EUR/USD 4H Chart Analysis – May 29, 2025🔍 Market Structure Overview
Current Price: 1.12753
Key Zone: Price is hovering at a critical resistance-turned-support area.
🧱 Key Levels
Resistance Zone: 1.15639 (🔝 Main Target)
Support Zone: 1.10736 (🔻 Main Target)
Intermediate Zones:
Target One (Bullish): 1.14139 📈
Target One (Bearish): 1.11687 📉
🔄 Scenario Outlook
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If price holds above the 1.1275 zone, we could see a climb towards:
1.14139 (minor target)
1.15639 (major resistance & final target)
🚀 Breakout above could indicate continuation of higher highs.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
Failure to hold above 1.1275 could push price lower:
First support at 1.11687
Final drop towards 1.10736 support zone
🪓 Breakdown could confirm lower low structure.
🧠 Conclusion
This is a decision point zone. Wait for confirmation before jumping in. A strong bullish or bearish candle at this level will dictate the next move. Risk management is key here! 🎯
EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD Sell – June 2, 2025 (Re-entry)Still maintaining the same HTF bearish bias – daily OB + D trend direction, with liquidity above W/D highs already swept.
After initial stop-out, price offered a cleaner entry: reacting from a 15m POI, followed by a clear BOS on the 1m timeframe.
Plan is to enter on the retest of the 1m OB left behind after the break.
First TP at 1:3 RR, with extended targets below Asia lows if momentum continues.
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 2 - 6 JuneMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: BoC & ECB Rates, Canada and US Job Data & Earnings Reports
In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events, market trends, and corporate news shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex, commodities, and stocks to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in!
In this episode, we discuss:
— BoC’s Interest Rate Decision
— ECB’s Interest Rate Decision
— Unemployment Rate in Canada
— NFP and Unemployment Rate in the US
— Corporate Earnings Statements
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This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURUSD Possible AnalysisEURUSD has been overall bullish with retracemets here and there. It has recently made a deep retracement that could be mistaken for a shift in market structure, while in reality it's just liquidity accumulation. Price recently shifted structure back to bullish on 4h timeframe where it preceded to break more structure before retracing to sweep liquidity below a low and tap a fvg in the process. It preceded to shift structure on the 1h time frame, breaking with a huge bullish candle symbolizing increase in bullish momentum. It is currently retracing towards an orderblock that was responsible for the break and could possibly retest it and fill the imbalance above it before it continues its bullish move up to take out the latest weak high.
EUR/USD Rises to 4-Week HighEUR/USD Rises to 4-Week High
As shown on the EUR/USD chart today, the euro rose to a 4-week high against the US dollar this morning.
The euro's strength relative to the US dollar is supported by traders’ expectations ahead of the ECB's interest rate decision, scheduled for Thursday at 15:15 GMT+3.
This upcoming event is notable not only because the ECB is expected to cut rates from 2.40% to 2.15% (for the seventh consecutive time), but also due to the broader context shaped by ECB President Christine Lagarde’s recent remarks on the euro’s status as a reserve currency.
At the same time, the US dollar is weakening amid growing trade concerns—on Friday, the US President Donald Trump announced plans to double tariffs on steel and aluminum to 50%. He also accused China of breaching the recent trade truce.
Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart
Seven days ago, when analysing the EUR/USD chart, we:
→ observed bullish sentiment;
→ highlighted the importance of the 1.1400 resistance level;
→ suggested that bears might attempt to strike back.
Since then, the price has pulled back from the mentioned level (as indicated by the arrow), but found support at the lower boundary of the ascending channel. The current bullish momentum could push EUR/USD towards the psychological level of 1.1500 during the week ahead.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURUSD – The bearish threat is becoming increasingly clearRecently released PMI data shows that the U.S. manufacturing sector is rebounding. This dampens expectations of monetary easing from the Fed. With a stronger U.S. dollar and rising bond yields, USD-denominated assets like EURUSD are facing downward pressure.
On the daily chart, EURUSD is approaching the resistance zone at 1.16438 – an area that has rejected prices before. The recent rebound appears to be losing strength, and the ascending trendline is at risk of breaking.
If the price fails to hold above this trendline as illustrated, a breakout to the downside could drive the market toward the 1.10757 zone – which aligns with a previous strong support level.
In summary: be cautious of a potential trend break. If a pattern of lower highs continues, sellers may soon take control.
Clean Long Setup After Liquidity SweepThe EUR/USD trend is still bullish and is likely to continue at least toward the liquidity beyond the equal highs. We'll consider entering if a bullish setup forms.
🔍 My Trading Approach:
My trading and analysis are primarily based on market liquidity and how price tends to move toward areas where liquidity is pooled.
I use two main concepts in my strategy:
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) to identify setups and entry zones
Measured Moves (MMs) to define target levels
🎯 Profit-Taking Rule:
I usually secure profits once price has moved at least 1.5 times the initial stop-loss distance in my favor.
Eurusd is still bullish This EUR/USD daily chart from FXCM suggests a bullish breakout following a well-formed rounded bottom pattern.
Key Observations:
Rounded Bottom Formation: This pattern, marked with multiple lows (highlighted in orange circles), signals a gradual trend reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend.
Breakout Confirmation: Price has broken above the rounded resistance, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Projected Price Movement: The hand-drawn path suggests further upside, with possible retests before continuing higher.
Volume Profile: Increased activity around the 1.0900 level suggests strong support, with potential resistance near 1.1200 - 1.1400.
Conclusion:
This setup indicates a bullish continuation, but confirmation through sustained volume and price action above resistance is crucial.
Important week ahead for EURUSDEURUSD is currently in an uptrend, and we expect this bullish momentum to continue throughout the week.
At this stage, buying opportunities remain the focus, with the next targets set at 1,1427 and 1,1563.
Several key economic events are also on the horizon and are likely to impact the market.
On Thursday, the ECB is expected to cut interest rates, followed by the release of U.S. Non-Farm Payroll data on Friday.
EURUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.1284, a pullback support that aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.1367, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 1.1229, a multi swing low support.
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Wave 3 up is coming for EUHi traders,
Last week EU finished impulse wave 5 (orange) up to finish wave 1 (red) and the bigger pullback wave 2 (red). Check my previous outlook about what I said. Coincidence?
Next week we could see the next impulse wave 3 (red) after the finish of the small correction down.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the finish of the small correction down to trade Wave 3 (red) up.
If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
EURUSD: Bearish Continuation
The recent price action on the EURUSD pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bearish one and I think we will see the price go down.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
The range of 1.12-1.14 becomes an "arena"!The EUR/USD exhibited a narrow trading range on the last trading day of this week, with market focus in the evening centered on the upcoming release of the U.S. April core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index data, one of the Federal Reserve's most closely watched inflation indicators. Recently, the U.S. dollar has remained strong amid the Fed's hawkish stance and risk aversion triggered by tariff rhetoric, while the euro has shown some resilience but lacks a clear direction amid a mix of fundamental and technical factors.
Looking ahead, the trajectory of EUR/USD will largely depend on the upcoming U.S. core PCE data and market repricing of Fed policy. If the PCE data meets expectations (month-on-month 0.1%, year-on-year 2.5%), the euro is likely to continue oscillating within the range of 1.1270 to 1.1435, with limited short-term potential to break above the upper Bollinger Band at 1.1435. If the data surprises on the upside, the U.S. dollar could strengthen further, and the euro may test support levels at 1.1200 or even 1.1108. Conversely, if the data is weak, market expectations for a July rate cut by the Fed may intensify, and the euro could challenge resistance at 1.1400 and higher levels.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
EURUSD Bull Flag and 1week Golden Cross pushing it higher.EURUSD is on a Bull Flag pattern and just completed a 1week Golden Cross.
The structure is identical to the last 1week Golden Cross on January 11th 2021, which was also formed at the end of a Bull Flag pattern.
That formation pushed the pair higher to complete a 2.0 Fibonacci extension Top.
Buy and target 1.1800.
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EURUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
EURUSD Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1348
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1313
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Most Traders Want Certainty. The Best Ones Want Probability.Hard truth:
You’re trying to trade like an engineer in a casino.
You want certainty in an environment that only rewards probabilistic thinking.
Here’s how that kills your edge:
You wait for “confirmation” — and enter too late.
By the time it feels safe, the market has moved.
You fear losses — but they’re the cost of data.
Good traders don’t fear being wrong. They fear not knowing why.
You need to think in bets, not absolutes.
Outcomes don’t equal decisions. Losing on a great setup is still a good trade.
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That’s exactly what we designed TrendGo f or — to help you see trend strength and structure without delusions of certainty.
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EURUSD Weekly Analysis (MMC) – Bearish Path to Target Zone📈 Market Narrative – Understanding EURUSD's Path with MMC
The EURUSD pair is currently navigating a critical phase in its macro price structure, aligning closely with the Mind Market Concept (MMC) methodology — a trading framework rooted in institutional price behavior, psychological arcs, and structured market mapping.
This chart reveals a story of accumulation, expansion, manipulation, and rebalancing — classic smart money behavior playing out on the higher timeframe. The current move is not just price action — it's a strategic delivery of price toward imbalance, guided by volume vacuums, liquidity zones, and engineered traps.
🧩 Phase-by-Phase Technical Analysis
🔷 1. Arc Accumulation Zone – The Beginning of Institutional Positioning
In the latter half of 2024, EURUSD entered a rounded arc formation, which marks a textbook accumulation phase.
This "bowl-like" curve represents gradual absorption of sell-side liquidity by institutions.
The lows became progressively higher, indicating demand stepping in while supply weakened.
Volume during this time was suppressed — another smart money tactic to accumulate without causing price spikes.
📌 Why This Matters: Arcs often precede explosive breakouts, particularly when aligned with time-based liquidity cycles (quarterly/yearly rebalancing). This zone gave birth to the breakout that followed.
🔷 2. The Central Zone – Consolidation Before Expansion
Once the arc base was complete, price broke out impulsively, then pulled back into what is labeled the Central Zone.
This zone acts as a mid-range liquidity pocket — where orders are stacked and reaccumulation occurs.
It also became the launchpad for the final markup wave that tapped the previous target around 1.1250.
🔍 This move was the realignment phase, where smart money took price above key highs to:
Hit their internal targets.
Trap breakout traders.
Induce euphoria before distribution.
🔷 3. Major BOS – Break of Macro Structure
The breakout through 1.1150–1.1200 confirmed a Major Break of Structure (BOS).
This BOS acted as a signal for:
Trend reversal confirmation for many retail traders.
A "green light" to buy — which was anticipated and exploited by institutions.
But here’s the twist:
Price rejected the SR Interchange Zone (support turned resistance), signaling that the breakout was engineered to trap liquidity.
🔷 4. Distribution & Manipulation – The Trap Layer
The chart clearly shows two critical supply areas:
Minor Resistance (around 1.1400s)
Major Resistance (around 1.1550–1.1600s)
Price briefly approached these zones but failed to hold, forming a complex distribution range.
This is where:
Smart money distributed their long positions.
Retail buyers got trapped.
Volume increased during sell-side preparation.
📌 The rejection from these zones sent price into a clean markdown, forming lower highs and confirming the bearish structure mapping.
🔷 5. Structural Mapping – Downtrend Control
Price action is now clearly in a bearish delivery phase, as shown by:
Lower highs & lower lows
Repeated rejections from minor resistance
Large red candles with little retracement (showing momentum)
This phase is often misunderstood by retail traders. But within MMC, it’s identified as the delivery to imbalance — a controlled descent into unmitigated demand.
🔷 6. Target + Reversal Zone – Where the Real Opportunity Begins
We are approaching the most important area on the chart:
🟡 Target + Reversal Zone (around 1.0950–1.1000)
This zone is not randomly drawn:
It's the origin of the arc breakout, a high-volume node.
It's a discounted price level where institutions may re-engage.
It’s untapped demand from the earlier accumulation — meaning no major reaction has occurred here yet.
If price slows down here, forms a liquidity sweep, or gives a bullish engulfing on the lower timeframe — this could be the reversal point.
But:
If price slices through with strong momentum, it may signal macro weakness, opening room to test the 1.0800 region.
🧭 Trade Plan & Execution Guide
Setup Type Actionable Guidance
📉 Bearish Pullback Entry Short entries near 1.1300–1.1350 with stop above minor resistance
🟡 Demand Reversal Watch Wait for reaction in 1.0950–1.1000, assess volume & candle response
📊 Structure Confirmation Use lower timeframe BOS for entry alignment
🛡️ Risk Management Keep risk below 1% per trade, avoid chasing mid-zone prices
💬 Key Takeaways
EURUSD has completed its accumulation → expansion → manipulation cycle.
We are now entering the rebalancing phase, where the market returns to fair value (demand).
Smart money flow is visible — from engineered highs to controlled selloffs.
The Target + Reversal Zone will likely dictate the next macro direction.