EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD | Head‑&‑Shoulders on the Brink – Bears Eye 1.1250📉 Trade Thesis
A textbook Head‑and‑Shoulders has completed on the 30‑min EURUSD chart. Price is now testing the rising neckline drawn from mid‑April swing lows. A clean close and retest beneath that trendline opens room toward the next demand shelf and the lower boundary of the broader ascending channel.
🎯 Execution Plan
Entry: wait for a decisive candle close below the neckline, then look to short on a minor pull‑back into that broken support.
Stop: just above the right‑shoulder high to keep risk tight.
Target: the measured‑move objective sits near the channel median/support cluster highlighted on the chart; scale out as price approaches that zone.
🧩 Confluence Factors
Momentum loss: RSI made a lower peak on the “head” versus the prior thrust, signalling fading upside energy.
Event risk: upcoming NFP/ISM releases may fuel USD volatility, providing the catalyst for a break.
Structure: the right shoulder’s supply shelf has capped every rally since late April, reinforcing bearish pressure.
⚠️ Risk Management
Macro data can produce whipsaws—size positions accordingly and stick to the plan. Move stops to breakeven once price pushes convincingly away from the neckline.
For educational purposes only. Trade your own strategy & manage risk.
UPDATE ON EUR/USD ANALYSISEUR/USD 15M - Afternoon people, I hope you are all well, sorry for my absence this morning. As some of you know I am travelling to Sydney next week and have some things I MUST finish before I fly.
Its also my birthday later on in the week as well, so please bare with me and understand this week and next maybe a little slow. Nevertheless here is an update on the market from yesterdays Sunday Sessions video.
As you can see above price went on to break structure to the upside and delivered us with a perfect opportunity to long the market, I have gone ahead and marked out the hidden order block price came to trade back down and into.
This is where we could have entered in long from this morning, setting our TP just below the last high to guarantee a TP hit and our SL below the zone we got involved in. This opportunity went on to trade 7RR
EURUSD directional bias: BuyPrice has closed above a key 4h resistance level. Based on the higher timeframe direction, I am expecting price to continue upwards to the recent high (1.5568).
Please be aware that we have a USD Interest Rate release on Wednesday which could cause a lot of volatility in the market. Keep this in mind if you decide to trade this direction.
EUR/USD Bullish Breakout _ Targeting 1.14200Based on the chart of EUR/USD pair on the 30-minute timeframe.
1. Downtrend Observed
The price action has been forming lower highs and lower lows, indicative of a sustained downtrend.
A clear descending trendline (drawn in blue) confirms this bearish movement.
2. Potential Bullish Reversal
There's a bullish breakout above the descending trendline. This breakout is marked with a blue highlight circle.
The price has broken above both the trendline and the moving averages, suggesting a potential shift in momentum.
3. Support Zone and Reversal
A support zone has been drawn near the 1.1270–1.1290 level where price previously found buyers.
This area acted as a demand zone leading to the bounce that broke the trendline.
4. Confirmation and Projection
The label “Bullish breakout trend confirmation” suggests that the trader anticipates continued upward movement.
The large arrow and zig-zag line imply a strong bullish rally may follow, possibly targeting levels above 1.1400.
5 Target Point : 1.EUR?4200
EURO - Price can rise to top part of flat from support areaHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago, price entered to wedge, where it bounced from support line and rose to $1.0860 level, breaking $1.0470 level.
Then price broke $1.0860 level too, but then it made correction to support line of wedge and then made upward impulse.
Euro exited from wedge and continued to grow to $1.1260 level, after which broke this level and started to trades in flat.
Inside flat, price rose to top part of flat and then made correction to support area, where it some time traded close.
At the moment, Euro trades inside support area, near support level, so, I think that price can correct to $1.1260 level.
After this movement, in my mind, EUR can start to grow to $1.1570 top part of the flat.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
EURUSD Channel Up favors buying but keep an eye on this.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the February 28 Low and its current Bearish Leg almost reached the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. That is where the previous Bearish Leg made a Higher Low (March 27) and rebounded.
This keeps for now the bullish trend intact and it will remain so for as long as the price remains within the Channel Up. The short-term Target is the -0.236 Fib extension at 1.17500. If on the other hand it breaks below the Channel Up, be ready to take the small loss and sell towards the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at 1.08500, which is the level that supported the market on that previous March 27 Low.
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EURUSD Will Fall! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.133.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.125 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD Decline in the Channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Relief rally stalled at 1.1350 where the descending resistance meets the rectangle’s upper boundary; a string of lower highs confirms supply.
● Failure to reclaim the resistance line and a break below 1.13 exposes 1.12.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● U.S. factory orders jumped 4.3 % in March on commercial aircraft demand, underpinning dollar strength and pressuring EUR/USD.
● Eurozone HCOB manufacturing PMI eased to 49.0 in April—still in contraction—underscoring weak euro fundamentals.
✨ Summary
Confluence resistance at 1.1350 caps the pair; short bias targets 1.1270 → 1.1200, invalidated on a close above 1.1380.
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EUR/USD - Day Trading Analysis With Volume ProfileOn EUR/USD , it's nice to see a strong sell-off from the price of 1.13600. It's also encouraging to observe a strong volume area where a lot of contracts are accumulated.
I believe that sellers from this area will defend their short positions. When the price returns to this area, strong sellers will push the market down again.
Fair Value GAP (FVG) and Volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go short on this trade.
Happy trading,
Dale
EUR/USD Bullish Reversal Setup – Demand Zone to Target 1.15646🔍 Current Price: 1.13414
📉 EMA (70): 1.13334
Price is slightly above the EMA → Bullish hint ✅
Key Zones & Levels
🟦 Demand Zone:
📍 1.12441 ➡️ 1.12985
Strong buying interest here!
Price bounced from this zone → 📈 Possible reversal
🔵 Entry Point: 1.12985
🛑 Stop Loss: 1.12441
🎯 Target: 1.15646
Trendline Watch
📉 Descending trendline is being tested/broken
🟠 If price holds above the trendline + EMA → CONFIRMATION for long entry ✅
Trade Setup
Buy Entry: 1.12985
TP: 1.15646 🎯
SL: 1.12441 🔻
Risk–Reward Ratio: ~ 1:4.8 ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️
Visual Flow:
🔵 Demand Zone
⬆️
Break EMA & Trendline
⬆️
🎯 Target Zone (1.15646)
Summary:
Looks like a sweet bullish setup from the demand zone!
If price stays above EMA and trendline → Go Long ✅