EURRUB_TOM trade ideas
EUR/RUB & USD/RUB - Short SellWith high inflation above the Russia Central Banks 4.00% inflation target.
Markets are currently pricing in two interest rate hikes from the central bank over the next 6 months.
This will make short-selling EUR/RUB and USD/RUB very attractive to yield-seeking investors.
In this video, I break down both trades in detail.
EURRUB 4H (temporary uptrend - be carefull)The current uptrend is just the wave (B) of (ABC) and afterwards the pair will go down one more time to 88,5-87,5 (the buy zone) prior to the major depreciation of the rubble, what is in line with the last up-wave on most of the markets.
So in general, the Russian rubble is not ready to devalue at this time and will start depreciation together with the major correction on all the markets which I presume to start at the end of May-June 2021 and last till October 2021
EUR/RUB Retrace Offers Long OpportunityAlready running a long on this since 89.000 but if not in the trade this retrace offers another chance to enter.
Price is now at 0.618 Fibonacci and this aligns with previous structure so if this rebounds from here it is a good long entry. Target remains 92.509 as in the previous post for this pair. SL can be just below 0.786 Fib
EUR/RUB At SupportThis is at a support level which has previously seen this reach the top of a range between 92.500 and 94.000. Before entering any longs we need to see MACD rise above 0 which would suggest this is returning to a bullish trend. Also EMA's cross for long will help confirm this further. If these indicators are confirmed then target is 92.509 with SL just below the low of support.
Looking for a possible push up on EUR/RUBLooking for a possible push to the upside for EUR/RUB after price broke structure to create an higher high, came back for a retest and currently finding support at the most recent swing high on H4 time frame. Additional confluence include, 70.5 fib level, Major QP and pin bar candle stick formation. I'll go down to a lower time frame to look for a break of structure to the upside which will signal H4 trend continuation before entry.
EURRUB H4The Russian ruble in the context of a global pandemic made a strong fall in relation to the first world currencies, the dollar and the euro. The low oil price and the unstable situation with the Russian economy made it impossible to stay at a stronger level. The central bank was forced to let the ruble float freely. And this led to its collapse. Stimulus programs in Europe and the US are likely to continue to strengthen the first world currencies. And this trend is likely to sink the ruble even more. Because the recent rise in oil prices is the only plus for the Russian economy, which already works mainly due to the commodity market.
The worries about Joe Biden’s presidencyThe pair will continue to move higher in the following days towards the 100.000 price area. Despite the stagnant growth in the European Union, investors of the EUR/RUB pair will go long amid the worries that Joe Biden’s presidency will be disastrous for the Russian economy. During the 2016 US Presidential Elections, Russia was accused of meddling which eventually led to the election of Donald Trump. Over the next four (4) years since the 2016 election, the US pulled out from major accords including the Paris Agreement and the TPP (Trans-Pacific Partnership). However, president-elect Biden promised to rejoin the Paris Accord on his first day in the office. This gesture is expected to reconnect the US with its allies in Europe. As for the current situation in Russia’s economy, the outlook was still bleak. Industrial Production report for the month of October declined by -6.1%, steeper than the -5.0% slump recorded in the prior month.
EUR/RUB: there will be growth soon.../section fast transactions/Hi, everybody! I expect continuation of height of pair of EUR/RUB in the nearest future. The good place for purchase is crossing of the line of a trend and zone of interest of buyers.
So: purchase on 90.55
TP 95.27
SL 89.98
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the market.