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EURUSD trade ideas

EURUSD BUY TREND LOOK AT CHARTLooking for profitable trading opportunities? EURUSD, one of the most liquid and heavily traded currency pairs in the forex market, presents a buy signal with an entry at 1.03312. Target levels are 1.03241, 1.03379, and 1.03570, offering multiple profit points for traders. To minimize risk, the stop loss is set at 1.02824, ensuring controlled exposure to market fluctuations. Once the first target is achieved, adjust your stop loss to the entry point for a safer trade. As a major currency pair, EURUSD often reacts to economic news and events, providing dynamic trading opportunities for those who stay ahead of the market. Don’t miss out on this calculated strategy to optimize your gains!
Long
by ExpertTrader041
1
EURUSD 21 Jan 2025 - Intraday Analysis - German ZEWThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 21 Jan 2025 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment Dovish ECB Policy Expectations: Traders are anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut at each of the next four ECB policy meetings. Economic Concerns: Subdued inflationary pressures and concerns over the Eurozone's economic outlook. US Dollar Strength: Dollar appreciates following news that President Trump intends to review tariff policies. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Swing Pullback Phase (Pro Swing + Counter INT) 🔹At Swing Premium (reached extreme) 2️⃣ 🔹After the Bearish BOS, price pulled back to the Swing EQ (50%) tapping into a Daily and a 4H Supply that caused a Bearish CHoCH and forming a Supply that failed yesterday with price creating a bullish INT Structure. 3️⃣ 🔹As price reached the Bearish Swing Extreme, if we are going to continue bearish, this is the area that I prefer to be short from. Also note that after the Bullish iBOS, there will be a pullback required. 🔹Expectations is set to Bearish with more development on LTF to confirm. 15m Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bullish 🔹Swing Pullback Phase (Pro Swing + Counter INT) 🔹At Swing Premium (reached extreme) 2️⃣ 🔹Price finally broken the range from Jan 16 and reached the bearish Swing Extreme forming Bullish INT Structure. 🔹There is probability that Swing High may be broken based on the Daily/Weekly requirements for pullback and the current market sentiment (Risk Off) as of US Tariffs announcement from Trump yesterday. 3️⃣ 🔹My technical expectations is set to Bearish and looking for Shorts but I need to see a bearish iBOS before any executions.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD: First red day in a broken down marketHello everyone and welcome back to my channel, please do not forget to like and comment my work, it's very supporting for me! Let's start saying that I'm not here to predict the market, my view is only about the setup I'm looking, predicting is 50/50, trading specific setups can be a 90/10 opportunity. EURUSD is currently in a kind of template which I saw several times in the past, the is breaking down, sellers are controlling the market and potentially by Thursday and Friday we can see a weekly pump and dump completing. But let's analyse the full week to have a better understanding of the logic behind this potential move. The previous week the market has been breaking down every day, and Friday place the most recent high and burst into the low of week. Monday was pretty much consolidating into the LOW, not really something that can be interesting. Tuesday the market triggered breakout long traders and pumped back up into Friday HOD, stopping their short breakout. Wednesday, until CPI release, the market consolidated at the high of the week, eventually trapping volume up high. CPI stopped hunt trade who were shorting, closing the day back inside the initial balance (high low range of the week), and especially as first red day! What's my thesis? My main scenario is a short one, trying to complete the dump phase in a weekly pump and dump scenario. Obviously, not necessary we can see a strong move back into the low of week, but it can also stop and consolidate above the opening range high (HOD of Monday). How would I enter this market? USD news are scheduled on calendar at 8:30am NYT, I will be watching for a buy low setup after news release, specifically I will be looking for reversal pattern into the HOD. What about the long view? Of course, as I said, predicting a move is just silly, predicting is just like gambling, a long move obviously can happen and I can be willing to take it a session scalp if the market drop vertically down into the yesterday LOD, consolidating into the level till I will get any reversal configuration (Buy low opportunity). During the upcoming hours I will be updating this post! Trade safe! Gianni
Short
by GianniPichichero
10
EURUSD rises as tariff fears easeEURUSD is up sharply today as the Wall Street Journal reports that Trump will likely not introduce tariffs from day one. Instead, he plans to direct federal agencies to study trade policies, investigate trade deficits, and evaluate relationships with China, Canada, and Mexico. In recent months, EURUSD had dropped as markets priced in the possibility of aggressive tariffs. However, Trump’s measured approach has reduced the likelihood of universal tariffs, weakening the dollar and lifting EURUSD. Despite today’s move, Trump’s focus on tax cuts and boosting the U.S. economy could keep inflation high and support the dollar. The bearish trend remains intact as long as EURUSD trades below $1.0438. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Short
by ThinkMarkets
EURUSD - A Choppy Long PlayThe market has been choppy for the past week perhaps awaiting the start of World Economic Forum meeting in Davos, starting on the 20-24th January 2025 as it sets out the macro themes for the markets.On the other hand Donald Trumps inauguration is taking place on the 20th of the same month hence we might have big swings in the market. On the back of the strong dollar which seems about to lose its steam. Given that the festive season is over, all those created jobs are about to be decimated and one more thing a too strong dollar is not good for trading with other countries since it is a reserve currency. Summary : Long/Buy Entry 1 = 1.02913 Entry 2 = 1.02814 Exit Target = 1.04091 Sound sleep with planned trades!!! Follow, Boost and let's Grow together.
Long
by ForeignCapital_fx
Monday chart idea.EUR/USD recovers to near 1.0320 as the risk mode is on, with investors focusing on Trump’s inauguration. The Fed is expected to keep interest rates at their current levels by the May policy meeting. ECB’s Stournaras warns that higher tariffs by the US could drag Eurozone inflation below the central bank’s target. EUR/USD rises sharply to near 1.0320 in Monday’s European session. The major currency pair gains as the safe-haven appeal of the US Dollar (USD) diminishes ahead of United States (US) President-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, declines to near 109.00.
by EZIO-FX
Eurogroup and Trump: Economic challenges in 2025The Eurogroup has kicked off the year with a strategy meeting in Brussels, coinciding with the inauguration of Donald Trump for his second term as president of the United States. The meeting, chaired by Paschal Donohoe, seeks to address the Eurozone's main economic challenges, including climate change, disruptive technologies and geopolitical uncertainties, with a special focus on transatlantic relations. Spain, represented by Minister Carlos Cuerpo, sees this meeting as key to strengthening European unity in the face of possible changes in U.S. policy. In addition, the forum will discuss innovations in wholesale payments and advances in the digital euro, reflecting its commitment to financial modernization. On the other hand, although outside the official agenda, France's fiscal deficit assessment will be highlighted, as it seeks to reduce it to 5.4% of GDP by 2025. The Eurogroup starts the year balancing internal and external priorities in a context of high global uncertainty. The Eurogroup meeting and Donald Trump's inauguration may have a significant impact on the EUR/USD pair, as both events generate uncertainty and expectations in financial markets. 1. Transatlantic relations and geopolitics: Trump's policies could influence U.S.-European trade and economic relations. If there is a perceived protectionist stance or increased tensions, this could weaken the euro against the dollar as investors seek safer assets in the US. 2. Technological innovations and the digital euro: Developments discussed at the Eurogroup, such as the digital euro, could build confidence in the modernization of the European financial system. This, in the medium and long term, could strengthen the euro if markets interpret that Europe is making progress in its financial competitiveness. 3. Fiscal policy in Europe: The lack of consensus on fiscal plans, as in the case of France, could raise concerns about economic stability in the Eurozone. This could put downward pressure on the euro if markets perceive that fiscal policies are not sufficiently sound. 4. Market sentiment: If the Eurogroup meeting shows unity and defines clear strategies in the face of global challenges, the euro could strengthen against the dollar. However, any sign of internal disagreement could be interpreted negatively, affecting the EUR/USD. Technical Analysis EUR/USD 1. Trend: Sideways consolidation with possible breakout. 2. Supports: 1.02603 and 1.1809 (key). 3. Resistances: 1.03303, 1.03524 (key). 4. Indicators: o RSI at 60.99% slight oversold. o MACD has crossed Signal softened at 2am. o 50 moving average has crossed with the 100 today at 6am. On track to cross with the 200 to indicate possible uptrend. 5. Scenarios: o On the upside: Breaking 1.0900 may lead to 1.1000. o Down: Losing 1.0800 points to 1.0730. 6. Key: In summary, the impact on EUR/USD will depend on expectations about Trump's policy and the markets' perception of the Eurogroup's ability to address economic and geopolitical challenges. Ion Jauregui - Analyst ActivTrades ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
by ActivTrades
UPDATE ON EUR/USD ANALYSISEUR/USD 4H - As you can see since I last posted the analysis on this pair, price has in-fact traded us higher. Putting in the structure we predicted today. This is showing good signs for longer term bullishness. Understandably a specific entry wasn't given however the zone and path was drawn out for you all as an opportunity that could be taken, me personally I will be waiting for the break in structure to trade this market long term. As you are all probably aware by now I do consider myself more of a swing trader, one that takes positions and holds then for longer periods of time trading on the higher timeframes. I use the smaller timeframes solely for those snipe like entries, today trading gold was an exception. If you guys have any questions about this pair drop me a message and if you did take part in a long then well done!
Long
by Lukegforex
EURUSD 20-24 Jan 2025 W4 - Weekly AnalysisThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 20-24 Jan 2025 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment Weekly Chart AnalysisDaily Chart Analysis4H Chart AnalysisEconomic Events for the Week Market Sentiment Interest Rate Differentials: The widening gap between US and Eurozone interest rates favors the USD. Higher US yields attract capital flows, supporting the USD against the euro. Inflation Trends: While inflation in the Eurozone remains subdued, the US continues to grapple with sticky inflation, keeping the Fed cautious about easing policy. This divergence further supports the USD. Energy Prices: Elevated energy prices, driven by geopolitical tensions or supply disruptions, could weigh on the Eurozone’s trade balance and economic growth, adding pressure to the euro. Weekly Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹Internal Bearish 🔹In Swing Discount 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2️⃣ 🔹INT structure continuing bearish with iBOS following the Bearish Swing. (End of 2023 till end of 2024 was a pullback phase after the first bearish iBOS) 3️⃣ 🔹After the bearish iBOS we expect a pullback, price tapped into liquidity below Nov 2022 which is above the weekly demand formed with the initiation of the bearish iBOS pullback phase. 🔹Expectations is for price to start a pullback phase from the Weekly demand zone / or from the liquidity sweep from the Nov 2022 low (Require Daily/4H confirmation). Daily Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2️⃣ 🔹Following the Bearish Swing BOS, INT Structure continuing bearish approaching the weekly demand zone. 3️⃣ 🔹After the receint iBOS, price pulled back to EQ (50%) of the INT Structure but currently failed to create a new iBOS with a Bullish CHoCH forming a new Demand. 🔹Expectations is not clear as we could start a deep pullback to intiate the Weekly Pullback Phase required or the current failure to creare a new Bearish iBOS is just a pause in market for more bearish move to at least the Weekly Demand. More development required from LTFs. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Fractal) 2️⃣ 🔹After the Bearish BOS, price pulled back to the Swing EQ (50%) tapping into a Daily and a 4H Supply that caused a Bearish CHoCH and forming a Supply that price is contained within it. 3️⃣ 🔹Price is currently ranging between Supply and Demand which clearly makes price indecisively have a clear direction. More developments required on LTFs to have a clear expectation. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
3
EUR/USD: Will It Recover or Continue Downtrend?Looking at the daily chart of EUR/USD, I see that the pair is moving within a clear bearish channel. Currently, the price is hovering around 1.0297, near the center line of the channel. The EMA 34 and EMA 89 are still sloping down, confirming the long-term downtrend. However, a small divergence at the support level suggests a potential short-term recovery. It is worth noting that the price is testing a dynamic resistance zone, near the EMA 34, around 1.0300. If the price fails to break above this level, selling pressure could increase, dragging the price down to the 1.0200 area, or even the bottom of the channel around 1.0100. Conversely, if the price breaks above the EMA 34 and breaks the channel, the next target could be the 1.0400 area.
by nini_gone