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EURUSD trade ideas

EUR/USD Trend Today - Testing 1.1000?🔔🔔🔔 EUR/USD news: 👉The EUR/USD pair rebounds from the 1.0900 level during the European session on Tuesday. Market optimism surrounding the German vote on the fiscal plan and discussions between Trump and Putin counterbalance rising tensions in the Middle East and global trade, leading to a weaker US Dollar and supporting the currency pair. 👉While the Euro (EUR) faces pressure from additional tariffs imposed by US President Donald Trump on European Union goods, the US Dollar (USD) remains under pressure due to growing concerns over an economic slowdown in the United States. Additionally, hopes for a German fiscal agreement may help limit the pair’s downside. Personal opinion: 👉The daily momentum is bullish but shows signs of slowing while the RSI shows signs of falling from overbought conditions. 👉In addition, the DXY entered oversold territory and slowed at support, so a rebound for the DXY is likely. 👉However, EUR/USD main trend today will be uptrend, watch for price to decrease to buy at a good price for you Analysis: 👉Based on important resistance - support levels and Fibonacci combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy EUR/USD 1.0925 - 1.0910 ❌SL: 1.0890 | ✅TP: 1.0960 - 1.1010 - 1.1050 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
Lagarde Flags Slower Growth from U.S. TariffsThe euro fell below $1.085, retreating from its March 18 high of $1.0954, after ECB President Christine Lagarde warned of slower growth risks. Speaking to European lawmakers, she said a proposed 25% U.S. tariff on EU goods could cut eurozone growth by 0.3 percentage points in the first year, or 0.5 points if the EU retaliates. Lagarde added that the main impact would be front-loaded, with limited inflation pressures, suggesting the ECB is unlikely to raise rates in response. Key resistance is at 1.0860, followed by 1.0950 and 1.1000. Support stands at 1.0800, with further levels at 1.0730 and 1.0670. 
by ChartMage
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): SHORT to the support area at 1.07279.Dear colleagues, price is still in an uptrend, but wave “5” is often unpredictable, so I do not recommend buying. I will look out for short positions. I believe that the price can renew the high and reach the area of 1.10000 or even a little higher, but I will place pending limit orders to sell. Or the price will immediately start a downward movement. The target is the support area at 1.07279. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Short
by Hellena_Trade
24
Machine Learning Algorithms for Forex Market AnalysisMachine Learning Algorithms for Forex Market Analysis Machine learning is transforming the currency trading landscape, offering innovative ways to analyse market trends. This article delves into how machine learning algorithms are reshaping forex trading. Understanding these technologies' benefits and challenges provides traders with insights to navigate the currency markets potentially more effectively, harnessing the power of data-driven decision-making. The Basics of Machine Learning in Forex Trading Machine learning for forex trading marks a significant shift from traditional analysis methods. At its core, machine learning involves algorithms that learn from and provide signals based on data. Unlike standard trading algorithms, which operate on predefined rules, these algorithms adapt and improve over time with exposure to more data. Machine learning forex prediction algorithms analyse historical and real-time market data, identifying patterns that are often imperceptible to the human eye. They can process a multitude of technical and fundamental factors simultaneously, offering a more dynamic approach to analysing market trends. This capability can allow traders to make more informed decisions about when to buy or sell currency pairs. The increasing availability of market data and advanced computing power has made machine learning an invaluable tool in a trader's arsenal. Types of Machine Learning Algorithms in Forex Trading In the realm of forex trading, various machine-learning algorithms are utilised to decipher complex market patterns and determine future currency movements. These algorithms leverage forex datasets for machine learning, which encompass historical price data, economic indicators, and global financial news, to train models for accurate analysis. - Support Vector Machines (SVMs): SVMs are particularly adept at classification tasks. In forex, they analyse datasets to categorise market trends as bullish or bearish, helping traders in decision-making. - Neural Networks: These mimic human brain functioning and are powerful in recognising subtle patterns in market datasets. They are often embedded in forex forecasting software to determine future price movements based on historical trends and fundamental data. - Linear Regression: This straightforward approach models the relationship between dependent and independent variables in forex data. It's commonly used for its simplicity and effectiveness in identifying trends. - Random Forest: This ensemble learning method combines multiple decision trees to potentially improve analysis accuracy and reduce overfitting, making it a reliable choice in the forex market analysis. - Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs): Suited for sequential data, RNNs can be effective in analysing time-series market data, capturing dynamic changes over time. - Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Networks: A specialised form of RNNs, LSTMs are designed to remember long-term dependencies, making them effective tools for analysing extensive historical forex datasets. Benefits of Machine Learning in Forex Trading Machine learning offers significant advantages for forex analysis. Its integration into forex prediction software may enhance trading strategies in several key ways: - Real-Time Data Analysis: Algorithms excel in analysing vast amounts of real-time data, which is crucial for accurate forex daily analysis and prediction. - Automated Trading: These algorithms automate the buying and selling process, which may increase efficiency and reaction speed to market changes. - Enhanced Market Understanding: It helps in dissecting historical market data, providing a deeper understanding for informed decision-making. - Accuracy in Analysis: Software powered by machine learning offers superior analysis abilities, leading to potentially more precise and timely trades. - Risk Reduction: By minimising human error and maintaining consistency, machine learning may reduce trading risks, contributing to a safer trading environment. Challenges and Limitations Machine learning in currency trading, while transformative, comes with its own set of challenges and limitations: - Data Quality and Availability: Accurate machine learning analysis depends on large volumes of high-quality data. Forex markets can produce noisy or incomplete data, which can compromise the reliability of the analysis and signals. - Complexity and Overfitting: Developing effective algorithms for forex trading is complex. There's a risk of overfitting, where models perform well on training data but poorly in real-world scenarios. - Interpretability Issues: Machine learning models, especially deep learning algorithms, can be "black boxes," making it difficult to understand how decisions are made. This lack of transparency can be a hurdle in regulatory compliance and trust-building. - Regulatory Challenges: Currency markets are heavily regulated, and incorporating machine learning must align with these regulatory requirements, which can vary significantly across regions. - Cost and Resource Intensive: Implementing machine learning requires significant computational resources and expertise, which can be costly and resource-intensive, especially for smaller trading firms or individual traders. The Bottom Line Machine learning represents a paradigm shift in forex trading – it may offer enhanced analysis accuracy and decision-making capabilities. While challenges like data quality, complexity, and regulatory compliance persist, the benefits of advanced algorithms in understanding and navigating market dynamics are undeniable. For those looking to trade forex, opening an FXOpen account could be a step towards a wide range of markets, lightning execution and tight spreads. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 21, 2025 EURUSDFederal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell downplayed the danger to the economy from US President Donald Trump's tariff threats, which seem to exist in a quantum state where they both exist and don't exist at the same time. According to Fed Chairman Powell, downside risks have certainly increased thanks to repeated tariff threats, but Fed policymakers continue to insist that US economic data remains strong, albeit off recent highs. The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia's (Fed) manufacturing activity survey for March fell to 12.5 m/m, down from the previous reading of 18.1 and down for the second month in a row, but held the brakes and fell less than the median market forecast of 8.5. US weekly initial jobless claims also rose less than expected at 223,000 new jobless claimants, up from 220,000 the previous week. Investors had expected the figure to be 224k. Sales of existing homes in the US also rose by almost a third of a million transactions more than expected, rising to 4.26 million units in February from a revised January figure of 4.09 million. Market watchers had expected a slight slowdown to 3.95 million. With little in the way of economic data on Friday, investors will have a week's worth of events to digest. Traders will also keep an eye on any social media developments from President Trump. Trade recommendation: SELL 1.0850, SL 1.0930, TP 1.0760
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EUR/USD 4H Trading Plan: Buy Setup & Target Projection📊 EUR/USD 4H Analysis 🔵 Support Zone (1.07584 - 1.0800) 🔵 📌 Expected Reversal Area – Buyers might step in here. ⚠️ Stop-Loss Below ❌ (If price breaks lower, trade is invalid). 🟦 Resistance Zone (~1.0875 - 1.0900) 🟦 📌 First Hurdle – Price may face resistance here before moving higher. 🎯 Target Point: 1.10229 🎯 ✅ Final Take-Profit Level – If price reaches here, trade is successful! 📉 Plan: 🔻 Expect a drop into support first… 🔄 Bullish reversal from support… 🚀 Uptrend toward 1.10229! 🔴 Stop-Loss Below 1.07584 (🚫 Safety Net). 🟢 Entry Around Support Zone (✅ Buy Opportunity). 🔵 Exit at Target Point (1.10229) (💰 Profit Zone). 📝 Final Thought: If the price respects the support zone 🟢, a BUY trade is valid. If it breaks lower 🔴, it's best to step out! 🚀
by Jameshead007
EURUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price may make a bearish reversal off our sell entry level at 1.0874, a pullback resistance. Our take profit is set at 1.0782, a swing low support. The stop loss is set at 1.0953, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
Short
by FXCM
EUR/USD: Power Move Signals Wave 3—Is Wave 5 Next?Strong Moves Often Mean One Thing: Wave 3! Hello traders! If you’ve been watching EUR/USD, you’ve probably noticed the recent explosive move higher. When you see a sharp, powerful trend like this, there’s a good chance you’re looking at a third wave in Elliott Wave theory. And guess what? That’s exactly what seems to be unfolding here. Wave-by-Wave Breakdown: Wave 1: The first push up—this sets the tone for a potential new trend. Wave 2: A corrective pullback that held its ground, acting as the calm before the storm. Wave 3: Boom! This is where things get exciting. Wave 3 is usually the strongest, most aggressive move in an impulse wave. In EUR/USD, we’ve seen an extended and powerful run, confirming the textbook characteristics of a Wave 3. Wave 4 (In Progress): After that big Wave 3, we’re seeing a pullback—a classic Wave 4 correction. This is where many traders sit back and wait. Why This Matters: Once Wave 4 completes, we could be looking at Wave 5, the next leg higher. While Wave 5 might not always be as explosive as Wave 3, it’s often a high-probability setup for trend continuation traders. If Wave 4 stabilizes near key support zones (watch 38.2% or 50% retracements of Wave 3), Wave 5 could be a clean move higher. Actionable Tips for Traders: Watch for signs that Wave 4 is ending: slowing momentum, bullish reversal candles, or support holding. Use tools like RSI and MACD to spot hidden bullish divergence as a clue. Plan entries above minor resistance levels, and keep stops tight below Wave 4’s low. Final Thoughts: Powerful moves like Wave 3 grab attention—but it’s often the Wave 5 trade that gives us a structured, high-probability opportunity. Stay patient, stay focused, and let the waves guide you! If you found this analysis helpful, give it a like and follow for more real-time wave breakdowns!
Long
by TheSignalService
EURUSD Sell Position - 21 March 2025 Hello everyone, dzhvush here ! I am looking for selling position on FOREXCOM:EURUSD chart. I think we will close the price below the LL level. At 05:00 AM (GMT -4), we have current account new for Euro. I am waiting that the price is going up in Asia Range.Then at London Range, waiting for taken liquidity. Notes for me being better trader: You don't need to look the chart every single minute. You are doing well, just keep in simple and no reaction. Believe See you next week ! Best Regards dzhvush
Short
by dzhvush
2
EUR, setting up for another MASSIVE rise from 1.085... SEED NOW!TRADE SEED SIGNAL: FX LONG EURUSD. EU doing some familiar dance steps. It did the same thing before the huge run up from 1.04 season before it tap 1.09 zone (+500 pips). Now EU is doing the same formation again for that next massive RISE.. I call this the 1-2 punch signal, when this show -- some wonderful things is about to transpire. We are at the elusive basing zone now. A rare opportunity to Seed at the current discounted range. Spotted at 1.0850 Interim at 1.11 / 1.12. TAYOR. Trade safely.
Long
by JSAL
16
EURUSD TRADING JOURNAL March 20 Analysis EURUSD TRADING JOURNAL March 20 Analysis Double Premium with a sell side event horizon Sell stop raid. Asia Price consolidates to make equal highs and expands to the down side. Perfect set up at 23:00 macro. At 2 macro small consolidation in FVG. Expands to FVG created in dealers range. Same thing at 4 macro consolidates with a small reversal and by 4:30 expands again seeking sell stops and what I believe is the magnet the event horizon. consolidates again coming to NY. 8:30 expands further into a discount and seeks sell stops. Small consolidation a retraces at 11 macro to close in a consolidation. Fantastic delivery of stop raid. Loving watching where prices retraces and why. Loving watching prices reactions and how the event horizon can be a magnet which I noted on Tuesday and to watch unfold so cool.
by LeanLena
Hidden Forces: Decoding Buyer & Seller Activity on ChartsTotal Volume vs. Volume Delta: The total volume on the chart includes both buys and sells, making it less useful for analysis. Volume Delta, however, shows whether buyers or sellers dominated within a candle. A green Delta candle means more aggressive retail buying; a red one means more retail selling. This helps analyze market sentiment beyond price movement.
 Price & Delta Relationships: 1. Price and Delta move together → Organic movement, likely driven by retail. 2. Delta moves, but price doesn’t → Retail is heavily biased in one direction, absorbing limit orders. Possible smart money trap. 3. Price moves, but Delta doesn’t → Retail didn’t participate in the move. Lack of belief or failed market-making attempt. 4. Price moves against Delta → Strong indication of market manipulation. Large players using aggressive strategies against retail.
 Market Manipulation & Smart Money: * Whales leverage retail psychology and order flow to position themselves. * Retail often gets caught in fake moves, unknowingly providing liquidity to big players. Final Thought: By analyzing Delta and price movement together, we can spot hidden large buyers and sellers and understand market dynamics beyond surface-level price action.
Education
by supremum_ar