EUR/USD – Symmetrical Triangle Breakout & Bullish Continuation🔍 Overview
The EUR/USD pair has presented a classic and high-probability trading setup based on a symmetrical triangle formation, which recently experienced a bullish breakout. This pattern has formed after a period of compression and consolidation, creating a coiled spring scenario. Technical traders often watch for such breakouts as they signal the resumption of momentum with clear entry, stop-loss, and target zones.
This chart combines pattern recognition, key price action levels, psychological curve mapping, and structured trade planning. Let’s dive deeper into each component.
🧱 1. Chart Structure and Pattern Analysis
🔷 Symmetrical Triangle Formation
A symmetrical triangle is a continuation pattern formed when price action contracts between two converging trendlines.
This represents market indecision — both buyers and sellers are cautious, gradually narrowing the price range.
In this setup, the triangle has been forming since May 11, 2025, with a visible tightening of price action.
The chart shows well-respected upper and lower trendlines, confirmed with multiple touches on both sides.
🔼 Breakout Confirmation
A breakout occurred from the triangle's upper boundary around May 19, with a strong bullish candle closing above the structure.
Breakouts from symmetrical triangles often lead to sharp movements due to built-up pressure during the consolidation phase.
The volume typically expands at breakout zones (although volume is not displayed, price behavior implies it).
🔁 Retesting Area
Price may revisit the broken trendline (previous resistance → now support) for a retest before continuing higher.
This "retesting area" provides an ideal entry for those who missed the initial breakout.
Retests validate the breakout and confirm buyer strength.
🧱 2. Key Levels and Market Dynamics
🔻 Minor Resistance Zone (~1.13700–1.14100)
This zone has previously acted as a supply area where sellers pushed price down multiple times.
Price may hesitate or range within this area before breaking higher.
If bulls maintain control, breaking through this resistance zone will add confirmation to the bullish momentum.
📈 Target Projection: 1.14662
The target is derived by measuring the height of the triangle and projecting it from the breakout point.
It also aligns with a previous horizontal resistance level and psychological round number area.
This zone could act as a medium-term profit-taking level for swing traders.
🧠 3. Black Mind Curve – Market Psychology in Play
The "Black Mind Curve" is a representation of anticipated market sentiment and price flow.
It reflects a wave-like journey post-breakout — early breakout, pullback, bullish continuation, minor consolidation, and final push toward the target.
Such curves are used to forecast crowd behavior patterns, capturing how traders typically react post-breakout:
📌 Initial breakout ➜ Profit taking ➜ Retest ➜ Re-entry ➜ Final impulsive move.
🧮 4. Trading Strategy & Execution Plan
✅ Trade Setup
Entry:
Breakout Entry (already active)
OR Retest Entry near the triangle’s upper boundary for conservative traders.
Stop-Loss (SL) :
Placed just below the triangle’s lower boundary at 1.11726.
This level invalidates the breakout and prevents deeper drawdowns.
Take-Profit (TP):
Final target at 1.14662, offering excellent risk-to-reward potential.
📊 Risk-to-Reward Ratio:
Depending on the entry (breakout or retest), the RR can range from 1:2.5 to 1:3.5, which is ideal for swing or short-term position traders.
📚 5. Educational Insight
This pattern illustrates the importance of:
Price compression zones (triangles and wedges) as precursors to momentum trades.
Confirmation via breakout candles before entering high-conviction setups.
Patience during retests, which allow re-entries with defined risk and improved pricing.
Blending technical structure with psychological forecasting to stay aligned with market sentiment.
🔚 Conclusion
EUR/USD is showing a technically sound and psychologically supportive setup for bullish continuation. The symmetrical triangle has broken with strength, and price is heading toward key resistance with momentum.
If you're already long — consider holding until the target is hit or trailing stops to protect profits. If you're not in yet — watch for a retest to join the move with precision.
🔔 Always remember to manage risk effectively. No setup is guaranteed, but trading based on structure, confluence, and price behavior improves your edge
EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD BUY 📈 EUR/USD NY Session Plan – May 20
Price pushing into key supply zone
🟪 Watch 1.12830 – 1.13100 closely
📌 2 short setups prepared:
🔻 Option A Entry: 1.12839
🎯 TP: 1.12488
🛑 SL: 1.12940
🔻 Option B Entry: 1.13101
🎯 TP: 1.12588
🛑 SL: 1.13269
💬 Forecast only. Waiting for NY open reaction.
⏰ Let price spike first —
Don’t short early. Watch 15M candle rejection or M5 engulf inside the zone before pulling trigger.
EUR/USD Set for Bullish Continuation: Key Levels to WatchEUR/USD shows strong bullish momentum across all timeframes, signaling a potential continuation rally. On the daily chart, the pair remains above key EMAs (55, 89, 200), with support near 1.1100 and resistance at 1.1228 and 1.1400. The RSI suggests consolidation, but overall structure favors the bulls.
The hourly chart confirms a fresh bullish breakout above the 200 EMA at 1.1215, supported by increased volume and a rising RSI. Price action suggests a retest of the 1.1190–1.1215 zone as a buying opportunity.
On the 15-minute chart, EUR/USD is overbought short-term, but momentum remains strong. A pullback into the 1.1190–1.1200 zone could offer low-risk scalping entries targeting 1.1225–1.1240.
The week-ahead plan favors dip-buying strategies. Initial targets are 1.1250 and 1.1300, with stops below 1.1180. A close above 1.1228 on the daily chart would confirm room for broader upside. Manage risk with staggered entries and hard stops.
EURUSD: Weekly overviewThe indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
These points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
After reacting to the following zones, you can enter the trade. Place the stop loss slightly above/below the zone to which the reaction was shown. The profit point is the next zone.
The drawn channels and their medians can also be considered as moving support and resistance. I usually use them as target points.
* Zones are not disturbed in this analysis.
This analysis is valid until the end of the week.
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Important news that could change the direction of the trade:
Monday: EURO CPI of April
Friday: German GDP
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We all now Trump tries to weaken USD to improve US trade efficiency, but all of these efforts might have reversal effects in short-term movements.
Best Regards
Long?Here is the translation of the Russian text into English:
"In the context of the reaction to the internal BSL, the price made a raid on the internal SSL within the H4 FVG, so with a higher probability, the price will move towards the H4 FVG as an FTA and a decision point, which will determine the further context of price movement. In case of its inversion, the idea of price movement towards targets in the premium zone will be validated."
EURUSD, Position TradeStill holding a bullish bias on EURUSD.
Price has respected the Monthly Orderblock from Jan 1st, 2001 and has continued to show strength, rejecting the lows and pushing higher. The market has cleared the Sellside liquidity and is now drawing toward Buyside Liquidity and the Fair Value Gap (FVG) above.
We are still within the accumulation and expansion phase based on the ICT AMD (Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution) framework. As long as price holds above the Major Institutional Level (1.1000), I remain long-biased targeting the FVG and higher Buystops.
DXY remains bearish, further supporting this bias.
EUR/USD 1H analysis🧱 Supply and Demand Zones
Supply Zones (Red/Orange boxes):
1.13996 - 1.13812: Major untested supply; strong selling pressure expected.
1.12930 - 1.12658: Cluster of supply zones; significant resistance area.
1.12281 - 1.12198: Recently formed supply, tested once.
1.11704 - 1.11645: Currently active supply zone; price just rejected this level.
Demand Zone (Blue box):
1.10653: Strong demand zone from previous swing low; price bounced significantly here on May 13.
🔍 Trend and Price Action
Trend: Short-term bearish.
Price has made lower highs and lower lows.
A large bearish impulse drop occurred between May 13 and 14.
Minor consolidation is forming after the recent drop.
Current Price: Around 1.11614 — just below a supply zone (1.11704 - 1.11645) and under the influence of selling pressure.
Recent Reaction:
The price attempted to move up but was rejected at the supply zone.
Now pulling back and potentially targeting lower demand levels.
🔄 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
1.11704 - 1.11645 (Immediate)
1.12281
1.12800
Support:
1.10653 (Major Demand)
Intermediate minor supports may form during the descent.
📈 Potential Scenarios
Bearish Continuation:
Price may continue lower towards the demand zone at 1.10653.
If this level breaks, it could lead to further downside, possibly forming new demand.
Bullish Reversal:
If price breaks and holds above 1.11704, the next test could be the 1.12198 - 1.12281 supply zone.
Bullish confirmation would require breaking 1.12930 with strength.
🧠 Summary
Market structure favors short-term bears.
Strong supply zones are capping upside.
The key demand at 1.10653 is the next potential support.
Traders may look for short entries near supply and long opportunities near demand, depending on confirmation and context.
Pair: USD/EUR (U.S. Dollar vs Euro)🔻 Trade Type: Short (Sell Setup)
Current Price: 0.8956
Timeframe: 30-Minute Chart
🔍 Technical Setup
Pattern: Rising wedge / triangle near resistance → bearish breakout potential
Entry Point: Just below 0.8965–0.8956, after rejection from triangle resistance (yellow circle)
Structure:
Lower high near resistance zone (0.8984)
Price forming a tightening range with potential to break down
🎯 Targets & Stop-Loss
Take-Profit (TP):
TP1: 0.8927 (support zone)
TP2: 0.8888 (major support level)
Stop-Loss (SL):
Above resistance: 0.8984
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward (R:R):
Estimated R:R: ~2:1 or better
Good risk control by placing SL just above the recent spike
🧠 Trade Logic
Strong resistance at 0.8984 held firm
Price rejected from top of the wedge
Clear path to retest lower support zones
Consolidation breakout setup favors bears if breakdown confirms
How to Control FOMO in Trading – ARX Mindset ShiftFOMO is one of the most destructive emotions for traders.
The ARX approach is all about patience, precision, and planning:
✅ Wait for your setup, not your emotions
✅ Trust your system, not the hype
✅ A missed trade is better than a rushed loss
Trade like a sniper, not a follower.
Master your mindset, and the market becomes clearer.
– ARX | Price & Time
EURUSD: Move Down Expected! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 1.11983 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 1.11888.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD May 15 Trade Executed EURUSD
May 15 Trade Executed
Trade Logic
Bias for Asia/London hunting for a buy day to equal highs/retracement of NY delivery
*sell side liquidity taken closing NY
*deep discount for ET
*small consolidation before reversing creating equal highs coming into Asia
*Asia expands to buy side up into FVG target and consolidates
*cross referenced heavily on DXY and GBP for confirmation on directional bias
NOTE:To be honest I traded the Asia expansion trade. I am back testing and instead of trusting my full idea I got scared out due to a consolidation cycle. I did not give up and came back for London to analyze my buy day idea.
Elements of Model 2022
*Fake swing at 1
*minor liquidity taken
*1:24 4 candle formation
*1:36 swing high candle
*1:45 candle lowers to a 20:24 first presented FVG candle
*1:54 energetic displacement to the up side/swing high broken
2:03 entered
2:57 exited with my TP being activated
It was a long day to get this trade. Analysis at 5 am and learning how my pre market brain is the clearest. If I can learn to trust and enter with no fear.
I suspected that the 2 Macro would be a fake run to stops when the liquidity was taken at 3 my mental capital was done. Key liquidity is a high probability trade set up, this is not greed speaking it me celebrating my morning analysis delivering. I am working on Asia to London trades.
Very happy very pleased with price action.
EURUSD is completing a triangleEURUSD is completing a triangle. This triangle is wave b of a zigzag correction that followed a 5-wave pattern. This 5-wave pattern is actually wave A. After the zigzag completes at point C, which I marked with a red arrow, wave B ends and I expect a 5-wave upward wave C.
EURUSD Consolidating?EURUSD: this pair is currently consolidating, I wouldn't recommend being involved in these types of ranging markets.
I'm waiting for clear break and /or confirmation of direction, since price failed to break recent lower fractal lows, this tells me it will likely sweep recent highs, (marked with red line) before short continuation.
To enter that trade we will wait for lower timeframe ChoCh (change of character) then enter on retracement
Two target/Take Profit Levels on EUR/USDDaily EURUSD still below the 10EMA, so I am bearish. Levels as you can see at the below dashed ray lines (1.11464 and 1.11156) looking to take profit on the short at these points and reverse into a buy for a quick day trade/scalp.
First level reached has confluence as a previous resistance and a fair value gap (still not convinced on the validity of these).
Lower level has also been a previous resistance creating a weak high on 3rd April. 2025.
EURUSD Calmly coming to my zone while i wait After Filling The Gap, and hitting the 4hrs supply zone. i was able to scoop out a 2RR trade from this week
Now, i have a projection for next week trade. which is, buying at the demand zone.
i can see a lot of Fvgs or imbalances but i prefer waiting for them to be filled and hit my demand zone. Have a great weekend and remember to keepitsimple FX:EURUSD
EURO/USD It aims to capture a high-probability reversal
Chart Analysis Overview:
Market Structure:
The overall market appears to have formed a support zone at the lower end and a resistance zone at the upper range.
A prior bullish move led to a Fair Value Gap (FVG), highlighted as an area of potential institutional interest.
Fair Value Gap (FVG):
The FVG is marked as an imbalance area where price moved impulsively, suggesting unfilled orders. Traders might anticipate a return to this zone before resuming a trend.
Resistance & Liquidity:
A clear resistance level is established, followed by price consolidation and a sweep of liquidity (marked just before a drop). This implies potential stop hunts or liquidity grabs by smart money before a market reversal.
Entry & Target Zones:
The chart suggests a long (buy) trade setup:
Entry Zone: Highlighted in a pink box, where price is expected to retrace to.
Target Zone: Defined by the blue box, indicating the projected price level based on prior structure and liquidity objectives.
Trade Concept:
After a liquidity sweep and structure break, the market is expected to form a higher low before moving toward the upside target. This is a typical smart money reversal setup, where price reclaims levels post-manipulation.
Time & Date:
The most recent activity is timestamped around May 6, 2025, suggesting the trader is monitoring a current or upcoming setup.
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Conclusion:
This chart represents a well-structured smart money concept strategy on EUR/USD. The setup involves key elements like liquidity sweeps, FVGs, and support/resistance dynamics. It aims to capture a high-probability reversal after institutional manipulation, using refined entry and exit zones based on market inefficiencies and order flow behavior.