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Euro / U.S. Dollar

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EURUSD trade ideas

Looking for shorts on EUR/USD on pullback from previous EU seshLooking for a retrace, new liq. sweep that will make an nice order block then enter on BOS confirmation. These confluences will give a solid short position with a nice 2R with a good stop buffer and previous session highs. This draw down is result of bad EU news and the US not cutting the interest rates just yet leading to a strong dollar. These shorts will probably not take out the full move on EUR/USD but this pull back and short is highly likely to play out with the end of the week near. Comment below what you think.
Short
by jasonrraynor
THOUGHTS ON EUR/USD MOVING FORWARDEUR/USD 4H - As you can see by the screenshot above price looks to be distributing. The reason I say this is because price is trading within a range currently. This suggests that Supply is being introduced and Demand is being offloaded from the market, in doing so we can expect a reversal in trend from bullish to bearish. To further back this we have had a penetration of a 4H Order-block, as well as a penetration of a 1M FVG. This is going to encourage price to take a move to the downside as it introduces more Supply. As we know we have had positive USD news as of recent, this again is going to encourage the value of the dollar to appreciate, as a result cause this market to depreciate with the USD being quote.
Short
by Lukegforex
EUROUSD TRADING POINT UPDATE > READ THE CHAPTIAN Buddy'S dear friend SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Euro USD Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for Euro USD ) Euro USD Technical patterns support level pullback up trend 📈🚀 1.08254 strong 🪨 support level target 🎯 point Resistance level 1.09580 good luck 💯💯 Key Resistance level 1.09580 Key Support 1.08254 Mr SMC Trading point Palee support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
Bearish reversal?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.0871 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.0911 Why we like it:" There is an overlap resistance level. Take profit: 1.0809 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
EURUSD Bulls Eyeing FOMC–Will Powell’s Dovish Tone Fuel a Rally?As we approach the much-anticipated FOMC rate decision and Powell’s press conference , market sentiment is shifting, and EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) traders are closely watching for clues on the Federal Reserve’s next move . With recent economic data pointing to signs of slowing growth and cooling inflation, the Fed might adopt a more dovish tone , fueling further upside for EURUSD . Key Factors Driving the Bullish Outlook : Inflation & Economic Data : CPI and PPI data indicate a gradual cooling of inflation, which strengthens the case for a potential rate cut later this year. If Powell acknowledges this shift, it could weigh on the dollar. Market Pricing of Rate Cuts : Investors are already pricing in multiple Fed rate cuts for 2024. A dovish Powell could accelerate these expectations, weakening USD and pushing the EURUSD higher. ------------------------------------------------------------------ Now let's take a look at the EURUSD chart on the 2-hour time frame . EURUSD is moving near the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916) and Yearly Resistance(1) . Regarding Elliott Wave theory , it seems that EURUSD has managed to complete the main wave 4 . The structure of the main wave 4 is the Double Three Correction(WXY) . The main wave 5 is likely to complete near the upper line of the ascending channel(possible) and Monthly Resistance(4) . I expect EURUSD to rise in the coming hours to the targets I have indicated on the chart, although the Federal Reserve Conference could create long shadows , but I think the supply and demand zones will still work but still pay more attention to money management today . Note: If EURUSD can break below the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , there is a possibility of further decline in EURUSD. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
3
EURUSD: What does mathematics say about its trend?EURUSD pair!! What can we expect from its trend in the coming weeks? It's common knowledge that the euro has strengthened significantly since March 3rd, as the chart clearly shows. What has this been due to? Multiple factors (Trump, USD technical decline, tariffs, manipulation, etc.). But what's important for a trader? Knowing the direction in the coming weeks. If we look at the surveys (shown in the chart), 90% of traders believe that the EURUSD will go down. And us? What do we think... ---> Let's analyze the chart to think mathematically and forget about surveys and people's opinions because that's how a profitable trader should think, like a bot! Mathematically, it's clear: BEARISH in the long term and BULLISH in a RECUMBENT PHASE or LOSING STRENGTH in the short term. In the chart above (H4), we clearly see that the trend is bullish, but that it has begun to retreat and break through key support zones. And if we look at the chart below (H1), the price is entering a POSSIBLE TREND CHANGE ZONE! If it breaks through the gray zone, the EURUSD WILL DROP STRONGLY! With this data and the SURVEY... What would you think as a TRADER? That the EURUSD WILL DROP IN THE COMING WEEKS, and therefore, we must be prepared for possible short entries. ---> But is this opinion reliable yet? From my point of view, when the trend on the H1 chart turns bearish (Bear), I would enter short without hesitation, but NOT BEFORE! The volatility due to tariffs can MANIPULATE MATHEMATICS and therefore give us FALSE SIGNALS. And the fault won't lie with math, but with market manipulation, because math works perfectly in a stable market, but when there are people (Mr. TRUMP) who manipulate everything, ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN IN A MATTER OF HOURS OR MINUTES :-). In short, we clearly see a BEAR PHASE in the EURUSD, which is also in favor of its weekly trend, so it could be strong and take us back to the 1.05000 zone. Best regards, and I will update the PAR information in the coming days.
Short
by jmesado
EUR/USD with a bullish breakout falling wedge pattern You're looking at a **falling wedge** pattern on **EUR/USD** with a **bullish breakout setup**. Here’s a structured trading plan based on your input: 1. **Buy Trade Setup** - **Pair**: EUR/USD - **Pattern**: Falling Wedge (Bullish Reversal) - **Entry**: **1.09000** (Breakout confirmation above resistance) - **Target (TP)**: **1.09700** (700 pips move) - **Stop Loss (SL)**: **1.08300** (Risk: 70 pips) - **Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR)**: **1:1** 2. EUR/USD Sell Setup – Falling Wedge False Breakout If the falling wedge fails and breaks downward instead of upward, here’s an alternative sell setup: Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bearish Breakdown) Entry: 1.09000 (Break below support) Target (TP): 1.08300 (700 pips move) Stop Loss (SL): 1.09700 (Risk: 70 pips) ### **Confirmation & Strategy** ✅ **50 EMA (Exponential Moving Average)**: Ensure price is reclaiming above the EMA after breakout. ✅ **Volume Increase**: Look for rising volume on breakout confirmation. ✅ **Retest**: A retest of the breakout level (1.09000) turning into support strengthens the trade. ✅ **Momentum Indicators**: RSI above 50 and MACD bullish crossover can support the move. ### **Risk Management (MM)** 🔹 Risk only **1-2%** of your capital per trade. 🔹 Adjust position size to maintain a controlled drawdown. 🔹 Avoid overleveraging to withstand potential pullbacks.
Long
by TradingStar090
EUR/USD Struggles Below 1.0900 Ahead of Key Economic EventsEUR/USD remains in a consolidation phase below 1.0900 in the European session on Monday, as traders exercise caution ahead of key economic data releases. The pair is navigating a narrow range as the market awaits the US Retail Sales data and the German parliamentary vote on fiscal reforms. Technical outlook: Consolidation continues EUR/USD is exhibiting signs of indecisiveness, as indicated by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovering slightly above 50 and the price fluctuating around the 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart. These technical signals suggest a lack of strong directional bias in the near term. Key support levels: 1.0850 - 1.0860: Confluence of the 50-period SMA and the 200-week SMA, marking immediate downside support. 1.0800: A static and psychological round number level. 1.0730: Supported by the 200-day SMA, a critical longer-term trend indicator. Key resistance levels: 1.0900: A strong psychological barrier and static resistance level. 1.0940: Static resistance from previous price action. 1.1000: A major round number and historical resistance level. Fundamental factors affecting EUR/USD US Retail Sales Data (February Release): Expected to rise by 0.7%, rebounding from a 0.9% contraction in January. A weaker-than-expected reading could weigh on the US Dollar (USD), while a stronger report may provide support. Federal Reserve Meeting (March 19): Market participants are reluctant to take large positions ahead of Wednesday’s Fed interest rate decision. The current consensus expects the Fed to maintain rates at 4.5%, which aligns with the previous decision. German Fiscal Reform Vote (March 18): The CDU/CSU, SPD, and Green Party will vote on a proposed fiscal package. The outcome could influence the Euro’s strength, depending on the market's perception of Germany’s fiscal outlook. US Stock Market Sentiment: US equity futures are trading deep in negative territory early Monday, limiting EUR/USD’s potential upside. Short-term price action and forecast 24-hour View: Following last week's sharp but brief rally to 1.0912, the pair closed higher at 1.0879. Current price movements indicate a range-trading phase between 1.0845 and 1.0910, suggesting continued consolidation. 1-3 Week Outlook: Analysts at UOB Group maintain a neutral stance, expecting EUR/USD to trade within a broader 1.0680 - 1.0950 range. While the recent rally has paused, there are no clear signs of a new directional trend. Bias and Sentiment The one-week market bias remains bearish, with 50% of forecasts predicting a decline and the rest expecting sideways movement. The absence of bullish sentiment indicates weak upward momentum, making it difficult for EUR/USD to break above 1.0900 without a strong catalyst. The pair is likely to stay within a narrow range ahead of the US Retail Sales data and the Federal Reserve meeting. Support at 1.0850 holds near-term downside risks, with a break lower exposing 1.0800. On the upside, 1.0900 remains the key resistance, and a sustained move above this level could pave the way toward 1.0940 - 1.1000.
Short
by SupertradeOfficial
EUR/USD Outlook – Potential Downtrend After Channel BreakdownOverview: Pair: EUR/USD Timeframe: 4-Hour (4H) Broker: OANDA Current Price: 1.08436 Trend: Potential Reversal Technical Analysis: The EUR/USD pair has been trading within a rising channel, indicating a bullish trend. However, recent price action shows a breakout to the downside, suggesting a potential bearish reversal. The price failed to sustain above resistance and is now heading lower. Breakdown confirmation suggests further downside movement. Target: 1.06166, which aligns with a previous consolidation zone. Trading Strategy: 📉 Bias: Bearish below the channel breakdown 🎯 Target: 1.06166 (Key Support) 🔍 Confirmation: Additional bearish momentum with lower highs and lower lows
Short
by PIPsOptimizer
eurusd:Start making a profitI have already reminded several times to start shorting around 1.0900 - 1.0950. It has now started to generate profits. Keep holding and wait for the price to drop. Focus on the target range of 1.0850 - 1.0800. Currently, my account balance has grown from an initial $40,000 to $700,000 in profits. I will share accurate trading signals every day, and you have the option to copy my trading orders. If you're interested in getting these signals, you can click on the link below this article.
Short
by KentJessie6