EUR/USD bearish outlookEUR/USD Weekly Outlook – Bearish Scenario in Play
This week’s outlook for EUR/USD is leaning towards a bearish continuation.
Price recently respected the 3H demand zone and gave a clean bullish reaction following the expected Asia low sweep. I didn’t manage to catch an entry as it happened quite late in the day. However, that same demand zone now looks to be weakening, potentially leading to another break of structure to the downside.
Alternatively, we could see price push higher from this demand zone and mitigate the 8H supply zone I’ve marked out — which is the origin of the last break of structure. It’s also a strong POI given its location away from liquidity and at an extreme structural point.
Confluences for EUR/USD Sells:
- Multiple breaks of structure to the downside (pro-trend setup)
- Failing 3H demand zone already mitigated
- Liquidity resting below current price
- Strong 8H supply zone sitting above the Asia highs
- DXY is showing short-term bullish momentum, aligning with EUR/USD bearish movement
P.S. If price doesn’t push higher into the 8H supply zone, I’ll be watching for a new supply zone to form mid-week for a more immediate short opportunity.
Will keep this updated — have a great trading week everyone!
EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD – Sell Into Resistance ZoneExpires: 15/05/2025 06:00
Trade Idea
Type: Sell Limit
Entry: 1.1250
Stop Loss: 1.1310
Target: 1.1035
Duration: Intraday
Technical Overview
EURUSD is showing signs of indecision after posting mild net gains in an Inside Day pattern.
The current price action sits between bespoke resistance at 1.1250 and support at 1.1035, suggesting a defined range environment.
Price action in Asia showed some strength, but the broader setup favors selling into rallies toward resistance.
Market Sentiment
Sentiment skewed bearish (68% confidence) despite recent gains.
Expected mixed and volatile price action with no clear breakout above resistance zones, indicating exhaustion near recent highs.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR/USD: Weekly PAT + VPA 5/11/2025Trading Analysis EUR/USD - Price Action and Volume Price Analysis
Weekly Structure Analysis: At present, we find ourselves within a bullish weekly range. The lower boundary of this range is 1.07330, established during the week of March 24, 2025, while the upper boundary is at 1.15734, reached the week of April 21, 2025. The price movement from 1.073 to 1.157 has surpassed a swing high, which we will identify as our initial resistance point as we aim to return to 1.15734.
Weekly Price Action Analysis: Analyzing structure and price action reveals similarities. Our confidence in a bullish trend is the anchored weekly bar. The weekly candle from the week of April 7, 2025 serves as this anchor. Following the inside bar, we observed a bearish pin bar, which acts as a Bullish Reacher since its wick exceeded the high of the anchor bar's wick (Wick on Wick). The market shows signs of wanting to rise, but it must first hit a demand zone that weekly traders are keen to engage with.
Volume Price Analysis: The last four weekly candles have demonstrated limited strength in driving the market lower, with support holding at 1.11927 (1.12). As the price declines, trading volume is decreasing, following a sharp upward movement, likely due to profit-taking or repositioning. Volume analysis indicated we should retest 1.15734.
Good luck and happy trading!
OANDA:EURUSD TVC:DXY
EUR/USD Bearish Setup: QM + Breakout Play Targeting Demand Zone!Hello guys!
I think eurusd is bearish! why?
A Range: Market consolidated in a tight horizontal range before breaking out.
QM Pattern: A lower high and lower low structure indicates potential for a trend reversal.
Neckline Break: Bearish confirmation with a strong break and close below neckline support.
Retest Zone: Price is now revisiting the QM supply zone, offering a high-probability short setup.
Bearish Projection: The next expected move is a drop toward the S&D (Support & Demand) zone between 1.12640 and 1.11900, which aligns with historical demand and previous accumulation.
________________________
🎯 Bearish Target Zone:
First TP: 1.12640
Final TP: 1.11900 - 1.12080 (Demand Zone)
USD strength still underrated? Credit Agricole thinks soEUR/USD is struggling to hold above 1.1250 after a modest bounce from recent lows near 1.1220. On the 4-hour chart, price remains capped below the 9-period SMA, with RSI hovering near neutral at 40 and volume showing persistent selling pressure. The technical setup points to a fragile recovery that has yet to gain conviction.
This comes as Credit Agricole maintains an above-consensus bullish view on the US dollar, projecting a recovery through H2 2025 and into 2026. While structural risks—such as ongoing US-China trade tensions—continue to draw market attention, the bank sees these concerns as overstated.
President Trump’s latest comments could reinforce that view, suggesting an 80% tariff on Chinese goods could be a viable alternative to the 145% already in place. The upcoming trade talks in Switzerland will be key to near-term direction, but for now, the bias for USD strength appears intact—keeping downside pressure on EUR/USD.
EURUSD - TOUGH but LOGICAL - SELL SHORT Hello Dear Traders, EURUDS bias is Short based on following confluences
The first thing to note is that market has respected BEARISH TRENDLINE resistance followed by rejection from MAJOR RESISTANCE LEVEL, which is also a FIB golden level of 0.382.
based on this, if market breaks the MINOR support level which is also 0.68 level of FIB then we can sell short the market with SELL STOP order and take profits on LL of the market.
Further, EXY (EUR Index) is bearish and DXY is positive so EUR/USD = net bearish which is also a strong sign of selling short.
similarly, if we look at the sentiments of the market, which although is 60 % bias towards short, its not a strong confluence but I will give weightage to the market senstiments.
Keep your stop loss above last LH / support level and enjoy trades.
Bearish AB=CD - Sell at Current Price!FX:EURUSD has broken its bullish support and formed a bearish AB=CD pattern. AB=CD is a bearish continuation pattern which aligns with the overall price action.
I am shorting EURUSD at current market price and expecting retracement until Point D to complete the pattern!
EURUSD is in a Downside Direction After a Triangle Pattern BreakHello Traders
In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today EURUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
EURUSD: Important Bearish Reversal Confirmed?!The EURUSD chart shows a large head and shoulders pattern on a daily basis, indicating a strong bearish reversal signal with the breakout of the neckline.
The broken neckline now acts as a key resistance level, suggesting a potential further decline towards the 1.1150 level.
EURUSD Just Landed in the Killzone — Bounce or Breakdown?🔥 EURUSD 15-Min SMC Precision Play — May 14, 2025
Here’s a sweet Smart Money sniper entry on EURUSD, caught right as price tagged a powerful triple confluence zone:
📊 1. Structure & Momentum
Recent bullish momentum created a weak high around 1.12660
Retracement follows with strong bearish pressure
Price lands exactly at a previous OB, Fair Value Gap, and the 61.8% fib retracement
🧱 2. Confluence Breakdown
🔴 Fair Value Gap (FVG): Unfilled imbalance tapped
🟣 Order Block (OB): The last down candle before bullish rally
🟡 61.8% Fibonacci Level: Price kissed the golden pocket
This stacking creates a high-probability reversal zone
🎯 3. Trade Plan
Entry: Around 1.12160
SL: Below 1.12090 (under 70.5% fib)
TP: At 1.12660 targeting previous weak high
RRR ≈ 1:6 — optimal asymmetric reward play
🔄 4. Management & Outlook
Watch for reaction on the 50% level at 1.12300
Break of market structure above 1.12400 = confirmation
Scaling out advised at midline levels with stop-loss trailed manually
🧠 Smart Money knows this is where the liquidity pools live. You're not late — you're patiently positioned where the institutions hunt.
🎯 Drop a “📍” in the comments if you're watching EURUSD
🎥 Follow for more sniper setups like this one — @ChartNinjas88
EUR/USD suggesting a bullish outlookKey Elements in the Chart:
1. Chart Type:
Candlestick chart showing the EUR/USD currency pair.
Timeframe is 2 hours per candlestick.
2. Indicators:
Supertrend indicator: Shows buy and sell signals based on trend direction.
Green means bullish trend (buy signal).
Red means bearish trend (sell signal).
3. Annotations:
Trendline: A diagonal blue line indicating past support during an uptrend.
Support Level: A horizontal zone marked near the bottom, where price has previously bounced (around 1.1113).
Red Oval: Highlights a consolidation or range-bound area with choppy movement.
Buy/Sell Labels: Indicators of possible entry points provided by the system.
4. Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: Around the 1.1189 level (current price).
Target Zone: Near 1.1432.
Stop-Loss/Support: Close to 1.1113.
Projected Move: Illustrated with an arrow pointing upward from the entry zone to the target zone, suggesting a bullish outlook.
This chart presents a bullish trade idea on EUR/USD with a favorable risk/reward ratio. The trade is based on a support bounce, a buy signal from the Supertrend indicator, and a technical structure suggesting a potential upward movement toward the 1.1432 target leve
Eurusd signal
EUR/USD continues to pull back from its intraday highs near 1.1270, edging closer to key support around 1.1200 as the US Dollar keeps trimming earlier losses. Despite the retreat, the pair is still holding onto modest daily gains ahead of Thursday’s remarks from Fed Chair Powell and a batch of high-impact US data.
EUR/USD Slides to 1.1200 on Stronger Dollar Amid Trade Deal HopeCMCMARKETS:EURUSD EUR/USD extended losses on Thursday, sliding over 0.6% to test the 1.1200 handle amid renewed US Dollar demand. The Greenback gained momentum following reports of a pending US-UK trade agreement, which lifted sentiment despite the lack of official confirmation. The proposed deal would exempt the UK from steep reciprocal tariffs , while a broader 10% levy remains intact, raising questions over its longer-term impact.
Meanwhile, Europe remains sidelined in US trade diplomacy , with the White House cautioning against EU retaliation. For EUR/USD, downside pressure persists but is contained, with support forming near 1.1200. The pair has eased off multi-month highs north of 1.1500 and awaits fresh catalysts. A break below 1.1200 could open the door for deeper declines, while reclaiming 1.1300 remains key for bulls.
Resistance : 1.1232 , 1.1283
Support : 1.1197 , 1.1076
EURUSDEUR/USD Interest Rate Differential and Economic Data for May 2025: Directional Bias
Interest Rate Differential
European Central Bank (ECB):
Cut rates by 25 basis points in March 2025, lowering the deposit facility rate to 2.50%.
Dovish outlook: Inflation is projected to average 2.3% in 2025, with further easing likely if price pressures subside.
Federal Reserve (Fed):
Held rates steady at 4.25–4.50% in May 2025, maintaining a cautious stance amid sticky inflation and trade uncertainty.
Market expects delayed rate cuts until July 2025 or later.
Differential:
~1.75–2.00% rate advantage for the USD, favoring dollar strength over the euro.
Key May 2025 Economic Data
Region Data/Event Impact on EUR/USD
Eurozone Q1 GDP Growth (0.4% YoY) Mildly positive but uneven (Germany: 0.2%, France: 0.1%).
US April CPI/Jobs Reports Sticky inflation (core CPI: 2.8%) supports Fed’s hold. Strong labor market (177k jobs added in April).
Political EU Elections/Trade Tensions Risks from EU political turmoil (Germany/France) and U.S.-China tariffs weigh on EUR.
Directional Bias
Bearish EUR/USD:
Rate Differential: The Fed’s hawkish hold vs. ECB easing widens the USD yield advantage, pressuring the euro.
Growth Divergence: Eurozone growth (0.4% Q1) lags behind U.S. resilience, despite Germany’s exit from recession.
Geopolitical Risks: EU political instability and U.S. tariff uncertainty amplify EUR downside.
Conclusion:
EUR/USD remains bearish in May 2025, driven by widening rate differentials, mixed Eurozone growth, and geopolitical headwinds.
Up again for EUHi traders,
Last week EU made another wave down into the Weekly/ Daily FVG.
The bigger correction could now be finished (or one more small leg down into the Daily FVG).
If this is true then next week we could see the next impulse wave 5 (black) up.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small impulse wave up and a correction down on a lower timeframe to trade longs to the higher Weekly FVG.
If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
EURUSD – This Week’s SetupAs shown in the previous analysis, the key levels have been broken 🔓.
We’re now waiting for a pullback to short from the marked level 🔽.
But if price goes straight to the lower level without a pullback, we’ll look for a buy opportunity there 🔼🎯.
Exact price levels shown on the chart!
Live markets need live plans! ⚔️📈
For detailed entry points, trade management, and high-probability setups, follow the channel:
ForexCSP