EUR/USD.1h chart pattern.Based on My target EUR/USD 1H, the price has broken down from the ascending channel and formed a Double Top, confirming a bearish structure. Here's the analysis based on the marked zones:
Bearish Targets:
1. First Support / Target 1: Around 1.13500
This aligns with a previous structure level and is the first potential bounce zone.
2. Second Support / Target 2: Around 1.12000
This is a deeper support zone where price may head if the bearish momentum continues.
The structure also shows a clear CHoCH (Change of Character) which supports the downside bias.
Let me know if you want entry and stop-loss suggestions for this setup.
EURUSD trade ideas
Core Impact Logic of the Middle East Situation on EURUSD(I) Energy Transmission Chain: Oil Price Fluctuations → Eurozone Inflation and Economy
The escalation of the Middle East situation (the Iran - Israel conflict, risks in the Strait of Hormuz) directly impacts the global energy supply chain:
If the conflict expands to block the Strait of Hormuz (transports ~20% of global crude oil 🛢️), Brent crude has already soared from recent lows—spiking over 5% on June 17 amid tensions ⛽️. This pushes up imported inflation in the Eurozone.
As a net energy - importing region 🌍, prolonged high oil prices will squeeze corporate profits, suppress consumption, and drag Eurozone economic recovery (German/French manufacturing is acutely energy - cost - sensitive 🏭). This weakens the euro’s fundamental support.
(II) Geopolitical Safe - Haven Sentiment: The "Safe - Haven Balance" Between USD & EUR
Amid Middle East tensions, the US dollar’s traditional safe - haven status competes with Eurozone havens like German bonds 📈:
If the US (e.g., the Trump administration) intervenes militarily 💥, market fears of "America mired in war" rise. USD safe - haven demand may temporarily weaken ⬇️, and the euro benefits as funds shift 🔄
⚡️⚡️⚡️ EURUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 1.14500 - 1.15000
🚀 TP 1.15500 - 1.15600
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
EUR/USD Holds Neutral Tone Ahead of Fed DecisionIn recent hours, the pair has shown limited movement of just 0.5%, reflecting a neutral bias as the market prepares for the upcoming Federal Reserve policy announcement. At this point, expectations suggest that the U.S. central bank will maintain a neutral stance, keeping the interest rate steady at 4.5% in the short term.
However, the key focus will be on the Fed’s accompanying statement, where the greatest uncertainty lies. If the tone remains hawkish, it's likely that demand for the U.S. dollar will strengthen, potentially adding downward pressure to EUR/USD.
Uptrend Remains Intact
Since early March, the pair has maintained a steady bullish trend, without any major corrections that would threaten the current structure. That said, the price has once again approached key resistance zones, but has yet to break through them in a sustained manner—opening the door for range-bound movement if this pattern continues.
Technical Indicators
RSI: The Relative Strength Index has begun to show lower highs, while EUR/USD continues to print higher highs. This bearish divergence indicates an imbalance in market forces, potentially signaling room for a short-term correction.
MACD: The MACD histogram is fluctuating near the zero line, reflecting a technically neutral environment. As long as this behavior continues, the pair may enter a consolidation phase, awaiting a clearer directional signal.
Key Levels to Watch:
1.15443 – Current Resistance: Marks the multi-month high. A sustained move above this level could revive the bullish momentum.
1.13177 – Intermediate Support: Aligns with a recent neutral zone and the 50-period moving average. It acts as a technical support in the event of short-term pullbacks.
1.10428 – Key Support: Represents the lowest level of recent months. A break below this area could trigger a stronger bearish bias, putting the current uptrend at risk.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Follow him at: @julianpineda25
ELLIOTT WAVE EURUSD H4 update
EW Trade Set Up H4
minute wave ((ii)) is running.
the
The upside move from 1.1070a of 120525 to 1.1635a of 120625 does not seem a motive wave , so a sideways (flat) correction of the minute wave ((ii)) is more likely
key levels (area)
1.1590
1.1538
1.1366 POC
1.1169
1.1080
EURUSD 1H is forming a Potential Bullish Reversal pattern
Price formed a Potential Double Bottom pattern with a neckline as current Temporary Resistance.
• ✅ Entry is triggered only after a confirmation candle breaks above the neckline.
• Buy Stop is placed around the neckline to catch the momentum move.
• Stop Loss is at the recent lower Low (safe and logical placement).
• 🎯 Take Profit levels are based on measured move projections.
Trade Plan:
• Buy Stop = 1.15264
• Stop Loss = 1.14552
• Take Profit 1: 1.15960
• Take Profit 2: 1.16663
• Lot size : 1:2 Risk Reward Ratio
“Waiting for neckline to break with Bullish confirmation candle” – this ensures you enter only on strong momentum.
EURUSD is forming a Potential Bullish Reversal pattern with wait and watch scenario.
Key Highlights:
• ✅ Pattern: Double Bottom
• ⚠️ Confirmation: Break + Bullish candle
• 🔄 Risk Management: Tight SL, 2 TP levels
• 🧩 Confluence: Trendline break + structure shift + RSI Divergence
EUR/USD Long-Term Trade Idea (Bullish to Bearish Transition)The EUR/USD pair is expected to enter a bullish phase in the near term, potentially rising toward the key resistance zones between 1.18616 and 1.20143. These levels are likely to act as strong reversal points, where the pair could encounter significant selling pressure.
Once price reaches this zone, a bearish reversal is anticipated, aligning with broader technical signals and long-term resistance structures.
This setup presents an opportunity to ride the bullish momentum toward these levels, then potentially shift to a sell bias upon confirmation of rejection or reversal patterns within that zone.
“Buy the strength, sell the exhaustion — let the market come to you.”
eur/usdTRADE 5 long term i belive we are still bearish but long term retracement has been in order and is still going but it has hit a key resistance level that i dont belive it to break if it does break it we will look for it to hit the surport line and then use it as a entry, as fgor now though a engulfing candle pattern happend and i do belive us to go in the bearish movment back down lets see where it takes us
Refined EURUSD setup Saw a 2H choch last night and today we've kept moving lower creating a new internal range.
Going to be waiting for price to shift bullish internally before trying to get into any longs. If I do not see any bullish intention then I will short following the 2H internal structure moving my SL where appropriate
I am still bullish on EURUSD but just waiting on confirmation before taking any longs
EURUSD - Getting Over-Bought?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈EURUSD has been overall bullish trading within the rising channels marked in red and blue. However, it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channels.
Moreover, the orange zone is a major daily high.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper blue/red trendlines and daily high.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURUSD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Potential bearish drop?EUR/USD has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1524
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that align with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1572
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.1452
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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EUR/USD Bearish Reversal AnalysisEUR/USD Bearish Reversal Analysis 📉🧭
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Trend Structure:
EUR/USD was trading inside an ascending channel, respecting both support and resistance trendlines.
🔴 Double Rejection at Resistance:
Price action faced strong rejection near the upper boundary of the channel and resistance zone (~1.16500), forming a lower high, suggesting bearish exhaustion.
🟠 Key Breakdown Zone:
A critical horizontal support around 1.13560 has been identified as a short-term target zone. This level previously acted as a demand zone and now may be retested.
🔽 Forecast Path:
A projected bearish wave is anticipated:
A potential pullback or consolidation may occur before resuming the downtrend.
Once 1.13560 is broken, price could drop further toward the major support zone around 1.12000, marked by the previous accumulation area.
🟦 Support Zone:
This final target aligns with a major structural support from late May, strengthening the bearish outlook if the breakdown continues.
📌 Conclusion:
EUR/USD is showing signs of a bearish reversal after failing to sustain above resistance. As long as it remains below the mid-channel region, further downside toward 1.12000 is likely, with 1.13560 as the key short-term level to watch.
EURUSD,GBPUSD and USDJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Markets on EdgeGlobal markets tread cautiously today amid rising Middle East tensions and investor jitters ahead of the Fed’s policy decision. Israel’s continued airstrikes on Iran, now in their 6th day, are weighing heavily on sentiment, with European stocks and oil prices lacking direction.
📊 US Dollar Watch:
Traders are closely eyeing the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) weekly chart:
• 🔻 Price hit a new low, but RSI divergence signals waning downside momentum.
• ⚠️ Approaching long-term uptrend support from 2011 near 96.30 — could trigger profit-taking.
🪙 EUR/USD Weekly:
• ⚠️ Momentum fading as it nears the 78.6% retracement at 1.1696.
• RSI shows bearish divergence despite recent price highs.
📌 Key Takeaway: Charts suggest potential for a pause or reversal in recent USD weakness.
This is not investment advice.
#Forex #USD #EURUSD #DXY #FederalReserve #Markets #TechnicalAnalysis #Geopolitics #Trading
EUR/USD Slides Below Trendline The EUR/USD pair is trending lower and forming a short-term downtrend beneath a descending trendline, as the U.S. Dollar (USD) remains supported by its safe-haven appeal amid escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and Iran.
At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 1.1500, with bearish momentum still dominating. As long as the trendline holds, sellers maintain the upper hand — making trend-following short positions worth considering.
Wishing you all successful and smooth trading!
EURUSD LONGPrice swept below support around 1.1473, grabbing liquidity and quickly bouncing back — this is a classic Wyckoff spring setup.
📌 Key Levels
Entry: Around 1.1500
Stop Loss: Below 1.1424 (spring low)
Target 1: 1.1567 (range high)
Target 2: 1.1614 (measured move)
🔍 Why I like this setup:
Fake breakdown (spring) and quick recovery
Buyers showed up right after the sweep
Expecting price to return to the top of the range and possibly break higher . This a trade we hold
💡 A spring is where smart money steps in after trapping sellers — I'm following them.
“I always say that you could publish my rules in the newspaper and no one would follow them. The key is consistency and discipline.”
EURUSD: Price Action + Elliott Wave + SMC Analysis
"Hello traders!
Today, we're diving deep into EURUSD with a comprehensive analysis combining Price Action, Elliott Wave principles, and Smart Money Concepts (SMC).
On the chart, we observe key price action elements including:
* A 'Psychological FVG' (Fair Value Gap) around the 1.15100 - 1.15261 area, which could act as a potential resistance or reversal poin
* A target or support level identified around 1.14494 and further down at 1.14502.
Looking ahead, the diagram on the right illustrates a potential Elliott Wave structure integrated with SMC concepts:
* We see proposed waves leading to a 'BOS' (Break of Structure) indicating a shift in market control.
* An 'Imbalance' zone is highlighted, suggesting an area where price might seek to rebalance before continuing its move.
* The overall structure points towards a continued bearish momentum after potential retracements.
Key Takeaways:
* Watch the identified FVG for potential reactions.
* Monitor for further BOS confirmations to validate the bearish outlook.
* The 'Imbalance' zone could offer shorting opportunities if price retests it.
This analysis provides a multi-faceted approach to understanding potential future price movements in EURUSD. Always remember to manage your risk effectively.
What are your thoughts on this analysis? Share your insights in the comments below!
#EURUSD #Forex #PriceAction #ElliottWave #SMC #TradingAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketOutlook #ForexTrading"
EURUSD Has breakout the ascending channel bullish strong now EURUSD Breakout Alert!
EURUSD has broken out of the descending channel with strong bullish momentum from the key support level at 1.15100.
📈 Technical Outlook (4H Time Frame):
🔹 Key Support: 1.15100 (confirmed bounce)
🔹 1st Resistance Target: 1.16300
🔹 Bullish Order Block: 1.12900 – strong demand zone below
This breakout signals potential continuation to the upside. Stay tuned as price action develops! 🔥
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Trade smart, stay informed 😜
— Posted by Livia