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EURUSD trade ideas

EURUSD Outlook: Head & Shoulder or Bear Trap?Mirroring the DXY, the EURUSD appears to be holding below the neckline of a head and shoulders pattern formed from the 1.1570 highs. However, it still requires confirmation with a sustained move below 1.1270 to extend the forecast toward 1.1140 and 1.1040. On the upside, if the 1.1270 support holds, EURUSD may reverse course, confirming a failed pattern and potentially rebounding toward 1.1420, 1.1470, and 1.1570. From a monthly perspective, the EURUSD is pulling back above the upper boundary of the long-respected channel extending from the 2008 highs, currently holding near the key 1.1270 support. This may signal a short-term trend reset before markets regain directional clarity. Written by: Razan Hilal, CMT
by FOREXcom
LOOKING FOR LONGS ON EUR/USDEUR/USD 15M - As you can see price has recently traded us down and into a Demand Zone, we have seen plenty of Demand being introduced into the market, which is the reason for the hawkish behaviour. I would now like to see price break structure officially, giving us the confluence to suggest a reversal is taking place, once we have that we can begin looking to take this market long. I have drawn a path out on how I would expect price to play out. Once we have that break its understandable that with every impulse is a correction, price will have to correct back down into something. Should we find an area of Demand for price to set a higher low from, that is where we can look to enter in from with those longer term buy positions, as soon as I have an update I will let you all know.
Long
by Lukegforex
EUR/USD short: WIll Moby Dick sink the global economy?Hello traders The allegory of our current global economy and Moby Dick, the rare white whale, hunted by the obsessed Captain Ahab, is not one I am writing about in a light hearted manner. A refresher: Moby Dick(China) bites off Captain Ahab's(USA) leg and is subsequently relentlessly hunted by the obsessed captain who wants revenge. At the conclusion of the novel, Captain Ahab is oh, so close to killing the elusive whale but gets entangled in the rope of the harpoon and is dragged down to his own watery death by the wounded whale. Moral of the story? Moby Dick is a classic American novel and China has not eaten the USA's lunch. I do not see any winners in this tariff war but rather the distinct possibility of a global recession and potential melt down like 2008/2009. At the heart of this conundrum is DJT's obsession with trade imbalance going back to his first term. The irony being, the 2018 trade imbalance was the biggest ever under his watch. I love these magnificent United States more than anything but let's get real. DJT won his second term on the persistent high inflation after COVID-19 and immigration not because we, as privileged Americans are suffering as the richest country on the planet(except for Swiss citizens). While I also support regulated immigration, we as Americans, do not want to perform the "menial" jobs that migrants are willing to do. My ancestors survived WW1, WW2, the dust bowl, the Great Depression and every subsequent calamity but never lost track of the integrity in ANY job that feeds a family. There is a lot of whining about losing manufacturing jobs to China but I dare anyone who feels that they have missed out on a job opportunity to go and pick oranges in the blazing Florida sun with a 50 pound bag on the back or work a low paid job in a sneaker manufacturing facility. Let's not forget what drives the USA economy: the consumer. We have benefitted from cheap/inexpensive Chinese labor and goods for a long time and will feel the pain if this tariff war is not resolved in a realistic manner. China's currency manipulation has always been geared towards boosting their exports and I do not foresee that policy changing anytime soon. China is denying that any trade talks are happening and there is increasing day light visible between DJT and his Cabinet members. Bessant won't confirms trade negotiations and Rubio claims not to know what DJT's stance is towards Russia/Ukraine. It all comes down to DJT's obsession with the white whale, China. Who will blink first? I do not know but this zero sum game is dangerous and could potentially plunge the entire global order into a crisis the likes of which will dwarf WW2 and 2008/2009. I have initiated a short EUR/USD position at 1.1420 with an eye toward 1.0958 or lower. I am not claiming that the divestment in USA assets has run its course but at this point, I am inclined to reaffirm my belief in American exceptionalism but not in leadership. The Euro Zone still stands to lose more than the USA, especially in the light of tepid German economic performance and the unresolved Ukraine/Russia war. There has been a lot of smoke and mirrors during the first 100 days with a flurry of executive orders to fight the woke culture, annex sovereign territories etc. but as human beings, we all have a need and right to shelter, food, clean water and air and the ultimate, the pursuit of happiness. And happiness goes right out the window when the aforementioned rights are not met or satisfied. So, here lies the Moby Dick moment. Will DJT's obsession with tariffs and power drag us all down? Distinct possibility... Thank you for listening to my two cents and best of luck with your trades. How you draw the distinction between noise and trading signals, is up to your own analysis. I can only speak for my own bank account and capital but tread lightly through this minefield that should never have happened in the first place.
Short
by jvrfxalerts
5
EUR/USD: Short Position Setup – Testing Key LevelsKey Features of the Chart: Short Position Tool Details: Entry Point: 1.13211 – Price level where the short position is initiated. Stop Loss: 1.13375 – Placed slightly above intermediate resistance to manage risk. Take Profit: 1.12857 – Targeting a lower price level near a previous support zone. Volume Profile Analysis: The volume profile shows concentrated trading activity around key levels, indicating areas of interest for traders. Volume distribution highlights potential price reversal zones, with weakening momentum below the current entry point. Support and Resistance: Resistance: 1.13375 – Acting as a cap on upward movement, providing a logical stop-loss placement. Support: 1.12857 – Represents the take-profit target where buyers may re-enter the market. Weak Support Zone: 1.13211 – Price is testing this level; a breakdown would confirm bearish momentum. Short Position Analysis: Bearish Setup: The short position tool aligns with the chart's bearish signals, targeting a key support zone at 1.12857. Risk Management: The stop-loss placement ensures that risk is limited if the price retraces above the entry point and breaks through resistance at 1.13375. Market Sentiment: The overall sentiment suggests sellers are gaining control, especially if price moves decisively below 1.13211. Trading Plan: Entry: Initiate the short position below 1.13211 after confirmation of a bearish breakdown (e.g., candlestick patterns or volume spike). Exit Strategy: Take profit at 1.12857, or trail your stop-loss if bearish momentum accelerates. Stop-Loss: Protect your position by placing the stop-loss at 1.13375 to minimize losses. Closing Thoughts: This trade setup highlights a clear risk-to-reward ratio with well-defined levels. Watch for confirmation signals before entering the market to ensure the bearish momentum persists. As always, maintaining consistency, discipline, and perseverance will be key to navigating the EUR/USD market successfully.
Short
by PIPSPHERE_NETWORK
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D1 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D1 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅Daily order block rejection ✅Intraday 15' order blocks ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
EURUSD LONG FORECAST Q2 W18 D1 Y25EURUSD LONG FORECAST Q2 W18 D1 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅4 hour bullish order block ✅Intraday 15' order blocks ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Long
by JCFRGNT
Smart Money is Not Selling Yet 🧭 EUR/USD – Smart Money is Not Selling Yet Market Outlook: Bullish Continuation with Consolidation 🧠 Multi-Timeframe Breakdown: | Timeframe | Behavior | Structure | |-----------|-----------|-----------| | **12M** | Bullish (new candle in development) | Strong upside push | | **10W** | Bullish | Breakout from consolidation | | **9W** | Bullish | Continuation strength | | **7W** | Indecision | Buyers and sellers wrestling | | **6W** | Bullish | Prior strong move | | **30D (1M)** | Bullish | Solid body, no upper wick | | **18D** | Bullish inside liquidity | 1.12414–1.11982 | | **3D** | Consolidation | Range forming at support | | **4H** | Testing structure | Rejections at support floor | 🔑 Key Levels: - **Psychological Resistance:** 1.15729 – 1.16921 - **Neckline (Mid SR):** 1.14221 - **Liquidity Zone Support:** 1.12414 – 1.11982 - **Invalidation Level:** Daily close below 1.11982 --- 📌 What I'm Watching: Price action is currently consolidating on lower timeframes (3D and 4H), while all **higher timeframes remain bullish**. A dip into the **liquidity zone** may trap early sellers and trigger a **retest of the 1.15729 zone**. Until a breakdown confirms beneath 1.11982, this structure remains a **bullish continuation setup**. --- 📊 My Bias: "Smart money doesn’t sell indecision – it buys time. Don’t trade noise. Trade structure."
Long
by MoNi_MoN
EUR/USD Bearish Setup Recent negative US GDP data and rising inflation risks—partly driven by potential tariff policies—suggest recession fears are growing. Yet, current monetary policy still favors a stronger dollar in the short term. On the daily timeframe, EUR/USD has hit a key TPO resistance zone and faced a strong rejection. Price is now moving toward the 1.0927 area, which aligns with a significant fair value zone based on volume profile. Bears may take control if this momentum continues.
Short
by MasoudEskandari
1
EURUSD SellHello everyone! The first trade of the day will be on EURUSD. On the 5-minute chart, I’ve set the trade with a Risk-Reward Ratio of 1:1.50 and will open a sell position. The TP target is 1.12920 and the SL is 1.13130. It’s better to activate the trade immediately." Ve sonuna eklememi istediğin mesajla birlikte tam hali şu şekilde olur: Hello everyone! The first trade of the day will be on EURUSD. On the 5-minute chart, I’ve set the trade with a Risk-Reward Ratio of 1:1.50 and will open a sell position. The TP target is 1.12920 and the SL is 1.13130. It’s better to activate the trade immediately. 🔔 I post detailed trade ideas and daily market analysis like this every day on my TradingView profile. 👉 Follow me to get notified and read the full breakdowns.
Short
by Nurlan_PT
Mastering Stop Losses: How Not to Trigger Them at the Worst TimeThere are few things more humiliating in trading than setting a stop loss… only to have the market tag it by a hair’s breadth before rocketing in the direction you knew it was going to go. Oftentimes (hopefully not too often), stop losses are the financial equivalent of slipping on a banana peel you placed yourself. But stop losses aren't the enemy. Their placement, however, could be. If you’ve ever rage-quit your chart after being wicked out by a fakeout, this one’s for you. Let’s talk about how to master stop losses — without feeling like the market is personally out to get you. 😬 The Necessary Evil: Why Stop Losses Exist First, let's acknowledge the elephant in the room: stop losses sometimes sting. They're like smoke alarms. Annoying when they chirp over burnt toast, lifesaving when there’s an actual fire. The purpose of a stop loss isn’t to predict exactly when you’re wrong — it’s to limit how wrong you can be. It's the difference between losing a quick battle and losing the whole war. Trading without a stop loss is like walking a tightrope without a net — all fine until it’s not. 🤔 The Amateur Mistake: "Where Should I Put My Stop?" A lot of traders approach stop-loss placement like they're picking lottery numbers: random, emotional, hopeful. "I’ll just slap it 10 pips below my entry. Seems safe." But the market doesn’t care about your preferred round numbers. It cares about liquidity, volatility, and structure, regardless if it's the forex market , the crypto space , or the biggest stock gainers out there. Good stop-loss placement is about logic, not luck. It's about asking: Where is my trade idea invalidated? Where does the market prove me wrong? If you're placing stops based on how much you're "willing to lose" rather than where your setup breaks down, you’re setting yourself up to be triggered — emotionally and financially. 💪 The Art of "Strategic Suffering" Good stops hurt a little when they’re hit. That’s how you know they were placed properly. Stops shouldn't be so tight they get hit on routine noise, but they also shouldn't be so far away that you need therapy if it fails. Think of it as strategic suffering: you’re accepting controlled pain now to avoid catastrophic pain later. Legendary trader Paul Tudor Jones famously said: “The most important rule of trading is to play great defense, not great offense.” 🤓 Where Smart Traders Place Their Stops Want to know where smart money hides their stops? It's not random. It’s calculated. Below key swing lows for long trades (how much below depends on the risk-reward ratio they’ve chosen to pursue) Above key swing highs for shorts (how much above is, again, tied to the risk-reward ratio) Outside of obvious support/resistance zones (also, risk-reward plays a role) In other words: start thinking like the market. Where would a big player have to exit because the structure is truly broken? That’s where you want your stop. 👀 Avoiding the Stop-Hunter’s Trap Is stop-hunting real? Oh yes. And no, it’s not personal. You're just very readable if you park your stops in obvious, lazy places. The market loves liquidity. Price often pokes below swing lows or above highs because that’s where the money is. Stops create liquidity pockets that big players exploit to enter their trades at better prices. So how do you avoid becoming easy prey? Give stops a little breathing room past obvious levels. Use volatility measures like ATR to set dynamic buffers. Respect structure, not just random dollar/pip amounts. A good stop is hidden in plain sight but protected by logic, not hope. ⚖️ Sizing Smarter: Risk per Trade Matters More Than Stop Distance (What’s Risk-Reward Ratio?) Here’s where many traders mess up: they think tighter stops are always better. Wrong. Your stop distance and your position size are a package deal. If your trade idea requires a wider stop to be valid, your position size should shrink accordingly. Trying to cram your usual size into a wide stop setup is how small losses turn into account-threatening disasters. Hedge fund pioneer George Soros once said: “It’s not whether you’re right or wrong that's important, but how much you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong.” Master your sizing relative to your stop, and you master your survival. In other words, the risk-reward ratio should be playing a key role in placing your stop losses. 🥤 Mental Stops vs Hard Stops: Pick Your Poison Some traders swear by mental stops: “I'll get out when it hits this level.” Others use hard stops: set-and-forget protective orders baked into the system. Both have pros and cons: Mental stops allow flexibility but risk emotional sabotage. Hard stops guarantee protection but can trigger on sudden, hollow wicks. Pro tip? Use hard stops if you’re new or undisciplined. You don’t want to be the guy saying “I’ll close it soon...” while watching your unrealized loss grow a second head. 🤯 Stop-Loss Psychology: It’s You, Not the Market If you find yourself constantly blaming “stop-hunting whales” or “market manipulation” every time you get tagged out... maybe it’s not them. Maybe it's your stop placement. Discipline in trading isn’t just about clicking buttons at the right time. It’s about planning for the tough times—and sticking to your plan even when it feels bad. ❤️ Final Thought: Love Your Stops (Or at Least Respect Them) Stop losses aren't your enemy. They're your overprotective friends. Sometimes they’ll throw you out of a trade you "knew" would come back. But more often, they’ll save you from very dangerous outcomes. Mastering stop losses isn't about never getting stopped out. It’s about getting stopped out properly — with dignity, with minimal damage, and with your account intact. In trading, pain is inevitable. Wipeouts are optional. Your move: How do you manage your stops — and have you ever been wicked out so badly you considered quitting trading? Drop your best (or worst) stop-loss stories below.
Education
by TradingView
20
EURUSD Faces Choppy Movement, Eyes 1.1330EURUSD Faces Choppy Movement, Eyes 1.1330 EURUSD is currently moving without a clear direction, creating a challenging trading environment. However, based on the latest price action, the pair has broken out of a small triangle pattern, signaling a possible short-term decline toward 1.1330. This move could gain support if today's ADP employment data surprises the market. Expectations are set at 108K, down from 155K last month, but the ADP report has exceeded forecasts multiple times recently. Since April tends to be a strong month for employment, there’s a chance for better-than-expected numbers. Still, the focus remains on technical pattern, so let’s see how the setup plays out. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
10
EURUSD – Bear Flag Before Further Drop?Like most of the market, EURUSD reacted strongly on April 22–23 with a sharp move down. Since then, price has entered a consolidation phase — and thIS pause has now taken the shape of a bear flag, a classic continuation pattern that often leads to further correction once confirmed. 📉 Key levels to watch: 1.1350 – Initial trigger for the flag break 1.1300 – Confirmation of bearish momentum Target: 1.1100 Invalidation: A return above 1.1500 would negate the pattern and call for reassessment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
4
EURUSD April 30 Trade ExecutedEURUSD April 30 Trade Executed Previous session Price delivering in a discount, Price only expanded rebalancing a FVG. Price came to the 50 level. Coming into Asia breaks down. I suspected for Price to lower to gravitate to equal lows target. When price hit the equal lows and in a discount I suspected for Price to come to rebalance the FVG and possibility expand to the 50 level. Elements to my set up *liquidity taken *in a discount PD array *inefficiency target identified FVG to rebalance, equal highs *risk to reward calculated *22:05 candle creates FVG *22:40 candle taps the CE of created FVG 22:05 candle *22:40 entry *2:35 candle exit 4 hours for this trade to achieve. 33 pips
by LeanLena