EURUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURUSD trade ideas
Forex Grid Trading Overview: Practical Guide for 2025Forex Grid Trading Strategy: Detailed Overview & Low-Risk EUR/USD Application
1️⃣ What Is Grid Trading?
A grid trading strategy places a series of **buy** and **sell** orders at fixed intervals (“grid levels”) above and below a base price, without forecasting market direction. As price oscillates, it triggers orders across the grid, locking in small profits on each swing.
- **No Directional Bias** – Profits on both up- and down-moves
- **Automated Entry/Exit** – Ideal for Expert Advisors (EAs) on MT4/MT5
- **Scalable** – Grid size and lot sizing can be tailored to account size and volatility
2️⃣ How It Works – Core Components
1. **Grid Levels**
- Define a **base price** (e.g. current EUR/USD mid)
- Set **intervals** (e.g. every 20 pips) above/below the base
2. **Orders**
- **Buy Limit** orders at 20, 40, 60 pips below base
- **Sell Limit** orders at 20, 40, 60 pips above base
3. **Take Profit (TP) for Each Order**
- TP typically equals the grid interval (e.g. 20 pips) so each triggered order nets a small profit
- No hard Stop Loss per order—risk is managed via overall exposure
4. **Cumulative P&L**
- Winning trades roll profits into the floating drawdown of unfilled orders
- As price oscillates, the grid “locks in” incremental gains
3️⃣ Pros & Cons
| Pros | Cons |
|---------------------------------------|------------------------------------------|
| ✅ Profits in ranging markets | ❌ Can incur large drawdowns in strong trends |
| ✅ Automated, systematic execution | ❌ Requires significant margin for multiple open trades |
| ✅ Scalable to any time-frame | ❌ Floating negative exposure if grid one-sided |
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✅Low-Risk Best Practices
1. **Grid Spacing & Width**
- Wider grid intervals (e.g. 30–50 pips) reduce order density and margin use
- Use **ATR** (Average True Range) to adapt spacing to EUR/USD volatility
2. **Lot Sizing & Equity Risk**
- Risk ≤ 1–2% equity per full grid cycle
- Use **fixed fractional** sizing: each order size = (Equity × 1%) / (max number of open grid orders)
3. **Drawdown Control**
- **Maximum Open Orders** cap (e.g. 5 orders per side)
- **Equity Stop-Out**: if floating drawdown exceeds e.g. 10% of equity, close all orders
4. **Trend Filters**
- Use a **200-period SMA** or **ADX** filter: only enable sell grid if price < SMA (downtrend) or ADX < 25 (low momentum)
- Disables grid in strong one-way trends
5. **Grid Shifting / Re-Base**
- After a net grid profit, **shift** the base price to current mid to reset exposure
- Prevents runaway open trades far from current price
5️⃣ Step-by-Step: Applying to EUR/USD
1. **Choose Time-Frame**
- **H4 or H1** recommended: balances signal frequency and margin needs
2. **Define Grid Parameters**
- **Base Price:** current EUR/USD mid (e.g. 1.0980)
- **Interval:** 30 pips (≈ recent ATR on H4)
- **Levels:** 3 buys at 1.0950 / 1.0920 / 1.0890; 3 sells at 1.1010 / 1.1040 / 1.1070
3. **Set Order Size**
- Account equity $10 000, risk 1% = $100 per full grid
- Max open orders 6 → each order $100/6 ≈ $16.7 → ≈ 0.02 lots
4. **Configure TP & No SL**
- Each order TP = 30 pips (equals interval)
- No per-order SL; overall drawdown managed by equity stop
5. **Implement Filters**
- Only open **sell** grid if H4 close < 200-SMA; only open **buy** grid if H4 close > 200-SMA
- Pause grid if ADX > 30 (strong trend) or market events (e.g. NFP, ECB rate decision)
6. **Deploy & Monitor**
- Run on MT4 with an EA or semi-automated Expert Advisor
- Monitor margin usage; adjust grid or disable before major news
6️⃣ Example P&L Mechanics
| Trigger Price | Order Type | Entry | TP Target | Profit (pips) |
|---------------|------------|---------|-----------|---------------|
| 1.0950 | Buy Limit | 1.0950 | 1.0980 | 30 |
| 1.0980 | Sell Limit | 1.0980 | 1.1010 | 30 |
- If price moves down to 1.0950: buy executes, TP at 1.0980 nets +30 pips
- If price then climbs above base, sells trigger at 1.1010 nets +30 pips
2️⃣ Introducing Progressive & Regressive Scaling
🔼 2.1 Progressive Scaling
“Let winners run”—increase exposure after success
Concept: After each profitable grid cycle, step up your lot size by a fixed increment.
Why: Capitalizes on momentum and winning streaks.
How to apply:
Base Lot: 0.02 lots per order (1% equity risk).
After grid closes net-positive, next cycle = 0.03 lots.
Continue stepping up (0.04, 0.05 …) until a drawdown or equity-stop is hit.
Reset back to base lot after a losing cycle or whenever floating drawdown > 5%.
Caps & Safeguards:
Max Lot Cap: Never exceed 0.10 lots (or 2% equity risk).
Equity Stop: If floating drawdown > 10%, close cycle & reset.
🔽 2.2 Regressive Scaling
“Protect the downside”—reduce exposure after losses
Concept: After a losing grid cycle, step down your lot size to conserve capital.
Why: Limits damage during rough periods and preserves margin.
How to apply:
Base Lot: 0.02 lots per order.
If grid hits equity-stop or nets negative, next cycle = 0.015 lots.
Continue stepping down (0.01, 0.005) until you record a net-positive cycle.
Reset to base lot after recovery (e.g. two consecutive winning cycles).
Thresholds:
Don’t drop below 0.005 lots (to avoid over-shrinking).
After two winning cycles at reduced lot, return to base.
✅ Bottom Line
Forex grid trading on EUR/USD can generate steady gains in choppy markets—but demands **strict risk controls** (grid spacing, lot sizing, drawdown limits) and **trend filters** to avoid large losses in trending conditions. When properly applied, a low-risk grid on EUR/USD offers a robust, mostly hands-off strategy for capturing repetitive market swings.
4️⃣ Key Takeaways
Progressive Scaling lifts lot sizes on winning streaks, amplifying gains—but must be capped and reset on losses.
Regressive Scaling shrinks exposure after drawdowns, preserving capital until the strategy recovers.
Combine both with your grid’s risk parameters, trend filter, and a solid equity-stop to maintain a balanced, low-risk EUR/USD grid.
By layering scaling rules atop your grid, you adapt dynamically to market performance—maximizing winners and protecting against prolonged losing runs. Good luck! 🚀
EURUSD: Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest support and resistance analysis for EURUSD
for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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EURUSD Will Go Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.136.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.114 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Bearish Movement loading As we look on 4H time frame we've been having bullish movement but for this week we might go bearish because we had shift of structure below the resistance and we looking forward to break below that support and get retest then we continue moving bearish
Entry:1.12690
TP:1.03537
EURUSD DETAILED ANALYSISEURUSD has been gaining bullish momentum so far this year. We’ve seen how price has been moving on a rising channel from the daily perspective. Price is just 1.6% away from the higher timeframe downtrend resistance trendline . If we get a break above the higher resistance trendline , we’re likely to see more of the bullish growth for the rest of the second quarter of the year. If we see price fall below the local daily rising channel and also below the pullback support, a downward trend continues!
#EURUSD: Our Last Trade Mitigated Early, Now Swing Trade Active?EURUSD, in our previous recommendation, advised everyone to sell swing trades. However, the price was mitigated by a narrow margin. The DXY index suggests further price growth in the coming weeks. Please ensure you manage your risk while trading. This is our concept only and does not guarantee the movements we’ve shown in our analysis. Therefore, please conduct your own analysis before taking any swing entry.
Good luck and trade safely.
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EURUSD: Growth & Bullish Forecast
The analysis of the EURUSD chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to go up due to the rising pressure from the buyers.
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EURUSD - Bullish Shift after IFVG? This chart outlines a clean sequence of bullish intent where institutional accumulation is visible through structure, inefficiency, and reactive zones.
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1. Support Zone Holds — Demand Confirmed
The previous resistance area has now clearly flipped into support , marked by multiple wicks rejecting lower prices.
- This region is a high-probability demand zone engineered through earlier consolidation.
- Price returned to this level, swept minor liquidity, and immediately bounced—confirmation that demand is active.
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2. Fair Value Gap (FVG) — The Imbalance Magnet
A clean FVG sits above price, created during the prior bearish leg. Now acting as a rebalancing zone.
- Price is pushing into this inefficiency after finding support.
- The gap inversion (price reclaiming and holding above the FVG) would validate bullish continuation.
- Think of this as the mid-point between structure and expansion.
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3. BSL Above — The Next Liquidity Target
A key Buy Side Liquidity (BSL) level is marked higher, acting as the next logical draw for price.
- Smart money seeks liquidity above recent swing highs.
- If price holds above the FVG, this BSL becomes the magnet for bullish expansion .
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4. Projected Price Action Flow
The roadmap is clear and logical:
- Step 1: Bounce from support (done)
- Step 2: Push through and hold the FVG
- Step 3: Expand higher toward BSL
Each leg has purpose, and the structure confirms smart money is in accumulation mode.
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5. Summary:
- Support + FVG + BSL = Structured Bullish Thesis
- As long as price stays above the FVG post-inversion, buyers have control.
- This is a textbook case of price engineering via inefficiency and reactive structure.
EURUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISEURUSD is currently in a critical retesting phase after a strong bullish breakout. Price action is finding solid support around the 1.1200–1.1300 zone, an area that has previously acted as major resistance. As long as this zone holds, I expect a healthy bullish bounce that could fuel a continuation toward the 1.1800 level. Market structure remains bullish, and this pullback seems more like a technical correction before the next rally.
Fundamentally, the euro is being supported by a weaker US dollar sentiment due to growing expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts later this year. At the same time, improving Eurozone data and stabilizing inflation pressures are adding positive momentum to the EURUSD pair. If the US GDP numbers and inflation figures continue to disappoint, we could see further downside pressure on the dollar, pushing EURUSD higher.
Technically, the weekly chart shows a clean breakout from a long-term consolidation, and now the price is retesting the broken resistance as new support. The structure aligns perfectly with a bullish continuation setup. A strong bullish candle from this zone would be a major confirmation for buyers to target 1.1800 in the coming weeks.
In my view, EURUSD remains one of the strongest setups on the forex board, supported by both technical and fundamental factors. Traders should monitor key economic releases like US PCE data and Eurozone CPI, as they will drive volatility and direction. I stay bullish above the 1.1200 level and see excellent risk-reward potential in this trade idea.
STRONG USD AT ALLGiven the EURUSD trendline breakdown on the monthly timeframe and the completion of the pullback to the trendline, a sharp decline in this pair is not far off.
Everything points to a decline in the EUR and a strengthening of the USD. Buy cautiously or not at all and consider any rally as a selling opportunity!
EURUSD 4H EUR/USD Analysis
In the previous analysis , the market movement was predicted with high precision, and the market moved exactly according to the forecast.
However, surprisingly, it did not receive the attention it deserved.
Now, the market has reached a level where, similar to gold, many participants are anticipating the end of the rally and the entry of sellers.
Currently, we expect a temporary bullish move up to a maximum of 1.1470, aiming to observe buyers' weakness.
If this level breaks, today's analysis will be invalidated, signaling buyers' strength instead.
If buyers’ weakness is confirmed:
◾️ A decline toward the 1.1225 and 1.11470 levels is expected.
In continuation of the previous bullish trend , the upward targets remain:
1.1700
1.1815
1.2555
It is likely that an official agreement will be announced around one of these levels, leading to a reversal in market direction.
Summary:
We follow the market with confidence in mathematical precision.
In a market full of uncertainty, we move forward with the certainty of mathematics.
Stay with me!
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 25, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the most recent trading session, the Euro successfully retested the completed Outer Currency Rally level at 1.142 and completed the subsequent target identified within the Outer Currency Rally at 1.157. Consequently, the Euro experienced a firm decline to the Mean Support level of 1.131. However, it is essential to recognize that upward momentum may re-emerge, facilitating a retest of the Key Resistance level at 1.151 or potentially leading to a further decline toward the next support level designated as Mean Support at 1.119.
Bigger correction down for EUHi traders,
My outlook last week of EU played out exactly as I've said! Just check my outlook of last week for proof.
Wave 4 became a Triangle and after it finished, it went up again for the last wave 5 into the Daily FVG.
After that it rejected and started the bigger correction down.
Next week we could see some consolidation and another wave down into the Weekly/ Daily FVG.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bearish, a small impulse wave down and a correction up on a lower timeframe to trade shorts into the Weekly/ Daily FVG.
If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
EURUSD COT and Liquidity AnalysisHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. It's always good to go with those who move the market here is what I see in their cards. I share my COT - order flow views every weekend.
🎯 Non Commercials added decent longs in last 2 weeks and little bit shorts also, this week Tuesdays reports comes out with -4.2K net. Which means momentum is slowing down a bit and we will might see a correction.
📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage.
💊 Tip
if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Cycle Low Confirmed – Strong Upside Move Starting!Here's what I notice:
- Price has **bounced very strongly** from the cycle low.
- You timed it very nicely — the upswing started just as the cycle predicted a bottom.
- If the cycle timing continues, this move could extend for several candles into the next cycle top.
**Summary of the New Setup:**
✔ Cycle low confirmed with bullish breakout
✔ Strong impulsive move off the bottom
✔ Favourable timing for long setups
✔ Potential for multiple days of upside if cycle rhythm holds
This new chart you uploaded looks like it's using cycle analysis — those green semi-circles suggest you're mapping time-based cycles!
Awesome! 😎 Here's the TradingView post draft for your **Cycle Timing** idea:
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# ⏳ Cycle Low Confirmed – Strong Upside Move Starting!
**Summary:**
Perfect timing off the projected cycle low! Price action has confirmed the cycle theory with a strong bullish breakout. Based on the rhythm of previous cycles, we could see sustained upside momentum into the next cycle peak.
**Setup Details:**
- **Entry:** Current levels (~1.13647) after confirmation of cycle low.
- **Stop-loss:** Below the recent low (~1.09000) to give the trade room to breathe.
- **Target:** Look for strength toward 1.20+ depending on price behavior near mid-cycle.
- **Risk/Reward:** Excellent — trend in favor, supported by cycle timing.
**Technical Factors:**
✅ Cycle Low perfectly aligned with time-based projection
✅ Strong bullish candle closing above recent consolidation
✅ Momentum shift supports continuation higher
✅ Cycle suggests multiple sessions of upside potential
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**⚠️ Disclaimer:** This is *NOT financial advice*. Always do your own research and manage risk properly!
EUR/USD: Long-Term Breakout with Fundamental and Tech ConfluenceFor the first time since 2008, EUR/USD is showing signs of a potential long-term trend reversal.
The pair has broken above the descending channel that has defined the bearish structure for over 15 years.
But this is not just a technical breakout — the fundamentals support this move as well.
The U.S. dollar remains under pressure as the market shifts its rate expectations.
Instead of the 1–2 rate cuts initially priced in for 2025, forecasts now suggest 2–3 cuts, possibly more depending on the pace of economic softening.
This aligns well with the breakout we are observing on the chart.
Technical picture: confirming the breakout on all levels
1.The descending trendline from 2008 has been broken.
2.On the weekly timeframe, the price has already secured a close above this trendline, confirming the breakout structurally.
3.On the monthly timeframe, the 100-period SMA sits right at the neckline area of a large double bottom reversal pattern — adding one more layer of confirmation.
These factors are not isolated — they support and reinforce each other, creating a confluence of signals across multiple timeframes.
Target according to classical technical analysis:
The minimal target for this breakout stands at 1.2300.
This is both a major resistance zone from previous highs and approximately 70% of the height of the larger double bottom pattern — fully in line with the textbook approach to classical chart analysis.