I had to hustle and bust
my cheeks to understand capital markets
Thank goodness I have developed two
systems that I can lean back on..
In fact these systems are so good that I receive
buying signals almost every day
On average I receive a buy signal in the
Dow Jones, SP 500, and NASDAQ every 3 days
But only after the market close.
My struggle is to be patient
and wait for the moves to make money
Otherwise, I am seeing these stocks to trade
almost every 3 days,
That is the advantage of having
a trading system
you get to see these plays almost every day
This is why am able to document
almost everyday
infact some days there are too
many stocks to document about
am forced to use video to explain.
But let's not get carried away by my
trading expertise.
I want to show you the key
to all my trading systems
Its called the rocket booster strategy
and it has 3 steps as follows.
1-The price has to be above the 50 MA
2-The price has to be above the 200 MA
3-The price has to gap up.
Now you may be thinking
"does the price
really have to gap up?"
The answer is yes it has to go up
Now if you want you dont have to
follow this system
and you can go ahead and develop your
own trading system.But if you
want something simple
to understand then this is
the system
for you to digest and learn
seriously re-read these 3 steps above..
and see how they apply to NYSE:XOM
If you want to learn more
rocket boost this content
Trade safe.
Disclaimer Trading is risky you will
lose money whether you like it or not
please understand risk management and profit-taking
strategies.
ExxonMobil: PullbackXOM stock has experienced a setback over the past two weeks. However, we maintain our view that turquoise wave 3 is still in progress and has further upside potential. Once a top is established, we expect a corrective movement before another rally completes the larger green wave (1). The recent decline brings our 35% alternative scenario into focus, which places the stock in green wave alt.(2). This scenario will activate if the price falls below the support level at $95.77.
XOM Long DailyAsset Class: Stocks
Income Type: Daily
Symbol: XOM
Trade Type: Long
Trends:
Short Term: Up
Long Term: UP
Set-Up Parameters:
Entry: 120.51
Stop: 119.13
TP 124.53 (3:1)
Trade idea:
2H fresh demand zone formed by a rally-base-rally near the breakout level, with a Fair Value Gap above it and a 1:3 risk-reward ratio. The RSI is oversold.
!!Be aware of pending Economic Reports. If price is within 20 pips of proximal value at time of major impact report, then Confirmation entry.
Trade management:
**When price hits 1:1 or T1, consider moving stop to entry in case of pullback.
**Disclaimer**:
The trading strategies, ideas, and information shared are for educational and informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities, currencies, or financial instruments. You should do your own research or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any losses incurred from following these trading ideas.
XOM Stock: Using The Rocket Booster Strategy In 3 StepsThe oil prices NYMEX:CL1! are looking like
they are going to rise.
Why?
Am really not sure about why
but one thing for sure is the
price hike is coming
The oil price affects this stock
which is one of the stocks on
my watch list
Because of my change of trading
I have developed a permanent watchlist
Again you need to understand
that am not day-trading these stocks
forex or crypto
am looking at these trades like
investment opportunities.
Yes you may get discouraged but
don't give up
On building your watchlist
which is a very important step
to a successful trading career
Also notice that this
price action follows the rocket booster
strategy
The rocket booster strategy
has 3 steps:
#1-The price has to be above the 50 EMA
#2-The price has to be above the 200 EMA
#3-The price has to be in an uptrend.
This is what you are seeing here on
this chart of NYSE:XOM
Remember to learn more rocket boost
this content
Disclaimer: Trading is risky please learn
risk management and profit-taking
strategies.
Exxon's Make-or-Break Moment: $123 Resistance in FocusThe chart distinctly illustrates that the stock has been in a consolidation phase for over a year and is presently trading slightly below its resistance zone.
For a potential upward movement, the price must surpass the 123 level and maintain its position above this threshold.
At the same time, there is a significant likelihood that the stock price may encounter rejection once more, leading to a decline towards its trendline support level.
Looking for a break and retest of ATH's for XOM!🔉Sound on!🔉
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!