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EURUSD trade ideas

EUR/USD tumbles below 1.0800 on Trump’s tariff planThe EUR/USD pair has declined amid a renewed demand for the US Dollar (USD) during Friday's Asian trading session. Additionally, Donald Trump's proposed tax increases have put pressure on the Euro (EUR) against the USD. Traders are now awaiting the US November Michigan Consumer Sentiment data for further market direction, along with a speech by Federal Reserve official Michelle Bowman later this week. Looking at the technical chart, the EUR/USD pair is currently in a downtrend, trading around 1.0780, down 0.2%. With resistance at 1.080, the pair has faced difficulties and has dropped to the support level at 1.071. Given the current factors, there is a possibility that the EUR/USD pair could break this support level and continue moving lower. Investors need to closely monitor economic data and comments from the Fed to catch any new signals from the market.
by Alisa_Rokosz
EURUSD SHORT SETUP Smart Money Play for EURUSD The goal is to wait for a pullback to resistance within this bearish trend, then position for a continuation downwards. Here’s a structured approach: 1. Look for a Pullback to Resistance: • Since price is in a previous consolidation range, watch for a pullback to a level of resistance, possibly near the upper bounds of this range. For instance, look at levels like a daily moving average (20 or 50 SMA) or a high-volume node in the volume profile, which could act as strong resistance. • Use the 4-hour Ichimoku Conversion Line or Base Line as a short-term resistance level. If price approaches but stays below these levels, it may signal a solid area to enter short. 2. Volume Confirmation: • During the pullback, if volume remains low or the Chaikin Oscillator stays negative, it would signal that the buying pressure is weak, making a continuation downwards more likely. • Look for the CMF and ADL to remain bearish, as confirmation that the broader selling pressure is intact. 3. Wait for a Clear Reversal Signal on the Lower Timeframe (4-Hour or 1-Hour): • Use the 4-hour chart to refine your entry. Wait for the RSI to re-enter bearish territory and for MACD to regain momentum on the downside. • Alternatively, a bearish Supertrend signal or a breakdown below the 4-hour Ichimoku Conversion Line after a weak pullback can serve as an entry trigger. 4. Downside Targets: • Set initial targets at recent lows within the consolidation range, as well as potential Fibonacci extension levels for the swing down. • If the daily downtrend continues to accelerate, you may consider trailing stops to capture a larger movement as long as price remains below the daily Ichimoku cloud. Summary of Smart Money Play 1. Trend Bias: Stay with the trend (bearish). 2. Setup: Wait for a pullback to resistance within the bearish trend, ideally near a moving average or high-volume node. 3. Entry Trigger: Confirm selling pressure resumes on the 4-hour or 1-hour chart. 4. Risk Management: Use recent highs or a level above the resistance as a stop, and target lower lows, with the option to trail the stop as long as bearish indicators align.
Short
by Shivsaransh1
This is all you need to get started: a paper trading account!Starting your trading journey wisely means utilizing a Paper Trading account, also known as a demo account. This account simulates the real trading experience by mirroring market movements and conditions, but operates without the risk of losing real money. It offers traders access to comprehensive market data just like a live account, enabling practice with real-world price fluctuations—if Gold (XAU/USD) experiences a 5% rise or fall, the same scenario reflects in the demo account. This provides an excellent opportunity to understand market dynamics without financial exposure. A Beginner's Best Friend: The Demo Account For novice traders, a demo account is an essential entry point into the financial markets. It allows individuals to familiarize themselves with various trading aspects and strategies. Many traders base their transition to live trading on the insights and performance gleaned from their demo accounts. The convenience of setting one up is straightforward—simply use the Paper Trading option on TradingView to practice with a simulated account. Click on the Trading Panel of your chart, and you'll find the Paper Trading option on TradingView. Advanced Applications for Experienced Traders However, the utility of demo accounts isn’t confined to just beginners; seasoned traders also derive significant benefits. Experimenting with New Strategies Experienced traders frequently utilize demo accounts to try out and assess new trading strategies. This method serves as a safe way to test different approaches without putting their capital at risk. Evaluating Automated Tools Developers of trading bots and algorithms rely on demo accounts for comprehensive testing of their tools. These automated systems undergo rigorous backtesting in a zero-risk environment, ensuring they are ready for live trading scenarios. Training and Development Demo accounts serve as effective training platforms for both individual traders and those employed within financial institutions. Whether it’s a retail trader or a professional in a hedge fund, these accounts offer vital learning experiences that hone skills effectively. Skill Development and Confidence Building The benefits of demo accounts extend to enhancing both technical and soft skills. Fundamental competencies such as market analysis, strategy formation, and data interpretation can be improved in a low-stakes setting. Meanwhile, soft skills like patience, resilience, and adaptability receive a boost, ultimately shaping a well-rounded trader. Moreover, the journey can build confidence. Since trading can be intricate and losing money can shake one's self-assurance, a demo account provides a haven for refining trading strategies without risking actual funds. This psychological support can significantly influence success in the live markets, where self-confidence is often linked to profitability. How Long Should You Practice? The duration one should spend in a demo account varies, influenced by personal factors. For those transitioning to full-time trading, a minimum of three months is advisable. Though this may seem lengthy, it is a small price to pay for a comprehensive understanding of market dynamics and a variety of trading conditions. The Advantages of Practicing Day Trading in a Demo Account 1- Accelerated Learning Utilizing non-market hours for practice enables traders to quickly accumulate experience, far exceeding what can be gained during regular market sessions. 2- Preparedness for Quick Decisions Day trading requires rapid decision-making skills. Regular practice in a demo account equips traders to respond swiftly to market fluctuations. 3- Intuitive Market Recognition Frequent practice encourages an instinctual grasp of market conditions, vital for timely and effective trading actions. 4- Confidence in Trading Decisions Confidence plays a critical role in a day trader's success. Thorough practice in a risk-free environment allows traders to build confidence before they step into live trading. 5- Adaptability to Market Variability Day traders often experience victories and losses. Practicing within a controlled environment fosters a clear mindset to tackle each trade, essential for adapting to shifting market scenarios. 6- Setting Realistic Income Expectations Repeated practice enables traders to set achievable income expectations, cultivating a sensible outlook prior to committing to full-time trading. 7- Enhancing Chart Analysis Skills A demo account encourages traders to develop chart reading abilities without becoming overly reliant on them, promoting a balanced analytical approach. 8- Personal Trading Style Development The complexities of day trading call for personalized strategies. Regular practice in a demo account allows traders to foster their unique trading styles and embrace accountability for their decisions. 9- Effective Risk Management Practicing with margin in a demo account allows traders to experiment with leverage while treating each trade seriously. Also Read: and now... "Best Practices for Using Demo Accounts" To ensure you maximize the benefits of a demo account, adopt the following strategies: Serious Approach Although no real money is at stake, treating the demo account with seriousness enhances realism and deepens the learning experience. Realistic Capital Allocation Even though demo accounts may offer unlimited capital, traders should simulate an amount similar to their intended live trading capital for a more accurate experience. Maintain Consistent Leverage Using the same leverage plan that you would apply during live trading ensures that your demo experience aligns closely with potential future outcomes. Gradual Transition to Live Trading Transitioning from a demo account to live trading should be done thoughtfully. Test your strategies extensively in the demo environment, simulating real trading amounts, to reduce the likelihood of mistakes once you start live trading. In conclusion... In summary, a demo account is a vital resource for both novice and experienced traders navigating the complexities of financial markets. For beginners, it provides a risk-free avenue to grasp market dynamics and develop essential trading techniques. For seasoned professionals, demo accounts are indispensable for strategy testing, evaluating automated tools, and enhancing both technical and psychological skills. While the ideal duration in a demo account varies from trader to trader, committing to three months is recommended for anyone serious about entering full-time trading. Day traders particularly stand to gain by practicing within a demo setting, allowing them to accelerate skill acquisition, prepare for snap decisions, and foster a robust sense of confidence. The structured environment of a demo account promotes the crafting of personalized trading strategies, the establishment of effective risk management practices, and the ability to adapt to real-world market conditions. Lastly I would like to add this previous lecture to this post, I'm sure will be useful for you... The Psychology Of Trading How To Manage Your Emotions and.. The Benefits of Keeping a Trading Journal for Your Psychology ✅ Please share your thoughts about this article in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my post. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Education
by FOREXN1
1
#EURUSD - 08112024EURUSD made a perfect long as per plan given yesterday and it hit the price target, over a 100 pips higher, and it sold down 60 pips off the price target before recovering. Bearish sell down on Thursday followed by a recovery to my sell level yesterday. What's next? I see a possible move for EURUSD to 1.0733 and then we see the reaction off the level; either a higher low for a move higher or a break and a move lower (as per the plan given yesterday). In a way, the move yesterday could be seen as a pullback. And market did sell down after hitting the price target so IMO sellers are present and so could see a move lower first.
by FadeMeIfYouCan
EURUSD_116 2024.11.08 06:03:07 Trading Signal SELLFrankPro Signal for EURUSD_116 Type: Screen Signal: SELL TP: 1.07451 SL: 1.07901 Entry Price: 1.07826 Analysis for EURUSD Forecast Overall(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST= Strong Down LT= Strong Up Forecast Methods(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST=Down LT=Up ST=Down LT=Up ST=Down LT=Up Analysis Method(0) Based on the provided analysis, here are my conclusions for the EUR/USD pair: **Short-term (next few days):** * The price is expected to go down, with a potential test of the support area near 1.0685. * A break below 1.0704 could signal further declines to 1.0660 and 1.0645. * However, there is a possibility of a corrective advance, with a potential rebound from the lower border of the bearish channel and a rebound from the bullish trend line on the RSI. * The upside is capped by the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.0830, adding to the selling pressure. **Long-term (next few weeks/months):** * The overall trend is bearish, with the pair trading below a flat 100 Simple Moving Average (SMA) and a firmly bearish 20 SMA. * The ECB's cautious stance on monetary policy and weak German data suggest limited near-term support for the euro. * However, the analysis mentions a potential growth towards the area above 1.0925 following a rebound from the support area near 1.0685. * The impact of economic data and ECB policy on the pair's long-term trend is uncertain and will depend on future developments. In summary, the short-term outlook is bearish, with a potential test of the support area near 1.0685, while the long-term trend is also bearish, but with a possibility of a rebound and growth towards the area above 1.0925. Result: ST=Down LT=Up Analysis Method(1) Based on the analysis, here are my predictions for the EUR/USD pair: **Short-term (next few days/week):** The price is expected to **go down**. The technical outlook suggests further losses, with potential to revisit the June low of 1.0666 and possibly the 2024 low at 1.0600. The pair has broken below all its moving averages, and technical indicators are firmly bearish despite being in oversold territory. **Long-term (next quarter/12 months):** The price is expected to **stay the same** or **go up slightly**. Long-term forecasts indicate the EUR/USD could trade at 1.08 by the end of the quarter and around 1.06 in 12 months, according to Trading Economics' global macro models. This suggests that the current downward trend may be reversed in the long term, with the pair potentially rebounding from its current lows. Please note that these predictions are based on the analysis provided and are subject to change as new data and events become available. Result: ST=Down LT=Up Analysis Method(2) **Short-term Analysis (Next 24-48 hours)** Based on the current market conditions and forecasts, I expect the EUR/USD price to **go down** in the short term. The bearish momentum, as indicated by the technical analysis, suggests that the pair may continue to decline, potentially testing support levels around 1.0665 and 1.0645. The strong US dollar sentiment, weak Eurozone economic data, and the upcoming Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates (expected to include a 0.25% rate cut) may further contribute to the downward pressure on the euro. **Long-term Analysis (Next week and beyond)** In the long term, the outlook for the EUR/USD pair is more uncertain. While the current bearish momentum may persist in the near term, there are potential upside risks that could lead to a rebound. If the pair holds above key support levels, some forecasts suggest a potential upward movement above 1.0925. Additionally, the impact of the US presidential election and the subsequent policy decisions may lead to a shift in market sentiment, potentially benefiting the euro. Therefore, in the long term, I expect the EUR/USD price to **stay the same** or potentially **go up**, depending on the outcome of the upcoming events and the overall market sentiment. Please note that these analyses are based on the available data and forecasts, and the actual market movements may differ. Result: ST=Down LT=Up
Short
by orbborisson
Trade 1: EUR/USD - SL HitThings that might went wrong technically: 1. The trade was entered when shorter EMA crossed under with longer EMA in 15min time frame, so the possible early entry and TP was compromised to intraday. EMA cross under was 15% early that the 15min EMA cross under, where the 5min time frame: - EMA crossed under after taking resistance in the range - Pulled back and took support of the EMA cross price level 2. Anticipated a larger move of 0.43%. However the maximum price moved was 14% from entry. If entered at pullback of EMA cross under, the potential TP would have been 28% maximum. Also the price took support at Medium HMA in 15min time frame. 3. While the trade touched SL exit; there was EMA cross over in 5min time frame. However, the SL was not touched, that might be because the medium HMA was still over shorter HMA, and the EMA crosses under again before shorter HMA crossed over medium HMA. However, in the 2nd EMA cross over, the HMA also crossed over and the price hit SL. Possible profit booking could have been: - breakeven - HMA crossed over - EMA cross over in 15min Time Frame
by MyWayofLookingThings
EURUSDThe EURUSD has the potential for a bearish swing on the fundamental side, as the euro is not doing well! The forthcoming US elections on Tuesday 5 November 2024 could help the euro fall ... On my chart I have identified two zones, my black line which would give me a bearish candle and my trendline if the price is brought to break it could make the price fall below a return to 1.06000. November will trigger a price expansion, but it remains to be seen in which direction!
Short
by MCY-TRADER-BTC_GOLD
EUR/USD: PAT + VPA 10/02/2024Good afternoon, Today, my focus will be on identifying long entries for a long position, as we appear to have reached a selling climax. On the 15-minute time frame, a robust demand zone is evident between 1.0300 and 1.0400. The market has made a significant move towards 1.0300, leaving indications of early buying activity from "Market Makers." A notable reversal occurred on October 1st, followed by the formation of a bullish wedge (which is typically a bearish pattern) that pushed the market below the previous low. Currently, we are beginning to form a triangle on the 15-minute chart, which serves as a critical signal for a potential market reversal, particularly since it has not managed to fill the liquidity above it. This downward movement seems designed to eliminate the remaining sellers and early buyers. Additionally, my strategy, "High Clear," has materialized, suggesting that a liquidity sweep of the recent low was anticipated. I am now monitoring the fourth leg of the triangle as it approaches the lower congestion line, preparing for a potential breakout with the fifth leg. It is important to note that if a sixth leg forms, it would indicate a continuation of the market trend. I suspect that the market is attempting to prompt traders to shift to short positions, setting the stage for one final significant rally towards 1.1300. I anticipate that the market could reach this level in the coming weeks, unless we observe the formation of a six-legged triangle. The Pip Assassin FX:EURUSD TVC:DXY XETR:DAX
Long
by ThePipAssassin
2
EURUSD_118 2024.11.07 09:29:03 Trading Signal SELLFrankPro Signal for EURUSD_118 Type: Screen Signal: SELL TP: 1.07203 SL: 1.07679 Entry Price: 1.07611 Analysis for EURUSD Forecast Overall(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST= Strong Down LT= Strong Up Forecast Methods(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST=Down LT=Up ST=Down LT=Up ST=Down LT=Up Analysis Method(0) Based on the provided analysis, here are my conclusions for the EUR/USD pair: **Short-term (next few days):** * The price is expected to go down, with a potential test of the support area near 1.0685. * A break below 1.0704 could signal further declines to 1.0660 and 1.0645. * However, there is a possibility of a corrective advance, with a potential rebound from the lower border of the bearish channel and a rebound from the bullish trend line on the RSI. * The upside is capped by the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.0830, adding to the selling pressure. **Long-term (next few weeks/months):** * The overall trend is bearish, with the pair trading below a flat 100 Simple Moving Average (SMA) and a firmly bearish 20 SMA. * The ECB's cautious stance on monetary policy and weak German data suggest limited near-term support for the euro. * However, the analysis mentions a potential growth towards the area above 1.0925 following a rebound from the support area near 1.0685. * The impact of economic data and ECB policy on the pair's long-term trend is uncertain and will depend on future developments. In summary, the short-term outlook is bearish, with a potential test of the support area near 1.0685, while the long-term trend is also bearish, but with a possibility of a rebound and growth towards the area above 1.0925. Result: ST=Down LT=Up Analysis Method(1) Based on the analysis, here are my predictions for the EUR/USD pair: **Short-term (next few days/week):** The price is expected to **go down**. The technical outlook suggests further losses, with potential to revisit the June low of 1.0666 and possibly the 2024 low at 1.0600. The pair has broken below all its moving averages, and technical indicators are firmly bearish despite being in oversold territory. **Long-term (next quarter/12 months):** The price is expected to **stay the same** or **go up slightly**. Long-term forecasts indicate the EUR/USD could trade at 1.08 by the end of the quarter and around 1.06 in 12 months, according to Trading Economics' global macro models. This suggests that the current downward trend may be reversed in the long term, with the pair potentially rebounding from its current lows. Please note that these predictions are based on the analysis provided and are subject to change as new data and events become available. Result: ST=Down LT=Up Analysis Method(2) **Short-term Analysis (Next 24-48 hours)** Based on the current market conditions and forecasts, I expect the EUR/USD price to **go down** in the short term. The bearish momentum, as indicated by the technical analysis, suggests that the pair may continue to decline, potentially testing support levels around 1.0665 and 1.0645. The strong US dollar sentiment, weak Eurozone economic data, and the upcoming Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates (expected to include a 0.25% rate cut) may further contribute to the downward pressure on the euro. **Long-term Analysis (Next week and beyond)** In the long term, the outlook for the EUR/USD pair is more uncertain. While the current bearish momentum may persist in the near term, there are potential upside risks that could lead to a rebound. If the pair holds above key support levels, some forecasts suggest a potential upward movement above 1.0925. Additionally, the impact of the US presidential election and the subsequent policy decisions may lead to a shift in market sentiment, potentially benefiting the euro. Therefore, in the long term, I expect the EUR/USD price to **stay the same** or potentially **go up**, depending on the outcome of the upcoming events and the overall market sentiment. Please note that these analyses are based on the available data and forecasts, and the actual market movements may differ. Result: ST=Down LT=Up
Short
by frankiepro
EUR/USD Technical AnalysisFxNews —The EUR/USD currency pair stabilizes above the 100-period simple moving average and the 1.084 immediate support level. This occurs as Stochastic records show a reading of 82, indicating that the Euro is overpriced in the short term. Additionally, the Awesome Oscillator histogram is red, suggesting that the bear market is strengthening. Forecast From a technical perspective, the bullish outlook remains valid as long as the price holds above the 1.085 support level. In this scenario, the next target could be the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.093. Please note that the bullish outlook should be considered invalid if the price dips below 1.084.
Long
by FxNews-me
Dollar's Resilience: EU, GU and AU Levels to Watch!The US dollar continues its impressive rally, demonstrating resilience amidst global uncertainty. This analysis dives into the key levels and upcoming catalysts that could shape the dollar's trajectory in the week ahead. Technical Confirmation of Bullish Momentum The dollar's uptrend is clear, not just from the economic data, but also from the charts. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has broken through key resistance levels, signaling further upside potential. The clean breakouts and strong momentum observed on various timeframes reinforce the bullish outlook for the dollar. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently hovering around the recently surpassed 104.00 level, establishing a trading range in anticipation of a crucial week filled with significant data releases and economic events. A breakout from this range, coupled with a break of the immediate resistance at 105.00, could ignite a powerful bullish trend for the dollar. Key Economic Events to Watch This week is packed with important economic news that could affect the dollar. Here's what to keep an eye on: • FOMC Interest Rate Decision: The Fed is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points, but the market will be focusing on their forward guidance and any surprises. • Bank of England (BOE) Interest Rate Decision: With inflation cooling in the UK, a rate cut is anticipated. However, the market will be watching for clues about the BOE's future policy path. • Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Monetary Policy Meeting: No change in policy is expected, but the market will be looking for any shifts in the RBA's tone and possible dovish commentaries. What Does This Mean for Traders? The dollar's strength is a major force in the forex market. By keeping an eye on these economic events and understanding the technical picture, traders can identify potential opportunities. Key Levels for Major Pairs: EUR/USD: The EURUSD pair recently tested the 1.0900 level, and traders are now anticipating the next move. A decisive break above this level could propel the pair towards 1.1000. Conversely, a bounce off 1.0900 may signal a potential return to October's low of 1.0800. GBP/USD: GBP/USD is showing vulnerability. Should the Bank of England (BOE) adopt a dovish stance, the GBPUSD pair is likely to retreat to the 1.285 level, with a significant possibility of breaking below this support. AUD/USD: Despite opening the week above 0.6600, the AUDUSD pair faces strong bearish pressure, suggesting a likely continuation of the downward trend. A break below the minor support at 0.6550 could pave the way for a decline towards 0.6500. Engage with us! Share your thoughts on the dollar's outlook in the comments below. Follow our profile for more fundamental and technical analysis updates.
by E8Markets
1