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EURUSD trade ideas

EUR/USD RALLY CREATES NEW BUY ZONE!Hey traders so continuing to watch the Euro. Don't you just love it when a trade plan comes together and everything goes as you expect? Don't get too excited normally we only get our forecasts right around 50% of the time! However this one is working out well so far so now where to from here? The Trend is your Friend until it bends or breaks. Same plan wait for the pullback or profit taking from this rally when it drops buy again at the trendline. Im not going to say it's always this easy but you don't need indicators to draw a straight line and connect 3 bars. Trading can be simple or complicated the easier we keep it the better imo.😁 Place stop below trendline or support as US Dollar Continues to weaken this trend should continue to move in our favor. If Bearish I normally don't recommend counter trend trading because it can be difficult. So unless I see the US Dollar Index Bottom I don't think the trend will have any major changes. Another thing if you are still long you can enter more positions on this next pullback. That way you can build a larger position in a trending market. It's like playing the waiting game be patient and eventually she will come to you! Always use Risk Management! (Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.) Good Luck & Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃 Clifford
Long
by TradeTheIndex
EURUSD Sell- Go for sell - Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if you know how - keep looking for sell even if price goes one more up A Message To Traders: I’ll be sharing high-quality trade setups for a period time. No bullshit, no fluff, no complicated nonsense — just real, actionable forecast the algorithm is executing. If you’re struggling with trading and desperate for better results, follow my posts closely. Check out my previously posted setups and forecasts — you’ll be amazed by the high accuracy of the results. "I Found the Code. I Trust the Algo. Believe Me, That’s It."
Short
by Vincent-DA
EURUSD – Short-Term Top Signal, Sellers Getting ReadyEURUSD has reached the upper boundary of the ascending channel around 1.17190 and immediately faced selling pressure. This zone previously acted as a strong reversal area, and with a rejection candlestick and a forming FVG, the risk of a downward correction is increasing. Currently, the price is moving sideways just below the high, forming lower highs — suggesting a possible distribution pattern before breaking the bullish structure. If price breaks below the FVG zone near 1.165–1.166, the move could extend toward the technical target at 1.15900 — aligning with the channel bottom and a historical liquidity area. Recent fundamental drivers: U.S. economic data remains strong (Jobless Claims, Core PCE) → supports USD strength The ECB remains cautious and hasn’t committed to further rate hikes → slightly weakens the euro
Short
by Rocky_trade_
Cycle Low Confirmed – Strong Upside Move Starting!Here's what I notice: - Price has **bounced very strongly** from the cycle low. - You timed it very nicely — the upswing started just as the cycle predicted a bottom. - If the cycle timing continues, this move could extend for several candles into the next cycle top. **Summary of the New Setup:** ✔ Cycle low confirmed with bullish breakout ✔ Strong impulsive move off the bottom ✔ Favourable timing for long setups ✔ Potential for multiple days of upside if cycle rhythm holds This new chart you uploaded looks like it's using cycle analysis — those green semi-circles suggest you're mapping time-based cycles! Awesome! 😎 Here's the TradingView post draft for your **Cycle Timing** idea: --- # ⏳ Cycle Low Confirmed – Strong Upside Move Starting! **Summary:** Perfect timing off the projected cycle low! Price action has confirmed the cycle theory with a strong bullish breakout. Based on the rhythm of previous cycles, we could see sustained upside momentum into the next cycle peak. **Setup Details:** - **Entry:** Current levels (~1.13647) after confirmation of cycle low. - **Stop-loss:** Below the recent low (~1.09000) to give the trade room to breathe. - **Target:** Look for strength toward 1.20+ depending on price behavior near mid-cycle. - **Risk/Reward:** Excellent — trend in favor, supported by cycle timing. **Technical Factors:** ✅ Cycle Low perfectly aligned with time-based projection ✅ Strong bullish candle closing above recent consolidation ✅ Momentum shift supports continuation higher ✅ Cycle suggests multiple sessions of upside potential --- **Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is the best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free, and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible.** --- **⚠️ Disclaimer:** This is *NOT financial advice*. Always do your own research and manage risk properly!
Long
by TONYMONTANA87
OTEUM EXPERT CALL: EUR/USD – June Finale Setup We’re eyeing the last intramonth swing of June, expected to bleed into early July. Our playbook: let the market cough up one final risk-off spike on the Iran headlines 🌪️📰, then scoop up positions in the value zone (red box) for the next bullish leg 🚀. Patience first, trigger later 🕰️🎯—wait for price to hit the sweet spot, load up, and ride the firework into summer. Stay nimble; geo-shock headlines can flip the board fast ⚠️. #EURUSD #Intramonth #RiskOff #ValueHunt #OTEUM
Long
by Karel_OTEUM
EURUSD Soars Beyond 1.17, Eyeing 2021 Highs on DXY DrawdownAs EUR/USD breaks further above the upper boundary of a 17-year descending channel, U.S. dollar dominance over the pair appears to be fading, leaving room for long-term upside potential. The pair has now reached levels last seen in September 2021 near 1.1750. A decisive close above this level could extend gains toward the 1.20 mark, aligned with the 2021 peaks. On the downside, a close back below the 1.1570 support may trigger a pullback toward 1.14 and 1.13 before a potential bullish continuation. If that fails, the upper boundary of the former channel could be retested at 1.11 and 1.10. - Razan Hilal, CMT
by FOREXcom
Anatomy of a Breakout: How to Spot It Before It Fakes You OutFew things in trading are as appealing as a breakout. The chart tightens, volume starts to stir, headlines align, your alerts start going off , and suddenly — boom! Price explodes above resistance. Your adrenaline spikes and you pop open that long. But just as often, that breakout turns out to be nothing more than an expensive head fake. Price stalls. Sellers swoop in. Your stop gets clipped. And now you’re sitting there, blinking at your screen, “Welp… that was quick.” Welcome to the bittersweet world of breakouts — where opportunity and deception dance like partners at a high-stakes poker table. 📢 What Is a Breakout, Really? Let’s get the basics out of the way: A breakout happens when price pushes beyond a key support or resistance level that’s been holding for a while. That level could be a previous high, a consolidation range, a trendline, or a psychological number that traders obsess over because humans love round numbers (did someone say Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD at $120,000 ?). The logic is simple: Once price clears a well-watched level, trapped shorts have to cover, new longs pile in, and momentum feeds on itself. That’s the dream scenario. But markets aren’t always that generous. For every clean breakout, there are a few fakeouts lurking — luring in overeager traders with the promise of easy money before slamming the door shut. ⚠️ Why Breakouts May Fail If breakouts were easy, we’d all be rich. The problem is that breakouts attract a special kind of crowd: late-to-the-party momentum chasers, breakout algorithm bots, and retail traders who read one blog post about technical analysis. The moment price nudges above resistance, FOMO kicks in. Volume surges. But if the move isn’t backed by genuine institutional buying (you need lots of billions to move the needle nowadays), it quickly becomes what seasoned traders call a “liquidity vacuum” — thin air where the only participants are you, a few equally optimistic Reddit threads, and market makers more than happy to take the other side. Sometimes breakouts fail because: The move lacked volume confirmation. Macro headlines shifted mid-breakout. A key level was front-run, and the real buyers have already taken profit. It was a deliberate trap set by larger players to hunt stops before reversing. Or — more often — the market just needed an excuse to shake out weak hands before resuming the actual move later. 🍸 Volume: The Truth Serum Let’s be very clear: Breakouts without volume are like dating profiles without photos — you should be suspicious. When real breakouts occur, you’ll usually see strong accompanying volume. That’s your proof that big players — funds, institutions, serious money — are committing to the move. No volume? Maybe the summer vibes are already here . Smart traders wait for confirmation: Is volume above average relative to recent sessions? Is price holding above the breakout level after the initial pop? Are follow-through candles printing convincingly? Are we seeing continuation across related sectors or instruments? Without these signs, that breakout candle may just be a cruel joke. 🤯 Breakout Psychology Breakouts prey on two of the most dangerous emotions in trading: greed and urgency. The market whispers, “If you don’t get in now, you’ll miss it.” This is where breakout psychology becomes more dangerous than the chart itself. Once a breakout happens, most traders are no longer analyzing — they’re reacting. They buy late, set tight stops below the breakout level, and become easy prey for stop-hunting algorithms. ✨ Types of Breakouts Not all breakouts are created equal. Here’s the lineup you should be watching for: Clean Breakouts: The rarest and most beautiful. Strong move, high volume, sustained momentum. You’ll know it when you see it — or after you’ve hesitated and missed it. Fakeouts (a.k.a. False Breakouts): Price nudges just past resistance, triggers breakout orders, then swiftly reverses. Designed to shake out breakout traders before resuming the original trend. Break-and-Retest Setups: Often the highest-probability trades. Price breaks out, then pulls back to retest the former resistance (now support). If buyers defend this retest, you’ve got confirmation. News-Driven Breakouts: Triggered by earnings, economic data, or political events. Volatile, fast, and often unsustainable unless backed by real fundamental shifts. 📈 The “Pre-Breakout Tell”: Reading the Tape Good breakout traders aren’t just watching levels — they’re watching how price behaves near those levels in advance. Tight consolidation? Lower volatility into resistance? Declining volume as price grinds higher? That often signals an impending breakout as supply dries up. Conversely, choppy action with large wicks and erratic volume often signals indecision — ripe conditions for failed breakouts and fakeouts. Tape-reading matters. The cleaner the structure before the breakout, the better your odds. 💰 Breakout Traders Need Thick Skin Even with perfect analysis, breakout trading requires accepting that many will fail. That’s the game. Your job isn’t to nail every breakout — it’s to size your positions properly , keep losses small when faked out, and let the clean breakouts run when you catch one. Stop-loss discipline is everything. Breakouts are binary events: you’re either right quickly, or you’re cutting the trade quickly. There’s no room for “maybe it’ll come back.” The most painful breakouts are the ones that fake out, stop you, then continue in your original direction. Every breakout trader has lived that nightmare. Accept it. Build it into your risk plan. 👉 Takeaway: Prepare the Setup, Anticipate the Fakeout Breakouts will always be part of every trader’s playbook. But they require discipline, experience, and an iron stomach. The market loves to tempt you with early signals — your job is to separate signal from noise. Pro tip: Start your day by checking the Economic calendar and browsing the latest news — staying informed (and witty) helps you build better context for smarter decisions. So before you chase that next breakout candle, ask yourself: Is volume there? Is the broader market supportive? Have I managed my risk before clicking buy? Because in trading, the only thing worse than missing a breakout… is getting faked out and blowing up your account chasing it. Now over to you : Are you a breakout trader or a fakeout victim? Share your best (or worst) breakout stories — we’ve all been there.
Education
by TradingView
26
EURUSD Will Move Lower! Short! Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD. Time Frame: 15h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 1.173. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.144 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
EURUSD Sell SetupBy: MJTrading: EUR/USD has rallied into a significant resistance zone, approaching the upper boundary of a rising wedge/channel pattern. The price is now hovering around a key confluence zone, where trendline resistance and horizontal supply intersect ( 1.16300 —1.16500 ) There are to possible scenarios: 1) If the price Rejects directly from previous High 🔹 Position 1: Sell Stop @ 1.15915 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.6375 🎯 Take Profit: 1.5454 R/R:1 isk Level: Medium 2) If price tries to reach the boundary of the wedge or make a Fake breakout: 🔹🔹 Position 2: Sell Limit @ 1.16300 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.6930 🎯 Take Profit: 1.5000 R/R:2 Risk Level: Low 📌 This zone offers a high-probability reversal setup 📉 Why it Matters: Price action shows signs of exhaustion after a parabolic move. EMA structure is stretched, hinting at a potential pullback. Lets ZOOM OUT: Daily Chart: ZOOM IN: Stay disciplined, let price come to you, and manage risk. — #EURUSD #ForexSetup #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #ChartPattern #FXTrading #ShortTrade #MJTrading #BearishReversal #PriceAction #SwingTrade #ForexIdeas #Trendlines #BreakoutOrFakeout #RiskReward
Short
by MJElahifx
Euro's Surge on USD Weakness – Is 1.20 the Next Stop?EURUSD: Euro's Surge on USD Weakness – Is 1.20 the Next Stop? Hello TradingView Community! The EURUSD pair is currently commanding significant attention with its strong upward momentum. 🌍 Fundamental Highlights: Euro's Tailwinds & USD's Headwinds The Euro has demonstrated notable strength, recently breaching the 1.17 mark to hit its highest level in over 3.5 years. According to ING, if this momentum holds, the next target could be 1.20, contingent on continued USD weakness. The US Dollar faces considerable pressure following news that President Trump intends to name a successor to Fed Chair Powell soon, sparking concerns about the Fed's independence. Such speculation often leads to expectations of a more 'dovish' monetary policy, weakening the USD. Adding to the Euro's support are the NATO agreement to increase defense spending targets to 5% and President Trump's seemingly "less aggressive" stance towards the EU. In summary: Should USD depreciation persist, not only the Euro but other asset classes might also attract capital inflows, particularly given the ongoing uncertainties surrounding inflation risks and monetary policy. 📊 EURUSD Technical Outlook (H4/M30 Chart): Our technical analysis of the EURUSD chart (image_b73298.png) confirms a clear and robust uptrend, characterized by successive higher highs and higher lows. The EMAs are in a bullish alignment, reinforcing this upward trajectory. Upside Targets (Potential BUY Zones): 1.17807: The initial potential target if the bullish momentum continues. 1.18458: A higher target representing the next potential resistance zone. Key Support Levels (Potential BUY Zones for pullbacks): 1.16070: A strong support level where demand could emerge after a correction. An implied intermediate support around 1.166xx (visually suggested by price action between current levels and 1.16070) could also offer buying opportunities after minor pullbacks. 🎯 EURUSD Trading Plan: BUY Zone 1 (Intermediate Pullback): Entry: 1.16600 - 1.16700 SL: 1.16450 TP: 1.16800 - 1.17000 - 1.17200 - 1.17500 - 1.17807 - 1.18000 - 1.18300 - 1.18458 BUY Zone 2 (Strong Support): Entry: 1.16070 SL: 1.15900 TP: 1.16200 - 1.16400 - 1.16600 - 1.16800 - 1.17000 - 1.17300 - 1.17600 - 1.17807 - 1.18458 SELL Zone (Consider only at upside targets with clear reversal signals): Entry: 1.18458 (This is an upside target, but also a potential resistance for selling if strong reversal signals appear). SL: 1.18600 TP: 1.18300 - 1.18000 - 1.17807 - 1.17500 - 1.17200 - 1.17000 - 1.16800 ⚠️ Key Factors to Monitor: Fed Leadership News: Any official announcements regarding the Fed Chair succession will trigger significant USD volatility. Eurozone Economic Data: Upcoming inflation, GDP, and employment reports. ECB Statements: The European Central Bank's stance on monetary policy. Geopolitical Developments: Major tensions or agreements can influence market sentiment. Trade smart and always manage your risk effectively! Wishing everyone a profitable trading day!
Long
by MMFlowTrading
Overextended Rally into Resistance ZoneEUR/USD has pushed into the upper boundary of the Keltner Channel on the 4H timeframe, indicating a potential exhaustion of bullish momentum. Price is showing signs of overextension with Heikin Ashi candles losing strength near a key resistance zone. 📉 Short Position Setup: Entry: 1.17220 (near upper Keltner resistance) SL: 1.17581 (above recent highs and volatility buffer) TP: 1.15220 (targeting mid-channel and previous structure support) 🔻 Bearish Confluence: Price rejecting upper Keltner band Potential for mean reversion after strong rally Weakening bullish momentum in candle structure Confirmation with further bearish price action or divergence signals would strengthen the case for downside continuation.
Short
by VisionaryInsights
Shorting Optimism: EUR/USD Rally vs RealityAfter the spike to 1.1640 driven by temporary ceasefire news and USD weakness, I’ve taken a short position on EUR/USD. The market priced in too much optimism too fast, and I see limited upside beyond this zone in the current macro landscape. I’m positioned for a controlled retracement back toward the 1.1460–1.1520 region. The play? Fade the overextension, follow structure, and manage from strength. Technicals: • The pair ran into a strong supply zone near 1.1640, which aligns with a previous liquidity sweep. • Momentum has slowed visibly on lower timeframes, with candles rejecting highs and wicks printing upper tails. • Daily and 4H SMAs are overstretched. The 20 SMA on H4 is accelerating upward, but RSI is near overbought and flattening. • My short entry was taken with a stop above 1.1745 and first target at 1.1540, second at 1.1500. • A potential retest of the 1.1660 zone could offer additional entries if invalidation remains intact. Fundamentals: • ECB vs Fed Divergence: The Fed holds firm on rates amid sticky inflation, while the ECB is under pressure to ease further due to weak growth. • EU Struggles: PMI data remains in contraction territory; HICP cooling to 1.7% YoY suggests little reason for tightening. • Political Instability: Germany and France both facing internal political crises — risk premia rising. • Ceasefire Priced In: EUR rally on Middle East headlines lacks depth — conflict paused, not resolved. • USD Resilience: Weak recent data aside, the USD remains a safe haven. Fed’s Powell reiterated that cuts aren’t imminent. ⚠️ Bias: Bearish as long as price trades below 1.1640. Watching how the market reacts to Fed testimony and ECB rhetoric this week. 🧠 Reminder: Don’t get emotional after vertical rallies. When everyone gets excited, I look for exhaustion. That’s where trades begin. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Short
by AR33_