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EURUSD trade ideas

EURUSD OUTLOOK 20 - 24 JANA very simple setup on EU. We have two liquidity points being the Weekly high and low which currently have about an equal chance of being taken. Currently structure on the 1H is bearish and will be looking to short targeting the weekly low. If price starts to give bullish structure then the weekly high will be my target. Strict risk management is key to getting through a setup like this where we have equal chances of going in either direction. Flow with the market and follow your rules
by Keyserfx
EUR/USD Weekly Price AnalysisThe technical analysis indicates that the EUR/USD currency pair is currently experiencing bearish momentum, with recent price action showing lower highs and lower lows. Significant support and resistance levels have been identified. Current Price The current price of EUR/USD is 1.05. Trend Analysis The short-term analysis indicates a bearish momentum, characterized by lower highs and lower lows. Market Bias The market bias for EUR/USD is bearish. Support Levels Short-term support is around 1.00, medium-term support is at 0.95, and long-term support is approximately 0.90. Resistance Levels Short-term resistance is around 1.10, medium-term resistance is at 1.15, and long-term resistance is approximately 1.20.
by similarFerret35712
1
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support. Pivot: 1.0350 1st Support: 1.0264 1st Resistance: 1.0423 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
1
EUR USD - the battle of parityG'day traders, Welcome back to a new trading year. First up, i'll be taking a look at the EURO/USD as it is still in a strong downward to the right pattern respecting the strong curve of the weekly trendline. Please see below the Daily and weekly charts marked up. Follow along the video and hope it assists with your trading. I'll be looking for sells upon daily closes, weekly set and forget supply limits. Demand limits. Master Key for zones Red = Three Month Blue = Monthly Purple = weekly Pink = Consolidative box example (Daily) Orange = Daily Risk Warning Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence as criteria varies to suit the individual. Below are some of the take aways from the video - please listen again incase any detail is missed. Previous charts Daily Chart Weekly Chart Updated in line with the video: Daily Weekly Do you enjoy the setups? Professional analyst with 8+ years experience in the capital markets Focus on technical output not fundamentals Focus on investing for long term positional moves Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress. If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment. To all the followers, thank you for your continued support. LVPA MMXXV
Short
by LupaCapital
EUR/USD Long Opportunities for the Upcoming WeekFor the upcoming week, I'll be looking for long opportunities on EUR/USD, despite the higher time frame market structure still showing lower lows and lower highs. Price has left an imbalance around the 1.02 zone before becoming bullish, which could be a key area to watch. The liquidity below the 1.03284 swing low has already been liquidated, suggesting the potential for price to move higher before bearish pressure returns. I anticipate that price could reach the 1.045 level before the bears step back in.
Long
by Jackson-FX
Potential bullish rise?EUR/USD has reacted off the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.0263 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.0192 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 1.0348 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
EURUSD Post CPI OutllookAfter the CPI release, resistance was formed around 1.0307 on the daily chart, with yesterday's close failing to push above this level. Meanwhile, support has been established around 1.0235. On the H4 Chart: - Current resistance is at 1.0344. - Immediate support sits around 1.0291. Possible Scenarios: - Bullish Continuation:If price closes above 1.0302, we could see a push towards the next resistance level at 1.0344 and beyond. - Bearish Breakdown: If the support around 1.0291 is not held, we may see further downside towards 1.0252, and potentially more weakness towards 1.0192. Keep an eye on these levels to assess the next direction.
Short
by J_Ngatia
EURUSD Will Explode! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.0270 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.0291 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
4-hr EUR/USD: 60 to 70 Pips Drop on the Short Run For several months, the EUR has been trending downward, losing hundreds of pips. While occasional corrections to the upside occur, bears remain in control. The strong downward momentum is highlighted by the Death Cross pattern, a classic sell signal. Yesterday, we observed another correction, with EUR/USD retesting the 1.0350 level, aligning with the key 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. This level has often acted as strong resistance. A significant red candle on the 4-hour chart indicates heavy selling volume, and the overall downtrend suggests the pair may dip again toward the 1.0220 area, which previously served as a short-term turning point. This scenario is reinforced by robust U.S. economic indicators, such as strong NFPs and declining unemployment, which historically bolster the USD. However, if the pair breaks above 1.0350, short-term buying could push it higher, potentially retesting the 61.8% Fibonacci level around 1.0450.
Short
by Trendsharks
1
EURUSD Wave Analysis 15 January 2025 - EURUSD reversed from key support level 1.0225 - Likely to rise to resistance level 1.0425 EURUSD currency pair recently reversed up with the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Morning Star (with the daily Hammer in its middle) from the key support level 1.0225, which stopped the previous impulse wave i at the end of December. The upward reversal from the support level 1.0225 started the active short-term correction iv, which belongs to the downward impulse wave 3 from last month. Given the bullish divergence on the daily RSI indicator, EURUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.0425, which stopped the previous waves ii and (ii).
Long
by FxProGlobal
1
EURUSD GOING UPEUR/USD: Why It’s Heading Higher Technical Analysis: The EUR/USD is showing bullish momentum, breaking above key resistance levels. The pair is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, confirming an uptrend. A bullish crossover in the MACD and rising RSI suggest further upside potential. Key resistance is at 1.10, with support holding strong at 1.085. A breakout above 1.10 could open the path toward 1.12. Fundamental Analysis: The Euro is supported by robust economic data, including better-than-expected PMI figures and hawkish signals from the ECB. Meanwhile, the USD is under pressure as the Fed signals a pause in rate hikes amid cooling inflation. Diverging monetary policies and improving sentiment in the Eurozone favor further EUR/USD gains. Keep an eye on upcoming ECB speeches and U.S. employment data for potential volatility.
Long
by edl75
EURO - Price can continue move up to $1.0420, exiting of pennantHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Recently price started to decline inside falling channel, where it bounced from support line and rose to resistance line first. Then Euro turned around and dropped to $1.0380 level, some time traded near and later broke it. Next, Euro exied from channel and fell to support level, after which bounced from this level to $1.0380 level. Price broke this level, but soon it turned around, broke this level again, and started to decline inside pennant. In pennant, EUR fell to support line, after which rose to resistance line of this pattern, breaking $1.0245 level. Now, I think that Euro exit from pennant, reach resistance level, and break it, after which continue to grow to $1.0420 If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
5
What Is a Pin Bar Candle, and How Can You Use It in Trading?What Is a Pin Bar Candle, and How Can You Use It in Trading? Understanding candlestick patterns is key for traders aiming to analyse market movements. One particularly insightful pattern is the pin bar candle, which can reveal crucial information about market sentiment and potential price reversals. In this article, we'll explore what this candle is and how traders might use a pin bar trading strategy. What Is a Pin Bar Candle? A pin bar candle is a distinctive candlestick pattern that traders use to analyse potential market reversals. It stands out on a chart due to its unique shape: a small real body with a long wick. When a pin bar appears on a chart, it reflects a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers that resulted in a significant price rejection. This rejection is captured by a key element, the long wick, indicating that the market tested a price level but couldn't sustain it, which marked a possible turning point. There are two main types of pin bar candlestick: bullish and bearish. A bullish pin bar features a long lower wick and may indicate that buyers are entering the market after a period of selling pressure. This pattern signals a potential upward movement in price. Conversely, a bearish pin bar has a long upper wick, suggesting that sellers are gaining strength after sustained buying pressure, which can precede a downward price movement. While the pattern is believed to be reliable at support or resistance levels, it is considered especially important when it forms after a push beyond a key swing high or low. The appearance of a pin bar in these scenarios might indicate a failed breakout, where the market rejected a close above a significant high or low, and may lead to a strong reversal. How to Identify a Pin Bar on a Chart Identifying a pin bar involves looking for a candle with a long wick and a small real body. Here's how to spot one: - Long Wick: The wick should make up at least two-thirds of the candle's total length, ideally more. This long wick represents a sharp rejection of a price level during the trading period. - Small Real Body: The real body should be relatively small compared to the wick. This indicates that the price closed near where it opened, despite significant movement during the session. While it’s preferable for the candle to close green in a bullish pin bar and red in a bearish pin bar, it’s not essential. - Wick Position: For a bullish pin bar, the long wick extends below the body, suggesting that sellers pushed the price down before buyers drove it back up. In a bearish pin bar candlestick pattern, the long wick is above the body, indicating that buyers pushed the price up before sellers brought it back down. - Contextual Placement: Pin bars are believed to be most significant when they appear at key support or resistance levels or within established trends. Their location can enhance their potential relevance in market analysis. Using Pin Bar Patterns Pin bars can be a valuable component of a trader's analytical toolkit when used thoughtfully. Here are the specific steps traders might follow to use a pin bar strategy: Identifying Potential Pin Bars The first step is to scan the charts for candles that exhibit the classic shape—a small real body with a long wick that makes up at least two-thirds of the candle's total length. Examining the Context Once a potential pattern is identified, traders assess its placement on the chart. Pin bars are considered more significant when they occur at key support or resistance levels, trendlines, or Fibonacci retracement levels, and whether they breach and close back inside of these points. They’re only considered reliable when they occur in the opposite direction of a specific trend, such as a bearish pin bar candle during an established uptrend. Looking for Confirmation Traders often seek additional signals to validate the implications of a pin bar candle pattern. For instance, if the Relative Strength Index or Stochastic Oscillator indicates a market is overbought or shows a divergence, a bearish pin bar may be considered a stronger signal. Confirmation may boost confidence in the signals provided by the pattern. Planning Entry and Exit Strategies Based on the analysis, traders formulate a plan that includes potential entry points, stop-loss levels, and target prices. While some may enter as soon as the candle closes, it's common to consider entering a trade if the price moves beyond the bar in the anticipated direction, potentially with another big bar candle like an engulfing candle or marubozu. Profit targets might be set at an opposing support or resistance level or a given risk-reward ratio, while stop-loss orders are often placed beyond the candle’s high or low to potentially manage risk if the market moves unfavourably. Practices for Trading Pin Bars Trading pin bars goes beyond simply recognising the pattern; it involves understanding how they fit into the broader market context. Here are some practical steps to help you apply a pin bar candlestick pattern strategy in your trading: Selecting High-Quality Pin Bars Not all patterns carry the same weight. According to the theory, traders should focus on those with a long wick that constitutes at least two-thirds of the candle's total length and a small real body. The longer the wick relative to recent candles, the more significant the price rejection might be. Also, the overall size of the candle may boost its reliability. A pin bar that stands out compared to surrounding candles may indicate a significant shift in market sentiment. If it's too small relative to recent candles, it might be less reliable. Considering the Timeframe The timeframe you choose can impact the reliability of the formation. Higher timeframes like daily or weekly charts tend to produce more dependable signals because they encapsulate more data and reflect broader market sentiment. While lower timeframes like 15-minute or hourly charts may offer more trading opportunities, they may also present more false signals. However, a pin bar on a higher timeframe can offer valuable insights into what may drive lower timeframe price movements. Being Mindful of Market Conditions Pin bars can be less reliable in choppy or sideways markets where price action lacks clear direction. In such environments, they may form frequently but without leading to significant price movements. According to the theory, traders should apply pin bar strategies in markets that exhibit clear trends or strong momentum, where price rejections are more meaningful. Likewise, high volatility can lead to erratic market movements, increasing the likelihood of false signals. Paying attention to economic calendars and avoiding trading during major news releases may help in filtering out unreliable setups. Focusing on Key Psychological Levels Beyond support and resistance, pin bars may be significant when they form at key psychological price levels, such as round numbers or significant historical price points. These levels often act as barriers where market participants have strong reactions. A pin bar at a psychological level can indicate a substantial price rejection, providing a potentially valuable signal for a trade setup. Risks and Limitations of Pin Bars While pin bars can offer valuable insights, they also come with certain risks and limitations that traders should be aware of: - False Signals: Pin bars can sometimes indicate a potential reversal that doesn't materialise. Relying solely on them without considering the broader market context might lead to misinterpretation and ineffective trading decisions. - Market Noise: In highly volatile or sideways markets, pin bars may appear frequently but lack significance. These "noisy" signals can make it challenging to distinguish meaningful patterns from random price movements. - Timeframe Variability: The reliability of the pattern can vary across different timeframes. A pin bar on a 5-minute chart might not hold the same weight as one on a daily chart. Traders should consider the timeframe that aligns with their trading strategy and be cautious when interpreting signals from shorter periods. - Subjectivity in Identification: Determining what qualifies as a valid formation can be subjective. Differences in candles across various charting platforms or discrepancies in data can lead to inconsistent analysis. Pin Bars and Other Patterns Understanding how pin bars differ from other candlestick patterns can enhance your technical analysis. Let's explore how they compare to hammers, shooting stars, and doji candles. Pin Bar and Hammer/Inverted Hammer Hammers are essentially the same as bullish pin bars; they just have a different name. Both patterns feature a small real body with a long lower wick and little to no upper wick, appearing after a downtrend and signalling an upward reversal. The inverted hammer differs from a pin bar in its context and implications. An inverted hammer has a tiny real body, a long upper wick, and little to no lower wick. It typically appears after a downtrend. While it resembles a bearish or red pin bar candle in shape, its position at the bottom of a downtrend signals that buyers attempted to push the price higher but couldn’t. Still, this pattern indicates a possible upward reversal due to emerging buying interest. Pin Bar and Shooting Star A shooting star is essentially a bearish pin bar. It appears after an uptrend and retains the same features: a small real body, a long upper wick, and a minimal lower wick. The long upper wick reflects the rejection of higher prices, potentially signalling a downward reversal. Pin Bar and Gravestone and Dragonfly Dojis The pin bar, gravestone doji, and dragonfly doji are all candlestick patterns used to indicate potential reversals, but they differ in structure and context. The gravestone doji has a long upper wick and no lower shadow, with the open, high, and close at nearly the same level. This formation suggests that buyers pushed prices higher, but sellers ultimately took control, often indicating a bearish reversal at the top of an uptrend. The dragonfly doji, on the other hand, has a long lower wick and no upper shadow, with the open, low, and close prices near each other. This pattern suggests that sellers initially drove prices down, but buyers regained control, often signalling a bullish reversal when found at the bottom of a downtrend. The Bottom Line Pin bar candles offer traders valuable insights into market sentiment. While incorporating pin bars into your strategy requires practice and a keen eye for market context, they can be a great way to trade market reversals. If you're ready to apply these insights in live markets, consider opening an FXOpen account to access more than 700 markets alongside low-cost, high-speed trading conditions. FAQ What Is the Pin Bar Candlestick Pattern? A pin bar candlestick pattern signals a potential price reversal and features a small body with a long wick which is at least twice longer than the body. The long wick represents price rejection at a specific level, indicating a shift in market sentiment during that trading period. The pattern has two types: bearish and bullish. What Is the Difference Between a Bullish and Bearish Pin Bar? A bullish pin bar pattern has a long lower wick, suggesting buyers regained control and a possible upward reversal. A bearish variation features a long upper wick, indicating sellers dominate and a potential downward movement. How Can You Trade Pin Bars? To trade pin bars, traders identify them at key support or resistance levels, where they signal a potential reversal. For a bullish pin bar at support, they consider entering a long position above the high of the bar, with a stop-loss below the low to potentially manage risk. For a bearish pin bar at resistance, they enter a short position below the low, placing a stop-loss above the high. Confirmation from other technical indicators or trends may improve the reliability of the setup. What Is the Difference Between a Hammer and a Pin Bar Candle? A hammer is a bullish pin bar candle with a long lower wick, appearing after a downtrend to signal a potential upward reversal. While a pin bar can be bullish or bearish, a hammer specifically refers to the bullish variant. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
Trade Idea Week 20 Jan 2025: EURUSDBullish Thesis Key Drivers: The EUR/USD remains in a long-term bearish trend in the 4-hour timeframe, characterised by lower highs and lower lows. However, recent price action shows signs of consolidation around a critical support zone near 1.0250–1.0280, presenting opportunities for both upward retracements and continued downward moves. Indicators like the MACD suggest weakening bearish momentum, while the ADX shows a weak trend environment, implying traders would focus on key levels for directional triggers. Eurozone Economic Data: Improved PMI readings (forecasted above 50 for services) may signal resilience in the Eurozone economy, potentially boosting EUR sentiment. ECB President Lagarde's Speech: Any hints of future hawkish monetary policy could support the EUR. Entry: 1.0280 Target TP1: 1.0320 Extended Target: 1.0340 (Weak High from 4-hour chart) Stop Loss: Below 1.0250 to protect against a breakdown of support. Risk/Reward: 1:2 Bearish Thesis Key Drivers: The long-term bearish trend remains dominant, making the 1.0340–1.0380 resistance zone a strong candidate for selling opportunities. Price action in this area aligns with the broader trend, and bearish rejections are likely to signal further downside. Entry: Between 1.0320–1.0340 Target TP1: 1.0280 (short-term support) Extended Target: 1.0250 (next demand zone on higher timeframe) Stop Loss: Below Above 1.0360 to guard against a breakout above the strong resistance. Risk/Reward: 1:2 Key Events: Tuesday (Jan 21): German ZEW Sentiment Data: Monitor the release for unexpected positive or negative surprises. UK Employment Data: Indirect EUR movements may occur due to the EUR/GBP pair correlation. Wednesday (Jan 22): ECB President Lagarde's speech. Hawkish tones could favor the bull thesis, while dovish comments could strengthen the bear thesis. Trade Ideas are for informational purposes only.
Long
by Shiven_80eight
technical analysis of EUR/USDThis chart shows a detailed technical analysis of EUR/USD. Key patterns identified are: 1. Bearish Pennant (red): A continuation pattern formed during a downtrend, which led to a significant bearish breakout. 2. Rising Wedge (green): A bearish reversal pattern observed after a minor bullish retracement, indicating potential for a price decline. 3. Trade Setup: Entry Point: Positioned after confirmation of the rising wedge breakdown. Stop Loss: Placed above the recent high for risk management. Target: Aligned with the height of the wedge and expected bearish momentum. This analysis suggests a bearish outlook for EUR/USD, with precise levels for entry, stop loss, and target clearly marked.
Short
by SOPHIA_06
2