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EURUSD trade ideas

GBPUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.0823, which is a pullback resistance Our take profit will be at 1.0747, an overlap support level. The stop loss will be at 1.0905, a pullback resistance High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
EURUSD Wave Analysis 5 November 2024- EURUSD rising inside impulse wave 1 - Likely to reach resistance level 1.1000 EURUSD currency pair continues to rise inside the sharp impulse wave 1 which started earlier from the support zone between the key support level 1.07865 (former strong support from the start of August) intersecting with the support trendline from April. The active impulse wave 1 belongs to the higher order upward impulse wave (C) from the end of October. Given the strongly bearish US dollar sentiment seen today, EURUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.1000 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 1).
Long
by FxProGlobal
1
EUR / USDKey Characteristics of EUR/USD: Volatility: The EUR/USD generally has moderate volatility, though it can experience significant swings during periods of economic uncertainty or major monetary policy announcements. Economic Influences: The rate is affected by economic indicators such as GDP, inflation, unemployment rates, and central bank decisions (European Central Bank and Federal Reserve). Sensitivity to Global Events: Political and geopolitical changes in the European Union and the United States, as well as global trends like inflation, have a strong impact on the pair. High Liquidity: It is the most liquid currency pair in the Forex market, typically offering low spreads.
by ChartsWithAI
EURUSD: Get ready for a fast short.EURUSD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.619, MACD = -0.004, ADX = 44.229) as it has started the new bullish wave following the test of the 1 year HL trendline but on 1H it got overbought (RSI = 76.034) rebounding very aggressively on its 1H MA50. That is fairly similar to the October 30th rebound of the bullish wave that topped upon a +1.15% rise. We are approaching that % increase so get ready to short. So far we have had two pullbacks of -0.56% each, an amazing display of symmetry inside the Channel Up. That is our target on the short term (TP = 1.08950). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
EURUSD price increaseThe reactions of the euro against the dollar have been excellent, the US, with its strengthening, caused a one-month drop in other currencies such as the euro, but this increase will only last until the announcement of the election results, and will ultimately cause the dollar to fall and the price of other currencies to rise, in the analysis The return of the euro price has been determined and I had announced the fall of the dollar in previous analyzes Sasha Charkhchian
Long
by sashacharkhchian
EURUSD_106 2024.11.05 14:43:04 Trading Signal SELLFrankPro Signal for EURUSD_106 Type: Screen Signal: SELL TP: 1.08443 SL: 1.09171 Entry Price: 1.0908 Analysis for EURUSD Forecast Overall(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST= Strong Down LT= Strong Up Forecast Methods(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST=Down LT=Up ST=Down LT=Up ST=Down LT=Up Analysis Method(0) Based on the provided analytical news and forecasts, I will analyze the data and provide a prediction for the EUR/USD pair's price movement in both the short-term and long-term. **Short-term analysis (next few days):** * The EUR/USD pair is expected to continue its decline and test the support area near 1.0835. * A breakout below 1.0735 would cancel the growth option and indicate a continuation of the fall to around 1.0565. * The pair is showing sideways momentum, forming an upward channel on the 4-hour chart, but a break above 1.0922 could signal a move higher. * Significant FX option expiries at 1.0900 (1.7 billion EUR) could influence price action around this level. **Prediction for short-term:** The price is expected to go **down** in the short-term, with a potential test of the support area near 1.0835. However, if the pair breaks above 1.0922, it could signal a move higher. **Long-term analysis (next few weeks/months):** * The EUR/USD pair is expected to continue its growth towards the area above 1.1045 after a rebound from the upper border of the broken channel. * Technical indicators suggest a corrective advance is possible, but the risk remains skewed to the downside. * The European Central Bank (ECB) policy announcements and economic indicators, such as French Industrial Production and Spanish unemployment, could influence the pair's price movement. **Prediction for long-term:** The price is expected to go **up** in the long-term, with a potential growth towards the area above 1.1045. However, the risk remains skewed to the downside, and the pair's price movement will depend on the ECB policy announcements and economic indicators. **Stability:** The pair's price movement is expected to be **volatile** in the short-term due to the ongoing U.S. elections and significant FX option expiries. However, in the long-term, the pair's price movement is expected to be more **stable**, with a potential growth towards the area above 1.1045. Result: ST=Down LT=Up Analysis Method(1) Based on the provided analysis, here are my conclusions for the EUR/USD pair: **Short-term analysis (next few days):** * The pair is expected to experience sideways momentum due to the uncertainty surrounding the U.S. presidential election and the upcoming ECB policy announcements. * Technical indicators suggest a possibility of a corrective advance, but the overall trend remains bearish. * Support levels at 1.0875, 1.0840, and 1.0805 are likely to be tested, with a potential rebound towards the resistance level of 1.0910. * Market sentiment is cautious, which may lead to increased volatility. **Expected short-term price movement:** Down (testing support levels) or sideways (due to uncertainty and caution) **Long-term analysis (next few weeks/months):** * The forecast suggests an attempt to continue the decline in the pair, followed by a potential upward price rebound and continued growth towards the area above 1.1045. * A breakout above the resistance level of 1.0975 could confirm growth for the EUR/USD pair. * Fundamental factors, such as the U.S. presidential election outcome and economic indicators from the U.S. and Europe, will influence the pair's long-term direction. **Expected long-term price movement:** Up (potential growth towards 1.1045 and above) Please note that these conclusions are based on the provided analysis and are subject to change as new information becomes available. Result: ST=Down LT=Up Analysis Method(2) **Short-term Analysis (Next few days to 1 week)** Based on the current market conditions and technical analysis, I expect the EUR/USD price to remain relatively stable, with a slight bearish bias. The pair is currently trading above the $1.0872 support level, but the technical indicators such as the RSI are neutral, indicating a lack of strong momentum. The upcoming U.S. election results and key economic data releases, including the U.S. Trade Balance and ISM Services PMI, are likely to influence the pair's movement. If the support at $1.0872 fails, the pair may decline toward $1.0850 or even $1.0830. **Probability of price movement:** * Down: 55% * Up: 30% * Same: 15% **Long-term Analysis (Next few weeks to 1 month)** In the long term, I expect the EUR/USD price to rebound and continue its growth toward the area above $1.1045. The European economic data, although mixed, showed some positive signs, particularly from Germany. The revised PMI data for the Eurozone also indicated some positive momentum. The technical analysis suggests that a break above $1.0922 could signal a move higher, with a potential buy zone around $1.0872-1.0865. If the pair can close above $1.0975, it would indicate a bullish trend. **Probability of price movement:** * Up: 60% * Down: 25% * Same: 15% Overall, while the short-term outlook is cautious and slightly bearish, the long-term outlook is more bullish, with the potential for the pair to rebound and continue its growth. Result: ST=Down LT=Up
Short
by frankiepro
EUR/USD: A Key Barometer in the Closely Fought U.S. ElectionEUR/USD has taken on the role of an election barometer, reflecting the tug-of-war between the dollar’s fluctuations and shifting poll dynamics. With the U.S. presidential race on a knife-edge, let's take a look at how this currency pair is navigating election day, and the key technical levels that could shape its path in the days ahead. Why EUR/USD is an Election Barometer EUR/USD, as the most traded currency pair, often mirrors the global market’s risk appetite and its outlook on U.S. economic policies. A Trump-led administration has traditionally been seen as dollar-positive due to his pro domestic business policies, including tax cuts and tariffs aimed at protecting U.S. manufacturing. On the other hand, a Democratic win, led by Kamala Harris, is viewed as potentially softer on the dollar due to increased fiscal spending, climate initiatives, and regulatory tightening that could put pressure on U.S. growth rates. As a result, EUR/USD is acting as a gauge for the market’s reaction to each new poll release, particularly as expectations shift from a Trump victory to a Harris edge in the final days. Technical Analysis: EUR/USD on Election Day Daily Chart: EUR/USD began October in a downtrend following a September double-top reversal that sent the pair into a sustained sell-off as the dollar strengthened on Trump’s rising odds. The sell-off drove EUR/USD below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages (MAs), signalling a shift toward bearish sentiment. However, recent developments in polling have seen the dollar weaken, enabling EUR/USD to break back above the 200-day MA—a signal that the bulls are tentatively returning. This recovery points to a potential shift in control, but today’s election volatility could test this level once again, keeping the 200-day MA as a key level to watch. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Hourly Chart: Drilling down to the hourly chart reveals more granular election-driven price action. The week opened with a bullish price gap, indicating renewed dollar weakness, as polls favoured Harris over Trump. On Monday, the top of this gap served as an initial support level, providing a cushion for buyers amid elevated election tension. If EUR/USD fills this gap, the lower boundary could act as secondary support, serving as a test of whether the dollar’s pullback has further to run. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Outlook: Election Scenarios for EUR/USD As the U.S. awaits election results, EUR/USD is positioned at a pivotal point. Should Harris win, the dollar may weaken further, potentially driving EUR/USD toward key resistance levels and beyond, as investors price in increased fiscal spending and regulatory changes. However, a Trump win could reverse recent sentiment, likely strengthening the dollar and pushing EUR/USD back below the 200-day MA, possibly revisiting October’s lows. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 82.67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
by Capitalcom
EURUSD - AnalysisMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels. In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level lower. But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some time of lower timeframe confirmation. For me the best way to confirm higher timeframe context is structure. We can notice the break of market structure (sign of weakness) on key liquidity level, so there is a higher probability to see price lower at least on opposite level (marked lower). Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
Short
by Maks_Klimenko