EURUSD: Channel Down topped. Huge sell ahead.EURUSD corrected the previously overbought levels on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.799, MACD = 0.009, ADX = 25.183) and 1W is expected to follow suit as the price is making a double rejection at the top of the 2 year Channel Down. We anticipate a new -9.25% long term bearish wave to begin (TP = 1.01300).
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EURUSD trade ideas
EUR/USD Short Setup – Entry at Resistance, Targeting 1.08942"Entry Point: Around 1.10456
Stop Loss: Around 1.10833
Take Profit (EA Target Point): Around 1.08942
Risk-Reward Ratio: Appears favorable (approximately 1:2)
🔍 Key Observations:
Resistance Zone (Supply Area):
Price hit a strong resistance (marked with a purple zone) and showed signs of rejection with wicks.
The resistance aligns with the entry zone, suggesting a potential reversal area.
Moving Averages:
EMA 30 (Red) ≈ 1.09966 and EMA 200 (Blue) ≈ 1.09607
Price is currently above both EMAs, which is typically bullish, but the setup anticipates a pullback or correction.
Bearish Engulfing Pattern:
A possible bearish engulfing candlestick appears near the entry zone, indicating seller strength.
Break of Minor Support (RESISTANCE POINT):
If price breaks below this level, it would likely confirm the short setup toward the target.
✅ Confirmation Needed:
A clean break and close below the support (resistance point) to confirm entry.
Momentum indicators (RSI, MACD) could provide additional confidence if available.
⚠️ Risk Notes:
Since the price is still above both EMAs, this trade counters the short-term trend, so proper stop management is key.
Watch for news events, especially since this pair reacts strongly to economic data (note the calendar icon at the bottom right).
EUR/USD Approaching a Key Decision Point – Breakout or Pullback📊 Daily Technical Analysis – EUR/USD (April 2025)
The EUR/USD pair is approaching a critical resistance zone on the daily chart, with price action showing signs of both trend continuation and potential exhaustion. Traders should brace for volatility as the pair hovers near a multi-month high.
📈 Trend Overview:
Since rebounding from the 1.0700 support area in early March, EUR/USD has maintained a steady bullish trend, forming a clean structure of higher highs and higher lows.
The overall sentiment remains bullish in the medium term, but the pair is now pressing into a strong resistance zone near 1.0980 – 1.1050, where price previously stalled multiple times in late 2023.
🧱 Key Resistance Levels:
1.0980 – 1.1050: A major resistance block; a clean daily breakout above this zone could trigger renewed buying pressure and open the door for a move toward 1.1200.
1.1270: A key swing high from July 2023, and a likely target if bulls maintain control.
🛡️ Key Support Levels:
1.0870: A short-term support level and previous consolidation zone.
1.0740: A key higher low and critical structure — losing this level could suggest a shift toward a broader range-bound market.
1.0700: March’s reaction low and a major psychological level for euro bulls.
📐 Technical Structures:
Price action is showing signs of forming a rising wedge pattern — typically a sign of weakening bullish momentum, especially when it appears near strong resistance.
That said, if buyers manage to break through the upper boundary with strong conviction, this setup could transform into a bullish continuation — invalidating the wedge as a reversal pattern.
Also, the pair remains inside a bullish price channel, which has guided the trend since mid-March.
🧭 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Breakout:
A strong daily close above 1.1050 would likely confirm the breakout, targeting 1.1200 and possibly 1.1270 as bullish extensions. This could align with further dollar weakness or positive eurozone data.
❌ Bearish Rejection:
If the pair fails to break the resistance zone and forms reversal candlesticks, a pullback toward 1.0870 or even 1.0740 becomes likely. A break below 1.0700 would be a strong bearish signal, opening the path toward deeper retracement.
📌 Conclusion:
EUR/USD is pressing into a decisive resistance zone after a sustained bullish rally. Price action is king here — a breakout above 1.1050 may confirm bullish continuation, while rejection could trigger a healthy correction. Keep a close eye on daily closes and candle structure in the coming sessions.
💬 How do you see EUR/USD playing out from here? Are we in for a breakout or a top? Share your thoughts 👇
EURUSD: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.10453 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.10992.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD April 9 Hindsight Study notesEURUSD
April 9 Hindsight Study notes
What I learned today:
*Use 4 hour chart to determine the intra day order flow price is delivering in. Example I wanted to take the bull rally in Asia however its not my model. So I let it go anticipating for Price to rally to the clean equal highs target, which it did.
*Trust your analysis. Why is this so hard when I anticipate for price to reach the level I have suspected, then when my model forms I freeze. This is my largest obstacle to overcome. This hinders me.
* when price did hit but not go through the equal highs coming into the 3 macro London-I was so happy, because I anticipated this. I was looking for a short in London today.
3 macro price had all of my model factors in play expect 1 factor.
-liquidity was taken at the 1.10510 and then price did make a equal high at 2:45
-Price was in a premium with intra day buy side taken
-bearish order block on 2:51 candle? still learning this component, that candle also creates FVG, evidence of first presented FVG
-2:57 candle creates a FVG and price does not come back up to it-hint hint
-in a macro time of expected retracement or reversal either way a short in play
the one thing that kept me out was the lack to find the model 2022 swing low candle to validate the trade
What would have been the worst thing if I would have entered right at 3 for a short with a10 pip stop loss and anticipating at least a retracement, a winning trade. Considering I waited all day, considering I have built a model and trying to follow it and then it forms.
Let the above sink in and let what you learned be the win.
EUR/USD H1 chart analysisPair: EUR/USD
Entry: 1.10530 (Buy)
TP1: 1.10940
TP2: 1.11470
Stop Loss (suggested): Around 1.10200 or below recent support/swing low
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Additional Analysis Suggestions:
1. Momentum Confirmation:
Check RSI or MACD on H1/H4 timeframes to confirm bullish momentum.
Volume or price action near 1.10530 can signal whether buyers are stepping in.
2. Structure & Support/Resistance:
1.10530: See if it aligns with a breakout/retest zone or key support.
1.10940 & 1.11470: Confirm these levels as prior resistance or fib extensions.
3. Trend Context:
Daily/4H trend: Bullish continuation patterns (higher highs/lows)?
If it’s ranging, your trade could get stuck before TP1.
4. News Watchlist:
Keep an eye on key events like CPI, NFP, ECB/FRB meetings, and speeches.
Trade entry should ideally not be too close to high-impact releases unless you’re playing the breakout.
5. Risk/Reward:
Make sure R:R is favorable (at least 1:2 ideally).
Use a trailing stop or scale out at TP1 to protect profits if the price starts to retrace.
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If you want, I can help chart this setup with technical levels and confluences. Just let me know what timeframes or indicators you’re using.
EURUSD - Trade The Impulse!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈EURUSD has been bearish trading within the falling wedge pattern marked in red.
Currently, EURUSD is retesting the upper bound of the wedge.
Moreover, the $1.12 is a strong weekly supply zone.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper red trendline and supply.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURUSD is hovering around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD LONG 100 PIP MOVE LIVE TRADE AND EDUCATIONAL BREAK DOWNEUR/USD trades decisively higher on the day above 1.1000 on Wednesday as the US Dollar (USD) stays under persistent selling pressure on growing fears over a recession as a result of the US trade war with China. Later in the American session, the Federal Reserve will release the minutes of the March policy meeting.
EURUSD LIVE TRADE 100 PIP MOVE EUR/USD trades decisively higher on the day above 1.1000 on Wednesday as the US Dollar (USD) stays under persistent selling pressure on growing fears over a recession as a result of the US trade war with China. Later in the American session, the Federal Reserve will release the minutes of the March policy meeting.
Euro will break current support level and drop to 1.0735 levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Recently, the price completed a pennant pattern, which resulted in a breakout to the upside. This breakout, however, didn’t gain much ground - the movement quickly lost momentum inside the resistance area between 1.0955 - 1.0985 points, where Euro sharply turned around. The reversal from this zone wasn’t unexpected, considering this level had already acted as resistance earlier. What followed was a clean break below the current support level at 1.0955 points, which shifted the market structure back to bearish. Now the price is trading lower, and the bearish impulse looks set to continue. My expectation is a further decline toward the support level at 1.0735, which also aligns with the buyer zone between 1.0695 - 1.0735 points. This level may act as the next potential area of interest where buyers could attempt a defence. The invalidation of local support, weakness after the breakout, and strong supply reaction from resistance all point to a high probability of continuation down toward TP 1 - 1.0735 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
DeGRAM | EURUSD came out of the triangleEURUSD is in an ascending channel above the trend lines.
Price is moving from the lower trend line, lower channel boundary and support level.
The chart, maintaining the ascending structure, has exited the triangle and is holding above the support level coinciding with the 38.2% retracement level.
The relative strength index is above 50 pips on the major timeframes.
We expect a retest of the current support level with further movement towards $1.1145.
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OTEUM EXPERT CALL: Fishing for the Next Intramonth Bull SwingOTEUM EXPERT CALL: EUR/USD – Fishing for the Next Intramonth Bull Swing 🎣💶
OTEUM is back on the hunt—this time fishing for the next bull swing on the D1 chart 📈. Major fundamental forces are aligning in favor of the euro 🌍⚖️, giving this setup solid macro backing.
The only real risk? A surprise liquidity event triggering sharp dollar strength 💥💵. Until then, we stay positioned for upside with precision and patience 🧠🎯.
#EURUSD #Forex #OTEUM #BullSwing #FundamentalsFirst
My SRT Strategy Suggests a potential LongHello folks. This looks like a good one. In most cases I wait for the market to act for such setups. I am mostly bullish on this symbol due to the fact that several support areas have been held for a while.
I expect a good 1:2 trade upon break. The symbol will proceed to a downtrend very soon after this.
EURUSD I Daily CLS I KL - HTF OB, Model 1 I Target new highsHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
EUR/USD Silver lining as the USD continues to fall - 1.1610The EUR/USD is looking somewhat positive.
I assume because the Exports to the US is under 1 -2% per country, it won't cause major havoc for Europe's GDP even though it's still not great.
Investors are finding a safe haven within the EUR and out of the USD.
Other reasons for the EUR/USD include:
🇺🇸 U.S. Tariffs & Uncertainty
Trump's new 104% tariffs spooked markets and hurt the dollar.
🇪🇺 ECB Support Talk
The ECB said it's ready to step in to keep inflation on track.
📉 Dollar Weakness
Investors are pulling out of the dollar amid global slowdown fears.
🧠 Sentiment Shift
Traders are betting on the euro with the dollar under pressure.
TECHNICALS
Inv Head and SHoulders and the Neckline has finally broken up signalling upside for the EUR.
Price 20 and 200 MA
Target 1.1610
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR/USD - Breakout & Retest Entry I have entered a long position on EUR/USD following a confirmed breakout and close above the descending trendline and recent horizontal resistance on the 4-hour timeframe. After the breakout, price pulled back and formed a bullish 4H candle that closed above the new support, validating the continuation setup.
Entry: 1.10200 (Pullback confirmation after breakout)
Stop Loss: 1.08800 (Below recent structure support)
Risk Management Level: 1.11800 (Move SL to BE once TP1 is hit)
Target Levels:
TP1: 1.11800 – Moving SL to BE at this point to manage risk
TP2: 1.13700
TP3: 1.16500
Trade Rationale:
The 4H breakout above both trendline and horizontal resistance confirms bullish intent, followed by a clean retest.
Weekly chart also shows a significant breakout above a long-term descending trendline dating back to 2008 — a major structural shift.
Risk is managed with a stop below recent consolidation lows, allowing room for healthy price movement.
Targets are based on key HTF resistance zones and previous price reaction levels.
EURUSD : The not so apparent oneThis is something I know about. Perhaps some of you may also know this unique way of counting the D.
US10Y is showing a lot of panic - yield is rising because a lot of people are forced to dump their treasuries. Not that they want to. I guess they are forced to.
OIL is now below $63.50, which means recession is CONFIRMED.
Now we wait for US10Y to drop BELOW 3.70%. This is the FINALE.
Good luck. Stay safe.
EURUSD Found Support at $1.0992FenzoFx—EUR/USD trades bullish above the immediate support level of $1.0992, in conjunction with the 50-period simple moving average.
The bullish trend remains valid above this level. In this scenario, the price can potentially revisit $1.1090, followed by $1.1147.
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