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EURUSD trade ideas

EURUSD H4 | Bearish DropBased on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 1.0451, a pullback resistance. A rejection at this level could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 1.0372, an overlap that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. The stop loss is set at 1.05210, positioned above the previous swing high, providing sufficient room for fluctuations while ensuring the bearish setup remains valid. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
EUR/USD Rejects 1.0469 – Drop to 1.0399 or Reversal Ahead?EUR/USD Technical Analysis – February 19, 2025 The price is rejecting from the pivot line at 1.0469, confirming bearish momentum after failing to sustain above the key level. Technical Outlook Bearish Scenario: As long as the price trades below 1.0469, the downtrend remains valid, targeting 1.0399. A break below this level could extend losses toward 1.0367 and 1.0288. Bullish Scenario: To reverse the bearish momentum, EUR/USD must break back above 1.0469, which could trigger an upward move toward 1.0520 and 1.0605. Key Levels to Watch 🔹 Pivot Point: 1.0436 🔹 Resistance Levels: 1.0520, 1.0605 🔹 Support Levels: 1.0390, 1.0367, 1.0288 📉 Directional Bias: The price is expected to drop toward 1.0399 while trading below 1.0469. A break below 1.0399 confirms further downside movement. 💬 Will EUR/USD hold below 1.0469 for further downside, or reclaim the level for a reversal? Drop your thoughts! 👇🔥
Short
by SroshMayi
EUR/USD Heads into Swing Resistance EUR/USD has edged higher in recent sessions, but the pair is now pressing into a key resistance zone. Let’s break down why this level matters and how traders can navigate the next move. Testing the Waters: Is This a Breakout or a Range Play? After a sharp decline in late 2024, EUR/USD started the year with a strong rebound from trend lows in January. Those lows were retested in early February and held firm, setting the stage for last week’s steady gains. Now, the pair is challenging the late-January swing highs—an area that could determine the next phase of price action. This resistance zone is significant for three reasons. First, it aligns with the broader downtrend—despite the recovery, EUR/USD remains in a long-term bearish structure until it can break above a key swing high. A decisive move beyond this level could signal the start of a trend shift. Second, it coincides with the volume-weighted average price (VWAP) anchored to the highs before the downtrend began. VWAP often acts as a battleground between short-term momentum and long-term weakness—whether buyers can push through or sellers reassert control will be telling. The third, and perhaps most likely, scenario is that EUR/USD remains range-bound, with the early February bounce marking the lower boundary of consolidation. If resistance holds, traders may find opportunities to "play the range" by watching for lower timeframe rejection patterns within this key zone. For now, RSI is climbing but remains below overbought territory, leaving room for further upside if momentum persists. However, should resistance hold firm, the broader range-bound structure could remain in play, keeping EUR/USD trapped between these key technical levels. EUR/USD Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results EUR/USD Hourly Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
by Capitalcom
I'm buying EURUSDYesterday's buy closed at BE. The market was slow so I moved SL to BE. Trading with confluence really helps a lot as a trader. I bought EUR, and then after analyzing GBPUSD, I found out it should go lower before continuing higher if it is really in an uptrend; and it did that today. My only hesitation to this trade is time, I dont like trading EUR during asian session. Be that as it may, the trade will hit TP 1 @ 1.0510 before weekend. Now, if there is a run below my stop loss and I'm not around to post again, enter once more if you see any bullish confirmation. I dont think it will go below again, but I want you to be ready if it did. I want you to make money...
Long
by UGBOR
EUR/USD H4 Descending Triangle: Short Setup w/ 1:4RRThe EUR/USD is currently trading at 1.04306, showing a slight decline of -0.14% (-0.00148). The pair is forming a descending triangle pattern, which is typically a continuation pattern in a downward trend. Key Technical Levels: - Resistance: 1.04659 (Key resistance level) - Support: 1.03197 (Current support level/PWL) - Value Area: Marked on the chart showing price consolidation Pattern Analysis: The price action has formed a clear descending triangle with: - A flat bottom around 1.03197 - Declining tops, creating a downward sloping resistance line - Decreasing volume during consolidation (visible in the volume bars below) Indicator Analysis: 1. Volume Profile shows: - Major value area between 1.04475 and 1.03197 - Point of Control (POC) appears to be around 1.04423 - Decreasing volume suggesting potential breakout incoming Price Structure: - Currently trading below the PWH (Previous Week High) - Trading within the value area - Showing signs of bearish momentum with lower highs Short-term Outlook: Given the descending triangle formation and the position of key technical levels, the setup appears bearish. The following factors support this view: 1. Price is testing the lower boundary of the value area 2. Declining volume during consolidation 3. Unable to break above 1.04659 resistance 4. Formation of lower highs Trade Setup Parameters: - Entry Price: 1.04379 - Stop Loss: 1.04659 (280 ticks) - Take Profit: 1.03197 (1182 ticks) - Risk: 1.00% - Position Size: 0.5 lots - Account Size: 100,000 Risk/Reward Ratio: The setup offers approximately a 1:4.2 risk-to-reward ratio, which is favorable for a technical setup. Key Levels to Watch: - Break below 1.03197 could accelerate selling pressure - Break above 1.04659 would invalidate the bearish setup - SSL levels at 1.03198 and 1.04225 acting as additional reference points Caution: Traders should be aware of: - Potential weekend gaps as we're near market close - Any fundamental catalysts that could affect EUR/USD - The need for proper position sizing as indicated in the setup This analysis suggests a bearish bias with clear invalidation levels and a favorable risk-reward ratio. However, proper risk management and confirmation of breakout direction are essential before entering any position.
Short
by FXCapitalClub
UPDATE ON EUR/USDEUR/USD 1H - As you can see price clearly didn't need the Supply to the upside in order to carry on this journey correcting price lower. This isn't an issue for us it just means we wait for the right buy opportunity now to present itself. I want to see price come to clear the Demand Zone below and from there offer us the chance to get involved in this market in some long positions. In order for us to deem a valid entry we will need to see price clear the zone and break structure to the upside. A break in structure to the upside will confirm the end of the correction and the start of the next wave trading this market higher, once we have that fractal break to the upside we can then prepare for the long position. When we look to place the long position we will stick our SL below the zone we get involved from and our TP will be set just below the last higher timeframe high thats been set in the market.
Long
by Lukegforex
Martingale and Anti-Martingale Position Size Trading StrategiesMartingale and Anti-Martingale Position Size Trading Strategies Martingale and Anti-Martingale trading strategies are contrasting approaches to risk management. While one doubles down on potential losses to recover with a single effective trade, the other scales up on potentially effective trades and reduces positions when suffering losses. Both have their strengths and challenges, making them intriguing options for traders. In this article, we’ll break down how each strategy works, so you can decide which or none suits your trading style. What Is Martingale Trading? The Martingale trading strategy originated in the casino industry in the 18th century. In the 20th century, French mathematician Paul Pierre Levy introduced it into probability theory. Later, it was adapted for trading. At its core, the strategy involves doubling the size of a trade after every loss. The idea is simple: one eventual effective trade will offset previous losses and generate a net return. While it can seem appealing in theory, the Martingale method requires significant capital to sustain, as losses can quickly escalate. This makes it particularly risky in volatile markets or without strict loss limits. It’s most commonly used in lower-volatility settings where price movements might be easier to gauge, but even then, the financial risks should not be underestimated. How Martingale Works A Martingale algorithm works by increasing the size of a trade after every loss, aiming to recover all previous losses with one trade. Once an effective trade occurs, a trader returns to the original position size and repeats the process. Here’s an example: - You start by risking $10 on a trade. - If it’s a loss, you double the next trade size to $20. - If that trade also loses, you increase to $40 for the next trade. - Suppose this $40 trade is effective. It covers all previous losses ($10 + $20 = $30) and leaves a $10 return. - After this trade, you reset your trade size back to $10. This approach relies on the assumption that consecutive losses won’t continue indefinitely and that one effective trade will balance the account. However, if multiple losses occur, the required position size increases rapidly. For instance, after just six consecutive losses, the next trade would need to be $1260, with the total exposure already exceeding $1,000. Key Considerations When using the Martingale strategy, it’s crucial to weigh the risks and choose the right conditions for its application. Choosing the Right Market The Martingale strategy is popular in low-volatility markets, where prices are potentially less prone to extreme swings. Instruments like currency pairs with narrow trading ranges could be more suitable. Highly volatile assets can cause significant losses before a recovery. Assessing Capital Requirements The strategy demands a large capital reserve to sustain consecutive losses if they occur. Each losing trade doubles the position size, and costs can escalate quickly. Before using Martingale, traders check if their accounts have enough balance to absorb potential losses without hitting margin limits. Setting a Maximum Loss Limit To prevent devastating drawdowns, traders often establish a hard stop on the total amount they’re willing to lose. For instance, if your account is $10,000, you might set a cap at $1,000. Once reached, the strategy halts. This keeps losses manageable and avoids the risk of depleting the account entirely. What Is Anti-Martingale Trading? Anti-Martingale strategy, also known as the reverse Martingale strategy, uses the opposite approach. It involves halving the size of each position after a loss and doubling it after an effective trade. How Anti-Martingale Works The Anti-Martingale strategy takes the opposite approach to Martingale, adjusting position sizes based on the effectiveness of a trade rather than failure. After each trade where a trader gets returns, the position size is increased to capitalise on potentially favourable conditions. Following a losing trade, the position size is reduced to potentially minimise further losses. This method balances potential risks and rewards. Here’s an example to break it down: - You start by risking $10 on a trade. - If you get a return, you double the next position size to $20. - If you get a return again, you double the position to $40. - If the $40 trade loses, you halve your position size to $20 for the next trade. - After another loss, you halve the size again, returning to $10. This dynamic scaling should ensure that you could maximise returns during strong market trends while potentially limiting losses during weaker periods. For instance, if you got returns in three consecutive trades followed by two losses, you would end up with a net gain, as larger position sizes during effective trades offset smaller losses. However, the risks of the Anti-Martingale strategy include overexposure after effective trades, where larger positions can lead to significant losses if the market reverses, and undercapitalisation after losing trades, which makes recovery challenging. Key Considerations When using the Anti-Martingale strategy, careful planning and risk management are essential. Here are the key considerations to keep in mind: Choosing the Right Market The Anti-Martingale strategy is popular in trending markets. Traders could choose instruments like major currency pairs, indices, or commodities with clear directional movement. Choppy or range-bound markets are less popular for this strategy. Evaluating Capital Needs While this strategy typically requires less capital than Martingale due to its risk-reduction approach in the period of losing trades, you still need sufficient funds to navigate potential fluctuations. Having a comfortable buffer allows you to continue trading even after a series of losses. Setting a Loss Cap Establishing a maximum loss limit is critical to potentially protect a trader’s account. For example, if a trader risks a small percentage of their account on each trade, they might ensure that even scaled-down trades don’t exceed their overall risk tolerance. This might help them keep losses manageable and prevent overexposure. Comparing the Martingale and Anti-Martingale The Martingale strategy involves increasing position sizes after a loss, aiming to recover past losses and secure a net return with one trade. While this approach could deliver quick recoveries in low-volatility markets, it’s inherently risky. Consecutive losses can lead to exponentially larger trade sizes, depleting capital rapidly. Traders using Martingale need substantial account balances and strict loss limits to avoid catastrophic drawdowns. In contrast, the Anti-Martingale strategy focuses on increasing position sizes after a trader gets returns and reducing them after they experience losses. This method leverages favourable trends, allowing traders to maximise potential returns while limiting losses. However, this strategy leads to increasing exposure after effective trades, which can magnify losses, and potentially slow recovery due to reduced position sizes after losses. Is it worth combining Martingale and Anti-Martingale techniques? As these are opposite approaches, the theory states a trader should choose the one that meets their requirements. Start by defining your risk tolerance and trading objectives, and then adapt your strategy to changing market conditions. By doing this, you will understand whether it’s more important for you to increase potential returns or reduce potential risks. Pros and Cons of Each Strategy Both Martingale and Anti-Martingale strategies have unique advantages and challenges, making them suitable for different trading styles and risk profiles. Martingale Pros - Potential recovery with a single trade: One effective trade could recover all prior losses. - Simplifies decision-making: The fixed doubling method removes complexity in adjusting position sizes. - Popular in low-volatility markets: This strategy is popular in markets with generally lower volatility where extreme price swings are less likely. Martingale Cons - High capital requirements: Losses can snowball quickly, requiring significant funds to maintain positions. - Risk of large drawdowns: A long period of losing trades can wipe out an account without strict limits. - Unpopular for volatile markets: Extreme market movements make it even riskier. Anti-Martingale Pros - Risk management focus: Reducing position sizes after losses could limit potential drawdowns. - Popular in trend trading: Larger trades in solid trends could potentially maximise returns. Less demanding on capital: Scaling down after losses conserves funds. Anti-Martingale Cons - Less popular in sideways markets: Struggles in sideways or inconsistent market conditions. - Lower recovery potential: Halving position sizes after losses makes it harder to recover quickly. - Discipline-dependent: Requires precise execution to avoid over-adjusting positions. Final Thoughts Although both strategies have their own benefits and drawbacks, it’s vital to determine the most important aspects for yourself as there is no one-size-fits-all approach. Remember, trading is not just about strategy; it’s also about discipline, patience, and continuous learning. To develop your own trading approach, open an FXOpen account to trade with low commissions and tight spreads. FAQ What Is a Martingale Strategy? The Martingale strategy involves doubling the size of a trade after each loss, aiming to recover losses and secure potential returns with one trade. It’s high-risk and requires substantial capital to withstand potential losing trades. Does Martingale Strategy Work in Forex? Using the Martingale strategy in forex can work, especially in low-volatility currency pairs, but it bears high risks. Forex markets are volatile, and a series of losses can quickly escalate, requiring significant funds to continue trading. Is Martingale a Good Strategy? Martingale is not inherently good or bad—it depends on the trader’s risk tolerance and capital. While it offers recovery potential, the risks of large drawdowns or account depletion make it unsuitable for most. What Is the Alternative Martingale System? The Anti-Martingale strategy, or reverse Martingale, is a common alternative. It takes the opposite approach by increasing trade size after effective trades and reducing it after losses, focusing on capitalising on trends while minimising risks during downturns. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
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