Euro Rises Near 1.1200 on Reserve StatusEUR/USD traded around 1.1200 during Thursday’s Asian session, rebounding ahead of the Eurozone’s Q1 2025 GDP report. The Euro remains supported by its rising role in global reserves, with Capital Economics noting its strongest position in years. U.S. policies under President Trump set this shift in motion, which is seen as weakening the dollar’s appeal as a popular asset. Germany’s increased fiscal spending has also lifted euro demand.
Despite ECB officials signaling more rate cuts, the Euro holds steady against a softer U.S. Dollar, which remains pressured by lingering trade uncertainty. Markets are now focused on U.S. retail sales and PPI data, while speculation grows that the U.S. might allow a weaker Dollar to aid exports.
EUR/USD faces resistance at 1.1260, with further upside near 1.1460 and 1.1580. Support begins at 1.1040, followed by 1.1000 and 1.0960.
EURUSD trade ideas
EUR/USD Symmetrical Triangle Setup Price is consolidating into the apex of a symmetrical triangle. I'm watching for a breakout confirmation either direction:
🔹 Buy Setup
Entry: 1.12082 (on confirmed breakout + retest)
SL: 1.11685
TP1: 1.12480
TP2: 1.12860
🔸 Sell Setup
Entry: 1.11636 (confirmed breakdown + retest)
SL: 1.12074
TP: 1.10777
⚠️ Waiting for clean breakout with volume confirmation. Ready for either scenario. Discipline over predictions. 📉📈
EUR/USD – Wave 3 in Play After Dominant Break | Elliott Wave + A📌 Overview:
EUR/USD is showing a strong bullish continuation setup following a clean Wave 1-2 formation, confirmed by both structure and momentum. A dominant trendline break, retest at support, and bullish signals from the Awesome Oscillator (AO) reinforce this high-probability buy scenario.
🧠 Elliott Wave Count:
Wave 1: Strong impulsive move up with solid structure.
Wave 2: Healthy correction into the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone.
Wave 3: Now initiating, expected to be the strongest leg.
🔍 Confluence Factors:
✅ Dominant Break: Price broke a descending trendline from Wave 1’s high, then retested it successfully at the green zone.
✅ 1.11813 marked as key SNR (Support & Resistance) — price is holding above it post-break.
✅ Green highlighted area = ideal buying zone aligned with:
Demand zone
Fibonacci golden zone
Structure support
✅ Awesome Oscillator (AO):
Bullish divergence between Wave 1 and Wave 2
AO histogram flipped back green = early momentum confirmation
💼 Trade Plan:
Buy Entry: Green zone (post-dominant break + SNR support)
Stop Loss: Below green zone / invalidation of structure
Take Profit 1: 1.618 – 1.88 Fib extension → 1.1216 – 1.1226
Take Profit 2: 2.618 – 2.88 Fib extension → 1.1241 – 1.1258
🎯 Strategy Notes:
Take partial profits at TP1 to reduce risk.
Let the remainder of the position run to TP2 for potential extended Wave 3.
Monitor AO and candle behavior near TP1 — possible Wave 4 may form afterward.
📈 Layered confirmation = high confidence. Trade the confluence, not the emotion.
#EURUSD #ElliottWave #Wave3 #AO #ForexStrategy #Fibonacci #StructureBreak #SupportResistance #TechnicalAnalysis
EURUSD: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 1.12030 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD Daily analysis $$$OANDA:EURUSD 1H : Bullish MSS + OB + IMB 15m : Bullish BOS + OB + IMB
One hour after taking the ssl and forming the mss, it has become bullish
15: After the formation of the bos ob, I think the market will turn around and react to this ob, or if this ob breaks, I will look for confirmation to sell in the formed bearish zone until the one-hour ob
EURUSD is moving within the 1.10850 - 1.12590 range👉🏼 Possible scenario:
The euro (EUR) climbed 0.96% to 1.1185 against the U.S. dollar (USD) on May 13, boosted by weaker U.S. inflation data that strengthened expectations of a more dovish Federal Reserve. Easing trade tensions further pressured the dollar, which saw its steepest decline in three weeks.
While analysts anticipate some short-term strength in the USD, lingering policy uncertainty in the U.S. limits prospects for a full recovery. With no major economic releases on May 14, EURUSD is likely to maintain its current trajectory.
✅ Support and Resistance Levels
Now, the support level is located at 1.10850.
Resistance levels are now located at 1.12590 and 1.13700.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis.The chart you shared shows the EUR/USD pair on a 1-hour timeframe. Here are the key elements:
1. Price Levels:
Current price: Approximately 1.12464
Resistance zone: Around 1.13021 (marked as the target)
Support zone: Between 1.11830 and 1.12178
2. Technical Analysis:
A strong bullish move broke above the support zone (previous resistance), indicating potential upward momentum.
A consolidation pattern occurred before the breakout, marked by a small accumulation zone (highlighted in orange).
The chart shows a bullish target around the 1.13021 level, suggesting further upward movement.
3. Trade Idea:
Long Position: Enter near the support zone (1.11830 - 1.12178) after a confirmed retest.
Target: Around 1.13021
Stop Loss: Below the support at approximately 1.11826
This setup assumes bullish momentum continuation. Would you like insights on potential risk management or alternative scenarios?
EURUSD May 14 Trade Executed EURUSD
May 14 Trade Executed
Premarket Analysis
*Parent range Discount
*Previous range Premium
*Narrative expansion cycle to continue
*Asia could consolidate and expand to buy side
NY could be the sell side
*No news can lead to choppy gross price action, low resistance is FVG form
Bull ideas
Price rally's for the equal highs
completes rebalancing of Mondays FVG
HTF price gravitates seeking higher prices to the 50 level
Price refusal to retrace and held in the top of the FVG it was rebalancing, indicated Price would seek higher prices.
NWOG and Event Horizon as magnets for a buy with DXY to the sell side
3 London Macro Trade Logic
*Asia did consolidate taking minor buy side at 0:00.
*2 Macro Price takes equal lows swings up weaving in and out of MIG, when it came back up and after cross pair analysis of DXY/GBP my buy was in play
*3:00 entered the trade
*10 pip stop loss, however not deep enough to
weather the 14 pip it dipped to then only swing back up.
I only make one trade a day as a boundary. So when I got stopped out that is it.
I am very happy to be on the right side of the market with my target hit. With or without me I lost in money but gained in trust!
Great delivery!
What can I learn
Model 2022 formed
2:57 candle hit the FVG at 2:10 this should have been your entry
I hesitated at 2:57 due to 2 bad consolidation trades yesterday.
3:02 was my entry candle higher price that meant a 10 pip stop loss
EURUSD Tests Head and Shoulders Target Ahead of CPIIn line with the inverted head and shoulders formation seen on the DXY from its 2025 lows, EURUSD has completed a breakout of its own head and shoulders pattern, reaching the 1.1070 target.
With the 4H RSI rebounding from oversold territory, a bullish bounce for EURUSD appears likely toward the 1.1140 level.
A clean hold above this resistance could extend gains to 1.1270, 1.1380, 1.1430, and eventually to the 2025 high at 1.1570.
If dollar strength resumes and EURUSD falls back below 1.1070, downside levels to watch include 1.1000, 1.0920, and 1.0760.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
Digital Euro: Separating Fact from Conspiracy TheoriesIn today’s fast-paced digital landscape, misinformation can spread rapidly and mislead even those well-intentioned readers. With the Digital Euro project circulating online, numerous pieces of fake news have surfaced—not just criticism or differing opinions, but outright falsehoods that may convince citizens, especially those less familiar with financial innovations, that the project is something it is not. In this article, we delve into the most common misconceptions and explain with clarity and factual context why these claims do not correspond with reality.
1. Myth: "The Digital Euro Will Replace Cash"
❌ False. Despite alarming headlines, cash will not vanish. The Digital Euro is poised to become an additional payment option alongside physical money. The Eurosystem is committed to ensuring that banknotes and coins remain accessible. In fact, plans are already underway to introduce new series of euro banknotes, reaffirming the continued value of cash in our daily transactions.
2. Myth: "The ECB Will Be Able to Control and Block Your Payments"
❌ False. Privacy is a cornerstone of the Digital Euro. Similar to the way cash transactions operate, offline payments would be possible without any tracking by the Eurosystem. This means that your personal transactions remain private and free from arbitrary interference. The design of the digital euro ensures that your financial autonomy is preserved.
3. Myth: "There Will Be Arbitrary Limits on How Much Digital Euro Can Be Held"
❌ False. Any limits imposed on holding digital euros would not be arbitrary measures of control but rather tools to safeguard financial stability. Such thresholds are considered from the perspective of systemic security—not the curtailment of individual freedom. The focus is on ensuring that the financial ecosystem remains resilient rather than monitoring or constraining individual spending.
4. Myth: "The Digital Euro Is a Way to Introduce Negative Interest Rates on Deposits"
❌ False. The digital euro is designed to mirror cash in its fundamental properties—namely, being interest-free. It is not a mechanism for financial authorities to impose negative interest rates on personal funds. The purpose is to complement traditional cash by offering a modern payment solution without altering the neutrality of money.
5. Myth: "It Will Be Mandatory to Use the Digital Euro"
❌ False. Use of the digital euro is entirely optional, serving as one out of many available payment instruments. Just as consumers choose between cash, credit cards, or other digital means, the digital euro is simply an additional tool. No regulation compels you to adopt this innovation if you prefer your existing methods.
6. Myth: "Banks Will Lose All Their Role"
❌ False. The introduction of the digital euro will not render banks obsolete. Banks will continue to provide essential financial services, acting as intermediaries and offering the digital euro alongside other products. The evolution of the payment system enhances consumer choice without dismantling the traditional banking framework.
7. Myth: "The Digital Euro Will Be Programmable, So They Will Tell You How to Spend Your Money"
❌ False. The concept of programmability—that is, dictating how funds are spent—has been explicitly ruled out by the ECB. Both proposals from the European Commission and the legislative frameworks confirm that the digital euro will not be programmable. The goal is to maintain financial freedom and user discretion, similar to how cash operates.
8. Myth: "It's a Project to Eliminate Cryptocurrencies"
❌ False. Rather than extinguishing cryptoassets, the Digital Euro is designed to coexist alongside them. While cryptocurrencies are often speculative and volatile, the digital euro aims to offer a more stable and secure means of payment. The two are intended to serve different purposes: cryptoassets are generally considered investment or speculative instruments, whereas the Digital Euro would fulfill everyday transactional needs.
9. Myth: "There Will Be No More Privacy in Payments"
❌ False. Privacy in the digital age remains a top priority. Offline transactions with the Digital Euro will mirror the privacy features of cash, shielding your personal data. For online transactions, robust privacy regimes are in place. Importantly, the issuer—the Eurosystem—will not have the ability to directly connect transactions to specific individuals, ensuring that your financial privacy is maintained.
Conclusion
The Digital Euro is not the harbinger of a new era of financial surveillance or control. Instead, it represents an additional, modern means of payment designed to coexist with traditional cash and current banking services . By dispelling these myths, we hope to foster a clearer understanding of the Digital Euro project and promote informed discussions based on official facts.
Embracing accurate information is crucial to navigating the ever-changing world of digital finance, ensuring that choices are made based on facts rather than fictions.
FX_IDC:EURUSD TVC:DXY TVC:EXY INDEX:BTCUSD CRYPTO:BTCUSD TVC:SPX EUREX:FESX1! EURONEXT:N100 AMEX:FXE TVC:GOLD FX_IDC:XAUUSD
USD/JPY Long, EUR/CAD Short, GBP/USD Neutral and EUR/USD ShortUSD/JPY Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
EUR/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
GBP/USD Neutral
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
EUR/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.