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EURUSD trade ideas

Euro Insights: Prepare for Short Exposures in the Coming Week - Key Insights: The Euro is facing continued pressure against major currencies, particularly the US Dollar. Traders should consider short positions as the bearish trend shows persistence. Support levels may act as potential reversal points, but caution is advised given the geopolitical and economic dynamics in play. - Price Targets: With a short strategy in mind, consider setting targets and stops as follows: - Target 1 (T1): 1.0780 - Target 2 (T2): 1.0763 - Stop Level 1 (S1): 1.0855 - Stop Level 2 (S2): 1.0890 - Recent Performance: The Euro has recently demonstrated a bearish pattern, failing to maintain previous bullish momentum. Key support level tests are likely on the horizon, following a significant reversal from the 1.09281 resistance mark. This performance reflects an underwhelming trajectory against other currencies as well. - Expert Analysis: Analysts continue to advise caution with Euro longs, noting that the bearish momentum could sustain unless significant economic or geopolitical shifts occur. The consensus is to observe the EUR/USD pair closely, with any potential corrections providing speculative trading opportunities. - News Impact: European geopolitical dynamics, particularly defense spending and strategic engagements with China, are impacting market sentiment. These developments are reshaping supply chains and creating new economic conditions that could affect the Euro. Meanwhile, broader fiscal strategies are watched for potential effects on currency valuations.
Short
by CrowdWisdomTrading
EU UpdateBased on today's fundamental news from Forex Factory, the euro appears to be showing modestly positive fundamentals. In other words, the latest economic releases and sentiment for the EUR are supporting a slight bullish bias. When you combine this with the technical picture for EUR/USD (which is pulling back but still sitting above key moving averages), it suggests that—after a short period of consolidation—the pair is likely to resume an upward move. In summary, the fundamental data imply that EUR/USD should have modest upside potential in the coming days, although traders should watch for resistance levels at 1.09251 that might slow the move.
Long
by D_Virtual
EUR/USD: Correction or a New Wave of Growth?Hi All! Last week, the euro continued its correction after a strong impulse, which is identified as subwave 3 within wave 3 of a higher degree. A technical correction occurred at the end of the week, and now the key question is whether it has been completed. 📍 Key Levels: ✅ 1.08600 – A breakout will confirm the end of the correction and open the way toward resistance levels at 1.09100 – 1.09400. ✅ If subwave 4 is complete, the next targets are 1.1100 – 1.1200. ✅ Deeper correction scenario: A possible dip toward the 100-hour moving average around 1.07800. If this level holds, we expect further growth. Otherwise, a deeper correction toward 1.07255 (38% Fibonacci retracement of subwave 3) could follow. 📊 What’s next? We are waiting for a confirmed breakout of 1.08600 or a rebound from the 100-SMA (H4).
by AUREA_RATIO
2
EUR/USD Falling Wedge Breakout – Professional Chart AnalysisOverview of the Chart The EUR/USD 1-hour chart presents a bullish trading setup, featuring a well-defined falling wedge pattern, a trendline breakout, and a retest phase, signaling a potential upward move. The chart is marked with key technical elements such as support and resistance zones, breakout confirmation, and risk management parameters. This analysis will break down each component of the chart, explaining the logic behind the setup and how traders can approach this opportunity. 1. Identified Chart Patterns Falling Wedge Formation (Bullish Reversal Signal) The price action formed a falling wedge, characterized by lower highs and lower lows, creating a narrowing price channel. This pattern is typically a bullish reversal structure, as it indicates weakening selling pressure before an expected breakout. The wedge’s downward movement ended with a strong breakout to the upside, signaling buyers regaining control. 2. Key Technical Levels Support & Resistance Zones Support Level (Buyers’ Stronghold) The horizontal support level is a price area where buyers have previously stepped in, preventing further declines. This level has been tested multiple times, reinforcing its strength as a key demand zone. Resistance Zone (Profit Target Area) The highlighted resistance zone represents a supply area where the price has struggled to move past in previous sessions. The target price level aligns with this resistance, making it a realistic profit target for the long position. 3. Trendline Breakout Confirmation Before forming the wedge, the chart shows an uptrend with a breakout above a trendline. This trendline breakout was an early signal of bullish strength, aligning with the later wedge breakout. After the breakout, the price came back for a retest, which is a key confirmation before further upward movement. 4. Retesting Phase Before the Upward Move After breaking out of the wedge, the price returned to the breakout level to confirm support. Retesting is a crucial validation step—if the price holds above this level, it increases the probability of a continued bullish move. This retesting action provides a potential entry point for traders looking to go long. 5. Trade Setup & Risk Management Strategy Trade Entry: A buy entry is considered after the retest is confirmed (price holding above the breakout level). Stop Loss Placement (Risk Control): The stop loss is placed below the previous low at 1.07790, ensuring protection against fake breakouts or unexpected reversals. Take Profit Target (Projected Price Move): The target price is set at 1.09698, which aligns with previous resistance levels and the measured move from the wedge breakout. This provides a strong risk-to-reward ratio, making the setup favorable for bullish traders. 6. Risk-Reward Ratio & Trade Viability Risk: The distance between the entry point and the stop loss is relatively small, making it a low-risk trade. Reward: The potential upside move is significantly higher than the risk, creating a high reward-to-risk ratio trade. This type of technical confluence increases the probability of a successful trade, making it an attractive opportunity. 7. Conclusion & Trading Strategy 📌 Key Takeaways: ✅ The falling wedge breakout signals a bullish reversal. ✅ The trendline breakout and retest add further confirmation to the trade setup. ✅ The support and resistance zones provide a clear risk management strategy. ✅ The risk-reward ratio makes this an attractive long trade setup. 💡 Trading Plan: 🔹 Enter Long after retest confirmation above the breakout level. 🔹 Stop Loss: 1.07790 (below previous low). 🔹 Take Profit: 1.09698 (previous resistance zone). Final Thoughts This EUR/USD setup is a textbook example of a bullish reversal following a falling wedge breakout. Traders who patiently wait for a confirmed retest can capitalize on this high-probability trade setup, aiming for a strong bullish continuation. 🔹 Tags: #EURUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #Breakout #PriceAction #TradingSetup #SupportResistance
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/USD: Bearish Reversal Potential at Fibonacci LevelEUR/USD daily chart provides a nice short opportunity. The pair recently experienced a retracement as part of an extended downtrend, reaching the 70.00% Fibonacci retracement level and facing resistance at the 1.09957/1.09947 level. A confluence of technical variables in this way can serve as a potential reversal point and resumption of the underlying bearish trend. Trading Strategy: Entry: Sell short EUR/USD at or near the prevailing price (1.08361) on confirmation of bearish price action such as a rejection candle off the resistance point. Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss order above the new high (1.12142) or at a judiciously chosen resistance level to manage risk. Take Profit: Look for the following support levels as probable take-profit points: 1.07323 1.07286 1.06794
Short
by ultreosforex
1
Week AnalysisI fumbled my funded account because of myself It wasn't my strategy but it was my own decisions. I was up 5% stable but then I started scalping and interacted with XAU after I banned myself from poor trading decisions. What Am I going To Do? I recognise my problem was alpha mentality in which I'm looking to be positive every day and whilst I should be waiting for setups to form, I was creating setups. We going to run it up this week again with this on my mind and aim for high quality setups. P.s, if your in a similar position to me feel free to connect with me This week not my news so we might not see so many expansionary moves so another thing to be kept on mind.
by acelovespips
EURUSD Will be in bearish directionHello Traders In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today EURUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Long
by ForexMasters2000
EU could go up againHi traders, Last week EU went a little bit more up and rejected from the Montly FVG again. After that it started the last leg of the correction down just as I've said in my outlook. So next week we could see the pullback finish into the Weekly/ Daily BPR and after that more upside. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for the correction down to finish. If you see an impulsive move up and a change in orderflow to bullish, then wait for a small correction down on a lower timeframe to trade longs. If you want to see more of my analysis, please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
Long
by EduwaveTrading
Idea for next weekWe’re set to receive the latest round of global Purchasing Managers’ Indices on Monday, and it’s the European data that will likely be in the spotlight, putting the EUR/USD forecast in spotlight. The question is whether Trump’s trade war is already starting to dent business activity worldwide. In the Eurozone, manufacturing PMIs have been inching higher, but they still languish below the crucial 50.0 mark that separates contraction from growth. The recent upsurge in key indices such as the DAX suggests investors are starting to price in a more optimistic scenario, with hopes that Germany’s hefty fiscal stimulus will soon filter through to the broader economy. Any positive readings could help fuel a rally towards the 1.10 handle, while weaker data may not play a significant role.
by EZIO-FX
EURUSD Short with Risk Manager ToolI received some messages about the Risk Manager Indicator. This indicator was created by me and it calculates the Lot Size you need to enter in order to follow your risk management rules. You just need to fill the % of your balance you want to risk on each trade, the entry price and the number of pips of your stop loss. Then the indicator automatically calculates the position size. It works on XAU, FOREX, OIL and US100/MNQ1! markets. It's a private indicator and it's available on my website.
Short
by Luis_TudoSobreTrading
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 21, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: As indicated in the analysis conducted last week, the Euro has initiated a downward trend following a successful retest of the Mean Resistance level at 1.093. It is currently trending downward toward the Mean Support level at 1.078, potentially declining further to the Mean Support level at 1.061. Conversely, should the anticipated downward trend not materialize, the Eurodollar will retest the Mean Resistance level at 1.087, with an additional resistance level marked at 1.095.
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Trading Analysis – Falling Wedge Breakout StrategyChart Overview The EUR/USD 1-hour chart presents a classic falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish reversal setup indicating that selling momentum is weakening and a breakout to the upside is imminent. This chart provides a structured trading plan, highlighting support and resistance levels, entry points, stop-loss placement, and a target price. Traders can use this setup to capitalize on the potential bullish move while effectively managing risk. Let’s break it down step by step. 1. Understanding the Falling Wedge Pattern A falling wedge is formed when price action moves within two downward-sloping trendlines that converge. It signals decreasing bearish pressure, as the price forms lower highs and lower lows within a narrowing range. The decreasing range indicates that sellers are losing control, and an upside breakout is likely. In this chart, we observe the following key characteristics of a falling wedge: ✅ Two converging downward trendlines that contain price movement. ✅ Lower highs and lower lows showing seller exhaustion. ✅ Decreasing volume as the price approaches the breakout zone. ✅ Support near 1.08000, which has held price several times before. A breakout above the wedge signals a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment, making this a strong trade setup. 2. Key Support & Resistance Levels 🔹 Support Level (Demand Zone) The horizontal blue zone at 1.07898 – 1.08000 is a critical support level. This level has been tested multiple times, making it a strong demand zone where buyers step in. The falling wedge bottom aligns with this area, reinforcing its importance. If price stays above this zone, it confirms the potential for a bullish breakout. 🔹 Resistance Level (Supply Zone) The resistance zone at 1.09300 - 1.09839 has acted as a barrier to upward movement. Price previously reversed from this zone, making it a logical take-profit area. If the breakout happens, this level will be tested again. A break above 1.09839 would signal further bullish momentum. 3. Trading Strategy – Step-by-Step Execution 📌 Entry Confirmation To enter this trade with confidence, traders should wait for a confirmed breakout above the wedge. A strong bullish candle breaking above the wedge’s upper trendline signals entry. Ideally, a pullback and retest of the breakout level would provide additional confirmation before entering long. 📌 Stop-Loss Placement Risk management is key, and stop-loss placement should be strategic to avoid unnecessary losses. A stop-loss is set just below 1.07898, slightly under the recent low. This placement ensures protection against false breakouts. 📌 Take-Profit Target The take-profit target is set at 1.09839, aligning with key resistance and the projected wedge breakout distance. This level has historically acted as resistance, making it an ideal zone to exit profits. Partial profit-taking can be considered near 1.09300, before the final target. 📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio With a tight stop-loss and a higher profit target, this trade offers a favorable risk-reward ratio (RRR). A minimum RRR of 1:3 is recommended, meaning potential reward is three times the risk taken. 4. Expected Market Behavior & Possible Scenarios 📊 Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Confirmation 🚀 If price breaks and closes above the wedge, we expect a rally towards 1.09300 - 1.09839. Pullback to retest the breakout zone would further confirm bullish strength. Strong volume would validate the breakout, leading to a high-probability move. 📉 Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown (Invalidation) ❌ If price breaks below 1.07898, the bullish setup is invalidated. A downside move could push the price lower, possibly towards 1.07500 or below. Traders should exit long positions if this scenario unfolds. 5. Additional Technical Indicators for Confirmation To strengthen this trade setup, traders can use: ✅ RSI (Relative Strength Index) – Look for RSI divergence or a move above 50, confirming bullish strength. ✅ MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) – A bullish crossover on MACD would reinforce the breakout. ✅ Volume Analysis – A spike in volume at the breakout level adds confidence in the move. 6. Conclusion & Trading Plan This falling wedge setup suggests a high-probability bullish breakout if the price confirms above the resistance zone. 🔹 Trading Plan Summary: ✅ Wait for a breakout above the wedge before entering. ✅ Confirm breakout with a retest or strong bullish candle. ✅ Set stop-loss below 1.07898 to limit downside risk. ✅ Take profit at 1.09839, securing profits at resistance. This strategy offers an excellent risk-to-reward ratio, making it a well-structured trade setup. Always manage risk and avoid premature entries without confirmation. 📌 TradingView Tags for Maximum Visibility #EURUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #FallingWedge #Breakout #PriceAction #ForexSignals #SupportResistance #TradingSetup #DayTrading #SwingTrading
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
Matador the EUR/USD Bull? - Bears about to jump in?After the previous 3 weeks of bullish havoc, the bears may have finally decided to pump the breaks on EUR/USD buyers. As price continued to push higher, I held on to short positions that I began building up at 1.0851 & 1.0909 as I wanted to wait and see if the Pivot level R1 area (1.0935) was going to provide the wall to begin declining back down. Once I saw the lack of advancement, I opened another strong short position at 1.0912 and now sitting at an overall average price of 1.0891. I like this trade, however I am still staying cautious on that 1.0800 level. I want to see this price point clearly broken and trading below it, otherwise I will keep my stop at a close break-even point for risk protection. Overall, so far so good but we need to break through 1.0800. From a purely technical analysis point of view, I see a small scale rising broadening pattern and this usually indicates a drop to the starting point of the pattern will take place however, If we drop aggressively, I may eye that 1.0600 level again which will lock in almost 300 pips but as I just said, these patterns usually return to their starting point so 1.0300 or below is not out of the question. I guess it depends on how the price action is looking whether I'd close or hold. 1.0600 is around the yearly pivot point so that is a good marker to shoot for IMO. Interestingly, the MACD and RSI show a rising broadening pattern as well so that gives me a little bit more conviction in this trade. I see some other markers for this trade as well but I will share that in my next upcoming market preview video since it'd be too much to type. As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe
by InternalTraderNYC