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EURUSD trade ideas

Euro can drop from top part of range and fall to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Recently, price continued to grow inside a well-defined upward channel, maintaining a steady structure of higher highs and higher lows. The move started after a clear breakout from the buyer zone, which marked a strong bullish impulse and confirmed support near the 1.0735 level. After this breakout, the price gradually climbed, eventually entering a horizontal range, where it started to consolidate between local support and resistance. The current support level has held firm and now aligns with the lower boundary of the range as well as the support area. At the moment, the Euro is approaching the upper boundary of the range. Given the repeated reactions from this resistance zone, I expect the price to make one more push upward, retesting the top of the range, and then reverse downward toward the lower boundary, with TP1 set at 1.1270, where demand and structure are likely to react again. This short-term setup aligns with the current channel structure, the strength of the support area, and the repeated rejection from the range highs. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
13
EUR/USD’s Bull Run Continues as Trump Puts Pressure on Powell EUR/USD has surged higher in April, rallying more than 6% in just three weeks. But this isn’t your typical dollar weakness story — we’re now seeing signs of a deeper capital rotation into Europe, driven by political risk in the US and a breakdown in long-standing market correlations. From Dollar Dominance to European Stability After causing havoc with his sweeping tariff policies, Trump has now turned his attention to Fed Chair Jay Powell, reigniting concerns over central bank independence. Reports that his advisors have explored legal avenues to oust Powell mid-term have rattled global investors and undermined the dollar’s safe-haven status. For markets, it’s less about whether Powell stays or goes — it’s about the sense of unpredictability surrounding US institutions at a time when policy credibility is key. Meanwhile, investors are looking elsewhere for stability — and for now, that spotlight is turning towards the euro. The euro’s strength this month has come despite widening interest rate differentials. US two-year yields are now nearly 2 percentage points above those in Germany, yet the euro continues to rise. That suggests investors aren’t buying euro assets for the yield — they’re buying them for perceived safety. German government bonds (Bunds) have rallied sharply alongside the euro, which breaks the typical pattern. Usually, optimism about the Eurozone strengthens the euro but weakens Bunds as risk appetite returns. The fact that both are rising together signals a broader capital shift — away from the US and towards a rules-based, stable alternative. Breakout With Momentum, But Caution Warranted EUR/USD has been trending higher since early January, steadily forming higher swing lows. But this month, the pace has picked up sharply. The 50-day moving average has now crossed above the 200-day — a bullish signal that typically supports continuation in trend-following models. After a sharp surge in the first half of the month, the pair paused briefly last week, forming a neat bull flag pattern. That consolidation has now resolved to the upside, with EUR/USD pushing to fresh 12-month highs to start the week. Momentum remains strong, but there are two subtle warning signs to keep in mind. First, volume — which spiked early this month — has started to fade, suggesting that the early wave of buying may be slowing. Second, RSI is now in overbought territory and did not confirm Monday’s new high in price, failing to push to a new high of its own. That sort of divergence isn’t necessarily bearish, but it can often signal that a brief consolidation or pullback is needed before the next leg higher. For now, the bias remains firmly to the upside. As long as EUR/USD holds above the breakout zone from last week’s bull flag, short-term dips are likely to be viewed as buying opportunities. EUR/USD Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results EUR/USD Hourly Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
by Capitalcom
4
EURUSD I Weekly CLS I KL - OB, Model 1 target - 50% AMD in playHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. ✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. 🛡️ Models 1 and 2: From my posts, you can learn two core execution models. They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained. 📍 Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. 📍 Model 2 occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range. 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
 ⚔️ Listen Carefully: Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves. If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Short
by David_Perk
11
EURUSD COT and Liquidity Analysis Hey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. This is a big part of my FX Trading. Im always trying to trade with the Big players so knowing their positions is good thing. Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage. I created this simple free indicator which you can find in the my scripts. It's highlighting the day of the real report - Tuesday. Here is the tip if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance. So what we see in the report of this week: We can see slight decrease in the longs and increase in the shorts but for the reversal it has to happen in the liquidity pool. So for the bigger pullback I think market makers will be adding shorts att highs as well as closing longs. Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Long
by David_Perk
12
EURUSD 4H EUR/USD Analysis In the previous analysis , the market movement was predicted with high precision, and the market moved exactly according to the forecast. However, surprisingly, it did not receive the attention it deserved. Now, the market has reached a level where, similar to gold, many participants are anticipating the end of the rally and the entry of sellers. Currently, we expect a temporary bullish move up to a maximum of 1.1470, aiming to observe buyers' weakness. If this level breaks, today's analysis will be invalidated, signaling buyers' strength instead. If buyers’ weakness is confirmed: ◾️ A decline toward the 1.1225 and 1.11470 levels is expected. In continuation of the previous bullish trend , the upward targets remain: 1.1700 1.1815 1.2555 It is likely that an official agreement will be announced around one of these levels, leading to a reversal in market direction. Summary: We follow the market with confidence in mathematical precision. In a market full of uncertainty, we move forward with the certainty of mathematics. Stay with me!
Long
by GreyFX-NDS
4
EURUSD → Accumulation of liquidity before continued growthFX:EURUSD currency pair is forming a trading range within a global and local uptrend. Before continuing its growth, the market may form a false breakout. Against the backdrop of the falling dollar, the euro is strengthening and has gained 13% over the past four months, which is a fairly significant growth indicator for the currency pair. Fundamentally, the US is trying to achieve a rapid reduction in interest rates, which may continue to support the euro... Technically, the price is consolidating against the backdrop of a global and local uptrend. A correction is forming towards the support zone, where there is a fairly large pool of liquidity... Resistance levels: 1.1392, 1.1439, 1.1481 Support levels: 1.130, 1.127 The price is heading towards support, namely, the market is interested in liquidity below 1.13 - 1.127, which must be tested in order to build up potential before the bullish trend possibly continues. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
EURUSD - at Resistance: Will it drop to 1.11300?OANDA:EURUSD price is now at a strong resistance level, this is an area where it has struggled to break through in the past and reversed to the downside. It's also where sellers have stepped in before, so it’s worth keeping an eye on, especially for anyone considering short trades. If we start seeing signs that the price is getting rejected here: like long wicks, bearish candles, or buyers starting to lose momentum, I think we could see a move down toward the 1.11300 level. But if price breaks through this zone clearly, that might dismiss the bearish idea and suggest even more upside will continue. This area is pretty important and could give us a better idea of where price is headed next. Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk wisely.
Short
by TrendDiva
82
Optimal Position Size May Reduce RisksOptimal Position Size May Reduce Risks Position sizing in trading is a crucial yet often overlooked aspect of risk management. It's the art of determining how much capital to allocate to each trade, balancing the potential for effective trading with the need to protect your investment. This article delves into the principles of position sizing, offering insights into how traders may optimise their strategies to potentially reduce risk and maximise their trading opportunities. What Is Position Sizing in Trading? Position sizing, or trade sizing, is a fundamental concept in trading that determines how much capital is allocated to a specific trade. This process isn't about maximising profits; it's crucial for managing risk. The right position size may minimise the potential loss on each trade relative to the overall capital, potentially ensuring that a single loss doesn't significantly impact the trader's account. In essence, determining trade sizes is a balancing act. It involves calculating the appropriate amount to invest based on various factors like account size, risk tolerance, and market conditions. This calculated approach contrasts sharply with random or emotional decision-making, where the size of a trade might be based on a hunch or a desire to recoup losses. The Role of Leverage in Position Sizing Leverage in trading is comparable to a double-edged sword. It allows traders to control larger positions with a smaller amount of capital, effectively amplifying both potential returns and risks. When a trader employs leverage, they borrow capital, increasing their trading power. However, when combined with strict position sizing and stop-loss placement, leverage serves a different role. It doesn't necessarily increase the risk but rather reallocates capital more efficiently. For example, if someone uses leverage to open a position, they're required to commit only a fraction of the trade's total value, known as the margin. If they’re risking 1% of their account balance on a single trade and never move their stop loss, the trader’s loss is limited to this 1%, regardless of how much leverage they use. The only difference is that lower leverage uses more capital for margin and vice versa. Key Factors Influencing Position Size When it comes to determining the right position size in trading, two key factors come into play, both crucial for tailoring risk management to individual needs: - Risk Tolerance: Every person has a unique comfort level with risk. Some might be inclined to use a larger proportion of their account balance on a given trade, accepting higher potential losses for greater potential gains, while others may prefer a more conservative stance, prioritising capital preservation. - Market Volatility: The level of volatility in the market significantly influences position sizing. In highly volatile markets, where price swings are more pronounced, reducing position size can be a prudent strategy to potentially limit exposure to sudden and severe market movements. Calculating Optimal Position Sizes Understanding how to calculate position sizes is a cornerstone of effective trading. The process involves several steps that balance risk management with the potential for returns. Here’s a detailed breakdown: - Determining Risk Tolerance Per Trade: First, decide what percentage of your trading capital you are willing to risk on a single trade. A common guideline is the 1% rule, meaning if you have $10,000, you will lose no more than $100 per trade. - Setting a Stop-Loss Order: This is a predetermined point where a losing trade will be closed to prevent further losses. The stop-loss is set based on market analysis and does not exceed the risk tolerance. - Calculating the Risk per Share/Unit: Subtract the stop-loss level from the entry price. For example, $50 (entry price) in the stock market - $45 (stop-loss) equals a $5 risk per share. - Determining Position Size: Divide the dollar amount you’re willing to risk by the risk per share/unit. Using the $100 risk on a $10,000 account, divide this by the $5 risk per share: $100/$5 = 20 shares. Thus, you should buy 20 shares to stay within your 1% limit. As a result, if your stop-loss is triggered, you’d only lose 1% of your total capital. Position Sizing Strategies In trading, there are two commonly used position-sizing strategies: - Fixed Percentage Model: This strategy involves risking a fixed percentage of the total trading capital on each trade. For example, one might consistently risk 2% of their capital per trade. This method automatically adjusts the dollar amount at risk based on the current account size, potentially ensuring that losses are proportionate to the account's value. - Dollar Amount Risk Model: Here, traders potentially lose a set dollar amount on every trade, regardless of the account size. For instance, a trader may decide to risk $500 on each trade. This model is simpler and easier to manage, especially for traders with less experience, but doesn't adjust for changes in the total account value, which could be a drawback as the account grows or shrinks. The Impact of Position Sizing on Trading Performance Optimal position sizing is risk-reducing and plays a critical role in a trader's overall performance. By allocating the right amount of capital to each trade, they potentially can manage potential losses more effectively, preserving their trading capital over the long term. This approach is believed to help traders be sure that a series of losing trades does not significantly deplete the account, allowing them to remain in the market. Moreover, optimal position sizing may contribute to emotional stability. Traders are less likely to experience extreme stress or make impulsive decisions when they know their risk is controlled and losses are within acceptable limits. This psychological benefit cannot be overstated, as a calm and focused mindset is essential for making rational trading decisions. The Bottom Line In essence, mastering position sizing is key to balancing potential gains with prudent risk management. Remember, optimal position sizing is about protecting your capital while maximising opportunities and is a valuable tool in long-term, sustainable trading. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
4
Bullish bounce for the Fiber?The price is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.1270 1st Support: 1.1141 1st Resistance: 1.1427 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
2
Lingrid | EURUSD possible REVERSAL from Critical RESISTANCE FX:EURUSD is currently testing a significant upward trendline while consolidating in a narrow sideways range just above this crucial support. Notable bearish signals have emerged, including a clear divergence pattern and a false breakout attempt above the previous higher high level – a classic trap for bullish traders. Adding weight to the bearish case, price action has formed a long-tailed rejection bar on the daily timeframe precisely at the key resistance zone that corresponds with the 2022 high level. This powerful rejection at historical resistance shouldn't be overlooked. I anticipate a meaningful pullback once price decisively breaks below the upward trendline support. This corrective move appears increasingly probable given that price has now completed a textbook ABC pattern on the daily timeframe. The completion of this pattern, combined with the other technical signals, suggests we're likely at an inflection point where momentum could shift significantly to the downside. My goal is supprot zone around 1.11550 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Short
by Lingrid
5
EurUsd- Pay attention to 1.1310Recap: As discussed in last week's update, EURUSD bulls started losing momentum, and a correction became likely. Current situation: • The move from 1.1400 to 1.1577 appears to have been a blow-off top. • Price is now stuck in the middle of the range, showing signs of weakness. Key level to watch: • 1.1310 is critical support. • A confirmed break below could open the path toward the 1.1100 area. Trading plan: ➡️ I am closely monitoring the 1.1310 zone for a potential breakdown and continuation lower. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
2
Euro Under Mild Pressure Amid Policy Uncertainty and Weaker USD📌 EUR/USD Outlook: Euro Under Mild Pressure Amid Policy Uncertainty and Weaker US Dollar 📉 🌍 Fundamental Overview EUR/USD is trading cautiously around 1.1400, as market sentiment remains sensitive to developments in the US-China trade situation and broader monetary policy expectations. Despite recent USD weakness — where the greenback lost ground against all G10 currencies this April — the Euro is facing renewed selling pressure amid rising speculation about further ECB rate cuts. ECB policymakers, including Olli Rehn and François Villeroy de Galhau, highlighted the increasing risks of missing the 2% inflation target, reinforcing the need for more monetary easing if necessary. Meanwhile, mixed signals between Trump and Beijing over trade negotiations have kept uncertainty high, putting both USD and risk sentiment in flux. 📈 Key Economic Events to Watch US Data: JOLTS Job Openings Q1 GDP Preliminary ISM Manufacturing PMI ADP Employment Change Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) Core PCE Price Index (March) Eurozone Data: Q1 GDP Preliminary April HICP Inflation Recent weaker-than-expected Spanish GDP (0.6% vs. forecast 0.7%) also adds pressure on the broader Eurozone outlook. 📊 Technical Outlook – EUR/USD Immediate Resistance: 1.1450 – 1.1475 Immediate Support: 1.1375 – 1.1340 The pair is now hovering near the 1.1400 psychological level, with slight bearish momentum: A break below 1.1375 could open the path towards 1.1340. On the upside, holding above 1.1400 and reclaiming 1.1450 would be needed to revive bullish momentum. The Dollar Index (DXY) remains trapped around 99.20, hinting at limited immediate USD strength but vulnerable to macro catalysts. 🧠 Trading Strategy Prefer short-term sell setups if EUR/USD fails to hold 1.1400 and breaks below 1.1375. Bullish setups are only valid if Price closes firmly above 1.1450, aiming towards 1.1475 resistance. ⚡ Traders should stay cautious ahead of major data this week, especially US NFP and Core PCE, which could redefine short-term Dollar strength. 💬 Are you watching for a deeper pullback or waiting for a bounce above 1.1450? Let’s discuss! 👇👇👇
Short
by MMFlowTrading
3
EURUSD – Bear Flag Before Further Drop?Like most of the market, EURUSD reacted strongly on April 22–23 with a sharp move down. Since then, price has entered a consolidation phase — and thIS pause has now taken the shape of a bear flag, a classic continuation pattern that often leads to further correction once confirmed. 📉 Key levels to watch: 1.1350 – Initial trigger for the flag break 1.1300 – Confirmation of bearish momentum Target: 1.1100 Invalidation: A return above 1.1500 would negate the pattern and call for reassessment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
2
EURUSD Will Go Lower! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 1.136. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.114 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
2