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How to Trade with the Ultimate OscillatorHow to Trade with the Ultimate Oscillator While there are many indicators out there, few incorporate multiple timeframes. The Ultimate Oscillator, with its multi-timeframe approach, is an effective tool for spotting divergences. In this article, we will break down how this indicator works, what signals it produces, and how it compares to other well-known oscillators. What Is the Ultimate Oscillator? The Ultimate Oscillator is a technical indicator invented by Larry Williams in 1976. It's designed to incorporate price action over three different timeframes – short-term (7-period), intermediate-term (14-period), and long-term (28-period) – to avoid the common pitfalls of a single timeframe strategy. Rather than following the more conventional method of focusing solely on closing prices or the period's high and low, it uniquely incorporates buying pressure into its calculation. Buying pressure is essentially the difference between the close and the low of the period or the difference between the close of the previous period and the close of the current period, whichever is lower. Like other oscillators, the Ultimate Oscillator has overbought and oversold levels. However, the main strength of this tool lies in identifying divergences between price and oscillator, which might suggest a potential trend reversal. Traders often prefer the Ultimate Oscillator for cryptocurrency*, stock, and forex trading, given its effective insights. Using the Ultimate Oscillator in Technical Analysis Using the Ultimate Oscillator indicator involves understanding and interpreting the values it generates. The tool provides signals for potential price reversals based on divergence and the crossing of certain thresholds. Overbought and Oversold Levels The Ultimate Oscillator moves up and down between 0 and 100. When its value surpasses 70, it indicates overbought conditions, suggesting an impending price drop. Conversely, levels below 30 point to oversold conditions, hinting at an imminent price rise. However, in strongly trending markets, these levels may remain overbought or oversold for extended periods, so it's important not to rely solely on these thresholds for trading decisions. Also, traders use the 50 point to open buy and sell trades. When the Oscillator breaks above 50, it’s considered an opportunity to go long. Conversely, a break below 50 is considered an opportunity to go short. However, it’s vital to combine this signal with other technical analysis tools. Bullish and Bearish Divergences The real strength of this tool lies in spotting divergences. Divergences occur when the price of an asset is moving in the opposite direction of the oscillator. A bullish divergence occurs when the price makes new lows, but the indicator fails to reach new lows. The divergence might be an indication that the downward momentum is losing strength, and a bullish reversal may be near. A bearish divergence, on the other hand, happens when the price makes new highs, but the indicator fails to reach new highs. This can signal that the upward momentum is waning, and a bearish reversal may be on the horizon. In both cases, traders often wait for a confirmation of the divergence before acting. This could be a subsequent move of the oscillator in the direction of the divergence or a break of a trendline/moving average. Comparing the Ultimate Oscillator and Other Indicators Comparing the Ultimate Oscillator with other popular technical indicators reveals specific distinguishing characteristics. Ultimate Oscillator vs Stochastic Oscillator The Stochastic Oscillator focuses on the position of the closing price compared to the range of high-low prices over a specified period. While it relies only on this single measure, the Ultimate Oscillator broadens its perspective by incorporating buying pressure and taking into account three separate timeframes. Ultimate Oscillator vs RSI The Relative Strength Index (RSI) measures momentum by comparing the magnitude of recent gains to recent losses. Its calculations are based on a single timeframe, making it potentially more prone to false signals during volatile price movements. The Ultimate Oscillator's multiple timeframe structure helps to reduce the incidence of such false signals. Awesome Oscillator vs Ultimate Oscillator Developed by Bill Williams, the Awesome Oscillator determines market momentum by calculating the difference between simple moving averages with a period of 34 and 5. Its focus is mainly on confirming current trends or anticipating potential reversals. In contrast, the Ultimate Oscillator uses the concept of buying pressure and multiple timeframes to identify divergences and anticipate reversals. The Bottom Line The Ultimate Oscillator, with its distinctive three timeframe approach and incorporation of buying pressure, offers a unique perspective in technical analysis. While its complexity may be challenging for traders with little experience, its ability to identify potential divergences effectively makes it a powerful tool. Ready to put your Ultimate Oscillator knowledge into action? You can open an FXOpen account to start using it in over 600+ markets. Good luck! *At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency CFDs are only available for trading by those clients categorised as Professional clients under FCA Rules. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
3
EURAUDDivergent Monetary Policies: The U.S. Federal Reserve has maintained a more hawkish stance, signaling potential for further rate hikes to combat inflation, while the European Central Bank (ECB) is seen nearing the end of its tightening cycle due to slowing economic growth. This policy divergence supports a stronger dollar and weakens the euro. Weak Eurozone Economic Data: Recent economic indicators from the Eurozone, such as weaker manufacturing output and lower consumer confidence, point to a slowing economy. This contrasts with more resilient U.S. economic data, further widening the growth outlook gap. Geopolitical Risks in Europe: Ongoing geopolitical tensions in Europe, particularly regarding energy security and the Ukraine conflict, add downside risk for the euro, making the U.S. dollar a safer choice for investors seeking stability. These factors combine to create a bearish outlook for EUR/USD
Long
by Swiss_Forex
1
EURUSD InsightHello, subscribers! Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe! As expected by the market, the ECB implemented a 25bp rate cut last week. While the Eurozone’s September consumer price index recorded 1.7%, the manufacturing PMI declined, which is being interpreted as the ECB shifting its focus from controlling inflation to protecting economic growth. The market expects the ECB to implement another 25bp rate cut in December. In the U.S., Raphael Bostic, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, mentioned that the Fed doesn't need to rush returning to a neutral rate. Meanwhile, the market anticipates a 25bp rate cut from the Fed in November. In Japan, Masato Kanda, the head of Japan’s currency diplomacy, recently indicated that the yen's movements have been somewhat one-sided and rapid. He also mentioned that Japanese authorities are closely monitoring foreign exchange movements, including speculative foreign capital, hinting at possible intervention by the authorities. - October 24: U.S. Initial Jobless Claims, Service PMI EUR/USD is currently in a short-term uptrend, with a rebound seen at the 1.08000 line, where the lower trendline is located. If the current upward momentum continues, a rise to the 1.14000 line, where the upper trendline is positioned, seems highly likely. However, if the 1.08000 line is broken and the price falls below the 1.07500 line, the uptrend will be disrupted, potentially leading to a decline toward the 1.04500 line. If movements differ from expectations, we will quickly adjust our strategy.
Long
by shawntime_academy
EURUSD Multi Timeframe Analysis 21.10.202415m Swing, Internal,Fractal Bearish We now have mitigated the premium of the 15m swing structure What expected is, internal 15m bearish order flow to continue and internal unmitigated supply to hold. Or Asia high get swept and bearish momentum kick in. But we are now in Daily internal unmitigated demand zone and bullish reaction is very likely. On my analysis from Friday, I said Friday's Daily candle could close as inside bar and that happened. What I now expect is, price to mitigate upper 4H Supply and also 15m Supply nested in 4H Supply, give us another 4H fractal fake bullish break, sweep the low, use as fuel for bullish leg. But as we trade the fact and not the expectations, that is my long plans once HTF switched to Bullish, and I will look for quick shorts once 4H supply mitigated or follow the 15m bearish of once i am convinced.
by alplaila
EURUSD - Daily analysis - 3 weeks in a row the dollar is on a wiEURUSD - Daily analysis - 3 weeks in a row the dollar is on a winning streak. Throughout the month of October, the dollar grew against the Euro. In the three weeks of this month, the dollar gained more than 330 pips. For most of the month, economic data for the United States was upbeat. By all accounts, the US economy looks set to continue to outperform that of Germany and the Eurozone as a whole. In the last two days of the 42nd week (October 17-18), the trend seems to have broken and the dollar's rally has ended. Monday is actually the day where it will be possible to confirm that the downward trend has ended. On Monday October 21, there are no important data for the economy of the United States, but we have data with an average weight for the markets from Germany, namely the Producer Price Index, where data for the month of September is expected to be -0.2%. And since we expect negative inflation compared to the previous month, it is a more likely scenario in which investors will continue to bet on the dollar. Later this week we will learn a lot of important data about the Eurozone, as well as key statements from the ECB. Thus, for Monday, October 21, we expect a light test of the EURUSD levels of 1.0890, but it will probably not be broken and a neutral trend will be established for the day with the possibility of a new rise of the dollar to 1.0820. For the last 2.5 months, the EURUSD level of 1.0810 is the lowest and was reached on Thursday, October 17.
by World-Signals
EURUSD Analysis Week 43🌐Fundamental Analysis The European Central Bank (ECB) cut its key interest rate by 25 basis points (bps) as expected after its October policy meeting. In its policy statement, the ECB noted that it will continue to pursue a data-dependent and meeting-by-meeting approach to determine the appropriate level and duration of policy accommodation. In her post-meeting press conference, ECB President Christine Lagarde acknowledged that economic activity in the Eurozone has been weaker than expected. On the inflation outlook, Lagarde said low confidence, geopolitical tensions and low investment pose downside risks to inflation. Lagarde's dovish tone kept the euro under pressure in the second half of Thursday. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data on Friday. Meanwhile, US stock index futures traded in positive territory during the European session. 🕯Technical Analysis EURUSD has recovered at the end of the week after consecutive bearish pullbacks. The downtrend is still showing no signs of stopping as the bullish waves are still relatively weak. At least the pair must recover and close above the 1.095 area to be considered a broken downtrend. Watch the resistance zone when the price recovers around 1.095 and 1.103 for SELL signals. The extended pullback of the pair may extend to 1.072 before the bulls can jump in to prevent the pair from continuing to slide. 📈📉Trading Signals BUY EURUSD 1.07200-1.07000 Stoploss 1.06800 SELL EURUSD 1.09500-1.09700 Stoploss 1.09900
by TVS-Trader
7
EURUSD H4 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently at our sell entry at 1.0865 an overlap resistance. Our take profit will be at 1.0833, an overlap support. The stop loss will be placed at 1.0897, which is an overlap resistance." High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
#EURUSD - 21 OctI was bullish EURUSD on Friday, despite the many days of selling in EURUSD and the plan given worked perfectly. I said EURUSD will see a move higher to 1.0863 before any down move would occur. Indeed, EURUSD trended up over 40 pips for the day, closing at 1.0863 as given. And today it hit the strong level at 1.0873. Is sell coming? Is this just a pullback before further downside or will we see further upside? 1.0873 strong level traded could see a pullback, but overall, I am cautiously bullish for another move higher. Look for longs at 1.0837/47 for a move higher, to 1.0900.
by FadeMeIfYouCan
Bearish reversal?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot point which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support level which acts as an overlap support. Pivot: 1.0896 1st Support: 1.0834 1st Resistance: 1.0955 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
EU Double Top Breaks Rising Support, 300+ Pip Sell Set-Up!Here I have FX:EURUSD on the Daily Chart! After last weeks Double Top was Confirmed, we see Price make a Bearish Break to and through the Rising Support created by the April, June and August Lows. -The Testing Candle alone generates ~500K in Selling Volume making the Rising Support weak enough to then Break Down to where price sits now. Applying the Fibonacci Retracement Tool from the Higher High @ 1.12138 to the Lower Low @ 1.08107, we can see a couple things: *23.6% Level sits right at the 200 EMA which is curving down and Price is now trading Below *38.2% Level sits right in the center of the Resistance Zone created from the March Highs *50% Level is at the Higher Low that was Broken to Confirm the Double Top I suspect that Price will need to Retest the Break of Rising Support before it can continue to Push Down! Potential Set-Up: Sell Entry 1.09058 (23.6%) - 1.09647 (38.2%) SL - 1.10112 (50%) TP - 1.0665
Short
by Novi_Fibonacci
EUR/USD Eyeing Key Resistance Zones for BreakoutEUR/USD has been on a steady upward trajectory, supported by a clear trendline that has provided consistent buying interest. The current structure indicates a potential bullish continuation after a brief consolidation or pullback. The pair is now targeting key resistance levels at 1.09012 and 1.09365. The first challenge for the bulls is breaking through 1.09012, a strong resistance that has been tested previously. A successful breach of this level could lead to a rapid move towards the major resistance at 1.09365. The chart suggests that any retracement towards the trendline or the dashed horizontal support will likely attract more buyers, offering a high-probability setup for further upside. Should this retracement occur, buyers might seek opportunities near 1.08552 before attempting another push higher. If the price breaks above 1.09365, we could see a continuation of the broader bullish trend, potentially heading towards 1.1000 or higher. However, failure to maintain the upward momentum around these key resistance levels could lead to a deeper correction. We should watch for price action around 1.09012 for confirmation of a breakout, while keeping an eye on the trendline as a guide for support.
Long
by TopGBanks
EURUSD Swing Analysis (20-25/10/2024) EU looks very interesting. It would be nice to see how this one plays out as we have a lot of High impact news. Will the EU resume the Bull run or extend the Bearish momentum to the weekly Strong lows. EU is bullish on HTF, Price has recently taken out the key liquidity low and traded within our entry range. This entry range hold significant buying pressure as we have seen previous. For me to take clean buy's i would honesty look into the MSS and pull back before taking any trades. Anything is possible but so let's allow the market to decide.
by Ocean98