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EURUSD trade ideas

Lingrid | EURUSD in CONSOLIDATION zoneFX:EURUSD bounced off a support level, influenced by a day of significant news regarding the Euro. Overall, the market is in a consolidation phase as we approach the end of the year. It appears likely that the market will remain within last week's trading range. However, if we see a rejection signal at the support level and the downward trendline, we could expect a potential upward movement. This would suggest that the market may oscillate between the highs and lows of the consolidation zone. I anticipate the market will rise since the price has broken out of the falling wedge pattern. My goal is resistance zone around 1.05620 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
1
EURUSD NExt year bullishI believe we may see a potential bearish structure commonly referred to as the “Bart Simpson” pattern, followed by a clear upward trend with a prolonged rally and periodic signs of European recovery. This outlook is supported by the expectation that the United States will move away from Democratic governance, and that a similar shift will occur in core European countries that were previously undermined by these corrupt, progressive left-wing governments.
Long
by youbottrade
1
EUR/USD: Be careful with last minute Holiday shoppingHello traders My last idea worked out profitably. +85 pips. We are entering the last 24-36 hours of meaningful trading. Keep in mind, the Asian markets may not be so invested in the Holidays and may take advantage of the low liquidity in the Western markets. However, levels are levels, especially in the most liquid currency pair, EUR/USD. Take a good look at the monthly levels and how it translate on the lower time frame charts. I base most of my trades on monthly/weekly levels and fine tune it on the 1 to 4 hour charts. Fundamentally, the USA finalized the spending bill. PCE came in a tad lower at 0.1% As I have mentioned in my idea the chaos is back in Washington D.C. even before the inauguration of the President elect Elonald Trump. What happened this week is unconscionable. The blatant power struggle between Trump, Musk and our elected representatives in Congress has started. Mark my words, Trump will dump his unelected co-president sooner than later. He got elected and does not share the limelight with anyone. Remember how he broke hundreds of years of protocol and walked ahead of the late Queen Elizabeth 2nd during a State visit? The other significant development was how 38 GOP members of the House defied Trump and voted against his instruction to raise the debt limit ceiling. With a razor thin majority in the House, Trump is going to have a hard time implementing his agenda, so fasten your seat belts. All in all, the EURO is fundamentally weaker than the USD but investors do not like uncertainty. Just look at the strength of the JPY as a safe have when adverse geopolitical developments happen. I initiated a short position from 1.0442 and will monitor the 1.0419 level if it breaks, down to 1.0384 level for another long position. Best of luck. Happy Holidays.
by jvrfxalerts
2
EURUSD SELL NOW EURUSD (Euro vs. US Dollar) - 2H Chart Analysis The EURUSD pair has shown a strong recovery from its recent lows, forming a higher low pattern around the 1.038 support area. A corrective ascending channel previously dominated, but a breakout followed by a pullback to the critical support zone suggests a shift in momentum. Currently, the price is approaching a key resistance zone near 1.046. A rejection here could lead to a deeper retracement targeting 1.04180 and further down to 1.03819, aligning with Fibonacci and historical support levels. Alternatively, sustained momentum above 1.046 could invalidate the bearish scenario and lead to a continuation toward 1.05. Traders should watch for confirmation candles and volume increases to define the next directional move. Plan: Stay vigilant for sell signals near resistance or strong breakout confirmations above key levels.
by FOREXQUEEN_1
2
EUR/USD Downward Movement to Continue?The EUR/USD pair continues to show bearish potential on the daily timeframe. While Friday's high could be taken as part of a retracement, the overall trend remains bearish. There is a potential move toward the sell-side liquidity (SSL) below, aligning with unmitigated imbalance zones and market structure. Watch for price reaction in and around the Daily FVG level and the Fibonacci retracement zones for a potential bearish setup on the lower timeframes. Trade Safe ;)
Short
by jp7fx
1
EUR/USD Downward Pressure: What’s Fueling the USD Rally?The EUR/USD currency pair kicked off the week on a negative trend, dipping below the 1.0500 threshold and reaching around 1.0460 on Monday. As I write this piece, the pair appears to be stabilizing, trading close to 1.05250 in early Tuesday’s London session. According to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report, retail traders have been increasing their long positions, while non-commercial players maintain a bearish stance. This divergence hints at the potential for further downward movement in the pair. A cautious market sentiment has fortified the US Dollar (USD) against its competitors, putting additional pressure on the EUR/USD pair. Compounding these challenges for the Euro are the political uncertainties in France. Reports indicate that the government is on the verge of collapse after both far-right and left-wing factions introduced no-confidence motions against Prime Minister Michel Barnier, as stated by Reuters. Moreover, the differing monetary policies of the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the European Central Bank (ECB) continue to impede any upward momentum for the euro. Attention today is directed toward the US Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTs) and speeches from Federal Reserve officials. An increase in job openings could further strengthen the USD and the DXY index against other currencies. Currently, we are observing market movements without planning to initiate any trades, wanting to assess potential price levels before considering future positions. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
by FOREXN1
6
How to Build a Forex Trading Indicator How to Build a Forex Trading Indicator In the dynamic world of financial trading, understanding how to build a trading indicator is a valuable skill. This article is designed to navigate you through the essential steps of creating your own trading indicators, offering a blend of technical and practical insights to potentially enhance your market analysis and trading decisions. Understanding Trading Indicators Trading indicators are essential tools in analysing financial markets, offering traders valuable insights into market trends and potential trading opportunities. These mathematical calculations are applied to various market data points like price, volume, and sometimes open interest. In forex trading, indicators play a crucial role in analysing currency pair movements. There are several types of indicators, each serving a specific purpose: - Trend indicators help identify the direction of market movements. - Momentum indicators gauge the speed of these movements. - Volume indicators look at trading volumes to understand market strength. - Volatility indicators provide insight into the stability or instability of currency prices. While there are hundreds of indicators to choose from, some traders choose to develop their own based on their unique market observations. Basic Components of a Trading Indicator The core components of a trading indicator are price, volume, and time. These elements are fundamental in analysing market data and building various tools. - Price: The most critical component, price, is used in almost every trading indicator. It includes open, high, low, and close prices of trading instruments. Price data is essential for constructing trend-following tools like moving averages and oscillators like the Stochastic RSI. - Volume: Volume indicates the number of contracts traded in a given period. It provides insights into the strength or weakness of a market move. Volume-based tools, like the Volume Oscillator or On-Balance Volume (OBV), help traders understand the intensity behind price movements. - Time: Indicators use time periods to analyse market trends. This could be short-term (minutes, hours), medium-term (days, weeks), or long-term (months, years). Time frames influence the sensitivity of an indicator, with shorter periods typically offering more signals. Choosing the Right Data and Tools Selecting appropriate data and tools is a critical step in building effective trading indicators. For data, accuracy and relevance are paramount. Traders typically use historical price data alongside volume data. For tools, traders consider user-friendly platforms that offer robust functionality for creating and testing tools. Platforms like TradingView and MetaTrader offer extensive libraries and community support, facilitating the development of customised indicators. Additionally, programming languages like Python, C# and R, known for their data analysis capabilities, can be powerful tools for creating more complex indicators. FXOpen’s TickTrader, for instance, supports custom C#-based indicators and offers powerful backtesting tools. How to Build a Trading Indicator: A Step-by-Step Walkthrough Developing an indicator involves several key steps, each crucial to ensure the final tool is effective and aligns with your trading strategy. 1. Define the Objective Begin by clearly defining what you want your tool to achieve. Is it to identify trends, pinpoint entry and exit points, or gauge market volatility? Your objective will guide the type of indicator you develop, such as trend-following, momentum, or volatility-based. 2. Select the Formula Choose or develop a mathematical formula that your tool will use. This could be a simple moving average, a complex algorithm involving multiple data points, or something entirely unique. The formula should reflect the market phenomena you aim to capture. 3. Coding the Indicator Translate your formula into code. If using platforms like TradingView, MetaTrader or TickTrader, their scripting languages (Pine Script for TradingView, MQL4/5 for MetaTrader, C# for TickTrader) are designed for this purpose. Ensure the code is clean, well-documented, and easily adjustable. 4. Incorporate Visualisation Decide how the indicator will visually appear on the chart or in a separate window. This could be in the form of lines, bars, dots, or other graphical representations. The visual aspect should make it easy to interpret signals at a glance. 5. Backtesting Before applying your indicator in live trading, it’s crucial to backtest it using historical data. This topic is expanded on below. Testing and Refining Your Indicator Testing and refining your trading indicator is a critical phase in its development, ensuring its potential effectiveness and reliability in real market conditions. - Backtesting: This is the process of testing your indicator against historical data. Backtesting helps evaluate how it would’ve performed in different market scenarios, revealing its strengths and weaknesses. It's essential to test over various time frames and market conditions to ensure robustness. - Analysing Results: Assess the indicator's accuracy, consistency, and responsiveness to market changes. Look for patterns in its performance, such as frequent false signals or lag in response to price movements. - Refinement: Based on the backtesting results, refine your indicator. This could involve tweaking the formula, adjusting parameters like time periods or thresholds, or enhancing the visualisation for clearer signals. - Forward Testing: After adjustments, conduct forward testing in a simulated or live trading environment with real-time data. This helps verify its performance in current market conditions. Remember, no indicator is perfect; the goal is to develop a tool that consistently aids in your trading outcomes. The Bottom Line The journey of building an indicator is both challenging and rewarding. From selecting the right data and tools to carefully coding and testing your creation, each step plays a vital role in crafting an effective aid for trading decisions. For those looking to integrate their custom indicators into a professional trading environment, opening an FXOpen account offers the opportunity to leverage your unique tools in the dynamic TickTrader platform. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
EUR / USD - Weekly forecast - Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast (Daily TF): 1.0777 is a major resistance, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be downtrend. A peak is formed in daily chart at 1.0629 on 12/06/2024, so more losses to support(s) 1.0332, 1.0206, 1.0002 and more depths is expected. Trading suggestion: There is possibility of temporary retracement to suggested Trend Hunter Sell Zone (1.0669 to 1.0777). We wait during the retracement, until the price tests the zone, whether approaching, touching or entering the zone. We would set sell orders based on Daily-Trading-Opportunities and expect to reach short-term targets. Beginning of entry zone (1.0669) Ending of entry zone (1.0777) Take Profits: 1.0600 1.0517 1.0445 1.0332 1.0206 __________________________________________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . Please show your support back, . . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 BOOST button, . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment! 🙏 Your Support is appreciated! Now, It's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
by ForecastCity
1
Rising from the Ashes: EURO's Path to RecoveryGood day traders, Trust we all profited from the FOMC report of yesterday. Please take a moment to go through my outlook and expectation on Euro in the coming weeks into the new year. Overview EUR/USD appears to be rebounding after a sharp decline triggered by yesterday's FOMC report, where the FED delivered a hawkish 25bps cut, which drove higher market-driven borrowing costs, a stronger dollar and a sharp drop in stocks. From the start of the week EURUSD had previously been consolidating, during which weak buyers (traders) were caught off guard by a false breakout to the upside, reaching a weekly high of 1.05342 on Tuesday. Idea The subsequent sell-off drove the pair to a four-week low of 1.03439, just above the November 22nd low of 1.03324. This drop aligns with a key Fibonacci reversal pattern under Elliott Wave theory, suggesting the potential for a significant rally. If this pattern holds, EUR/USD could gain approximately 400 pips (1.08150) in the coming weeks, with the recovery likely extending into the new year. Conclusion The recent low is expected to act as a firm support level, and a breach of the November low appears unlikely. This anticipated rally could mark the beginning of a period of recovery and optimism for the euro. Cheers! Merry Christmas and Happy New Year in advance.
Long
by Samuel124
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could drop to the pullback support. Pivot: 1.0464 1st Support: 1.0333 1st Resistance: 1.0600 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
EURUSD M30 In the previous analysis , the momentum generated by news pushed the market sharply downward, aligning with my projections but with a slight delay. As a result, the market moved 128 pips lower, just one day off the original forecast. The overall bearish trend remains intact. However, the market is currently in a consolidation phase, which could offer a temporary buying opportunity. I anticipate that buyers may push the price higher toward 1.0423, and potentially 1.0460. From these levels, the downtrend is likely to resume. Close observation of selling pressure at these key zones will be essential to confirm the next phase of the market's movement.
Long
by GreyFX-NDS
How to Trade the EUR/USD Pair on December 20? Simple Tips The EUR/USD pair is trading around 1.0406, above 1/8 of Murray, and within the downtrend channel forming since November 29th. Yesterday during the American session, the euro reached the low of 1.0325 and covered the gap that it had left on November 20th around 1.0417. Since the euro is showing a slight recovery while consolidating above 1/8 of Murray, we could expect EUR/USD to reach 21 SMA located at 1.0465 and even climb to the 200 EMA located at 1.0576. Since the market is showing signs of overselling, it is likely that the euro will consolidate above 1.03 and below 1.05 due to low liquidity at the end of the year. Meanwhile, we will look for opportunities to buy within this range. A sharp break and consolidation above the psychological level of 1.05 and above 2/8 Murray could mean a strong recovery. Therefore, we expect the instrument to reach 4/8 Murray 1.0742 and even rebound to 1.0864.
Long
by CEO-PREMIUM-ANALYSIS
EUR/USD is on track for a price increase The EUR/USD pair is approaching the 1.0394-1.0382 support zone on the hourly timeframe after a decline. This area is considered a valid and important support due to the intersection of key Fibonacci levels (50% and 61.8%) and previous strong reactions. The price reaction to this support area indicates the presence of buyers and their desire to return the price to higher levels. If the price can hold this level, a move towards the resistances of 1.0513 and then 1.0618 is not far off in the short term. On the other hand, a clear break of this support range (1.0394-1.0382) could lead to increased selling pressure and a drop to lower levels. Traders should pay attention to the reaction of the candles in this range as well as volume indicators to make better decisions.
Long
by arongroups