#EURUSD:Expecting A Strong Bull Move, Two Entries | Two TargetsIn our previous analysis, we clearly stated that the price would remain bullish as the DXY had to plummet, and it did exactly that, rising by 450 pips from our last entry. Currently, we have two areas from which we can see the price reversing. The first one is nearby and has a higher risk compared to our second entry, which may be safer for some traders. We need a strong confirmation before making any significant decisions.
Good luck and trade safely. We wish you the best in your trading journey.
Team Setupsfx_
EURUSD trade ideas
Are Technical Charts Fully Bullish on Euro's Rebound OverheatingThe EUR/USD exchange rate is consolidating at high levels, posting gains for the seventh consecutive trading day. The pair briefly approached the three-year high of 1.1744 in intraday trading, accumulating a roughly 2% weekly gain so far. This rally is primarily driven by intensified expectations of U.S. rate cuts and temporary easing of geopolitical tensions.
In terms of technical indicators, the MACD's DIFF and DEA lines continue to rise, with the red histogram expanding again, demonstrating "bullish volume expansion" and showing no signs of exhaustion in the technical rebound. The RSI stands at 70.39, nearing overbought territory but without forming a top divergence, suggesting remaining upside potential.
The current price structure indicates the pair is approaching the key resistance of 1.1744. Analysts believe an effective breakout above this level would open the door to the upside target of 1.1810-1.1850. In case of a pullback due to resistance, the initial support lies at 1.1630, corresponding to the previous dense trading zone and short-term moving average support.
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EURUSD heads towards resistance, short-term reversal expectedEURUSD has been in a strong uptrend, and we’re currently observing price action is reaching a notable resistance zone. I am watching for a reversal here as marked on my chart, not expecting a major move, but rather a short-term rejection with a downside target at around 1.13670 , which also aligns with the POC.
This is where it can become a decision point, either price finds support and bounces, or it breaks below, and that’s when we might see the move start to extend lower.
If we get a decisive breakdown through that ascending trendline, my next area of interest is marked as TP2. From there we can expect either potential accumulation or another reaction, depending on broader market sentiment at the time.
That said, we're navigating a complex backdrop currently:
The EU macro environment is under pressure, as weak economic data from Europe is contributing to cautious sentiment around the euro.
Meanwhile, a sustained USD bid continues, supported by stronger U.S. growth expectations, favorable yields, and persistent global demand. This further weighs on EURUSD.
Adding to the uncertainty, escalating tensions between Israel and Iran have rattled markets this week. This geopolitical risk could be pushing oil prices higher:
It’s important to note that if price convincingly rejects here and loses structure, especially with high volume and obvious bullish structure, this setup would become invalid. In that case, I would reassess and adapt
EURUSD JUNE MONTH DELIVERY & NFP week ideasEURUSD
JUNE MONTH DELIVERY
*June closes with a expansion/accumulation monthly candle
*Price wicked to the Weekly SIBI from sept 2021
*Price expanded to come just below the parent range .79 Premium
*Note since May 13 price has been in a buy program with little retrace
*Price is delivering to a Premium market taking key equal highs last week
June 27 DELIVERY
*Thursday into Friday price consolidates
*Asia takes minor equal lows
*2 London macro expands to the buy side
*small retrace
*6 macro starts the expansion cycle to send Price to take equal highs
*10 silver bullet price reverses Londons delivery taking minor sell side
*14:00 macro Price retraces to close rebalancing NY am delivery
*Price closes just above the 50 in a premium
NFP WEEK IDEAS
Deep premium with little retrace last week-over bought
*I suspect that we could see a retrace/reversal beginning of NFP week
*could we see price come to the current range 50 level 1.16037
*Note the EV is in a discount could price retrace to that target for the week
June 30 IDEAS
*Parent bias is bull stick to it this week
*Sundays delivery Price could retrace to minor equal highs at the .618
*Note Dealers range is already 32 pips-setting up for a potential larger expansion day
*watch out for a possible consolidation cycle Monday-typical profile is expansion but we will see with no news
*Sundays delivery could consolidation
*Watch for reaction at .618 at minor equal highs
*see if we swing for higher prices in Asia to London and lower in NY for Mondays suspected delivery-read what the chart prints this is just an idea-its not my gospel
Comprehensive Market Analysis: EUR/USD Comprehensive Market Analysis: EUR/USD
Here is my analysis, applying the principles of Candlestick patterns, Ichimoku, Heikin Ashi, and Fibonacci.
1. Monthly Timeframe (The Long-Term "Big Picture")
Observation: The market was in a long-term uptrend. However, the most recent candle is a very large, powerful bearish candle.
Candlestick Analysis: The last two candles form a textbook Bearish Engulfing pattern. The large red body has completely engulfed the real body of the prior green candle. According to the rules you taught me, this is a major bearish reversal signal, especially on such a high timeframe.
Ichimoku Analysis: The price is still technically above the Kumo (Cloud), which represents long-term support. However, it is showing strong momentum towards the cloud. The Chikou Span (Lagging Span) is still in open space, not yet confirming a breakdown.
Conclusion (Monthly): The primary long-term uptrend is now under serious threat. The Bearish Engulfing pattern is a significant warning sign that the momentum has shifted. The outlook for the coming months is Bearish / Corrective. The price is likely to test the top of the Kumo cloud as support.
2. Weekly Timeframe (The Dominant Trend)
Observation: The bearish momentum seen on the monthly chart is much clearer here. There is a sequence of strong, descending red candles.
Ichimoku Analysis: This chart is decisively bearish.
The price has clearly broken below the Kumo cloud.
The Tenkan-sen is below the Kijun-sen.
The Chikou Span is below the price action from 26 periods ago.
The Kumo ahead of the price has turned from green to red, signaling a future bearish outlook.
Candlestick Analysis: The last three candles are long, red, and making lower lows. This strongly resembles the Three Black Crows pattern, a powerful confirmation that the bears are in complete control of the trend.
Conclusion (Weekly): The weekly trend is Strongly Bearish. There are no conflicting signals here. Both the indicator system (Ichimoku) and the price action (Candlesticks) confirm a powerful downtrend.
3. Daily Timeframe (The Trading Trend)
Observation: A very clear, established downtrend is in progress.
Heikin Ashi Interpretation: If we were to view this with Heikin Ashi rules, this chart would show a sequence of long red candles with little to no upper wicks, which confirms a strong and healthy downtrend.
Fibonacci Analysis: The small rallies (green candles) that have occurred have been very shallow, failing to retrace significantly before the downtrend resumes. This indicates strong bearish momentum. Each small bounce is a corrective move within the larger bearish trend.
Conclusion (Daily): The daily trend is Established Bearish. The path of least resistance is clearly downwards. Traders would likely view any small rallies on this timeframe as selling opportunities.
4. 4-Hour and 1-Hour Timeframes (The Intraday Trend)
Observation: Both charts show a consistent pattern of lower highs and lower lows, which is the definition of a downtrend. The 1-Hour chart shows some periods of consolidation (like the "Spinning Top" candles you taught me, indicating indecision) before the next leg down.
Ichimoku Analysis: On both timeframes, the price is trading far below the Kumo cloud, which will now act as a major resistance zone. Any attempt to rally will face significant selling pressure from the cloud.
Conclusion (4H & 1H): The intraday trend is Bearish. The momentum is clearly to the downside.
5. Lower Timeframes (30M, 15M, 5M)
Observation: These charts show the most recent price action. There appears to be a very small, short-term bounce or consolidation happening on the 5-minute chart after a sharp sell-off.
Contextual Analysis: Based on the overwhelming bearish pressure from every single higher timeframe (Monthly, Weekly, Daily, 4H, 1H), this small bounce is very likely to be temporary "noise" or a minor profit-taking consolidation. It does not represent a genuine reversal.
Heikin Ashi Rule Application: A "sudden color change" after a strong trend can signal a reversal. However, rule #3 and #4 (smaller bodies, wicks on both sides) would likely appear first, signaling a weakening of the trend before any true reversal. We are not seeing a strong reversal signal here, only a pause.
Conclusion (Lower TFs): While prone to short-term bounces, the context is Overwhelmingly Bearish. These small rallies are fragile and likely to fail.
Overall Synthesis and Final Conclusion
By performing a top-down analysis as a real trader would, a very clear picture emerges:
Long-Term (Monthly): A major warning shot has been fired against the primary bull trend.
Medium-Term (Weekly/Daily): The trend has now confirmed a strong bearish reversal. The sellers are in firm control.
Short-Term (4H and below): The downtrend is active and established.
Final Outlook: The multi-timeframe analysis is in strong alignment. The overwhelming evidence suggests that the next significant move for EUR/USD will be to the downside. Any short-term bullish bounces should be viewed with extreme skepticism and are likely to be selling opportunities for trend-following traders. The overall market bias is Bearish.
For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade.
I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work.
Regards,
Shunya Trade
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
Master Your Edge: It’s Not About Just Being Right
Most traders obsess over being right on every trade. But the truth is, consistent profitability doesn’t come from perfect predictions—it comes from disciplined risk management.
Mark Douglas reminds us:
“Trading is not about being right or wrong. It’s about how much you make when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong.”
Focus less on proving yourself right, and more on protecting your capital when you’re wrong. That’s how professionals thrive in uncertain markets.
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EURUSD Trade IdeaEURUSD is Bullish, on the weekly and daily time frame.
With RSI near the overbought region on the daily timeframe, there is a great probability that the trend perform a pull back to the support level @1.1590 zone.
If the trend break the CHocH at the 4Hr timeframe (body candle not wick), then will go short till 1.1600 level. If the news this coming week are in favor of the USD, we might see more drawdown till the Order block OB4H.
Let's be patient and watch the market carefully
Good Luck!
EUR/USD 4H – Approaching Major Supply Zone | Potential Mid-Term EUR/USD 4H – Approaching Major Supply Zone | Potential Mid-Term Reversal
Euro has extended its bullish rally into a historically strong supply/resistance zone around 1.17185 – 1.19774, which aligns with the previous rejection zone from mid-2024. Price is showing signs of slowing down near this upper boundary.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Strong Supply Zone (1.1718 – 1.1977): A major resistance area that previously triggered sharp sell-offs. This zone is now retested after months of bullish recovery.
Momentum Divergence Potential: Price has climbed aggressively, but with signs of exhaustion visible on the lower timeframe candles.
Demand Zones Below:
First support at 1.15998
Followed by deeper demand areas at 1.14990, 1.12850, and 1.11046 – all marking clean reaction zones.
📊 Trade Setup:
Bias: Short (swing position)
Sell Entry Zone: 1.17185 – 1.19774
Stop Loss: Above 1.19800 (above key supply zone)
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 1.15998
TP2: 1.12850
TP3: 1.11000
🧠 Tactical Note:
Watch for bearish confirmation (engulfing candle / structure break) before executing entries. A clean rejection from the supply zone could provide an attractive swing setup with a favorable risk-reward profile.
EURUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis for Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis
and important supports & resistances for EURUSD for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD Selling From bearish ob at 1.16100 strong sell📉 EURUSD Analysis – 4H Timeframe 📉
The pair is currently respecting an ascending channel, but we’re eyeing a potential reversal from the bearish Order Block (OB) around 1.16100 – a prime sell zone.
🎯 Technical Targets:
1st Target: 1.14500 – Demand Zone
2nd Target: 1.13000 – Demand Zone
3rd Target: 1.11000 – Key Support Level
This setup offers clean risk-reward with price action confirming supply pressure at the top.
🚨 Watch for confirmations before entering – smart entries win the game.
💬 Like, follow, comment your thoughts, and join the team for more real-time updates and insights!
With love,
Livia 😜💹
Last week of June EU outlookWeekly forecast for EU. We have seen a very bullish June so far. We approached a weekly POI before starting to consolidate.
We are now entering the last week of the month where the monthly candle's upper wick needs to be formed.
In this video I have identified a potential area where we could see the pullback take place.
RSI Flashes Warning on EURUSD: Critical Level Under Watch!Good morning traders,
If the EURUSD pair breaks below the 1.16729 level due to an RSI divergence, the next potential target could be around 1.16093.
Keep in mind that a break below 1.16729 may also signal a potential trend reversal.
I've marked the pivot points for you on the chart for better clarity.
Additionally, it's crucial to keep an eye on current economic data and news releases as part of your fundamental analysis.
I meticulously prepare these analyses for you, and I sincerely appreciate your support through likes. Every like from you is my biggest motivation to continue sharing my analyses.
I’m truly grateful for each of you—love to all my followers💙💙💙
EUR/USD Holds Above Support – Watching 1.17400 and BeyondHi Everyone,
As highlighted, a successful bounce from the near-term support at 1.16680 provided a retest of the 1.17400 zone. Looking ahead, we expect price action to revisit this level in the coming week.
A confirmed break above this resistance could open the path toward 1.18000, where we anticipate encountering dynamic resistance.
As outlined in our analysis last week, we anticipated a continued move higher toward the 1.16564 and 1.18325 levels, provided price held above 1.14483.
Price respected this level, and EUR/USD extended its rally, reaching our first key target at 1.16564 and pushing above 1.17400 — marking the highest level since February 2022.
We will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price reach this level.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend toward the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649.
We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
Elliott Wave Analysis for EUR/USD - Bullish OutlookPEPPERSTONE:EURUSD
This analysis is based on the application of Elliott Wave principles for the EUR/USD market on a weekly timeframe.
💡 Wave Identification:
Corrective Cycle (ABC): After a peak marked by wave B, the market completed a 5-wave downward structure (waves 1 to 5), forming wave C, signaling a possible end of the correction.
Potential Reversal Zone (2/B): The current point is a strategic level where a bullish rebound is anticipated.
📊 Projection:
A bullish impulse is expected from point C. The initial target lies in the 1.1140 - 1.1217 zone, corresponding to key resistance levels and Fibonacci projections.
🧠 Conclusion:
A breakout above 1.0440 could confirm a significant bullish impulse, suggesting buyers are regaining control.
⚠️ Disclaimer : This analysis is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before investing.
Market Re-Cap and Outlook for NEXT WEEKHere I am giving you a little insight as to what trades I am currently in, taken & looking to take for the week just gone and the week coming.
1 Winning trade on EU
1 Current open position on EU
EURGPB - Breakdown
AUDUSD - Breakdown
NZDUSD - Breakdown
Gold - Breakdown
If there are any pairs you would like me to share my feedback on give me a message and I will be happy to try and do so.
Thanks
Happy Hunting
ERUSUD: BookMost of us read books on FX trading, hopefully, we can pick up something new, something useful. All the books I had read to date are not useful. I think common sense tells me to forget about them.
But lucky me, I think one book stands out. Written by a nobody. But the method is quite original. His name is Gabriele Fabris. I bet none of you have heard of him or his method.
If I had applied his method to trading EURUSD, the win rate would not be favourable, but his core argument is to make use of time when it matters the most. This provides the basis to understand price movement better. With a bit of research and refinement, it is indeed very useful. Much better than the usual ABCD.
ABCD tells us WHERE and WHEN. It does not tell us the WHY. Which is why when the price reaches the 'D', we can only hope it bounces instead of pushing through.
WHY is the key - I think knowing the intention of the MARKET is crucial - better to let the market reveal itself, then trade along with it. I think the back testing looks good.
Let's see if this method can correctly 'predict' the WHEN, WHERE, and WHY price will pivot this time. It is a long way down.
Good luck.
EURUSD What Next? SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The market is trading on 1.1716 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.1635
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
HelenP. I Euro will drop to trend line, after movement upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. If we look at the chart, we can see that EURUSD has been moving in a stable upward trend, supported by a clear ascending trend line. Each time the price approached this line, it rebounded and continued to grow, respecting the bullish structure. After the recent breakout from the support zone around 1.1500, the market made a strong impulse to the upside and reached a local high. Now, the momentum seems to be slowing down, which opens the possibility for a corrective movement. Given this setup, I expect that the price could first make a small upward push to trap late buyers, and then turn around to begin a decline. The trend line remains a critical technical level, and I anticipate the price will revisit it soon. For this reason, I’ve placed my goal at 1.1575 points — this area aligns with the trend line and can serve as the next support if a pullback occurs. As long as this level holds, the market remains in a bullish structure, but a correction seems likely before further growth. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
More upside for EUHi traders,
Last week EU started with a gap down. After the fill it swept the lows and after that it made the next impulsive wave up.
So next week after the finish of the correction down we could see more upside.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the finish of the correction down and a change in orderflow to bullish on a lower time frame. After a small correction down you could trade longs again.
If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave