Long EURPLN @ 42600 - RSI Divergence #fxRSI Divergence on EURPLN. Combining Friday & Mondays price action gives us a solid bullish hammer as an entry. Stop placed below recent low and limit placed at 50% retracement of recent move for 1:4.3 R:R. One slight drawback on this setup that isn't sitting right with me is the fact that the lower bollinger band has not been tested although the RSI dipping to 25 shows its oversold status.
EURPLN trade ideas
EURPLN: Short opportunity within a 1D Rectangle.The pair has discontinued its uptrend (RSI = 61.957, MACD = 0.014, Highs/Lows = 0.0151) this week having been rejected near the 4.4000 1D Resistance. This creates ideal conditions for a reversal towards the 4.31460 1D Support, essentially aiming to trade within a Rectangle pattern. We are short on this formation with 4.33200 - 4.31460 as the Target Zone.
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EURPLN shortTrading these odd pairings can be tough but with the ECB set to destroy the value of the Euro further in about a week and the algo triggering a short signal, might be worth a small play.
Volume is starting to pick up, and momentum to the downside has plenty of room to run even if it's flattening out a bit today.
EURPLN just look at that wick. Reverse guranteed
Why to
* Nice reversal candle in 1D
* NO surprise that EUR is in almost recession.
* No surprise that East Europe and Poland is doing well
* Many technical indicators showing good opportunity.
* Very good R:R
Why not
* Politically Poland isnt the best friend with Europe union
* Same as always - Trade wars
The market is thin, let's analyze the Polish Zloty!Today is a holiday in the United States – July 4th Independence Day and considering this the market is thin and calm.
We will analyze EUR/PLN
1DTF shows us a lot of consolidation, basically since about July of last year. We can observe a local dip down for the pair that started on May 22nd and this downtrend price reached May 2018 lows on July 1st.
Switching to the 4H TF shows me the following:
On July 1st I see a bullish engulfing, at which time Williams %R left the oversold zone. The following day, Jul 2nd, MACD lines intersected, a local correction to the upside followed on the 3rd and this morning we see an inverted hammer and bullish engulfing followed by the bulls breaking the 9EMA and local trend line to the upside.
A s a result : At this time Long positions look favorable, ideally after the break of 23.6 Fibo level – which is where the price is currently travelling, with target areas of 4.24830 (38.2Fibo) followed by 4.25170 (50% Fibo) .
EUR/PLN Short - Comparison with grain indexOut of the exhaustive list of price-influencing factors, one which seems to have credible correlation is the grain index & strength of PLN vs EUR. Based on recent increases in demand for grain one would lean towards shorting EUR.
Please note, the majority of the analysis charts I produce are experimental and should be viewed with scepticism & caution.
EUR/PLN Analysis My Original analysis was a short looking from the daily and smaller time-frames but after looking at the HTF's numerous times I now believe that is it a LONG.
The General trend on the HTF is Bulls, have also seen multiple reversal wicks whilst price moves sideways stuck in a range, as multiple pushes by sellers to push price beneath the support line become exasperated
Expecting a pull back to the original support area that price pushed up from as market makers seek liquidity
Wiping out all the early buyers, as we currently see price consolidating holding positions
After the pull back i expect price to push even higher than original and hit the previous nearest high although i wont be holding that long beyond my original TP. As I'm close enough to the 2:1 ratio already
Will wait and see how it plays out