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EURUSD trade ideas

Euro Nears $1.14 as Dollar is PressuredEUR/USD climbed to $1.1395, approaching a one-month high as the dollar softened amid mounting U.S. fiscal concerns and uncertainty over Trump’s tax-and-spending bill. Risk sentiment improved after Trump delayed a planned 50% tariff on EU goods, easing fears of a transatlantic trade clash. The euro also gained from ECB President Lagarde’s remarks that it could strengthen as a global currency if EU institutions were reinforced. Resistance is at 1.1425, with additional levels at 1.1460 and 1.1580. Support begins at 1.1260, followed by 1.1100 and 1.1050.
by ChartMage
EURUSD INTRADAY uptrend supported at 1.1300Trend Overview: EUR/USD continues to exhibit a bullish price structure, supported by a rising trendline and higher lows. Recent intraday action reflects a corrective pullback, suggesting a temporary pause within the broader uptrend. Key Technical Levels: Support: 1.1300 (primary), followed by 1.1235 and 1.1180 Resistance: 1.1430 (initial), then 1.1470 and 1.1500 Technical Outlook: A pullback toward 1.1300, which coincides with the previous consolidation zone, may present a bullish continuation setup. A confirmed bounce from this level could open the path toward 1.1430, with 1.1470 and 1.1500 as potential longer-term targets. However, a daily close below 1.1300 would indicate a breakdown of near-term bullish momentum. This scenario would increase the likelihood of a deeper correction toward 1.1235, and possibly 1.1180. Conclusion: The outlook for EUR/USD remains constructively bullish, contingent on the 1.1300 support holding. A bounce from this level would reinforce the uptrend. Conversely, a decisive break below 1.1300 would shift the short-term bias to bearish, suggesting further downside toward the 1.1200 area. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EURUSD – Bouncing on trendline amid EU optimismEURUSD continues to hold a strong upward momentum within a short-term ascending channel. After retesting the channel bottom around the 1.1360 zone, price is showing signs of rebounding, and a "small double bottom" pattern appears to be forming. If confirmed, EURUSD may rally toward the resistance area at 1.1447. Factors supporting the bullish trend: Trump temporarily postponed the 50% tariff on EU goods until July 9 → Trade tensions ease, supporting the euro. Germany's Q1 GDP grew by 0.4% – above expectations → Boosts confidence in Eurozone recovery. The ECB aims to elevate the euro’s global role (digital euro, cross-border payment improvements). Potential scenario: If the 1.1360 zone holds (channel bottom + EMA support), there is a high chance that price will retest and break above the 1.1447 resistance.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
EURUSD H1 correction?My vision where go price on Elliot waves. Now we on bullish trend but it can change to bearish. Wave 5 is not finnish yet what will be next correction or we break zone 1.138-1.14 and price go upper. Wave Indicator shows momentum slowing down, hinting at a potential reversal. Price has peaked and is stalling around 1.13649, suggesting resistance. Support/Resistance Levels Resistance: 1.1380 region . Support: Around 1.122, which is: A key Fibonacci level. Likely target for the end of wave C in the correction. Fundamental Analysis ECB monetary policy: If the ECB signals dovishness (rate cuts or economic concerns), EUR weakens. Eurozone inflation: Higher inflation can support EUR via hawkish ECB tone. German economic data: Weak data = EUR bearish. U.S. Side (USD) Federal Reserve policy: If Fed holds rates higher for longer, USD strengthens. U.S. inflation, jobs data: Strong numbers support the dollar.
Short
by FinnishScalper
4
EURUSDEUR/USD 10-Year Bond Yields, Interest Rate Differential, and Carry Trade Advantage (May 27–30, 2025) 1. Current 10-Year Bond Yields Eurozone 10-Year Government Bond Yield: Approximately 3.11% (as of May 23, 2025). US 10-Year Treasury Bond Yield: Approximately 4.54% (as of May 21–22, 2025). 2. Interest Rate Differential (IRD) The yield spread between US and Eurozone 10-year bonds is:4.54%(US)−3.11(EUR)=+1.43% 4.54% (US)−3.11% (EUR)=+1.43% This differential favors the US dollar, as US bonds offer higher yields compared to Eurozone bonds. 3. Carry Trade Advantage The +1.43% yield differential makes it attractive for investors to borrow in euros (lower-yielding currency) and invest in US dollar assets (higher-yielding), earning the interest rate spread. This carry trade tends to support USD strength against EUR, especially if global risk sentiment remains stable and interest rate expectations hold. However, factors such as geopolitical risks, Fed rate cut expectations, and ECB monetary policy also influence the sustainability of this advantage. 4. Additional Context for May 27–30, 2025 Markets are pricing in two 25-basis-point Fed rate cuts by year-end, which may reduce the US yield advantage gradually. Eurozone inflation is easing, and ECB officials signal cautious policy, potentially limiting Eurozone yield increases. Trade tensions and fiscal concerns in both regions add volatility to bond yields and exchange rates. Summary Table Metric Eurozone (EUR) United States (USD) 10-Year Bond Yield ~3.11% ~4.54% Interest Rate Differential - +1.43% (USD over EUR) Carry Trade Implication Lower yield Higher yield; carry trade favorable for USD Conclusion The EUR/USD interest rate differential of about 1.43% in favor of the US dollar supports USD strength through carry trade flows during May 27–30, 2025. While this yield advantage incentivizes borrowing in euros and investing in US assets, market dynamics such as Fed rate cut expectations and ECB policy caution could moderate this effect. Traders should watch bond yields, central bank signals, and geopolitical developments to assess the carry trade’s ongoing viability.
Short
by Shavyfxhub
The Day Ahead Economic Data (Key Market Movers) United States: April Durable Goods Orders – Key manufacturing signal. May Conference Board Consumer Confidence – Insight into consumer outlook. May Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity – Regional factory health. March FHFA House Price Index / Q1 House Price Purchase Index – Housing trends. Asia: China April Industrial Profits – Industrial sector health check. Japan April Services PPI – Service-sector inflation data. Europe: Germany June GfK Consumer Confidence – Eurozone demand signal. France May CPI – Eurozone inflation input. Eurozone May Economic Confidence – Overall sentiment indicator. EU27 April New Car Registrations – Auto industry and consumer demand barometer. Central Bank Activity Fed’s Kashkari speaks – May affect USD, short-end yields. ECB’s Villeroy and Nagel speak – Watch for policy clues ahead of June decision. Earnings Releases Xiaomi – China tech sentiment. PDD Holdings – Consumer demand in China. AutoZone – U.S. retail/auto sector strength. Okta – Enterprise tech/security outlook. Bond Auction U.S. 2-Year Treasury Note – Key for gauging short-term rate sentiment and demand for front-end duration. Trading Focus U.S. data (durables, confidence) may drive early equity, USD, and bond market moves. Central bank commentary can create intraday volatility, especially in rates and FX. China and EU data influence risk tone and commodities. Earnings from Xiaomi, PDD, Okta may move tech indexes and related sectors. 2Y auction is a barometer for Fed path expectations. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EUR/USD Weakens as Yield Spread Narrows Despite USD HeadwindsTechnical Analysis – EUR/USD (1H Chart) EUR/USD is currently trading around 1.1367, slipping after a failed attempt to break above the recent swing high of 1.1406. The pair has now broken below a short-term ascending trendline and is testing the key support drawn from the last bullish leg at 1.1368. Breaking of this level can push the pair lower. The break of trendline support and the MACD-RSI alignment suggest that the bears are gaining momentum. If sellers can sustain pressure below 1.1358, lower Fibonacci targets near 1.1344 and 1.1330 may be tested. Conversely, a return above 1.1383 would indicate buyer resilience and could trigger a retest of 1.1406.
Short
by Errante
EUR/USD Rejected From Major Supply – Is a Bigger Drop Brewing?EUR/USD is showing signs of distribution around the key supply zone at 1.14380. Price failed to break above twice, forming a possible lower high, signaling that smart money might be preparing for a deeper move down. Key Levels to Watch: Supply Zone: 1.14380 – heavy selling pressure First Target: 1.08667 – strong historical support Final Target: 1.03215 – major demand zone (watch for bullish reaction here) Market Drivers: Upcoming high-impact U.S. events (marked below the chart) could fuel a bearish reversal, especially if USD strength returns. Possible Trade Setup: Sell Entry: Below 1.13400 (confirmation after rejection) SL: Above 1.14000 TP1: 1.08667 TP2: 1.03215 Bias: Bearish – Unless we see a strong breakout above 1.144, sellers remain in control. --- Is EUR/USD headed for a sharp drop, or will bulls defend the 1.13s? Comment your setup and let’s discuss! #EURUSD #ForexAnalysis #LuxAlgo #TechnicalAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand #ForexSignals #BearishBias #TradingView
Short
by FrankFx14
Trade Idea: EUR/USD Bearish BiasPrice has finally broken below the key support zone with strong bearish momentum, confirming potential trend shift. The plan now is to wait for a break-and-retest of the broken support area (now resistance) around 1.1365–1.1385. Look for bearish rejection signals to enter short, targeting the next demand zone near 1.1315–1.1300. 📉 Bias: Bearish 🔍 Confirmation: Retest & rejection at previous support 🎯 Target: 1.1315 🛑 Invalidation: Clean break back above 1.1395 "Let the market come to you—don’t chase, wait for the retest."
Short
by dannyrahadian
EURUSD Sell Setup- Go for short sell then manage your trade - potentially go lower A Message To Traders: I’ll be sharing high-quality trade setups for a period time. No bullshit, no fluff, no complicated nonsense — just real, actionable forecast the algorithm is executing. If you’re struggling with trading and desperate for better results, follow my posts closely. Check out my previously posted setups and forecasts — you’ll be amazed by the high accuracy of the results.
Short
by Vincent-DA
3
🇪🇺 EURUSD 15min Technical & Fundamental Analysis🇪🇺 EURUSD 15min Technical & Fundamental Analysis EUR/USD has reached a 4-week high at 1.14200, following President Trump's decision to delay tariffs on EU goods until July 9 — easing trade tensions and reinforcing investor confidence in the euro. On the 15-minute chart, we’re seeing strong bullish momentum supported by clean price structure and liquidity patterns. 📈 Technical Structure Price confirmed bullish intent after breaking below minor key support at 1.13800, triggering sell-side liquidity. This liquidity grab was followed by a strong bullish push, forming new Higher Highs. The pair then broke above minor key resistance at 1.13960, where accumulation of retail buy orders occurred. Price is now sitting inside the liquidity zone, signaling a potential next move is near. 📊 Trade Setup 📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 1.13990 🛡 Stop-Loss: 1.13890 (just below liquidity zone) 🎯 Target Profit: Dynamic based on continuation above 1.14200 highs This setup is ideal for short-term traders looking to capitalize on liquidity grabs and trend continuation. 📰 Fundamental Outlook 🇺🇸 USD Weakness Continues Fiscal Concerns: Rising U.S. debt and widening deficits are weighing on dollar sentiment. Investor Sentiment: A shift away from U.S. assets reflects uncertainty and risk-off positioning. Market Performance: The dollar has fallen nearly 4% since early April, its worst stretch since 2023. 📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
by RebornFXTrader
EURUSD COT and Liquidity AnalysisHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. It's always good to go with those who move the market here is what I see in their cards. I share my COT - order flow views every weekend. 🎯 Non Commercials closed longs and added shorts.It still seems to me like EUR dropping lower but it will have to take liquidity levels above. 📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage. 💊 Tip if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance. 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions. Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
by David_Perk
30
Skeptic | Watchlist #1 - May 27, 2025: XAG/USD, EUR/USD, USD/JPYHey everyone, Skeptic here! Starting today, I’m kicking off a daily watchlist to share the setups I’m eyeing! 😎 These are the pairs I’m personally trading or watching for trigger activations. Feel free to create a dedicated section in your TradingView called “ Skeptic ” and plug in this watchlist with the triggers I provide. Then, based on your own strategy, jump into trades at those key levels if they align with your plan. My watchlist format will include a screenshot of the 4H or 1H timeframe with long/short triggers marked on the chart. If needed, I’ll add quick explanations or tips, but I’m keeping it short, sharp, and to the point to maximize your value. The goal? Help you blend these setups with your own strategy without overloading you with fluff. Let’s dive into today’s Daily Forex Watchlist! 👀XAG/USD Long Trigger : 33.68855, Short Trigger : 31.91991. 👀EUR/USD Long Trigger : 1.14183, Short Trigger : 1.12663. 👀USD/JPY Long Trigger : 144.125, Short Trigger : 142.218. 💬 Let’s Chat! If this watchlist sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it means a ton! 😊 Thanks for joining me— let’s grow together! ✌️
by SkepticWise
1
EURUSD I Weekly CLS, Daily CLS I Model 2Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. ✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. 🛡️ Models 1 and 2: From my posts, you can learn two core execution models. They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained. 📍 Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. 📍 Model 2 occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range. 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
 ⚔️ Listen Carefully: Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves. If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Short
by David_Perk
30