Will EUR/USD Flag Its Way to the Next Level?4H Market Outlook – EUR/USD
After analysing the 4-hour chart, it’s clear that EUR/USD is riding a strong uptrend — and let’s be honest, we’re not sure how many accounts this rally has humbled so far! 😅
Currently, price is trading above a well-respected ascending trendline, which has provided solid support multiple times in recent sessions, further confirming bullish strength.
Heading into next week, we expect a shallow retracement toward the 38.20% – 50.00% Fibonacci zone, which would be a healthy pause before potentially completing one of several bullish continuation patterns:
• Bullish Flag
• Falling Broadening Wedge
• Falling Wedge
Once the pattern matures and price breaks out, don’t be surprised if EUR/USD says “hi” to our next upside target with confidence.
On the flip side, if price breaks below the ascending trendline, this could trigger a deeper pullback — first toward the 78.60% retracement, and if that fails to hold, we may see further downside toward 0% and even the 127.20% extension level.
⚠️ Always respect your risk management rules. They’re your trading seatbelt — protecting your capital and preserving your profits.
Happy Trading,
SpicyPips
EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD is Extending Higher in an Impulsive StructureThe EURUSD currency pair is showing strong signs of continuing its upward trend, based on Elliott Wave analysis. Since its low on September 26, 2022, the pair has been climbing. However, it hasn’t yet hit its projected target of 1.19. This suggests more room to grow in the long term. For now, the pair remains a good opportunity for buyers as long as it doesn’t drop below the key support level of 1.0876.
Looking at a shorter time frame, starting from March 27, 2025, EURUSD is moving in a classic five-step upward pattern. The first step peaked at 1.1146, followed by a brief dip to 1.087. The pair then surged to 1.147, and pulled back slightly to 1.126. It is now expected to push higher to complete this short-term cycle. After that, a temporary dip is likely before the upward trend resumes.
In simple terms, as long as the pair stays above 1.0876 and hasn’t reached 1.19, any short-term declines should attract buyers in 3, 7, or 11 swing looking for more gains. Traders can watch for these dips as opportunities to join the bullish trend, with the next significant moves likely to unfold soon.
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D18 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D18 Y25
Fun Coupon Friday.
Summary
- STILL with HTF Order block (weekly)
- All long positions invalid until weekly close above weekly order block
- Short positions charted
- The more breaks of 15' structure the more confluence for bearish pressure
- Lower time frame turn around in price action REQUIRED in all short positions.
FRGNT X
EU?
Hi,
It took +-50Dys to arrive TP 1.10
now it had extended 1.13-14
I believe.. there would be a rebalancing to 1.08-1.09
Just like Gold.. it will not respect anyone. Just doing what it wants.
You see a trade you like.. Use money management.
This is all, that I could control.
All the best
Not a guru
EURUSD: 4H holding and is pushing for the next High. The EURUSD pair is bullish on its 4H technical outlook (RSI = 58.651, MACD = 0.006, ADX = 20.500) as despite turning sideways since last Friday, the price remains over the 4H MA50 and inside the short term Channel Up. As long as those hold, we anticipate a new bullish wave of at least 5%, like the previous one. Aim for the top of the Channel Up (TP = 1.1800).
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
EURUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThe chart you’ve shared is a EUR/USD (Euro/U.S. Dollar) 30-minute timeframe setup, and it suggests a short (sell) trading idea within a descending triangle or channel pattern. Here's a breakdown:
Chart Analysis:
Price Pattern: Sideways/descending triangle pattern with lower highs and consistent support around 1.12619.
Current Price: Around 1.13708.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Near the top of the channel (where it is currently).
Take Profit (TP): Near the lower support line (around 1.12619).
Stop Loss (SL): Above the recent highs, near the upper trendline (~1.14165).
Implication:
The trader anticipates a price rejection at the upper trendline
EUR/USD short trade Macro viewHere's a EUR/USD 1 week chart, 3 year view. As you can see EUR/USD is trading in a major resistance area with the top being 1.14950. November 2024 - February 2025 EUR/USD support range high was 1.0632 to low 1.0213. In September 2022 EUR/USD low was 0.9536. The average price of the past 3 years high and low equals 1.0515.
EUR/USD short trade idea:
short = 1.1379
stop = 1.1495
profit = 1.0515
EUR/USD 3-Year Highs After 200-DMA SupportEUR/USD had pushed six consecutive days of losses after recoiling from Fiboancci resistance late last month. The 1.0943 level held two different resistance tests, with prices pulling back after the FOMC meeting saw Jerome Powell take a wait-and-see approach with regards to both inflation and possible rate cuts.
Normally, a backdrop like that would allow for a build of USD-strength, and we saw that show up as EUR/USD dropped down for a test of the 200-day moving average, but that's around when the weakness started to slow. Buyers responded in a big way and that led to a breakout and fresh three-year highs just a week later.
Notably, before those highs could print it was the same 1.0943 Fibonacci level that held support, and that has some relation to another key level that's so far held support for this week at 1.1275, which is the 61.8% retracement of the 2021-2022 major move.
At this point bulls have retained control of the pair and this week presented another couple of fundamental drivers that would seem to point at reversal, with a strong U.S. retail sales report, a Jerome Powell that sounded somewhat hawkish with inflation expectations around tariffs; and then the dovish ECB rate cut on Thursday. Despite all that - EUR/USD has held up fairly well and it's that deduction that illustrates bullish potential into next week.
For resistance - 1.1500 is huge. This was last in-play in early-2022 and it was resistance on multiple occasions before bears were able to take care of matters. So, chasing breakouts at the big figure could be challenging. Pullbacks could remain attractive and given the response to 1.1275, we can see where buyers had responded quickly to that. Of interest is the 1.1200 level that was hardened resistance in Q3 of last year, and then possibly even the 1.1100 level that held the highs earlier in April. For invalidation of trend, it's the 1.0900-1.0943 zone that I think remains of interest. - js
EURUSD soon below 1.10After that huge pump which was expected and also bullish market which is still bullish now we are looking for a short-term fall here below 1.100 and soon again after that more rise and gain can be possible because EUR now is strong.
also our target is now 0.38% Fib level.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
Headwinds for EURUSD as trade tension declinesEuro-dollar retreated further on 1 May in thin trading to retest $1.13. Trade wars are less in focus now with the rising possibility of deals between the USA and India, Japan and South Korea among others. Although American advance GDP for the first quarter was disappointing at negative 0.3%, the generally positive reaction by the dollar might suggest positive sentiment and that participants had been expecting a worse result. Flash GDP for the eurozone was better than expected on 30 April.
$1.13 remains an important technical reference. A break clearly below there might open the way to $1.11 and possibly lower in the medium term, especially if sentiment and the American job report support. Conversely, a bounce from here would probably mean a retest of the latest highs around $1.156 sooner or later. Overall, euro-dollar’s performance since the end of February has been very strong, so it’d be possible to see the price consolidating for a while before making clear new highs if the uptrend does indeed continue. Apart from 2 May’s NFP, next week’s press conference from the Fed is critical.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
EURUSD Massive Long! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.1317 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
My Stop Loss - 1.1282
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.1379
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Euro can continue to move up inside upward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at this chart, we can observe how the price has been moving confidently within the boundaries of a well-formed upward channel. After an extended period of consolidation inside the buyer zone, the market began forming higher lows and eventually broke out with strong bullish momentum. That breakout was followed by a smooth trend-building phase, where each correction found support at higher levels, a clear signal of growing buyer interest. As the price moved higher, it respected both the support line and the support level at 1.0910, reinforcing the structure of the channel. When the market reached the support area, it consolidated for a while before launching another impulse up, confirming the breakout and creating a new higher support zone. Now, the market has pulled back into the support zone, which aligns with the 1.1285 current support level and the lower boundary of the channel. Given the strength of the overall trend, the clear structure of the upward channel, and the reaction from a key support zone, I expect the pair to continue moving higher toward TP1 at 1.1600 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD is Trading Under the Pressure of a Strong DollarHey traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.13500 zone, EURUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.13500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.