EUR/USD: Bearish Structure Intact — Lower Lows Ahead? (READ)By analyzing the #EURUSD chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around 1.136. If the price manages to stay below the 1.1414 level, we can expect further downside from this pair. The possible bearish targets are 1.128, 1.11480, and 1.10 respectively.
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EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD: Long Trading Opportunity
EURUSD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long EURUSD
Entry Point - 1.1125
Stop Loss - 1.1037
Take Profit - 1.1307
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Has the EUR/USD Uptrend Ended?After trending upward since early 2025 on a weaker dollar, EUR/USD saw a notable pullback this week. For the first time, we can technically say that the uptrend has ended. But what are the reasons?
The price dropped below the 1.12640 level, which represents the most recent higher low recorded by the market, and closed the day below it, forming a new low. This signal on the daily timeframe is negative and indicates a trend reversal from bullish to bearish.
The 1.14931 level represents potential selling pressure, from which the price may decline after testing it, targeting the 1.12860 level.
As for the 1.15734 level, it is considered an important resistance line that keeps the bearish scenario valid. However, if the price rises and records a daily close above it, this would indicate a return to the bullish trend and the failure of the bearish scenario.
EURUSD Will Go Down! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.125.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.114 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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SELL & BUY EURUSD IDEAOn Weekly TF, price broke a major resistance and is coming back for a retest, turning resistance to support.
last daily close is a weak bullish candle at the resistance about to be turned support
Ranging market on H4 before support was broken, retest done and inverse pinbar formed
Price is currently falling to support level, Left shoulder and head formed on H1, formation of right shoulder would be a sell signal for a sell to the next support
Buy idea depends on how price action acts when it gets to the support
EURUSDEURUSD price has a chance to test the 1.14550 and 1.15419 levels. If the price cannot break through the 1.15419 resistance zone, it is expected that the price has a chance to go down. Consider selling the red zone.
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EURUSD Selloff Hits Key Support — Hold or Fail?Following Bessent’s announcement on China, EURUSD extended its decline into this week. Now, the long-term trendline that began in 2008 is being retested. Downward pressure remains high, and the retreat may continue today. However, the former supply zone at 1.1050–1.11 could provide significant support, especially with the help of the long-term trendline.
Bessent stated that for 90 days, U.S. tariffs on China will be reduced from 145% to 30%, and China will lower tariffs on U.S. goods from 125% to 10%. While the market had expected some positive developments, this move went far beyond those expectations. As a result, momentum currently favors EURUSD bears.
If the support zone fails, bearish momentum could accelerate, targeting the 1.07 area in the coming weeks. However, as long as the support holds, bears should proceed with caution.
MarketBreakdown | EURUSD, USDCHF, GBPJPY, US30
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #EURUSD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇺🇸
As I predicted, EURUSD dropped after the market opening.
The price is currently testing a significant daily demand zone.
Because the market looks relatively oversold after a selloff,
I think that there will be a high chance to see a pullback.
2️⃣ #USDCHF daily time frame 🇺🇸🇨🇭
The price completed a consolidation and a bullish accumulation
within a horizontal range on a daily.
Its resistance breakout is an important bullish signal.
Probabilities are high that the market will continue rising after a pullback.
3️⃣ #GBPJPY daily time frame 🇬🇧🇯🇵
The pair broke above a significant daily resistance cluster.
It opens a potential for more rise.
The market will most likely reach the underlined yellow resistance soon.
4️⃣ #US30 Index Dow Jones daily time frame 🇦🇺🇺🇸
The index successfully violated a major daily resistance.
Rise will continue and the market will reach the underlined
liquidity zone soon.
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EURUSD 12/5/25Want to know how we're starting the week? We're kicking things off with EUR/USD. We've seen strong bearish movement into the first open of the week. This follows trade developments involving China, Europe, Russia, and other major global economies. Naturally, these events have a direct impact on the value of the USD and the currencies these nations trade in.
The probability of more unscheduled fundamental news this week is relatively high. Since this type of news can drop at any moment, it's crucial that you mitigate risk if you're trading during this period. As always, caution is highly recommended.
Our outlook for EUR/USD this week remains consistent: we expect a significant pullback into the highs, followed by a continuation to the downside—just like our markup last week. Price tapped the highs perfectly and delivered to all our targets. Now, we’re anticipating a continuation of that process.
Orion is bearish—and so are we.
Trade safe, stick to your plan, and always follow Orion.
EURUSD short on central bank divergence After last weeks FED rate decision I think EURUSD downside looks like a good potential. We saw a continued cautious approach from the FED with hawkish undertones amid trade wars and sticky inflation.
This now presents some clear divergences between central bank policies. The ECB are leading the way with looser monetary policy and continues rate cuts as their inflation rates declines to 2.2%.
Technically, price has broken through a small recent higher low as well as through a head and shoulder price pattern off the round number 1.1500. There was a strong OBV divergence signal around the highs and the weekly POC's have started to break lower.
The weekly profile also presents a possible downside target with a thin week yet to be filled. Two possible positions that could be taken, a slightly more conservative target and stop loss or a more aggressive position with a tighter stop and target towards the lows.
Will need to keep up to date on current macro data's from both the US and EU to ensure the bias doesn't shift, as well as the current tariff wars coming out from the US, important not to get too set on a trade idea and remaining fluid in the ever changing market conditions.
Euro’s 1.13 Lifeline: Can ECB Rate Cuts Outweigh Hawkish Holds? EUR/USD stabilised near 1.1275 amid mixed signals: the ECB’s rate-cut bets (driven by Eurozone inflation at 2.2%)* vs. the Fed’s "higher-for-longer" stance. Traders await U.S. jobless claims and German industrial data to break the stalemate.
EURUSDEUR/USD Interest Rate Differential and Economic Data for May 2025: Directional Bias
Interest Rate Differential
European Central Bank (ECB):
Cut rates by 25 basis points in March 2025, lowering the deposit facility rate to 2.50%.
Dovish outlook: Inflation is projected to average 2.3% in 2025, with further easing likely if price pressures subside.
Federal Reserve (Fed):
Held rates steady at 4.25–4.50% in May 2025, maintaining a cautious stance amid sticky inflation and trade uncertainty.
Market expects delayed rate cuts until July 2025 or later.
Differential:
~1.75–2.00% rate advantage for the USD, favoring dollar strength over the euro.
Key May 2025 Economic Data
Region Data/Event Impact on EUR/USD
Eurozone Q1 GDP Growth (0.4% YoY) Mildly positive but uneven (Germany: 0.2%, France: 0.1%).
US April CPI/Jobs Reports Sticky inflation (core CPI: 2.8%) supports Fed’s hold. Strong labor market (177k jobs added in April).
Political EU Elections/Trade Tensions Risks from EU political turmoil (Germany/France) and U.S.-China tariffs weigh on EUR.
Directional Bias
Bearish EUR/USD:
Rate Differential: The Fed’s hawkish hold vs. ECB easing widens the USD yield advantage, pressuring the euro.
Growth Divergence: Eurozone growth (0.4% Q1) lags behind U.S. resilience, despite Germany’s exit from recession.
Geopolitical Risks: EU political instability and U.S. tariff uncertainty amplify EUR downside.
Conclusion:
EUR/USD remains bearish in May 2025, driven by widening rate differentials, mixed Eurozone growth, and geopolitical headwinds.
Who loves the EURO dollars ? Come buy more !I can't remember reading an article that says the Euro could overtake the US dollar as the next world reserve currency. I think this is too far into the future and debating it is pointless at this juncture.
This 1-2 years are more crucial and I think the dollar has more room to depreciate.
Please DYODD
EURUSD Buy to High and reversal SellsPrice is currently close to a BB POI. When price tags our POI, the buy activates which we believe to take price to the previous high of 1.1570. A failure to break the previous high gives us an opportunity to sell from the OB POI via Quasimodo reversals at 1.14863.
Potential bearish drop?EUR/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1274
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1373
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.1084
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
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EURUSD On The Rise! BUY!
My dear friends,
EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.1245 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.1307
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD price analysis week 20🌐Fundamental Analysis
USD gains ground: Thanks to the hawkish tone of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and the announcement of the UK-US trade deal, the USD strengthened against other currencies, dragging the EUR/USD pair lower in the US session on Thursday.
US Monetary Policy Outlook: The FedWatch tool shows only a 17% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates in June, leaving the USD with room to rise if the Fed maintains a cautious stance.
Euro Outlook Weakens: ECB officials signaled a clear interest rate cut in June, as slowing growth and easing inflationary pressures limit the Euro's upside potential.
🕯Technical Analysis
EURUSD has established a downtrend after breaking through a key technical support zone around 1.12900.
Key support to watch is around 1.1100 and the next zone is the weekly support zone of 1.1000.
During the week, if there is any sign of price increase above 1.129 creating a False break pattern, we will pay attention to the peak area of 1.036 for the SELL strategy.
📈📉Trading Signals
SELL EURUSD 1.03600-1.03800 SL 1.04100
BUY EURUSD 1.11100-1.10900 SL 1.10600
BUY EURUSD 1.10000-1.09800 SL 1.09500