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EURUSD trade ideas

Analysis and Setup for EUR/USDThis is my analysis from this morning after the opening of the London session. Personally, I won't be trading today due to the impact of news throughout the day, but this is roughly my setup for today. I will share it with you, as I always do, so anyone who wants to trade can take advantage of the bullish momentum today. Again, I want to emphasize that we have impactful news throughout the day, which could influence the price both positively and negatively. If anyone is opening a position today, I recommend reducing the lot size as well as the risk of loss.
by andricstrahinja95
4 of the Best Day Trading Strategies4 of the Best Day Trading Strategies Day trading is one of the most challenging approaches as it requires traders to make decisions quickly. Therefore, many traders like using established trading strategies. Explore the intricacies of day trading strategies in this article. For those keen on hands-on experience, consider using FXOpen's free TickTrader platform to follow along and enhance your trading insights. 1. Bollinger Bands & RSI Strategy Bollinger Bands and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) are potent tools that, when combined, can offer one of the best strategies for day trading, capitalising on both volatility and momentum. Entry/Exit Criteria Entries Buy Entry: - Price touches or exceeds the lower Bollinger Band. - RSI dips below 30 (indicating oversold conditions). Sell Entry: - Price touches or exceeds the upper Bollinger Band. - RSI rises above 70 (indicating overbought conditions). Stop Losses Buy Trades: - Slightly below the low point where the price touched the lower Bollinger Band. Sell Trades: - Slightly above the high point where the price touched the upper Bollinger Band. Take Profits Buy Trades: - Price touches the middle Bollinger Band line or - RSI rises towards 50-60, indicating diminishing bearish momentum. Sell Trades: - Price touches the middle Bollinger Band line or - RSI drops towards 40-50, showing fading bullish momentum. How/Why the Strategy Works Bollinger Bands measure an asset's volatility. The outer bands expand during high volatility and contract during low volatility. The asset prices tend to revert to the mean, so a touch or breach of an outer band often indicates a short-term price extreme. On the other hand, the RSI measures the magnitude and persistence of price movements. Values below 30 or above 70 denote oversold or overbought conditions, respectively. By combining these tools, traders get a two-fold verification system. The Bollinger Bands hint at price extremes through volatility, while the RSI confirms it through momentum. This dual filter helps in improving the strategy's reliability, capturing reversals with a higher degree of accuracy. 2. Moving Average Crossover with MACD Confirmation Combining the simplicity of Moving Averages (MA) with the insights from the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), this is one of the day trading strategies. When the two MAs crossover, it indicates a potential change in trend. The MACD serves as a filter to ensure the trend has momentum and is not a false signal. It’s a good idea to set the MACD’s fast and slow lengths to the same as your Fast and Slow MAs. Entry/Exit Criteria Entries Bullish Entry: - Fast MA (e.g., 20-period, blue in chart) crosses above the Slow MA (e.g., 50-period, red in chart). - MACD line moves above the signal line. Bearish Entry: - Fast MA crosses below the Slow MA. - MACD line moves below the signal line. Stop Losses Stop Loss for Bullish Entry: - Slightly below the Slow MA at the point where the Fast MA crossed above the Slow MA. Stop Loss for Bearish Entry: - Slightly above the Slow MA at the point where the Fast MA crossed below the Slow MA. Take Profits Bullish Trades: - Fast MA crosses below the Slow MA or - MACD line descends below the signal line. Bearish Trades: - Fast MA crosses above the Slow MA or - MACD line ascends above the signal line. Why/How the Strategy Works Moving Average crossovers indicate trend shifts. If the fast MA surpasses the slow MA, it implies rising momentum; if it drops below, it indicates a potential decline. However, these signals can be misleading. The MACD, reflecting the relationship between two MAs, validates momentum. A MACD line crossing its signal line confirms the MA's direction. 3. Fibonacci Retracement with Stochastic Oscillator Marrying the predictive power of Fibonacci retracements with the momentum sensitivity of the Stochastic oscillator, this strategy aims to identify potential reversals within major trends. Fibonacci retracements are horizontal lines that indicate potential support and resistance levels, while the Stochastic oscillator measures the speed and change of price movements. Entry/Exit Criteria Entries Bullish Reversal: - Price retraces to a significant Fibonacci level (commonly 38.2%, 50%, or 61.8%). - The Stochastic oscillator goes below 20 (oversold territory) and then crosses back above, indicating gaining bullish momentum. Bearish Reversal: - Price retraces to a major Fibonacci level. - The Stochastic oscillator exceeds 80 (overbought territory) and then crosses back below, signalling growing bearish momentum. Stop Losses Stop Loss for Bullish Reversal: - Slightly below the Fibonacci level where the entry was made. Stop Loss for Bearish Reversal: - Slightly above the Fibonacci level where the entry occurred. Take Profits Exit for Bullish Trades: - Price reaches the next Fibonacci resistance level or - The Stochastic oscillator surpasses 80. Exit for Bearish Trades: - Price hits the next Fibonacci support level or - The Stochastic oscillator drops below 20. Why/How the Strategy Works Fibonacci retracement levels are grounded in the belief that markets often retrace a predictable portion of a move. When prices pull back to these levels, they often find support or resistance, creating potential trading opportunities. However, solely relying on Fibonacci can lead to false signals. To mitigate this, the Stochastic oscillator is employed. By determining if an asset is overbought or oversold relative to its recent price action, the oscillator adds a layer of momentum-based confirmation. 4. VWAP and Moving Average Confluence The Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) is a trading benchmark used by traders to determine the average price an asset has traded throughout the day based on both volume and price. When combined with a simple moving average (SMA), traders can pinpoint high-probability trade entries based on confluence and deviations. It’s one of the preferred day trading stock strategies. Entry/Exit Criteria Entries Bullish Entry: - Price is above both the VWAP (blue in chart) and the chosen SMA (e.g., 20-period, red in chart). - A pullback occurs, where the price tests the SMA without closing below it. Bearish Entry: - The Price is below both the VWAP and the chosen SMA. - A pullback occurs, where the price tests the SMA without closing above it. Stop Losses Stop Loss for Bullish Entry: - Slightly below the entry point. Stop Loss for Bearish Entry: -Just above the entry point. Take Profits Exit for Bullish Trades: - Price crosses below the VWAP or SMA. - A predetermined risk-reward ratio is reached. Exit for Bearish Trades: - Price crosses above the VWAP or SMA. - A predetermined risk-reward ratio is achieved. Why/How the Strategy Works The VWAP adjusts the day's price action for volume, indicating an average price. If the price is above the VWAP, it's seen as bullish, and the opposite for bearish. Paired with the SMA, it reinforces trend identification. When both align and serve as support/resistance, they signal market sentiment. By waiting for the price to respect both the VWAP and SMA during pullbacks, traders can achieve a higher probability of successful trade outcomes. The Bottom Line Whether trading forex, commodities, or stocks, these day trading strategies can help you find your feet and get started in the markets. Still, you should remember that they don’t guarantee 100% success. Markets are dynamic, therefore, each strategy should be used as a model that transforms depending on market conditions and your trading approach. Once you’ve got some experience under your belt, consider opening an FXOpen account. When you do, you’ll gain access to a broad range of markets to put your skills to the test, while benefiting from lightning-fast execution and competitive trading costs. Good luck! This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
4
EURUSD With two probabilities for 10/24/2024EURUSD with a high probability to make the decision for 10/24/2024 ✅️ : 🔸️If the price exceeds the green bar 🟩, with the bar closing in the hour above: there will be a high chance of entering a purchase as indicated in the chart, respecting the day, news and the stop loss. 🔸️If the price exceeds the red bar 🟥, with the bar closing in the hour below: there will be a high chance of entering a sale as indicated in the chart, respecting the day, news, and the stop loss.
Short
by Abderrahmane_24
1
Euro H1 | Pullback resistance at 50% Fibonacci retracementThe Euro (EUR/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 1.0794 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 1.0816 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 1.0762 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
24-Hour Short-Term Risk-on Risk-off Prediction for 24/10/2024The market is expected to maintain a risk-off stance. Safe-haven assets, including USD, JPY, CHF, and gold, are likely to continue seeing strong demand. Riskier assets, particularly equities, high-yield currencies, and cryptocurrencies, may face further downside as caution remains prevalent across global markets. Expect subdued activity in stocks and commodities as investors prioritize capital preservation. This cautious outlook is based on the current market conditions, where uncertainty over global economic growth and geopolitical risks are driving conservative investment behaviors. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The information provided is for general informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial or investment advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions .
by AfreeBit
Mastering Range Trading for Higher ProfitsRange trading is a strategy focused on capturing price movements within a defined range, marked by consistent oscillation between two levels—support and resistance. In this approach, support is the level where buyers prevent further declines, while resistance is the level where sellers cap price increases. Range traders aim to profit from buying at support and selling at resistance, capitalizing on predictable price swings. While range trading is effective during periods of sideways movement, it has its limitations, particularly when the market becomes volatile or when a trend emerges. By integrating range trading with trend-following and breakout strategies, traders can better adapt to changing market conditions. This blended approach allows traders to capture profits in both consolidating and trending markets, maximizing trading opportunities. Understanding Range Trading Range trading focuses on identifying a price range where an asset consistently fluctuates between established support and resistance levels. Traders use this predictable pattern to generate profits by entering long positions at support and selling at resistance. Technical indicators, such as oscillators and volume analysis, help confirm entry and exit points within the range. The primary goal is to capitalize on repetitive price movements, with no expectation of a breakout or major trend shift. Example of Range pattern in S&P500 Key Advantages of Range Trading -Consistent Trading Opportunities: Ideal for non-trending markets, offering regular chances to profit from predictable price movements. -Lower Risk: Relies on established support and resistance levels, minimizing the risk of sudden price swings. -Simplicity: Easy to understand and implement, making it suitable for traders of all levels. Limitations of Range Trading -Vulnerability to Breakouts: Prone to significant losses if a breakout occurs and the price moves beyond the defined range. -Smaller Profit Margins: Focuses on short-term price moves, resulting in lower profits compared to trend-following strategies. -Market Dependency: Effective only in non-trending conditions; becomes less reliable during strong trends. Combining Range Trading with Trend-Following Trend-following strategies focus on riding sustained price movements in one direction. By entering positions in the direction of the trend, traders aim to capture larger gains as the trend progresses. The integration of range trading and trend-following can create a more adaptive trading plan, allowing traders to capitalize on both sideways and trending markets. Example Range Trading on EUR/USD Following the trend - SMA 50 How to Blend Range Trading and Trend-Following -Transition Points: During consolidation phases, range trading can be used to capture smaller price movements. When a breakout occurs, traders can shift to trend-following to capture larger price swings. Indicators for Blending Strategies: Use the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify overbought and oversold conditions within a range. Practical Implementation: For example, when a currency pair is range-bound, traders can buy at support and sell at resistance using range trading. If a breakout follows, they can switch to a trend-following strategy by placing trades in the direction of the breakout. Integrating Breakout Trading with Range Trading Breakout trading aims to capture significant price movements when the market breaks beyond support or resistance levels. When combined with range trading, it can maximize trading opportunities, especially during high volatility periods. Breakout example Range Trading EUR/USD How to Integrate Breakout Trading with Range Trading Spotting Breakout Setups: Use range analysis to identify potential breakout points, as repeated tests of support or resistance often signal an impending breakout. Managing Risk: Set Stop Loss orders just below/above the breakout level to protect against false breakouts. Use position sizing to manage risk according to your risk tolerance. Maximizing Profits: Use trailing stops to lock in profits as the market continues to move in the breakout direction. Key Technical Indicators for Blending Strategies Moving Averages (MA): Identify trends and confirm breakouts. -Relative Strength Index (RSI): Help identify momentum and reversals, suitable for both range trading and trend-following. Example of RSI Use on Range Trading Choosing the Right Trading Platform To effectively blend range trading, trend-following, and breakout strategies, it’s essential to use the right trading platform. TradingView: Known for its intuitive interface and wide range of indicators, ideal for technical analysis. Backtesting Tools: Use backtesting features ( from Tradingview ) to evaluate the performance of your integrated strategy against historical data. In Conclusion combining range trading with trend-following and breakout strategies can significantly enhance your trading performance. This comprehensive approach allows you to capitalize on consolidation phases, trend shifts, and breakout opportunities. By adapting to different market environments, traders can achieve more consistent and profitable results. ✅ Please share your thoughts about this article in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my post. 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Education
by FOREXN1
1
Euro and Yen Weakness Stands OutWe continue to see broad-based demand for the US dollar, though it's clear that most of the dollar strength of late has been against the Euro and the Yen. A new report has been making headlines, discussing a growing group of ECB members who think the central bank has fallen behind the curve on monetary easing. We've also been hearing plenty of dovish talk from a number of ECB officials. Meanwhile, in Japan, the Yen has been accelerating to the downside, partially due to this dollar demand and partially because of uncertainty heading into the weekend election in Japan. Looking ahead, we have the Bank of Canada policy decision, ECB President Lagarde's speech, Eurozone consumer confidence readings, existing home sales, Fed speak, and the Fed Beige Book. Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
by BlackBull_Markets