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EURUSD trade ideas

EURUSD Potential Long then ShortEUR/USD looking to trade around a key supply zone between 1.1450–1.1500. We’re watching for signs of bearish rejection to build a short bias from this area. No trade unless price confirms. Main Setup: If price retests upper zone (~1.1450–1.1500) and shows clear bearish price action, I’ll be looking to enter short. Ideal signs: rejection wicks, SFPs, bearish engulfing, lower timeframe structure shift. Break & Retest Option: If price breaks below 1.1390, a clean bearish retest could offer a continuation short setup. Structure break confirmation is key here. This is a forecast, and trades will be dependent on live PA. If we don’t get confirmation, we don’t force it. Patience is key. DXY Outlook: The Dollar Index looks bearish overall but is currently in a small corrective bounce. A short-term DXY pullback would support a push into EUR/USD’s supply zone — lining up nicely with our plan. If DXY flips back to bullish, that strengthens our short setup.
Short
by SKA_CAPITAL
Strong Deviation News Trade MethodBack tested News-Based Trading Strategy | March–early June Results This strategy trades only on strong deviation surprises in high-impact economic news releases, aiming to capture sharp market moves caused by unexpected data. What is a Strong Deviation? A strong deviation occurs when the actual economic data significantly differs from the forecasted number, beyond typical market expectations. This threshold is identified using advanced AI analysis of historical news data to measure how much surprise generally triggers meaningful price movement. Traders can implement these deviation levels as objective filters to enter trades only when the market is likely to react strongly. Back test Summary (March to early June): Total net result: +146.3 units (pips/points/%) Number of trades: 10 Entry logic: Trade triggered when news surprise meets or exceeds strong deviation thresholds Stop-loss: Set at 1.5 times the 15-minute chart ATR (Average True Range) to allow for normal volatility Take-profit: Set at 2 times the stop-loss distance to secure favorable risk-reward Visual signals: Each executed trade is marked on the chart with a blue pin Highlights: Focus on strong market-moving surprises only, filtering out noise Risk management designed to balance protection and opportunity Trades aligned strictly with news-driven momentum Back tested with consistent positive returns over three months on key US economic data How to Use: Apply the strong deviation thresholds identified via AI-powered analysis as your trigger for news trades. Use the ATR-based stops and doubled take-profit for balanced risk control. This strategy suits traders aiming for clear, data-driven signals around economic events with disciplined trade management. this text was powered by ai... feel free to comment and discus the strategy. always open to news things and your thoughts. and always remember . to learn is to share ...
Education
by alisardari
EURUSD Trade Plan 08/06/2025📉 EUR/USD Technical Analysis – June 8, 2025 EUR/USD is showing signs of weakness after rejecting the resistance zone around 1.1475 (Fib 0.618 level). The pair broke below the ascending trendline, suggesting that bullish momentum is fading. 🔻 Scenario: We may see a corrective pullback to retest the broken trendline (around 1.1450–1.1460). If this retest holds as resistance, the pair is likely to continue its decline. 🎯 Bearish Targets: First target: 1.1303 Second target zone: 1.1253 – 1.1220 📌 Invalidation Level: A daily close above 1.1577 would invalidate this bearish scenario. RSI is also turning lower from mid-levels, supporting a potential downside move. ⚠️ Trade with proper risk management and monitor price action around the key levels. if you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content." Regards, Alireza
Short
by alirezak
EURUSD TRADE INSIGHT Price has been bullish for a long time now, there was a temporary retracement into a mitigation zone, there's a bounce off and price is giving clear upwards shift in market structure, with the current bullish market structure, we have a confirmation for a buy next week. But currently, price is ready to fall into our buy order block, so we'll be selling on Monday with market Open. Check the charts, if it aligns with your system, then we've got to make money together on Monday morning. Good morning traders and have a beautiful trading week ahead Follow for more insights like this
Short
by SMHunter07
EURUSD MOVE IN 2ND WEEK🔍 Preliminary Technical Analysis: 1. Short-term Trend: The pair appears to be undergoing a corrective move downward after a clear upward trend from around 1.1200 to above 1.1500. 2. Nearby Resistance: Located in the 1.1450 to 1.1500 area. 3. Nearby Support: The 1.1350 level is acting as a potential support; breaking below it may push the price toward 1.1300 or even 1.1250. 4. Price Pattern: There's a possibility of a double top formation or a corrective ABC pattern. 🧠 Likely Scenario (Not Guaranteed): If the price continues to move below 1.1450 and fails to form higher highs, we might see a further drop toward: Target 1: 1.1350 Target 2: 1.1300 However, if the price breaks above the 1.1450 area and holds, an upward move toward 1.1500 and possibly 1.1550 could occur. 🛠️ Recommendations: Watch how the price behaves around 1.1350: Is there a reversal candle pattern or a strong breakout? Use supporting indicators like RSI or MACD to confirm momentum. Avoid entering trades without confirmation from candlestick patterns or breakouts.
by thebear1995
EUR/USD Analysis – Possible Scenarios🔹 Price is currently trading around 1.1421, consolidating between key supply and demand zones. 🔴 Supply Zone (Order Block 1H): 1.14360 – 1.14590 📌 Strong bearish reaction from this resistance area. First scenario: rejection from this OB and a move downward. 🔵 Demand Zone (Order Block 4H): 1.13050 – 1.13430 ✅ If price fails to break the resistance, we could see a retracement to this OB. Bullish reaction here may offer long opportunities. 🟢 Fair Value Gap (FVG 1H): 1.11800 – 1.12220 📉 If OB 4H fails to hold, price could drop into this FVG area – a high-liquidity zone for potential reversal. 📊 Possible Scenarios: 1️⃣ Break and hold above OB 1H → price may extend toward next OB zone at 1.15150 – 1.15400 2️⃣ Rejection from OB 1H → pullback to OB 4H → possible long setup if confirmed 3️⃣ Break below OB 4H → deeper move into FVG 1H ‼️ Avoid premature entries – wait for valid confirmations. 🔍 Insight by ProfitaminFX If this outlook aligns with your bias, or if you see it differently, feel free to share your perspective in the comments. Let’s grow together 📈
by ProfitaminFX
EUR/USD Potential buys from current zone or 1.12800My outlook for EU this week closely aligns with GU — both pairs are showing similar structure and direction. Price continues to form higher highs and higher lows, maintaining its bullish momentum. Following the most recent break of structure to the upside, EU has now entered a 9H demand zone, where I’ll be watching for signs of accumulation and potential entry as the market opens on Monday. If this current zone fails to hold, there’s a more discounted 9H demand zone just below, which could offer a cleaner long opportunity. Either way, both scenarios follow the pro trend, which adds conviction to the buy idea. Confluences for EU Buys: Price has broken structure to the upside and entered a clean 9H demand zone There’s another refined 9H demand zone just below for additional confirmation Plenty of upside liquidity remains untouched Structure remains bullish on the higher timeframes, making this a pro trend setup P.S. If price reacts well and continues pushing higher, I’ll be keeping an eye on the 7H supply zone above for any possible short-term bearish reaction. Wishing everyone a successful and disciplined trading week ahead!
Long
by Hassan_fx
Bigger correction for EUHi traders, Last week EU did not make an impulse wave 3 but instead it slowly went up. And after the ECB rate decision on Thursday it started to drop. At the moment the pattern is not very clear. This could be a bigger correction down for wave 4 (black) so my main bias is to the downside. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for the finish of a small correction up to trade shorts. If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
Short
by EduwaveTrading
8
EURUSD: heading toward double-top?The jobs data were in the spotlight of the US market during the previous week. The JOLTs job openings in April reached 7,391M, a bit hotter from market forecast of 7,10M. The Non-farm Payrolls in May added 139K new jobs, which was modestly higher from the forecasted 130K. The unemployment rate remained unchanged in May at the level of 4,2%. The average hourly earnings were higher by 0,4% for the month and 3,9% for the year. As for other posted data, the US ISM Manufacturing PMI for May was standing at 48,5, modestly below market estimate of 49,5. The ISM Services in May were standing at 49,9, lower from estimated 52,3. Previous week on the European market was marked with an eighth rate cut by 25bps, bringing the reference rate to 2%. Potential further rate cuts will continue to be data-driven. The ECB also cut its inflation forecast till the end of this year to 2%, from 2,3% forecasted previously. At the same time, the posted flash inflation rate in the Euro Zone in May is 1,9% on a yearly basis, which was below market estimate of 2%. The core inflation continues to be a bit elevated, standing at the level of 2,3% y/y in May. EuroZone inflation in May was 0% compared to the previous month. The Producers Price Index in the Euro Zone in May was down by -2,2% for the month, and 0,7% on a yearly basis. The balance of trade in Germany in April had a surplus of euro 14B, which was significantly lower from estimated euro 20,2B. During the previous week the currency pair was moving relatively slowly, within a short range. Fundamentals were shaping the investors sentiment. One one side, the ECB new cut of reference rates, while on the other side were relatively stable jobs data for the US market. The eurusd spent the previous week in a range between 1,1340 and 1,1450. There was a short move toward the 1,1490 on Thursday, but the market was not willing to test the 1,15 level on this occasion. Based on moves, the market is still not ready to move away from 1,14 lines. The RSI continues to move above the level of 50, indicating again that the market is not ready to take the path toward the oversold market side. The MA50 continues to diverge from its MA200 counterpart, without an indication of a potential change of course in the coming period. The week ahead is bringing US inflation data for May as well as inflation expectations from the University of Michigan survey. In case of some negative movements in this segment, the market reaction might be triggered. In this case it could be expected further weakening of the US Dollar against Euro, and a trigger for testing of the 1,15 level. Highs from April this year at 1,1570 might easily become the market target. However, if May inflation holds at levels expected by the market, which could be the most likely scenario, then some short term straightening of US Dollar might take place. The first stop would certainly be the 1,14 level, while the next one stands at 1,1275. It is interesting to mention higher potential for double top formation in the technical analysis, which eurusd is currently modestly forming. In case that the double top is triggered in the coming week or two, then the next level for eurusd could be 1,12 level, where highs from September 2024 stands. However, this scenario, if it occurs, could be revealed within the next few weeks. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: Industrial Production in April in the EuroZone, final inflation rate in May for Germany USD: Inflation rate in May, Producers Price Index in May, University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary for June.
by XBTFX
6
Euro will correct a little and then continue to move up nextHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing this chart, we can see how the price entered to upward channel, where it at once dropped from the resistance line to the support line and then started to grow. In a short time price rose to the 1.1210 level, broke it, and even rose a little more, but soon turned around and declined to the support line of the channel. Then the Euro made an upward impulse, and then broke the 1.1210 level one more time and continued to grow inside the channel. Later price reached the resistance line of the channel and then corrected, after which, in a short time rose to the support area, breaking the 1.1400 level. But soon the price turned around and dropped to the 1.1210 level, thereby exiting from channel. Next, Euro continued to grow inside the wedge, where it rose to the current support level and soon broke it. After this, the price rose to the resistance line of the wedge and then corrected, after which it made an upward impulse. Price exited from the wedge, and now I think that the Euro can make a correction, after the rise, and then continue to grow next. That's why I set my TP at 1.1560 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Long
by LegionQ8
7
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 6, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the current trading session, the Eurodollar has exhibited notable volatility, mirroring patterns observed in the previous week. The currency surpassed a significant Mean Resistance level of 1.142 and encountered substantial resistive price action near the crucial Key Resistance level of 1.151. Recent analyses indicate that the Euro is likely to approach the critical Mean Support level at 1.137 and may decline to the subsequent Mean Support level at 1.129. Nevertheless, there exists the possibility of an upward movement from the current level or the Mean Support at 1.137, which could result in a target Mean Resistance of 1.145 and a retest of the Key Resistance at 1.151.
by TradeSelecter