Eurusd long for a possible double toplooks like bullish continuation is possible.
I'd like to see price retesting the 1.16 area and look for shorts if there is a rejection
EURUSD trade ideas
Update EUR USD may 27,2025 sell1.13793 take profit 1.13115 stop Update EUR USD may 27,2025 sell1.13793 take profit 1.13115 stop lose 1.14119 Good sniper entry follow my page guys so that can profit others📊📉📈
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trap ya “liquidity grab” jaisa zone ho sakta hai.Jahan sab buyers wave 5 ko continuation samajh ke buy karein,
Tumhara analysis keh raha hai ki wahan se reversal hoga.
Ye trap ya “liquidity grab” jaisa zone ho sakta hai.
Chart me price ne 5 wave ka bullish pattern complete kiya.
Ab wo Supply Zone me hai jahan se girne ke chances hain.
Tum expect kar rahe ho BOS ke saath downtrend shuru hoga.
Final target lower demand zones tak hai.
EURUSD is moving within the 1.12265 - 1.14220 range 👉🏼 Possible scenario:
The euro (EUR) rose 0.20% as investors grew cautious over a sweeping U.S. tax and spending bill that could sharply widen the federal deficit. The proposal has intensified doubts about the sustainability of U.S. debt, reducing demand for dollar assets. Ongoing fiscal uncertainty continues to erode confidence in U.S. financial instruments, limiting the dollar’s recovery as markets remain alert to potential shifts in monetary policy and interest rates.
On May 27, two key U.S. economic indicators—Durable Goods Orders (12:30 p.m. UTC) and CB Consumer Confidence (2:00 p.m. UTC)—are set to be released and could influence market movements.
✅ Support and Resistance Levels
Now, the support level is located at 1.12265.
Resistance level is located at 1.14220.
EURUSDThis is the most awaited push.
With the re-tests and each weak hand to strong hand transfer I see this level as a very strong support and the area to start the most expected rally of the USD alternative.
Market next move . Support Fatigue / Breakdown Risk
Observation: Price has tested the red support zone multiple times.
Disruption: Repeated tests of support often weaken it. If it breaks, a sharp drop may follow.
Implication: Instead of bouncing, EUR/USD could slide below 1.13200, triggering stop-losses.
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2. Lack of Bullish Volume Confirmation
Observation: The recent candles show low volume on bullish attempts.
Disruption: Weak demand at support indicates hesitation among buyers.
Implication: Without a volume spike, any bounce may be short-lived or fail entirely.
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3. Bearish Momentum Still Intact
Observation: Price action shows consistent lower highs and lower lows.
Disruption: The short-term trend is still bearish, so this could be a pause before continuation down.
Implication: A false bullish break could trap long traders before a drop resumes.
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4. Fundamental Risks (USD Strength)
Disruption: Any U.S. data surprises or hawkish Fed comments (noted by U.S. event icons on the chart) could push USD higher, dragging EUR/USD down.
Implication: Technical bounce setups could be invalidated by macro events.
EURUSD Bearish Setup | Head and Shoulders BreakdownEUR/USD has formed a clear Head and Shoulders pattern on the 15-minute chart, indicating a potential short-term trend reversal.
Key Technical Points:
Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder are well-defined.
Price has broken below the neckline support around 1.1375, confirming bearish intent.
Volume confirms the selling pressure on the right shoulder breakdown.
Target area aligns with previous price action around 1.1294, a likely support zone.
Risk is controlled with a stop above the invalidation level near 1.1376.
This setup reflects classical price action structure and could offer a clean downside move if momentum continues.
📊 Pure technical structure — pattern-based idea with disciplined trade planning.
EURUSD Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1346
Bias -Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1371
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CHECK EURUSD SIGNAL AND READ CAPTION(eurusd) sell zone
(trade satup)
entry point (1.13470) to (1.13400) 📊
first target (1.13260)
2nd target (1.13080) 📊
last target (1.12800) 📊
stop loss (1.13650)❌
Trading Signal for EUR/USD buy above 1.1335 or sell below 1.1418Early in the American session, the euro is trading around 1.1342, undergoing a technical correction after reaching a high of 1.1418 during the European session.
The euro reached price levels seen at the end of April, and we believe it could continue to fall in the coming hours, REACHING THE 21sma at 1.1335.
On the H4 chart, we can see that the euro has formed an uptrend channel since May 11. It is likely that after a technical correction, EUR/USD could rebound around 1.1335, which will be seen as a buying opportunity with targets at the 7/8 Murry level at 1.1418.
Short Setup Activated🔍 My Trading Approach:
My trading and analysis are primarily based on market liquidity and how price tends to move toward areas where liquidity is pooled.
I use two main concepts in my strategy:
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) to identify setups and entry zones
Measured Moves (MMs) to define target levels
🎯 Profit-Taking Rule:
I usually secure profits once price has moved at least 1.5 times the initial stop-loss distance in my favor.
FOREXCOM:EURUSD
EURUSD Trade Executed London May 25EURUSD Trade Executed London
May 25
PreMarket Analysis
Parent bias Bull
Previous session
Monthly
Expansion cycle opening above the .618 in a Premium, with a sell off wick, expecting the expansion to continue.
Weekly
Candle fractal is a expansion with equal highs and FVG as magnet to reach for.
Fridays delivery expanded in Asia consolidated in London then expanded to take buy side, retraced lower in London close, news manipulation to expand to the equal highs, did not take but went in to consolidation
May 26 Ideas
Premarket analysis logic suggested that Asia will expand to equal highs. It did. When price did not take the equal highs, I suspected a consolidation until London macro and anticipated a expansion move, to the down side.
London Framework
Trade framework
* Price in a premium market -DXY in a discount market
*1:39 fake swing,I did consider that price may want to take the equal highs it created and to be cautious
*1:55 price rolls over, elements of 2022 model were in play
*2:24 price swings up again with 2022 candle formation, swing low, displacement, FVG
3:00 swing low broken
3:02 entry with a fumble on my entry price
5:01 exit at second target
Very happy with the analysis and logic to frame this trade. My entry could have been tighter I lost 8 pips trying to enter, all good.
EUR/USD Holds Above 16-Year ChannelThe U.S. dollar, pressured by debt concerns, has declined toward critical 2025 lows near the 98 level. Meanwhile, the euro has stabilized near 1.1380, now trading above the upper boundary of a 16-year descending channel originating from the 2008 peak and extending through 2024.
This breakout positions EUR/USD for a potential long-term bullish move—provided the DXY confirms further downside. A firm monthly close above 1.16 would confirm the breakout, setting sights on highs from 2018 and 2021, between 1.20 and 1.24.
On the downside, key pullback levels are 1.1270, 1.1140, and 1.1070. A break below those could extend pressure toward 1.0990 and 1.0890.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
Euro Nears $1.14 as Dollar is PressuredEUR/USD climbed to $1.1395, approaching a one-month high as the dollar softened amid mounting U.S. fiscal concerns and uncertainty over Trump’s tax-and-spending bill. Risk sentiment improved after Trump delayed a planned 50% tariff on EU goods, easing fears of a transatlantic trade clash. The euro also gained from ECB President Lagarde’s remarks that it could strengthen as a global currency if EU institutions were reinforced.
Resistance is at 1.1425, with additional levels at 1.1460 and 1.1580. Support begins at 1.1260, followed by 1.1100 and 1.1050.
EURUSD 1DWave 3 continues with strong momentum; minuette wave 5 is unfolding. Wave 4 may form a triangle, though an alternate count remains on the table. Invalidation comes on a break below the labeled Wave 4
EURUSD INTRADAY uptrend supported at 1.1300Trend Overview:
EUR/USD continues to exhibit a bullish price structure, supported by a rising trendline and higher lows. Recent intraday action reflects a corrective pullback, suggesting a temporary pause within the broader uptrend.
Key Technical Levels:
Support: 1.1300 (primary), followed by 1.1235 and 1.1180
Resistance: 1.1430 (initial), then 1.1470 and 1.1500
Technical Outlook:
A pullback toward 1.1300, which coincides with the previous consolidation zone, may present a bullish continuation setup. A confirmed bounce from this level could open the path toward 1.1430, with 1.1470 and 1.1500 as potential longer-term targets.
However, a daily close below 1.1300 would indicate a breakdown of near-term bullish momentum. This scenario would increase the likelihood of a deeper correction toward 1.1235, and possibly 1.1180.
Conclusion:
The outlook for EUR/USD remains constructively bullish, contingent on the 1.1300 support holding. A bounce from this level would reinforce the uptrend. Conversely, a decisive break below 1.1300 would shift the short-term bias to bearish, suggesting further downside toward the 1.1200 area.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURUSD – Bouncing on trendline amid EU optimismEURUSD continues to hold a strong upward momentum within a short-term ascending channel. After retesting the channel bottom around the 1.1360 zone, price is showing signs of rebounding, and a "small double bottom" pattern appears to be forming. If confirmed, EURUSD may rally toward the resistance area at 1.1447.
Factors supporting the bullish trend:
Trump temporarily postponed the 50% tariff on EU goods until July 9 → Trade tensions ease, supporting the euro.
Germany's Q1 GDP grew by 0.4% – above expectations → Boosts confidence in Eurozone recovery.
The ECB aims to elevate the euro’s global role (digital euro, cross-border payment improvements).
Potential scenario:
If the 1.1360 zone holds (channel bottom + EMA support), there is a high chance that price will retest and break above the 1.1447 resistance.
EURUSD H1 correction?My vision where go price on Elliot waves.
Now we on bullish trend but it can change to bearish.
Wave 5 is not finnish yet what will be next correction or we break zone 1.138-1.14 and price go upper.
Wave Indicator shows momentum slowing down, hinting at a potential reversal.
Price has peaked and is stalling around 1.13649, suggesting resistance.
Support/Resistance Levels
Resistance: 1.1380 region .
Support: Around 1.122, which is:
A key Fibonacci level.
Likely target for the end of wave C in the correction.
Fundamental Analysis
ECB monetary policy: If the ECB signals dovishness (rate cuts or economic concerns), EUR weakens.
Eurozone inflation: Higher inflation can support EUR via hawkish ECB tone.
German economic data: Weak data = EUR bearish.
U.S. Side (USD)
Federal Reserve policy: If Fed holds rates higher for longer, USD strengthens.
U.S. inflation, jobs data: Strong numbers support the dollar.
EURUSDEUR/USD 10-Year Bond Yields, Interest Rate Differential, and Carry Trade Advantage (May 27–30, 2025)
1. Current 10-Year Bond Yields
Eurozone 10-Year Government Bond Yield: Approximately 3.11% (as of May 23, 2025).
US 10-Year Treasury Bond Yield: Approximately 4.54% (as of May 21–22, 2025).
2. Interest Rate Differential (IRD)
The yield spread between US and Eurozone 10-year bonds is:4.54%(US)−3.11(EUR)=+1.43%
4.54% (US)−3.11% (EUR)=+1.43%
This differential favors the US dollar, as US bonds offer higher yields compared to Eurozone bonds.
3. Carry Trade Advantage
The +1.43% yield differential makes it attractive for investors to borrow in euros (lower-yielding currency) and invest in US dollar assets (higher-yielding), earning the interest rate spread.
This carry trade tends to support USD strength against EUR, especially if global risk sentiment remains stable and interest rate expectations hold.
However, factors such as geopolitical risks, Fed rate cut expectations, and ECB monetary policy also influence the sustainability of this advantage.
4. Additional Context for May 27–30, 2025
Markets are pricing in two 25-basis-point Fed rate cuts by year-end, which may reduce the US yield advantage gradually.
Eurozone inflation is easing, and ECB officials signal cautious policy, potentially limiting Eurozone yield increases.
Trade tensions and fiscal concerns in both regions add volatility to bond yields and exchange rates.
Summary Table
Metric Eurozone (EUR) United States (USD)
10-Year Bond Yield ~3.11% ~4.54%
Interest Rate Differential - +1.43% (USD over EUR)
Carry Trade Implication Lower yield Higher yield; carry trade favorable for USD
Conclusion
The EUR/USD interest rate differential of about 1.43% in favor of the US dollar supports USD strength through carry trade flows during May 27–30, 2025. While this yield advantage incentivizes borrowing in euros and investing in US assets, market dynamics such as Fed rate cut expectations and ECB policy caution could moderate this effect. Traders should watch bond yields, central bank signals, and geopolitical developments to assess the carry trade’s ongoing viability.
The Day Ahead Economic Data (Key Market Movers)
United States:
April Durable Goods Orders – Key manufacturing signal.
May Conference Board Consumer Confidence – Insight into consumer outlook.
May Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity – Regional factory health.
March FHFA House Price Index / Q1 House Price Purchase Index – Housing trends.
Asia:
China April Industrial Profits – Industrial sector health check.
Japan April Services PPI – Service-sector inflation data.
Europe:
Germany June GfK Consumer Confidence – Eurozone demand signal.
France May CPI – Eurozone inflation input.
Eurozone May Economic Confidence – Overall sentiment indicator.
EU27 April New Car Registrations – Auto industry and consumer demand barometer.
Central Bank Activity
Fed’s Kashkari speaks – May affect USD, short-end yields.
ECB’s Villeroy and Nagel speak – Watch for policy clues ahead of June decision.
Earnings Releases
Xiaomi – China tech sentiment.
PDD Holdings – Consumer demand in China.
AutoZone – U.S. retail/auto sector strength.
Okta – Enterprise tech/security outlook.
Bond Auction
U.S. 2-Year Treasury Note – Key for gauging short-term rate sentiment and demand for front-end duration.
Trading Focus
U.S. data (durables, confidence) may drive early equity, USD, and bond market moves.
Central bank commentary can create intraday volatility, especially in rates and FX.
China and EU data influence risk tone and commodities.
Earnings from Xiaomi, PDD, Okta may move tech indexes and related sectors.
2Y auction is a barometer for Fed path expectations.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EUR/USD LONG EUR/USD LONG " break of a resistance area and retest it + 50% fib retracement + 50 ema dynamic support "
EUR USD Entry Setup EUR USD has formed a bullish break and retest and has also retraced back to the 50-618 FIB retracement level.
The trend is bullish so we will continue to look for buying opportunities
EUR/USD Weakens as Yield Spread Narrows Despite USD HeadwindsTechnical Analysis – EUR/USD (1H Chart)
EUR/USD is currently trading around 1.1367, slipping after a failed attempt to break above the recent swing high of 1.1406. The pair has now broken below a short-term ascending trendline and is testing the key support drawn from the last bullish leg at 1.1368. Breaking of this level can push the pair lower.
The break of trendline support and the MACD-RSI alignment suggest that the bears are gaining momentum. If sellers can sustain pressure below 1.1358, lower Fibonacci targets near 1.1344 and 1.1330 may be tested.
Conversely, a return above 1.1383 would indicate buyer resilience and could trigger a retest of 1.1406.
