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EURUSD trade ideas

EURUSD 15/12/24Starting this week the same way we always do—with our markup on EU. Following last week’s chart, we still maintain our bearish bias. This week, we’re focusing on the highs once again as a potential sell entry zone. As you can see on our chart, all key points are clearly marked, highlighting areas to aim for and areas to sell from. Last week, we identified a money-out area, and price reacted perfectly to this zone, aligning with our bias as it has consistently for over a month now! Don’t expect the market to shift its bias unless it provides a very clear reason to do so. For now, we remain patient and wait for potential entry opportunities. Stick to your plan and always follow your risk management.
by PipSurfingSociety
EURUSD is under pressureEURUSD is under pressure ahead of FOMC meeting. The recent narrative about the upcoming interest rate decision is considered as a "hawkish decilne", meaning that the interest rate would be declined with cautious comments, as inflation doesn't show any signs of weakness yet: morever, it had displayed a moderate uptick during the last CPI publication. There are two possibilities to construct a short position: the one is an intraday trade (potential short after the upside breakout through the recent chart formation), another would be a swing trade after 2-3 days of correction. Beware of possible volatility spike during the FOMC publication and press conference on Wednesday. Always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
Short
by Stanislav_Bernukhov_Exness
EURO - Price can bounce up from support line of pennantHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some time ago price bounced from $1.0810 level and rose to $1.0935 points, making a first gap. After this, price turned around and started to decline inside pennant, where it first broke $1.0810 level. Then price tried to grow, but failed and soon fell to $1.0515 level, which later broke too and fell to $1.0330 points. But then, Euro turned around and bounced up, making a second gap, and started to trades inside resistance area. Also, the price rose to resistance line of the pennant, but recently it fell back and now EUR continues to trades near support line. I think that price can bounce up from support line to $1.0680, breaking resistance level, and leaving pennant. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
3
The Analysis H4 : Long Position to Resistance Area (1.06250)In my opinion, the graph FX:EURUSD shows a well-defined upward-sloping channel, with the support line at the lower boundary and the resistance line at the upper boundary. Recently, the price rebounded off the support line (highlighted by the green circle), signalling a potential continuation of the channel’s upward trend. Support Line: This lower boundary acts as a strong support level where the price historically tends to bounce. Resistance Line: The upper boundary, around 1.06250, serves as a target for a long position, aligning with previous highs. As long as the price remains within the channel, the bullish bias holds. To confirm this move, monitor for signs of increasing volume or bullish momentum. Goodluck.
Long
by Ninewwy
EURUSD: German Political Issues and An ECB Meeting to ConsiderIt’s only been just under 3 weeks since EURUSD hit two year lows at 1.0331 on November 22nd yet it seems like a lot has happened in that short period, including EURUSD rebounding quite impressively to touch 1.0630 on Friday 6th December. Now however, that short squeeze from the lows has cooled as the focus shifts to on-going political problems in France and the prospect of a no confidence vote in Germany on the leadership of the current Chancellor Olaf Scholz. Not only that, tomorrow sees the release of the final ECB interest rate decision of 2024 at 1315 GMT, which is then followed by the ECB press conference led by Madame Lagarde at 1345 GMT. Both events are likely to be critical to the direction of EURUSD moving forward into the end of the year. The prevailing market consensus points to a 25 basis point (0.25%) interest rate cut from the ECB. However, a smaller number of analysts have suggested the possibility of a 50 basis point (0.50%) adjustment, though this view appears less widespread. Recent commentary from policymakers has shown that there seems to be a split between those wanting to be more proactive cutting interest rates to give the Eurozone economy a much-needed boost, and those who are reluctant to cut rates until they see that EU inflation is fully under control. The tone of ECB President Lagarde's comments during the press conference could be significant for FX traders. They will likely focus on whether she signals the possibility of further rate cuts during the ECB's first-quarter 2025 meetings or adopts a more cautious stance, emphasizing the need for additional inflation trend data before making decisions. The Technical Outlook for EURUSD: November was a negative month for EURUSD, which saw the cross fall from the 1.0935 November 5th high to the 1.0331 November 22nd low, a move of over 5%, as the US election result was digested by markets. It might be argued, the latest rally from that November monthly downside extreme back to Friday December 6th high at 1.0630, has gone some way to unwind over-extended downside conditions, in place after the sharp decline, back towards a more neutral balanced position, ahead of the ECB. This may indicate trader uncertainty and a squaring of positions, ahead of such an important news event. The market's response to the ECB's announcement and President Lagarde's subsequent press conference will be closely monitored, as investors assess the potential implications for the future direction of EURUSD. So, moving forward what are some potential levels to monitor around the ECB announcement and during the press conference? EURUSD Support and Resistance Levels: Support: To the downside, there is a possible support focus at 1.0444/60, which is a combination of the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of November/December strength and December 2nd session low. While there is no guarantee that daily closing breaks of this area will resume what has been a downtrend pattern of lower highs/lower lows since September 25th, closes under this support may see increased selling pressure and further declines towards 1.0331, the November monthly low. Resistance: To the upside, there is a possible resistance area marked by 1.0630/37, which equals the December 6th failure high and trendline connection highs dating back to November 18th. While breaks of similar resistance points have historically led to further price strength, past performance does not guarantee future results. If a break occurs, it could pave the way for further gains toward 1.0772—the 50.0% retracement resistance of the September-November decline. However, this outcome remains contingent on broader price trends. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
by Pepperstone
EURUSD → False breakout of resistance. DowntrendFX:EURUSD is testing resistance in the downtrend phase. The maneuver ends with a false breakout of resistance at 1.0607 On the daily timeframe the price is squeezed between the strong resistance at 1.06011 and the local support at 1.05. So, if the bears keep the defense below the key resistance, the currency pair will continue to fall in the short term. The target in this case may be the area of 1.05 - 1.044. But, technically, the retest of 1.0607 may provoke a local breakout of the level and the price movement to the channel resistance against which there will also be a high probability of formation of a false breakout. Resistance levels: 1.0607, 1.965, 1.076 Support levels: 1.0448, 1.0331 Emphasis on resistance. Confirmation of the nearest resistance in the form of price consolidation below the level, if retested, could be a good entry zone. But if resistance is broken, the focus will shift to 1.065 - 1.067 Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1
EURUSD_1D&1W_SellAnalysis and review of the economy and the Eurodollar chart Elliott wave analysis style Mid-term and long-term time frames The euro is in a downward trend. Trading position is from sell to buy. In the long term, the market has entered a large ABC correction after completing five rising waves, which is currently in wave C. Wave C consists of five downward waves, which is currently on the way down as wave 5. The main resistance and ceiling of wave 4 is 1.06100 The targets and support numbers are 1.04070 and 1.02020 respectively, and the last target and support number is 1.00000. Euro zone is not in good condition according to data chart conditions
Short
by Elliottwaveofficial
EURUSD: Standard Channel Up targeting above the 4H MA200.EURUSD may have turned bearish today on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.238, MACD = -0.005, ADX = 33.591) but 4H remains neutral as the pullback is the technical bearish wave of the Channel Up you see on the chart. The two bullish waves we've had so far have been exactly the same at +1.65% with the 4H RSI S1 Zone providing the most accurate buy entries. Consequently, this is now the best level to go long and target a crossing over the 4H MA200 on another +1.65% bullish wave (TP = 1.06675). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
1
What Are Leading Trading Indicators, and How Can You Use ThemWhat Are Leading Trading Indicators, and How Can You Use Them in Trading? Leading indicators are essential tools for traders aiming to analyse market movements. This article explains what leading indicators are, how they work, and their practical application across different asset classes. Read on to discover how tools like RSI, Stochastic Oscillator, On-balance Volume, and Fibonacci retracements can enhance your trading strategy. What Are Leading Technical Indicators? Technical indicators are divided into leading and lagging. Leading indicators in trading are tools used to identify potential price movements before they occur. Lagging indicators confirm trends after they begin, helping traders validate price movements. The difference between leading and lagging indicators is that leading indicators aim to give traders an edge by signalling when a new trend or reversal might be on the horizon while lagging indicators confirm trends after they've developed. Leading trading indicators work by analysing price data to identify patterns or extremes in buying and selling behaviour. For instance, popular leading indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Stochastic Oscillator measure momentum in a market. These indicators help traders spot overbought or oversold conditions, where RSI tracks recent price movements relative to historical performance, while the Stochastic Oscillator compares a security's closing price to its price range over a set period. However, it’s important to note that leading indicators can produce false signals, meaning they may suggest a price move that doesn’t materialise. Because of this, traders often combine them with other technical analysis tools, such as support and resistance levels, or use them alongside lagging indicators to validate the signals they receive. Types of Leading Indicators in Trading Leading indicators are divided into various types, each serving a unique role in analysing potential market movements. Three common types include momentum indicators, oscillators, and volume indicators: - Momentum Indicators: These track the speed or rate of price changes. They are used to assess the strength of a trend and determine potential reversals when the momentum slows. Momentum indicators help traders when an asset is overbought or oversold. - Oscillators: These indicators fluctuate between fixed values (usually 0 and 100) to reflect the market’s current momentum. They help traders pinpoint potential reversals by highlighting when an asset is overbought or oversold. Oscillators are particularly useful in range-bound markets where price movement is confined within support and resistance levels. - Volume Indicators: These focus on the amount of trading activity, rather than price movement. By analysing the flow of volume in or out of an asset, traders can gauge the strength behind price movements. Increasing volume in the direction of a trend often confirms its continuation, while the divergence between volume and price can indicate potential reversals. Below, we’ll take a look at a list of leading indicators. If you’d like to explore these indicators alongside dozens more, head over to FXOpen’s free TickTrader trading platform. Relative Strength Index (RSI) The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is one of the most popular leading indicators examples. RSI is a momentum oscillator that helps traders evaluate the strength of an asset’s price movements. Developed by J. Welles Wilder, it measures the speed and change of price actions over a set period—typically 14 candles—on a scale from 0 to 100. The primary signals RSI produces revolve around overbought and oversold conditions. When the indicator breaks above 70, it suggests that an asset may be overbought, reflecting the potential for a reversal or correction. Conversely, when RSI falls below 30, it signals that an asset may be oversold, which can indicate a potential recovery. These thresholds provide traders with insight into whether the price has moved too far in one direction and is poised for a change. RSI can also highlight trend reversals through divergence. If the price of an asset continues to rise while the RSI drops, it indicates bearish divergence, signalling potential weakening momentum. On the other hand, bullish divergence occurs when the price falls, but the RSI rises, suggesting that the downward trend may be losing strength. Another useful RSI signal is when it crosses the 50-level. In an uptrend, RSI remaining above 50 can confirm momentum, while in a downtrend, staying below 50 reinforces bearish sentiment. However, RSI is not foolproof. During a strong trend, the indicator can signal overbought or oversold for a long while and lead to false signals. This is why it’s often paired with other indicators to confirm signals. Stochastic Oscillator The Stochastic Oscillator is a momentum-based indicator that assesses the relationship between an asset's closing price and its price range over a specific number of periods, typically 14. It consists of two lines: the %K line, the primary line, and the %D line, which is a moving average of %K, providing smoother signals. This oscillator ranges from 0 to 100, with readings above 80 indicating overbought conditions and those below 20 signalling oversold conditions. Traders utilise these signals to determine potential reversals in price. For example, when the oscillator rises above 80 and then drops below it, a potential sell signal is generated. Conversely, when it falls below 20 and climbs back above, it might indicate a buy opportunity. The Stochastic Oscillator also provides crossover signals, where the %K line crosses above or below the %D line. A bullish crossover occurs when %K rises above %D, indicating that upward momentum may be increasing. A bearish crossover happens when %K falls below %D, suggesting that momentum is shifting downward. In addition to overbought/oversold and crossovers, the Stochastic Oscillator can identify divergence, which signals potential trend reversals. A bullish divergence occurs when the price makes a lower low, but the oscillator shows a higher low, indicating a weakening downward momentum. On the other hand, a bearish divergence happens when the price makes a higher high, but the oscillator makes a lower high, suggesting the uptrend might be losing steam. While the Stochastic Oscillator can be powerful in range-bound markets, it can be prone to false signals in trending markets. On-Balance Volume (OBV) On-Balance Volume (OBV) is an indicator that tracks the flow of trading volume to assess whether buying or selling pressure is dominating the market. It was introduced by Joseph Granville in 1963, and its primary concept is that volume precedes price movements. This makes OBV a useful tool for analysing potential trend reversals. While the absolute value of OBV is not crucial, its direction over time provides insight into the market’s underlying sentiment. OBV offers several key signals: - Trend Direction: A rising OBV supports an upward price trend, indicating strong buying pressure, while a falling OBV reflects a downtrend with selling pressure. - Divergence: Traders use OBV to identify a divergence between price and volume. If the price is making new highs while OBV is falling, it suggests a weakening trend, potentially signalling a reversal. Conversely, rising OBV with falling prices can hint at a potential bullish reversal. - Breakouts: OBV can also be used to spot potential breakouts. For instance, if OBV rises while prices are range-bound, it may indicate an upcoming upward breakout. However, like any indicator, OBV has limitations. It can produce false signals in choppy markets and is used alongside other technical tools, such as Moving Averages or support and resistance levels, to improve reliability. Fibonacci Retracement Fibonacci retracements are a technical analysis tool that helps traders pinpoint potential support and resistance levels during price fluctuations. The tool is based on the Fibonacci sequence, a series of numbers that produce key ratios like 23.6%, 38.2%, 61.8%, and 78.6%. These percentages represent levels where the price of an asset might retrace before continuing its trend. Traders apply Fibonacci retracement by selecting two extreme points on a price chart, such as a recent high and low. The tool then plots horizontal lines at the Fibonacci levels, indicating possible areas where the price might pause or reverse. For example, in an uptrend, a price pullback to the 38.2% level could signal a buying opportunity if the trend is likely to resume. Fibonacci retracements are often used in conjunction with other indicators, such as the MACD or RSI, to confirm signals and enhance reliability. While they provide valuable insight into potential turning points, it's crucial to remember that these levels aren't guarantees—prices may not always behave as expected at these points, especially in volatile markets. How Traders Use Leading Indicators in Practice Traders use leading indicators to gain insights into potential price movements before they occur, helping them position themselves early in a trend. Here’s how leading indicators are typically applied: - Identifying Overbought or Oversold Conditions: Indicators like RSI or Stochastic Oscillator are used to spot extreme price levels. When these indicators signal that a market is overbought or oversold, traders analyse the situation for potential trend reversals. - Combining Indicators for Confirmation: It’s common to pair multiple leading indicators to strengthen signals. For example, a trader might use both the RSI and OBV to confirm momentum shifts and avoid acting on false signals. - Spotting Divergences: Traders look for divergence between an indicator and price action. For instance, if prices are rising, but the indicator is falling, it can suggest weakening momentum, signalling a potential downward reversal. - Clear Entry and Exit Points: Leading indicators often provide clear entry and exit points. For instance, the Stochastic Oscillator signals a bearish reversal and entry point when it crosses back below 80, with traders typically exiting the trade when the indicator crosses above 20. Likewise, Fibonacci retracements can provide precise levels where a trend might stall or reverse. Potential Risks and Limitations of Leading Indicators for Trading While leading indicators offer valuable insights into potential price movements, they come with risks and limitations. - False Signals: One of the biggest challenges is that leading indicators can generate false signals, especially in volatile markets. For instance, an indicator might signal a reversal, but the price continues in its original direction, leading traders to take positions prematurely​. - Limited Accuracy in Trending Markets: It’s common that in strong trends, such indicators remain overbought or oversold for extended periods, causing traders to misinterpret momentum. - Overreliance on One Indicator: No single indicator is foolproof. Relying heavily on one without considering other factors can lead to poor decisions. Traders need to combine leading indicators with other tools like support/resistance levels or trendlines to validate signals​. - Lagging in Fast-Moving Markets: Even though they are called "leading" indicators, they can sometimes lag in rapidly changing markets. By the time a signal is generated, the opportunity may have already passed​. The Bottom Line Whether trading forex, commodities, or the stock market, leading indicators offer valuable insights to help traders anticipate potential price movements. By combining these tools with a solid strategy, traders can better navigate market conditions. To start implementing these insights across more than 700 markets, consider opening an FXOpen account and take advantage of our high-speed, low-cost trading conditions. FAQ What Are the Leading Indicators in Trading? Leading indicators are technical analysis tools used to determine potential price movements before they happen. Traders use them to anticipate market shifts, such as reversals or breakouts, by analysing price momentum or trends. Common examples include the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Stochastic Oscillator, and Fibonacci retracement levels. What Are the Three Types of Leading Indicators? The three main types of leading indicators for trading are momentum indicators (e.g., Momentum (MOM) indicator), oscillators (e.g., Stochastic), and volume indicators (e.g., On-Balance Volume). These tools help determine market direction by assessing price action or trading volume. Is RSI a Leading Indicator? Yes, RSI (Relative Strength Index) is a leading indicator. Considered one of the potentially best leading indicators for day trading, it measures momentum by comparing recent gains and losses, helping traders spot overbought or oversold conditions before potential reversals. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
4
EUR/USD ANALYSISIn this analyze we are analyzing 1H time frame to identify that what will be the next move come occurs in EURUSD currency pair. I'm expecting that first price came down and touches our buying zone and than again move in upward direction. Let's wait when price enter into our zone and observed how will price react into our zone. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. This is just my analyze or prediction. #EURUSD 1H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
Long
by TradeTacticsreal
1
Euro-dollar on the brink of collapseGreetings to you all, dear Devan. I hope you support this analysis as always. The Euro-Dollar is falling in higher time frames like months and weeks, so we expect a further fall.🔥 We are expected to correct upwards in the new trading week and begin the main fall!🩸 Be sure to keep in mind that this post is analytical and only enter the market in specific areas with your own confirmation and trading setup.✔ Good luck and stay tuned💎💲
by gang_trader1
1
EURUSD - SIGNS OF RECOVERY?EURUSD has been in a downtrend (Bearish) for weeks looking at the Elliot wave pattern (D1) and is currently on wave E. But could there be signs of recovery or will it continue downwards to extend wave E maybe to previous low of 1.034 area? A break below 1.04550 would give us some strong confirmation on that. On the other hand (H4), pair is in a range and a descending channel formed therein. Price bounced off support level of 1.046 and somewhat trying to break above it as well. If it breaks above 1.0510 level we could see a rise to 1.0603 level thus bringing an end to wave E. That would also mean DXY would retreat from current strong resistance levels. if price breaks out of range i.e. below 1.046 then I go SHORT. But I would take a LONG bet next week once a break and close above 1.0510 is confirmed. Also RSI is showing some strong divergence on the H4 giving me some more convictions to go LONG. Sentiment data shows a MIXED reaction more reason for a wait and see what price does at these levels. From contrarian view, the bears should have it. Till then. Your thoughts?
Long
by GhosTrader_GT