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EURUSD trade ideas

EURUSD 28 Jan 2025 W5- Intraday - US Durable Goods & ConfidenceThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 28 Jan 2025 W5 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment Tariff Discussions Continue: President Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant focused on tariff policies in their recent statements. Bessant's Proposal: Bessant suggested a universal tariff starting at 2.5%, with a gradual monthly increase of 2.5%, potentially reaching up to 20%. Trump's Tariff Plans: President Trump announced plans to impose tariffs on computer chips, pharmaceutical producers, and industries like steel, aluminum, and copper. Trump's Push for Higher Tariffs: Trump expressed a desire for tariffs significantly higher than 2.5%, contradicting Bessant's proposal. This added further uncertainty to the market. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bullish 🔹Swing Continuation after BOS 2️⃣ 🔹INT structure continuing bullish after the bullish BOS. We expect that at anytime the Swing Pullback will start. 🔹With price failing to close above Weak INT High, there is a HP that we are going to target the INT Low which will facilitate the Bullish Swing Pullback. 🔹Price is currently mitigating the 4H Demand and we could see some bullish move to facilitate the LTF pullbacks only. 3️⃣ 🔹Expectation is set for price to continue Bearish to facilitate the Daily Bearish Continuation. 15m Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Swing Pullback Phase 2️⃣ 🔹Swing structure turned bearish after mitigating the Daily Supply zone. 🔹With the bearish BOS, a pullback is expected during the session today as we are mitigating the 4H Demand zone. 3️⃣ 🔹Expectation is set to continue bearish to facilitate the 4H Swing pullback and Daily Bearish continuation.
by Amr-Sadek
Imminent Bearish Reversal: Rising Wedge Formation on EUR/USD 1H In the latest 1-hour timeframe analysis of EUR/USD, a rising wedge pattern has emerged, signaling a potential bearish reversal in the near future. This classic chart pattern, characterized by converging trend lines amidst a price ascent, typically forecasts a shift from bullish to bearish sentiment as the trading range narrows. Traders should monitor for a decisive break below the wedge's support line, which could confirm the anticipated downward movement. Consider setting stop losses just above the upper trend line of the wedge to manage risk effectively. Keep an eye on upcoming economic releases and market news as they could influence the timing and magnitude of the breakout. Stay tuned for updates as this pattern develops and adjust your trading strategies accordingly. Happy trading!
Short
by HUGO_DT150
A jittery start to the week | FX ResearchWe're coming out of a week in which the US dollar was the worst-performing major currency for a change. The reversal in the Dollar's fortunes came from softer Trump Administration talk on trade, higher US equities, and an expectation the Fed may still do more than less when it comes to rate cuts in 2025. Solid PMI data out of the Euro Zone and UK also helped to add to the demand for the Euro and Pound, which propped up other currencies as well. However, already into Monday, the market is back to worrying—this on the back of the news of the Trump tariffs on Colombia and a softer round of PMI data out of China. As far as Fed rate expectations go, Fed funds futures are currently pricing 42 basis points of Fed cuts through 2025. Key standouts on Monday's calendar ahead include German Ifo readings, Canada wholesale sales, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index, US new home sales, Dallas Fed manufacturing, an ECB Lagarde speech, and US building permits.
by BlackBull_Markets
EURUSD - EUR may be ready to boost!EUR seems to have daily revised pattern and if so it will be a point of the start of bullish. Hello mates, please feel free to share your trading ideas, and please give a Boost if you agree with my trading plan. My trading strategy is Price Action, which is the simplest strategy of trading on the price movement. A key part of my discipline is always setting a Stop Loss when opening a trading position, which ensures every trading is risk managed. Our 1 to 1 trading training is available, please message. Trade well and good luck!
by QQGuo-Shane
EURUSD 27-31 Jan 2025 W5 - Weekly Analysis - EU&US Interest RateThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 27-31 Jan 2025 W5 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment Weekly Chart Analysis Daily Chart Analysis 4H Chart Analysis Economic Events for the Week Market Sentiment Weaker Dollar Sentiment: A softer tone on tariffs reduced market fears of escalating trade wars. This decreased safe-haven flows into the USD, as such rhetoric often bolsters the dollar's demand during heightened global uncertainties. Improved Global Trade Outlook: Easing trade tensions generally supports global economic activity, benefitting risk-sensitive assets like the euro. The USD could weaken as investors seek higher-yielding opportunities outside the U.S. Market Expectations for the Federal Reserve: If the U.S.-China trade relationship stabilizes, it could lower inflationary pressures caused by tariffs, potentially leading to a more dovish tone from the Federal Reserve. This would further weaken the dollar. Lagging Economic Growth in Europe: While the euro could see short-term gains, its long-term strength depends on the eurozone’s ability to address its economic challenges. Structural issues in major economies like Germany and Italy could cap the euro’s upside. Upcoming important news: EUR & USD Interest rate decision, FOMC Meeting and PCE. Weekly Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹Internal Bearish 🔹In Swing Discount 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2️⃣ 🔹INT structure continuing bearish with iBOS following the Bearish Swing. (End of 2023 till end of 2024 was a pullback phase after the first bearish iBOS) 3️⃣ 🔹After the bearish iBOS we expect a pullback, price tapped into liquidity below Nov 2022 which is above the weekly demand formed with the initiation of the bearish iBOS pullback phase. 🔹Price made a bullish CHoCH which indicates that the liquidity was enough as per previous week analysis to initiate a pullback phase for the bearish iBOS. 🔹Price currently looking to target the liquidity built up during September 2024 and maybe reaching the Weekly supply zone (In INT structure Premium). 🔹Expectations of price to continue bullish to sweep the liquidity/mitigate supply zone while putting in consideration that we can have a pullback after the bullish CHoCH to weekly newly demand formed. Daily Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2️⃣ 🔹Following the Bearish Swing BOS, INT Structure continuing bearish approaching the weekly demand zone. 3️⃣ 🔹After the failure to close below the Weak INT Low, price continued bullish sweeping the liquidity above Dec 30 and currently mitigating a Daily supply zone within the INT Structure Premium Zone. 🔹The current Daily supply zone could provide an intraday pullback to daily demand formed to continue bullish and target the INT High as this is the weekly liquidity currently to be targeted. Also, I put in consideration that the structure is bearish and we should be continuing down to target the Weak INT low. But I want to see more development on LTF to confirm this scenario. 🔹Expectations is set to continue bullish with cautious on the bearish scenario. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bullish 🔹Swing Continuation after BOS 2️⃣ 🔹INT structure continuing bullish after the bullish BOS. We expect that at anytime the Swing Pullback will start. 🔹Currently price at a Daily Supply Zone that can initiate at least INT Structure Pullback and may extend to Swing Pullback to at least Swing EQ (50%)/Daily and Weekly Demand. 3️⃣ 🔹Expectation is price to initiate a pullback for the Bullish INT structure and then continue bullish from demand to target the Daily INT High/Weekly Liquidity. 🔹More development required on LTFs/Intraday Analysis. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
Eurusd analysis move down read the caption This chart represents an analysis of the EUR/USD currency pair on the 1-hour timeframe. Below is a detailed breakdown of the key elements in the analysis: 1. CHoCH (Change of Character): Multiple "CHoCH" labels are marked to signify reversals or shifts in market structure. These highlight areas where the price changes from a bullish to bearish trend (or vice versa). 2. BOS (Break of Structure): BOS is labeled, showing significant points where price breaks through key structural levels, confirming continuation or reversal trends. 3. EQH (Equal Highs): Equal highs indicate potential liquidity zones where stop-loss orders may be positioned. These zones are likely to be targeted by the market. 4. Weak Highs and Trendline: A weak high is identified within the red zone, suggesting a lack of strength to continue upward. This creates a bias for potential downward movement. The yellow and blue trendlines illustrate a descending wedge pattern, highlighting bearish pressure. 5. Target Zone (1.03411): A blue box around 1.03411 represents the target price area for potential bearish moves, aligning with the downward arrow projections. 6. Bearish Plan: The analysis expects a downward trajectory after a liquidity grab (red arrows) and weak highs. The market is forecasted to form lower highs and lower lows, eventually reaching the target zone. This is a structural and liquidity-based analysis indicating bearish expectations while leveraging trendlines, BOS, CHoCH, and liquidity zones.
Short
by Mr_Ethan1
EUR/USD - Parity Might Come Sooner Than You RealiseHappy new year traders! This is a perfect time to do a review on EUR/USD as it's the 1st month where you see the beginnings of the 6-Month candle form, which can be very powerful for gauging a bias. Fundamentals will play a strong role in determining whether we see 1 to 1 with the dollar but for the time being, short term market movements to the upside can be beneficial as it goes against the longer term bearish narrative
Short
by LegendSince
EURUSD On The Rise! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.0266 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 1.0281 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
2
EURUSD Holds Above ParityThe EURUSD chart is consolidating near a potential reversal point, supported by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which has rebounded from oversold levels seen in 2023. The 1.0170 level serves as a critical point for the EURUSD’s downtrend from September 2024 to January 2025. Upside Potential: If the euro holds above this level, it could climb toward 1.0520, 1.0620, and 1.0850, aligning with mid and upper border of the descending channel spanning from July 2023 to January 2025. Downside Risks: A break below 1.0170 could pave the way for parity at 1.0000, with further downside targeting the 0.99–0.98 zone. These levels align with the 1.618, 2, and 2.272 Fibonacci extension levels of the corrective pattern spanning between Jan 2023 and Jan 2025. Razan Hilal, CMT
by FOREXcom
Moustafa! EURUSD to surge up much further more! 07.01.25* It broke a huge downtrend line and will surge to up regardless any resistances on the way!! * It is a gold chance to be seen and noticed at its beginning really!! Good luck *****Note My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help. I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
Long
by moustafa_marei
4
EURUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce OffBased on the H4 chart, price is falling toward the buy entry at 1.03444, which aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement. This level is expected to act as a strong entry point in the bullish setup. Our take profit is set at 1.04365, which aligns with the 100% Fibo projection, targeting a key resistance level and marking a logical exit point for the trade. The stop loss is set at 1.02638, below the recent swing low, allowing room for price fluctuations while protecting against invalidation of the bullish bias. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
Bearish reversal?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 1.0454 1st Support: 1.0348 1st Resistance: 1.0536 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Is EURUSD Set for a Reversal? Watch the Potential Reversal ZonesThe recent release of Core PPI and PPI m/m published in lower than expected , signaling a potential decrease in inflationary pressures in the U.S. This could lead to speculation about a more dovish stance from the Federal Reserve, which might weaken the U.S. Dollar and provide support for other currencies, including the Euro. Let’s analyze how this data could influence the EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) chart. The EURUSD is moving through a Heavy Support zone($1.036-$1.011) . According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that EURUSD has completed the main five waves (downward) , and we can expect upward waves . I expect EURUSD to start rising again from the lower Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Uptrend line and then attack the upper Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . If this zone is broken, we should wait for the EURUSD to attack the Resistance line . 🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. ⚠️Note: If the EURUSD goes below the lower Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ), EURUSD may fall further. Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
8