EURUSD trade ideas
EUR/USD soars as eurozone CPI higher than expectedThe euro has charged out of the gates and posted strong gains on Monday. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0484, up 1.06%. With today's sharp gains, the euro has ended a three-day slide.
Inflation in the eurozone eased to 2.4% y/y in February, down from 2.5% in January but above the market estimate of 2.3%. Monthly, inflation jumped 0.5%, the fastest pace since April 2024 and after a January decline of 0.3%. It was the same story for core CPI, which slowed to 2.6% y/y, down from 2.7% in January but above the market estimate of 2.5%.
Investors focused on the fact that CPI was higher than expected and on the hot monthly CPI figure. As a result, the euro has soared as the European Central Bank could delay rate-cut plans with inflation surprising on the upside. The ECB is also concerned about sticky services inflation, which fell from 3.9% to 3.7% but remains much higher than the inflation target of 2%.
The ECB lowered rates in January and meets next on March 6. There is little doubt that the ECB will trim rates by a quarter-point but after that the rate path is unclear. The eurozone economy is sluggish and hasn't shown much response to the five rate cuts from the ECB since it started its easing cycle last June. The economy could use additional rate cuts but the ECB remains concerned about the upward risk of inflation and today's CPI report hasn't put those worries to rest.
Europe's manufacturing sector is stuck in the doldrums, with contractions in Germany, Italy, France and even Spain, which has been the eurozone's bright spot. Still, there is some optimism among manufacturers, as Germany quickly formed a government and there is the possibility of an end to the war in Ukraine.
EUR/USD is testing resistance at 1.0483. Above, there is resistance at 1.0590
1.0421 and 1.0314 are the next support lines
Short trade
1Hr TF overview
Pair: EURUSD
Sellside trade
Fri 28th Feb 25
6.00 am (NY Time)
Tokyo to LND Session AM
Entry 1.03943
Profit level 1.03192 (0.72%)
Stop level 1.04080 (0.13%)
RR 5.48
Reason: I am observing price action on the 1Hr TF using a supply-and-demand narrative for directional bias and a sell-side trade idea.
EURO is readying for a correction against USD?#EUR chart seems have been weakening , a correction may be on the table.
EURUSDWhat you can see based on my analysis Is that price is in a down strong down trend and is also in a demand zone that has now turned into a support Level, and that support / Demand Zone happens to be around a Psychological Level
EUROUSD 4H LONG (Results)Due to inattentive study of the rules of the tradingviews platform, the trading idea was blocked (sorry)
I apologize to those who used this idea in their trading system due to the blocking, I will be more careful in the future.
Result: EUROUSD 4H LONG reaches the first key zone for taking profits.
I move my stop into profit and wait for new variables from the market.
Finally A Clear View Short for eurusd is what I’m seeing from this level. Our main trend is down and I’m expecting a continuation down before we reverse back up for the high time frame consolidation.
EURUSD RetracementAnticipating a retracement towards the newly found support before bulls dominate again. 1,07261 would be the final target for the bulls
03-03-2025 _ Short Term Bearish Idea _ EURUSD H41- Divergence and Tripple Top
2- Followed by Convergence
3-This suggests a typical scenario of Pullback followed by a move to the downside.
EURUSD M15 I Bearish BreakoutBased on the M15 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling toward our sell entry at 1.0477
A bearish breakout from this level could drop toward our take profit at 1.0423, a pullback support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.05277, a swing-high resistance.
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Breaking down my EUR/USD tradeGreat-Things Traders!
Breaking down my EUR/USD trade from earlier for educational purposes. Pay close attention, as there are key lessons here for refining your execution and market understanding.
Market Structure & Initial Bias
Looking at the higher timeframe structure, we identified a strong bearish impulse leading into a deep discount zone. The initial manipulation phase set up liquidity grabs during the New York session, leading to a sharp reversal. This was a clear indication that smart money was active.
Key Zones & Liquidity Grabs
Manipulation Phase: We observed aggressive sell-side liquidity being taken out during the New York PM session, setting up for a potential reversal.
Accumulation Phase: Price began consolidating post-manipulation, forming an accumulation phase. This was a clear sign of institutional interest before the next expansion.
Asia Liquidity Grab: Price swept Asian session highs, confirming the accumulation and creating a high-probability trade setup for a long entry.
Entry & Execution
Entry Confirmation: After liquidity was taken, price formed a solid bullish structure shift (market structure shift - MST). Confirmation came with a strong bullish engulfing candle, signaling intent to push higher.
Entry Zone: Entered at the Fibonacci 0.62-0.79 retracement zone from the manipulation low.
Stop Loss: Placed below the manipulation wick, ensuring protection against potential liquidity hunts.
Target Zones:
First Target: Mitigation of 50% of the prior imbalance.
Final Target: 1.0460 Distribution Zone, aligning with major liquidity pools and previous supply zones.
Market Psychology & Smart Money Concepts
Mitigation & Repricing: As price retraced, it mitigated unfilled institutional orders from the prior bearish move, leading to the explosive bullish push.
New Week Opening Gap (NWOG): Price respected the 50% of the New Week Opening Gap (NWOG), using it as a launchpad for higher pricing. Also swept Asia Low.
Distribution Zone: The final target aligns with a previous supply area, where smart money could look to offload positions.
Lessons to Take Away
✅ Always wait for liquidity grabs before entering trades.
✅ Use smart money concepts to identify high-probability setups.
✅ Market structure shifts (MST) + order flow are key confirmations.
✅ Fibonacci retracements & mitigation zones offer sniper entries.
✅ Patience pays off – let the market show its hand before taking action.
This trade followed a textbook manipulation-accumulation-expansion-distribution model, aligning with institutional order flow. Hope this breakdown helps refine your execution and enhances your understanding of how smart money operates!
Stay disciplined, stay patient, and execute with precision.
Lord MEDZ
EURUSD| H4Euro to Dollar analysis for the upcoming week:
If the current support zone, where the price is above, is broken, we could see a drop to the 1.02020 level. However, if the support holds and the price continues to rise, I expect a drop at the resistance zone of 1.06794.
Eurusd Short holders Beware!!!Hello Guys
Here We have a long setup for the Euros where we are most likely to target above the retail resistance level 1.0535 and above, where all stoploss resides.
i have uploaded the entry stoploss and target already to play out the long setup here.
Good luck Good trading
:)
EURUSD - Short Trade IdeaLooking to ride a short to my long POI where my Stairway to Heaven model resides.
The short trade is based off a bullish manipulation during the start of London session towards the sellside liquidity and long POI is.
- R2F Trading
EUR/USD Trend Today Trading Day🔔🔔🔔EUR/USD news:
👉Trump confirmed that tariffs on Canada and Mexico will take effect starting Tuesday and revealed plans to double the 10% universal tariff on Chinese imports. This move increases the likelihood of a global trade war, boosting demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
👉Meanwhile, traders continue to anticipate that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will implement two quarter-point interest rate cuts by the end of the year due to weakening consumer sentiment. As a result, the US Dollar (USD) struggles to extend its three-day rebound from a more than two-month low.
👉At the same time, the Euro (EUR) strengthens as Europe intensifies its diplomatic efforts to achieve peace in Ukraine. This puts additional pressure on the USD while further supporting gold prices, which are denominated in US Dollars.
Personal opinion:
👉At the time of writing, EUR/USD is priced at 1.0400. It is expected that there will be a slight recovery because the RSI (1H) indicator is in the sell zone and will bounce at 1.0360 to maintain the medium-term uptrend.
Analysis:
👉Based on important resistance - support levels combined with trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy EUR/USD 1.0365 – 1.0355
❌SL: 1.0310 | ✅TP: 1.0410 – 1.0450 – 1.0490
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Sell EUR - 4HTrade Setup
Trade Bias: Bearish (Price is making lower highs and lower lows, with recent rejection from a resistance zone.)
Entry Price: 1.0380 (After a minor pullback to previous support turned resistance.)
Stop Loss: 1.0430 (Above the recent swing high and key resistance.)
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 1.0320 (Previous support zone.)
TP2: 1.0275 (Extended target near the next major support.)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2+ (Depending on execution, targeting at least twice the risk.)
Trade Rationale:
Price action shows a bearish structure with lower highs and lower lows.
The market recently rejected a key resistance zone.
A pullback to 1.0380 could provide an optimal short entry before continuation downward.
Bearish momentum aligns with the overall trend, increasing the probability of further downside.
www.tradingview.com
Clear Sign for short-tradeThe price chart has clearly established a robust resistance level, showing no signs of breaking through again. As a result, the price is likely to breach the first trendline in the near term, entering an accumulation phase. During this phase, the price is expected to consolidate for some time before eventually breaking the second trendline. This breakout will likely trigger a downward movement, potentially driving the price toward the 1.013 level by mid-March.
EUR/USD Potential Rebound – Short-Term Buy Opportunity?Analysis & Description:
The EUR/USD pair has experienced a strong bearish move, pushing the price down to a key support zone near the lower Bollinger Band. A potential bounce-back scenario is forming, as indicated by the setup.
Key Observations:
✅ Bollinger Band Support: Price touched the lower band, suggesting a possible short-term reversal.
✅ Recovery Setup: The chart outlines a bullish recovery with a target around 1.04128 - 1.04169.
✅ Risk-Reward Setup: Stop-loss positioned below the recent low to manage risk effectively.
Trading Plan:
📈 Bullish Scenario:
A successful hold of the support zone could lead to a move toward 1.04169, marking a possible short-term bullish opportunity.
⚠️ Bearish Risk:
If the price breaks below the recent low, the bullish idea could be invalidated, leading to further downside.
Final Thought:
EUR/USD might see a temporary relief rally after the recent drop. A cautious long entry near support could be an opportunity, but traders must manage risk carefully! 🚀📊
EURUSD - Bullish No More!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 EURUSD has been overall bullish, trading within the rising channel, however it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel.
Moreover, the red zone is the upper bound of its weekly range.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the structure and upper red trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURUSD approaches the red circle, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
No trades on EURUSD
The pair made several unsuccessful attempts to break past the previous high.
Yesterday, it failed to rise further and dropped below 1,0400.
At the current levels, there is no valid reason to enter a trade.
Keep an eye on whether it gains strength for a new bullish move or forms a lower high and reverses the trend.
EUR/USD - Technical Analysis & Market Sentiment📉 Bearish Bias
✅ Moving Averages (50MA & 200MA) - Price is below key MAs, signaling a downtrend. (+2)
✅ MACD - Histogram below the signal line, confirming bearish momentum. (+1)
✅ Parabolic SAR - Dots above price action, indicating a downtrend. (+1)
✅ Donchian Channel - Price near the lower band, reflecting selling pressure. (+1)
✅ Head & Shoulders Pattern - Bearish formation on the Stochastic Oscillator. (+1)
🔻 Total Bearish Score: 6
📰 Sources:
MACD & Donchian Analysis - IFC Markets
Price Action & Moving Averages - XTB
Head & Shoulders Pattern - RoboForex
📈 Bullish Bias
✅ 200-MA Long-term Trend - Price still above the 200-MA, showing some support. (+1)
✅ Stochastic Oscillator - Oversold conditions, potential for a short-term bounce. (+1)
✅ Fibonacci Retracement - 61.8% level acting as possible support. (+1)
🔹 Total Bullish Score: 3
📰 Sources:
Fibonacci Support - XTB
Stochastic Oversold - RoboForex
📊 Sentiment & Market Factors
📉 Eurozone Inflation Drop (- Bearish) - February's inflation slowed to 2.3% YoY, weakening the Euro. Source
📈 U.S. Inflation Rising (+ Bearish) - U.S. CPI increased to 3%, strengthening USD. Source📉 Potential U.S. Tariffs on EU (- Bearish) - New 25% tariff threats from the U.S. add downward pressure. Source
📉 ECB Dovish Stance (- Bearish) - ECB remains cautious, further weakening the Euro. Source
📌 Final Bias: Strong Bearish (Score: 6 vs 3)
📢 💡 Trade Idea: Look for Sell Setups on Retests at resistance levels.
