EURUSD – Tuesday, June 3rd, 2025🔹 Overview:
EURUSD has now broken above 1.14149, confirming the next bullish leg. The daily chart shows clear momentum with a possibility of a clean retest before continuation.
🔹 Current Structure:
Daily bullish breakout confirmed
Previous high at 1.14149 now flips to potential support
Bullish channel forming with room to expand toward next resistance
🔹 Key Levels:
✅ Safe Buys: 1.14149 (already triggered)
🔁 Retest Zone: 1.14149
🔓 Safest Buys: Break above 1.16020
🎯 Main Target: 1.18791
📌 Plan:
Retest of 1.14149 = re-entry opportunity
Momentum-based buys above 1.16020 toward 1.18791
Maintain bullish bias unless 1.14149 fails
🔸 Bias: Bullish
🔸 Outlook: Medium-to-long-term continuation
EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD Update – Exceptional Long Entry As mentioned in our previous post, we were waiting for price to react from one of the key demand zones:
🔹 1.12250 – 1.12500
🔹 1.1190 – 1.12060
✅ We entered a long position on the 3-minute timeframe after getting a personal confirmation trigger.
The result? An exceptional entry with a minimum of 100 pips profit so far.
📍 Now it's time to secure profits and wait for the next structure to form.
We’ve been patiently waiting all week for price to hit this area – and it played out perfectly.
Great execution! ✅
Keep in touch!
EURUSD - Swing Short Potential OpportunityEURUSD may potentially retest the previous high and trade between fib extension levels 38.2% and then range potentially in that level before pushing higher to the 61.8% extension level retesting and breaking out for a liquidity grab and stop hunt for retails before pushing back down trending back to the mean and retesting previous floor. The 1.1550 & 1.1650 are key historic levels where there has been lots of EURUSD previous action. Expect price to bounce around these areas and trap longs what I think has a high probability of happening per my prediction.
Tips on Counting Waves: Keep It Simple🔍 The Foundation: Motive vs. Corrective Waves
Every price move can be classified into one of two types:
Motive waves (which move in the direction of the trend)
Corrective waves (which move against it)
From there, we break it down into five core patterns:
Impulse
Ending Diagonal
Zigzag
Flat
Triangle
Each has its own rules and guidelines—but don't get overwhelmed. You don’t need to memorize everything before getting started.
🛠️ Chart Labeling Tips for Beginners
When you're looking at a new price chart (especially a forex chart), here are some practical steps to follow:
Start from an extreme — either a major high or low. That gives you the cleanest structure.
Look for clarity — big, strong moves are usually motive waves. Choppy sideways moves are usually corrections.
Use higher timeframes — if you’re planning to hold long-term, weekly or monthly charts in log scale are most helpful.
Avoid complexity at first — don’t start by labeling patterns like expanding diagonals or triple zigzags. Stick with the basics: 5’s and 3’s.
Remember wave tendencies — Wave 3 is usually the strongest and longest wave in a motive structure. In commodities, though, Wave 5 is more commonly extended.
Look for Wave 3 as a clue — One of the biggest clues when trying to figure out where you are in the Elliott Wave structure is to find Wave 3. It typically has a strong, impulsive character and stands out clearly on the chart. Once you’ve spotted Wave 3, it becomes much easier to build the rest of the count around it.
⚠️ Don’t Force the Count
If the structure isn't clear, don’t try to label it anyway just for the sake of having a count. Trading when the chart is unclear is like driving 100 km/h in heavy fog.
💡 If you can’t count it, don’t trade it.
When you do spot a clean 5-wave move, it often implies that a correction will follow—usually into the area of the previous 4th wave. That’s a high-probability area to watch for setups.
Here’s an example of a clean 5-wave move up. You can clearly see:
Wave 1: Initial surge
Wave 2: Pullback
Wave 3: Strongest move (often extended)
Wave 4: Sideways correction
Wave 5: Final push
🤯 Avoid the “Alice in Wonderland” Trap
Don’t fall down the rabbit hole of switching between timeframes endlessly:
Weekly → Daily → 1H → 15m → 5m → 1m... and still confused.
Take a step back. Zoom out. Look at the shape, the rhythm. The story becomes clearer.
🧩 Patterns Are Probabilities, Not Predictions
Just because a pattern could be something complex doesn’t mean it should be labeled that way. Always ask:
Is it probable, or just possible?
Occam’s Razor applies here: the simplest explanation is usually the best one.
🔺 Reminder About Triangles
If you see sideways, contracting price action near the end of a move, chances are it’s a triangle.
Triangles precede the final wave in a sequence.
Don’t try to get clever and label skewed or complex variations unless you have strong confirmation.
🧠 Final Takeaways
Keep it simple: start with 5s and 3s.
Focus on clear impulse and correction structures.
Don’t trade what you can’t confidently label.
Wave 3 is your guidepost—if you can spot it, the rest often falls into place.
Complexity comes with experience—but you don’t need it to trade effectively.
Euro Eyes Bullish Breakout Amid ECB Policy UncertaintyTargets:
- T1 = $1.1500
- T2 = $1.1650
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $1.1200
- S2 = $1.1100
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Euro.
**Key Insights:**
The Euro is currently positioned at a pivotal technical level, with the possibility of a bullish breakout brewing. The European Central Bank (ECB)'s looming policy decisions add a layer of unpredictability, but the overall sentiment points to optimism. Robust economic performance in Germany — driven by improving industrial production and resilient consumer demand — provides a strong fundamental backdrop, while cooling inflationary data from Spain and France bolster investor confidence. On the technical front, key resistance levels are being tested with upward momentum, signaling potential upside in the weeks ahead.
**Recent Performance:**
The pair has demonstrated strong resilience above the $1.13 level amidst last week’s fluctuating global macroeconomic environment. Notable strength in European equity indices, such as a +0.81% rise in the STOXX 600, has also provided an indirect boost to the Euro’s valuation. This bullish sentiment is further supported by diminishing uncertainty around the U.S. debt ceiling resolution, which reduces safe-haven demand for the dollar.
**Expert Analysis:**
Technical analysts emphasize the bullish continuation pattern visible on daily charts, with RSI improving and MACD trending upwards. A break above $1.14 could solidify the bullish trend, paving the way for the Euro to challenge the $1.15 and $1.165 resistance levels. Additionally, economists speculate that the ECB may hold rates steady or offer a modest increase during its next policy meeting, creating a recipe for Euro appreciation against the U.S. Dollar in tandem with dovish Fed expectations.
**News Impact:**
Upcoming ECB discussions remain a core short-term driver for EUR/USD movements. The potential for dovish commentary may create initial volatility, although market participants seem to be pricing in a steady view on rates in the near term. Additionally, the recent announcement of increased European clean energy investments — coupled with surging demand across green initiatives — is expected to add to the Euro’s strength by bolstering cross-border capital inflows.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Given the bullish technical setup, strong fundamental backdrop, and macroeconomic drivers supporting the Euro, traders should consider a long position. The current price action suggests an attractive entry point, with upside potential extending towards $1.15 and $1.165. Employing the recommended stop-loss levels at $1.12 and $1.11 will ensure risk management is effectively balanced in case of market reversals.
POST NEWS TRADING (EUR USD) - MAY 2025this is the back test result of post news trading of may 2025
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strategy summary: after high impact news (find at economic calendar) we wait for first 15 min candle to be closed then we put buy stop and sell stop at high and low of the candle . one order cancels other as soon as one is hit.
sl would be one hour atr and tp 1.5 times that,
exceptions: we don't trade if there is another news within an hour ...
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cautions : although there is a promising result but its not the holy grail and it can have different out comes based on the pair and the month , every month the market can change and show different attitude ..
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📊 Statistical Summary:
Number of trades: 12
Winning trades: 9
Losing trades: 3
Win rate: 75%
Total pips:
246 pips
Average pips per trade:
20.5 pips
Max gain: 60 pips
Max loss: -18 pips
Bulls are strong and may continue to push the market into a bullPrimary Bullish Scenario (Red Arrow Path 1):
Price retraces slightly.
Finds support around the current zone or slightly lower (1.139–1.140).
Then resumes upward movement, targeting above 1.14566.
2. Alternative Bullish Scenario (Red Arrow Path 2):
Deeper retracement toward the yellow demand zone (~1.13700).
Strong bullish bounce expected from there.
Suggests liquidity grab before continuation.
Market next move 🔻 Disruptive Bearish Analysis:
🧱 1. Failed Breakout Attempt
Price is hovering at resistance but showing indecisive candles (small bodies, wicks on both sides).
This hints at buyer exhaustion rather than breakout momentum.
📉 2. Bearish Divergence (Possible)
If momentum indicators (e.g., RSI or MACD—not shown here) are diverging from price, it could signal a reversal.
Price rising while momentum flattens or drops suggests a fakeout is likely.
🕳️ 3. Liquidity Grab Trap
The chart may show a classic “bull trap”:
Price broke resistance briefly but quickly fell back.
This signals institutional liquidity grab, possibly before a downward push.
🔽 4. Volume Imbalance
The spike in volume earlier may be followed by decreasing bullish volume, indicating weak follow-through.
Sellers could take over if bulls can’t sustain pressure.
EURUSD IDEAHere the price has shown upward momentum but there is the strong supply zone UP and also demand zone below from where we look for confirmation entry .
at the moment the price is at sell area which is probably in higher risk then the provided area of our iterest.
please follow and subscibe to support me .
EUR/USD – Bullish Breakout Setting Up? | H1 Analysis by WaverVan🔍 Technical Outlook
The Euro is showing signs of bullish continuation following a clean reclaim of the equilibrium zone (1.13226), backed by strong volume and impulsive structure. We’ve now entered a high-probability decision zone just beneath a Premium Supply Block (1.1375–1.1400).
📌 Key Technical Confluences
🔺 Fair Value Gap (FVG) Filled with price pushing into premium
📉 Previous Break of Structure (BoS) followed by a Change of Character (CHoCH) confirms bullish intent
🌀 Fib Cluster (0.786 - 1.0) rejection turned into support
📈 Volume Surge on bullish engulfing confirms strong interest at 1.1260–1.1320 (Discount Zone)
🧠 Smart Money likely targeting Liquidity above Weak High @ 1.14329
📐 Target Zones
🎯 Short-Term TP1: 1.14329 (Liquidity above weak high)
🎯 TP2: 1.15009 (1.618 Fib Extension)
🛑 Invalidation: Break below 1.13226 equilibrium structure
🧮 Probabilities
📊 Bullish Continuation: ~68% based on confluences and volume thrust
📉 Rejection at Premium Zone (1.1400–1.1430): ~32% if DXY strengthens or macro reverses
🌐 Macro Context
ECB remains relatively dovish while USD shows temporary weakness
Market pricing mild Fed easing later in the year, creating tailwinds for EUR
Watch Friday's NFP for volatility risk
📢 Trader Guidance
⚠️ If price retests 1.1355–1.1370 and holds, aggressive longs targeting 1.1432+ are justified.
📉 Protect against reversal near 1.1400–1.1430 zone.
📆 Swing traders: Consider trailing stop once 1.14329 is tagged.
📍Posted by WaverVanir International LLC
Pushing financial insight through technical intelligence
#EURUSD #Forex #SmartMoney #SMC #Fibonacci #VolumeProfile #WaverVanir #TradingStrategy #LiquidityZones #Breakout
EURUSD is moving within the 1.12265 - 1.14380 range👀 Possible scenario:
The euro (EUR) rose 0.29% on June 2 as renewed trade tensions, sparked by Trump’s plan to double steel and aluminum tariffs from June 4, weighed on market sentiment. Beijing denied Trump's claims of a trade agreement breach, dimming hopes for near-term diplomacy.
Markets now eye a possible Trump-Xi meeting and upcoming U.S. economic data, including the ISM Manufacturing PMI at 2:00 p.m. UTC and Friday’s jobs report. These releases could drive volatility and shape expectations for the U.S. dollar.
✅ Support and Resistance Levels
Now, the support level is located at 1.12265.
Resistance level is located at 1.14380.
EURUSD Short June 2, 2025EURUSD Sell – June 2, 2025
Bearish narrative across the board. HTF aligned with daily OB + D trend, plus clear liquidity sitting at previous weekly and daily highs.
On LTF, we had clean 15m bearish structure forming during Asia, and price tapped into the HTF OB during London open, rejecting from session high.
Entry was based on tap (0.5% Risk) and will reenter with another 0.5% after 1m BOS.
Partials taken at 1:3 RR, with final TP set at Asia low for full move.
EURUSD Trade Executed June 2 EURUSD Trade Executed
June 2
4 hour chart logic
Last week Price takes sell side Wednesday. Thursday expands to the buy side stepping up from the 70 OTE. Friday was retracement to the 50 level. When price bounced off the 50 in the NY sliver bullet I suspected that we could see higher prices coming into Monday.
Minute chart logic
20:00 Asia expands immediately into a FVG and minor buy side. Admittedly I took a bad short thinking it was going to the equal lows.
*cross referenced DXY after evaluation of the higher time frame range that it would drop to its equal lows, while GBP would also rally to the equal highs
Hunting for an expansion signal
23:20 creates a swing high
23:30 Price swing low and comes back to its opening price of Asia right into a first presented FVG
*Price creates a tiny FVG
*23:55 taps the FVG and takes off
*price goes into a small consolidation
*1:00 price takes off
*1:10 I wanted to enter but froze waited for the next macro
1:50 entered
3:25 exited target of equal highs hit
I really relied on the higher time range that price would seek last Monday’s high to complete the range and for DXY to make its low.
I can see it so clearly on the 1 hour and 4 hour charts price narrative and why ICT coaches to manage bias from here. Hindsight I am desiring to trade the days range and sticking to my bias with understanding the what cycle price is in. EX Friday closes in a consolidation cycle expansion is next. Asia expansion for the win.
To be honest this trade feels like chasing price. Probably cause it is!
To study it feels better than the pips in my account.
*Price was in a premium-rule broken in taken this trade-but narrative was there
*Analysis was built from 4 hour which I m getting used to trusting-narrative was buy side was the target after taking sell side last week
*I expected a pull back from Sundays delivery, did not happen, barely made it to the 50 previous range
*Price pulling back to the 50 on Friday was key to a expansion buy today
4 hour chart is king is todays take away!
EUR/USD Hits Key Supply Zone! Pullback Loading?The bulls just slammed into a strong intraday supply zone (1.1415 – 1.1422), with signs of exhaustion showing near the highs. Liquidity sweep completed — are we set for a reversal?
🔵 Volume Profile shows a high-volume rejection.
📉 Previous aggressive drop from this zone adds confluence.
🔔 Multiple red news events ahead — brace for spikes and volatility.
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🧠 Smart Money Insight
This price action fits the liquidity grab + reversal pattern we’ve seen often during news-heavy weeks. Institutions may be unloading longs here — setting up for a quick 1.1323 or 1.1227 test.
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📌 Key Levels to Watch
🔵 Supply Zone (Short-Term): 1.1415 – 1.1422 (Already reacting)
🟦 Mid Support: 1.1323 → Former resistance flip
🟫 Demand Zone (Buy Area): 1.1227 → Deep value zone if bearish move continues
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🧪 Trade Setup Ideas
> Scalp Short Setup
📍 Entry: 1.1415 – 1.1422
🎯 TP1: 1.1323
🎯 TP2: 1.1227
❌ SL: 1.1435
> Aggressive Buy Plan (if price drops fast)
📍 Entry: 1.1230 – 1.1250
🎯 TP: 1.1320 – 1.1350
❌ SL: 1.1205
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📰 Event Watch
📌 EUR & USD have back-to-back high-impact events over the next 48 hours. Expect rapid moves — stay nimble or wait for confirmation candles.
Potential Short Setup Within a Bullish Context
It seems that EURUSD has formed nested setups, indicating potential short-term bearish movement. Signs point to a possible short setup targeting the 4H order block. However, since this move would go against the prevailing higher-timeframe trend, the probability of it playing out might be lower.
🔍 My Trading Approach:
My trading approach is built around price imbalances and liquidity. I focus on aligning entries with session timings, identifying daily bias and key liquidity levels, and using tools like FVGs for precise execution.
🎯 Profit-Taking Rule:
I usually secure profits once price has moved at least 1.5× the stop-loss distance in my favor
EUR/USD 1-Hour Timeframe – Long Position Setup
Entry Point: Initiate a long position slightly below 1.13513.
Stop-Loss Range: Set between 1.13056 and 1.13041 to manage risk.
Target Levels:
Primary Target: A breakout above 1.13822.
Secondary Target: A potential retest of 1.14304.
Important Note:
Avoid entering a long position if the price falls below 1.13056, as this may indicate a bearish reversal.
Tags: OANDA:EURUSD
EURUSD – Monday, June 2, 2025Current Outlook:
• Price is climbing slowly back toward our 1.14149 safe buy zone
• The secondary bullish structure is still holding cleanly
• No invalidations — bias remains bullish
📍 Buy Zones:
✅ HRHR Buys: Triggered at 1.12372
🔜 Safe Buys: Above 1.14149
🛡️ Safest Buys: Break and close above 1.16020
⚠️ Structure Notes:
We’ve respected both bullish trendlines so far
Daily candle formation is constructive — watching for a clean daily or 4H close near 1.14149 to trigger safe buys
🎯 Targets:
Intraday: 1.1500 zone
Swing: 1.16020 and beyond