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EURUSD trade ideas

EURUSD - BULLISH MOVE "Demand Zone Reaction"DXY IS BEARISH, as EUR is currently at a critical decision point—either confirming a bullish reversal from the demand zone or continuing the downtrend. Entry: Looking for bullish confirmation within the Demand Zone (1.03602 region). 🔹 Stop Loss (SL): Below the Demand Zone at 1.02006. 🔹 Take Profit (TP): TP1: FVG Midpoint (1.04500) TP2: Daily Resistance Level (1.05000) TP3: Full Liquidity Grab (1.06500+) 🔹 Risk-to-Reward (R:R) Ratio: 4R+ potential. 🔎 Trade Confirmation Criteria ✅ Bullish rejection wicks or engulfing candles in the demand zone. ✅ Liquidity sweep followed by a strong move up. ✅ Market structure shift to bullish on lower timeframes. ❌ Invalidation If price fails to hold the demand zone and breaks below 1.02006, it signals further downside, invalidating the trade idea. 🚨 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and risk management before entering trades. 🔔 What’s your bias? Are you looking to enter long or waiting for further confirmations? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀
Long
by vannix_sb
EURUSD selling zone 1. Resistance Area Weakness The resistance zone is marked as a strong rejection area, but there's a possibility that instead of reversing, price could break through. A break above could indicate bullish momentum rather than a reversal. Instead of assuming a rejection, watch for liquidity grabs above the weak high. 2. Support Area Strength Overestimation The support zone is considered a strong level for reversal, but if the market is in a strong bearish trend, the support may fail. Instead of assuming a bounce, consider the possibility of a breakout below support, leading to a further drop 3. Market Structure Bias The analysis focuses on a bearish move from the resistance area, but the recent rally before resistance suggests that buyers were strong. A "Change of Character" (ChoCH) may not always lead to a reversal; sometimes it can be a trap before continuing higher. 4. Alternative Scenarios Instead of the expected drop, price could range between resistance and support before a bigger breakout. Liquidity could be built up near the resistance zone, causing a fakeout before an actual move.
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
1
EURUSD ShortEURUSD Analysis (H4, Short Position): 1. Current Context: As of the last update (presumably before February 2025), EURUSD was in a downtrend on higher timeframes (e.g., D1), which could influence the H4. Let’s assume the pair recently hit a local high and is showing signs of a downward reversal, aligning with your request for a short-position analysis. 2. Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance: Suppose the nearest significant resistance on H4 is around 1.0500–1.0514 (a psychological level and a zone often mentioned in X posts and TradingView analyses). This could be confirmed by the 50-period EMA or a Supply Zone. Support: The nearest support might be around 1.0400 or slightly lower at 1.0370, where price previously found demand (Demand Zone). 3. Technical Indicators: Moving Averages (EMA): If the 50 EMA crossed below the 200 EMA (bearish cross) or the price bounced off the 50 EMA downward, this strengthens the sell signal. RSI (14): If RSI on H4 is in the overbought zone (above 70) and starts declining, it confirms weakening bullish momentum. Volume: An increase in volume during a downward break of the resistance level could indicate bearish strength. 4. Patterns: On H4, a reversal pattern might be forming, such as a "Double Top" near 1.0514 or a "Head and Shoulders" if the price has already started pulling back from resistance. Alternatively, a break below an ascending channel with a retest of the upper channel line could serve as an entry point for a short. 5. Short Position Scenario: Entry Point: If the price tests 1.0500–1.0514 and shows a bearish rejection (e.g., a pin bar or engulfing pattern), this is an ideal moment to enter a short. Stop-Loss: Place the stop just above resistance, e.g., at 1.0530, to account for potential false breakouts. Take-Profit: First target at 1.0400 (about 100–140 pips profit), second target at 1.0370 if bearish momentum persists. Risk/Reward Ratio: With a 20–30 pip stop and a first target of 100 pips, you get at least a 1:3 ratio, which is acceptable for the strategy. 6. Fundamental Factors: While this is a technical analysis, note that EURUSD is heavily influenced by U.S. data (e.g., NFP, Fed interest rates) and Eurozone events (ECB decisions). If strong dollar-supportive data is expected soon, it could reinforce the bearish scenario.
Short
by Trade_Hive_Signals
EURUSD 21 Feb 2025 W8 - Intraday Analysis - EU & US PMI Day!This is my Intraday analysis on FX:EURUSD EURUSD for 21 Feb 2025 W8 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment It's PMI Day today: EU: Flash Manufacturing PMI - Flash Services PMI US: Flash Manufacturing PMI - Flash Services PMI The market still in the same sentiment detailed in my Weekly Analysis . Below a summary: Short-Term Bias: Cautiously bullish for EUR/USD, driven by optimism over delayed tariffs, geopolitical progress, and hopes for softer inflation. Key Risks: A hot PCE report reviving Fed hawkishness. Sudden tariff escalations or breakdowns in peace talks. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish (Reached Swing Extreme Demand) 🔹INT Bearish (Reached Extreme Supply) 🔹INT-INT Bullish (Reached EQ (50%) 🔹Swing Continuation 2️⃣ 🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH. 🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios (Previously I’d the following 2 scenarios where now I favors the 2nd scenario due to the impulsive nature of the move): Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal) Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal) 🔹As expected yesterday, price managed to continue Bullish after reaching the INT-INT structure EQ (50%) in a solid impulsive move aligns with the Swing continuation move. 3️⃣ 🔹Still expectation is set to continue Bullish targeting the Weak Swing High as long LTFs holds Bullish structures. Also, In my mind I’m not neglecting the current Bearish 4H INT structure and we already reached that structure extreme where we are getting the current corrective Bearish OF. 15m Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bullish 🔹Reached Swing EQ (50%)/Discount 🔹Swing Continuation Phase 2️⃣ 🔹The 15m Bullish Swing pullback phase is still intact with continues Bearish INT structures. 🔹Price had reached Swing extreme demand in Swing Discount. 🔹With the recent Bearish iBOS, price had formed Liq. above the 15m Demand which was sept with the break of the Weak INT Low, mitigating the 15m Demand and forming a Bullish CHoCH to initiate the Bearish INT Structure Pullback. 🔹With the Bullish iBOS yesterday, we confirmed that the Swing Pullback phase may have ended and we are in a new Bullish continuation phase. 3️⃣ 🔹With the recent iBOS, price is currently in Pullback Phase to HP POIs to then continue Bullish. 🔹As yesterday expectation of continuing Bullish, still on the expectations of price continuing Bullish targeting the 15m Weak Swing High / 4H Weak Swing High.
by Amr-Sadek
EUR/USD forex trading chart showing a bullish market analysis.This is a EUR/USD forex trading chart showing a bullish market analysis with projected upward movement. Key Points: • Support Levels: 1.04130 - 1.04294 (potential strong buy zone). • Resistance Levels: 1.05908, 1.07833, and 1.08000 (key targets for buyers). • Expected Movement: • Price may stay around 1.045 - 1.059 before pushing towards 1.078. • A bullish channel is forming, indicating an uptrend continuation. This analysis suggests long (buy) trade opportunities, especially around 1.045, targeting 1.078 - 1.080 as the next resistance zone.
by Blue_Pills