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EURUSD trade ideas

EURUSD climbing EURUSD is currently moving in line with expectations. Since the beginning of the week, it has been trading sideways, and yesterday it bounced off the 38.2% retracement level. On the next bullish move, it's important to watch how it reacts to the previous high and whether it can continue with a strong impulse. Today, FED Chair Powell has a press conference, which could lead to increased market volatility. Tomorrow, the ECB's interest rate decision is expected.
Long
by ForexTrendline
Bearish Retracement Setup Near Key Fib ZoneThe FX:EURUSD is showing a strong bullish retracement after a longer-term downtrend. Price is now above the Ichimoku cloud, with Span A at 1.0851 and Span B at 1.0825, which shows temporary bullish momentum but not a confirmed trend reversal. The area between the 61.8% (1.1402) and 78.6% (1.1907) Fibonacci retracement levels is a key supply zone. This zone also aligns with previous highs near 1.12, where the market seems to have grabbed liquidity before showing signs of exhaustion. Both Trend Strength Index (TSI) indicators are in the overbought zone: TSI(10): 0.92 TSI(20): 0.77 This shows strong momentum, but also that the move may be overextended and due for a correction. The current structure suggests a possible lower high forming, which supports the idea of a short entry if price reacts in this zone. Short Setup Plan: Entry zone: 1.1402 – 1.1907 (Fibonacci zone) Stop Loss: 1.25 (above the 100% retracement) Targets: TP1: 0.95 (key psychological level, previous lows) TP2: 0.88 (extension zone) Risk Reward Ratio: Over 2 This setup assumes the bullish retracement is temporary and price may continue the larger bearish trend. EUR/USD is reacting to shifting expectations between the ECB and the Fed. While the Fed is expected to cut rates later in 2025, the ECB may move earlier due to weak growth and cooling inflation in the Eurozone. Recent ECB statements show a cautious tone. At the same time, the U.S. economy remains relatively strong. If the Fed delays cuts or the ECB moves faster, the euro could weaken again, supporting a bearish technical setup. Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not represent financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose.
Short
by SupertradeOfficial
EURUSD Analysis – Potential Bearish Reversal AheadFollowing a strong bullish move, EURUSD is now entering a premium zone where I expect sell-side pressure to start building up. Similar to my GBPUSD analysis, this setup is based on liquidity collection and a potential change of character (CHOCH) before bearish continuation. 🔍 Key Technical Observations: Price is currently reacting within a FVG zone, suggesting a temporary bullish push might grab liquidity before reversal. I'm closely watching for CHOCH confirmation, followed by impulsive bearish momentum toward demand zones. Targets are aligned with structure levels and imbalance zones between 1.1080 and 1.0780. 🛡️ Strategy Note: Patience is key here. I'll wait for signs of exhaustion or manipulation above the highs before engaging in any short bias. This idea continues to follow my model of trend exhaustion, liquidity sweeps, FVG reaction, and CHOCH validation. — Emerson Massawe
Short
by Lordemerson
1
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 1.1369 1st Support: 1.1147 1st Resistance: 1.1471 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
1
EUR/USD Bearish Setup Unfolding Below Key Resistance📊 Technical Analysis of EUR/USD (4H Chart) 🧭 Chart Overview: Current Price: ~1.1350 Indicators Used: EMA 50 (Red): ~1.1311 — acting as dynamic support. EMA 200 (Blue): ~1.1114 — aligns closely with major support zone. 📌 Key Levels: 🔼 Main Resistance Zone: 1.1375 – 1.1400 Price has tested this zone multiple times, forming a potential double top pattern. Strong bearish pressure observed each time price enters this area. 🔁 Minor Resistance (Retest Zone): ~1.1325 – 1.1345 Currently acting as a decision zone. If price fails to hold above this level, it could turn into resistance on the next bearish leg. 🔽 Support Zone: 1.1100 – 1.1130 Converges with EMA 200 — making it a high-probability demand zone. Potential target for the anticipated drop. 🧠 Price Action & Structure: Market showed a strong bullish rally previously, breaking through resistance levels. Now showing signs of exhaustion at the top. Bearish scenario projected with a lower high forming below the main resistance, followed by a sell-off toward the support zone. ⚙️ Possible Scenarios: Bearish Scenario (High Probability): Price rejects the minor resistance → breaks below EMA 50 → continues lower to support. Target: 1.1110 area. Bullish Scenario (Low Probability): Price reclaims and closes above 1.1375 with strong momentum. Potential breakout and continuation toward 1.1450+. 🧩 Confluences Supporting Bearish Bias: Lower high formation potential. EMA 50 starting to flatten. Failure to maintain momentum above main resistance. Clean drop path toward 1.1110 if support breaks. 📉 Conclusion: This setup favors short-term bearish movement, particularly if the price rejects around the 1.1345 level again. A breakdown below the minor resistance zone would likely trigger a sell-off toward the 1.1110 support, in line with the 200 EMA.
Short
by MrStellanSight
6
Bearish drop?EUR/USD has reacted off the support level which is a pullback support and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.1304 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Stop loss: 1.1371 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 1.1160 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Lingrid | EURUSD bullish MOMENTUM Testing KEY Resistance LevelThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . It reached the target zone. FX:EURUSD formed a massive bullish weekly candle, representing an impulse leg on lower timeframes. The market broke and closed above the 2023 high and is now testing the 2022 high. On the 1H timeframe, the market is likely to create an ABC pullback toward the support level and upward trendline. I think the price may continue moving sideways since consolidation phases typically follow impulse legs. If the price rejects the support level below, we can expect the market to move higher. This consolidation would be a natural breathing period after the strong upward movement before potentially continuing the bullish trend. My goal is resistance zone around 1.15000 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
15
EURUSD Daily, H4,H1 Forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading Idea💡 Daily Timeframe: As forecasted by 4CastMachine AI last week, EURUSD was rejected from the channel line. 💡 H4 Timeframe: FX:EURUSD started a corrective wave, This decline may continue, but the support area of ​1.1200 ~ 1.0890 could trigger a rebound. This area, which was previously a major resistance, will become a major support, creating a good buying opportunity. 💡 H1 Timeframe: The Triangle pattern formed in the price has broken downwards. The bearish wave is expected to continue as long as the price is below the strong resistance at 1.1334 1.1334 Support is broken now. It will act as a Resistance now! 💡 H1 Forecast: Correction wave toward the Sell Zone Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs H1 Trading Idea: Sell now or wait for pullback and Sell on price rejection from 1.1334. SL: Above 1.1334 __________________________________________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . . . . Hit the 'BOOST' button 👍 . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful? How can we improve?) 🙏 Your support is appreciated! Now, it's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
by ForecastCity
14
EURUSD TRADE PLANS (BUY & SELL)🔥 EUR/USD TRADE PLAN 📅 Date: 15 April 2025 🔖 Plan Type: Dual-Sided Swing Plan Buy Setup: Bullish Continuation from Demand Sell Setup: Counter-Trend Reversal from Supply 📈 Bias: 🔵 Primary Bias: Bullish (HTF trend continuation) 🔴 Secondary Bias: Bearish (short-term exhaustion + liquidity grab) 🧠 Structure Observations: Price has reacted off weekly supply near 1.1420+ Bearish engulfing confirmed on H4 Still bullish on HTF, unless 1.1180 breaks clean Demand remains valid at prior breakout and imbalance zones Volume support at breakout base (H4 OB region) 🟢 BUY PLAN – BULLISH CONTINUATION 🔰 Confidence Levels: 🟢 Buy Plan – Bullish Continuation Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (80%) ✅ Reasons: HTF uptrend still intact Price respecting major demand zone structure Clean reaction zones + recent bullish reaction wicks 📍 Entry Zones: 🟩 Primary Buy Zone: 1.1180 – 1.1200  (FVG + H4 OB + H1 reaction point + 50 EMA region) 🔁 Entry trigger: M15–H1 bullish engulfing or sweep-reclaim pattern 🟨 Secondary Buy Zone: 1.1110 – 1.1135  (Deep demand + macro OB + previous resistance turned support) 🔁 Entry only after liquidity sweep and reclaim on H1 ❗ Stop Loss: Below 1.1090  → Clears all demand layers and invalidates bullish bias 🎯 Take Profits: 🎯 TP1: 1.1285 → Reaction point & H1 imbalance top 🎯 TP2: 1.1340 → Prior highs before supply zone 🎯 TP3: 1.1395 → Supply edge retest / liquidity magnet 🔴 SELL PLAN – REVERSAL FROM SUPPLY 🔴 Sell Plan – Counter-Trend Reversal Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐ (70%) ⚠️ Reasons: Near-term overextension visible from 1.14+ zone Weekly supply unmitigated; wicks show rejection Lower timeframes indicate momentum loss But trend is still bullish overall (so more caution) 📍 Entry Zones: 🟥 Primary Sell Zone: 1.1340 – 1.1385  (Weekly supply + wick fill + unmitigated imbalance) 🔁 Confirmation: M15–H1 bearish divergence, exhaustion wick, or engulfing 🟥 Secondary Sell Zone: 1.1285 – 1.1310  (Short-term supply pocket + FVG gap) 🔁 Needs aggressive confirmation — avoid early entry ❗ Stop Loss: Above 1.1405  → Invalidates supply and structure, breakout confirmed 🎯 Take Profits: 🎯 TP1: 1.1230 → Intra-demand + mid FVG 🎯 TP2: 1.1180 → Bullish entry zone 🎯 TP3: 1.1135 → Final target at deep support zone 📏 Risk–Reward Projection: Buy Plan: Approx. 1:3.2 R:R Sell Plan: Approx. 1:2.8 to 1:3.5 depending on execution 🔁 Validity: 48 hours from plan release or upon break of SL levels on either side 🌐 Fundamentals to Watch: Upcoming Eurozone ZEW data + US retail sales Fed rate sentiment remains dovish near-term Watch bond yield volatility this week 📋 Final Summary: EUR/USD is in a broader bullish structure but has now faced significant overhead supply. Short-term bearish pressure is visible, but structure remains intact unless 1.1090 is breached. Dual-plan allows traders to operate both edges with proper confirmation.
by jibkhan111
EURUSD Short 4/15/2025Entered a short on EUR/USD based on a multi-timeframe confluence. Daily Chart: Friday closed with a strong bullish rally. On Monday, price pushed higher again but failed to hold gains, closing below Friday’s close — signaling potential exhaustion of buyers. 4H Chart: An inside bar formed during the Monday-Tuesday transition, signaling compression and potential breakout. This coincided with a visible liquidity spike, likely a false breakout. 1H Chart: A clear inside bar pattern developed following the liquidity sweep. I entered the short at the close of that hourly candle. Targeting a 1:2 risk-to-reward or the next major liquidity grab zone — where we’d expect institutional stops to be clustered.
Short
by Big6Financial
Dovish ECB Meets Technical Confluence – EUR/USD at Make-or-BreakEUR/USD has been respecting a clear bearish trend structure, consistently forming lower highs and lower lows across the lower timeframes. The pair is currently in a corrective phase, retracing toward the 1.13600 zone, a critical area where the descending trendline, horizontal resistance, and prior support converge. This level could serve as a strong turning point. Fundamentally, the euro remains under pressure as markets anticipate a dovish stance from the ECB amid subdued inflation and softening economic data. Meanwhile we should be very cautious about the dollar with the very mixed war tariffs. A rejection at this level with confirming bearish price action could open the door for a fresh leg lower in line with the prevailing trend. I’m closely monitoring candlestick behavior and momentum signals around 1.13600 for a potential short setup.
Short
by JoeChampion