Get started

Euro / U.S. Dollar

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals Economic Calendar

EURUSD trade ideas

AMD 1. Accumulation What Happens? Smart money (institutions) accumulates large positions quietly, ensuring they don’t move the market significantly. This occurs in a range-bound phase (consolidation) where prices trade within support and resistance levels. How to Spot? Look for low volatility and decreasing volume. Price shows little directional movement, forming tight ranges. Wyckoff patterns like "Spring" may appear, where price briefly dips below support to trap sellers. What to Do? Identify the range and mark key support and resistance levels. Avoid trading during this phase until a breakout or manipulation begins. 2. Manipulation What Happens? Smart money manipulates the market to create liquidity. They do this by triggering stop-loss orders or inducing retail traders into positions. This phase includes fake breakouts, sharp moves, and increased volatility. How to Spot? Sudden price spikes through key levels (e.g., above resistance or below support), followed by a reversal. Bull and bear traps occur to lure traders into the wrong side of the market. Increased volume during these moves indicates institutional activity. What to Do? Be cautious of chasing moves during this phase. Wait for confirmation of the manipulation ending, often signaled by a return to the accumulation or breakout levels. 3. Distribution What Happens? Smart money distributes their positions at premium prices, typically after manipulating the market to push prices higher or lower. This is the phase where trends (upward or downward) are fully established and driven by momentum. How to Spot? Strong directional moves with increasing volume. Breakout of the previous accumulation range, confirmed by a retest. Trend continuation patterns like higher highs and higher lows (uptrend) or lower highs and lower lows (downtrend). What to Do? Enter trades in the direction of the trend, ensuring confirmation. Use tools like Fibonacci retracements and extensions to identify profit targets. Follow proper risk management to capitalize on the trend without overexposing. Practical Trading Tips for AMD Strategy Combine with ICT Concepts: If you use ICT strategies, align AMD with tools like liquidity zones, order blocks, and fair value gaps. Key Levels: Focus on institutional levels like psychological levels, daily/weekly highs and lows, and previous session levels. Timeframes: Use higher timeframes (H1, H4, or Daily) to identify AMD phases and lower timeframes (M5, M15) for precise entries. Patience: AMD requires waiting for each phase to develop; avoid impulsive trades.
by RBSBALA
EUR - LONG - Swing Trading*This is a risky trade since if it breaks support it can take us to very low levels, which is why an appropriate stop loss must be used. We are in a support between 1.042 and 1.045 that is holding up very well until now. Now that time has passed, it seems we are close to breaking 1.05 and will remain there in the following days. It is necessary to give the trade time of around 6 to 14 days to reach the targets. Targets: T1: 1.059 - 1.060 (protect or take partial) T2: 1.065 (close - 6 days) T3: 1.080 (close - 14 days)
Long
by leonardobarriosr69
HelenP. I Euro will leave pennant and continue to move upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price declined to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, and even declined below this level, breaking it. Then, the EUR some time traded below this level and later rose higher, breaking it again and reaching the trend line, after which made a downward impulse and broke the 1.0840 level one more time. As well, the price continued to decline inside the downward pennant, where it some time later fell to the support level, which coincided with the support zone. Later, Ethe UR broke this level and fell to the support line of the pennant and then rebounded up, breaking the 1.0465 level again, making a gap as well. Next, the price made a retest of the support level and then some time trade near this level, after which later rebounded up to the trend line, which is the resistance line of the pennant also. After this movement, it turned around and dropped to the support level. For this case, I expect that EURUSD will reach the trend line and then correct to the support level, after which it start to grow, thereby exiting from the pennant pattern. When the price leaves this pattern it can continue to grow, so, I set my goal at 1.0640 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Long
by FirstNameHelen
1
Euro-dollar struggles to find directionTraders have mostly discounted the latest single cut by the European Central Bank (‘the ECB’) since that was widely expected and the comments in the subsequent press conference didn’t give any significant new information. Inflation has also risen in the eurozone in the last two months but hasn’t reached as high as in the USA. The difference in rates between the ECB and the Fed is likely to remain at least 1% for the foreseeable future. After a bounce at the end of November following the failed test of $1.04, euro-dollar hasn’t shown ongoing momentum upward. It might now fall into a sideways trend with a range between around $1.04 and $1.06. Most indicators are close to neutral in the shorter term but the main downtrend active in October and November could reassert itself depending on the reaction to the Fed’s meeting and, to a lesser extent, PCE and GDP. This is my personal opinion which does not represent the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
by Michael_Stark_Exness
1211 Waiting for ECB to confirm a long term directionHello traders, Whether the European Central Bank (ECB) will cut interest rates by 50 basis points depends on several factors, including current economic data, inflation outlook, market expectations, and policymakers' concerns about economic growth and financial stability. 1. Market Expectations and Current Economic Background - According to LSEG Refinitiv data, the market expects an 81% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut, while the expectation for a 50 basis point cut is only 19%. This indicates that the market generally believes the ECB is more inclined towards a moderate rate cut rather than taking more aggressive measures. - The main challenges facing the European economy currently include slowing economic growth, easing inflation pressures, and fluctuations in energy prices. These factors may prompt the ECB to take action to support economic recovery, but a 50 basis point cut may be seen as too aggressive, especially when inflation has not fully returned to target. 2. Possibility of a 50 Basis Point Cut If the ECB chooses to cut rates by 50 basis points, it would be a bold move that exceeds market expectations, potentially indicating the following: - The ECB's concerns about economic growth are greater than the general market perception, suggesting a need for more substantial easing measures to stimulate the economy. - By implementing a larger rate cut, the ECB may be trying to send a strong signal to the market, demonstrating its commitment to supporting the economy. - However, such a move could also provoke negative market reactions, such as increased volatility in bond yields or further pressure on the euro exchange rate. 3. More Likely Scenario: A 25 Basis Point Cut - Historically, the ECB tends to adjust its policies gradually to avoid causing excessive disruption to the market. - A 25 basis point cut aligns with market expectations and can smoothly convey policy intentions while retaining flexibility for future adjustments. 4. **My View** - The likelihood of a 25 basis point cut is significantly higher, as it aligns with market expectations and avoids unnecessary volatility in financial markets. - If the ECB opts for a 50 basis point cut, it may indicate a more pessimistic assessment of recession risks, but this choice could also entail greater policy risks. Technically, EURUSD is testing the weekly support and moving beneath the EMAs. As long as it breaking through the support, a long-term bearish trend for EURUSD is pretty sure! GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!
Short
by FUNTRADER-Vera
Euro can rebound up to 1.0700 level, exiting from pennantHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some days ago started to decline inside the downward pennant, where it at once rebounded from the resistance line and fell to the 1.0700 level, which coincided with the seller zone. Then EUR tried to grow, but failed and in a short time declined below the 1.0700 level, breaking it. Next, the price continued to decline and later almost reached the support level, after which turned around and some time traded a little higher at this level, but didn't fall to it. Later, the rice dropped below the 1.0485 level, which coincided with the buyer zone, breaking it and reaching the support line of the downward pennant, after which started to grow and made a gap. After this movement, the Euro broke the 1.0485 support level one more time and made a retest. Next, it little grew, after which made a correction to the support level and then rose to the resistance line of the pennant. But a not long time ago, the price fell to the support line and now it trying to grow. For this case, I think that the price can correct to the support line and then rebound up to 1.0700 resistance level, thereby exiting from the pennant pattern. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
4
EURUSD Next possible moveSAXO:EURUSD Title "EUR/USD Intraday Analysis: Sell Entry Targets Lower Levels | Dollar Strengthens" Market Context "EUR/USD faces renewed selling pressure as the U.S. dollar strengthens on hawkish Federal Reserve expectations. Weak Eurozone sentiment adds to the pair's downside bias." Technical Analysis *"Today’s sell entry is supported by the following: Trend Structure: Persistent lower highs and lower lows signal a prevailing downtrend. EMA Dynamics: Price remains below the 20 and 50 EMAs, highlighting continued bearish momentum. RSI: Falling below 45, indicating growing selling pressure. MACD: Negative histogram bars are widening, confirming the bearish tone. Key Levels: Support: 1.0490 (intraday), 1.0460 (next target). Resistance: 1.0525 (intraday), 1.0550 (key pivot). A break above 1.0550 could neutralize bearish sentiment."* News Context "Upcoming: U.S. ISM Services PMI and Eurozone economic reports could drive intraday volatility. Previous: Strong U.S. labor market data reinforced expectations for tighter monetary policy, keeping the dollar supported." Call to Action "Will EUR/USD break below key support levels, or can buyers reclaim control? Share your insights and strategies in the comments!"
Short
by RBSBALA
Descending triangle in EURUSDEUR/USD Technical Analysis: A Descending Triangle pattern has formed on the EUR/USD chart, indicating a potential bearish breakout. Here are the key points: 1. Resistance: 1.05660 2. Support: 1.05052 3. Target: 1.04383 Breakout Alert: The EUR/USD has broken below the support level, confirming the bearish breakout. This could lead to a continuation of the downtrend. Selling Opportunity: The breakout below the support level has triggered a selling opportunity, with a target at 1.04383. Stay tuned for further updates and analysis on the EUR/USD market!" Best Wishes Tom 😎
Short
by Tom_Trades_670
1