EURUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers, and welcome!
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Key Points
- U.S. President Trump commented on the mutual tariff suspension deadline of July 9, saying, “We can do whatever we want. We could extend it, or shorten it,” leaving the door open for an extension.
- U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that trade negotiations could be finalized by September 1, adding that agreements were nearing completion with more than 10 of the 18 major trading partners.
- President Trump noted that Canada is preparing to implement a digital tax, saying, “We will halt all trade discussions with Canada and within the next seven days inform them of the tariffs they must pay to operate in the U.S.”
- The U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for May met expectations at 2.3% year-over-year, while the Core PCE Price Index slightly exceeded expectations at 2.7% year-over-year.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ June 30: U.K. Q1 GDP
+ July 1: Eurozone June CPI, Speech by Fed Chair Jerome Powell, U.S. JOLTS (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey)
+ July 2: U.S. June ADP Nonfarm Employment Change
+ July 3: U.S. June Nonfarm Payrolls, U.S. June Unemployment Rate
EURUSD Chart Analysis
The pair is showing a steep upward trend after breaking through a previous resistance level. Further upside potential appears to remain, with the next projected target area around the 1.18500–1.19000 range. However, there is currently a resistance zone in place, making it highly likely that a short-term dip may occur before the upward trend resumes.
EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD H4 I Bullish BounceBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.1631, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 1.1745, a swing high resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fib extension.
The stop loss is placed at 1.1582, an overlap support.
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EURUSD JUNE MONTH DELIVERY & NFP week ideasEURUSD
JUNE MONTH DELIVERY
*June closes with a expansion/accumulation monthly candle
*Price wicked to the Weekly SIBI from sept 2021
*Price expanded to come just below the parent range .79 Premium
*Note since May 13 price has been in a buy program with little retrace
*Price is delivering to a Premium market taking key equal highs last week
June 27 DELIVERY
*Thursday into Friday price consolidates
*Asia takes minor equal lows
*2 London macro expands to the buy side
*small retrace
*6 macro starts the expansion cycle to send Price to take equal highs
*10 silver bullet price reverses Londons delivery taking minor sell side
*14:00 macro Price retraces to close rebalancing NY am delivery
*Price closes just above the 50 in a premium
NFP WEEK IDEAS
Deep premium with little retrace last week-over bought
*I suspect that we could see a retrace/reversal beginning of NFP week
*could we see price come to the current range 50 level 1.16037
*Note the EV is in a discount could price retrace to that target for the week
June 30 IDEAS
*Parent bias is bull stick to it this week
*Sundays delivery Price could retrace to minor equal highs at the .618
*Note Dealers range is already 32 pips-setting up for a potential larger expansion day
*watch out for a possible consolidation cycle Monday-typical profile is expansion but we will see with no news
*Sundays delivery could consolidation
*Watch for reaction at .618 at minor equal highs
*see if we swing for higher prices in Asia to London and lower in NY for Mondays suspected delivery-read what the chart prints this is just an idea-its not my gospel
EURUSD Trade IdeaEURUSD is Bullish, on the weekly and daily time frame.
With RSI near the overbought region on the daily timeframe, there is a great probability that the trend perform a pull back to the support level @1.1590 zone.
If the trend break the CHocH at the 4Hr timeframe (body candle not wick), then will go short till 1.1600 level. If the news this coming week are in favor of the USD, we might see more drawdown till the Order block OB4H.
Let's be patient and watch the market carefully
Good Luck!
EURUSD What Next? SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The market is trading on 1.1716 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.1635
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 27, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the course of this week's trading session, the Eurodollar has exhibited a strong rebound, successfully retesting and surpassing the Outer Currency Rally threshold of 1.163. Recent analyses suggest that the Euro is poised for further upward advancement, with the key target to reach the outer currency rally target of 1.177. Nonetheless, it is essential to recognize the possibility of a subsequent decline to the Mean Support level of 1.160 before a definitive upward movement.
EURUSD Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.1716
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.1644
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
DeGRAM | EURUSD will continue to grow rapidly📊 Technical Analysis
● Euro keeps hugging the upper rail of the 3-month rising channel after re-testing the broken April triangle top as support, confirming fresh trend acceleration.
● Momentum is unbroken – every 4 h pullback since 17 Jun has held above the inner trend-line (now 1.1717); measured channel height points to the next fib / horizontal cluster at 1.1869.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Softer US durable-goods orders and slowing housing data cooled 2-yr yields, while ECB speakers signalled no rush to ease again; the short-rate gap narrowed for a third session, underpinning EUR strength.
✨ Summary
Buy dips ≥1.1717; upside targets 1.1800 then 1.1869. Bull view void on a 4 h close below 1.1600.
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Bullish rise?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has broken out of the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.1569
1st Support: 1.1530
1st Resistance: 1.1631
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#AN013: USD and AUD under pressure, Euro advances
1. India: New strategy on FX volatility
The Indian Respondents' Bank (RBI) is allowing more volatility on the USD/INR exchange rate, prompting many companies to hedge with forward contracts. This is the highest level of coverage since 2020.
We thank in advance our Official Broker Partner PEPPERSTONE who supported us in writing this article.
FX Impact:
Potential weakening of the rupee in the short term, but increased stability in the medium-long term.
Volatility on USD/INR, EUR/INR, JPY/INR ? opportunities for carry trades and short-term shorts if the dollar strengthens.
2. Australia hit by extreme storms
Severe storms hit New South Wales, Queensland and Victoria: 100 km/h winds, torrential rains and blackouts on over 30,000 homes.
Australian economic sentiment pressured ? AUD weak.
Opportunities on AUD/USD, AUD/JPY and AUD/NZD from a short perspective.
Monitor agricultural and insurance developments ? risk of extended downside.
3. Iran: Fordow nuclear site severely damaged
US strike hits Iranian nuclear site. In response, Iran has threatened to mine the Strait of Hormuz, a critical point for global oil transport.
Geopolitical volatility expected to rise.
Increased flows to safe haven currencies: JPY, CHF and USD.
Also impacting CAD and AUD due to oil ? risk of short-term upside but corrections if stalemate persists.
4. US $3.3 trillion fiscal package under discussion
Senate considering mega stimulus plan. This fuels fears of new debt ? dollar falls to 4-year low against euro.
EUR/USD long strengthened (break above 1.17 already underway).
GBP/USD and NZD/USD potentially in push.
Risk of FED rate cut? increased volatility on dollar and bonds.
Strategic Conclusion
Recommended operations: long on EUR/USD, short on AUD/USD, long on USD/INR (only with confirmation).
Watch out for the next 48 hours: possible spike on CHF, JPY and CAD.
Institutional timing: probable fund inflows on EUR and USD in case of confirmed breakouts; stay ready but avoid front-running.
Stay updated for other news.
EURUSD tested the Resistance level 1.17460 👀 Possible scenario:
On June 30, the euro (EUR) rose 0.15% to 1.17500, briefly reaching 1.17540—its highest level since September 2021—marking a 1.57% weekly gain, the strongest since May 19. The rally was driven by broad U.S. dollar weakness as markets adjusted to signs of slowing U.S. growth and subdued inflation, fueling expectations of a more dovish Federal Reserve. Meanwhile, resilient European data supported the euro.
On June 30, investors will closely monitor speeches from European Central Bank (ECB) officials for policy signals, with particular focus on President Christine Lagarde’s address at 5:00 p.m. UTC, which may provide key insights into the ECB’s monetary stance.
✅Support and Resistance Levels
Now, the support level is located at 1.15900
Resistance level is located at 1.17460
EUR/USD 4H – Approaching Major Supply Zone | Potential Mid-Term EUR/USD 4H – Approaching Major Supply Zone | Potential Mid-Term Reversal
Euro has extended its bullish rally into a historically strong supply/resistance zone around 1.17185 – 1.19774, which aligns with the previous rejection zone from mid-2024. Price is showing signs of slowing down near this upper boundary.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Strong Supply Zone (1.1718 – 1.1977): A major resistance area that previously triggered sharp sell-offs. This zone is now retested after months of bullish recovery.
Momentum Divergence Potential: Price has climbed aggressively, but with signs of exhaustion visible on the lower timeframe candles.
Demand Zones Below:
First support at 1.15998
Followed by deeper demand areas at 1.14990, 1.12850, and 1.11046 – all marking clean reaction zones.
📊 Trade Setup:
Bias: Short (swing position)
Sell Entry Zone: 1.17185 – 1.19774
Stop Loss: Above 1.19800 (above key supply zone)
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 1.15998
TP2: 1.12850
TP3: 1.11000
🧠 Tactical Note:
Watch for bearish confirmation (engulfing candle / structure break) before executing entries. A clean rejection from the supply zone could provide an attractive swing setup with a favorable risk-reward profile.
Profit TakingYesterday, EURUSD continued its bullish move and reached 1,1747.
Currently, we focus more on reducing risk and taking profits rather than entering new positions.
We’re approaching the final days of the quarter, and next week brings key economic events.
New entries will be considered only if a favorable risk-reward setup presents itself.
The next resistance remains at 1,1778!
EURUSD – Short-Term Top Signal, Sellers Getting ReadyEURUSD has reached the upper boundary of the ascending channel around 1.17190 and immediately faced selling pressure. This zone previously acted as a strong reversal area, and with a rejection candlestick and a forming FVG, the risk of a downward correction is increasing.
Currently, the price is moving sideways just below the high, forming lower highs — suggesting a possible distribution pattern before breaking the bullish structure. If price breaks below the FVG zone near 1.165–1.166, the move could extend toward the technical target at 1.15900 — aligning with the channel bottom and a historical liquidity area.
Recent fundamental drivers:
U.S. economic data remains strong (Jobless Claims, Core PCE) → supports USD strength
The ECB remains cautious and hasn’t committed to further rate hikes → slightly weakens the euro