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EURUSD trade ideas

EURUSD - the upcoming US PCE & the ECB rate decisionAt the moment, we are seeing that the bulls are fighting hard to keep MARKETSCOM:EURUSD elevated. But they are struggling to overcome some key resistance barriers. But the upside doesn't look very promising, due to the upcoming US PCE numbers and the ECB rate decision. Let's dig into the possible near-term outcome scenarios for the $FX_IDC:EURUSD. What are your thoughts on this? 74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
by Marketscom
EURUSD short until TP 1.0250 = see my reasons !Hello guys, In the last few months I studied more the currencies in order to make more precise predictions about buying or selling. This time, we have a SELL signal. My reasons : - daily chart : upward band of Bollinger touched twice already and rejected - 4 hour chart : there is a resistence area there should reject also this time So, the quote should go on SELL until quote 1.0250 which is a possible support area and a psychological level as well. See the attachements. /url] What do you think ?
Short
by 10yearsfxexpert
EURO German electionThe Euro’s strength compared to the British Pound (GBP) often comes down to a mix of economic fundamentals, market sentiment, and geopolitical factors. Think of it like this: the Eurozone and the UK are two neighbors with very different stories. The Eurozone, despite its challenges, has often been seen as a more stable and unified bloc, especially during times of global uncertainty. Investors tend to flock to the Euro as a "safe haven" currency when things get rocky, partly because it’s backed by a larger economy and the European Central Bank (ECB) has historically maintained a relatively hawkish stance on inflation, which can boost confidence in the currency. On the other hand, the GBP has had its fair share of turbulence, especially in recent years. Brexit, for instance, was a major shake-up for the UK economy, creating uncertainty around trade, investment, and growth prospects. While the UK has shown resilience, the lingering effects of Brexit, combined with political instability and concerns about slower economic growth, have sometimes weighed on the Pound. Additionally, the Bank of England (BoE) has occasionally been perceived as more cautious in its monetary policy compared to the ECB, which can make the Pound less attractive to investors seeking higher returns. Of course, currency markets are incredibly dynamic, and the relationship between the Euro and GBP can shift based on short-term factors like interest rate decisions, inflation data, or even global risk appetite. But overall, the Euro’s strength often reflects its role as a cornerstone of the global economy, while the Pound’s struggles sometimes highlight the unique challenges faced by the UK. It’s like comparing two siblings—one might seem more steady, while the other is still finding its footing after a big life change. THE UK ELECTION Ah, the recent UK election definitely adds an interesting layer to the Euro-GBP dynamic! Elections always bring a wave of uncertainty, and this one was no exception. With Labour securing a decisive victory, there’s a sense of political stability after years of Conservative-led turmoil, particularly around Brexit and the economic fallout that followed. Markets generally like stability, so in the short term, this could be a positive for the Pound. However, the real test will be how the new government handles the UK’s economic challenges—things like sluggish growth, high public debt, and the cost-of-living crisis. That said, the Euro’s strength isn’t just about what’s happening in the UK. The Eurozone has its own set of challenges, but it’s often seen as a more predictable and resilient bloc, especially when the UK is going through a transitional phase like this. Investors might be cautiously optimistic about the Pound under the new Labour government, but they’re also keeping a close eye on whether the promised reforms and fiscal policies will actually deliver growth. If the UK economy shows signs of a strong recovery, the Pound could gain ground. But for now, the Euro’s strength seems to reflect a broader confidence in the Eurozone’s ability to weather global storms, even as the UK is still navigating its post-Brexit and post-election landscape. In a way, it’s like the Euro is the steady, experienced player on the field, while the Pound is the talented but unpredictable teammate trying to find its rhythm after a rough patch. The election might be a step in the right direction for the UK, but it’ll take time to see if it translates into long-term strength for the Pound.
by Michael_ict_jr
EURUSDTrend = Bearish I know a lot of Traders wont agree with my bearish bias but hear me out,....The market broke structure the the downside and closed comfortable below and Pulled back to the Extreme P.O.I and reject successfully to start going down but this is interesting with EURUSD because as much as all the above Paragraph is True The market is currently on a Bullish inside structure that could take it back to Extreme P.O.I because right now the market failed to close below this big support/Demand and Change The Character on lower TF now it's pulling back to hopeful continue trending up after a visible lower TF Rejection......
by CoolSlavesFx
EURUSD POTENTIAL SHORT OPPORTUNITYHello Everyone! How are you all? EurUsd is a pair to watch this week, because it is shaping up very nicely for a bearish trend continuation that we can capitalize on. So, I will be looking for a sell continuation because of the following reasons: 1. The overall trend is bearish. 2. The price has formed a continuation structure. 3. The price is approaching the value area. Game Plan: If the price comes to the VA, and rejects at that level or sweeps the High, and makes a bearish impulse followed by a 15mins flag with two highs and lows. Entry : will look for a risk sell entry within the flag or a reduced risk entry on the breakout of the flag.
Short
by DTreasureMarketHub
EUR/USD is bullish now after this breakoutDESCENDING WEDGE PATTERN BREAKOUT : FX:EURUSD has broken out of a descending wedge pattern with strong confirmation indicating market will go upwards till the target equivalent to the max width of the pattern STRONG SUPPORT ZONE TESTED : market has recently tested a strong support zone which it had tested earlier two times and had gone upwards indicating strong upward momentum for the currency pair PROFIT TARGET : level is 1.05274
Long
by peace_lover
EURUSD 24-28 Feb 2025 W9 - Weekly Analysis - US GDP / PCE Week!This is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 24-28 Feb 2025 W9 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment Weekly Chart Analysis Daily Chart Analysis 4H Chart Analysis Economic Events for the Week Market Sentiment Inflation Data Dominates Hotter-than-expected U.S. CPI/PPI initially fueled inflation fears, but signs of moderation in underlying PPI components raised hopes for softer PCE data next week. Investors see a growing chance of Fed rate cuts in late 2025, limiting USD strength. Tariff Noise vs. Market Calm Trump’s tariff threats (e.g., reciprocal steel/aluminum duties) were largely dismissed as negotiation tactics, easing fears of an immediate trade war. Markets expect delays in implementation, reducing near-term volatility. Geopolitical Progress Supports Risk Sentiment Reports of progress in Ukraine-Russia peace talks (e.g., territory swaps) reduced safe-haven demand for the USD, indirectly boosting the Euro. Stabilizing energy prices and supply chains further supported the Eurozone outlook. Central Bank Divergence The Fed remains cautious, emphasizing data dependency, while the ECB signals potential rate cuts later in 2025. Short-term EUR resilience stems from reduced trade-war risks and improving Eurozone economic data. Focus on Upcoming Catalysts This week PCE inflation report (Fed’s preferred gauge) will test disinflation optimism. Weak U.S. retail sales/industrial production amplified concerns about slowing growth, weighing on the USD. Key Takeaways Bullish Drivers: Progress in geopolitical tensions. Softening inflation expectations ahead of PCE data. Tariffs seen as negotiation tools, not immediate threats. Bearish Risks: A hot PCE report reviving Fed hawkishness. Sudden tariff escalations or breakdowns in peace talks. Overall Sentiment:  Cautiously bullish for EUR/USD this week, with upside hinging on sustained risk appetite and confirmation of disinflation trends. Weekly Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹Internal Bearish (Pullback Phase) 🔹In Swing Discount 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2️⃣ 🔹INT structure continuing bearish with iBOS following the Bearish Swing. (End of 2023 till end of 2024 was a pullback phase after the first bearish iBOS) 3️⃣ 🔹After the bearish iBOS we expect a pullback, price tapped into Monthly Demand and the liquidity below Nov 2022 which is above the weekly demand formed with the initiation of the bearish iBOS pullback phase. 🔹Price made a bullish CHoCH which indicated that the liquidity was enough as per previous weeks analysis to initiate a pullback phase for the bearish iBOS. 🔹Price pulled back after the Bullish CHoCH to the Weekly Demand formed and showed reaction after volatile week. 🔹With the previous week solid Bullish close, the Demand did hold and there is a high probability that price could continue Bullish to facilitate the INT structure pullback phase. 🔹If price to continue Bullish, price will be targeting the liquidity above Dec 2024, INT Structure EQ (50%) at 1.06933 to target the Weekly Supply in premium before continuing down to target the Weak INT Low. 🔹Expectations is for price to continue Bullish if it managed to break 1.05333 27 Jan High to facilitate the INT structure pullback. Daily Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2️⃣ 🔹Following the Bearish Swing BOS, INT Structure continuing bearish tapping the weekly demand zone. 3️⃣ 🔹After the failure to close below the Weak INT Low, price continued bullish sweeping the liquidity above Dec 30 and mitigating a Daily supply zone within the INT Structure Premium Zone. 🔹With the mitigation of the Daily supply, price created a Bearish CHoCH signaling the end of the Pullback Phase of the INT structure and the start of the Bearish move targeting the Weak INT Low. 🔹Price failed for the 2nd time to close below the Weak INT Low after mitigating the Daily Demand formed from the failure to close below the Weak INT Low which triggered aggressive Bullish reaction and mitigating the Daily Supply Zone formed from the recent Bearish CHoCH. 🔹After Supply mitigation, price continued Bearish following the Bearish INT Structure continuation phase. 🔹Previous week I mentioned “if the Daily formed a Bullish CHoCH (Currently above the recent mitigated Supply) this will shift my outlook to the Weekly Scenario of a deep pullback of the Weekly INT Structure to at least the Structure EQ (50%). MTF required to shift Bullish to confirm”. And with that happened I’d shifted to Bullish expectation and there is expectations of a deep pullback within the Daily Bearish INT structure. 🔹The expected targets for the current bullish move is 1st to sweep the liquidity above the equal highs (17 Dec & 27 Jan) 2nd Break of the Strong INT High to facilitate the Daily Bearish Swing pullback and the Weekly Bearish INT pullback. 🔹Currently Supply is failing and Demand is holding confirms the short-term Bullish scenario and setting my expectations for continuing Bullish. Price had pulled back to the recent Daily Demand and continued Bullish. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish (Reached Swing Extreme Demand) 🔹INT Bearish (Reached Extreme Supply) 🔹INT-INT Bullish (Reached EQ (50%) 🔹Swing Continuation 2️⃣ 🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH. 🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios (Previously I’d the following 2 scenarios where now I favors the 2nd scenario due to the impulsive nature of the move): Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal) Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal) 🔹As expected yesterday, price managed to continue Bullish after reaching the INT-INT structure EQ (50%) in a solid impulsive move aligns with the Swing continuation move. 3️⃣ 🔹Still expectation is set to continue Bullish targeting the Weak Swing High as long LTFs holds Bullish structures. Also, In my mind I’m not neglecting the current Bearish 4H INT structure and we already reached that structure extreme where we are getting the current corrective Bearish OF. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
Knowledge is not enough to be a successful traderWhile having strong knowledge and an effective strategy is essential for success, they alone are not enough to become a profitable trader. It is important to integrate other key aspects, such as: Risk Management Capital Protection: Adopt strict risk management by using stop-loss orders and limiting your capital exposure on each trade. Diversification: Spread your investments across multiple assets to reduce the impact of potential losses on any single position. Emotional Mastery and Managing Greed Stress Control: Remain calm in the face of market fluctuations to avoid impulsive decisions Discipline: Stick to your trading plan even during periods of high volatility. Managing Greed: Greed can lead to taking undue risks. It is crucial to remain objective and not be swayed by the lure of profit, which could compromise rigorous risk management. Patience and Perseverance Patience: Waiting for the right opportunities is essential. Rushing into trades can lead you to enter the market under unfavorable conditions. Perseverance: Trading is a continuous learning process. Learn from your mistakes and persevere, even after losses, to adjust and improve your strategy. Adaptability and Continuous Learning Market Evolution: Market conditions are constantly changing. A profitable trader knows how to adjust their strategy based on new trends and information. Feedback: Keeping a trading journal to analyze your performance, identify your mistakes, and progress over the long term is fundamental. By combining these skills – strict risk management, emotional control (including managing greed), as well as patience and perseverance – you give yourself the best chance to achieve sustainable success in the financial markets.
Education
by Traderscope
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 21, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: This week, the Euro reapproached our designated Mean Resistance level of 1.050 and reversed its upward momentum. This trend indicates a continuation of the downward price movement, establishing a new support level marked at 1.042. Further declines may materialize, with potential targets including Mean Support at 1.030, a weaker Key Support at 1.024, the completed Outer Currency Dip at 1.020, and the outermost target Outer Currency Dip at 1.005. Contrariwise, should the anticipated downward correction not transpire, the Eurodollar may experience an upward rally, possibly revisiting the Mean Resistance level of 1.050 and subsequently engaging with the Inner Currency Rally target of 1.060.
by TradeSelecter
EURUSD - The downtrend is expected to resume!The EURUSD pair unsuccessfully attempts to recover and break upwards from its last high at 1.0533. The recent failure below the oblique resistance H4 shows that the upward movement is potentially over and that sellers are slowly regaining control. In other words, it is difficult to bet on the asset rising with lower and lower highs. A rise in the US dollar in the coming days is possible with why not a return to areas located around 1.0400 or even 1.0300-1.0250 with the help of Donald Trump if he takes decisions favorable to the dollar. Furthermore, the results of the elections in Germany this weekend could have a downward impact on the euro, which would support my scenario.
Short
by Traderscope
EURUSD BUY TRADE SETUP🔥 Scenario 1: BUY Setup – If Smart Money is Reaccumulating (Valid IF price retraces into demand zone and confirms bullish continuation.) 📌 Key Confluences for Buys: ✔ HTF Bullish Structure Shift (BOS) Confirmed Above 1.0450. ✔ Unmitigated Bullish Order Block (OB) at 1.0400 - 1.0420. ✔ Liquidity Grab Below 1.0400 Triggers Smart Money Entry. ✔ Discount Zone (1.0350 - 1.0400) Ideal for Institutional Buys. ✅ Buy Plan Entry Zone: 1.0400 - 1.0420 (Institutional Demand Zone). Stop Loss (SL): Below 1.0350 (Safe from stop hunts). Take Profits (TPs): TP1: 1.0480 (Break-Even Point). TP2: 1.0500 (Liquidity Target). TP3: 1.0550 (Extended Target). Trade Type: Swing / Reaccumulation Play. Confidence Level: HIGH (If liquidity grab confirms). 🔹 Execution Strategy: ✔ Option 1: Aggressive Buy → Limit Order at 1.0400. ✔ Option 2: Confirmation Buy → Wait for BOS above 1.0450, then enter on pullback. ALTERNATIVE: 🔥 Scenario 2: SELL Setup – If Smart Money is Distributing (Valid IF price sweeps above 1.0500 and rejects bearish.) 📌 Key Confluences for Sells: ✔ Bearish Order Block (OB) at 1.0500 - 1.0550. ✔ FVG at 1.0480 - 1.0500 That Needs Mitigation. ✔ Sell-Side Liquidity Below 1.0350 – Next Target Zone. ✔ If 1.0350 Breaks, Extended Target = 1.0300 - 1.0250. ✅ Sell Plan Entry Zone: 1.0500 - 1.0550 (Institutional Supply Zone). Stop Loss (SL): Above 1.0570 (Safe from stop hunts). Take Profits (TPs): TP1: 1.0400 (First Liquidity Pool). TP2: 1.0350 (Major SSL Target). TP3: 1.0300 - 1.0250 (Extended TP). Trade Type: Intraday Short / Liquidity Grab Setup. Confidence Level: MEDIUM (Needs Confirmation at Supply Zone). 🔹 Execution Strategy: ✔ Option 1: Aggressive Sell → Limit Order at 1.0500 - 1.0550. ✔ Option 2: Confirmation Sell → Wait for bearish BOS under 1.0450, then enter on pullback. 🚨 STRICT SMART MONEY RULES 🚨 🔴 NO BUY IF: Price fails to reclaim 1.0400 (Risk of further downside). No liquidity grab occurs below 1.0400 (Means Smart Money hasn’t accumulated). 🔴 NO SELL IF: Price fails to sweep 1.0500 - 1.0550. Price aggressively breaks back above 1.0570 (Confirming bullish momentum). 🔥 FINAL INSTITUTIONAL DECISION – TRADE OR WAIT? 🔸 Ideal BUY: If price sweeps 1.0400 and reclaims bullish. 🔸 Ideal SELL: If price sweeps 1.0500 and rejects bearish. 🔴 NO TRADE? If price stays between 1.0450 - 1.0500 (No liquidity grab). 💡 Summary: Trade Like Banks, Not Retail! ✔ Smart Money ALWAYS operates around liquidity grabs and inefficiencies. ✔ We never force trades—we let price confirm its direction first. ✔ Institutional patience = Institutional profits. 💯 Now, we WAIT and EXECUTE like a hedge fund! 🚀🔥
Long
by jibkhan111
Basic Outline idea for the next week.Note- This Prediction is purely depending on Fundamentals & technical only Hi Friends my suggestion is the market can be expected to move to 1.05353 Level and come down for Liquidity grab/fag/retracement .But remember the area between 1.04251-1.03850 acts as a caution zone why ?? Its because of the fib retracement 1) If we trace from 2022 low to 2023 high This zone is the 50% zone. 2) if we take the Jan low to Jan high this zone acts as 30% zone. 3) from last week low to high this zone acts as mid for 30% as well as 50% For additional Info when ever the market is inside this range we could see high support and resistance taken place. so i would suggest to be cautious or if there is any strong fundamental the market could first resist 1.05353 and break then retest and go more higher using fundamental red folder news I wish you for a success full trading week.
Long
by shreyasflaming
1