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Euro / U.S. Dollar

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EURUSD trade ideas

EURUSD, UP or DOWN ?Hello Traders, what do you think about FX:EURUSD ? Yesterday we had a huge upward movement because of Tariff plans. but as long as price is below 1.0460, we better to find short position and if price stabilizes above this number at daily timeframe, we can think about buy. remember that Eurozone performance is unstable and we can't expect a large upward movement in this pair at least for short term, unless the data that comes from US is very bad. And finally tell me what do you think ? UP or DOWN ? leave your comment below this post. If this post was helpful to you, please like it and share it with your friend. THANKS.
by aminrzb
EURUSD. Daily Timeframe AnalysisHey traders and investors! The price has formed a sideways range. Sideways Range Boundaries: • Upper boundary: 1.06300 USD. • Lower boundary: 1.03319 USD. Movement Vectors in the Range The beginning of the last seller's sub-impulse (within the seller's impulse 4-5 in the range) is marked at 1.04584, which is near the 50% level (1.04271) of the last seller's impulse (vector 4-5 in the range). Buyers showed strength near the lower boundary, forming a buyer's zone (green rectangle on the chart), which may serve as support for further upward movement. The current buyer's vector is 5-6, with a potential target of 1.06098. Volume Analysis An increase in volumes is visible on the chart on January 24 and 27, 2025. The high volume at this level indicates active participation from both buyers and sellers. Special attention should be paid to the concentration of volumes on January 27 and 24 in the upper parts of the bars (blue line on the chart), which are above 1.04584. Currently, the seller has pushed the price back below 1.04584 (the beginning of the last seller's sub-impulse). This means that the volumes of the previous two days remain above. It looks like a level manipulation (false breakout). Key Trading Levels Buying Opportunities: • Look for buying patterns around 1.03319 (lower boundary). • A breakout above 1.05333 could open the way to 1.06098. Selling Opportunities: • Sellers may defend the 1.04584 level - look for selling patterns near this level. Potential targets - 1.03417, 1.03120 (monitor the reaction at 1.04116). The hourly timeframe can be used to identify entry points. I wish you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
EUR/USD: EU confiscation of Russian assets under discussionBy Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst The revival of the debate in the EU over the possible confiscation of frozen Russian assets, valued at €210 billion, raises concerns about its implications for the euro and thus the EUR/USD. The move, promoted by the likes of Valdis Dombrovskis and Kaja Kallas, seeks to pressure Russia over its war in Ukraine, but could have a disproportionate impact on the European currency. Risks for the euro: - Loss of confidence: T he move could damage global confidence in the euro as a safe-haven asset, given the precedent it would set in the legal framework. This could lead central banks, such as China's, to reduce their euro reserves, affecting demand for the currency. - Financial volatility: Euroclear, which manages a large part of these assets, warns of possible Russian countermeasures and volatility in the markets, which would put negative pressure on the euro. - Dollar Strengthening: Risk perception could reinforce the dollar as a safe haven, further weakening EUR/USD. Technical Analysis: The beginning of the Asian day the EURUSD has moved slightly lower, currently trading in the direction of the support of the last upward momentum started last week at 1.04506. However, the crosses of the averages do not indicate a change of direction and the RSI reinforces this by showing an oversold level at 42%. On the other hand, the POC is at 1.04177 marking a strong time frame pressure zone on the daily chart. This week, key events that may affect EUR/USD include: 1. Monday 27: IFO index in Germany (business confidence). With a different result than expected, fluctuations could be seen. 2. Tuesday 28: US Durable Goods Orders, which may influence the dollar strength. 3. Wednesday 29th: Fed rate decision, with expectations to keep rates steady. Although the Fed is expected to keep interest rates in the 4.25%-4.50% range, any comments on future monetary policy or economic outlook could impact the dollar and thus the EUR/USD. 4. Thursday 30: ECB decision, with a possible 0.25% interest rate cut, and comments from Christine Lagarde to assess the future direction of European monetary policy. 5. Friday 31: Preliminary Eurozone GDP for the fourth quarter, which may influence the performance of the euro. In addition, the results of large technology companies in the US (Microsoft, Meta, Tesla and Apple) could influence market sentiment and the dollar. It is advisable to monitor these events and keep an eye on possible statements from central bank officials, as any unexpected changes or comments may generate volatility in the EUR/USD pair. Short-term outlook: If the EU moves forward with this measure, EUR/USD could face downward pressures due to a combination of capital outflows, increased risk aversion and a strengthening dollar. This backdrop underscores the euro's sensitivity to political and economic decisions in the region. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
Short
by ActivTrades
Trading EURUSD and NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 17/01/2024Last Friday was an exciting day trading the Judas Swing strategy! We were fortunate to spot two solid opportunities, one on EURUSD and the other on NZDUSD. Both trades presented similar setups, and once they ticked all the boxes on our trading checklist, we didn’t hesitate to execute. In this post, we’ll walk you through the entire process, from setup to outcome and share key insights from these trades. By 8:25 EST, we were at our trading desk, prepping for the session to kick off at 8:30 EST. During that brief wait, we marked our trading zones and patiently watched for liquidity resting at the highs or lows of the zones to be breached. It didn’t take long, NZDUSD breached its low within 20 minutes, while EURUSD followed suit just 40 minutes into the session. With the liquidity sweep at the lows complete, we quickly shifted our focus to spotting potential buying opportunities for the session ahead. Even though we had a bullish bias for the session, we never jump into trades blindly. Instead, we wait for confirmation—a break of structure to the upside, accompanied by the formation of a Fair Value Gap (FVG). A retrace into the FVG serves as our signal to enter the trade. On this occasion, both currency pairs we were monitoring met these criteria perfectly. All that remained was for price to retrace into the FVG, setting us up to execute the trade with confidence. Price retraced into the FVG on both EURUSD and NZDUSD, meeting all our entry requirements. We executed the trades risking 1% on each setup, putting a total of 2% on the line. Our target? A solid 4% return. The setup was clear, the risk was calculated, and we were ready to let the trades play out After executing the NZDUSD trade, it was pure momentum—zero drawdown as the trade went straight into profit without hesitation. The same was true for EURUSD, which also faced minimal to no drawdown and quickly hit our take-profit target. Both trades wrapped up in just 25 minutes, netting us a solid 4% return. These are the kinds of sniper entries traders dream of! But let’s be real, trading isn’t always this smooth. There will be times when you face deep drawdowns and even losses. The key is ensuring your strategy wins more often than it loses. And if your losses outweigh your wins, make sure your winners are big enough to cover those losses. Consistency and proper risk management are what keep traders in the game for the long haul
Education
by CleoFinance
Buy OpportunityEUR/USD Long Signal Entry Price: 1.03917 Target Price: 1.06264 (2.28% Gain) Stop Loss: 1.03000 (-0.89% Risk) Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.56 Analysis: Technical Indicators: Price is attempting to break above a key resistance level. The EMA (252) and EMA (756) provide a confluence of potential upside momentum. Volume Profile suggests strong buyer activity in the highlighted zone. Setup: Bullish trend continuation expected with price targeting the 1.06264 level. A clear invalidation occurs below 1.03000, providing a tight stop-loss for risk management. Trade Context: Backed by fundamental stability in EUR and a weakening USD trend, this trade targets a safe upside.
Long
by GODOCM
Will Trump's tariff threat be an obstacle to an ECB rate cut? Both short-term dollar weakness and the ECB’s increased inflation concerns have clearly propelled EURUSD upward. Finland's central bank governor, Oli Rehn, asserts that eurozone inflation will stabilize as anticipated and that monetary policy will continue to be constrained in the near future. Meanwhile, ECB President Lagarde has issued a stark warning that the threat of tariffs is set to rise with Trump’s return to power, which could lead to significant inflation risks. EURUSD breached above the descending channel’s upper bound and approached the resistance at 1.0470. EMA21 widens the gap after golden-crossing EMA78, indicating a possible shift to bullish momentum. If EURUSD breaches above 1.0470, the price could gain upward momentum toward 1.0560. Conversely, if EURUSD breaks below EMA21 and the support at 1.0360, the price may reenter the descending channel.
by inkicho_exness