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EURUSD trade ideas

EURUSD InsightHello, subscribers! It's great to see you all. Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - U.S. President Trump signed an order imposing a 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico starting on the 4th and an additional 20% tariff on China, including an extra 10%. - At an informal summit chaired by U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer, major European nations decided to promote the "Coalition of Willing," a security consultative body aimed at expanding defense spending. - China's Two Sessions (the National People's Congress and the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference) will be held starting on the 4th, with attention focused on whether a large-scale fiscal stimulus plan will be included. Major Economic Events This Week + March 5: U.S. February ADP Non-Farm Employment Change + March 6: ECB Interest Rate Decision + March 7: U.S. February Non-Farm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate, Fed Chair Powell's Speech EUR/USD Chart Analysis Recently, the price faced resistance around the 1.05000 level, leading to a significant pullback. However, after successfully rebounding, it is now attempting to break through the resistance once again. The likelihood of a breakout in this upward move appears very high, and if successful, further gains toward the 1.08000 level can be expected.
Long
by shawntime_academy
EUR/USD 1H Analysis: EMA 200 Retest & Fibonacci Pullback – Key LKey Observations: Ascending Wedge Breakout & Price Surge The price broke out of a wedge pattern (green shaded area) with strong bullish momentum. A strong rally led to a new local high (~1.0489). Fibonacci Retracement Levels The price is pulling back from the high, and Fibonacci retracement levels are marked. Key levels to watch: 0.618 (1.04385) – Strong support 0.5 (1.04238) – Moderate support 0.382 (1.04091) – First level of reaction EMA 200 Retest (~1.04467) The 200 EMA (blue line) is acting as dynamic support. The expectation (noted on the chart) is that price may touch or react at the EMA 200. If it holds, it could trigger another bullish push. If it breaks below EMA 200, further downside toward Fib 0.618 or 0.786 retracement is possible. Potential Bearish Rejection (Red Arrows) The red arrows suggest a possible lower high formation, meaning the price could reject from EMA 200 and start a deeper drop. Volume Analysis Increasing volume suggests strong participation. If volume remains high near EMA 200, we might see a breakout or a strong bounce. Potential Trade Scenarios: Bullish Case (Buy Trade) If price holds above EMA 200 (~1.04467) and forms a bullish reaction, a long trade could target: First target: 1.0489 (previous high). Second target: 1.0500+ (psychological level). Stop Loss: Below 1.0435 (below Fib 0.618). Bearish Case (Sell Trade) If price fails at EMA 200 and forms a lower high, it could drop toward: First target: 1.0430 (Fib 0.5). Second target: 1.0409 (Fib 0.382). Third target: 1.0390 (Fib 0.236). Stop Loss: Above 1.0460 (above EMA 200). Conclusion: EMA 200 is the key level to watch. Bullish bias above EMA 200; Bearish bias below. If EMA 200 holds, buying could be a good strategy. If it fails, further downside is expected. Would you like a precise trade setup based on this? 🚀
by KingProTrader
EURUSD: Awaiting a Deeper Correction for Optimal EntryOn the 15-minute chart, it looks like we have completed the first wave, and we are now in a corrective phase. However, this correction, despite reaching the level of the previous 4th wave, has not yet retraced 38.2% on the Fibonacci scale. For an optimal entry, it would be preferable for the correction to extend slightly deeper, ideally reaching the 50-61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels, as indicated by the arrows. This would provide a more structured setup before considering new positions.
Short
by The_Traders_Memoirs
EUR/USD: Bearish Momentum Builds Ahead of Key Data📆 Market Analysis (March 3, 2025) – European and US Trading Session At the time of writing, OANDA:EURUSD is trading around 1.04040, facing bearish pressure after failing to sustain recent rebounds. Traders are closely monitoring upcoming economic releases and geopolitical developments, which may significantly impact market sentiment. 📊 Technical Analysis: Price Action & Indicators 1. Daily Chart (D1) – Macro Trend Perspective 📉 Bearish Bias: The daily timeframe shows a clear downtrend, with a lower-high structure intact. 🔥 Key Resistance: 1.0500 – 1.0550 (strong supply zone where sellers have previously stepped in). 🏆 Key Support: 1.0350 – 1.0300 (psychological level and recent demand zone). 📊 Indicators: RSI (Relative Strength Index): At 47.97, showing weak bullish momentum, but still below the neutral 50 level, suggesting continued downside risk. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Bearish crossover confirmed, with histogram showing increasing selling pressure. Volume Analysis: Recent price drops were accompanied by increasing bearish volume, indicating strong seller participation. 2. 4H Chart (H4) – Medium-Term Trend 📉 Bearish Momentum: Price is forming a descending structure, with lower highs and lower lows. 🔄 RSI: Currently at 38.34, approaching oversold levels, indicating a possible short-term bounce before further decline. 📈 MACD: Bearish cross has occurred, but the histogram is starting to flatten, suggesting selling pressure might be slowing. 3. 1H Chart (H1) – Short-Term Outlook ⏳ Rebound or Further Drop? Price recently bounced from 1.0380, but rejection at 1.0420 suggests weak buying momentum. 📌 Support Levels to Watch: 1.0380 – 1.0350 🚀 Resistance Levels: 1.0420 – 1.0450 ⚡ RSI Divergence? Short-term RSI is rising while price remains stagnant, indicating a potential short-term reversal before further decline. 🌍 Fundamental Analysis: Key Market Drivers Eurozone Inflation Data (CPI) 🏦: Expected this week, which will shape ECB’s next policy move. US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) 📊: A strong report could further strengthen the USD. Geopolitical Uncertainty 🌎: Global risk sentiment favors the USD as a safe haven. 📈 Trading Strategy: Fuinvest’s Trade Setup 🔹 Scenario 1: Short Position (Bearish Bias) Entry: Sell at 1.0420 – 1.0450 Stop Loss (SL): 1.0480 (Above recent highs) Take Profit (TP): 1.0350 – 1.0320 (Key support zone) Risk-Reward Ratio: 📉 1:3 (High probability trade setup) 🔹 Scenario 2: Reversal Trade (Short-Term Bullish Bounce) Entry: Buy at 1.0350 – 1.0380 Stop Loss (SL): 1.0320 (Below major support) Take Profit (TP): 1.0450 (Near-term resistance) Risk-Reward Ratio: 📈 1:2 (Short-term retracement play) 🎯 Conclusion & Final Thoughts 📉 Bearish sentiment dominates, but a short-term rebound could occur before further declines. 🔥 Key economic data this week will be crucial in determining the next major move. 📌 Fuinvest recommends a cautious trading approach, with tight risk management. 💡 Follow Fuinvest for daily market insights & trade setups! 🚀📈
by fuinvest
EUR/USD: Liquidity Grab in Motion - 2H View for Precision Lining up the play on the 30M, but posting the 2H for a cleaner look—this setup is all about patience. Buy-side liquidity (BSL) needs to get swept first before I entertain any sells. Once that liquidity grab is in the bag, I’m looking to ride price down into the 4H order block (blue zone) for the real reaction. No guessing, no forcing—just calculated execution. Let the market tip its hand first. #Forex #EURUSD #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #OrderBlock #PrecisionTrading #NoFOMO Bless Trading!
Short
by Juicemannn
Bill Ackman: The Activist Investor Who Challenges the Status QuoHello Traders! Today, we’re going to explore the trading and investment philosophy of one of the most successful activist investors in the world – Bill Ackman . Known for his bold moves and unapologetic approach, Ackman has built a reputation for making large, influential investments and actively working to restructure companies in order to create value. With his hedge fund, Pershing Square Capital Management , Ackman has turned millions into billions by taking concentrated positions in underperforming companies, often pushing for changes that he believes will improve shareholder value. Bill Ackman’s Investment Strategy Ackman’s investing philosophy is rooted in a few key principles that have guided his success: Activist Investing: Ackman is known for buying large stakes in companies and pushing for significant changes. This often involves changes in management, strategy, or financial structure to unlock value. He doesn’t just buy stocks, he buys control to influence the direction of companies. Concentrated Bets: Unlike most fund managers who diversify, Ackman makes concentrated investments, believing in a small number of high-conviction ideas. He typically goes big on the companies he believes will give the highest returns. Long-Term Vision: While Ackman is an activist, he is also a long-term investor. He’s known to hold onto stocks for years as he works through his plans to improve the companies he invests in. Thorough Research and Analysis: Before making any moves, Ackman ensures he has done comprehensive research. He’s known for his deep dives into a company’s fundamentals, industry trends, and potential catalysts for growth. Notable Investments and Activist Moves Ackman’s career has been built on several high-profile, successful investments. Here are some of his best-known plays: Herbalife: One of his most controversial investments, Ackman shorted Herbalife, claiming the company was a pyramid scheme. Despite facing heavy opposition and pressure, Ackman stuck to his position, although ultimately the trade didn’t work out as he anticipated. It became a case study in risk and persistence. Target: Ackman took a large position in Target, pushing for changes in the company’s real estate strategy and retail business. His work with Target helped to bring greater shareholder value. Valeant Pharmaceuticals: Ackman’s investment in Valeant Pharmaceuticals initially gained massive attention. Despite the stock’s later troubles, his involvement in the company drew attention to the power of activism and led to changes in leadership at Valeant. Chipotle Mexican Grill: Ackman has also invested in Chipotle, pushing for operational improvements and better management. His efforts have been instrumental in driving changes in the company’s strategy, helping the stock recover from earlier setbacks. Risk Management and Position Sizing When it comes to risk management, Ackman follows a few key strategies to minimize losses and maximize returns: Concentration of Capital: Ackman often places large amounts of capital in a few high-conviction investments. This allows him to have a significant impact on the companies he invests in but also requires disciplined risk management and careful positioning. Leverage and Shorting: Ackman has used leverage in some of his more aggressive plays, such as shorting positions in Herbalife, to maximize returns. This adds a level of risk, but when used correctly, it can significantly amplify his gains. Focus on Catalyst-Driven Events: He places his investments based on company-specific catalysts like management changes, mergers, or restructurings. This allows him to predict when a stock will outperform or underperform. What This Means for Investors Bill Ackman’s approach to investing is not for the faint of heart. It involves big risks and big rewards. His activist investing style is about taking concentrated positions, being willing to fight for change, and holding onto those investments for the long haul. For investors, there are valuable lessons to be learned from Ackman’s strategies: Don’t be afraid to make big bets. If you believe in a company’s long-term potential, be prepared to back it with significant capital. Know the companies you invest in. Ackman is famous for his in-depth research before making any move. This is a lesson for every investor – do your homework before making investment decisions. Take a long-term view. While Ackman is an activist, he is also a patient investor. He understands that meaningful change takes time, and he’s willing to wait for the payoff. Conclusion Bill Ackman’s approach to investing has made him one of the most influential investors of his time. By focusing on concentrated bets, thoroughly researching companies, and taking an activist role, Ackman has proven that bold moves and long-term vision can lead to great success. Have you followed any of Bill Ackman’s investments or strategies? Share your thoughts and experiences in the comments below! Let’s learn and grow together!
Education
by TraderRahulPal