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EURUSD trade ideas

EURUSD / Bearish Momentum with Key Levels and Trend OutlookEUR/USD Analysis The price exhibits bearish momentum, as it has already broken below the pivot line at 1.0367 and closed the weekly candle beneath it. This confirms a downward bias in the near term. In the short term, the price may retest the area around 1.0345 or 1.0367 before continuing its drop. If bearish momentum persists, the price is expected to decline further to test 1.0226 and potentially 1.0155. To transition into a bullish structure, the price must break and sustain above 1.0367 by closing a 4-hour candle above this level. If this occurs, the price could target 1.0437. Key Levels Pivot Line: 1.0288 Resistance Levels: 1.0360, 1.0436, 1.0470 Support Levels: 1.0227, 1.0155, 1.0110 Trend Outlook Consolidation: Between 1.0288 and 1.0346 Bearish Trend: Below 1.0288 Bullish Trend: Above 1.0367 previous idea:
Short
by SroshMayi
1
Major Breakdown or Reversal? EUR/USD 2-Week AnalysisEUR/USD analysis on the 2-week timeframe (14 days), the chart clearly shows that the price has faced multiple rejections from the upper resistance line, marked in red. Additionally, the price has broken below the strong 2-week support zone and is now trading just above the lower supportive trendline, indicated by the green line. The Stochastic RSI is signaling a potential reversal, suggesting that the current price action may retest the breakout levels before making a decisive move. This could either lead to a rebound from the support or further bearish continuation if the trendline breaks.
Short
by unichartz
EURUSD CONTINUATION OF THE TREND!!!There is quite a few factors in play here that helps me in confirming that price is actually going to fall further which are.. 1) The grab of the liquidity at the support turn resistance zone.. 2) price is ranging in a downtrend.. 3) if you understand the concept of BTMM you would be able to further confirm that price is in for the third impulse before a change in direction.... Apply good risk management as usual 🤝 #PIPSPAYTHEBILLS #FOREXPAID #FXSTORM
Short
by Yahabu_
2
Bouncing Back: EUR/USD Poised for a Bullish WaveEUR/USD is trading at 1.0257, showing signs of bullish momentum with a target price of 1.0800. The price action is based on the support and resistance pattern, with the pair currently bouncing off a strong support level. This bounce indicates a potential reversal and the start of an upward trend. The support level serves as a foundation for buyers to regain control, pushing the price higher. A steady climb toward the resistance level at 1.0800 is expected if the support holds firm. Traders should monitor this bounce closely for confirmation of bullish momentum. The setup presents a favorable opportunity for long positions, supported by technical analysis. However, risk management remains crucial to navigate market volatility. This move emphasizes the role of key levels in predicting price movements. Patience and strategy are essential to capitalize on this trade setup.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
Price Action Trading: Key ConceptsPrice Action Trading: Key Concepts Price action is a popular trading method where traders analyse raw price movements on a chart, without relying on technical indicators. Traders identify patterns, trends, and key levels that help them understand market behaviour. This article explores what price action is, the key concepts, and how to get started with a price action strategy. What Is Price Action Trading? Price action is the movement of an asset’s price over time, and it’s one of the purest forms of market analysis. When using price action, indicators like moving averages or oscillators take a back seat, with traders focusing solely on the movement of the market itself. In studying how prices behave in real-time or historically, traders can spot trends, patterns, and potential turning points in the market. At its core, price action is about reading the market’s “story” through its movements. Traders look at how an asset has moved in the past—whether it’s rising, falling, or ranging—to understand what it might do next. This analysis often revolves around key levels, such as support (where prices tend to stop falling) and resistance (where they tend to stop rising). Because price action relies purely on market data, it offers a clear view of sentiment without the “noise” of external indicators. This makes it a go-to method for traders who prefer a straightforward approach. Price action also can be used in any market—whether it’s forex, stocks, or commodities—and across various timeframes too, from short-term day trading to long-term investing. Understanding this style isn’t automatic—it requires practice, observation, and an eye for patterns. However, once traders get the hang of it, price action can provide valuable insight into the market’s behaviour and help them analyse future trends. Key Price Action Concepts Now, let’s take a look at some core price action concepts. Support and Resistance Support and resistance levels are foundational in price action analysis. These are key levels that the market has historically struggled to move past. Support represents a level where the market tends to stop falling, acting like a “floor,” as buying pressure increases. Resistance is the opposite, serving as a “ceiling” where upward movements tend to halt, as selling pressure grows. Traders use support and resistance to identify potential levels where the market might reverse or pause. If a price breaks through one of these levels, it can signal a continuation of the trend, while a bounce off the level might indicate a reversal. Trends At its simplest, a trend shows the direction in which a given market is headed. In an uptrend, prices are making higher highs and higher lows, showing consistent bullish momentum. In a downtrend, the opposite is true: prices make lower lows and lower highs, indicating bearish sentiment. Swing highs and lows are critical when spotting trends. A swing high is a peak formed when the market moves up and then reverses down. A swing low is the opposite. Tracking these highs and lows allows traders to identify the current trend. Trendlines and Price Channels A trendline is a straight line that connects multiple swing highs or swing lows in a trending market. It visually represents the direction of the trend and helps traders spot potential areas where the market may find support or resistance. When two parallel trendlines are drawn—one connecting swing highs and the other swing lows—it forms a price channel. Channels help traders see the range in which the price is moving, and it’s common for prices to bounce between the upper and lower boundaries of the channel. Breakouts from them can signal a shift in trend direction. Candlestick Patterns Candlestick patterns are formed by the movement of price over a specific period and are widely used in price action trading. Some common candlestick price action trading patterns include: - Pin Bar/Hammer/Shooting Star: A candle with a long wick and small body, indicating a rejection of higher or lower prices. It can suggest a potential trend reversal. - Engulfing Pattern: A two-candle pattern where the second candle fully engulfs the previous one, signalling a shift in momentum. A bullish engulfing pattern suggests buyers are taking control, while a bearish engulfing pattern shows sellers are gaining strength. - Doji: A candle with little to no body, where the open and close prices are nearly identical. It suggests indecision in the market and can signal a potential reversal, depending on where it appears in a trend. Chart Patterns Price action chart patterns are shapes that form on a chart, which traders use to determine future price movements. They can indicate the continuation or reversal of a trend. Some common chart patterns include: - Head and Shoulders: A reversal pattern that signals a shift from an uptrend to a downtrend (or vice versa). It consists of three peaks, with the middle one being the highest (the "head") and the outer two being lower (the "shoulders"). - Double Top/Double Bottom: These reversal patterns form when the price tests a level twice and fails to break through, indicating a potential reversal. - Triangles: Symmetrical, ascending, or descending triangles indicate consolidation periods before a breakout. Breakouts A breakout occurs when an asset moves outside a defined support, resistance, or trendline level. Breakouts can signal that the market is gaining momentum in a particular direction. When prices break beyond a support or resistance level, it can suggest that traders are pushing prices in a given direction and that momentum is likely to continue. Traders often watch for breakouts from chart patterns like triangles or channels. Reversals A reversal happens when a market trend changes direction. In an uptrend, a reversal would occur when prices stop making higher highs and higher lows and start forming lower lows instead. Reversals are often marked by candlestick patterns or chart patterns like head and shoulders or double top/bottom. Retracements A retracement is a temporary reversal in the direction of a trend, where the asset moves against the prevailing trend but eventually continues in the same direction. Traders often use tools like Fibonacci retracement levels to identify potential areas where the market might retrace before resuming its original trend. Volume Volume measures how much of an asset is being traded over a certain period. In price action trading, volume is used to confirm the strength of market movements. For example, if the price breaks through a significant resistance level with high volume, it can indicate that the breakout is more likely to be sustained. On the other hand, breakouts on low volume might suggest the move lacks conviction and could reverse. Volatility Volatility refers to the degree of price movement in the market over time. Price action traders pay attention to volatility because it can influence how they interpret patterns and levels. In periods of high volatility, an asset may break through key levels quickly, while in low volatility periods, it might stay within a narrow range. How Traders Read Price Action Let’s now look at an overview of how the process typically unfolds: 1. Beginning with a Clean Chart Price action trading doesn’t rely on indicators, so the first step is to clear the chart of anything unnecessary. Traders focus on raw market data, meaning you’ll only initially need candlesticks or bars in a price action chart. 2. Identifying Market Structure Once the chart is clean, traders assess the market structure. This means figuring out whether the market is trending or ranging. In a trend, prices make consistent highs and lows, moving upwards or downwards. If the market is ranging, the price moves horizontally within a set range between support and resistance levels. 3. Looking for Patterns and Key Levels Next, traders focus on spotting recurring patterns and identifying key levels where the price has previously reacted. Patterns such as candlestick formations and chart setups (e.g., triangles or head and shoulders) give insight into what the market might do next. These patterns help traders anticipate reversals or breakouts based on past behaviour. Key levels like support and resistance guide where the price might stall or reverse. 4. Analysing Price Movements in Real-Time As the price moves, traders observe how it reacts to these key levels or patterns. Does it slow down near resistance, or does it break through with momentum? Does it pull back to support before continuing upward? These real-time reactions tell traders whether the market is maintaining its trend or if a reversal could be on the horizon. 5. Confirming with Volume and Volatility Traders often look at volume and volatility to further validate what’s happening on the chart. Higher volume can suggest stronger market moves, while volatility reveals how quickly the market is shifting. These extra layers of analysis provide confirmation of whether a breakout or reversal is likely to hold. Building a Price Action Trading Strategy Creating a price action trading strategy is about developing a personalised approach based on key patterns and setups that resonate with you. The steps mentioned above form the foundation of price action trading. However, traders usually build their own strategy over time, focusing on a handful of setups they find effective. Initially, traders choose a few concepts to work with and avoid getting overwhelmed by too much information. For example, you could look for pin bars that appear during retracements at support or resistance in line with a trend. Another approach might be identifying a breakout after a double top or bottom, especially if it’s backed by high volume. Alternatively, traders often use candlestick patterns to trade the upper and lower boundaries of a price channel. Setups like these can be backtested in trading platforms with FXOpen, using historical data to understand why and where certain setups work. It does take time to develop an eye for price action patterns, but it’s worth the effort to be able to identify opportunities well before lagging technical indicators do. Lastly, risk management is crucial when trading price action. Before you try out any setup, try to understand the best risk management practices for that pattern. For instance, traders might place a stop-loss just beyond a pin bar’s wick or slightly below the lows in a double bottom to limit potential losses if the market moves unexpectedly. The Bottom Line Price action offers traders a straightforward way to analyse market movements and make decisions based on real-time data, prioritising repeating patterns rather than indicators. To put price action trading into practice, consider opening an FXOpen account to access more than 700 live markets and our advanced low-cost, high-speed trading environment. FAQ What Is Price Action? The price action meaning refers to the movement of an asset's price over time. Traders analyse these movements, without relying on indicators, to identify trends, patterns, and potential turning points in the market. How to Read Price Action? Reading price action involves analysing market movements on a clean chart. Traders identify trends, key levels of support and resistance, and chart and candlestick patterns. What Is Price Action Trading? Price action trading is a strategy where traders make decisions based on the raw movements of an asset. Instead of using technical indicators, they focus on chart patterns, trends, and levels of support or resistance to analyse the market. What Is the M Pattern in Price Action? The M pattern, or double top, is a bearish reversal pattern that looks like the letter "M." It forms when the price tests a resistance level twice but fails to break through, signalling a potential move downwards. Do Price Patterns Work? Price patterns can work, but they are not foolproof. They are often used to identify potential market movements, but outcomes may vary depending on market conditions and other factors. Do Professional Traders Use Price Action? Yes, many professional traders use price action as a core part of their trading strategies. It provides a direct way to analyse market behaviour without relying on external indicators. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
3
Bullish Flag Pattern in PlayThe EUR/USD is currently forming a bullish flag pattern, characterized by a sharp upward movement (flagpole) followed by a consolidation in the form of a triangle. This pattern typically signals a continuation of the prior uptrend. Key Levels: Breakout Level: Watch for a breakout above the upper boundary of the triangle, around 1.0285. Support: A break below 1.0250 would invalidate the bullish flag and could signal further downside. Target: Upon a confirmed breakout, the potential target is calculated by adding the flagpole's length (~150 pips) to the breakout level, aiming for 1.0435. Strategy: Bullish Scenario: Enter long after a confirmed breakout above the resistance with volume confirmation. Stop-Loss: Set below 1.0250 to manage risk. Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the flag, it may trigger a deeper correction. Notes: Monitor volume during the breakout for confirmation. Low volume could lead to a false breakout. Let me know what you think! 🚀
Long
by Mack_the_Trade
Bullish Continuation Setup for EUR/USD: Target Range Liquidity In my analysis of EUR/USD, I anticipate that the price will continue with bullish momentum. On the higher timeframes, the market has not produced a new lower low after taking out its previous low at 1.02250. Instead, price has formed higher highs, signaling potential bullish continuation. The formation of equal high liquidity at the 1.028 level further strengthens the bullish outlook, indicating that price could be aiming for a sweep of liquidity above these highs. Currently, with price ranging, I expect there may be further manipulation of the highs before a potential pullback into the 1.02 demand zone. This pullback could offer an opportunity to enter the market at a favorable level before targeting the liquidity above the areas of consolidation. As the market consolidates, I’ll be watching for signs of accumulation or a break of structure that could confirm further bullish movement. The key will be monitoring how price reacts at the demand zone and whether it holds, providing a strong foundation for a move towards higher targets.
Long
by Jackson-FX
1
EUR/USD Bearish Setup Short Opportunity at Key Resistance ZoneThis chart suggests a potential short setup for EUR/USD The price has been in a downward trend, making lower highs and lower lows. The current price action indicates a potential retracement towards the marked resistance zone near 1.02820 - 1.03117, which aligns with a possible supply zone. This zone could act as a strong resistance due to previous selling pressure. The price is likely to reject this resistance and resume the downward movement, following the overall bearish trend. A breakdown from the resistance zone could lead to a short opportunity targeting 1.01764 as the first support level. If bearish momentum continues, the price might further decline toward lower levels. Key levels to watch Resistance: 1.02820 - 1.03117 (entry zone for shorts if rejection occurs) First Target: 1.01764 (potential take-profit level) Stop Loss: Above 1.03117 (to protect against a breakout) Confirmation of rejection through candlestick patterns or bearish momentum near the resistance zone is crucial before entering the trade.
Short
by wolfchemist
2
EURUSD H1 I Bearish ContinuationBased on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 1.0351, which is a pullback resistance near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. This level is expected to act as a potential reversal point in the bearish setup. Our take profit is set at 1.0221, just above the recent swing low, marking a significant support level. The stop loss is set at 1.0455, an overlap resistance zone, providing room for price fluctuations while protecting against invalidation of the bearish setup. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
1