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EURUSD trade ideas

EURUSD: at key resistance: Will price rebound to 11300?Quick recap on EURUSD, seriously déjà vu of my previous analysis on EURUSD - once again we see the price coming towards the same resistance level. This is a level where it has struggled to break through and reversed nicely to the downside as expected. For me it's definitely one to monitor, especially for anyone considering short trades. If we start seeing signs that the price is getting rejected here: like long wicks, bearish candles, or buyers starting to lose momentum, I think we could see a move down toward the 1.11300 level. I am targeting a slight bounce like before, nothing major. But if price cleanly breaks out, that would rule out the bearish outlook and suggest even further upside will follow. This area is pretty important and could give us a better idea of where price is headed next. Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
Short
by TrendDiva
50
EURUSD – CME Gap and 0.786 Fib Align at Key Demand ZoneEURUSD has been trading with a strong bullish tone recently, breaking through previous resistance levels with conviction. However, after the latest impulse move to the upside, the market is now showing signs of exhaustion. Price has begun to pull back in a controlled manner, creating a potential opportunity for a deeper retracement into a more favorable area of interest. This kind of pullback is typical after an aggressive rally, and right now, there’s clear evidence that price may need to revisit lower levels before any further continuation higher. Technical Confluence at Its Best: Below the current range, there is a high-probability demand zone that combines three powerful elements: a well-respected historical support area, a CME gap that was left unfilled during the previous rally, and a 0.786 Fibonacci retracement from the latest bullish leg. These levels don’t just sit close to each other, they stack right on top of one another, forming a dense pocket of liquidity and technical confluence. The market often gravitates toward these types of zones to rebalance price and fuel the next directional move. Short-Term Bearish Setup – Let Price Come to You: The expectation is for price to dip lower in the short term. This would allow the market to tap into the unfilled CME gap and sweep the liquidity resting below the current structure. Traders who went long late in the move are likely to have their stops sitting just beneath recent lows, and this sets the stage for a classic inducement and stop hunt scenario. Price doesn't need to collapse, just a healthy retracement into this confluence zone to rebalance and refill the inefficiency before the real move begins. Bullish Reversal Expectations: Once price fills the CME gap and reaches into the 0.786 Fib retracement level, the focus shifts back to bullish. If the market holds this support cleanly and shows early signs of strength, like a displacement back above short-term structure or a strong engulfing candle, this could signal the beginning of a new upward leg. Given the context and momentum from the previous rally, it’s reasonable to anticipate a strong reaction that could drive price back toward the recent highs or potentially even higher. The Psychology Behind the Setup: This type of setup is a textbook example of how smart money operates. Price leaves a gap, traders pile in on the breakout, and then the market retraces to fill the imbalance and shake out weak hands before resuming the trend. Understanding the logic behind the CME gap, the liquidity below price, and how the Fib level ties everything together gives this setup depth. It’s not just about lines and zones, it’s about how liquidity flows through the market and how structure sets up to trap and reward. Conclusion: Patience is key. Rather than chasing the bullish momentum at current levels, the plan is to wait for price to revisit the zone where the CME gap, historical support, and the 0.786 Fib level align. That’s where the real value lies. If the reaction from this zone is clean and confirms strength, it offers a high-probability entry for the next leg up. No need to force anything, let the market come to you, then execute with precision. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Long
by TehThomas
47
EUR/USD.. 4H CHART PATTERN..*EURUSD BUY* entry: ### *Trade Plan: EURUSD BUY @ 1.12500* *Potential Risk-Reward Ratio:* Up to ~1:3 (with trailing stop) #### *Key Levels:* - *Entry:* *1.12500* - *Stop Loss (SL):* *1.11800* (~70 pips risk, below recent support) - *Take Profit Targets:* - *TP1:* *1.14100* (+160 pips, ~2:1 R/R) - *TP2:* *1.15500* (+300 pips, ~4:1 R/R) #### *Risk Management:* - *Position Size:* Risk 1-2% of capital per trade (e.g., 0.5-1% if wider SL). - *Leverage:* Use ≤ 10x leverage to avoid volatility spikes. #### *Execution Strategy:* 1. *Confirmation:* Ensure bullish momentum (e.g., breakout above 1.12800, RSI >50, MACD crossover). 2. *Partial Close:* Secure 50% profits at *TP1 (1.14100)*, then trail SL to breakeven or higher (e.g., 1.13000). 3. *Final Target:* Let remaining position ride to *TP2 (1.15500)* if trend stays strong (watch for ECB/Fed policy shifts). #### *Supporting Factors:* - *Fundamental Catalyst:* Dovish Fed expectations or Eurozone inflation surprises could fuel upside. - *Technical Confluence:* 200-day SMA or channel breakouts add validity. #### *Exit if:* - Price breaks below *1.11800* (invalidates bullish structure). - Bearish reversal patterns form (e.g., double top at 1.14000). Would you like a deeper analysis of current EURUSD drivers (e.g., interest rate differentials, COT data)?
Long
by Algo_Trading_Mql5
28
EURUSD Could Start a New TrendEURUSD Could Start a New Trend EURUSD broke out the neckline of a large Head and Shoulders pattern, indicating that a bigger bearish wave may happen soon. The Head and shoulder pattern is a reversal formation that shows a possible change in trend. EURUSD on the other hand is not taking a clear direction yet but after Trump decided to take further steps related to tarffs the general picture for the USD improved a lot. EURUSD may decline more in the coming days to 1.1100, 1.1000 and 1.0900 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
22
GBPUSD COT and Liquidity AnalysisCOT Report Analysis: We can see longs coming to the markets. But don't fall for the trap yet. They accumulate for weeks. We will see, most likely at least one more down week, where they will be closing shorts and adding more long positions. Hey, what up traders, another week, another COT data and Liquidity report. This is a big part of my FX Trading. I'm always trying to trade with the Big players, so knowing their positions is a good thing. 📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again, we as retail traders have a disadvantage, but there is the possibility to read between the lines. Remember, in the report is what they want you to see; that's why prices mostly reverse on Wednesday after the report, so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However, if the trend is running, you can read it and use it to your advantage. 📍Tip: If the level has confluence with the high volume on COT, it can be strong support / Resistance. Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." Have a great trading week, see in the next report. — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Short
by David_Perk
39
EURUSD – Bearish Outlook After Inducement and RejectionEURUSD recently delivered a sharp rejection from the 1.13700 resistance zone, a level that previously acted as a strong barrier for price. This area had already shown signs of supply in the past, and the latest reaction only strengthens the case for continued bearish interest at that level. The rejection candle was large, clean, and decisive, showing that sellers aggressively stepped in after price entered the premium zone. This shift now places focus on how price navigates lower timeframes in the short term, especially as we approach key liquidity levels and structural points of interest. Sweep Setup and Liquidity Outlook Despite the rejection, one notable feature left behind is a 1H swing high just under 1.13400. This high remains untapped and likely holds buy-side liquidity from breakout traders. It’s common to see price sweep such local highs before turning lower, especially after a clear rejection from a major zone like the one above. This potential inducement move, where price runs the high to gather liquidity and trap late buyers, is what I’ll be watching closely next. The scenario I’m anticipating is a relatively short-lived push higher, just enough to clear the swing high liquidity before price shifts bearish again. This behavior fits within the broader bearish structure and could serve as the final fuel needed before a deeper move to the downside unfolds. Key Levels and Technical Context The first point of interest comes in at the 1.12182 level, which is marked on the chart. This level is not rando, it aligns with previous structure, sits near a micro-breaker, and is positioned just above a fair value gap. If we do get the anticipated sweep of the 1H high, this 1.12182 area becomes a highly sensitive zone where the next key reaction could occur. What makes this POI important is that it serves as a decision point for the market. If the sweep occurs and price aggressively sells off into this level, we can start watching for continuation setups. But if price stalls or consolidates here, we’ll need to evaluate whether the bearish momentum is still intact or if a shift is occurring. If bearish pressure continues, the next downside target is the POI around 1.11300. This level is nested cleanly inside a higher-timeframe fair value gap, and it also overlaps with a prior demand zone. From a liquidity standpoint, it’s the logical draw, resting sell-side liquidity is likely building beneath those May lows, and the market could easily target that zone once 1.12182 is breached. Momentum, Structure, and Execution Plan The current structure is bearish, but short-term strength is still on the table until the sweep of the 1H high plays out. I’m not interested in selling into strength just yet, I’d prefer to see the inducement leg complete, followed by signs of weakness such as bearish engulfing structures, lower timeframe market structure breaks, or clean fair value gap entries forming after the sweep. Once price breaks below 1.12182 decisively, it opens the path toward the next liquidity pocket at 1.11300. Any signs of continuation post-rejection from that first POI would be used to look for scalable short entries with tight risk and larger reward-to-risk ratios. Conclusion EURUSD is setting up for a clean liquidity run above the 1H high, following a strong rejection from higher timeframe resistance. The plan is to let price run that liquidity, then look for bearish signs to engage short down toward 1.12182. If that level fails to hold and bearish pressure continues, the 1.11300 POI becomes the next logical target. The structure is lining up well for this sequence, but execution will depend on how price behaves around the key inducement and reaction zones. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Short
by TehThomas
28
EURUSD I Weekly CLS, Daily CLS I Model 2Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. ✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. 🛡️ Models 1 and 2: From my posts, you can learn two core execution models. They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained. 📍 Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. 📍 Model 2 occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range. 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
 ⚔️ Listen Carefully: Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves. If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Short
by David_Perk
29
EUR/USD...EURUSD 30M CHART PATTERN..I'm planning a *EUR/USD sell trade* with the following details: - *Entry Price*: 1.13300 - *Take Profit (TP) Levels*: - *TP1: 1.12300 (-100 pips*) - *TP2: 1.11400 (-190 pips*) ### Key Considerations: 1. *Risk Management*: - Ensure you have a *stop-loss (SL)* in place (e.g., 1.13800 or higher, depending on your risk tolerance). - A common approach is a *1:2 or 1:3 risk-reward ratio*. 2. *Market Conditions*: - Check if the trend is *bearish* (e.g., lower highs/lows, RSI below 50, moving averages sloping downward). - Key resistance levels above 1.13300 could strengthen the sell case. 3. *Trade Execution*: - Monitor price action around *1.13300* for confirmation (e.g., rejection candles, momentum). - Consider partial closing at *TP1* and moving SL to breakeven. Would you like help analyzing the trade setup further (e.g., technical indicators, support/resistance levels)?
Short
by Algo_Trading_Mql5
21
HelenP. I Euro will drop from resistance zone to $1.1260 pointsHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. After an extended period of consolidation, the price remained trapped inside a narrow range, testing both the upper and lower boundaries multiple times without any decisive breakout. This indecision created a strong horizontal resistance around the 1.1355 - 1.1370 zone, which continues to act as a key obstacle for bulls. Eventually, the price declined sharply and found temporary support along the upward trend line. This area had already proven its significance through multiple touches and rebounds, serving as a strong dynamic support. After touching the trend line once again, buyers stepped in, leading to a moderate recovery in price action. Currently, EURUSD is pushing back toward the resistance zone. However, I don’t see this upward momentum sustaining for long. The previous failures at this level and the weak follow-through from bulls suggest exhaustion. I believe that once price enters the resistance zone, it will face renewed selling pressure. My expectation is a rejection from this area and a move lower, potentially breaking below the previous local lows. That’s why I set my goal at 1.1260 points, a logical target based on the previous swing support and current bearish setup forming just under a key resistance level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by FirstNameHelen
9
EURO - Price can make small correction and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for EURO, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Recently, price entered to falling channel, where it at once fell to $1.1330 level and then not long time traded near this level. Next, price rose to resistance line of channel, and some time traded near, after which dropped. Price broke $1.1330 level and started to traded below this level, and later it continued to decline in channel. Later, Euro made a gap and then exited from channel, after which turned around and started to grow in a rising channel. In this channel, price broke $1.1140 level and continued to move up until it reached resistance line. Then price corrected, and now I expect that Euro can bounce up from support area to $1.1280 inside channel. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Long
by WalterMoon
9
EUR/USD Forming Double Top –Bearish Reversal Toward Key Support?📉 EUR/USD Technical Outlook – Bearish Bias Developing 🔍 🟪 Key Resistance Zone: 📍 1.1350 – 1.1450 Price has tested this resistance zone multiple times, forming a double-top pattern (🔄) within the highlighted circle. This signals buying exhaustion and potential reversal pressure. The recent failure to break above confirms the zone’s strength. 🔴 EMA Confluence: 🧭 50 EMA (red): ~1.1242 🧭 200 EMA (blue): ~1.0961 The price is currently hovering just above the 50 EMA but well above the 200 EMA, which is acting as a dynamic support. The crossover has already occurred, so if price breaks below the 50 EMA decisively, momentum could shift bearish. 🔻 Support Breakdown Risk: A breakdown from the 1.1200 neckline area (highlighted in red oval) would confirm the double-top pattern 🎯. That opens downside potential toward the strong demand zone below. 🟪 Strong Support Zone: 📍 1.0700 – 1.0800 This area aligns with prior consolidation (March lows) and the 200 EMA, making it a high-probability reversal zone 📈 if the bearish scenario plays out. 📌 Trade Setup Insight: ✅ Bearish confirmation below 1.1200 neckline 📉 🎯 Target: 1.0800 zone ❌ Invalidation: Break above 1.1350 resistance 🔵 Summary: The chart is hinting at a classic double-top reversal below a key resistance zone. If price breaks the neckline, sellers are likely to gain control, targeting the strong support near the 200 EMA. 📊 Bias: Bearish 👇 📅 Timeframe: Daily 🛑 Risk Management: Watch for fake-outs near neckline; volume confirmation preferred.
Short
by MrStellanSight
15
EURO - Price may make a movement up and then dropHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 A few days ago price traded between $1.0870 level inside a flat, where it after fell to bottom part and made an upward impulse. Price exited from flat, breaking $1.0870 level too, and then made a correction, after which continued to grow. Later, Euro reached $1.1425 level, breaking recently $1.1155 level recently, and soon price broke $1.1425 level too. Next, price started to traded inside pennant, where it dropped from resistance line to support line, breaking $1.1425 level again. Euro fell to support line, after which started to grow and in a short time, rose to resistance line. Now, I think that Euro may make a movement up and then start to decline to $1.1235 support line of pennant. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by WalterMoon
7
Euro can continue to decline in channel to buyer zoneHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Earlier, the Euro formed a symmetrical triangle, where the price squeezed between resistance and support lines before breaking out with a strong impulse move. After this breakout, the pair quickly climbed toward the 1.1420 - 1.1455 resistance area, a major seller zone, but failed to hold above it. Since then, the price structure shifted into a well-defined downward channel. Within this channel, we’ve seen repeated rejections from the upper boundary and controlled declines toward the support line. Recently, EUR rebounded again from the resistance line, confirming that sellers remain in control. Now the price is heading lower once more. Given this repeated rejection and the prevailing bearish structure, I expect the decline to continue toward the next key area, the 1.1070 - 1.1035 buyer zone. This level aligns with the channel’s support and has acted as a reaction zone in the past. That’s why I set my TP at 1.1035, the bottom of the buyer zone and a logical target within this bearish setup. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by LegionQ8
7
Will the USD Bears come back? Stock Market just pulling back?In this video I go over the EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY. Will the USD bears come pouring back in or give up the previous low on the EUR/USD... Some markers I'm watching is a "hidden" divergence on the MACD and it's potential signal for continued bullish strength for the EUR/USD, especially with the U.S. credit rating getting lowered by Moodys. I'm also watching for a potential reversal to the stock market's massive rally the last couple of weeks. Is this a true reversal or just a major pullback in the grand scheme of things? The last 2 weeks of May will be interesting to watch develop. As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe.
by InternalTraderNYC
6
EURUSD I Weekly CLS I Model 2 - Target CLS LowHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. ✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. 🛡️ Models 1 and 2: From my posts, you can learn two core execution models. They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained. 📍 Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. 📍 Model 2 occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range. 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
 ⚔️ Listen Carefully: Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves. If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Short
by David_Perk
21
EUR/USD 2H CHART PATTERNThis EUR/USD 2-hour chart illustrates a bearish flag pattern, signaling a potential continuation of the prior downtrend. After a sharp drop, price consolidated within an upward-sloping channel, forming the flag. The pattern suggests weakening bullish momentum as the price reached a resistance zone and was rejected. A projected breakdown below the channel supports a bearish outlook, with expectations of a strong downward move. The black arrow on the chart confirms the anticipated decline. This setup aligns with classic bearish flag characteristics, where the consolidation phase is followed by a continuation of the previous bearish impulse. Entry: 1.3150 1st Target: 1.12300 2nd Target: 1.11270
Short
by Trend_logic
11
EUR/USD is Loading a Breakout?!EUR/USD has posted an interesting bullish reaction following a controlled descent within a descending channel. After a brief break below a long-term ascending trendline, price established support within a clear demand zone between 1.1130 and 1.1170, closing the daily candle back above the key area. This structure suggests a possible phase of accumulation, especially given the presence of a strong lower wick and the defense of the highlighted yellow zone. Still, the pair remains within the descending channel, and the squeeze between the trendline and resistance at 1.1280 could become a decision zone. A daily close above 1.1280 would support bullish continuation and open the way to 1.1450. 🧠 Institutional Positioning (COT): Large speculators continue to favor the long side on the euro, with a noticeable increase in net long exposure. This confirms the accumulation narrative visible on the chart. Meanwhile, the USD shows a consistent decline in bullish positioning, adding weight to the case for a softer dollar — supportive of a potential EUR breakout. 📊 Retail Sentiment: Retail traders are slightly skewed to the short side (52% short), which is not extreme but does act as a contrarian input favoring bullish continuation — especially if the price breaks above dynamic resistance. 📅 Seasonality (May): Historically, May tends to be a weak-to-neutral month for EUR/USD over the 10–20Y horizon. However, recent years (last 2Y) show a bullish deviation from that trend, supporting the idea that any dips could offer opportunity rather than signal trend reversals. 🧭 Summary 📈 Directional Bias: Moderately Bullish ❌ Invalidation: Daily close below 1.1130 🎯 Target Levels: • Key Resistance: 1.1280 • Extension Zone: 1.1450 🧠 Key Takeaway: EUR/USD is showing early signs of bullish reversal within a still-constrained technical structure. Demand rejection, institutional long bias, and retail short pressure all align for a potential continuation higher. However, a confirmed breakout above 1.1280 is crucial to validate the scenario.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
6
EURUSD COT and Liquidity AnalysisHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. It's always good to go with those who move the market here is what I see in their cards. I share my COT - order flow views every weekend. 🎯 Non Commercials closed longs and added shorts.It still seems to me like EUR dropping lower but it will have to take liquidity levels above. 📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage. 💊 Tip if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance. 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions. Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
by David_Perk
4