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Euro / U.S. Dollar

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EURUSD trade ideas

Early Short entry EURUSDNice confluance at 200 EMA and 1.8000 level, gave a worning to sell the EUR, H1 gave us a power close for early entries. At the end off day if we get a nice power close from the sellers, my confidance rating will justify a short on EURUSD. Technical analysis is only conformational step to these positions. A breif description of key factors behind this Position. Recent macroeconomic trends and central bank policies support a bearish outlook on EUR/USD, with fundamental factors converging to strengthen the USD while weakening the EUR. 1. Divergent Central Bank Policies 2. Growth and Inflation Differentials 3. Geopolitical Risks 4. Market Sentiment and Positioning **Conclusion**: The EUR/USD pair appears primed for a short position based on strong USD fundamentals against Euro weakness. This trade capitalizes on the economic and policy divergence between the U.S. and Eurozone and the USD’s safe-haven appeal amidst uncertain global conditions.
Short
by JureBrumen
1
EurUsd Analysis | Rebound in short term?The euro hit a 4-1/2-month low against the U.S. dollar as investors worried about possible U.S. tariffs which would hurt the euro area's economy. The greenback was within striking distance of the levels seen right after the U.S. presidential election against major currencies as markets focused on data and Federal Reserve speakers and waited for clarity about future U.S. policy. Analysts expect measures from President-elect Donald Trump to put upward pressure on inflation and bond yields while limiting the Fed's scope to ease policy. However, they see investors trading on economic data and clues about the rate outlook before seeing what Trump's policies would actually be in practice. Market participants flagged that the sensitivity of the euro to the threat of higher U.S. import tariffs was evident late Friday, when media reported that Trump was lining up Robert Lighthizer, seen as a hawk on trade, to run his trade policy. However, two sources familiar with the matter said Lighthizer has not been asked by Trump to return to the agency overseeing trade policy. That said, from a technical point of view, the pair is very interesting to follow in the short term, if we look at the 4H chart, we have reached a very important support area, so we do not exclude some bullish movement. If the pair will trigger a technical bounce it should do so with at least 3 legs, and in this case it could still form a bullish Head and Shoulders Pattern (not shown on the chart, but quite simple to imagine). The most speculative bulls are trying to take long positions on the resistance, the more cautious Traders could wait for the formation of the right shoulder taking a position with a stop loss under the Head. Thanks for watching.
Long
by TheAnonymousBanker
1
Stop Trying To Catch A Falling Knife!Stop looking for a bullish move, until you have real evidence that the dollar is weakening. Trump traders have so far dominated markets strengthening the dollar to new highs daily. At the same time inflationary concerns arise with feds cutting 25%, with many believing the economy could have done without, as evidence of organic strengthening of the USD was present. Dollar strengthening mixed with inflation concerns will begin to cause a bubble that could be set to burst in December if feds approve another cut. Trump traders will fight against any weakening of the Dollar, as they did for this months rate cut, but will they have enough strength to battle against news of another cut in December? I personally believe they do, with the tremendous amounts of profits that have been made this month I see the EUR/USD being bearish for a good while.
Short
by DiamondTradingOfficial
2
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Short to support area at 1.06749.Colleagues, the US presidential election has made some adjustments to the wave markup and I now believe price is in a contested position. I think that the downward movement will continue and the price will update the lows, but for now I expect the price to reach the support area at 1.06749. If the price updates this level - I will consider that the price is in a complex correction and I will look for a long position entry, but for now I prefer short positions. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Short
by Hellena_Trade
8
EURUSD - depreciation more than 7% since Trump administrationTeam, I do not often trade EURUSD or you could say rarely but last night, we made some trades. Since Trump won the presidency, the EUR has been pulling back more than 5% against the US Dollars. Today, we have the opportunity to ENTER EUR/USD at 10.5620-1.05650 Target 1st at 1.05700 Target 2 at 1.05800 Target 3 at 1.06200 Once it reaches 1st target, bring stop loss to BE. Please note: if you are not familiar with the trade, be sure to set the stop loss, see how much you are risking for the trade, and then adjust the volume that fits you. This trade can be 3-5ROI (RETURN ON INVESTMENT)
Long
by ActiveTraderRoom
2
Is Further Downward Movement Expected in EUR/USD?The EUR/USD pair has recently broken a significant uptrend line and fallen below a crucial horizontal support level on the daily chart. This initial downward movement was triggered by Donald Trump's victory in the US presidential election. His consistent emphasis on prioritising the local economy has led the market to anticipate protective policies aimed at reducing imports, thereby strengthening the Dollar against the Euro. From a technical perspective, current price action suggests increasing selling pressure, with the pair now approaching a critical support level at 1.0678. Below, we explore two potential scenarios for EUR/USD. Scenario 1: Retracement to the 1.0780 Region Followed by a Subsequent Decline Following the break of the uptrend line, the price may experience a pullback to retest the 1.0780 region, which is likely to act as resistance. This 1.0780 level coincides with a confluence zone formed by the prior trendline and the previously broken horizontal support level, making it a significant area of interest for sellers. Possible Sell Entry: If the price exhibits signs of rejection upon reaching 1.0780, this could present an attractive selling opportunity, with initial targets set at the 1.0678 support level and subsequently at the 1.0470 region, as indicated on the chart. Stop Loss : A protective stop loss could be placed slightly above 1.0830 to safeguard against a false breakout. Scenario 2: Break Below the 1.0678 Support Level The 1.0678 support level has been tested multiple times in recent sessions, rendering it a crucial point. A breach below this level would signify a potential continuation of the downward movement over the next few days. A daily close below 1.0678 could amplify the likelihood of a steeper decline, setting the stage for the next support level around 1.0470. Possible Short Entry: If the price breaks below 1.0678, a short entry could be initiated with initial targets at 1.0610, and a final target positioned at the strong support level of 1.0470, which has been significant since October 2023. Stop Loss : For this scenario, a stop loss could be positioned slightly above 1.0700 to avoid being affected by a false retest of the broken support. Donald Trump's victory has instigated a downward shift in the Euro's value against the Dollar, and this trend is likely to continue in the coming days. Given that EUR/USD is currently at a critical juncture, both outlined scenarios present viable trading opportunities, contingent upon price action in the forthcoming sessions. Careful monitoring of the 1.0678 and 1.0780 levels will be essential for determining the pair’s future direction and validating potential entry points. Disclaimer: 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Short
by Marketscom
EURUSD Testing Strong Support Zone Near 1.0700EURUSD Testing Strong Support Zone Near 1.0700 EURUSD is currently testing a strong support zone near 1.0680 - 1.0700. This area seems poised to push the price up again in the coming days, making it a potential short-term trade opportunity. The US will release the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Wednesday, so the market is likely to speculate again. The US Consumer Price Index (YoY) for October is expected to be 2.6% vs 2.4% the previous month. The US Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY) for October is expected to remain at 3.3%. EURUSD may test the 1.0750 and 1.0800 levels again. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Long
by KlejdiCuni
8
Potential bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance. Pivot: 1.0677 1st Support: 1.0615 1st Resistance: 1.0802 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
EURUSD : US10Y not playing alongAs we can see, the price just hit 1.0600 which was where it touched back in 4/2024. Now the question is whether it would go DOWN as many would think, or it would just go UP. The answer is with the US10Y, which is riding HIGH now. My opinion is that unless it drops to below 3.70%, the probability of the price falling below 1.0600 is low. As of now, US$ is facing heavy resistance with Bond Yield!!! I am buying it now - good luck. Target = 1.0898 P/S : 'Time' will tell; if we know it well, it suggests where and when.
Long
by i_am_siew
EUR/USD Outlook: Positive Start Amid Market Anticipation of CPI As I write this article, the EUR/USD pair is kicking off the London session on a positive note, currently trading at 1.0623. However, caution prevails as traders await the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for October, scheduled for publication at 13:30 GMT. The forthcoming CPI report is anticipated to reveal an uptick in annual headline inflation, expected to rise to 2.6% from September’s 2.4%. Meanwhile, the core CPI, which excludes the more volatile prices of food and energy, is projected to experience a steady increase of 3.3%. This inflation data is set to sway market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's (Fed) potential monetary policy actions in December. The market currently expects a 25 basis point cut in interest rates, bringing the target range down to 4.25%-4.50%, as indicated by the CME FedWatch tool. Nevertheless, the probability of this cut has decreased slightly, falling from 70% to 62% over the past week. Investors appear to be recalibrating their expectations, anticipating a more positive economic outlook for the US and heightened price pressures under the upcoming administration of President-elect Donald Trump. From a technical perspective, the market has entered a weekly demand zone (link provided below), which might facilitate a price rebound. The Commitment of Traders (COT) report indicates that while retail investors remain bearish, institutional investors—referred to as 'smart money'—are adopting a bullish stance, albeit with a degree of caution. Our forecasts suggest a possible bullish trend extending into mid-January. For now, we will await today’s news before considering any long positions. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
by FOREXN1
1