EURUSD trade ideas
Based on the provided EURUSD 4-hour chart, here's a simple tradeCurrent Situation:
The price is currently at 1.13869, trading within a resistance zone (indicated by the pink shaded area around 1.13700 - 1.14000).
Previously, the price reacted strongly to this area, leading to a significant drop.
There's a clear upward trend leading into this resistance zone.
Potential Trade Scenarios:
1. Short Entry (Bearish Reversal):
Rationale : The price is at a significant resistance level that has caused a strong bearish reaction in the past. If this resistance holds, we could see a repeat of the previous downtrend.
Entry Signal: Look for clear bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing pattern, pin bar, or rejection candle) forming within or just below the resistance zone (around 1.13700 - 1.14000) . A break and retest of the lower boundary of this resistance could also be an entry.
Target: The next major support zone appears to be around 1.11748 - 1.12000.
Stop Loss: Place the stop loss just above the current resistance zone, perhaps around 1.14200 - 1.14500 , to account for potential false breakouts.
2. Long Entry (Bullish Breakout Continuation):
Rationale: If the current bullish momentum is strong enough to break through this resistance, it could signal a continuation of the upward trend.
Entry Signal: Wait for a confirmed breakout above the resistance zone (e.g., a 4-hour candle closing clearly above 1.14000 - 1.14200). A retest of the broken resistance as new support would offer a higher-probability entry.
Target: The next major resistance level is not immediately visible on this chart, but you would look for the next supply zone or previous swing highs.
Stop Loss: Place the stop loss below the broken resistance, which would now act as support, perhaps around 1.13500.
Key Considerations Before Entry:
Confirmation: Do not enter solely based on the price reaching the zone. Always wait for a clear candlestick confirmation or a break and retest.
Volume (if available): Higher volume on a breakout or rejection can add conviction to the move.
News Events: Be aware of any upcoming high-impact news events that could affect EURUSD.
Risk Management: Always define your stop loss and position size before entering any trade.
EURUSD : Dips Below 1.1400 The EUR/USD pair is currently hovering around 1.141, reflecting a clear lack of buying interest. As Friday's U.S. session unfolded, the pair lost momentum and slipped below the 1.1400 mark—an important psychological level that had previously offered support.
This decline came on the back of stronger-than-expected U.S. nonfarm payrolls data for May, which surprised markets and reignited confidence in the resilience of the American labor market. As a result, the U.S. dollar gained significant strength, bolstered by the growing probability that the Federal Reserve will hold interest rates steady through the next two policy meetings.
EUR/USD – Bullish Outlook (1H Chart)📈 EUR/USD – Bullish Outlook (1H Chart)
The pair is forming higher lows and pushing toward key breakout levels. Current structure supports a bullish scenario with clean targets ahead:
🔹 Key Breakout Zone: 1.14314
🔹 Next Target: 1.14942
🔹 Final Target: 1.15549
📍 Price is showing bullish momentum after reclaiming structure — if 1.14314 holds as support, we may see continuation toward the upper liquidity zones.
⚠️ Wait for confirmation on retest zones before entry.
#EURUSD #ForexForecast #FXFOREVER #PriceAction #BreakoutTrading #MarketStructure #BullishBias
EUR/USD Reversal Imminent? 5 Powerful ReasonsEUR/USD – Tactical Bearish Outlook Ahead of Key Reversal
EUR/USD is approaching a critical inflection point where multiple technical and fundamental signals are aligning to suggest a potential short-term reversal.
📉 1. Price Action & Technical Structure (1W / 1D)
The pair recently completed a clean bullish structure inside an ascending channel, originating from the 1.0600 demand zone and reaching into the key supply area between 1.1400–1.1550.
Recent price behavior indicates:
A weekly candle with a strong upper wick, signaling institutional rejection.
A visible RSI bearish divergence, showing weakening momentum.
The most recent daily candle broke below the channel, suggesting a potential swing high.
Implication: A short-term reversal is likely, targeting the 1.1180 zone, with an extended move potentially reaching the 1.1050–1.1000 area.
🧠 2. COT Data – Institutional Positioning
USD Index:
Non-Commercials increased longs (+823) and slightly increased shorts (+363) — net bias still bullish USD.
Commercials also added to longs, further confirming institutional accumulation.
→ USD strength building.
EUR Futures:
Non-Commercials reduced longs (-1,716) and added shorts (+6,737).
The net long position in EUR continues to weaken.
→ Increasing risk of EUR retracement.
📅 3. Seasonality – EUR/USD in June
EUR/USD tends to be neutral to bearish in June.
The 5- and 10-year averages show consistent early-month declines, supporting a short bias in the first two weeks.
📊 4. Retail Sentiment
Sentiment is currently evenly split (50/50).
However, more volume is positioned long — a potential contrarian signal.
→ A break in this balance may trigger volatility and directionality.
🧭 5. Macro Context
Eurozone is facing stagnation, with falling inflation and weak growth.
U.S. data remains stronger, supporting the Fed’s “higher for longer” narrative.
→ This divergence favors a stronger USD in the near term.
✅ Trading Outlook
📉 Current Bias: Bearish (corrective)
📌 Short-Term Target: 1.1180
📌 Mid-Term Target: 1.1050–1.1000
❌ Invalidation: Weekly close above 1.1460
🎯 Strategy: Look for intraday rejection confirmations and sell pullbacks, in alignment with HTF structure and institutional flows.
EURUSD(20250606) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The European Central Bank cut three key interest rates by 25 basis points. Lagarde hinted that the rate cut cycle will end, and the market is no longer fully pricing in another 25 basis point rate cut this year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.1447
Support and resistance levels
1.1537
1.1503
1.1481
1.1412
1.1391
1.1357
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.1447, consider buying, and the first target price is 1.1481
If the price breaks through 1.1412, consider selling, and the first target price is 1.1391
EUR/USD tests three-year ceiling Aside from a brief spike in April, EUR/USD has remained below 1.1500 for over three years.
Sellers again have had to defend the zone following the weaker-than-expected US CPI release. The main resistance zone potentially spans all the way up to 1.1573 (the April high).
Some indicators suggest potential room for further upside. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has not yet reached overbought territory, and the Daily Moving Average is positively sloped. A break below the 4-hour Moving Average could trigger more selling pressure and a potential correction.
EUR/USD Bounce From Key Demand Zone | Short-Term Bullish SetupEUR/USD has just tapped into a well-defined Demand Zone between 1.12271 – 1.12600, showing aggressive buying pressure on the wick — a classic liquidity grab and bounce scenario.
📌 Bullish Confluences:
🟤 Deep tap into Demand Zone + aggressive wick rejection.
🟩 High probability reversal after stop-hunt.
🔵 Price forming higher low structure.
🔄 Clean imbalance/fair value gap above (room for recovery).
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🎯 Bullish Targets:
1. 📍 1.13231 – Mid-range resistance and minor supply.
2. 📍 1.14018 – Major Supply Zone (swing TP).
🧠 Trade Idea: Long from 1.12600 area with tight SL under 1.12250, targeting 1.132xx or higher. R:R = 🔥 if managed properly.
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📅 Fundamental Alerts:
🏛️ Upcoming US + EU news (marked on chart) = potential volatility spike.
🧭 Consider scaling out partials if key events flip sentiment.
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🧠 Strategy Type:
Scalp/Intraday with momentum confirmation + demand zone logic.
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📢 Are You Bullish or Still Bearish?
This could be a short-term push before bigger decisions from central banks. What’s your view?
💬 Drop your analysis below, and don't forget to like/follow if this helped your trading plan!
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#EURUSD #ForexSignals #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #SmartMoney #OrderBlocks #Scalping #IntradayTrade #ForexStrategy #TradingView
Despite some difficulties, EUR is still in an uptrendThe European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected and said inflation was close to its medium-term target of 2%. Trump's tariff policies have loosened financial conditions, suggesting further easing is likely.
This dovish stance has put some pressure on the euro. Preliminary eurozone CPI data for May showed that inflationary pressures slowed more than expected, dragging the euro down. Germany’s manufacturing PMI for May was weaker than expected, suggesting further contraction in the manufacturing sector; France’s services PMI was better than expected, but still in contraction territory. Eurozone economic data has been mixed. European Central Bank President Lagarde said the monetary easing cycle was coming to an end, boosting market confidence in the euro over the medium term.
But caution will still be needed about the impact of Trump’s tariff policies on the global economy. While the ECB believes trade tensions have eased, the eurozone is not completely out of the woods. If future economic data remains weak, the euro could face downward pressure.
On the daily chart of OANDA:EURUSD after receiving support from the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level with horizontal support at 1.12038, the recovery momentum has created a significant increase. Specifically, the increase has tested the levels of 1.14744 and 1.14212, please note that in the previous publication about EUR/USD, these levels are also the nearest resistance at present.
However, in terms of the overall technical picture, EUR/USD is still in a bullish trend with a break above 1.14744 opening the door for a new bullish cycle with a short-term target of 1.15720.
Intraday, the bullish outlook for EUR/USD will be highlighted again by the following price points.
Support: 1.13788 – 1.12422
Resistance: 1.14212 – 1.14744
EUR/USD - continue with the UptrendOn EUR/USD , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 1.12890 and 1.12460 .
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
Uptrend and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale
EURUSD Decline Potential Bearish StructureEUR/USD appears to have formed a rejection from a key resistance zone, suggesting a potential move to the downside. The rejection aligns with a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) acting as supply A liquidity sweep above recent highs Evidence of pending structure formation, indicating possible internal weakness.
If we see a confirmed close below the marked support zone, this would likely validate a bearish market structure break, paving the way for a clean continuation of the downtrend.
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EURUSD: Twin Channel Up structure aims for 1.14950.EURUSD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.016, MACD = 0.005, ADX = 22.852) as it maintains a bullish structure consisting of successive Channel Up patterns. We are currently on the 2nd, with the price supported by both the 30m MA50 and MA200. The 1st Channel Up peaked after a +1.29% rise. We remain bullish, aiming for a similar rise, TP = 1.14950.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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EUR/USD Coils Below Resistance Ahead of ECB, NFPEuro broke above the April downtrend last month with price surging more than 3.5% off the May low. The advance failed at technical resistance into the start of June at the 1.618% extension of the May advance near 1.1455. The focus is on a reaction off this mark with a breakout of the weekly opening-range to offer some guidance in the days ahead.
The weekly-range is now set just above the objective weekly / monthly open at 1.1347. Subsequent support seen at the 2023 swing high at 1.1276 with near-term bullish invalidation at the 2024 swing high / 61.8% retracement at 1.1214- a break / close below this threshold would be needed to suggest a more significant high is in place / a larger reversal is underway towards key support at 1.1040/74.
A topside breach of the weekly opening range exposes subsequent resistance objectives at the 2025 high-day close (HDC) at 1.1514 and 1.1564/73- a region defined by the 100% extension of the May advance and the yearly swing high. Look for a larger reaction there IF reached with a daily close above needed to mark uptrend resumption / fuel the next major leg of the Euro advance towards 1.17.
Bottom line: A breakout of the April downtrend is now testing the first major resistance hurdle with the weekly / monthly opening-ranges taking shape just below- look for the breakout. From a trading standpoint, losses would need to be limited to 1.1214 IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above the yearly high needed to mark resumption of the broader uptrend. ECB on tap tomorrow with NFPs slated for Friday- stay nimble into the weekly close.
-MB
EURUSD: Pullback From Support Confirmed 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Update for our yesterday's setup on EURUSD.
It feels like the pair has successfully completed a retracement,
respecting an intraday horizontal support.
A double bottom formation on that and a formation of a bullish
imbalance candle provide a strong bullish confirmation.
I think the pair may rise at least to 1.144 support soon.
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#EURUSD: Nothing to expect from DXY| View Changed Swing Trading|Hey there! So, we were previously thinking EURUSD was going to be bearish, but things have turned around and it’s looking bullish for now.
The extreme bearish pressure on USD has caused all the major USD pairs to be in a range. As the week goes on and we get the NFP data, the market will probably focus more on these economic indicators. So, it’s not surprising to see some market ranges during this time.
We’ll keep a close eye on the market, as there might be some manipulation going on this week.
We recommend waiting until Monday’s daily candle closes to see if the bullish trend is strong enough. Then, based on the price momentum, you can make your decisions.
We hope you have a great week and safe trading! If you like our work and analysis, please consider liking, commenting, and sharing our content.
Cheers,
Team Setupsfx
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EURUSD showing signs of a false breakoutEUR/USD Analysis: Potential Downside Correction After False Breakout
EUR/USD currently showing signs of a false breakout from a strong resistance level. Although the broader market condition remains bullish, the recent price action suggests that the breakout may not sustain. This could trigger a downside correction.
The U.S. Dollar (USD) is approaching a key support level, which might provide some strength to the dollar and put downward pressure on EUR/USD.
Resistance zone 1.14000
Support Level 1.13500 / 1.13000
you may find more detail in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.