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Euro / U.S. Dollar

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EURUSD trade ideas

EURUSD March 3 Macro 2EURUSD March 3 London Macro 2 Price was in a Discount in Asia. Price consolidated to take liquidity. On the 5 min the signature 2022 ICT model formed. Criteria -take session liquidity -form a four candle formation energetically -creates a FVG -Price comes up to test the FVG and drops -inside the macro at 23:10 All above is a 2022 model set up I was not at my computer would have signalled a set up and entry during that macro. Why because I saw DXY take 2 sets of equal lows, with the FVG to the high side and knowing price will at least come to the range box 50 level. I did enter at 2:10 lower than I wanted based on my analysis of DXY reaching for the 50 and potentially coming into the range created in the dealing range. It was a scalp trade. I note my error that the previous session range for EUR in Asia price did not want to expand through the 50. Dropped the fake out. Where is now showing its wanting to go it the previous session 50 and FVG. With both DXY and EUR on the 50 on HTF leaving me read the tape todays analysis at 2 was correct. What did I learn TAKE PARTIALS when your level is hit. I suspected it would come to the CE-50 of the range level. In hind sight once price hit the CE of the range, the .79 and coming into the Macro and leaning bias of bull liquidity above I could have entered a long on the .70 OTE What am i learning, blending of the ranges, while seeing what stops are taken. I also learned the fake move is still a valid move and that the next move can produce the move of the day. Im happy that my analysis was correct for the 2 I just need to span out and consider the session range with the previous session range and the institutional range. Lots to analyze. Keep going!
by LeanLena
EUR/USD Bearish Outlook – Key Levels & Trade Setups📊 Technical Analysis EUR/USD Timeframe: Likely Weekly (1W) Current Price: ~1.0416 📉 Bearish Context: Key Resistance: 1.05290 This zone has been tested multiple times without a breakout, indicating strong selling pressure. It aligns with a liquidity area visible in the red rectangle. Also near the yellow moving average (likely 50 or 100 periods), acting as dynamic resistance. Key Support: 1.02838 Marked in blue as a potential short-term target. A level that previously provided support and may attract buyers again. 📉 Current Scenario: The price has rejected the 1.0529 resistance with a strong bearish candle. A breakdown from the gray zone suggests a potential continuation downward. If selling pressure persists, the 1.02838 target could be reached. 📈 Potential Trading Strategies: 🔻 Short Scenario (Bearish Bias): Entry: Below 1.0430 after confirmation with a daily bearish close. Target 1: 1.02838 Target 2: Below 1.0200 (depending on price action). Stop Loss: Above 1.0500 (to avoid false breakouts). 🔼 Long Scenario (Less Likely Bullish Setup): Entry: Confirmed bounce above 1.02838 with a strong reversal candle. Target: Retest of 1.0529, with a stop below 1.0280. 📌 Final Considerations: The current structure favors a short-term bearish continuation. Key areas (support and resistance) will be crucial for the next move. Watch for macroeconomic data and volatility, as they could impact the trend.
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Bearish Momentum with 2.04R ShortEUR/USD Technical Analysis: Bearish Momentum with 2.04R Short Opportunity Current Market Structure The EUR/USD is displaying a clear bearish trend across multiple timeframes, with price action showing lower highs and lower lows since late 2024. Analysis of the charts reveals: Daily timeframe: Sustained downtrend since October 2024, with price currently testing resistance near 1.0380 4-hour timeframe: "Confirmed" bearish alignment with both the 8 EMA and 21 EMA positioned below the 55 EMA 1-hour timeframe: Similar bearish configuration, reinforcing the short bias EMA System Confirmation The proprietary EMA System Status indicator demonstrates strong bearish conviction: 240 Signal: Bearish 240 Trend: Bearish Alignment: Confirmed This triple confirmation suggests high-probability conditions for short entries. Key Technical Levels Support Levels: 1.0300: Psychological round number 1.0230: Recent swing low and profit target 1.0200: Major psychological support Resistance Levels: 1.0400: Key resistance zone with 200 EMA confluence 1.0430: Stop placement zone above recent swing high 1.0500: Major psychological resistance Correlation Analysis Supporting the bearish thesis, the DXY (Dollar Index) shows a complementary bullish structure with: Confirmed bullish alignment on the 4-hour timeframe Recent break above the 107.00 resistance level Bullish momentum in MACD This inverse correlation adds significant weight to the EUR/USD short setup. Trade Parameters Entry Strategy: Short at 1.03632 Stop Loss at 1.04287 (65.5 pips) Profit Target at 1.02296 (133.6 pips) Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.04 Risk Management: 1% account risk allocation 0.5 lot position size $500 risk per trade (on $50,000 account) Potential profit: $1,019.85 Technical Confluence Factors Several factors align to support this trade setup: Price rejecting at 55 EMA resistance on multiple timeframes MACD showing bearish momentum and alignment Weekly and daily session boundaries reinforcing resistance zones Recent higher timeframe rejection of the 200 EMA Market Timing Considerations The European and US economic calendars should be monitored for: ECB monetary policy statements Federal Reserve commentary US dollar-impacting economic data releases Conclusion The EUR/USD presents a high-probability short opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio of 2.04. All key technical indicators align bearishly across multiple timeframes, with strong correlation confirmation from the DXY. This setup fits the criteria for a "Confirmed" signal within our trading system, meeting our standards for trade execution. Trade management will follow our established protocol with potential scaling out at interim support levels and trailing stops implemented once price moves beyond the 1:1 risk-reward ratio point.
Short
by FXCapitalClub
EUR/USD Technical Outlook: Key Levels & Trade Setup (Feb 27)📌 Hello traders! FuInvest here, bringing you today’s OANDA:EURUSD technical breakdown. The market never sleeps, and neither should your trading edge! Let’s dive into the price action and key levels for February 27. 📊 Market Overview Current Price: 1.04783 Market Session: 📍 European Session (Transitioning into New York soon) Indicators Used: EMA 34 (Gray), EMA 89 (Yellow), EMA 200 (Pink) Volatility Check: 🔥 Volume picking up, suggesting potential breakouts ahead! 📉 Price Action & Trend Analysis The EUR/USD pair has been oscillating around the 1.0480 level, showing a recent rejection from the EMA 89 (Yellow) and approaching the long-term EMA 200 (Pink). The short-term trend is mixed, but price action suggests a possible pullback before further movement. 🔹 Bullish Scenario: If buyers regain strength and push above 1.0490, we could see momentum targeting 1.0515 – 1.0530. 🔹 Bearish Scenario: If price fails to hold 1.0470, a downside test towards 1.0450 – 1.0430 is likely. 🛒 Trade Setup & Recommendations Based on price structure and EMA confluence, here’s our trade idea: 📌 Buy Entry: 1.0470 – 1.0475 🎯 Take Profit (TP): 1.0515, 1.0530 🛑 Stop Loss (SL): 1.0450 📌 Sell Entry: 1.0495 – 1.0500 🎯 Take Profit (TP): 1.0455, 1.0430 🛑 Stop Loss (SL): 1.0515 🚀 Key Takeaways & Trading Plan ✅ The 1.0470 – 1.0490 range is a battleground for price action. A break and close above 1.0490 could signal further upside, while rejection could offer a selling opportunity. ✅ EMA alignment suggests a cautious bullish bias, but confirmation is key! ✅ Volatility is increasing as the New York session approaches – expect bigger moves soon! 🔔 Stay tuned for more updates and real-time insights! Follow FuInvest for daily market breakdowns and discover how to build passive income through smart trading strategies! 🚀
by fuinvest
EURUSD HEAVY SELL OFFMONTHLY TIME FRAME: January price gave us a DOJI CANDLE(an indecision candle), then FEBUARY CANDLE came back to retest the high of the doji candle which created multiple resistance from weekly downward while the low of the doji candle created multiple support from weekly downward. For more accurate explanation watch the video more than once. Don't fail to follow me after watching for future ideas, always drop your comments and likes after watching thanks and God bless you.
Short
by rysetrade
EURUSD Buy?📈 EURUSD Recovery Setup 📈 Looking for a potential push toward 1.0502 as price attempts to regain momentum. 🔹 Current Price: 1.0490 🔹 Target: 1.0502 🔹 Deadline: Feb 27, 09:00 UTC This is the direction, now it’s up to you to implement your own strategy for entries. Stick to your plan, manage risk, and let’s see how it plays out! 🔥 Drop your thoughts below! 👇🏼 #EURUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TradeSetup #MarketMoves #ForexStrategy
Long
by GlobalHorns