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EURUSD trade ideas

EUR/USD) one side of breakout and move Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update technical analysis of the EUR/USD currency pair on the 1-hour timeframe, showing two ptential scenarios based on price behavior around a key supply zone. 1. Key Levels: Resistance/Target Point (Upper): ~1.15729 Supply Zone (Current Price Area): ~1.14100–1.14500 Support Level/Target Point (Lower): ~1.12658 200 EMA: ~1.13581 acting as dynamic support 2. Current Price: EURUSD is trading at 1.14167, just above the 200 EMA and at the bottom edge of the supply zone. 3. Scenarios Outlined: Bullish Scenario: If price breaks and holds above the supply zone, it may continue toward the upper resistance level at 1.15729. This move would be supported by bullish momentum and potentially a breakout strategy. Bearish Scenario: If price rejects the supply zone and fails to break above convincingly, a reversal is expected. The target for this bearish move is the support zone near 1.12658. 4. Indicators: RSI (Relative Strength Index): Around 49, neutral zone but potentially recovering from oversold. Suggests indecision, with momentum that could swing either way depending on price action at the supply zone. Mr SMC Trading point Trade Ideas: Long Trade Setup (Breakout): Entry: Break and retest above ~1.14500. Target: ~1.15729. Stop Loss: Below ~1.14100. Short Trade Setup (Rejection): Entry: Rejection candle formation around 1.14300–1.14500. Target: ~1.12658. Stop Loss: Above ~1.14700. Overall Idea: This is a dual-scenario setup, where the market structure at the current supply zone will determine direction. The chart encourages traders to wait for confirmation before committing to either a breakout or a reversal strategy. Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
by SMC-Trading-Point
12
EURUSD1) Monthly range 2) Inefficient range (Monthly), Smaller range on the weekly, with acc mod 1 deviated at bottom on that early mod 1 3) On the 3 rd tap we create supply order block 4) - Coming back into that supply order block located at the top of premium range of macro timeframe - Good liquidity build up into MTF tap 3 - Looking for potential LTF dist extended in HTF distr 5) - On the LTF we get more taps of the MTF range dev but on H6 It becomes a valid mod 2 dist - Now looking for entry
by bcorillon
Did They Buy the Bottom? EUR/USD Set for Another Reversal!After an explosive bounce from the 1.0800–1.0850 demand zone, EUR/USD is now in a key structural retest around 1.1300. The COT data shows a net increase in long positions by Non-Commercials, but with the Dollar still holding structural strength in its own COT report and an RSI showing bearish divergence, this area may act as a key zone for price discovery. 📊 WHAT THE DATA SAYS: 📉 Price Action: Clear rejection from the 1.1450–1.1550 supply zone. Retest at key structure near 1.1300. 📑 COT (EURO): Net long positions up by +183 (196,388 long vs 120,591 short) = bullish tone. 📑 COT (USD): Still balanced, but Non-Commercials are reducing net longs → potential weakening. 📊 Retail Sentiment (MyFXBook): 70% retail traders are short = contrarian long bias remains. 🌱 Seasonality (May): Historically negative for EUR/USD (–0.0088) = potential downside pressure ahead. 📌 Key Levels: Resistance: 1.1450 / 1.1550 (Supply Zone) Support: 1.1300 (Structural retest) — 1.0850 (Strong demand) 📉 BASE SCENARIO: Pullback toward 1.1100–1.1050 before renewed long accumulation. 📈 ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO: Break above 1.1450 could target 1.1600–1.1720 zone. 🔍 Watch out for May's seasonal inversion and extreme speculative positioning — fakeouts may precede real directional moves.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
EURUSD COT and Liquidity AnalysisCOT Report Analysis: Overall we can see strong bullish sentiment in the COT. and price will most likely continue higher- in the longterm. But now We can see longs are not being added also price moved right after the report. They didn't want us to see shorting. But is visible on the commercials side. Hey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. This is a big part of my FX Trading. Im always trying to trade with the Big players so knowing their positions is good thing. Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage. I created this simple free indicator which you can find in the my scripts. It's highlighting the day of the real report - Tuesday. Here is the tip if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance. Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Short
by David_Perk
9
One more move down for EUHi traders, Last week EU finished the correction and went lower just like I've said in my outlook. Next week we could see another wave down into the Weekly/ Daily FVG. After that upside again! Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for price to come into the FVG's and give a rejection. After a a change in orderflow to bullish, a small impulse wave up and a correction down on a lower timeframe you can trade longs to the higher Weekly FVG. If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
Long
by EduwaveTrading
EURUSD My Opinion! BUY! My dear subscribers, EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 1.1298 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 1.1348 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
EURUSD Technical Expert Review - 3 May 2025📊 Comprehensive Analysis – Multi-Layered Setup Based on LQ Close + Classic Liquidity Manipulation ✅ 1. Proper Reaction to 8H LQ Close Zone Price reacted accurately to the 8-hour LQ Close zone. However, the 40% level of the ATI candle remains untouched. If price revisits this area, we can expect a potential sell setup, especially if we get confirmation through structure breaks, engulfing candles, or ATI invalidation. 🧠 2. Manipulation of Classic Liquidity Patterns (Trendline, Channel, Triangle) We see a clean sweep of all classic retail patterns – trendlines, ascending/descending channels, and triangle breakouts. These acted as liquidity traps and were perfectly manipulated, representing Phase 1 and 2 inducements, similar to concepts in ICT and Vector strategies. 📈 3. Bullish Move From 1H LQ Close to Black Trendline From the 1H LQ Close zone, we had a bullish impulse that pushed price toward the black trendline. However, this move failed to sustain due to a sharp drop caused by news, indicating it might have been a fakeout or part of an incomplete internal structure. ⚠️ 4. Suicide Level Below = Potential for Short-Term Reaction There’s a key “suicide level” at the bottom of the chart – a high-probability zone for a quick bullish reaction. If price shows impulsive behavior or liquidity sweeps on lower timeframes, this level could push price back up to the 1H LQ Close zone. 🔁 5. If Suicide Level Fails → Watch for 4H LQ Close Zone to Act as Reversal Point If the suicide level doesn't hold, we shift focus to the 4H LQ Close zone, which could act as a major reversal area. Look for bullish confirmations like order blocks, strong engulfing candles, or liquidity voids forming around that area. 🎯 Final Note: This chart is a perfect example of how LQ Close zones across multiple timeframes, paired with classic liquidity traps and smart price action confirmation, can guide high-quality setups in the Phantom Pips style. Right now, we’re waiting for a clear reaction from either: The 40% ATI candle zone above → Sell opportunity The 4H LQ Close zone below → Potential buy setup
Long
by collegepips
Trading Without Goals Is Just Gambling With StructureA lot of traders talk about discipline. But few realize that discipline has to be anchored to something. It doesn’t work in a vacuum. Without a clear reason to stay focused, most people eventually fall back into overtrading, revenge trading, or breaking their own rules. That “something” is your personal set of financial goals. If you’re trading without a list of well-defined, written goals—short term and long term—you’re not building a system. You’re improvising. And over time, the market will punish improvisation. Goals Create the Structure That Risk Management Lives In It’s common to hear that risk management is the key to long-term success in Forex. That’s true. But risk management doesn’t exist in isolation. You can’t determine how much to risk per trade if you don’t know what you’re aiming for in the big picture. When your trading plan is connected to real financial targets—like building a retirement fund, generating side income, or compounding over years, you stop treating each trade like a lottery ticket. Your lot size changes. Your trade frequency changes. Your psychology changes. Clarity Reduces Emotion One of the biggest causes of emotional trading is uncertainty. When you’re not clear on where you're going or why you’re even in a trade, the smallest loss can shake your confidence. A win might tempt you to increase your size. A string of losses might tempt you to change systems or walk away completely. But when you’re trading with a purpose, decisions become less reactive. You have a framework to evaluate whether something aligns with your objectives. And that makes it easier to say no to setups that don’t fit, or to walk away from the screen when nothing’s there. Write Your Goals Down—In Detail If your goals aren’t written, they don’t exist. And “make money” is not a goal. It’s a wish. Good goals are specific, time-based, and measurable. For example: Grow a $1,000 account to $1,500 over 6 months by risking 1% per trade Extract 4% per month on average while maintaining a max drawdown of 10% Build a track record of 100 trades with full journal documentation and risk control Once written, these goals form the backbone of your trading plan. They influence your risk-per-trade, your system choice, and how often you trade. They also give you a benchmark. You’ll know if you’re making progress or just going in circles. Final Thought: Know What You’re Playing For Too many traders operate without direction. They chase results, compare themselves to others, and burn out. It doesn’t have to be this way. Start with the end in mind. Know why you’re trading. Set real goals. And let those goals drive your decisions, your risk management, and your daily focus. Discipline becomes easier when you have something worth being disciplined for. I have been for 2.5 years on Demo, and will not move from there until I achieve the targets that I have set. Achieving those targets on Demo does mean I will achieve them on live trading. On the other hand, not achieving them on a Demo account mean that the only thing I will be able to achieve on a live account is blow the account away.
Education
by TheInvestor_Diary
HelenP. I Euro may correct to trend line and then rebound upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After a sharp, impulsive rise, price entered a broad consolidation phase between 1.1575 and 1.1270 levels, creating a horizontal channel where price oscillated for several sessions. This type of structure often serves as a re-accumulation zone during a trending market. What's particularly notable is the recent touch of the lower boundary of the range, which coincided with a retest of both the ascending trend line and the support zone around 1.1270 points. This confluence of technical factors makes the current area critical for further price development. Following the bounce from the support zone, the pair is showing early signs of recovery. The trend line has held firmly, and buyers stepped in with a reaction candle confirming demand interest. While EUR is not yet out of the consolidation, the structure suggests strength and potential continuation. Given the alignment of the upward trend line, support zone validation, and stabilization after the drop, I expect that EURUSD may climb almost toward the upper boundary of the consolidation. That's why my current goal lies at 1.1500. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Long
by FirstNameHelen
9
EURUSD Will Go Lower! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.137. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.129. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 2, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Euro currency has shown weakness in this week's trading session and is resting at the Mean Support designation marked at 1.128. The current trajectory indicates that the Euro is targeted to the downside, with a Mean Support level of 1.119 and an Outert Currency Dip of 1.111. However, it is essential to recognize that upward dead-cat rebounds may re-emerge from the Mean Resistance level or Outer currency Dip.
by TradeSelecter