EURSEK trade ideas
Adding more SEK to our portfolio=> After Sunday's election resulting in political deadlock we are set for another circus of government building.
=> Here we are expecting politics to open up an extended period of narrative for SEK where the path to normalisation (hikes expected to begin in December) will take centre stage.
=> With the focus shifting towards Riksbank and the economic expectations we are targeting a test of the 10.25xx
=> As most of you already know we are now overweight SEK in our portfolio with USDSEK and NOKSEK positions already running in profit since last week.
=> Good luck all here
EURSEK...upside seems very limited,reasons for correction hereLooking at the Long trend EURSEK had a terribly good run, BUT...we have seen a Little bit higher highs, which have not been confirmed by indicators. Election on Weekend seem to be priced in..and then? technically i would favour right now a stronger SEK, cos EUR had good times,too long ( Bollinger bands open up, RSI divergence, )...So let´s see
EURSEK - market is getting hysterical about the Swedish electionSEK is in free fall, divergence from 200d EMA is 11% !
EURSEK reached 9-year highs
Sept 9. election may result in a deadlock -> anti-establishment party might advance
Action:
I will wait to see even more blood and eventually look for entry setup to short EURSEK .
EUR/SEK - Possible Move - RiskyWe can see EUR/SEK drop till 10.55 as it's Friday and some long positions are being closed. Furthermore, as the currency makes lower lows, it will drive the fear of the bulls and they will close their positions to secure their profits, making EUR/SEK fall.
If you do trade this pair, do not risk more than 1% as it's very high risk.
Also, take into consideration the ~20 pip spread.
EURSEK... election waiting game.. pricing in risk.Levels not seen since mid 2009 in the EURSEK show the market pricing in the risk of the upcoming elections.
The risk is associated with differing polls and an increasing popularity of the natinalist party Sweden Democrats.
Prefer to stay out, at least trading SPOT EURSEK, until maybe after elections. Too much unnecessary risk.
EUR/SEK 1H Chart: Euro supported by SMAsEUR/SEK has been appreciating since mid-June when the rate reversed from the senior channel. This long-term pattern was formed at the very beginning of 2017. By this Friday, the rate had returned back to the 23.60% Fibonacci retracement line at 10.47 which has worked as strong resistance this month. The upper boundary of the junior channel is likewise located there.
The pair’s current movement leads to suggest that a breakout of this resistance cluster is likely to occur, thus allowing the Euro to target another important resistance level at 10.48. This upward move should be supported by the 55-, 100– and 200-period SMAs both on the 1H and 4H time-frames.
A possible target for the following week is the monthly R1 at 10.60. Moreover, the upward tendency of the price demonstrates that the Euro might actually continue trading in line with the senior channel and thus re-test the 2018 high of 10.70.
EURSEK - Daily - Broke the downside resistanceTrade Alert
EURSEK has broken the medium-term downside resistance line, taken from the peak of the 3rd of May, which opened the path towards the key area of resistance at 10.48, marked near the peaks of the 13th of April, 9th of May and the 2nd of July. As we can see, that level acted as very good resistance, so judging by the pair's direction, it could be heading that way.
If that resistance level gets broken, this could finally open the path towards higher levels (please see chart for details).
For us to start considering slightly lower levels, we would need to see EURSEK dropping back down below, not only the downside resistance line but also the medium-term upside support line, taken from the low of the 31st of January. A break blow the last could open the way to the long-term upside line, drawn from the low of the 9th of October last year. This upside support line could also act as an important bouncing ground for the pair. But if it break, it could change the trend, where we could start targeting much lower levels.
Don't forget your SL.
EURSEK - 240 - Only if it breaks that level.Trade Alert
EURSEK is at an interesting area, where we will await for it to break out of, before we take a position.
Judging by the recent move higher, there is a chance that we could see this pair continuing to move north towards the end-of-June levels. The potential target could be around 10.4745 area, marked by the strong resistance seen on the 2nd of July.
Alternatively, a break below the lower highlighted area could force the buyers to abandon the pair.
Don't forget to have your SL in place.
EURSEK: Standard Deviation and Classic Support and ResistanceLooking beyond the chart:
EURSEK is poised to rally and it seems to be lining up with classic support and resistance; hence, I go long until we reach equilibrium.
Nothing is perfect and it may not work out.
Looking at the chart:
Technical:
1) MACD is above the water line.
2) Stochastics are oversold.
3) RSI is at extremes.
4) Classic support and resistance