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EURUSD trade ideas

EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D10 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D10 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block ✅15' order block ✅4 hour order block ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
EURUSD INTRADAY Bullish continuation pattern developing Trend Overview: EUR/USD continues to exhibit a bullish price structure, supported by a rising trendline and higher lows. Recent intraday action reflects a corrective pullback, suggesting a temporary pause within the broader uptrend. Key Technical Levels: Support: 1.1300 (primary), followed by 1.1235 and 1.1180 Resistance: 1.1430 (initial), then 1.1470 and 1.1500 Technical Outlook: A pullback toward 1.1300, which coincides with the previous consolidation zone, may present a bullish continuation setup. A confirmed bounce from this level could open the path toward 1.1430, with 1.1470 and 1.1500 as potential longer-term targets. However, a daily close below 1.1300 would indicate a breakdown of near-term bullish momentum. This scenario would increase the likelihood of a deeper correction toward 1.1235, and possibly 1.1180. Conclusion: The outlook for EUR/USD remains constructively bullish, contingent on the 1.1300 support holding. A bounce from this level would reinforce the uptrend. Conversely, a decisive break below 1.1300 would shift the short-term bias to bearish, suggesting further downside toward the 1.1200 area. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Day Ahead Market Watch – Tuesday, June 10 (Technical Focus) Key Data Releases (Potential Volatility Triggers): US NFIB Small Business Optimism (May) – Watch for shifts in sentiment that could influence the USD and S&P 500 direction. 3-Year Note Auction – Yields could impact Treasury curve dynamics; monitor for demand strength or weakness. UK Average Weekly Earnings (Apr) Unemployment Rate (Apr) Jobless Claims Change (May) These labor data points are pivotal for GBP crosses. Stronger wage data may support GBP/USD, especially near key resistance around 1.2800. Japan M2 & M3 Money Supply (May) Machine Tool Orders (May) Typically low volatility, but may offer insights for JPY if surprise deviation occurs. Italy Industrial Production (Apr) – Weakness could pressure FTSE MIB if it breaks below short-term support near 34,000. Sweden GDP Indicator (Apr) – May impact SEK, especially against EUR if growth deviates significantly. Norway & Denmark CPI (May) – Inflation data could move NOK and DKK, especially if it challenges central bank guidance. Central Bank Speakers (Volatility Risk): ECB: Villeroy, Holzmann, Rehn Hawkish or dovish signals may drive short-term EUR/USD moves; key resistance to watch: 1.0900. Watch German bund yields for confirmation. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EURUSDPrice has recently retraced to a key support zone and is showing bullish structure on the lower timeframes. A long position is anticipated based on the confluence of the Fibonacci retracement and recent bullish momentum. Entry: Buy EUR/USD at current market price or upon confirmation of bullish candlestick pattern near the 50%-61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone. Partial Take Profit: Secure partial profits at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the previous swing move. Final Take Profit: Trail remaining position toward the 100% extension or next significant resistance. Stop Loss: Below the 61.8% retracement or just under recent swing low for risk management. Rationale: Bullish order flow combined with Fibonacci confluence suggests a potential continuation move to the upside. Taking partial profits at the 50% level ensures capital protection while allowing room for extended gains.
Long
by mwananukachabota
EURUSD Analysis (MMC Strategy) : Structure Mapping + Target🧠 Overview This analysis is based on the MMC (Market Mapping Concept), combining smart money principles, structure mapping, and price behavior analysis. EUR/USD has been showing strong bullish activity over the past few months, but we are now approaching a critical decision zone. Let’s break it all down. 🔹 1. Arc Structure – Accumulation Phase (Dec 2024 – Feb 2025) The chart starts with a well-defined Arc formation, signaling accumulation by large players. Price showed a series of higher lows within the arc, compressing volatility. This is where smart money quietly loads positions before pushing price. Key Insight: This arc often precedes an impulsive breakout, as seen next. 🔹 2. Central Zone Breakout (Feb – Mar 2025) The price exploded out of the arc, breaking through the central compression area. Marked as the Central Zone, this acted as both support and a launchpad. This phase included imbalance filling, reaccumulation, and clean price action. Observation: Notice the aggressive bullish candles—clear indication of institutional interest. 🔹 3. Structure Mapping & QFL Zone (April 2025) A classic QFL (Quick Flip Level) was formed after the initial rally. Price pulled back into a structure support zone, respected it cleanly, and bounced back. This gave a textbook smart money entry. Structure Mapping highlights how each leg of the trend is forming based on supply/demand reaction. 🔹 4. Major BOS – Break of Structure (May 2025) Price broke the previous swing high, giving us a Major Break of Structure. This BOS confirms a change in character (CHOCH) from ranging to trending. After BOS, the market retested the breakout zone—providing a second ideal long entry for continuation traders. 🔹 5. Minor Resistance Zone (Current Price) Currently, price is testing a Minor Resistance zone around 1.1400–1.1450. This level acted as resistance earlier and may slow price down temporarily. However, there’s still room for bullish continuation unless reversal patterns emerge. Key Watch Point: If price shows weakness here (e.g., rejection wicks, bearish engulfing), short-term retracement may follow. 🔹 6. Next Reversal Zone (Projected Target: 1.1700–1.1800) The green box above marks the Next Reversal Zone, based on historical supply, Fibonacci extension levels, and structure analysis. Expect this area to act as strong resistance unless momentum is very strong. This is a potential TP zone for long traders or an area to scout for short opportunities if reversal signals appear (divergence, order block rejection, liquidity grab). 📌 Key Levels Zone Price Range Role Central Zone 1.0800–1.1000 Support/Accumulation Minor Resistance 1.1400–1.1450 Immediate Hurdle Next Reversal Zone 1.1700–1.1800 Target / Short Setup QFL Zone 1.1100–1.1200 Smart Money Entry Point 🧠 Strategy Outlook ✅ Bullish Bias: Structure is clearly bullish. Buyers are in control. 🕵️‍♂️ Watch for Reaction at Minor Resistance – a clean break = continuation, rejection = short-term pullback.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/USD – Bearish Setup with Potential Drop Toward 1.1285 and 1.EUR/USD is showing signs of exhaustion near the 1.1475 Fibonacci extension level (127.2%), with a completed five-wave impulse pattern likely followed by an ABC correction. 🔻 Bearish Scenario: A clear 5-wave Elliott structure suggests a top might be in. Price is now losing momentum, indicating the start of a corrective move. If selling continues, 1.12850 will be the first key level to watch. A break below that could open the door for a deeper correction toward 1.12286. 📉 Momentum Support: The Detrended Oscillator shows a loss of bullish momentum, aligning with the corrective structure expectation. 🔴 Invalidation: A break back above 1.1475 would invalidate the bearish count and suggest trend continuation. This setup favors short opportunities on breakdown confirmation with targets at the next major supports.
Short
by Mohammad_Mirdehghan
EIRISD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 1.1418, a pullback resistance. Our take profit is set at 1.1379, a swing low support. The stop loss is set at 1.1456, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 10, 2025 EURUSDAn Event to pay attention today: 13:00 EET. USD - NFIB Small Business Optimism Index EURUSD: The EUR/USD pair is struggling to capitalise on the previous day's gains and is attracting new sellers around 1.1435 during Tuesday's Asian session. The intraday decline is driven by solid demand for the US dollar (USD) and has pushed spot prices below 1.1400 in the last hour. Friday's US non-farm payrolls (NFP) report, which showed higher-than-expected data, dampened hopes for an early interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) this year. This, along with optimism about the resumption of trade talks between the US and China, is prompting traders to ease their bearish bets on the US dollar, which is proving to be a key factor putting pressure on the EUR/USD pair. However, as negotiations continued into a second day in London, traders may refrain from aggressive directional bets. In addition, traders still see a rate cut by the US central bank in September as more likely. This, along with concerns about the financial health of the US government, may limit further strengthening of the US dollar and provide support for the EUR/USD pair. In contrast, the European Central Bank (ECB) hinted at the end of its rate-cutting cycle at its meeting last week. This could further benefit the single currency and help limit losses for the currency pair. Traders may also refrain from aggressive betting ahead of this week's US inflation data release. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.1390, SL 1.1410, TP 1.1300
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EURUSD – Still a chance to rebound if support holdsEURUSD has recently pulled back slightly after approaching resistance near the rising trendline. Currently, price is heading back to retest the support zone around 1.13200 – a key confluence area with the EMA89 and previous swing lows. This is a crucial level. If it holds, there’s a strong possibility for a rebound toward the 1.14280 resistance area. On the H4 timeframe, the price structure remains within an ascending channel with no clear signs of trend reversal. The formation of higher lows suggests that buying pressure is still present. Notably, if this week’s CPI, PPI, and NFP data come in weaker than expected, market sentiment may shift further toward the idea of an early Fed rate cut – potentially providing a lift for EURUSD. Additionally, rising geopolitical tensions could increase risk aversion, weakening the USD and further supporting the euro.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
Based on the provided EURUSD 4-hour chart, here's a simple tradeCurrent Situation: The price is currently at 1.13869, trading within a resistance zone (indicated by the pink shaded area around 1.13700 - 1.14000). Previously, the price reacted strongly to this area, leading to a significant drop. There's a clear upward trend leading into this resistance zone. Potential Trade Scenarios: 1. Short Entry (Bearish Reversal): Rationale : The price is at a significant resistance level that has caused a strong bearish reaction in the past. If this resistance holds, we could see a repeat of the previous downtrend. Entry Signal: Look for clear bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing pattern, pin bar, or rejection candle) forming within or just below the resistance zone (around 1.13700 - 1.14000) . A break and retest of the lower boundary of this resistance could also be an entry. Target: The next major support zone appears to be around 1.11748 - 1.12000. Stop Loss: Place the stop loss just above the current resistance zone, perhaps around 1.14200 - 1.14500 , to account for potential false breakouts. 2. Long Entry (Bullish Breakout Continuation): Rationale: If the current bullish momentum is strong enough to break through this resistance, it could signal a continuation of the upward trend. Entry Signal: Wait for a confirmed breakout above the resistance zone (e.g., a 4-hour candle closing clearly above 1.14000 - 1.14200). A retest of the broken resistance as new support would offer a higher-probability entry. Target: The next major resistance level is not immediately visible on this chart, but you would look for the next supply zone or previous swing highs. Stop Loss: Place the stop loss below the broken resistance, which would now act as support, perhaps around 1.13500. Key Considerations Before Entry: Confirmation: Do not enter solely based on the price reaching the zone. Always wait for a clear candlestick confirmation or a break and retest. Volume (if available): Higher volume on a breakout or rejection can add conviction to the move. News Events: Be aware of any upcoming high-impact news events that could affect EURUSD. Risk Management: Always define your stop loss and position size before entering any trade.
Short
by ThulaniMtetwa
Will the U.S. Dollar Bear go out to lunch and take a break?In this video I go over the case for the U.S. Dollar bear taking a break and price action getting a pullback across the EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY. I took a 42% profit on EUR/USD longs and currently keeping an eye on a short opportunity if weakness starts to creep in on the price action. Long term, I remain U.S. Dollar bearish across the board however pullbacks are always expected during a macro price move. If we trade higher, so be it and I will evaluate what the next position will be. As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe.
by InternalTraderNYC
Euro's bullish momentum signals upside potential beyond $1.145 Current Price: $1.14247 Direction: LONG Targets: - T1 = $1.14500 - T2 = $1.15000 Stop Levels: - S1 = $1.14000 - S2 = $1.13700 **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Euro. **Key Insights:** Euro's price momentum has shown steady consolidation above the $1.14000 mark, signaling strong underlying demand. Technical indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), suggest a gradual shift toward overbought territory, which could trigger bullish sentiment. Furthermore, the Euro's performance is reinforced by consistent volume levels, highlighting market participants' confidence in its upward movement. The recent shift in central bank monetary policy expectations toward stability is fostering optimism among traders. Region-specific economic data points also support the currency. Improved manufacturing PMI data from core European economies, coupled with steady inflation trends, are providing a solid foundation for the Euro's bullish trajectory. Traders are closely watching these macroeconomic indicators to refine their strategies in line with prevailing market dynamics. **Recent Performance:** Over the past week, the Euro has climbed steadily from $1.13500, consistently testing and holding resistance levels, which now act as support points. This steady rise is indicative of strong technical fundamentals, supported by resilient demand across trading zones. The transition to the current price of $1.14247 reiterates market conviction in the Euro's potential for further gains. **Expert Analysis:** Technical analysts have emphasized moving averages, with the 50-day and 200-day SMAs signaling alignment for sustained bullish movement. With a current price above the 200-day SMA, momentum indicators and Fibonacci retracement levels pinpoint the next potential resistance zones around $1.14500. Additionally, pattern analysis reveals an ascending triangle formation, which is a common precursor to breakout scenarios. Expert macroeconomic outlook is reinforcing this bullish sentiment, citing gradual easing of geopolitical tensions and improved trade relations among Eurozone economies. Bullish divergence in MACD charts further supports the likelihood of an extended rally as technical setups align with the broader economic narrative. **News Impact:** The recent European Central Bank announcement indicates a steady rate environment, which has historically led to increased currency valuation amidst reduced speculation. Meanwhile, sustained demand from corporate trade flows driven by robust economic indicators fortifies the market outlook. Strength in global equities and a weaker U.S. Dollar further provide tailwinds to the Euro. **Trading Recommendation:** Market alignment with technical and macroeconomic conditions creates an optimal scenario for long positions on the Euro. Traders should watch for a breakout past the $1.14500 level, which could quickly propel prices toward $1.15000. Coupled with conservative stop placement below prior support levels, this trade setup offers a compelling risk-reward opportunity. Initiating a bullish stance on Euro provides potential gains supported by technical convergence and positive sentiment within the Eurozone economic landscape.
Long
by CrowdWisdomTrading