EURUSD trade ideas
EUR-USD Swing Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair is
Making a bearish correction
So after it hits the horizontal
Support area around 1.1280
We will be expecting a
Bullish move up on Monday
Buy!
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Bigger correction down for EUHi traders,
My outlook last week of EU played out exactly as I've said! Just check my outlook of last week for proof.
Wave 4 became a Triangle and after it finished, it went up again for the last wave 5 into the Daily FVG.
After that it rejected and started the bigger correction down.
Next week we could see some consolidation and another wave down into the Weekly/ Daily FVG.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bearish, a small impulse wave down and a correction up on a lower timeframe to trade shorts into the Weekly/ Daily FVG.
If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
EURUSD retracementEURUSD continues to move sideways above 1,1300, lacking the strength for a new upward push.
This suggests we could see the correction extend towards the next support levels.
These levels are identified using Fibonacci retracement and previous highs, and are at 1,1253, 1,1183, and 1,1055.
Watch for a continuation of the correction and market reaction.
Important USD news is expected this week on Wednesday and Friday at 3:30 pm!
EURUSD SHORT TRADE IDEA.This chart shows a bearish trade setup for the EUR/USD currency pair on the 30-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the analysis and key elements:
Key Zones and Labels:
Entry Zone:
A highlighted zone between 1.13838 and 1.13979. This is where the trader anticipates entering a short (sell) position, expecting a reversal to the downside.
Stop Loss Zone:
The above the entry zone, with a clear stop loss level marked around 1.14180. This protects against further upward movement if the market does not reverse.
Target Zone (Take Profit):
The area, targeting a significant drop in price down to 1.12928 (with a mid-point around 1.13176). This indicates a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Expected Movement:
The chart suggests that the price may rise slightly into the entry zone, then reverse sharply downwards toward the take profit target.
From the entry zone → sharp decline → target at 1.12928
EURUSD Elliott Wave: EUR Trend is MatureThe rally for EURUSD has been spectacular.
The uptrend is nearing its point of exhaustion, if it already hasn't seen the top.
We've anticipated a large uptrend since the trend change in January.
There are 2 colored labels on the chart, red and black labels.
RED AND BLACK WAVE COUNTS
The RED labels imply a high in wave 1 and EURUSD is declining in wave 2. Wave 2 likely stretches down to 1.07-1.12 and may take 1 to 3 months to develop.
The market geometry within this rally fit really well on the red. However, the lack of RSI divergence at the end of wave 1 is a little worrisome. Typically, we'll see wave ((v)) diverge on RSI relative to the high of wave ((iii)).
The black is a slight variation of the red. BLACK suggests the recent high wave wave ((iii)). A little more dip and correction is wave ((iv)). Then, one more rally in ((v)) to finalize the larger degree wave 1.
Either way, the trends in EURUSD are skewing to the downside.
Since wave 2 is a corrective wave, it'll be a difficult one to trade. If you want to trade USD strength, consider buying USDCAD or shorting AUDUSD.
From lower levels (1.07-1.12) in about 1-3 months, a bullish setup in EURUSD and GBPUSD are likely to emerge for another powerful run.
EUR/USD Bullish Breakout Trade Setup – Targeting 1.18089Entry Point: 1.13860
Stop Loss Zone: 1.13642 to 1.12578
Resistance Point: 1.14320
Target (TP) Point: 1.18089
🔍 Observations
Support Zone: Marked in purple near the entry and stop-loss area, suggesting a strong demand zone.
Resistance Zone: Around 1.14320, indicating a potential breakout level.
Trend: Short-term uptrend after a consolidation range.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Quite favorable, targeting a move of approximately 470+ pips (4.20% gain) from entry to target.
📊 Technical Indicators
Moving Averages:
Red (likely 20 EMA): Price recently crossed above, showing bullish momentum.
Blue (likely 50 or 200 EMA): Serving as dynamic support.
Price Action: Formation suggests a potential breakout from resistance toward the 1.18 target.
🧠 Conclusion
This is a long (buy) setup expecting a bullish breakout:
Buy entry above the support zone.
Stop-loss placed below major support (1.12578).
Target set significantly higher, aligning with prior structure or resistance at 1.18089
EURUSD💡Chart analysis of the EUR/USD currency pair (4-hour timeframe). Broken Wedge Pattern: The pattern has been broken to the downside, indicating the beginning of a negative trend reversal. 4-Hour Bearish Correction: The price is currently moving within a small ascending (corrective) channel, a corrective signal within a downtrend.
Next Expectation: A break below the current ascending channel could lead to a continued decline. Current MACD Indicator: The indicator is showing small green bars, indicating weak upward momentum and an upward correction within the overall downtrend, as shown in the chart.
⛔Not investment advice. For educational purposes only.
EURUSD - I Have A Lot Of Faith In Euro This Week!Euro is showing signs of weakness, failing to close above the 1.15123 higher timeframe PD array leaving EURO in limbo between two higher timeframe PD arrays; the 3-month IFVG and1 week SIBI.
I am exploring opportunities to the downside going into next weeks trading with 1.13080 being the 1st point of interest.
1.08814 - 1.11464 nearby BISI is a price range i have my eyes on also.
Bearish Movement loading As we look on 4H time frame we've been having bullish movement but for this week we might go bearish because we had shift of structure below the resistance and we looking forward to break below that support and get retest then we continue moving bearish
Entry:1.12690
TP:1.03537
EUR/USD: Is the Uptrend Losing Steam?EUR/USD has had an exceptionally strong month, gaining over 7% from bottom to top – one of the best performances in EUR’s history against the dollar.
But now, things are starting to shift.
🧭 Possible Long-Term Trend Change?
Beyond the impressive rally, the bigger story might be the potential shift in the long-term trend. However, after such a sharp move up, a correction is not only likely – it may already be underway.
🔍 Technical Outlook:
- Price pushed above the key 1.15 psychological level but failed to hold momentum.
- A bearish consolidation is forming.
- A classic Head and Shoulders pattern appears to be developing, with a neckline near 1.13.
- A break of that level could open the door for a deeper retracement, with a target around 1.11.
🛠️ Trading Plan:
I’m looking to sell rallies, ideally near 1.1450, to maintain a 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Bearish drop?EUR/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1427
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1560
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.1278
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Could the price reverse from here?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1421
1st Support: 1.1141
1st Resistance: 1/1459
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DeGRAM | EURUSD Declining From the Supply Zone📊 Technical Analysis
● EUR/USD stays below the broken resistance line.
● While under $1.144, the chart favors a slide to 1.131 → 1.12.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● U.S. yields remain elevated, supporting the dollar.
✨ Summary
Stalling Euro-area growth and firm U.S. yields reinforce the technical breakdown. A daily close below 1.131 should accelerate the decline towards 1.12.
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Potential bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1425
1st Support: 1.1146
1st Resistance: 1.1569
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD H4 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 1.1425, which is an overlap resistance.
Our take profit will be at 1.1145,a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibo retracement
The stop loss will be placed at 1.1574, which is a swing high resistance level.
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EURUSD: NFP and Jobs data are comingThe previous week was the relatively calmer one, when it comes to economic news. The S&P Global Composite PMI Flash for April reached the level of 51,2 slightly above market expectation of 51. At the same time, the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash for April was standing at 50,7, above market consensus of 49,1. The US new home sales were higher by 7,4% in March on a monthly basis, and was significantly above forecast of 0,2%. At the same time, existing home sales dropped by -5,9% in March for the month, which was higher from expected -3%.The Durable goods orders in March were higher by 9,2% for the month, again significantly higher from expected 2%. The week-end brought the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment final for April figures, at the level of 52,2, which was a bit higher from expected 50,8. Consumer inflation expectations show strong uptrend, at the final April level of 6,5%, higher from previously expected 5%. At the same time, there has been an increase in five-year inflation expectations at the level of 4,4%, again higher from the previous post of 4,1%.
The HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash for April in Germany was standing at 48, modestly above market consensus of 47,6. The same indicator for the Euro Zone was at the level of 48,7 and in line with market expectations. The Balance of Trade in the Euro Zone reached euro 24B in April which was highly above the forecasted euro 15,1B. The Ifo Business Climate in April in Germany reached the level of 86,9, and was surprisingly higher from expected 85,5.
At the start of the week, markets were testing the long term resistance line at 1,1460. The highest weekly level reached on Monday was 1,1540. Soon, the market reverted back, so for the rest of the week, 1,1315 was the minimum level. The currency pair ended the week at 1,1364. The RSI modestly moved from the overbought market side, toward the level of 62, not showing the clear sign that it is ready for a clear reversal. The MA50 continues to diverge from MA200, after the lines made the so-called golden cross a week ago.
Volatility will continue also in a week ahead. Some of the currently most important data for the US economy will be posted - Jobs data for March will be released on Tuesday, and the Non-farm payrolls and Unemployment rate in April, on Friday. This is promising another challenging end of the week for trading. As per current charts, the markets will continue to test the 1,1460 resistance level, which is a historically significant level. Accounting for trades from the previous week, the sentiment of the market holds the upside. Still, depending on the data which will be released, the market could turn toward the down-side in the week ahead, which would lead the eurusd toward the 1,12 support line. In case of a negative news, there is also some probability for the 1,15 to be tested again. At this moment, the 1,1460 resistance should be closely watched in terms of a technical analysis, because in case of its clear breach toward the upside, it will open a clear road for eurusd toward the 1,22 in the future period, as the next significant resistance level.
Important news to watch during the week ahead are:
EUR: GfK Consumer Confidence in Germany for May, Retail Sales in Germany in March, Unemployment rate in Germany in March, GDP Growth rate flash for Q1 in Germany and in the EuroZone, Inflation rate in Germany and in the Euro Zone in April,
USD: Jobs data for March on Tuesday, April 29th, GDP Growth rate for Q1 preliminary data, PCE Price Index for March, Personal Income and Personal Spending in March will be posted on Wednesday, April 30th, ISM Manufacturing PMI in April, Non-farm Payrolls in April and Unemployment rate in April will be posted on Friday, May 2nd.
EUR/USD W Closure Very Bearish , Best 2 Places For Sell Cleared Here is my opinion on EUR/USD , If we checked weekly time frame , we will see that we have a great bearish price action , and on lower time frames we have avery good bearish price action also , so i think we can sell this pair from the places i mentioned with small sl , and target will be from 100 to 250 pips .
No Change for EURUSDEURUSD continues its sideways movement above 1,1300, and there is no change in the outlook.
The trend remains bullish, but we might see a correction toward the next support levels first.
These levels, determined by Fibonacci retracement and previous highs, are 1,1253, 1,1183, and 1,1055.
Tomorrow, the first USD-related news releases are scheduled, which could have an impact, followed by the NFP data on Friday.