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EURUSD trade ideas

SELL & BUY EURUSD IDEAOn Weekly TF, price broke a major resistance and is coming back for a retest, turning resistance to support. last daily close is a weak bullish candle at the resistance about to be turned support Ranging market on H4 before support was broken, retest done and inverse pinbar formed Price is currently falling to support level, Left shoulder and head formed on H1, formation of right shoulder would be a sell signal for a sell to the next support Buy idea depends on how price action acts when it gets to the support
Short
by Mrwarm_
1
Trade Wars, Tariffs & Currencies: The Connection Explained📊 What Are Tariffs & Why Should Traders Care? 💱 Tariffs are taxes imposed by a country on imported goods. Think of them as the "price of entry" foreign products must pay to access domestic markets. 🔍 Why Governments Use Them: Protect domestic industries from cheaper foreign goods Retaliate in trade disputes Raise revenue (less common today) 🧠 Why Traders Should Watch Tariffs: Tariffs don’t just hit companies—they ripple through economies and currency markets. Here’s how: 📉 1. Currency Impact Tariffs can lead to currency depreciation in the targeted country as trade volumes fall and foreign demand drops. Example: When the U.S. imposed tariffs on China, the Yuan weakened to offset the blow. 📈 2. Inflation Pressure Tariffs make imports more expensive, fueling inflation. Central banks may respond with rate hikes—which moves markets. 🌐 3. Risk Sentiment Tariff wars increase global uncertainty = risk-off sentiment. Traders flee riskier currencies (like EMFX) for safe havens like the USD, CHF, or JPY. 🔄 4. Trade Balance Shifts Tariffs can affect a country's trade balance, influencing long-term currency valuation. 💡 Trading Tip: Watch for tariff announcements or trade tension headlines—they often precede volatility spikes in major pairs. Combine with sentiment tools and fundamentals for best results.
Education
by currencynerd
Eurusd signal EUR/USD remains capped below its 2025 peak of 1.1572 (April 21), with the 1.1600 level and the October 2021 high at 1.1692 acting as key resistance zones. EUR/USD took a hard step lower on Monday, kicking off the new trading week with a fresh dip below 1.1000 before a late recovery pushed the pair back toward 1.1100. The Fiber still closed 1.4% lower on the day, and investors are bracing for a fresh batch of US Consumer Price Index inflation data due on Tuesday.
Short
by Stiven088
EUR/USD Breakout Watch: All Eyes on 1.12700 Zone EUR/USD is showing a potential bearish setup after rejecting the strong resistance zone around 1.13800 and forming a Change of Character (ChoCh) at the 1.13100 level. The pair has bounced from the strong support zone at 1.12700 , but structure suggests that a break below this level could confirm a bearish continuation. 🔎 Technical Breakdown: - Price has respected the lower high structure and retraced to the 0.786 fib level near 1.12975. - A clear breakdown below 1.12700 support would likely trigger a wave down toward the 1.12100 expected target , which aligns with the 1.618 fib extension. - If price breaks and holds above 1.13800 resistance , this bearish setup becomes invalid. 📰 Fundamental Drivers Supporting Bearish Bias: - 🇺🇸 US Dollar Strengthening: Recent U.S. economic data including better-than-expected ISM Services PMI and non-farm payrolls continue to support a strong dollar, limiting EUR upside. - Federal Reserve Hawkish Stance: Fed officials remain cautious about rate cuts. A prolonged pause or delay in easing continues to attract capital back into USD. - 🇪🇺 Eurozone Weakness: The ECB has signaled a possible rate cut by June, supported by falling inflation and slowing growth in Germany and France. This diverging policy path weakens the Euro. Yield Spread Pressure: The widening bond yield spread between U.S. and European bonds favors USD accumulation. // As long as EUR/USD trades below 1.13800, the bias remains bearish. A confirmed breakdown below 1.12700 could open the door to 1.12100 and deeper targets like 1.11600. //
Short
by ClearTradingMind
Range-Bound EUR/USD: Sell Setup Pending Dollar StrengthI'm currently watching the EUR/USD currency pair, and it appears to be under pressure while trading within a range 📉. If you check out the chart in the video 📊, you’ll see what I mean. I’m on the lookout for a potential sell opportunity, but only if the upcoming data release signals strength for the US dollar 💵. In that case, I’d be watching for a break and retest of the current range low—(BoS). My targets would be set two levels below, aiming to close the position by the end of the New York session 🗽. Please note, this is not financial advice! 🚫
Short
by fxtraderanthony
EUR/USD Weekly Analysis - Major Buy Opportunity 📈 EUR/USD Weekly Analysis — Major Buy Opportunity 🚀 Key Insight: The EUR/USD is showing strong signs of accumulation after a long-term downtrend (2014–2022). Based on price structure, MACD divergence, and volume spikes, we have identified three major BUY zones where smart entries are likely. 🔥 3 Major Buy Zones: 1. Zone 1: 1.0500–1.0800 (Primary Demand Zone) Historical major support level since 2015. MACD bullish divergence confirming strength. Large buyer volume at recent retests. ✅ Safest zone for deep entries. Entry Idea: Buy dips inside this zone. Stop Loss: Below 1.0450. Target: 1.1500+ initially. 2. Zone 2: 1.0900–1.1000 (Breakout Retest Area) Retest of previous resistance turned support after breakout. Confirmation of higher low formation. 🔄 Ideal for breakout + retest traders. Entry Idea: Buy on clean bullish retest. Stop Loss: Below 1.0880. Target: 1.1400s and above. 3. Zone 3: 1.1100–1.1150 (Aggressive Momentum Entry) Price acceptance above key structure. Higher risk/reward setup with tighter stop loss. ⚡ Perfect for momentum traders. Entry Idea: Buy small pullbacks around 1.1100. Stop Loss: Below 1.1050. Target: 1.1400–1.1500 first. 🧠 Summary Strategy: Conservative traders should prioritize Zone 1. Medium-risk traders can wait for Zone 2 breakout retests. Aggressive traders can start building at Zone 3 with tight risk. Major upside if the liquidity trendline breaks! 🚀 🛡️ Risk Management Reminder: Always use stop-losses and proper position sizing — smart entries are only half the battle! 🎯 Final Target: Liquidity resting above 1.1500 — and possibly continuation higher towards 1.1800 if momentum carries through. 👉 Drop a ⭐ if you found this helpful, and follow for weekly chart breakdowns!
Long
by jamesibartram
EURUSD BULLISH BREAKOUT AND RETESTOn the weekly chart, EURUSD recently closed above the 1.2000 resistance which has been a significant price zone since February 2023, with price reversing from this point multiple times. However, in the first week of April 2025, price violated this resistance, with the weekly candle closing well above 1.4000. Not only did the price break above the resistane, it was also confirmed by an ulta high volume bar. Since then, price has been retesting the broken resistane, but look at the volume again, its falling. As the bulls come in at this level, and with subsequent rising volumes,the next resistancce for EURUSD should be at the 1.2300 price zone, which is previous resistance from 2020/2021.
Long
by privatedvlper
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D13 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D13 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅Gap fill ✅Intraday 15' order blocks ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
EUR/USD — Smart Money Concept (SMC) AnalysisStrategy Framework: SMC (CHOCH, POI, Supply/Demand Zones) --- Key Concepts on Chart CHOCH (Change of Character) Confirmed bullish CHOCH from higher timeframe demand zone (orange). Signals intent of bullish reversal. ✅ Strong Demand Zone (Yellow Box) H4 demand zone holds — price swept liquidity below recent swing low and respected demand. ✅ Target Supply Zones (Marked in Yellow) 1st target: 1.1450 – 1.1500 2nd target: 1.1550 (High timeframe supply) ✅ Elliott Wave Context Wave (4) completion + bullish impulse toward Wave (5) continuation possible — aligning with SMC bias. Entry Idea: > Long after confirmed CHOCH & mitigation of minor demand zone (~1.1240 – 1.1260) Target 1: > 1.1420–1.1450 Supply Zone Target 2: > 1.1500–1.1550 Higher Supply Zone Invalidation (Stop Loss): > Below major demand (
Long
by Greenfireforex
EUR/USD should rebound to 1.1344-hour chart, The EUR/USD CMCMARKETS:EURUSD is trading in a falling expanding (broadening) wedge pattern. The price rebounded from the support level S, and is expected to test the upper resistance line R - at around 1.134 After crossing the line R, and stabilizing for 12 hours above this level, the target will be 1.157 to 1.159 - passing through the shown resistance levels 1.137 and 1.142 Consider a stop loss below the support line (currently 1.119) RSI is in the buy zone. MACD needs to cross up its signal line to confirm.
Long
by snour
EUR/USD he recent price action, indicating a bearish trend.1. Resistance Zone (Top Box): Marked at the upper price range, indicating a strong price ceiling where previous upward movements were rejected. 2. Support Zone (Bottom Box): Highlighted as an area where the price previously found strong buying interest, forming a base. 3. Bearish Channel: A downward-sloping parallel channel is drawn encompassing the recent price action, indicating a bearish trend. 4. Entry and Target Zones: Entry: Around the 1.1250 level, where a potential short (sell) trade might be initiated after price retests the previous structure. Target: Around the 1.0800 level, indicating a significant drop is expected if the price continues downward. Stop Loss: Above the entry point in the red zone, indicating a risk-managed setup. 5. Bearish Projection: The path of the price is expected to continue downward after retesting the broken structure (blue zone near the entry), shown by the arrow pointing to the target. 6. Highlighted Reversal Points: Orange circles mark key reversal points where the price previously changed direction. Interpretation: This chart suggests a bearish setup for EUR/USD. The trader is expecting a retest of broken support (now resistance) before price continues to fall toward the lower support zone. It follows a technical pattern-based strategy, likely involving price action and trend channel analysis
Short
by Johnson67
1
EURUSD Expecting Bearish movementAfter the Geneva talks, the two sides announced a 90-day suspension of some tariff measures and a reduction in the tax rates of some goods. This progress has alleviated market concerns about the escalation of global trade frictions and weakened the attractiveness of the euro as a risky currency. Schnabel, an executive board member of the ECB, said, "There is no need for further interest rate cuts," believing that the current interest rate is at a neutral level. However, the market still expects that if the economic data in the eurozone is weak, the ECB may be forced to continue its easing policy within this year, which poses potential pressure on the euro. The exchange rate has fallen below the 200-day moving average (1.1195) and is far away from the 12-day EMA (1.1303) and the 26-day EMA (1.1284), and the short-term moving averages are in a bearish arrangement. MACD indicator: The DIFF (0.0044) is lower than the DEA (0.0089), and the negative value of the histogram has expanded, indicating an increase in the downward momentum. RSI (14): Currently at 43.29, it has not entered the oversold range, suggesting that there is still room for further decline. you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Short
by HilaryBloomer
EURUSD 12/5/25Want to know how we're starting the week? We're kicking things off with EUR/USD. We've seen strong bearish movement into the first open of the week. This follows trade developments involving China, Europe, Russia, and other major global economies. Naturally, these events have a direct impact on the value of the USD and the currencies these nations trade in. The probability of more unscheduled fundamental news this week is relatively high. Since this type of news can drop at any moment, it's crucial that you mitigate risk if you're trading during this period. As always, caution is highly recommended. Our outlook for EUR/USD this week remains consistent: we expect a significant pullback into the highs, followed by a continuation to the downside—just like our markup last week. Price tapped the highs perfectly and delivered to all our targets. Now, we’re anticipating a continuation of that process. Orion is bearish—and so are we. Trade safe, stick to your plan, and always follow Orion.
by PipSurfingSociety