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EURUSD trade ideas

The Loss Effect: Why Traders Hold On To Losing Positions📍 In the realm of trading, the psychological weight of losses often outweighs the thrill of gains. This phenomenon, known as loss aversion , refers to the innate human tendency to prefer avoiding losses over acquiring equivalent gains. Within the context of financial markets, this bias can lead traders to stubbornly cling to losing positions, driven by the hope that market conditions will eventually shift in their favor. Consequently, their focus often shifts away from the potential for profit to a preoccupation with preserving their existing capital. 📍 Reasons Traders Avoid Closing Losing Trades Several psychological factors contribute to traders’ decisions to retain losing trades: 1. Emotional Attachment Traders are not immune to the emotions that accompany financial decisions. When individuals invest in an asset, they often form an emotional bond with that investment. Experiencing a loss can feel like a personal defeat, stirring feelings of shame, frustration , and anger. This emotional attachment can cloud judgment and impede rational decision-making. Rather than assessing the asset’s current market value objectively, traders may cling to the hope that conditions will improve, in an effort to circumvent the distress associated with acknowledging a loss. 2. Fear of Realizing a Loss The psychology of loss is complex, with many traders perceiving the act of realizing a loss as more painful than the prospect of missing out on potential gains. This fear can compel traders to hold on to losing positions, hoping that the market will rebound to their initial entry points. By postponing the realization of a loss, they believe they can mitigate its emotional impact. However, this paradoxical reasoning often leads to extended periods in losing positions, even as downward trends become increasingly pronounced. 3. Lack of Confidence in Their Strategy Traders often rely on specific strategies or analyses when making investment decisions. When the market begins to turn against them, a sense of doubt regarding the validity of their strategy can emerge. This internal conflict can make it challenging for a trader to acknowledge a mistake. Instead of reevaluating their positions and accepting the reality of a loss, they may irrationally hold onto failing trades, hoping for an unexpected turnaround—an approach that typically exacerbates their situation. 4. Challenges with Objective Analysis Emotional responses can significantly hinder traders’ ability to conduct objective analyses of their positions. Important data and market signals indicating a need to exit a position may be ignored, leading to cognitive dissonance. This disconnect between emotion and analysis often causes traders to remain in unprofitable trades far longer than warranted, despite clear evidence suggesting the necessity of a change in strategy. 5. Cognitive Distortions Traders are susceptible to a variety of cognitive distortions that can cloud their judgment: ⚫️ Selective Attention: Many traders may emphasize their winning trades while minimizing the importance of their losses. This selective focus can result in a failure to adequately analyze losing positions, leading to the selection bias known as " cherry-picking ." ⚫️ Confirmation Bias: This cognitive bias leads traders to seek out and prioritize information that reaffirms their initial decisions, while disregarding contradictory evidence. As a result, they may grow increasingly reluctant to close losing positions, insisting on data that supports their original decision to invest. 📍 Conclusion: To Hold or Not to Hold Losing Positions? Deciding whether to maintain or close a losing position ultimately hinges on one's tolerance for losses. If a stock continues to decline in value without signs of recovery, persisting in holding it may be misguided; in such cases, it may be more prudent to exit and then consider purchasing at a more favorable price. However, it is equally ill-advised to close positions at the slightest market correction. The crux of the matter lies in understanding the underlying reasons for the loss. If no fundamental issues exist and the downturn appears temporary—especially when the loss aligns with typical statistical drawdowns—there may be no need to exit the position prematurely. Ultimately, a balanced approach involving emotional detachment and a keen awareness of market dynamics can aid traders in making more informed and strategically sound decisions regarding their positions. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Education
by Lingrid
5
Dollar's Resilience: EU, GU and AU Levels to Watch!The US dollar continues its impressive rally, demonstrating resilience amidst global uncertainty. This analysis dives into the key levels and upcoming catalysts that could shape the dollar's trajectory in the week ahead. Technical Confirmation of Bullish Momentum The dollar's uptrend is clear, not just from the economic data, but also from the charts. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has broken through key resistance levels, signaling further upside potential. The clean breakouts and strong momentum observed on various timeframes reinforce the bullish outlook for the dollar. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently hovering around the recently surpassed 104.00 level, establishing a trading range in anticipation of a crucial week filled with significant data releases and economic events. A breakout from this range, coupled with a break of the immediate resistance at 105.00, could ignite a powerful bullish trend for the dollar. Key Economic Events to Watch This week is packed with important economic news that could affect the dollar. Here's what to keep an eye on: • FOMC Interest Rate Decision: The Fed is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points, but the market will be focusing on their forward guidance and any surprises. • Bank of England (BOE) Interest Rate Decision: With inflation cooling in the UK, a rate cut is anticipated. However, the market will be watching for clues about the BOE's future policy path. • Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Monetary Policy Meeting: No change in policy is expected, but the market will be looking for any shifts in the RBA's tone and possible dovish commentaries. What Does This Mean for Traders? The dollar's strength is a major force in the forex market. By keeping an eye on these economic events and understanding the technical picture, traders can identify potential opportunities. Key Levels for Major Pairs: EUR/USD: The EURUSD pair recently tested the 1.0900 level, and traders are now anticipating the next move. A decisive break above this level could propel the pair towards 1.1000. Conversely, a bounce off 1.0900 may signal a potential return to October's low of 1.0800. GBP/USD: GBP/USD is showing vulnerability. Should the Bank of England (BOE) adopt a dovish stance, the GBPUSD pair is likely to retreat to the 1.285 level, with a significant possibility of breaking below this support. AUD/USD: Despite opening the week above 0.6600, the AUDUSD pair faces strong bearish pressure, suggesting a likely continuation of the downward trend. A break below the minor support at 0.6550 could pave the way for a decline towards 0.6500. Engage with us! Share your thoughts on the dollar's outlook in the comments below. Follow our profile for more fundamental and technical analysis updates.
by E8Markets
1
EUR/USD Potential Reversal and Support-Resistance AnalysisAnalysis Summary Change of Character (CHoCH): The CHoCH levels, marked both to the left and near the recent high, indicate shifts in market sentiment. These suggest potential reversals or pauses in the current price direction, providing areas of interest for traders. Lower High (LH) and Weak High: The lower high formed around 1.09150, noted as a weak high, suggests that buyers struggled to push beyond this resistance. This level might act as a target if a bullish reversal occurs, but it remains vulnerable to further selling pressure. Support Zones: The chart features two key blue support zones: one around 1.08700 and another lower one near 1.08350. These zones are likely to act as demand areas if the price declines, potentially attracting buyers looking for a bounce. Strong Low: The strong low, located near 1.08300, serves as a significant support level. A break below this level could confirm a continuation of the bearish trend, while a successful defense may provide a base for a bullish reversal. Potential Scenarios: Bullish Reversal: If the price holds above the first blue support zone (around 1.08700), it could bounce and aim for the weak high at 1.09150. A break above this level could see further gains toward the premium resistance zone, indicated in red. Deeper Bearish Move: Alternatively, if the price fails to hold the 1.08700 support, it may drop toward the strong low support around 1.08300. This could provide another opportunity for buyers, or if broken, signal further downside potential. Conclusion The EUR/USD chart suggests a possible reversal from support levels, with key resistance at the weak high of 1.09150. Traders should monitor the support zones closely for signs of buying strength or a breakdown that could lead to further bearish movement.
Long
by SwiftSignalFX
1
EURUSD: Potential USD Strength On Trump Election MomentumHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.09000 zone, EURUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.09000 support and resistance area. I would also consider the ongoing Elections in the US, if Trump wins as he is bullish the Dollar we should see a significant downsides in the Dollar. Trade safe, Joe.
Short
by JoeChampion
5
EURUSD Buy ForecastEURUSD New forecast👨‍💻👨‍💻 Note: Follow proper risk management rules. Never risk more then 2% of your total capital. Money management is the key of success in this business...... Set your own SL & TP. Please support this idea with a Like and COMMENT if you find it useful click "follow" on our profile if you will like these type of trading ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!! lemme know your thoughts in the comment sec...
Long
by King_CityStar_Fx
7
EURUSD 1.09085 +0.71% short idea INTRA-DAY SET UP...HELLO TRADERS Hope everyone is doing great 📌 A look at The EURUSD NY FROM AM - PM SESSION * With a bullish run into Monday CLOSE (PO3) today will be looking for some retracement. * looking at the daily HIGH taken which is a sign of weakness on EU. * Looking at the VI below as targets as well. * on the 4H looking for a bullish open to take ASIA high LQ✔. * PO3 * Push higher before going for lower structures✔. * looking for an aggressive move above out of the range to sweep. * and aggressive in. * this where I would look for entries short. * Looking for the take of that ERL WHICH we saw friday. * with two possible OTE ( ASIA HIGHS, AND LONG TERM HIGH) , EXECUTION IS BASED ON RR & RISK MANAGEMENT. * DXY 15M - Will wait for the DXY to take ASIA lows and trade back in the range as a confirmation as well... * BASED on the price action served next session... * We will see what does the market dish. 🤷‍♂️😉🐻📉🐮📈 HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK. SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS. IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT. ALWAYS APPRECIATED ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤ LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
Short
by PULEMokhothu
4
EUR/USD Shorts from 1.09200 back down This week’s analysis for EUR/USD is somewhat different from GBP/USD. I expect price to continue dropping from one of the two supply zones I’ve identified. I’ll be watching for a potential Wyckoff distribution pattern to form at these zones. Once I see signs of distribution, I’ll look to enter short positions, targeting the liquidity pool below. If, during the week’s election events, price drops to fill the gap left at Sunday’s open, I see potential for buys from the 1-hour demand zone. I’ll wait for signs of price slowing down and accumulating to identify good entry points for long trades. Confluences for EUR/USD Sells: - Price is approaching a premium supply area. - Significant liquidity lies below, including untouched Asian session lows. - The higher timeframe trend remains bearish. - The DXY still shows strong bullish pressure. P.S. Although there’s been a recent shift in character to the upside, I still view EUR/USD as bearish on the higher timeframe, especially with the dollar’s ongoing bullish momentum. I’ll observe price behavior within my points of interest to determine the best entries.
Short
by Hassan_fx
EURO - Price can leave wedge and decline to support levelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Recently price broke $1.0885 level and continued to decline inside falling channel, where it at once fell to support line. Then price bounced to resistance line of channel and then declined to $1.0785 level and even broke it. Price fell to support line, after which made upward impulse, thereby breaking $1.0785 level again and exiting from channel. Next, Euro entered to wedge, made correction to support line, and then started to grow to resistance level. A not long time ago, price reached this level, and some time traded near, but soon bounced down. At the moment, I think EUR can make a rise movement and then fall to $1.0785 support level, exiting from the wedge. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Short
by WalterMoon
4
Possible Euro StrengthI’m monitoring for Euro strength against the US Dollar in the near to mid-term. Based on my data, the risk-to-reward ratio appears very favorable. I plan to start building a long position on the EURUSD pair if it falls below 1.07, only initiating the trade once this threshold is reached. If it doesn’t, I will refrain from entering. Given the strong current momentum, it’s possible the pair could move significantly lower, so I’ll begin with a small initial position. I scale into and out of my trades gradually, taking multiple smaller positions along the way.
Long
by Maddin278
1
EUR/USD Surges as U.S. Political Uncertainty Ahead of Key EventsDuring Monday’s European session, the EUR/USD currency pair is making headlines by hovering around the 1.0900 mark. With an ambitious target of 1.09780 in sight, this major currency pair is showing a notable surge at the expense of the U.S. Dollar (USD). This movement comes amid rising uncertainty as the United States approaches its presidential election on Tuesday, alongside the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting later in the week. A Bearish Start for the U.S. Dollar As the new week begins, the U.S. Dollar is experiencing a bearish trend, reflected in the decline of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). Market participants are especially focused on the tight race shaping up between former President Donald Trump and current Vice President Kamala Harris, fueling a climate of uncertainty around the election outcomes. The anticipation surrounding the elections appears to have contributed to a flight from the dollar, as traders brace for potential volatility based on the implications of the election results. Technical Analysis: No Major Changes From a technical perspective, the current market behavior reflects continuity rather than change. Price levels remain largely similar to those observed in previous weeks, suggesting a moment of stabilization as traders await catalysts that could lead to clearer directional moves. Additionally, the Commitment of Traders (COT) report indicates that the positioning of traders has not changed significantly, continuing to reflect the trends seen last week. Preparing for Election Aftermath As the market gears up for the immediate aftermath of the elections, traders should be prepared for substantial fluctuations. The uncertainty regarding the election outcomes and the potential shifts in U.S. monetary policy are poised to create considerable movement across various asset classes. Depending on who emerges victorious, expectations for fiscal strategies, regulatory changes, and economic recovery plans may influence market sentiment and asset performance for weeks to come. Conclusion In conclusion, the EUR/USD's rise toward the 1.09780 target reflects broader market dynamics influenced by political uncertainty in the United States. As participants navigate this complex landscape, the interplay between election outcomes and central bank policies will be crucial to the future trajectory of the currency pair. Traders are advised to remain vigilant, as upcoming events could lead to significant volatility, reshaping market expectations and price actions in the process. Previous Forecast: ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
EUR/USD Starts Tuesday with Optimism Amid Mixed Dollar StrengthThe EUR/USD pair opened Tuesday with a positive sentiment, trading at 1.08230 as of this writing. This follows a shaky start to the week for the US Dollar (USD), which initially showed strength but saw limited momentum as investors opted for caution, especially in the absence of major economic data or fundamental drivers early in the week. ECB’s Cautious Tone Amid Inflation Progress On Monday, ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos offered insights into the central bank’s view on inflation, noting that while there has been substantial progress in reducing inflation, it's premature to assume that the battle is over. His statements suggested that the ECB will maintain a flexible stance on monetary policy, leaving room for adjustments depending on economic developments. This cautious, yet open stance by the ECB may lend some support to the euro, as markets interpret the ECB's careful monitoring of inflation as a signal that interest rate hikes could still be in the realm of possibility. Focus on U.S. JOLTS Job Openings Data Later in the day, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the JOLTS Job Openings data for September, which may influence USD sentiment. Markets are anticipating job openings to slightly decrease to 7.99 million, from 8.04 million in August. However, should the reading exceed expectations, particularly if it reaches 8.5 million or higher, it could reinforce USD strength as it would indicate continued labor market resilience—a key factor for the Federal Reserve's policy decisions. Conversely, a reading below 7.5 million might dampen USD appeal, as it would suggest cooling in the labor market, potentially leading the Fed to reconsider its tightening pace. Technical Overview: EUR/USD Positioned Near Demand Zone From a technical perspective, EUR/USD is showing some resilience around a demand zone, though it isn’t the strongest of support levels. The pair’s recent reaction in this area suggests some buying interest that could offer temporary support. Given this positioning, a long position might be worth considering if the upcoming JOLTS data provides a supportive backdrop by coming in below expectations, potentially weakening the USD. On the other hand, if the data surprises on the upside, EUR/USD might test lower levels, and the demand zone’s strength could be challenged. Conclusion In summary, the EUR/USD outlook today hinges significantly on the JOLTS report, with the euro finding slight support from the ECB's cautious optimism on inflation. A supportive labor report could provide USD strength, but a weaker-than-expected report may favor euro bulls, positioning EUR/USD for further upside near current demand levels. With this dynamic, traders might consider waiting for the JOLTS data before committing to positions, using it as a potential trigger for directionality in this volatile environment. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
1