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EURUSD trade ideas

EURUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation: Hello, everyone! I hope you're doing well. I’d like to share my analysis of EUR-USD with you. Looking at the EUR-USD chart, the pair has been in an downward channel since 2008. Currently, we are at the top of the channel. If we see a weakening of the trend on the monthly timeframe, I expect the beginning of a major downward movement. 📉 Expectation: Bearish Scenario: A potential drop starting from here with the first target being the descending trendline around 0.9250. Second Target: The red zone I’ve highlighted, around 0.8700. 💡 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: Top of the channel Support: Descending trendline around 0.9250 💬 What are your thoughts on EUR-USD this week? Let me know in the comments! Trade safe
Short
by PouyanTradeFX
Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.1278 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.1149 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.1428 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
EUR/USD – Pullback Entry After Weekly Breakout🧠 Macro View LEI rising steadily: 71.5 → 81.15 Endogenous strength improving each month Exo+LEI composite score: 498.65 → one of the strongest major FX models USD: Fundamentally weak with dovish Fed, neutral COT 📅 Seasonality 📈 EUR Index bullish throughout April 📉 USD Index bearish all month 🔥 EUR/USD seasonality = strong long bias into April 30 📈 Technical Setup (4H Chart) Price has broken weekly resistance → now acting as turncoat support Expecting pullback to 0.382 Fib level (~1.1462) before continuation Structure + macro + seasonality aligned for high-conviction long 📥 Entry: 1.1462 (Fib 0.382 retracement zone) ⛔ Stop Loss: Below (1.12424) 🎯 Take Profit: Retest high or 1.1583 and beyond (extension optional) 🧮 R:R ≈ 1:2.2+
Long
by wajahatarif
EURUSD - Macro ViewHello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈From a macro perspective, EURUSD has been bearish trading within the falling red channel. Medium-term, EURUSD has been in a correction phase trading within the rising channel in orange. Moreover, the green zone is a massive monthly resistance. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper red and orange trendlines and resistance. 📚 As per my trading style: As #EURUSD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
3
EURUSD Short Term Buy Idea Update!!!Hi Traders, on April 15th I shared this idea "EURUSD Short Term Buy Idea" Expected retraces and further continuation higher until the strong support zone holds. You can read the full post using the link above. Price moved as per the plan!!! Retraces happened as expected and then the price moved higher further. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VladimirRibakov
Wave 5 Completed – Time to Ride the Correction!"Structure Overview Wave Count: You’ve marked the end of wave (5), indicating a potential trend reversal or correction. Bearish Setup: Price rejected the orange supply zone post wave (5), suggesting bearish pressure. Entry appears to be near the top of the small pullback into that zone. Target is set near the larger demand zone around 1.12274. Right-Side Box (Key Idea Summary): Suggests a range-bound market, followed by: A lower high into a new supply zone (brown box). A sharp drop into a deeper demand zone at the base (green zone). Key Price Levels: Resistance/Supply: 1.14153, 1.15205 Support/Demand: 1.12274, lower box near 1.11400 Possible Strategy: Sell setup: Look for confirmation candles or patterns near the orange/brown zones. Target: Previous demand zone or lower if structure breaks. SL: Above the orange/red zone to manage risk.
Short
by Greenfireforex
The Day AheadWednesday 23rd April 2025 Key economic data includes April flash PMIs for the US, UK, Japan, Germany, France, and the Eurozone. These are important indicators of economic momentum and inflation pressures, with potential impact on FX, rates, and equities. In the US, March new home sales will provide a read on housing market strength. The UK reports March public finances, which could influence gilt markets and sterling. In the Eurozone, February trade balance and construction output data are on deck, offering insights into trade dynamics and sector-specific activity. Central bank focus is high. The Fed releases its Beige Book and features speakers including Goolsbee, Musalem, Waller, and Hammack. Markets will be listening closely for signals on rate expectations and regional economic trends. From the ECB, Knot, Villeroy, and Lane are scheduled to speak, potentially influencing eurozone rate expectations. From the Bank of England, Bailey, Pill, and Breeden will offer comments that could affect sterling and rate outlooks. Earnings are heavy and span key sectors. Notable names reporting include IBM, ServiceNow, Texas Instruments, Lam Research, Boeing, GE Vernova, Chipotle, O’Reilly Auto, Thermo Fisher, Boston Scientific, NextEra Energy, Newmont, Philip Morris, AT&T, General Dynamics, and Volvo. This mix provides important reads across tech, industrials, healthcare, and consumer sectors. On the fixed income side, the US Treasury will auction 2-year floating rate notes and 5-year notes. Watch for yield curve movements and demand signals, particularly given the dense schedule of Fed speakers. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
Reversal Coming on EUR/USD"EUR/USD approaching potential reversal zone. Watching for confirmation to short from the top of wave C. Target: previous support. #elliottwave #forextrading #eurusd” Key Takeaways from the Chart: 1. Current Zone (C Wave): Price is entering the key resistance/supply zone. C wave completion is expected here (likely the end of the correction). 2. Bearish Reaction Expected: You're forecasting a potential reversal from this zone. A short-term retracement or trend reversal is likely, marked by the red arrow. 3. Trade Plan (Based on Idea): Wait for Price Action Confirmation in the resistance zone (e.g., bearish engulfing, pin bar, divergence). Once confirmed, look for a short entry with a target toward the yellow support box. Use tight stop-loss above the resistance zone.
Short
by Greenfireforex
DeGRAM | EURUSD Reached Triangle Target📊 Technical Analysis EUR/USD remains in a rising channel but is struggling at resistance near 1.1600, forming a bearish divergence. The pair is again testing support around 1.1390. 💡 Fundamental Analysis The ECB's April rate cut, amid weak growth and easing inflation, highlights Eurozone fragility, while the Fed holds steady as US data remains solid. This policy divergence and ongoing trade tensions support short-term USD strength. ✨ Summary Both technical and fundamental signals align, suggesting a short-term bearish bias for EUR/USD. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
1
Euro dollar, $1.15 is a major technical resistance$1.15, a technical target that was expected Since the beginning of the year, the euro dollar has established itself as the leader of the foreign exchange market (Forex). Up by more than 10%, it has outperformed all other major Forex pairs, and this upward movement has been built up in stages from a technical analysis point of view. The major chart target of $1.15 has now been reached, a pivotal technical threshold that dates back to 2020/2021. Since the start of the year, there have been a series of bullish reversal signals on the EUR/USD rate, with a break of resistance at $1.06 in early March, a bullish reversal pattern reminiscent of autumn 2022, and a recently validated golden cross. Elliott wave analysis suggested an end to wave 2 in February, which was validated by price action and momentum indicators. The $1.15 mark had been the technical target since the $1.06 mark was breached, and the market could now breathe a sigh of relief below this resistance. Below is a chart showing the performance of the major Forex pairs since the beginning of the year. Institutional traders were again the forerunners But what gives even more weight to this move is the behavior of institutional traders. As is often the case, they were the first to sense the bullish reversal. The COT report published by the CFTC shows that, from the beginning of March, hedge funds swung into the long camp, with their net positions returning to positive territory. Shortly afterwards, asset managers followed suit, and the entire institutional net position went bullish by over 50%, historically a major bullish signal (see the second chart below). Now the real question is: are they still buying at these levels? Do they strengthen? If they start to lighten up, it'll be a game-changer. But for now, support is there, even if the euro-dollar rate were to pause or retrace below $1.15 resistance in the short term. Support at $1.10/$1.12 is the guarantor of the uptrend. Below, chart showing weekly Japanese candlesticks for the EUR/USD rate, with the institutional positioning curve according to the CFTC's COT report So, can we aim for $1.20 by the end of 2025? From a purely technical point of view, it's not impossible, but we'd need to break above $1.15/$1.17 to activate such a target. And fundamentally, it won't happen by itself. A combination of factors is needed: a euro buoyed by German economic momentum, the end of the conflict in Ukraine, an accommodating but credible ECB, and above all, a weakened US dollar, which requires a healthy “FED put”, in other words, a FED that eases because disinflation is confirmed, and not under the constraint of a recession. We also need to keep a close eye on interest-rate spreads: a spread too favorable to the dollar would break the momentum. In short, $1.20 is technically conceivable between now and the end of the year, but conditional on a macroeconomic context that is not yet present. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions. This content is not intended to manipulate the market or encourage any specific financial behavior. 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by Swissquote
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! Trade confluences - Weekly order block rejection - Daily bearish close - Intraday breaks of structure - 15’ order block created - Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
EUR may complete consolidation. One step away from a rally EUR continues to strengthen. The currency pair is supported by the falling dollar. The structure of consolidation before distribution coincides with the one two weeks ago. We are one step away from a rally Scenario: First of all, there is 1.1381 resistance ahead. If the currency pair does not fall, enters the buying zone and forms a consolidation, in this case we can count on premature growth. But! Powell's speech is ahead and the market may make a correction. The price may go down to the previously broken triangle resistance for a retest and then continue to grow.
Long
by AndeWave
8
EURUSD I Monday CLS I KL - FVG, Target - PWHHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. ✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. 🛡️ Models 1 and 2: From my posts, you can learn two core execution models. They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained. 📍 Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. 📍 Model 2 occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range. 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions. ⚔️ Listen Carefully: Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves. If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Long
by David_Perk
21
Bullish Pennant Confirms Breakout: Momentum Builds Toward 1.19The pair has formed a textbook bullish pennant on the 4-hour timeframe following a sharp impulsive move upward. Price action consolidated within a narrowing triangle, signaling accumulation before the next leg higher. The breakout above the pennant’s resistance suggests continuation of the uptrend, with projected Fibonacci targets at: 1.1781 (1.272 extension) 1.1940 (1.414 extension) Volume behavior confirms the pattern: declining during the consolidation phase and increasing at the breakout, supporting a strong bullish bias. Fundamental backdrop: -The US Dollar faces pressure as markets increasingly price in a potential Fed rate cut in the second half of 2025. -The ECB maintains a more hawkish stance, reinforcing euro strength relative to USD. -Eurozone economic data shows signs of inflation stabilization, while US CPI readings remain mixed. -Capital rotation favors major currencies with resilient monetary policies and macroeconomic stability. As long as EUR/USD holds above 1.1476, the bullish scenario remains intact. A move toward 1.1781 and 1.1940 appears likely. A breakdown below 1.1237 would invalidate the pennant and shift momentum toward support retests.
Long
by TotoshkaTrades