EUR/USD Daily Technical Analysis 5.8.25EUR/USD Technical Research Report
Overview
The EUR/USD exchange rate has experienced fluctuations amid economic and tariff uncertainties. The recent trend shows a general upward movement with some volatility.
Historical Price Analysis
- April 1 to May 7, 2025: The exchange rate started at approximately 1.08 and peaked around 1.14 before stabilizing near 1.13.
- Volatility: The rate exhibited significant volatility, particularly around mid-April, likely influenced by geopolitical and economic factors.
Key Influences:
1. Economic Indicators: The Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates has provided some stability, but ongoing inflation concerns continue to impact the market.
2. Trade Talks: Positive developments in US-China trade talks have buoyed market sentiment, potentially supporting the euro.
3. Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing geopolitical tensions may contribute to future volatility.
Technical Indicators:
- Support Level: Around 1.08, where the rate found initial support.
- Resistance Level: Near 1.14, where the rate faced resistance before stabilizing.
- Momentum: The upward momentum suggests potential for further gains, but caution is warranted due to underlying economic concerns.
Outlook:
- Short-term: Expect continued volatility with potential upward movement if positive economic data and trade developments persist.
- Long-term: Economic uncertainties and geopolitical tensions may lead to fluctuations, requiring close monitoring of economic indicators and trade negotiations.
Recommendations:
- Traders: Consider short-term opportunities with a focus on technical levels and economic data releases.
- Investors: Maintain a cautious approach, keeping an eye on geopolitical developments and central bank policies.
EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD: Bullish Continuation
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the EURUSD pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
The next EUR/USD move could pay twice”Current Price Structure:
Price is forming a potential Head & Shoulders / distribution near resistance (blue + red zone).
There is a clear supply zone overhead around 1.14255–1.14496.
Key demand zone (yellow box) 1.12274–1.11800.
3. Potential Trade Ideas (2 setups):
First short from the current resistance (blue box), aiming towards yellow demand zone.
Second opportunity: After a potential bounce → re-test of lower highs (blue box again) → another short towards demand zone (confluence short twice).
4. Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.14255 – 1.14496
Support: 1.12274 – 1.11800
Current price: 1.13115
5. Bias:
Short-term bearish towards 1.1227 zone.
Wait for confirmation with structure breaks and lower highs.
EURUSD tested the Support line 1.12725 👀 Possible scenario:
The euro (EUR) fell 0.59% on May 7 after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged, as expected. The U.S. dollar strengthened, supported by the Fed’s cautious tone on inflation and unemployment risks, as well as optimism around upcoming U.S.-China trade talks set for May 10 in Switzerland.
On May 8, EURUSD held above the 50-day moving average. Traders are watching the Bank of England’s rate decision at 11:00 a.m. UTC, which could spark volatility in euro pairs. U.S. Jobless Claims data, due at 12:30 p.m. UTC, may also influence USD movements across the board.
✅ Support and Resistance Levels
Now, the support level is located at 1.12725.
Resistance level is now located at 1.14220.
EUR USD Buy nowTook a EUR/USD buy after a clear sell-side liquidity sweep, followed by a bullish CHOCH (Change of Character) and a break of structure (BOS). Waited for price to retrace into the fair value gap on the 5-minute timeframe, then entered on the confirmation. Targeting buy-side liquidity above.
EURUSD Poised for a Sharp DeclineAfter what appears to be a completed distribution phase, FX:EURUSD looks ready to break lower toward key support levels. The first significant level to watch is 1.1263 — a clean break below it would likely open the way to the next two targets at 1.1145 and 1.1094. This move is supported by a strengthening TVC:DXY , which also appears bullish.
Euro Strengthens on Political ShiftsEUR/USD traded just above 1.1300 on Thursday, staying in a tight range as reduced political uncertainty in Europe and a softer U.S. dollar offered mixed cues. The euro was supported by news of Friedrich Merz becoming Germany’s chancellor, while the dollar struggled despite a hawkish Fed pause, as Powell flagged tariff-related risks. Traders are focused on Trump’s press conference at 14:00 GMT and U.S. jobless claims for near-term direction.
Resistance is seen at 1.1460, with higher levels at 1.1580 and 1.1680. Support lies at 1.1260, followed by 1.1200 and 1.1150.
Trade Wars, Tariffs & Currencies: The Connection Explained📊 What Are Tariffs & Why Should Traders Care? 💱
Tariffs are taxes imposed by a country on imported goods. Think of them as the "price of entry" foreign products must pay to access domestic markets.
🔍 Why Governments Use Them:
Protect domestic industries from cheaper foreign goods
Retaliate in trade disputes
Raise revenue (less common today)
🧠 Why Traders Should Watch Tariffs:
Tariffs don’t just hit companies—they ripple through economies and currency markets. Here’s how:
📉 1. Currency Impact
Tariffs can lead to currency depreciation in the targeted country as trade volumes fall and foreign demand drops.
Example: When the U.S. imposed tariffs on China, the Yuan weakened to offset the blow.
📈 2. Inflation Pressure
Tariffs make imports more expensive, fueling inflation. Central banks may respond with rate hikes—which moves markets.
🌐 3. Risk Sentiment
Tariff wars increase global uncertainty = risk-off sentiment. Traders flee riskier currencies (like EMFX) for safe havens like the USD, CHF, or JPY.
🔄 4. Trade Balance Shifts
Tariffs can affect a country's trade balance, influencing long-term currency valuation.
💡 Trading Tip:
Watch for tariff announcements or trade tension headlines—they often precede volatility spikes in major pairs. Combine with sentiment tools and fundamentals for best results.
MarketBreakdown | EURUSD, USDCAD, NZDUSD, USDCHF
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #EURUSD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD formed a huge head and shoulders pattern.
The price is currently testing its horizontal neckline.
Bearish breakout of that and a daily candle close below
will confirm a bearish reversal and push the prices lower.
2️⃣ #USDCAD daily time frame 🇺🇸🇨🇦
The price is breaking a solid falling trend line.
Its violation is an important bullish signal that
indicates a strength of the buyers.
We can expect even more growth.
3️⃣ #NZDUSD daily time frame 🇺🇸🇳🇿
The pair is consolidating within a horizontal range.
The price is going to reach its support soon.
I suggest looking for a pullback trade from that then.
4️⃣ #USDCHF daily time frame 🇺🇸🇨🇭
The price is stuck within a horizontal parallel channel.
I expect a bullish continuation within that and a test
of its upper boundary.
Then, look for a confirmation to see and try to catch a retracement from that.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD Is Ready to Break Resistance LinesEURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is trying to break the Resistance lines , it has tried several times in the past few days but failed. Will EURUSD succeed this time?
In terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that EURUSD has completed the main wave 4 near the Support zone($1.1300-$1.1160) and Support line , and we should wait for impulsive waves . Breaking the Resistance zone($1.1480-$1.1420) can confirm the end of the main wave 4 . Otherwise , the main wave 4 can have other forms.
I expect EURUSD to break the Resistance lines in this attack and rise to at least $1.1384 , and the next target can be around $1.1437 .
Note: If EURUSD can break below $1.1272(the worst Stop Loss(SL)), we can expect more dumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Euro Holds Ground as German Output SurgesGermany’s March Industrial Production surprised to the upside, jumping 3.0% MoM vs. 0.8% expected, signalling a rebound in Europe’s economic engine. However, EUR/USD remains subdued near 1.1300 as markets shift focus to Fed policy signals and upcoming trade talks. On the chart, key support at 1.1280 is holding, a bounce from here could open room toward 1.1370/1.1500 if sentiment shifts. Keep an eye on macro cues and potential breakout momentum.
Resistance : 1.1374, 1.1558
Support : 1.1281, 1.1190
Pair: EURUSD Bias: Bullish Timeframe: 4H / DailyPrice is consolidating within a tight range between 1.14149 (resistance) and 1.12372 (support). On the 4H chart, EURUSD is approaching the lower bound of that range — 1.12372 — and we’re watching closely to see if support forms.
If we get a bullish reaction at 1.12372, this will likely be our trigger for new long positions as the broader structure remains bullish. Alternatively, a clean break and close above 1.14149 would offer a safer long continuation trade toward the next higher highs.
🟢 Buy Scenarios:
Bullish PA at 1.12372 → buy toward 1.14149
Break and retest of 1.14149 → buy continuation
🔴 Sell Scenarios:
No confirmed setups unless 1.12372 breaks (not currently biased for shorts)
🎯 Targets:
First: 1.14149
Beyond: Reassess for next higher high
Patience is key — let the chart confirm.
EURUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 1.1339, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 1.1142, a pullback support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss is set at 1.1475, a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Bearish reversal?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1338
1st Support: 1.1274
1st Resistance: 1.1376
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.