EURUSD Post tradeI predicted in the morning about sells and then buy. As planned , sells during London and then
buys during Newyork
EURUSD trade ideas
Part 1 Top down analysis on EURUSDPlease watch and take notes! This is very power and wait for Part 2 which be uploaded shortly.
THOUGHTS ON EUR/USDEUR/USD 4H - How we getting on folks, above is my thoughts for this pair and how I can see it playing out over the course of the next week or so. Firstly you can see price has traded us down and into a Demand Zone.
Should price hold and not absorb the entire zone and continue to trade us lower I feel price will go on to trade us bullish longer term, as it stand price is showing good signs of that.
We have recently seen price trade us up and into an area of Supply which has caused price to trade lower, this is due to Supply being inroduced depreciating the market. However I feel this could be short lived.
You can see price is now hovering over another area of Demand, price has failed to break below this and this is because of the liquidity thats sat there. I would like to see price accumulate now before taking us higher in the market.
EURUSD GOING UPLow RSI + two consecutive accumulation areas means EURUSD going up ;
however the question is after this small rally, what s happening ?
That s the 1000$ question, the two yellow lines you see on the chart show that none of these schemes is more likely than the other one, we simply have no idea for now.
We'll have to wait for new elements and KL to determine that.
Sink or SwimThese Units seem. to be fighting for dominance as the Eur is trying to regain it's footing.
The Dollar sentiments coming from the transition of the guards-
New Economic policies in the piple line - Speculations at its best
EURUSD CHANGE IN DIRECTION..We are now seem to be on a bullish run with EURUSD..
Liquidity has been grabbed..
Apply good risk management as usual 🤝
#FOREXPAID
#PIPSPAYTHEBILLS
#FXSTORM
Day 1Limit Trade was set knowing the highs were respected and both London and Asian lows were disrespected in NY.
Used 15 minutes to enter the trade. using the sell side FVG.
EURUSD - Signalling a Bearish MoveEurusd is showing a rejection from above trendline and as far as above resistsance is expected we can expect a Bearish move. Please be mindful of the upcoming High Impact News. Below are the possible trades.
Bearish EUR/USD Scenario:
Entry Point: A confirmed break below the recent support level at 1.0280.
Stop Loss (SL): Above the resistance level at 1.0320.
Take Profit (TP): Initial target at 1.0200, with a secondary target at 1.0150 if bearish momentum continues.
Bullish EUR/USD Scenario:
Entry Point: A confirmed break above the resistance level at 1.0350.
Stop Loss (SL): Below the support level at 1.0310.
Take Profit (TP): Initial target at 1.0400, with a secondary target at 1.0450 if bullish momentum persists.
For entries, please wait for at least two candle reversals at the specified level and apply appropriate risk management.
If you found this analysis helpful, please consider boosting and following for more updates.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
eurusdEURUSD ( Euro / U.S Dollar )
Bullish Channel as an corrective pattern in Short Time Frame
Break of Structure
RSI - Divergence
Demand Zone
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " a " Corrective Waves
Thursday Review: Forex, Gold, Oil and U.S. TreasuriesOver the past two weeks, financial markets have experienced significant fluctuations in currencies, gold, oil and U.S. Treasuries, influenced by various economic and geopolitical factors.
Currencies: U.S. Dollar Strengthening
The US dollar has maintained an uptrend against several major currencies, supported by the US Federal Reserve's monetary policy,yesterday's price pushed the Euro to 1.025,today the EUR/USD has shown a depreciation of the Euro against the dollar, currently trading around 1.029 USD per Euro a moving zone that it has resumed several times during January. The pound sterling has also shown weakness against the dollar, trading around 1.22 USD per pound it has moved recovering its prices from its lows of 1.20986 despite a weak PPI at 1.5% (consensus 2.1% and previous 1.6%) and inflation at 2.5% (consensus and previous 2.6%) which have not been really good. USD/JPY has seen a significant rise, currently trading at 156 JPY per USD in its support zones despite a positive export data, the Bank of Japan's monetary policies are not being able to properly sustain the currency on the recovery path. The Australian dollar despite having a clear downtrend since October 2024, has shown a slight appreciation against the US dollar since this Monday 13, trading around 0.65 USD per AUD. The Canadian dollar seems to be managed by the Bank of Canada in a range initiated on December 18 to date, that has maintained a stable price against the US dollar, around 1.43 CAD per USD, in a range of 1.446 and 1.43 USD.
Gold: Influenced by Dollar Strength
The price of gold has shown volatility in recent weeks, influenced by the strength of the dollar and interest rate expectations. Currently, gold is trading around USD 2,698.68 per ounce. The precious metal is facing resistance at 2,721.20 USD per ounce, which with the entry of Donald Trump and his tariffs, could appreciate again and cause this resistance to be pierced.
Oil: Movements in the WTI and Brent Markets
Oil prices have experienced fluctuations due to factors such as global supply and demand, as well as OPEC+ decisions. U.S. crude oil stocks were lower than expected -1.961M versus -1.6M expected. Gasoline and distillates stocks were higher than expected. The price of a barrel of WTI crude oil is currently at 78.50 USD. The price of a barrel of Brent crude oil is at 82.50 USD. Both prices have returned to July 2024 prices. It is expected that crude oil will face demand problems that could push BRENT out of 84 USD and push WTI to the 81.15 USD area where its main resistance is located.
US Treasury Bonds: Yields on the Rise
US Treasury bond yields have shown an increase in recent weeks, reflecting investors' expectations about monetary policy and inflation. The yield on the 10-year bond is approximately 4.61%, while the yield on the 20-year bond is around 4.74%.
Factors Influencing the Movements.
These movements are being driven by a variety of factors, including:
- Federal Reserve Monetary Policy: Expectations about future interest rate hikes have strengthened the dollar and affected gold prices.
- Geopolitical Tensions: Factors such as OPEC+ production decisions and tensions in the Middle East have influenced oil prices.
- Economic Data: Indicators such as inflation and economic growth have affected expectations for Treasury yields.
In summary, financial markets have shown significant movements over the past two weeks, influenced by a combination of monetary policies, geopolitical factors and economic data. Investors should keep an eye on these developments to better understand current market dynamics.
Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
*******************************************************************************************
The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
EURUSDWe clearly see the rising wedge channel is broken in 4H tf, retested and drop down, now we need some correction till zone of break and to drop more lets see..
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 16, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is holding near 1.0295 in the early Asian session on Thursday. Lower than expected US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for December raises the possibility that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may cut interest rates twice this year, putting pressure on the US Dollar. However, growing concerns over Eurozone economic growth could limit the major pair's gains.
The US Dollar (USD) declined after weaker than expected US core CPI data, fuelling expectations that the Fed's easing cycle is not yet over. Markets now expect the US central bank to cut rates by 40 basis points (bps) before the end of the year, compared to around 31 bps before the inflation data was released.
Across the ocean, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut rates four times last year and traders expect three or four changes this year due to concerns about the Eurozone's weak economic outlook. Rising bets on further ECB interest rate cuts could undermine the euro (EUR) against the U.S. dollar in the near term.
Later on Thursday, investors will be watching Germany's Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for December and the ECB monetary policy meeting report. In the US, the main events will be retail sales data for December and weekly initial jobless claims.
Trade recommendation: Watch the level of 1.0260, when fixing below consider Sell positions, when rebounding consider Buy positions.
EURUSD SHORTTERM BUYEURUSD SHORTTERM BUY.
Based on fundamental andtechnical analysis.Highly probable trade
EUR/USD Trade Plan Summary - Reversal
Entry: Place a Buy Stop at 1.04355, confirming a breakout from the falling wedge.
Stop Loss: Set at 1.01702, below the recent lower low to limit risk.
Take Profit: Target TP1 at 1.06993 and optionally TP2 at 1.09253 for extended gains.
Confirmation: Wait for a daily candle close above the wedge before activating the trade.
Risk Management: Risk 1-2% of capital and adjust position size based on the entry-to-SL distance.
eurusda move up then down drop. dxy dropping will cause eurusd to rise to the immediate resistance 1.03239 and then a drop to immediate support 1.0251
EURUSD Trading Journal EURUSD Trading Journal
Jan15 analysis
In the NY session price consolidated during London, setting up for the manipulation at 8am. Accumulation then distribution and back to consolidation.
Price gravitated to rebalanced the hourly FVG and noted clean equal highs. Great delivery.
Jan16
Price is delivering to a Discount on the Daily range and previous days range.
I would like to see price come take the equal lows and then seek higher to retrace yesterdays inefficiently delivered price and gravitate to the 15M FVG. Majority liquidity needs to the taken before i will engage in a trade. NY has red folder manipulation.
Bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has reacted off the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.0260
1st Support: 1.0194
1st Resistance: 1.0341
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Euro Range Breakout Imminent Euro has responded to confluent downtrend support this week with EUR/USD poised to snap a six-week losing streak.
The immediate focus is on a breakout of the January opening-range (1.02-1.0448) range for guidance with the broader short-bias vulnerable while above parallel support.
Bottom line: rallies would need to be capped by 1.06 IF price is heading lower on this stretch with a close below 1.02 needed to fuel the next major leg of the decline.
Published an in-depth update on this Euro setup earlier today on Forex.com .
-MB
Short trade
15min TF entry
Pair EURUSD
Sellside trade
Wed 15th Jan 24
9.15 am
Entry 1.03303
Profit level 1.03011 (0.28%)
Stop level 1.03462 (0.15%)
RR 1.84
Reason: The price seems overextended at this time. I assume a retracement is on the cards to balance out the price range, then pursue back to the upward momentum with the trend thereafter.
