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EURUSD trade ideas

Why I Think EURUSD Will Sell This Week...Technical AnalysisHey Rich Friends, Happy Monday. I think EURUSD will continue to sell this week. This is only my technical analysis so please check the news and cross reference any indicators you have on your own chart. Here is what I am looking at: - There has been a break of structure to the downside on H4 signaling that price may continue to drop lower. - After the break of structure, price opened lower and continued to sell. - Momentum has been picking up for the sellers over the last 12 hours. - The stochastic is oversold. The slow line (orange) is above the fast line (blue) and one or both lines are below 20. These are all strong bearish confirmations for me so I will be selling. I took market execution order but I also have sell stops and TPs at previous lows. My SL will be a previous high. Only take trades that make sense to you, but I hope the market is in our favor this week. Let me know what you think about this idea below. Peace and Profits, Cha
Short
by MoneyMantraCha
Trendline Liquidity Taken Watching for MSS at Support in EUR/USDEUR/USD has taken liquidity above the previous trendline resistance during the New York session and is now declining. The pair is approaching a key support zone. If it reaches this level and shows a market structure shift (MSS) or any other bullish confirmation, there is potential for a reversal from this zone. In that case, price could move upward toward the marked bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG). Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Long
by TradeCraft_FX
EURUSD BUYEUR/USD retreats below 1.1550 ahead of US data EUR/USD finds it difficult to stage a rebound following Monday's sharp decline and trades in negative territory below 1.1550 on Tuesday. The US Dollar (USD) preserves its strength ahead of consumer sentiment and employment-related data releases, weighing on the pair. From a technical point of view, the EUR/USD pair is poised to extend its slump. It keeps falling below a mildly bearish 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA), which provides dynamic resistance at around 1.1690. The 100 SMA, in the meantime, maintains its bullish slope, albeit partially losing its upward strength at around 1.1340. Finally, technical indicators keep heading south well below their midlines, and at multi-week lows, in line with a bearish extension ahead. The near-term picture shows EUR/USD is oversold and may bounce or consolidate before the next directional move. In the 4-hour chart, technical indicators turned flat at extreme levels, yet it keeps developing below all its moving averages, which skews the risk to the downside. A firmly bearish 20 SMA is crossing below the 100 SMA and aims to extend its slide below a directionless 200 SMA, usually a sign of prevalent selling interest. SUPPORT 1.15566 SUPPORT 1.15819 SUPPORT 1.15566 RESISTANCE 1.15114
Short
by Mark804
EURUSD Long, 29 JulyReversal Setup from Daily OB + LTF Confluence Price tapped into a Daily Bullish OB with 50EMA support, signaling potential for a bullish reaction. While structure isn’t perfect, the overextension and DXY correlation offer strong intraday confluence. 📈 HTF Confluence: ✅ Sitting inside a Daily Bullish Orderblock 📍 50EMA in the same area → added support 🟢 Expecting a bounce from this zone, even if HTF trend isn’t clearly bullish yet 📉 LTF Context: 💤 Asia range formed, still unfilled → clean liquidity target 📉 Overextended bearish move into 15m POI 🪞 DXY at its own 15m POI + Asia range to complete → supports EU upside 🎯 Entry Plan: ✅ Clear 1m BOS after reacting from 15m Decisional OB 🎯 Entry taken at 5m OB inside that 15m POI zone ⚠️ Decisional OB isn’t ideal, but stacked confluences justify the risk 🛡 SL: Below 5m OB 📌 TP: Asia high + potential continuation if DXY breaks lower
Long
by sTax11
EURUSD: Bullish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why: Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the EURUSD pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Long
by UnitedSignals
3
How Do Traders Use the Pivot Points Indicator? How Do Traders Use the Pivot Points Indicator? Pivot points are a popular technical analysis tool for spotting areas where the price is expected to react, i.e. pause or reverse. Calculated using the previous day’s high, low, and close, they’re projected onto the current session to highlight potential support and resistance levels, especially useful for intraday traders. Alongside stock charts, pivot point levels can be used in a wide variety of markets, including forex, commodities, and cryptocurrencies*. As a versatile indicator, pivot points also come in many different types. This article breaks down the definition of pivot points, the variations traders use, and how they can fit into a broader trading strategy. A Deeper Look at Pivot Points A common question in technical analysis is, “What is a pivot point?” Pivot points trading, or pivot point theory, is a popular technical analysis concept used in a range of financial asset classes, including stocks, currencies, cryptocurrencies*, and commodities. The indicator assists traders in gauging overall market trends and determining possible support and resistance barriers. How to Read Pivot Points The pivot point indicator is static—it’s an average of the high, low, and close prices from the previous trading day. It includes three levels: pivot point (P), support (S), and resistance (R). If the price is above the pivot point, it is supposed to target resistance barriers. Conversely, if it’s below the pivot, it could move to support levels. Thus, support and resistance levels serve as targets or stop-loss zones. They remain constant throughout the period, enabling traders to plan ahead. In the EURUSD daily chart below, the price is trading above R2; therefore, market sentiment is assumed to be bullish. R3 indicates the next possible price target. Should a shift below P occur, bearishness arises, and S1 becomes the upcoming support level. Pivots are widely used with trend indicators such as moving averages and Fibonacci tools. In the chart below, Fibonacci retracements could be used to identify intermediate levels of support and resistance within widely placed pivots. How to Calculate Pivot Points? There are four key types of pivots, including standard, Woodie’s, Camarilla, and Fibonacci. While there’s no need to use a pivot points calculator—they’re calculated automatically when implemented on a price chart—it is worth looking at their formulas to understand how they differ from each other. Note the labels for the following formulas: P = pivot point H = high price L = low price C = close price Standard Pivot Points Traders commonly use standard pivot points. Traditional pivots (P) identify potential levels of support (S) and resistance (R) by averaging the previous trading period's high, low, and close prices. P = (H + L + C) / 3 S1 = (2 * P) - H S2 = P - (H - L) R1 = (2 * P) - L R2 = P + (H -L) Although they are popular among traders, they can produce false signals and lead to incorrect trades in ranging markets and during periods of high volatility. Woodie’s Pivot Points Woodie's pivots are similar to standard pivots but include a slight modification to the calculation. In Woodie's method, the close price is assigned more weight. P = (H + L + 2 * C) / 4 R1 = (2 * P) - L R2 = P + H - L S1 = (2 * P) - H S2 = P - H + L However, their extra sensitivity can make them less reliable during choppy markets or when the price lacks a clear direction. Camarilla Pivot Points Camarilla pivots use a set formula to generate eight levels: four support and four resistance. They are based on the previous day’s close and range and multiplied by a certain multiplier. The inner levels (R3 and S3) often act as reversal zones, while R4 and S4 are watched for breakouts. Still, in trending markets, the reversals can fail frequently. R4 = C + (H - L) x 1.5 R3 = C + (H - L) x 1.25 R2 = C + (H - L) x 1.1666 R1 = C + (H - L) x 1.0833 P = (High + Low + Close) / 3 S1 = C - (H - L) x 1.0833 S2 = C - (H - L) x 1.1666 S3 = C - (H - L) x 1.25 S4 = C - (H - L) x 1.5 Fibonacci Pivot Points Fibonacci pivot points are based on the Fibonacci sequence, a popular mathematical concept in technical analysis. They are calculated in the same way as the standard indicator. However, the levels of support and resistance are determined by including the Fibonacci sequence with a close monitoring of the 38.2% and 61.8% retracement levels as the primary price points. P = (High + Low + Close) / 3 S1 = P - (0.382 * (H - L)) S2 = P - (0.618 * (H - L)) R1 = P + (0.382 * (H - L)) R2 = P + (0.618 * (H - L)) Despite their popularity, Fibonacci pivots can become less reliable when the price reacts to other fundamental drivers. Trading with the Pivot Points Although every trader develops their own trading approach, there are common rules of pivot point trading that are expected to improve their effectiveness. Day Trading Day trading with pivot points is usually implemented for hourly and shorter intraday timeframes. As pivot levels are updated daily and calculated on the previous day's high, low, and close prices, this allows traders to react promptly to market changes and adjust their strategies. Some traders prefer Camarilla pivots as their calculation takes into account the volatility of the previous trading period to produce pivot levels closer to the current price. Medium-Term Trading When looking at a medium-term analysis, weekly pivot levels are added to four-hour and daily charts. These are calculated using the previous week's high, low, and close prices, which remain unchanged until the start of the next week. Long-Term Trading For longer-term analysis, traders use monthly pivots on weekly charts. These levels, gathered from the previous month's data, offer a broader picture of market trends and price movements over time. Pivot Point Trading Strategies The pivot points indicator is typically used in two ways – breakout and reversal trading. Breakout Trading Strategy The breakout approach seeks to take advantage of market momentum by entering trades when prices break above or below significant levels of support and resistance. - Bullish Breakout. When levels P and R1 are broken, and the price closes above either, it’s more likely a rise will occur. - Bearish Breakout. When levels P and S1 are broken, and the price closes below either, it’s more likely the price fall will occur. Strong momentum and high volume are two critical factors needed for a solid price movement in both cases. Trading Conditions If a breakout is confirmed, traders enter a trade in the breakout direction. A take-profit target might be placed at the next pivot level. A stop-loss level can be placed beyond the previous level or calculated according to a risk/reward ratio. Traders continuously monitor their trades and adjust their stop-loss levels to lock in potential returns if prices move in their favour. Reversal Trading Strategy The reversal strategy seeks to take advantage of a slowdown in market momentum by entering trades when prices stall at significant levels of support or resistance. - Bullish Reversal. When levels S1 and S2 are not broken and the price stalls above either, a reversal is more likely to occur. - Bearish Reversal. When levels R1 and R2 are not broken and the price stalls below either, a reversal is expected to happen. Note: Reversals are always confirmed by another indicator or a chart pattern. Trading Conditions If a reversal is confirmed, traders consider entering a trade in its direction. The next level may be a take-profit target, which might be trailed to the next level if the market conditions signal a continuation of a price move. A stop-loss level is typically placed below a swing low or above a swing high, depending on the trade direction. Pivot Points and Other Indicators While pivots show where the price may reverse, there’s nothing to say a market won’t trade through these areas. Therefore, traders typically pair them with other technical indicators and patterns. Candlestick and Chart Patterns Traders often combine levels with specific reversal candlestick formations, like three black crows/three white soldiers or engulfing patterns, to confirm a change in market movements. For example, a bullish engulfing candle forming at S1 could reinforce the idea of a reversal at that level. Moving Averages When a pivot aligns with a major moving average, e.g. the 50-period or 200-period EMA, it strengthens the area. As moving averages act as dynamic support and resistance levels, an overlap can signal a strong area where a reversal might occur. RSI and Stochastic Oscillator Momentum indicators like RSI or Stochastic help judge whether the price is likely to bounce or break through a pivot. If it hits support and RSI is oversold, that adds conviction. But if momentum is still strong in one direction, it might get ignored. Considerations Even with strong confluence, these combinations can fail. Markets don’t always respect technical alignment, especially around data releases or sharp movements in sentiment. For instance, in stocks, pivot points may be ignored if an earnings release strongly beats analyst estimates. Instead, they are believed to work when treated as one piece of a broader technical framework. Limitations Pivot points are widely used, but like any tool, they have flaws. They’re based purely on past price data, so they don’t account for news, sentiment shifts, or broader market context. - False signals in ranging markets: The price often oscillates around pivot zones in markets without a clear direction, meaning setups might not follow through. - Less reliable during strong trends: In trending conditions, the price can blow past several levels without reacting. - No built-in volatility filter: The points don’t adapt to changing volatility, so levels might be too close or too far apart to be useful. - Lag in real-time shifts: Since pivots are pre-calculated, they don’t adjust mid-session as new data emerges. Final Thoughts Pivot points are widely used in stock trading as well as in commodity, cryptocurrency*, and currency markets. While they can be useful tools, their limitations cannot be overlooked. It is essential to conduct a comprehensive analysis and confirm the indicator signals with fundamental and technical analysis tools. FAQ What Is a Pivot Point in Trading? The pivot point meaning refers to a technical analysis tool used to identify potential support and resistance levels. It’s calculated using the previous day’s high, low, and close prices, and helps traders find areas where the price may react during the current session. What Is the Best Indicator for Pivot Points? There isn’t one best indicator, but traders often pair pivot points with moving averages, RSI, or candlestick patterns to confirm a potential reversal. The most effective setup usually depends on the strategy and market conditions. What Are the Pivot Points’ R1, R2, and R3? R1, R2, and R3 are resistance levels above the central point. They represent increasingly stronger potential resistance zones where the price may stall or reverse. Which Is Better, Fibonacci or Camarilla? Fibonacci offers wider levels based on retracement ratios, useful in trending markets. Camarilla focuses on tighter reversal zones, which are mostly used for intraday strategies. Each suits different trading styles; neither is objectively better. *Important: At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency trading via CFDs is only available to our Professional clients. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. To find out more information about how this may affect you, please get in touch with our team. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
EUR/USD: Is the Next Big Correction Already Underway?EUR/USD: After 120 Days Up, Are We Entering a Year-Long Correction? What Market Cycles Reveal. As EUR/USD traders digest the stunning 120-day, five-wave rally from the January 2025 lows to the July 2025 highs, the big question now is—what's next? The clues are right in front of us, and they suggest we may be headed into an extended corrective phase, one that could last until the very start of 2026. What the Current Structure Shows Motive Wave Complete: The impulsive surge just wrapped up a textbook five-wave move, with each leg unfolding cleanly and culminating in a July top. Motive waves like this are the engines of market trends—fast-moving, decisive, and packed with momentum. Corrective Phase Incoming: But all trends eventually pause, and here the evidence points to a shift. Corrective waves—unlike their trending counterparts—are time-consuming, choppy, and have a tendency to frustrate impatient traders. The completed motive wave took just 120 days, but corrections often take much longer to play out. According to this chart, the probable timeline for this correction extends into December 2025, or possibly beyond. Why the Count Is Labelled This Way Wave Duration Clue: One of the most reliable Elliott Wave principles is that corrective phases outlast the sharp, high-energy motive moves that precede them. With the motive wave spanning four months, a comparable correction stretching into late 2025 makes perfect structural sense. Cycle Awareness, Major Turning Points, and MACD Divergence: Flip to the weekly turning points chart, and a deeper pattern emerges: Major EUR/USD direction changes consistently cluster around the start of a new year, with minor tops and bottoms often forming near mid-year. Over the last eight years, six out of seven major pivots have landed at those cycle pivots. Notably, if you look at the weekly chart’s MACD, there’s now a clear bearish divergence—while price clocked new highs into July, the MACD failed to confirm, rolling over and diverging lower. This kind of momentum divergence at a major turning point is classic for trend exhaustion and aligns perfectly with the idea that a correction is not only likely, but perhaps overdue. This powerful confluence—timing, price structure, and momentum—underscores just how much “cycle” and structure awareness can add to your trading playbook. What to Watch Next (Trade Planning) Timing the Correction: If the correction follows historical precedent, expect sideways or choppy price action well into Q4 2025, with the next big directional opportunity around the calendar turn into 2026. Cycle-Based Strategies: Recognising these cycles lets you prepare for reversals, especially if price is diverging from the MACD at those major timing windows. Structure > Prediction: The motive phase is where you ride the trend; cycles, structure, and momentum help you avoid exhaustion traps and see when patience is required.
Short
by TheSignalService
Euro Drops Hard — Is a 100-Pips Slide Toward 1.1500 Next?Euro’s current situation doesn’t look great — we’re clearly seeing strong selling pressure across the board. Price has now reached the block zones near 1.1600, and I want to break down what this area means to me. The lower pivot of the 1.1600 zone was created after the 50% level of the previous bullish leg was consumed — which is typical in many bullish trends. Based on that, we expected a move toward 1.1800 to break the structure and continue the uptrend. However, the recent bullish move lacked strength, which became quite clear during the last upward leg. And now, after that weak rally, we’re witnessing a sharp and aggressive selloff. This reaction weakens the 1.1600 block in my eyes — and I’m now watching 1.1500 as the more probable target. It’s a major price level and also aligns with a bank-level midline zone. In my view, it’s still too early to buy. I’d want to see price range and confirm before looking for longs. That said, this area could be a good place to partially exit short positions and lock in some profits. 🔁 This analysis will be updated whenever necessary. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just my personal opinion!!!
by Mehrasfx
EURUSD corrective pullback support at 1.1526The EURUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 1.1526 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 1.1526 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 1.1714 – initial resistance 1.1810 – psychological and structural level 1.1885 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 1.1526 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 1.1470 – minor support 1.1400 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the EURUSD holds above 1.1526. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
1
EUR/USD – Potential Reversal Ahead?| Daily Timeframe | Outlook (Published July 29, 2025) ⚠️ Setup Summary: This chart is highlighting a critical juncture for EUR/USD, where price is nearing a major decision zone. Based on price action and wave structure, there are two likely scenarios unfolding. Let’s break it down simple . EUR/USD has seen a strong bullish rally from March to July, but current price action suggests momentum exhaustion. Now, we’re watching for signs of a reversal or deeper correction in the coming weeks. 📊 Two Probable Scenarios: ✅ Case 1 – Simple Corrective Wave (ABC Pattern) Expected Move: Price may spike up into the 1.186–1.199 zone (final bull trap/liquidity grab) Followed by a sharp bearish move (impulse C wave) towards 1.10505 zone This reflects a clean correction before possible reaccumulation 📌 This is often seen after retail traders get caught chasing highs late in a move. --- ✅ Case 2 – Complex Corrective Wave (ABCDE Flat/Running Triangle) Expected Move: A longer, more sideways and choppy correction into Q1 2026 Price forms a distribution pattern under resistance After a breakout below the structure, a sharp drop to 1.10505 zone (or deeper) 📌 This is a slower bleed-out pattern before continuation lower. Often traps both buyers and sellers in the chop. --- 🎯 Current Price: 1.15756 We are in a decision zone, and watching the reaction around 1.165–1.186 will be crucial to validate either Case 1 or Case 2. --- 💡 My View: > Wait for confirmation at the 1.186 zone. If price rejects strongly from there, Case 1 is in play. 👈❤️ If price chops sideways and holds higher for weeks, expect Case 2 structure. --- 🚨 Reminder for Traders: Don’t chase moves — let the market show its hand Use proper risk management Combine this structure with session timing, liquidity sweeps, and fundamental events --- 💬 Drop a comment if you're seeing similar setups in other majors! 🧠 Follow for real-time updates & actionable setups. #EURUSD #ForexAnalysis #WaveTheory #SmartMoney #OrderBlock #LiquidityHunt #ForexStrategy #ElliottWave #PriceAction #FXTrader #TradingView ---
by Greenfireforex
1
EURUSD Under Pressure Ahead of U.S. CPI ReleaseIn line with the dollar’s hold, EURUSD is trading between 1.1580 support and 1.17 resistance, forming a bullish rebound from its 200+ pip drop in July. A clean hold above 1.17 may extend gains toward the 1.18 resistance, with further upside possible toward the 2021 highs — with key levels in sight at 1.20 and 1.24. On the downside, if the DXY recovery continues, EURUSD may face selling pressure below 1.1580, potentially pulling prices toward 1.1450 and 1.1380. A confirmed break of those levels could open the way for a deeper decline toward 1.12 and 1.11, where renewed bullish positioning may re-emerge. - Written by Razan Hilal
by FOREXcom
EURUSD Bullish Flag continuation support at 1.1544EURUSD Bullish Flag continuation support at 1.1544 The EURUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 1.1544 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 1.1544 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 1.1714 – initial resistance 1.1795 – psychological and structural level 1.1890 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 1.1544 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 1.1500 – minor support 1.1450 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the EURUSD holds above 1.1544 A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Day Ahead - Main focus US CPI Tuesday, 12 August – Key events Data: US: July CPI (main focus), NFIB small business optimism, federal budget balance, jobless claims change. UK: June average weekly earnings, unemployment rate. Japan: July M2, M3. Germany/Eurozone: August ZEW surveys, Germany June current account. Canada: June building permits. Central banks: Fed’s Barkin speaks. RBA: Cut cash rate by 25 bps to 3.60%. Earnings: CoreWeave – after market. Circle Internet Group – before market. On Holding – before market. CAVA – after market. Main watchpoints: US CPI will drive USD, bonds, and Fed rate-cut expectations. RBA cut highlights policy divergence. Earnings may move AI/cloud, crypto/payments, and consumer stocks. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation