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Euro / U.S. Dollar

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EURUSD trade ideas

EUR/USD – Buy Setup Analysis (1H Chart)EUR/USD – Buy Setup Analysis (1H Chart) 📈 **Trend**: Uptrend The pair is respecting the ascending trendline and is trading above both the EMA 7 and EMA 21, indicating bullish momentum. **🔹 Long Setup** * **Entry:** Around 1.1774 (current price) * **Stop-Loss (SL):** 1.1731 (below trendline & EMAs) * **Take-Profit (TP):** 1.1872 (based on recent swing high) **🔎 Technical Signals** * Price is forming higher highs and higher lows. * Strong volume surge on bullish candles. * EMA crossover (7 > 21) supports continuation. **Conclusion** As long as EUR/USD holds above the trendline and the EMAs, the bullish setup remains valid. A break below 1.1730 would invalidate this outlook.
Long
by Harry_Megat
EURUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.1787, which is a pullback resistance aligning close to the 161.8% Fibo extension. Our take profit will be at 1.1750, a pullback support level. The stop loss will be placed at 1.1829, a swing-high resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
EUR/USD Recovery in Play — Eyes on ResistanceHi Everyone, Since our last update, EUR/USD briefly dipped below the 1.16000 level but quickly reclaimed the key 1.16450 zone — a level that continues to serve as an important structural pivot. Price has since stabilised above this support and is now moving back toward the highlighted resistance area around 1.17450. A sustained push toward 1.18000 in the coming sessions would further reinforce the presence of renewed buying interest. Our broader outlook remains unchanged: we continue to anticipate the pair building momentum for another move higher. A decisive break above 1.18350 could open the path toward the 1.19290 area and ultimately the 1.20000 handle. We’ll be watching closely to see whether this recovery gains traction and if buyers can sustain momentum through resistance. The longer-term view remains bullish, as long as price continues to hold above the key support zone. We’ll continue to provide updates throughout the week as the structure develops and share how we’re managing our active positions. Thanks again for all the likes, boosts, comments, and follows — we really appreciate the support! All the best for the rest of the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
EURUSD – Recovery losing steam, correction risk is risingAfter rebounding from the trendline support, EURUSD is now approaching the key resistance area around 1.17500 — a zone that has historically triggered multiple rejections. However, with French and German PMI figures coming in below expectations and the ECB holding rates steady without providing any fresh policy guidance, the euro lacks the momentum for a sustained move higher. On the H4 chart, price action is showing signs of exhaustion as it tests resistance. If buyers fail to break through convincingly, a pullback toward the 1.16800 support zone — or even deeper toward 1.16400 — becomes increasingly likely. Preferred strategy: Watch for bearish rejection patterns near 1.17500. If confirmed, this could be a favorable opportunity to initiate short positions in anticipation of a correction.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
EURUSD(20250724) Today's AnalysisMarket news: U.S. President Trump continued to lash out at the Federal Reserve on Tuesday, but seemed to back off from the remaining plan to fire Chairman Powell. "I think he's doing a bad job, but he's going to be out of office soon anyway," Trump said in an exchange with reporters at the White House. "In eight months, he'll be out of office." Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.1751 Support and resistance levels: 1.1814 1.1791 1.1775 1.1726 1.1711 1.1687 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.1775, consider buying in, with the first target price at 1.1791 If the price breaks through 1.1751, consider selling in, with the first target price at 1.1726
Long
by NicolaZhu
Bullish momentum to extend?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could rise to the 127.2% Fibonacci resistance. Pivot: 1.1746 1st Support: 1.1659 1st Resistance: 1.1907 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
1
EUR/USD BREAKS ABOVE RESISTANCE APPROACHING JULY HIGH! Hey Traders so looking at the EUR/USD still looking bullish if you took the buy zone at 1.571 consider moving stop now to Break Even. IMO taking the risk out of a trade is the first step before locking in a profit. So now we approach July high at 1.833. I always say markets can do 3 things as they approach significant support or resistance. 1. Consolidate 2. Breakthrough 3. Reverse However you want to give the market room to breathe so I would start to lock in profit by staying 3 days behind market. So if you want to try this profit taking wait until tommorows candle finishes and then move the stop 3 days behind the market at 1.1670. Then just manually let the market decide when to stop you out. Just say behind 3 days behind market. So if bullish consider protecting stops or small profit taking. However if Bearish I don't think now is the time to short unless a significant reversal takes place and support is broken. Good Luck & Always use Risk Management! (Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.) Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃 Clifford
Long
by TradeTheIndex
EURUSD Bearish Ahead as US Resilience Meets Eurozone FragilityEURUSD has shifted into bearish territory, pressured by growing divergence between a resilient US economy and a struggling Eurozone. The pair recently rejected the 1.1700 zone, forming multiple bearish structures on the 4H chart. With sticky US inflation, Trump’s renewed tariff agenda, and a dovish ECB, EUR/USD appears poised for a deeper move toward 1.1527 and possibly 1.1445 in the coming sessions. This setup is both technically and fundamentally aligned, but key event risk remains. 🔸 Technical Structure (4H) Clear rejection from the 1.1700–1.1710 zone. Bearish pennants and wedge patterns confirm continuation lower. Downside targets: 🔹 First: 1.1637 🔹 Second: 1.1527 🔹 Final: 1.1445 Risk zone: Above 1.1785 (invalidates short bias if broken cleanly). 🧭 Key Fundamentals 🇺🇸 Dollar Strength: Sticky inflation, stable labor market, and geopolitical risk all favor USD demand. 🇪🇺 Euro Weakness: ECB dovish tone persists amid weak data, soft PMIs, and stagnating growth. Yield Spread: US-Euro real yield spread supports further EUR/USD downside. Tariff Pressure: Trump’s 50% tariff plan and tensions with the EU weigh on EUR. ⚠️ Risks to Watch A surprise dovish pivot from the Fed. Weak US CPI or disappointing retail sales. Major risk-on flows that trigger broad USD weakness. New EU fiscal stimulus or Germany/France recovery surprises. 📆 Key Events Ahead 🇺🇸 US Core CPI – A hot print supports USD strength. 🇺🇸 Retail Sales & Powell testimony – Watch tone on rate cuts. 🇪🇺 German ZEW Sentiment, Eurozone HICP inflation – Weak readings would further drag EUR. 🔄 Leader or Lagger? EUR/USD is a lagger to GBP/USD, often following UK-driven USD moves. Acts as a leader for EUR/JPY, EUR/AUD, EUR/CHF – weakness here cascades across EUR crosses. Tracks broad USD sentiment – dovish Fed pricing boosts EURUSD, while rate hike fears drag it. ✅ Summary: Bias and Watchpoints EUR/USD is bearish below 1.1700 as economic divergence, sticky US inflation, and rising geopolitical tensions favor the dollar. ECB policy remains soft, offering little support to the euro. Key risk lies in a dovish Fed pivot or softer US data. Watch US CPI and Powell for clues. This pair is likely to lag GBP/USD moves, but will lead EUR crosses lower if the downside momentum continues.
Short
by ultreosforex
14
EUR/USD Surges into Resistance Ahead of ECBEuro is poised to snap a two-week losing streak with EUR/USD up more than 1.2% since the Sunday open. The advance takes price back into weekly resistance ahead of tomorrow’s European Central Bank rate decision and the focus now shifts to the weekly close for guidance. Euro plunged more than 2.3% off the June high with price briefly registering an intraweek low at 1.1557 before rebounding. The rally takes EUR/USD into resistance at the objective high-week close (HWC) / high-close at 1.1775- looking for a reaction off this mark with a weekly close above needed to keep the immediate advance viable into the close of the month. Initial weekly support remains with the 2016 swing high at 1.1616 with the medium-term outlook still constructive while above the March trendline (red). Ultimately, a break below the 2020 / 2022 highs at 1.1497 would be needed to suggest a more significant high is in place / a larger correction is underway with subsequent support seen at the 2024 high close / May low-week close (LWC) at 1.1164. A breach / close above this pivot zone exposes the upper parallel (blue), currently near 1.1840s, with the next major technical consideration eyed at 1.1917-1.2020- a region defined by the 100% extension of the 2022 advance and the 38.2% retracement of the 2008 decline (area of interest for possible top-side exhaustion / price inflection IF reached). Subsequent resistance objectives eyed at the 2021 HWC at 1.2227 and the 2018 high-close at 1.2456. Bottom line: Euro rebounded just ahead of the March uptrend with the rally now testing the yearly high-close ahead of the ECB- watch the Friday close with respect to 1.1775. From a trading standpoint, a good zone to reduce portions of long-exposure / raise protective stops- losses would need to be limited to this week’s low IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above the upper parallel still needed to fuel the next major leg of the advance. -MB
by FOREXcom
EUR/USD About to Trap the Bears? Final Push Before the Drop! EUR/USD is showing a solid short-term bullish structure, with a move initiated from the demand base around 1.1560, fueling a strong rally toward the current level near 1.1770. Price is now approaching a significant supply zone between 1.1790 and 1.1875, previously responsible for the last major bearish swing. This area also aligns with projected Fibonacci levels (25%-100%), reinforcing its relevance as a possible inflection point. This movement suggests there’s still room for price to push higher, likely completing the final leg of this bullish cycle before a more convincing short setup develops. At this stage, Fibonacci levels are not acting as firm supports, but rather as hypothetical pullback projections: once price enters the 1.1800–1.1875 area, it will be key to monitor for signs of exhaustion. A rejection here may initiate a bearish retracement toward 1.1670–1.1650, in line with the 62–70.5% fib levels. Retail sentiment remains highly contrarian: 76% of traders are short, positioning themselves too early against the trend. This imbalance adds fuel for a potential continuation higher, as the market may seek to "squeeze" these premature shorts. Additionally, the COT report confirms growing institutional interest in the euro, with non-commercials increasing their net longs, while USD net long exposure continues to shrink. Seasonality adds further confluence: late July is historically bullish for EUR/USD, suggesting one final leg up could materialize before a typically weaker August. ✅ Trading Outlook EUR/USD is technically aligned for a final push toward the 1.1800–1.1875 premium zone, where a potential short opportunity may arise. The rally is currently driven by overextended retail shorts and supportive institutional flows. Only after price interacts with the upper supply zone should reversal signs be evaluated, with correction targets around 1.1670–1.1650. The ideal play: wait for confirmation of bearish intent in August, when seasonal weakness typically kicks in.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
2