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EURUSD trade ideas

EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 28, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Euro has experienced a downward trend in the current trading session, surpassing the Mean Support level of 1.078, where an intermediate price reversal occurred. The analysis indicates that the Eurodollar is expected to retest the Mean Resistance level at 1.086, with a possible resistance level marked at 1.095. A downward momentum may be initiated from either the Mean Resistance of 1.086 or 1.095.
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish TargetChart Overview: The provided EUR/USD daily chart displays a well-structured Rising Wedge pattern, which eventually led to a significant bearish breakdown. The analysis highlights key levels, including resistance, support, stop loss, and a downside target, all of which contribute to a well-planned trade setup. The market structure suggests a strong bearish continuation, targeting lower price levels based on technical projections. 1. Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge Formation & Breakdown A Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that forms when price creates higher highs and higher lows, but the slope of the trendlines indicates weakening bullish momentum. This pattern is often a signal of upcoming bearish price action once a breakout occurs. Pattern Breakdown Analysis: The price moved inside the wedge, showing a gradual upward trend with declining momentum. Upon reaching a key resistance level, price faced strong rejection (marked with a red circle). The bearish breakdown below the wedge confirmed the pattern, leading to a sharp decline. A retest of the broken wedge followed before continuing downward. This confirms a classic bearish trend reversal, making it a strong technical setup. 2. Key Levels and Trade Setup: 🔹 Resistance Level (Major Supply Zone) The resistance zone (highlighted in beige) acted as a strong supply area, where buyers lost control. Price reached this resistance multiple times but failed to sustain above it. A bearish reversal initiated from this level, marking the beginning of a downward trend. 🔹 Support Level (Key Demand Zone) The support zone (also highlighted) represents a major demand area where price previously reversed. This level aligns with historical price action, making it a critical area to monitor for potential reactions. 🔹 Stop Loss Placement A stop loss is placed above the previous high within the resistance zone to protect against false breakouts. If price invalidates the breakdown and moves above this level, the bearish setup would no longer be valid. 🔹 Price Target Projection The breakdown suggests a potential drop towards 1.00874, as indicated by the 100% measured move. This aligns with previous historical support, making it a realistic downside target. 3. Trade Execution Plan: How to Trade This Setup? 📌 Entry Strategy: Traders can enter short after confirmation of the breakdown and a potential retest. A sell position can be initiated around the resistance turned support after a pullback rejection. 📌 Stop Loss Strategy: A stop loss should be set above the resistance zone (around 1.12208) to minimize risk. This ensures protection against a bullish breakout invalidation. 📌 Take Profit Strategy: The first take profit target is set at the support level near 1.04498. The final take profit target is at 1.00874, which aligns with the full measured move projection. 4. Conclusion & Market Sentiment 🔸 Bearish Market Bias – The breakdown of the rising wedge confirms strong bearish momentum. 🔸 Key Resistance Held Strong – The price was unable to break above, confirming seller dominance. 🔸 Downside Target Aligns with Previous Support Levels – A confluence of technical signals supports further decline. Final Thought: This chart presents a high-probability bearish trade setup in EUR/USD. The combination of a rising wedge breakdown, clear resistance rejection, and a defined downside target makes it an ideal short-selling opportunity. Traders should watch for price action confirmations and risk management strategies before executing trades. 🚨 Risk Disclaimer: Always apply proper risk management and confirm signals before trading. Market conditions may change, so monitoring price behavior is crucial for trade adjustments.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
EURUSD BUY TRADE PLAN🧭 EURUSD TRADE PLAN 📅 Date: April 4, 2025 🔒 Format: Institutional Swing Precision 🔖 Plan Type: Swing Buy Setup 📈 Bias & Trade Type: Bullish Reversal Continuation 🔰 Confidence Level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (80%) 📌 Status: Monitoring for Rejection in Buy Zone 📍 ENTRY ZONES: 🟩 Primary Buy Zone: 1.0940 – 1.0965 – D1 demand zone retest – 61.8% Fibo of impulse leg – H1/H4 support shelf – Breaker block retest from previous expansion leg 🟧 Secondary Buy Zone (Deeper Tap): 1.0910 – 1.0930 – Full sweep of liquidity – Below unfilled imbalance – Closer to D1/H4 OB base ❗ Stop Loss: 1.0875 – Below structure and OB base 🎯 Take Profits: • TP1: 1.1030 (Imbalance fill + H1 resistance) • TP2: 1.1075 (D1 wick fill) • TP3: 1.1130 (Break of H4 structure high) • TP4: 1.1175 (W1 FVG reaction point) 📏 Risk:Reward: ~1:3.2 to TP3, ~1:4.5 to TP4 🧠 Management Strategy: – Entry only on bullish engulfing or reversal wick on LTF (M15–H1) – SL to breakeven after TP1 – Trail above each higher low for continuation – Exit fully if bearish engulfing on D1 near TP3/TP4 ⚠️ Confirmation Criteria: – H1 bullish engulfing or strong LTF wick – Price close above 1.0980 after tapping entry zone – MACD crossover on M30 or H1 ⏳ Validity: Next 24–48 hours 🌐 Fundamentals: – USD showing softness post-volatility spike – EUR resilient with no D1 CHoCH – US macro data pending, but technicals favored above structure 📋 Final Summary: Price has retraced sharply after last impulse leg and now probing into D1/H4 demand zones. We're watching for confirmation near the zone at 1.0910–1.0930 which could offer high-RR entry. The trade is only valid with confirmation. No blind buys.
Long
by jibkhan111
Long EURUSD retest of breakout levels Macro outlook for the remainder of the week Upcoming News US NFP at 430pm Fri USD downside Bad NFP report USD upside Good NFP report News review Liberation Day - Full-scale tariff were definitely not a good thing for the USD as investor fear of it causing a recession is currently outweighing the potential of keeping interest rates high to prevent inflation from running hot. Price has voted this way, so let's keep with it. The risk to this thesis is if Powell comes out and convinces the market that he will focus on inflation over all else and take a hard stance similar to volcker. Then we switch fundamental views. Technical view Breakout of the previous levels at 1.0954 With NFP coming up, I'm looking for a retrace back to near the breakout level before it, then take a high RR bet for the trend to continue to the upside. Timeframe of bet → Till Friday around NFP Price level of interest → 1.099 to 1.0954 Execution Price alert set Look for price to touch the area, and reverse SL: 1.093 for now. Will be determined based of reversal candle and what's the low of the retracement move. TP: Highs of 1.11 Results of ideas thus far: Number of trades: 1 WR: 0% Profit: -0.1R Notes: This is currently for personal practice to write out trade ideas. Feedback is welcome, and please don't mind if none of this makes sense.
Long
by yuhaocooper
EURUSD Surges to 1.10 levels post-Trump Tariffs: BUY or SELL?Current Situation: EUR/USD spiked to 1.10 levels(up sharply) following Trump’s tariff announcement, defying initial expectations of short-term USD strength. This suggests markets are pricing in long-term risks to the USD (growth fears, retaliatory tariffs) faster than anticipated. Key Drivers Behind the Move: 1. Tariff Backfire Risk: Investors may fear tariffs will hurt U.S. growth more than Europe’s, weakening the USD. 2. ECB vs. Fed Policy Shift: Bets that the **Fed could cut rates sooner** if tariffs slow U.S. inflation/growth, while the ECB delays cuts. 3. Retaliation Bets: Expectations of aggressive EU countermeasures (e.g., tariffs on U.S. tech/agriculture) boosting EUR sentiment. --- Technical Analysis (EUR/USD Daily Chart) - ✅ Breakout Confirmed : Price surged till 2024's resistance, now testing 1.10 levels (psychological levels). - RSI: Overbought, suggesting short-term pullback risk. #EURUSD #TrumpTariffs #ForexTrading #Breakout #USDweakness
by AkiSignals
EUR/USDEUR/USD is looking to break a streak of six consecutive down days after running into Fibonacci resistance at 1.0943. That pullback spanned more than 200 pips at its peak, with support finally showing up yesterday in the 1.0730-1.0750 zone previously highlighted. The question now is which trend will take over - as the prior bullish trend had quickly went overbought with RSI divergence showing into last Wednesday's FOMC meeting. For today, the 1.0800 level has capped bulls' advance and the next levels up are prior price swings at 1.0823 and 1.0861, followed by a Fibonacci extension at 1.0909 and then the longer-term Fibonacci level at 1.0943
by CecaRockefeller
EURUSD March 28 journal entry and summary of deliveryEURUSD March 28 journal entry "After 6 days of sell off Price has a buy day. I suspect for Price to come to the 50 in Asia seeking sell side to reverse and take by stops. Be patient and wait for Price to show you its hand. " March 30 review of delivery WOW. Reviewing this note gives me so much confidence and now its time to trust your analysis. This is exactly what price delivered. March 28 Delivery Asia delivers a consolidation in a premium. Then lowers creating equal lows consolidating coming into London. 3 macro Price fake expands higher to take minor buy side before breaking for equal lows to a bullish order block? Consolidates coming into NY AM session. Price news driver manipulates prices energetic rally to take recent buy side and rebalance a FVG, however Price does not make a new high. Price does its choppy see saw to lower, retrace, small consolidation then 4pm rally to take minor session buy side and close on a previous NWOG. Discount to premium. Closed in a Premium. *Note low was made on Wednesday and pivot point of the week was after that. *Studying the cycle price is delivering to is key to where the next likely draw on liquidity will be. *I suspected the event horizon would be a magnet and sure seems like it.
by LeanLena
FX Market Preview: NFP week - EUR/USD in focusIn this FX market preview I go into recapping the EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY price action last week and what I'm looking at for this week. I also take a look at ETF's QQQE and Nvidia opportunities. I continue to hold my EUR/USD short positions while keeping a strong eye on 1.0860 and then 1.0900. I feel these areas are important for the bears to hold the line if we're going to continue the slide down. NFP in focus this week as well as Trump Tariffs. As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe.
by InternalTraderNYC
The Day Ahead: Market Focus & Key EventsKey Market Events – Friday, March 28 U.S. Data: February PCE (Core & Headline): Key Fed inflation gauge—high impact on rate expectations. Personal Income & Spending: Consumer strength insights. March Kansas City Fed Services Activity: Regional business sentiment. Europe: UK February Retail Sales: Consumer demand check. Germany March Unemployment, April GfK Consumer Confidence: Labor market & sentiment indicators. France March CPI, PPI: Inflation signals. Italy March Consumer, Manufacturing, & Economic Sentiment + Industrial Sales & PPI: Growth outlook. Eurozone March Economic Confidence: Broad sentiment gauge. Canada: January GDP: Growth momentum ahead of BoC policy decisions. Central Banks: Fed’s Barr & Bostic Speeches: Potential rate clues. ECB Consumer Expectations Survey: Inflation & policy sentiment. Trading Focus: PCE data → USD, Treasuries, equities move on inflation implications. Retail sales, GDP → FX volatility (GBP, CAD). Confidence & inflation prints → EUR crosses & bond yields. Fed/ECB speakers → Interest rate expectations shift. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
Bearish drop off 38.2% Fibonacci resistance?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that line sup with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.0833 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.0884 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.0706 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
LONG TERM TRADE BREAKDOWN USING ONLY TECHNICALS...EURUSD EXAMPLEHey everyone! Hope you are all having an amazing weekend so far! I just wanted to come on here and make a post on a potential longer term outlook I have on the EURUSD currency pair using ONLY technical analysis and some confluence I am seeing technically on this pair. So let's dive in! OK so to start we want to actually look back to the past. A lot of the time when we are looking to take a trade for a "future" move we have to look back at the "past" as well. Because you guys have probably heard the saying that "history repeats itself" and that is absolutely true when it comes to the financial markets and historical, significant levels of price. Quick side note: PAST LEVELS OF PRICE ARE REALLY PSYCHOLOGICAL ZONES. WHAT DO I MEAN? Well if you look at price when it returns to previous areas of buying or selling; whether you call that demand/support or supply/resistance these levels are displaying to us that SOME BIGGER PLAYERS; or players in general; had a INTEREST to buy or sell at that zone whatever the reason may be. Which if you break that down means they have a MEMORY of that zone and MAY WANT THAT PRICE AGAIN in the future. If they still like the deal. THAT is why it is psychological. Okay moving on... So when looking at this chart we can see back starting in October of 2022 we saw an upward move in the market happen that took prices from multi-decade lows around 0.9500-0.9700 area to highs around the 1.1300 price zone. This is a LARGE move in the markets and represents a macro move in the EUR vs the US DOLLAR. We can see that back in August of 2024 (current year) that prices came up to test those 1.1300 highs that were formed in July of 2023 but ultimately FAILED to break higher leading to now months of downward movement and weakening of the EUR vs the US DOLLAR. SO what to take away from all that? WELL on a macro level I am seeing that price wasn't ready to make new highs...so that means 1 of 2 things: 1. There wasn't enough buyers to break the previous highs 2. It wasn't the right deal for price for the bigger players to buy up enough to push it past those July of 2023 highs SO what that is now leading me to believe based on the technical here and what they are displaying is that we can now see prices come back down to a weekly demand (psychological) zone that was formed back in June/July of 2022 when that original large move happened, and SEE IF THAT IS THE DEAL that buyers on a macro level want to send prices ultimately higher on a macro perspective...even higher than the July of 2023 highs. Technically we can see that obviously there is a level of significant demand/support. We also have a fib alignment in that zone of the 78.6% retracement level (80% DISCOUNT!) ANDDDD we have a potential equal measured move aligning with multi-year supply up at the 1.17500-1.1800 price handle...oh and did I mention the -0.27% fib extension lines up with it also? Some nice CONFLUENCE with that as well OKAY guys I know this was a long breakdown but this is a longer term perspective and wanted to appropriately break this analysis down for you guys so for all the longer term outlook traders/investors this is the level (if it comes back down to) to keep an eye on! Hope you all enjoyed please boost this post and follow my page if you enjoyed this analysis and would like to see more accurate analysis and potential trade ideas. Cheers! Merry Christmas!
Long
by JosePips