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Euro / U.S. Dollar

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EURUSD trade ideas

Forex and Gold Market Highlights June 21 2025Forex & Gold Market Highlights – June 21, 2025 🕒 Key Events This Week: • 🏦 Fed officials signaling possible rate cuts vs. cautious economic tone • 🌍 Escalating Israel–Iran tensions boosting safe-haven flows • 🏭 Mixed U.S. macro data (retail sales, Philly Fed, housing) shaping Fed expectations ________________________________________ 💶 EUR/USD Nears 1.1520 on Safe-Haven Flows EUR/USD edged up to about 1.1520 amid weakness in the U.S. dollar, driven by global risk-off sentiment. Mixed signals from the Fed kept traders cautious. ________________________________________ 💷 GBP/USD Hovering Around 1.3500 on USD Strength GBP/USD remains near 1.3500, slipping slightly off highs after weaker UK retail data. The pair faces resistance in the 1.3550–1.3600 zone. ________________________________________ 💴 USD/JPY Eyeballing 146 Resistance USD/JPY climbed toward 146.00, driven by risk-averse USD demand and dovish BOJ stance. The pair is testing key retracement resistance near 146.76. ________________________________________ 🥇 Gold Pulls Back but Holds Ground Spot gold slid to around $3,334 3,381 this week, under pressure from a stronger dollar and diminished Fed rate-cut hopes. Still, geopolitical jitters kept it from falling hard. • Weekly drop of ~2.5%, trading in a $3,330–$3,400 range. ________________________________________ 📈 DXY Index Rallies on Risk Aversion The U.S. Dollar Index rose ~0.45%, marking its strongest weekly gain in over a month due to heightened safe-haven flows amid Middle East tensions. ________________________________________ 📌 Market Outlook: • EUR/USD: Mixed bias. May test 1.1550–1.1600 if risk-off continues; downside risk near 1.1400 if U.S. data surprises. • GBP/USD: Expected to stay in the 1.3450–1.3550 range; UK economic data and USD momentum will be key. • USD/JPY: Bullish tilt remains toward 146.76, but any BOJ hints of policy tightening could shake it. • Gold: Pressure from a firm dollar is likely to persist. Watch for geopolitical developments and upcoming Fed signals for reversal clues.
Long
by ProjectSyndicate
19
EURUSD POSSIBLE TRADE SETUP💶 Potential Trade Setup on EURUSD Overview: Since March, EURUSD has shown consistent bullish momentum, especially after breaking through the key 1.0600 supply zone. The pair has maintained higher highs and higher lows, suggesting continued strength in the medium term. That said, I am still quite anticipating for a possible continuation of the bullish momentum that started a long time ago, and moving forward, I will anticipate for a clear retest of the 50% fib at the 1.1425 region, then I go in for the kill. Alternatively, there is a clear short opportunity, provided that, the bullish trendline is broken and the 1.1370 region is broken to the downside, this is a bit far a stretch, but it is in play. "IF" the DXY keeps the bullish momentum going. 🧭 Trading Plan: ✅ BUY Bias (Primary Plan): Look for a retest of the 50% Fibonacci retracement zone around 1.1425. This aligns with the ongoing momentum on the 4H timeframe. 🔻 SELL Bias (Alternative Scenario): If price breaks the bullish trendline and the 1.1370 support zone, a short opportunity opens up. This is only valid if DXY continues to strengthen, shifting sentiment. 🎯 Targets & Risk Management: Targeting 1:2 R:R on both setups. Ensure entries are backed by price action signals and confluences.
Long
by Adefxc
EU could go up againHi traders, Last week EU made a bigger (overlapping) correction to the downside so now the wave count is invalid. I must admit that I don't see a clear Elliott wave pattern. There are multiple options. This last pattern could be a corrective pattern and next week we could see a next impulsive wave. Or it is a bearish leading diagonal and next week we could see this pair drop. At the moment my main (fundamental) bias is still bullish. But let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for more development of price action. If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
Long
by EduwaveTrading
EURUSD Gearing Up for Next Leg Up – DXY Weakens After PPI MissToday, key U.S. economic indexes were released, providing fresh insights into inflationary pressures and the state of the labor market: Core PPI m/m: Actual: 0.1% | Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: -0.4% Lower than expected – suggests weaker underlying producer inflation. PPI m/m: Actual: 0.1% | Forecast: 0.2% | Previous: -0.5% Slight miss – overall inflation at the producer level remains soft. Unemployment Claims: Actual: 248K | Forecast: 242K | Previous: 247K Slightly higher than forecast – signaling some cooling in the labor market. Market Outlook : These data releases point toward cooling inflation and softness in job growth, which may strengthen the dovish narrative around the Fed’s next move. DXY Index ( TVC:DXY ) is under pressure, and EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is showing signs of bullish momentum . ----------------------------------------------------------- Now let's take a look at the EURUSD chart on the 1-hour time frame . EURUSD is trading near the Heavy Resistance zone($1.182-$1.160) and Monthly Resistance(2) . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , EURUSD appears to be completing microwave 4 . Microwave 4 could be completed at one of the Fibonacci levels . I expect EURUSD to attack the Heavy Resistance zone($1.182-$1.160) at least once more after completing microwave 4 and could even rise to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Note: If EURUSD touches $1.1446 , we can expect more dump. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
5
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 20, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During this week's trading session, the Eurodollar has encountered a significant decline, dipping below the Mean Support level of 1.149; however, it exhibited a modest recovery on Friday. Recent analyses indicate that the Euro is likely to decrease further to the Mean Support level of 1.148, with the potential for extending its bearish trend to reach 1.140. Nevertheless, there remains a possibility that the current recovery will persist, which could result in price movements targeting the Key Resistance level at 1.158 and potentially leading to a retest of the Outer Currency Rally's 1.163 mark.
by TradeSelecter
3
Chartanalyse: Der Chart zeigt eine Seitwärtskonsolidierung mitTechnical Overview: The EUR/USD chart exhibits signs of a bearish reversal pattern forming near a key resistance zone (1.15800 - 1.16000), highlighted with repeated rejection wicks (🔴 red arrows). Price is currently trading at 1.15222, after failing to hold above the neckline of the rounded bottom pattern. 🔍 Key Observations: 🔺 Resistance Zone: Strong resistance has been confirmed multiple times (red arrows), indicating sellers are active at the top. 🟠 Double Top / Head & Shoulders Behavior: Price action shows topping formations (highlighted with orange circles), suggesting exhaustion of bullish momentum. 📉 Bearish Breakdown Possibility: Price rejected near neckline and is showing bearish candle formations. Breakdown from the current consolidation zone could push price toward the target zone at 1.14491, marked in purple. This aligns with previous support structure, reinforcing a technical downside projection. 🔻 Support Zone: Around 1.13800 - 1.14000 is a strong area of demand and may act as the next bounce point if the bearish move continues. 📐 Chart Pattern Structure: Rounded bottom formed earlier, but the failure to continue higher and breakout suggests a false breakout trap for buyers. Downward sloping trendline broke, but now price is struggling to sustain above previous highs. 📌 Conclusion: ⚠️ Caution for bulls as price shows signs of weakness at resistance. A move below 1.15000 may initiate further downside toward 1.14491 and possibly lower. Short-term traders can watch for confirmation candles near this zone for entries. 📅 Short-Term Bias: Bearish 🎯 Target: 1.14491 ⛔️ Invalidation: Strong breakout above 1.16000
Short
by MrStellanSight
EURUSD BEARISH SETUP The EUR/USD 4-hour chart reflects a significant technical setup, showing price action within a bullish ascending channel that has recently broken to the downside, forming a falling wedge pattern—typically a bullish continuation signal. Key Observations: Bullish Channel Broken: The price broke below the ascending channel earlier this month, signaling initial weakness. Falling Wedge Formation: A bullish falling wedge has developed, and the pair is now testing its upper boundary near 1.1522, attempting a breakout. Resistance Zone: The price is approaching a key resistance area between 1.1550 – 1.1600, which aligns with previous highs and the wedge's upper edge. Scenario Projection: A temporary bullish breakout toward the resistance zone is expected. If the pair gets rejected from this resistance, a sharp decline toward the major support area near 1.1300 is likely. Bearish Confirmation: A clear rejection at the resistance zone followed by a break below the recent minor support (red zone) would confirm the bearish move. Conclusion: While short-term bullish momentum may push EUR/USD slightly higher, the confluence of resistance levels suggests a high probability of rejection. Traders should watch for reversal signals in the 1.1550–1.1600 zone, as failure to break higher could lead to a bearish move toward 1.1300 in the coming days.
Short
by traderchamp_
EUR/USD - H4 - Triangle Formation (31.05.2025)The EUR/USD pair on the H4 timeframe presents a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. 1. Wait for Breakout with Good Volume 2. Conformation in short Timeframe Must 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Fundamental Updates : Dollar mixed on tariff uncertainty, U.S. President Donald Trump to battle a U.S. trade court ruling that blocked most of his proposed tariffs. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
26
EURUSD - 2nd potential entryEvening all Here is a still screenshot of what I am looking for the market open on EURUSD come Sunday night after the spreads have died down on the pair. My pending order will go directly on the FVG with my stops below the manipulation of the range. If I get tagged in great. If I don't also great if we continue to move high I mill just manage the one position. If I am tagged in I will give you and update with a new idea and then depending on how that idea plays out win or lose I will come back and re-visit it and break it down some more. However I have high hopes for this trade to make it up to 1.16300 Have a great weekend and I will speak to you all soon
by BenFxLDN
3
EURUSD - BreakdownApologies video is a bit rushed. Wanted to get it done before the weekend arrived. There's so much more to this video and entry reason that I have left out unintentionally like the fact we swept the Asia lows before creating a BoS. There are also a few other things like I have left out but without looking at the chart right now I cannot remember off the top of my head. I will post the idea of this trade below so you can see that I was taking it before it played out. Hope you all have a great weekend and a better trading week than you had this week. Enjoy P.S if you have any questions please do message
by BenFxLDN
Market next move Disruption to Bullish Scenario: 1. Resistance Zone Around 1.1540 – 1.1550 The price is approaching a psychological and potential resistance level around 1.1540–1.1550. If the bulls fail to break this zone convincingly, a rejection could lead to a pullback or reversal. 2. Bearish Divergence in Volume Despite upward movement in price, the volume doesn't show a strong bullish breakout. If momentum weakens while price rises, it might indicate a bearish divergence. 3. Rising Wedge Formation The current price channel resembles a rising wedge, which is typically a bearish pattern. A breakdown from this pattern (below the “support area” trendline) could trigger a sell-off toward 1.1500 or lower. 4. Economic Data or News Risk Any sudden USD strength due to economic reports, Federal Reserve commentary, or geopolitical tension could flip the sentiment instantly. Icons below the chart hint at upcoming news from the Eurozone or U.S., which could lead to volatility. 5. Overbought Condition If technical indicators like RSI or MACD (not shown in this chart) are in overbought territory, a correction or profit-taking may happen soon.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
2