UPDATE ON EUR/USD ANALYSISEUR/USD 15M - Afternoon people, I hope you are all well, sorry for my absence this morning. As some of you know I am travelling to Sydney next week and have some things I MUST finish before I fly.
Its also my birthday later on in the week as well, so please bare with me and understand this week and next maybe a little slow. Nevertheless here is an update on the market from yesterdays Sunday Sessions video.
As you can see above price went on to break structure to the upside and delivered us with a perfect opportunity to long the market, I have gone ahead and marked out the hidden order block price came to trade back down and into.
This is where we could have entered in long from this morning, setting our TP just below the last high to guarantee a TP hit and our SL below the zone we got involved in. This opportunity went on to trade 7RR
EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD directional bias: BuyPrice has closed above a key 4h resistance level. Based on the higher timeframe direction, I am expecting price to continue upwards to the recent high (1.5568).
Please be aware that we have a USD Interest Rate release on Wednesday which could cause a lot of volatility in the market. Keep this in mind if you decide to trade this direction.
EUR/USD Bullish Breakout _ Targeting 1.14200Based on the chart of EUR/USD pair on the 30-minute timeframe.
1. Downtrend Observed
The price action has been forming lower highs and lower lows, indicative of a sustained downtrend.
A clear descending trendline (drawn in blue) confirms this bearish movement.
2. Potential Bullish Reversal
There's a bullish breakout above the descending trendline. This breakout is marked with a blue highlight circle.
The price has broken above both the trendline and the moving averages, suggesting a potential shift in momentum.
3. Support Zone and Reversal
A support zone has been drawn near the 1.1270–1.1290 level where price previously found buyers.
This area acted as a demand zone leading to the bounce that broke the trendline.
4. Confirmation and Projection
The label “Bullish breakout trend confirmation” suggests that the trader anticipates continued upward movement.
The large arrow and zig-zag line imply a strong bullish rally may follow, possibly targeting levels above 1.1400.
5 Target Point : 1.EUR?4200
EURO - Price can rise to top part of flat from support areaHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago, price entered to wedge, where it bounced from support line and rose to $1.0860 level, breaking $1.0470 level.
Then price broke $1.0860 level too, but then it made correction to support line of wedge and then made upward impulse.
Euro exited from wedge and continued to grow to $1.1260 level, after which broke this level and started to trades in flat.
Inside flat, price rose to top part of flat and then made correction to support area, where it some time traded close.
At the moment, Euro trades inside support area, near support level, so, I think that price can correct to $1.1260 level.
After this movement, in my mind, EUR can start to grow to $1.1570 top part of the flat.
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EURUSD Channel Up favors buying but keep an eye on this.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the February 28 Low and its current Bearish Leg almost reached the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. That is where the previous Bearish Leg made a Higher Low (March 27) and rebounded.
This keeps for now the bullish trend intact and it will remain so for as long as the price remains within the Channel Up. The short-term Target is the -0.236 Fib extension at 1.17500. If on the other hand it breaks below the Channel Up, be ready to take the small loss and sell towards the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at 1.08500, which is the level that supported the market on that previous March 27 Low.
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EURUSD Will Fall! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.133.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.125 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD Decline in the Channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Relief rally stalled at 1.1350 where the descending resistance meets the rectangle’s upper boundary; a string of lower highs confirms supply.
● Failure to reclaim the resistance line and a break below 1.13 exposes 1.12.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● U.S. factory orders jumped 4.3 % in March on commercial aircraft demand, underpinning dollar strength and pressuring EUR/USD.
● Eurozone HCOB manufacturing PMI eased to 49.0 in April—still in contraction—underscoring weak euro fundamentals.
✨ Summary
Confluence resistance at 1.1350 caps the pair; short bias targets 1.1270 → 1.1200, invalidated on a close above 1.1380.
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EUR/USD - Day Trading Analysis With Volume ProfileOn EUR/USD , it's nice to see a strong sell-off from the price of 1.13600. It's also encouraging to observe a strong volume area where a lot of contracts are accumulated.
I believe that sellers from this area will defend their short positions. When the price returns to this area, strong sellers will push the market down again.
Fair Value GAP (FVG) and Volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go short on this trade.
Happy trading,
Dale
EUR/USD Bullish Reversal Setup – Demand Zone to Target 1.15646🔍 Current Price: 1.13414
📉 EMA (70): 1.13334
Price is slightly above the EMA → Bullish hint ✅
Key Zones & Levels
🟦 Demand Zone:
📍 1.12441 ➡️ 1.12985
Strong buying interest here!
Price bounced from this zone → 📈 Possible reversal
🔵 Entry Point: 1.12985
🛑 Stop Loss: 1.12441
🎯 Target: 1.15646
Trendline Watch
📉 Descending trendline is being tested/broken
🟠 If price holds above the trendline + EMA → CONFIRMATION for long entry ✅
Trade Setup
Buy Entry: 1.12985
TP: 1.15646 🎯
SL: 1.12441 🔻
Risk–Reward Ratio: ~ 1:4.8 ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️
Visual Flow:
🔵 Demand Zone
⬆️
Break EMA & Trendline
⬆️
🎯 Target Zone (1.15646)
Summary:
Looks like a sweet bullish setup from the demand zone!
If price stays above EMA and trendline → Go Long ✅
EU - Short to take 4H liquidity Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Analysis
1. Liquidity Sweep
There was a clear liquidity grab at the recent swing high.
Price aggressively spiked above previous highs (buy-side liquidity), tapping into the premium zone of the prior range.
2. Supply Zone
The purple zone you marked aligns with a Bearish Order Block (OB) or supply zone.
Price tapped into it, showing signs of rejection — validating this as a potential distribution point.
3. Break of Structure
Price broke below a short-term higher low, indicating a shift in market structure from bullish to bearish.
This break is key for institutional confirmation of a bearish intention.
ICT Concepts Analysis
1.Liquidity Pools
Prior highs were engineered liquidity, meant to induce breakout buyers.
Once swept, Smart Money used this liquidity to fill sell orders.
2.Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) Zone
After the sweep and move into the supply zone, the rejection fits the OTE concept — entering after a retracement between the 61.8%–79% Fibonacci zone of the recent bearish leg.
3. Fair Value Gap (FVG)
Likely unfilled FVGs (imbalance zones) exist below current price.
Price is now targeting these inefficiencies — a common ICT target.
Conclusion & Projection
- The white curved arrow on the chart implies bearish expectation.
- The rejection from the supply zone + liquidity sweep + BOS signals strong sell-side intent.
- Target areas would be:
Sell-side liquidity below recent lows (around 1.1280 and potentially 1.1260).
Thanks for your time.....
Lingrid | EURUSD in Consolidation - BREAKOUT Catalyst AwaitedFX:EURUSD is holding above the global upward trendline, despite trading within a descending triangle. The pair recently retested the key confluence support zone formed by both local and major trendlines. If bulls defend this zone near 1.12330, we could see a sharp rebound and a return of upside momentum.
📈 Key Levels
Buy trigger: bounce from 1.12330 support
Bullish confirmation: breakout above 1.14420
Target area: 1.15690
Invalidation: break below 1.1230
💡 Risk Notes
Price is still trapped in a narrowing range — expect volatility near the triangle apex
A failed defense of support could send price quickly toward 1.0738
Watch for fakeouts in the 1.12–1.13 area before a clearer trend develops
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻