EURUSD: 4H MA50 may start aggressive rally to 1.17900.EURUSD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 58.513, MACD = 0.005, ADX = 36.044), trading inside a Channel Up for the past 5 weeks. Yesterday it made contact with its 4H MA50, which is the most common level of support inside this pattern. Based on that, we find highly probable for the pair to start the new bullish wave. A HH on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension has been a common feature of this Channel Up, hence we are turning bullish here with TP = 1.17900.
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EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD: Move Down Expected! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 1.15043 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 1.14942..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURO - Price can correct to support area and then continue riseHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago, price declined below support level and then started to grow inside a triangle pattern.
In this pattern, Euro broke $1.1085 level and even rose higher than $1.1425 level, but soon made a correction.
Later price exited from triangle and fell to support level, after which it started to grow inside rising channel.
Inside channel, price rose near support line and later reached $1.1425 level one more time, and some time traded close.
Soon, Euro broke this level and rose to resistance line of channel and then started to move down.
In my opinion, EUR can fall to support area and then continue to grow in channel to $1.1720 resistance line.
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EURUSD broke the Support level 1.14865👀 Possible scenario:
The euro (EUR) rose 0.07% on June 16, supported by safe-haven flows as geopolitical tensions escalated. The move followed U.S. calls for evacuation from Tehran after intensified Israeli strikes, with former President Trump blaming Iran for rejecting a nuclear deal.
Markets now eye the Fed’s upcoming policy decision and June 17’s U.S. Retail Sales report at 12:30 p.m. UTC. Strong data may push EURUSD down toward 1.15000, while weaker numbers could lift it back to 1.16300. Peace talk updates between Israel and Iran may also impact sentiment.
✅ Support and Resistance Levels
Now, the support level is located at 1.14740
Resistance level is located at 1.16330
EURUSD The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1504
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1544
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EUR/USD Potential Reversal from Resistance Zone –Bearish OutlookThe EUR/USD pair has been trading within a well-defined ascending channel for several weeks. Price recently tested a strong resistance zone near 1.15850 – 1.16000, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel and a previously marked supply area.
Key observations:
The price action shows signs of rejection from the resistance zone with a potential double-top or fakeout pattern forming.
A projected bearish trajectory is marked, suggesting a possible break below the channel support.
Immediate bearish targets are set at key demand zones around 1.14500, 1.12500, and further down to 1.10500.
A large red arrow indicates the strong downside bias if the price confirms the breakdown.
Conclusion:
If EUR/USD fails to sustain above the 1.15850 resistance zone and breaks below the ascending channel, a strong bearish correction is anticipated. Traders should watch for confirmation of the breakdown before entering short positions.
EUR/USD.1h chart pattern.Based on My target EUR/USD 1H, the price has broken down from the ascending channel and formed a Double Top, confirming a bearish structure. Here's the analysis based on the marked zones:
Bearish Targets:
1. First Support / Target 1: Around 1.13500
This aligns with a previous structure level and is the first potential bounce zone.
2. Second Support / Target 2: Around 1.12000
This is a deeper support zone where price may head if the bearish momentum continues.
The structure also shows a clear CHoCH (Change of Character) which supports the downside bias.
Let me know if you want entry and stop-loss suggestions for this setup.
EUR/USD Long-Term Trade Idea (Bullish to Bearish Transition)The EUR/USD pair is expected to enter a bullish phase in the near term, potentially rising toward the key resistance zones between 1.18616 and 1.20143. These levels are likely to act as strong reversal points, where the pair could encounter significant selling pressure.
Once price reaches this zone, a bearish reversal is anticipated, aligning with broader technical signals and long-term resistance structures.
This setup presents an opportunity to ride the bullish momentum toward these levels, then potentially shift to a sell bias upon confirmation of rejection or reversal patterns within that zone.
“Buy the strength, sell the exhaustion — let the market come to you.”
EURUSD,GBPUSD and USDJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Distribution Zone Triggered⏰ Timeframe: 15-Minute (M15)
💱 Pair: EUR/USD
📍 Event: Distribution Zone Triggered ‼️
🔍 Market Structure Breakdown: 1️⃣ Accumulation Phase 🟨
📌 Smart money builds long positions
📌 Stops hunted below support
2️⃣ Manipulation Phase 🟦
📌 Liquidity grab above resistance
📌 Trap set for retail buyers
3️⃣ Distribution Phase 🟥
📌 Entry for institutional sellers
📌 Shift in order flow to bearish bias
📊 What’s next?
🔻 Price likely heading to lower demand zones
🔄 Expecting continuation move post-distribution
🧠 Powered by Smart Money Concepts + Wyckoff Logic
🎯 Trader's Tip: Always wait for confirmation inside distribution to avoid false entries!
#EURUSD #DistributionZone #SmartMoney #WyckoffLogic #LiquidityGrab #SMCTrading
EURUSD H2 Best Levels to BUY/SELL and Market Update🏆 EURUSD Market Update m20 short-term trade
📊 Technical Outlook
🔸Short-term: BEARS 1275
🔸1500/1540 short sell rips/rallies
🔸Mid-Term outlook: BULLS 1750
🔸bulls buy low 1250/1275 reload
🔸bulls exit at 1750 swing trade
🔸Price Target Bears: 1250/1275
🔸Price Target Bulls: 1750
🌍 Macro & Political Drivers
U.S. tax & spending concerns: The Congressional Budget Office now projects President Trump's tax‑and‑spending bill will raise deficits by about $2.8 trillion over the next decade. This massive debt addition is pressuring the U.S. dollar, as rising Treasury issuance and weaker fiscal confidence weigh on demand.
Geopolitical tensions: Escalation in the Israel–Iran conflict is pushing investors toward the safe-haven U.S. dollar. The DXY jumped to around 98.80 as President Trump’s remarks on Iran sent the EUR/USD down to approximately 1.1484.
EU developments: ECB officials, including Christine Lagarde, are doubling down on strengthening Europe’s financial infrastructure to elevate the euro as a viable alternative to the dollar — calling this a “global euro moment.”
Key resistance is around 1.1550–1.1575; downside support zones near 1.1450 and broader range 1.1360–1.1420 remain intact, though current levels suggest consolidation above the lower range. Strength from safe-haven flows could stall upward momentum.
📊 ECB Policy & Inflation Signals
The ECB cut rates by 25 bp last week to 2.0%, reinforcing the message that inflation remains subdued (1.9% in May) and prompting a data-driven, meeting-by-meeting decision approach.
ECB speakers stress “agile pragmatism” given global uncertainties, citing the euro’s ~10% rally year-to-date but cautioning amid rising oil prices and geopolitical risks.
⚡ What to Watch Next
Catalyst Outlook
U.S. yields & bond auctions More issuance tied to tax plans could steepen the curve and support the USD.
Middle East headlines Escalation may continue to offer dollar safe-haven benefits, pressuring EUR/USD.
EU economic data Inflation softness (e.g., France) could weaken ECB’s stance, re-pressuring the euro.
Technical levels Watch 1.1450 support—holds for possible rebound; resistance 1.1550–1.1575 for upside pressure.
✅ Summary
Current: EUR/USD around 1.1484, with bearish tilt amid risk aversion.
Bull case: Ongoing U.S. fiscal weakness, delayed tariffs, and ECB support for euro could cap downside.
Bear case: Safe-haven demand from geopolitical tensions, Fed‑ECB divergence, and technical breakdown through 1.1450 could push toward 1.1360.
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Faces RejectionMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Faces Rejection
EUR/USD declined from the 1.1640 resistance and traded below 1.1550.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro started a fresh decline after a strong surge above the 1.1600 zone.
- There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1545 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair rallied above the 1.1600 resistance zone before the bears appeared, as discussed in the previous analysis. The Euro started a fresh decline and traded below the 1.1550 support zone against the US Dollar.
The pair declined below 1.1520 and tested the 1.1475 zone. A low was formed near 1.1475 and the pair started a consolidation phase. There was a minor recovery wave above the 1.1495 level.
The pair tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1614 swing high to the 1.1475 low. EUR/USD is now trading below 1.1550 and the 50-hour simple moving average. On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near the 1.1505 level.
The next key resistance is at 1.1545 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1614 swing high to the 1.1475 low. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1545.
The main resistance is near the 1.1580 level. A clear move above the 1.1580 level could send the pair toward the 1.1615 resistance. An upside break above 1.1615 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.1650.
If not, the pair might resume its decline. The first major support on the EUR/USD chart is near 1.1475. The next key support is at 1.1450. If there is a downside break below 1.1450, the pair could drop toward 1.1400. The next support is near 1.1350, below which the pair could start a major decline.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Markets on EdgeGlobal markets tread cautiously today amid rising Middle East tensions and investor jitters ahead of the Fed’s policy decision. Israel’s continued airstrikes on Iran, now in their 6th day, are weighing heavily on sentiment, with European stocks and oil prices lacking direction.
📊 US Dollar Watch:
Traders are closely eyeing the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) weekly chart:
• 🔻 Price hit a new low, but RSI divergence signals waning downside momentum.
• ⚠️ Approaching long-term uptrend support from 2011 near 96.30 — could trigger profit-taking.
🪙 EUR/USD Weekly:
• ⚠️ Momentum fading as it nears the 78.6% retracement at 1.1696.
• RSI shows bearish divergence despite recent price highs.
📌 Key Takeaway: Charts suggest potential for a pause or reversal in recent USD weakness.
This is not investment advice.
#Forex #USD #EURUSD #DXY #FederalReserve #Markets #TechnicalAnalysis #Geopolitics #Trading
EUR/USD Bearish Reversal AnalysisEUR/USD Bearish Reversal Analysis 📉🧭
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Trend Structure:
EUR/USD was trading inside an ascending channel, respecting both support and resistance trendlines.
🔴 Double Rejection at Resistance:
Price action faced strong rejection near the upper boundary of the channel and resistance zone (~1.16500), forming a lower high, suggesting bearish exhaustion.
🟠 Key Breakdown Zone:
A critical horizontal support around 1.13560 has been identified as a short-term target zone. This level previously acted as a demand zone and now may be retested.
🔽 Forecast Path:
A projected bearish wave is anticipated:
A potential pullback or consolidation may occur before resuming the downtrend.
Once 1.13560 is broken, price could drop further toward the major support zone around 1.12000, marked by the previous accumulation area.
🟦 Support Zone:
This final target aligns with a major structural support from late May, strengthening the bearish outlook if the breakdown continues.
📌 Conclusion:
EUR/USD is showing signs of a bearish reversal after failing to sustain above resistance. As long as it remains below the mid-channel region, further downside toward 1.12000 is likely, with 1.13560 as the key short-term level to watch.
ELLIOTT WAVE EURUSD H4 update
EW Trade Set Up H4
minute wave ((ii)) is running.
the
The upside move from 1.1070a of 120525 to 1.1635a of 120625 does not seem a motive wave , so a sideways (flat) correction of the minute wave ((ii)) is more likely
key levels (area)
1.1590
1.1538
1.1366 POC
1.1169
1.1080