EURUSD trades turn their eyes towards upcoming Fed Interest rateEUR/USD has been trading sideways after peaking above 1.1600 last week, as traders adopt a wait and see approach ahead of the Fed's interest rate decision due tomorrow morning (AEST). The pair is consolidating within a tight range, with the top end of the recent rally now being questioned amid growing uncertainty.
While the Fed is widely expected to leave its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%, market participants will be closely watching for any revisions to the dot plot, as well as updates to the central bank's growth and inflation forecasts. The current projections suggest two rate cuts in 2025, but any deviation from that could trigger significant dollar volatility.
On the technical side, multi-year support near 1.1215 remains a critical level to watch on the downside. A break below could signal deeper bearish momentum.
Adding complexity to the EUR side of the equation are two key factors:
The ECB’s rate path, with the central bank seen approaching the end of its monetary easing cycle. Elevated geopolitical tensions, especially as Israel prepares further action against Tehran and the US weighs deeper involvement.
Any escalation in Middle East tensions could boost demand for safe-haven assets like the US dollar, potentially pressuring the euro further.
In the near term, EUR/USD remains in a holding pattern, with the Fed's tone and geopolitical developments likely to determine the next directional move.
"The forecasts provided herein are intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as guarantees of future performance. This is an example only to enhance a consumer's understanding of the strategy being described above and is not to be taken as Blueberry Markets providing personal advice."
EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD Long Setup – Bullish Rejection from Demand ZoneEURUSD remains supported by strong eurozone fundamentals and broad USD softness. The pair has retraced into a key demand zone around 1.1490 and is showing signs of bullish rejection. With the Fed likely to pause further rate hikes and the ECB maintaining a steady tone, the bias favors further upside toward recent highs.
⚠️ Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East (Israel-Iran conflict) have introduced mild safe haven demand, but so far the USD has underperformed versus the euro, suggesting EUR remains relatively insulated.
Watch for confirmation and entries within the blue demand box.
🔍 Technical Analysis:
Structure: Clear uptrend with higher highs and higher lows. Price retraced to a well-defined 1H demand zone between 1.1490–1.1500.
Setup: Anticipating a bounce from the demand zone targeting the recent high near 1.1620–1.1630.
Entry Zone: 1.1490–1.1500 (bullish reaction area)
Target: 1.1620–1.1630 (previous supply zone)
Stop Loss: Below 1.1439 (recent swing low)
Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:2.5
🧠 Fundamental Context (as of June 16):
EUR Bias: Bullish – ECB has paused cuts; euro is resilient despite geopolitical headwinds.
USD Bias: Bearish – Fed is on pause; soft inflation data and geopolitical risks weigh on dollar strength.
Key Drivers:
Fed dovish tone (FOMC pause, lower CPI)
Strong EU resilience despite global tensions
CHF and JPY attracting safe haven flows over USD
📅 Key Events to Watch:
US Core PCE (next major inflation readout)
FOMC commentary and Fed speakers
Eurozone CPI and sentiment data
EURUSD - FVG Rejection and Bearish Continuation PlayEURUSD has been showing consistent bearish pressure on the 4H chart, with a clear shift in momentum after forming a double top near 1.162. That marked the beginning of a structural change, which was confirmed once price broke the most recent higher low. Since then, the market has transitioned into a bearish structure, with lower highs forming consecutively. This suggests that the bullish trend is over for now, and the market is more likely to seek liquidity below.
Rejection at Fair Value Gap
After the low was broken, price retraced back into a 4H fair value gap, which has now acted as resistance. This is typical smart money behavior, sweep liquidity, shift structure, then retest an imbalance before continuing lower. The wick rejection inside the purple FVG zone is a strong signal that this area is being respected and that sellers are defending it. The rejection aligns with the overall bearish market flow and suggests that the market has likely completed its retest.
Short-Term Support and Liquidity Target
The light blue FVG around 1.144 could offer temporary support, but the bias remains bearish. That level sits right at the midpoint of the recent bullish leg that was already violated, and while price may pause here, the more logical draw on liquidity sits deeper. Unless there’s a sudden shift in market structure or high-impact fundamental news, this area is expected to eventually give way.
Liquidity Below and Final Target
The cleanest and most obvious liquidity pool rests around the 1.137 zone. This is where price previously consolidated before initiating the impulsive move higher, and it remains unmitigated. If the current bearish structure holds, the market will likely target this area next. The path there might not be linear, we could see a short-term bounce off 1.144, but as long as price remains below the 1.153 FVG rejection, the bearish continuation remains valid.
Trade Expectation and Risk Context
This setup aligns well with typical displacement-retest-continuation behavior. The risk is clearly defined above the FVG rejection, and as long as lower highs continue forming beneath that zone, the bearish thesis remains intact. Key downside targets are 1.144 for partials, and 1.137 as the final draw on liquidity. This setup offers both precision and strong narrative confluence, ideal for swing or intraday positioning.
Conclusion
Price has shifted bearish on the 4H, confirmed by a break of structure and rejection from a clear FVG. As long as we remain below that imbalance, the market should continue hunting liquidity to the downside. 1.144 may act as short-term support, but the real magnet sits at 1.137. Patience and risk control will be key in riding this move effectively.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURUSD heads towards resistance, short-term reversal expectedEURUSD has been in a strong uptrend, and we’re currently observing price action is reaching a notable resistance zone. I am watching for a reversal here as marked on my chart, not expecting a major move, but rather a short-term rejection with a downside target at around 1.13670 , which also aligns with the POC.
This is where it can become a decision point, either price finds support and bounces, or it breaks below, and that’s when we might see the move start to extend lower.
If we get a decisive breakdown through that ascending trendline, my next area of interest is marked as TP2. From there we can expect either potential accumulation or another reaction, depending on broader market sentiment at the time.
That said, we're navigating a complex backdrop currently:
The EU macro environment is under pressure, as weak economic data from Europe is contributing to cautious sentiment around the euro.
Meanwhile, a sustained USD bid continues, supported by stronger U.S. growth expectations, favorable yields, and persistent global demand. This further weighs on EURUSD.
Adding to the uncertainty, escalating tensions between Israel and Iran have rattled markets this week. This geopolitical risk could be pushing oil prices higher:
It’s important to note that if price convincingly rejects here and loses structure, especially with high volume and obvious bullish structure, this setup would become invalid. In that case, I would reassess and adapt
EUR/USD 4H CHART PATTERN.EUR/USD 4H chart, the chart analysis shows a bearish outlook after a potential rising channel breakdown. Here are the key bearish targets as shown:
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📉 Bearish Targets:
1. First Target Zone (FVG Area)
Price Range: Around 1.1400 – 1.1350
This is marked as the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and could act as the first reaction/support zone.
2. Second Target Zone
Price Range: Around 1.1250 – 1.1200
Clearly labeled as “TARGET” in the middle of the chart.
3. Final Target Zone (Major Support)
Price Range: Around 1.1100 – 1.1050
Also labeled “TARGET” at the bottom. This aligns with a past support level and previous consolidation area.
---
🧭 Summary:
A breakdown from the rising channel is expected.
Price may drop first into the FVG zone (1.1350 area).
Then continue down to 1.1200.
Final support target sits near 1.1050.
Would you like me to help identify bullish invalidation or risk levels as well?
#EURUSD:Expecting A Strong Bull Move, Two Entries | Two TargetsIn our previous analysis, we clearly stated that the price would remain bullish as the DXY had to plummet, and it did exactly that, rising by 450 pips from our last entry. Currently, we have two areas from which we can see the price reversing. The first one is nearby and has a higher risk compared to our second entry, which may be safer for some traders. We need a strong confirmation before making any significant decisions.
Good luck and trade safely. We wish you the best in your trading journey.
Team Setupsfx_
EUR/USD - Eyes on the major resistance at 1.1540!Introduction
The EUR/USD currency pair has been trending downward on the 1-hour timeframe, indicating that bearish momentum is firmly in control. In this analysis, I will outline what to expect from the pair moving forward, and highlight the high-confluence zone that could offer a potential short setup. This area combines technical factors that suggest it may act as strong resistance if price retraces upward before continuing the downtrend.
Market Structure
On the 1-hour chart, the EUR/USD continues to form a series of lower highs and lower lows, which clearly confirms a bearish market structure. This consistent pattern reinforces that sellers have the upper hand, and that any short-term rallies are likely to be corrective in nature, not trend-changing. As long as this structure remains intact, the broader expectation remains bearish, with sellers likely to defend key resistance levels.
Fair Value Gaps on the 15-Minute and 1-Hour Timeframes
During the latest downward movement, the pair left behind two notable Fair Value Gaps, one on the 1-hour chart and another on the 15-minute chart. These imbalances are closely aligned, creating a strong confluence zone where price may face resistance if it moves back upward. The zone between 1.15400 and 1.15600 represents this overlapping FVG area. Because these gaps were formed by aggressive selling pressure, revisiting this level could trigger a bearish reaction, as traders look to re-enter short positions from a premium price.
Golden Pocket Fibonacci Retracement
Adding to this confluence, the Golden Pocket, the area between the 61.8% and 65% Fibonacci retracement levels, lies between 1.15407 and 1.15441. This zone is widely respected among traders due to its tendency to act as a reversal point in trending markets. The fact that it aligns so closely with both the 15-minute and 1-hour FVGs increases the likelihood of price reacting here. If the market retraces into this pocket, we could see renewed selling pressure, making it a valuable level to watch for short entries.
Point of Interest and Liquidity Zone
Within the latest leg down, there was a brief two-hour consolidation before the pair continued lower, leaving behind a distinct wick to the upside. This area is significant because it likely represents a point of interest where buy-side liquidity was grabbed. Many traders who entered shorts early may have placed their stop-losses above this consolidation high, creating a liquidity pool. This level, sitting inside the broader resistance zone formed by the FVGs and the Golden Pocket, adds another layer of technical significance. Price may move into this liquidity before reversing lower, offering a potential trap for buyers and an opportunity for sellers.
Downside Targets
If the price reacts to the resistance zone and resumes its downward movement, there are two logical targets to the downside. The first is 1.1485, which corresponds to the most recent swing low. The second target is 1.1475, which represents a deeper low and a stronger potential support level. These levels align with previous structure and could serve as key take-profit zones for traders holding short positions.
Conclusion
The EUR/USD remains in a well-defined downtrend, and several technical elements now converge between 1.15400 and 1.15600 to form a strong resistance zone. This area includes the 15-minute Fair Value Gap, the 1-hour Fair Value Gap, the Golden Pocket Fibonacci retracement, and a significant point of interest tied to liquidity. While the pair may not need to reach this zone before continuing lower, if it does, it is likely to act as a barrier to further upside. For traders looking to follow the dominant trend, this high-confluence area offers a potential entry point to the downside, with clear structure-based targets below.
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HelenP. I Euro will break resistance level and continue to fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. On this chart, we can see how price initially moved inside a triangle formation, forming higher lows from the trend line and testing the resistance zone multiple times. Eventually, price broke out to the downside, falling sharply and breaking through the lower boundary of the triangle and also the trend line, signaling a shift in market sentiment. After touching the support zone and forming a temporary bottom, the pair started climbing back up, but this movement was more of a correction than a trend reversal. Price respected the trend line from below and followed it upward, but failed to break significantly higher. It managed to push above both support 2 and support 1 levels, which now act as resistance. Currently, EURUSD is trading inside the resistance zone, where previous reactions have led to strong bearish impulses. Given this behavior and the recent false breakout, I expect the price to rebound from this area and break back below support. My goal is set at 1.1350, anticipating further downside movement as the bearish structure remains valid. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
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EUR/USD.1h chart pattern.Based on My target EUR/USD 1H, the price has broken down from the ascending channel and formed a Double Top, confirming a bearish structure. Here's the analysis based on the marked zones:
Bearish Targets:
1. First Support / Target 1: Around 1.13500
This aligns with a previous structure level and is the first potential bounce zone.
2. Second Support / Target 2: Around 1.12000
This is a deeper support zone where price may head if the bearish momentum continues.
The structure also shows a clear CHoCH (Change of Character) which supports the downside bias.
Let me know if you want entry and stop-loss suggestions for this setup.
EURUSD H2 Best Levels to BUY/SELL and Market Update🏆 EURUSD Market Update m20 short-term trade
📊 Technical Outlook
🔸Short-term: BEARS 1275
🔸1500/1540 short sell rips/rallies
🔸Mid-Term outlook: BULLS 1750
🔸bulls buy low 1250/1275 reload
🔸bulls exit at 1750 swing trade
🔸Price Target Bears: 1250/1275
🔸Price Target Bulls: 1750
🌍 Macro & Political Drivers
U.S. tax & spending concerns: The Congressional Budget Office now projects President Trump's tax‑and‑spending bill will raise deficits by about $2.8 trillion over the next decade. This massive debt addition is pressuring the U.S. dollar, as rising Treasury issuance and weaker fiscal confidence weigh on demand.
Geopolitical tensions: Escalation in the Israel–Iran conflict is pushing investors toward the safe-haven U.S. dollar. The DXY jumped to around 98.80 as President Trump’s remarks on Iran sent the EUR/USD down to approximately 1.1484.
EU developments: ECB officials, including Christine Lagarde, are doubling down on strengthening Europe’s financial infrastructure to elevate the euro as a viable alternative to the dollar — calling this a “global euro moment.”
Key resistance is around 1.1550–1.1575; downside support zones near 1.1450 and broader range 1.1360–1.1420 remain intact, though current levels suggest consolidation above the lower range. Strength from safe-haven flows could stall upward momentum.
📊 ECB Policy & Inflation Signals
The ECB cut rates by 25 bp last week to 2.0%, reinforcing the message that inflation remains subdued (1.9% in May) and prompting a data-driven, meeting-by-meeting decision approach.
ECB speakers stress “agile pragmatism” given global uncertainties, citing the euro’s ~10% rally year-to-date but cautioning amid rising oil prices and geopolitical risks.
⚡ What to Watch Next
Catalyst Outlook
U.S. yields & bond auctions More issuance tied to tax plans could steepen the curve and support the USD.
Middle East headlines Escalation may continue to offer dollar safe-haven benefits, pressuring EUR/USD.
EU economic data Inflation softness (e.g., France) could weaken ECB’s stance, re-pressuring the euro.
Technical levels Watch 1.1450 support—holds for possible rebound; resistance 1.1550–1.1575 for upside pressure.
✅ Summary
Current: EUR/USD around 1.1484, with bearish tilt amid risk aversion.
Bull case: Ongoing U.S. fiscal weakness, delayed tariffs, and ECB support for euro could cap downside.
Bear case: Safe-haven demand from geopolitical tensions, Fed‑ECB divergence, and technical breakdown through 1.1450 could push toward 1.1360.
EUR/USDScenario 1: Bullish Reversal (If current FVG support holds)
Bias: Short-term bullish, looking for a continuation of the bounce.
Rationale: The price responded positively to an earlier low and is completing an FVG at this juncture. If this FVG is supported and the price breaks out above the latest bullish order block, then a reversal may be signaled.
Entry: Wait for a clear break and test back to the current high range or a demonstrated bullish candle pattern in the FVG area being filled. An entry might be at about 1.1520-1.1530 should confirmation be observed.
Target: The following big resistance level, which could be the liquidity pool ($S) at 1.1540, and thereafter, at 1.1580-1.1600, the
Stop-Loss: Below recent low or an important support level, i.e., below 1.1500 or current Bullish OB.
Scenario 2: Continuing Bearish Pressure (In case current FVG gets filled and it fails to hold)
Bias: Short-term bearish, expecting to see a continuation of the downtrend after the FVG is filled.
Rationale: If it extends this ongoing FVG and then shows signs towards rejection (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns, failure to break through resistances), it could be signaling continuation in the prior downtrend.
Entry: Look for bearish confirmation after the FVG fills, which would be a break down through the newest low or low side of the current range. Potential entry would be at 1.1500-1.1510 on a confirmed break down.
Target: The "Bullish OB" around 1.1440-1.1450, and potentially the lower FVG around 1.1400.
Stop-Loss: At or higher than the newest swing top or key level of resistance, e.g. 1.1530-1.1540
Relevant Factors:
Risk Management: You should always use appropriate position sizing and use a stop-loss to manage your risk.
Confirmation: Hold out for firm price action confirmation before entering any trade.
News Events: Be aware of any scheduled economic news releases or events that could impact EUR/USD, potentially creating huge volatility.
Bigger Timeframes: Always consider the bigger picture context (i.e., day, week) in order to obtain a general trend.
AI Algo Systems vs. Manual Trading: Which Delivers Real Results?AI Algo Systems vs. Manual Trading: Which Delivers Real Results? ⚖️
________________________________________
Introduction
With the explosive rise of artificial intelligence (AI) in financial markets, traders everywhere are asking the million-dollar question:
Should I trust my trades to automation, or keep my hands on the wheel? 🧠🤖
This guide offers a real-world, side-by-side comparison between AI-powered algorithmic trading systems and traditional manual trading. We’ll highlight where each method dominates, when they fail, and how you can combine both to build a system that outperforms the rest. 💡
What Are AI Algo Systems? 🤖
AI trading systems use advanced machine learning models to:
• Analyze huge volumes of historical and real-time data 📈
• Detect patterns and trading opportunities faster than any human
• Automatically execute trades using coded logic, without emotion
🔬 Real-World Examples:
• Neural networks (LSTM, CNN): Predicting EUR/USD direction based on years of tick data
• Reinforcement learning agents: Managing position sizing dynamically in crypto scalping
• Predictive classifiers: Spotting likely trend reversals on S&P 500 based on 20+ indicators
Key Benefits:
• 🔄 Emotionless execution: No fear, no greed, just rules
• ⏱️ Lightning-fast trades: React to price action instantly
• 📊 Pattern recognition: Finds subtle correlations people miss
________________________________________
What Is Manual Trading? 👤
Manual trading is powered by human intelligence and judgment. Traders use:
• Price action and SMC/ICT techniques (e.g., order blocks, BOS)
• Fundamental analysis: News, sentiment, macro reports
• Intuition and experience: Reading between the lines the way only humans can
🧑💼 Real-World Examples:
• A trader spots an untested order block on GBP/JPY and waits for liquidity sweep before entering
• Reading a dovish tone in FOMC minutes and fading the initial spike on DXY
• Using “market structure shifts” after a big news event to catch a reversal
Key Benefits:
• 🔍 Contextual awareness: Understand the full market story
• 🎯 Real-time adaptability: Adjust plans on the fly
• 🧠 Creative edge: Find setups no algorithm can code for
________________________________________
Side-by-Side Comparison Table 📋
Feature AI Algo Trading 🤖 Manual Trading 👤
Execution Speed Instant Slower, can lag
Emotions Involved None Prone to fear/greed
Adaptability Limited (needs retrain) High
Learning Curve High (coding/tech) Medium (market logic)
Strategy Flexibility Pre-coded only Unlimited creativity
Backtesting Automated Manual/semi-auto
Session Monitoring 24/5 via server Human-limited hours
________________________________________
When AI Algo Systems Work Best 💾
AI is unbeatable when you need:
• Scalability: Watching 10, 20, or even 100+ pairs 24/5
• High-frequency execution: Entering/exiting trades within milliseconds
• Repetitive strategies: Like mean reversion, breakout scalps, or arbitrage
📈 Example:
• Strategy: EUR/USD London open breakout
• Process: AI model detects volume and volatility spike, enters trade with 0.3% risk, targets FVG
• Results: 60% win rate, 1.8R average reward over 3 months
________________________________________
When Manual Trading Wins 🧠
Manual skills shine when you need:
• Discretionary entries: Especially with complex SMC/ICT structures
• Adapting to breaking news: Sudden CPI, FOMC shocks, geopolitical headlines
• Making sense of market narrative: When volatility is off the charts and AI gets confused
🗞️ Example:
• News: Surprise ECB rate hike
• Setup: Price sweeps liquidity and forms new order block
• Action: Trader enters based on confluence of structure, sentiment, and news
• Why AI fails: Model trained on normal volatility might get stopped out or miss entry entirely
________________________________________
Hybrid Strategy: The Best of Both Worlds 🌐
Elite traders combine the power of AI with human oversight.
Hybrid Workflow:
1. AI scans markets: Flags setups (order blocks, FVGs, volume spikes)
2. You review: Confirm bias with news, sentiment, or higher time frame
3. Entry:
o Manual (you pull the trigger)
o Semi-automated (AI suggests, you approve)
🔁 You save time, avoid missing setups, but keep critical discretion and control.
________________________________________
Risk Management: Algo vs. Manual 📊
AI:
• Stops, lot size, SL/TP are auto-calculated
• Consistent, never emotional
• Example: EA manages all USD pairs with 0.5% fixed risk per trade
Manual:
• Trader might override risk plan
• Discipline needed—easy to “revenge trade” after a loss
• Example: You up your risk size after a losing streak, breaking your rules
Best Practice:
📌 Let AI calculate risk size. Manually approve or override the entry. Double safety net.
________________________________________
Trader Case Study 👤
Name: Ray – $100K funded prop trader
Style: Hybrid (AI scanner + manual ICT confirmations)
Process:
• Sets HTF bias each morning
• AI scans for OB/BOS setups during NY session
• Manual review before entry
Performance:
• Win rate: 63%
• Avg R: 2.5
• Monthly gain: 9.7%
Ray’s Words:
“AI catches what I can’t see. I catch what it can’t understand.”
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Mistakes to Avoid ❌
• 🚫 Blindly trusting black-box AI: Always verify signals
• 🚫 Micromanaging every tick: Let automation work, don’t over-interfere
• 🚫 Running AI during high-impact news: Most bots aren’t built for chaos
• 🚫 Ignoring psychology: Even if AI executes, your mindset impacts risk and management
________________________________________
Conclusion ✅
There’s no one-size-fits-all answer. The best traders in 2025 master both worlds. Here’s the winning formula:
• Harness AI’s speed and pattern recognition
• Lean on manual judgment for narrative and nuance
• Blend them with intention and structure for a trading system that’s fast, flexible, and resilient.
💥 Don’t pick sides. Master both.
That’s how the top 1% trade today—and win. 🚀⚙️📊
EURUSD I Monthly CLS I KL -MOB I Model 1Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS Footprint, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behavior of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
EURO - Price can continue to decline inside wedge patternHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago, price tried to grow, but failed and dropped below $1.1220 support level, after which started to grow in channel.
In rising channel, price broke $1.1220 level one more time and then rose to resistance line and then corrected.
Next, Euro rose to $1.1455 level and some time traded inside this level, until it broke it and continued to move up.
Price exited from rising channel and later started to decline inside wedge pattern, where it declined to $1.1455 level.
Recently, price bounced from this level and in a short time rose to resistance line of wedge pattern.
In my mind, Euro can continue to decline to $1.1400 support line of wedge, breaking support level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
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Euro can turn around and start to fall to support areaHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing this chart, we can see how the price earlier dropped toward the 1.1360 support level and successfully broke it. Then we saw a short recovery move, but the price once again returned to the downside and retested the support line from below. After that, the market created a strong upward impulse, broke back above the 1.1360 level, and entered a phase of consolidation inside a range. This range held for some time, with price respecting both its upper and lower boundaries. Eventually, we saw a breakout from this consolidation, followed by another strong bullish impulse and a steady climb above the 1.1530 zone, where price is currently trading. However, the price has now approached a critical structure and is showing signs of weakening momentum. In my mind, the Euro may attempt one more small move up but then turn around and start declining toward the 1.1530 support level, breaking the ascending support line as well. That's why my TP is this support level, which coincides with the support area. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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Forex and Gold Market Highlights June 21 2025Forex & Gold Market Highlights – June 21, 2025
🕒 Key Events This Week:
• 🏦 Fed officials signaling possible rate cuts vs. cautious economic tone
• 🌍 Escalating Israel–Iran tensions boosting safe-haven flows
• 🏭 Mixed U.S. macro data (retail sales, Philly Fed, housing) shaping Fed expectations
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💶 EUR/USD Nears 1.1520 on Safe-Haven Flows
EUR/USD edged up to about 1.1520 amid weakness in the U.S. dollar, driven by global risk-off sentiment. Mixed signals from the Fed kept traders cautious.
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💷 GBP/USD Hovering Around 1.3500 on USD Strength
GBP/USD remains near 1.3500, slipping slightly off highs after weaker UK retail data. The pair faces resistance in the 1.3550–1.3600 zone.
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💴 USD/JPY Eyeballing 146 Resistance
USD/JPY climbed toward 146.00, driven by risk-averse USD demand and dovish BOJ stance. The pair is testing key retracement resistance near 146.76.
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🥇 Gold Pulls Back but Holds Ground
Spot gold slid to around $3,334 3,381 this week, under pressure from a stronger dollar and diminished Fed rate-cut hopes. Still, geopolitical jitters kept it from falling hard.
• Weekly drop of ~2.5%, trading in a $3,330–$3,400 range.
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📈 DXY Index Rallies on Risk Aversion
The U.S. Dollar Index rose ~0.45%, marking its strongest weekly gain in over a month due to heightened safe-haven flows amid Middle East tensions.
________________________________________
📌 Market Outlook:
• EUR/USD: Mixed bias. May test 1.1550–1.1600 if risk-off continues; downside risk near 1.1400 if U.S. data surprises.
• GBP/USD: Expected to stay in the 1.3450–1.3550 range; UK economic data and USD momentum will be key.
• USD/JPY: Bullish tilt remains toward 146.76, but any BOJ hints of policy tightening could shake it.
• Gold: Pressure from a firm dollar is likely to persist. Watch for geopolitical developments and upcoming Fed signals for reversal clues.
EURUSD: Bullish Move After BreakoutThe price action on EURUSD shows that it broke through a horizontal resistance level on the 4-hour chart.
Following the breakout, a local correction occurred, forming a bullish flag pattern.
As the NY session opened, the market rose and surpassed its resistance line, indicating a strong likelihood of continued upward movement.
The target is set at 1.1616.
EURO - Price can correct to support area and then continue riseHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago, price declined below support level and then started to grow inside a triangle pattern.
In this pattern, Euro broke $1.1085 level and even rose higher than $1.1425 level, but soon made a correction.
Later price exited from triangle and fell to support level, after which it started to grow inside rising channel.
Inside channel, price rose near support line and later reached $1.1425 level one more time, and some time traded close.
Soon, Euro broke this level and rose to resistance line of channel and then started to move down.
In my opinion, EUR can fall to support area and then continue to grow in channel to $1.1720 resistance line.
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EURUSD ,4H CHART PATTERN EUR/USD is currently retesting the previous breakout zone around 1.14679 after a strong bullish impulse. Price has respected the demand zone (highlighted grey), indicating potential for continuation to the upside. If bullish momentum sustains, next target lies at 1.18044."
Suggested Short Title:
"EURUSD Bullish Continuation Setup"
Tags to use:
#EURUSD #Forex #SmartMoney #PriceAction #TradingSetup #BullishBreakout #ForexAnalysis