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EURUSD trade ideas

Euro Firms as U.S.-China-EU Trade Rift WidensThe euro hovered near $1.10, its highest since October 2024, as the dollar weakened and trade tensions escalated. China plans to impose 34% tariffs on all U.S. goods from April 10, following Trump’s 10% tariff on all imports, including 20% on EU and 34% on Chinese goods. France urged firms to halt U.S. investments, and the EU is preparing countermeasures. Markets now price in a 90% chance of an ECB rate cut in April, with the deposit rate seen falling to 1.65% by December from 2.5%. Key resistance is at 1.1100, followed by 1.1150 and 1.1215. Support lies at 1.0900, then 1.0850 and 1.0730.
by ChartMage
EURUSD INTRADAY Bullish continuation developingTrend Overview: The EUR/USD currency pair remains in a bullish trend, supported by a prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action suggests a corrective pullback towards a newly formed support zone, previously a resistance level. Key Levels to Watch: Support Levels: 1.0755 – Previous resistance turned support, key level for potential bounce. 1.0700 – Secondary support level if 1.0755 fails. 1.0600 – Stronger support in case of extended retracement. Resistance Levels: 1.0964 – Initial resistance level on the upside. 1.1013 – Next target if bullish momentum continues. 1.1070 – Long-term resistance and key breakout point. Market Sentiment & Price Action: The recent corrective pullback aligns with normal market fluctuations within an uptrend. A bullish bounce from the 1.0755 support level could trigger an upside move, targeting the 1.0964 resistance level and potentially extending towards 1.1013 and 1.1070 over a longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 1.0755 support, accompanied by a daily close below this level, would weaken the bullish outlook. This could lead to further downside pressure, potentially testing the 1.0700 level, with an extended decline towards 1.0600 if selling pressure intensifies. Conclusion: The EUR/USD pair remains in a bullish structure as long as the 1.0755 support holds. A successful bounce from this level would reinforce the uptrend, targeting higher resistance zones. However, a decisive break below 1.0755 and a daily close under this level could shift sentiment bearish, leading to further downside retracement. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Day AheadKey Data Releases US: March NFIB Small Business Optimism Index – gauge of small business sentiment, could hint at future economic activity and inflation pressures. Japan: March Economy Watchers Survey – frontline view of economic trends. February BoP (Balance of Payments): Current account & trade balance – impacts yen and risk sentiment. France: February trade and current account balances – minor euro impact unless surprise. Central Bank Speakers Fed: Daly – watch for comments on rate path or inflation risks. ECB: Holzmann, Guindos, Cipollone – possible euro movement on hawkish/dovish tones. BoE: Lombardelli – any forward guidance on rates may move GBP. Earnings Samsung – bellwether for tech and semis; relevant for risk sentiment in Asia. Walgreens Boots Alliance – watch for US consumer health and retail trends. Fixed Income US: 3-Year Note Auction – important for yield curve dynamics and short-end demand. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EUR/USD Bullish Reversal Setup from Demand Zone–1HChart AnalysisEUR/USD 1H Chart Analysis 🔵 Trend Line: * Price was respecting a falling trend line * Lower highs marked with 🔴 red dots showing bearish pressure 🟦 Demand Zone (Support Area): * Price is currently hovering around a demand zone * Marked by a blue box — this is where buyers are stepping in * Think of this as a "bounce zone" 📍Marked with 🟦 blue dots as key bounce points 🚀 Potential Bullish Breakout: • If price breaks the trend line — get ready for lift-off * Entry idea: ✅ Buy near the bottom of the blue zone * Target: 🎯 1.11455 * Profit potential: +241 pips (2.21%) * Move marked with 🟧 upward arrow path ❌ Stop Loss: • Just below the demand zone at 1.08809 * Marked with a ⚠️ stop sign to avoid large losses 📉 DEMA (9): • Yellow moving average line — shows recent momentum * Right now, price is slightly below it, but a break above can support bullish case Summary: Buy Setup ✅ Entry: Around 1.09000 (🟦 demand zone) 🎯 Target: 1.11455 ⚠️ Stop Loss: 1.08809 📈 Risk:Reward — Great!
Long
by Jameshead007
EUR /USD) bullish flag Analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update This is a bullish technical analysis on the EUR/USD pair (2-hour chart), projecting a long opportunity based on price action and market structure. --- Key Elements of the Chart: 1. Strong Key Support Zone: Marked around 1.09273, acting as a critical base. Price previously reacted strongly from this level, confirming it as a high-probability support area. 2. Bullish Channel: The pair is moving within an ascending parallel channel. Price is currently rebounding off the lower channel trendline, suggesting upward continuation. 3. Breakout & Retest Pattern: A small flag/pennant correction is shown after a strong bullish impulse. Expected breakout from this flag will lead to continuation toward the upper resistance. 4. Target Zone: 1.12977 is marked as the final target point, around 2.55% (281.4 pips) away from the current price. Previous high structure adds confluence to this target. 5. RSI (14): RSI is hovering around 50.5, indicating neutral momentum but room for upside. No clear divergence, but aligned with a possible bullish continuation. 6. 200 EMA (1.08501): The price is above the 200 EMA, supporting the bullish bias. Mr SMC Trading point --- Conclusion/Idea: This analysis suggests a long setup on EUR/USD, with: Entry idea near the key support (1.09273), Bullish flag breakout in progress, Target near 1.12977, Risk management advised below support or lower channel. Bullish Bias: Price structure, EMA support, and trend channel favor a long setup. --- Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
1
EUR/USD Bias: BearishAnalysis of EUR/USD Bias: Bearish The EUR/USD pair is showing bearish momentum across multiple timeframes. On the 4-hour chart, we can see a clear rejection from the 1.1150 area, with price now trading around 1.0930. The recent price structure shows a lower high formation after a strong bearish move from the 1.1150 resistance zone. Market Structure: The 4-hour chart shows a significant bearish move from March to early April, followed by a sharp rally and recent rejection The 1-hour timeframe confirms the bearish reversal with a double top formation near 1.1050 The 15-minute chart shows a series of lower highs and lower lows, confirming immediate bearish pressure Trade Setup: Entry: Sell at market (1.0930) Order Type: Market order Stop Loss: 1.0965 (35 pips above entry, just above the recent swing high) Take Profit (TP): 1.0865 (65 pips, targeting the previous support level) Extended Take Profit (TP2): 1.0800 (130 pips, targeting the psychological level and previous consolidation zone) Reasoning: The price has recently rejected the 1.10-1.11 resistance zone and formed a bearish structure. The current price action suggests continuation of the downtrend that began after testing the significant resistance around 1.1150. Multiple timeframes align to show bearish momentum, with clear rejection from higher levels. Alternative Scenario: If you miss this entry, wait for a potential retest of the 1.0965-1.0980 zone and enter on rejection with bearish confirmation (such as bearish engulfing pattern or rejection candle). In case price breaks above 1.0980, the bearish bias would be invalidated, suggesting a possible shift to a more neutral or bullish bias.
Short
by ShlomoYahbes
EUR/USD LONG SETUP | STRONG REJECTION FROM DEMAND ZONE (30) We are seeing a potential bullish reversal on EUR/USD from a well-respected demand zone on the 30-minute timeframe. Key Analysis: Market Structure: CHoCH (Change of Character) confirmed. Bullish BOS (Break of Structure) indicating a shift in order flow. Price reacted from a marked Strong Low and FVG (Fair Value Gap) zone. Liquidity grab below previous equal lows followed by a strong rejection. Entry: Taken after confirmation of price rejecting the FVG and demand zone. SL: Below the strong low & demand zone. TP: Targeting previous structure high around 1.10200. Confluences: RSI showing bullish divergence at the low. Strong reaction candle confirming buyer presence. High R:R setup (Approx. 1:4+) Bias: Bullish unless price breaks below 1.08900 invalidation level.
Long
by obidiencerikhotso123
1
How Can You Use the STRAT Method in Trading?How Can You Use the STRAT Method in Trading? The STRAT method is a unique trading approach that is supposed to simplify market analysis by breaking price action into clear, actionable scenarios. Developed by Rob Smith, it focuses on candlestick patterns, scenarios, and timeframe alignment to help traders better understand market structure. This article explores the key components of the STRAT method, its practical application, and how it can potentially refine trading strategies. What Is the STRAT Trading Method? The STRAT method is a trading strategy created by Rob Smith. It’s designed to simplify technical analysis by focusing on price action and breaking down market movements into clear, actionable steps. At its core, the STRAT strategy categorises price behaviour into three scenarios—inside bars (1), directional bars (2), and outside bars (3)—helping traders identify potential opportunities and understand the market structure. One of the STRAT’s standout features is its emphasis on timeframe continuity, where traders examine how price movements align across different timeframes, such as daily, weekly, and monthly charts. This alignment helps traders gauge the broader market direction, potentially improving their analysis. The STRAT trading method also uses specific candlestick patterns to signal potential reversals or continuations. For example, an inside bar (Scenario 1) indicates price consolidation, often preceding a breakout. A directional bar (Scenario 2) suggests trending movement, while an outside bar (Scenario 3) reflects heightened volatility by capturing both higher and lower price ranges. Unlike some trading approaches that rely heavily on indicators, the STRAT focuses on raw price action, giving traders a clearer, no-nonsense view of market dynamics. It’s an accessible and structured way to analyse charts and make decisions based on what the market is doing right now. Key Components of the STRAT Trading Strategy The STRAT trading strategy stands out because of its straightforward approach to breaking down price action. As mentioned above, inside bars, directional bars, and outside bars are central scenarios. These scenarios categorise how the price behaves within a given timeframe, providing a framework for traders to interpret the market. Let’s delve into each component in detail. Scenario 1: Inside Bar An inside bar forms when the current candlestick's high and low remain within the range of the previous candlestick. In other words, the market is consolidating, showing no breakout beyond the prior candle’s extremes. Traders often interpret this as a pause or a moment of indecision in the market. What makes inside bars significant is their potential to precede larger price movements. For example, after a series of inside bars, a breakout often occurs when the price breaks above or below the consolidation range. While this pattern alone doesn’t confirm direction, it signals the market is storing energy for a potential move. Scenario 2: Directional Bar A directional bar, also called a “2” in STRAT terminology, occurs when the price breaks either the high or low of the previous candle but not both. This creates a clear directional move—either upward (2 up) or downward (2 down). These bars are essential because they indicate that the market has picked a direction. A “2 up” shows bullish momentum, while a “2 down” signals bearish activity. These movements are especially useful when aligned with other factors, such as larger trends or support and resistance levels. Scenario 3: Outside Bar The outside bar is the most volatile of the three. It forms when the current candlestick's high exceeds the previous candle’s high, and its low breaks below the previous low. Essentially, the price covers both sides of the prior range, capturing significant market activity. Outside bars often suggest a battle between buyers and sellers, leading to volatility. These bars can provide insights into reversals or continuing trends, depending on their context within the broader market structure. Expanding and Contracting Markets The STRAT method also places significant emphasis on understanding the expanding and contracting market phases, which offer critical insights into market dynamics. These phases reflect shifts in volatility and price behaviour, helping traders interpret broader market conditions. Expanding markets occur when price action creates both higher highs and lower lows compared to previous bars or ranges. This phase often signals heightened volatility as buyers and sellers battle for control, creating larger swings. Scenario 3 (outside bars) typically appears during this phase, capturing the market’s attempt to push in both directions. Expanding markets can provide potential opportunities for traders who are prepared to navigate rapid price movements. Contracting markets, on the other hand, are characterised by shrinking ranges, with lower highs and higher lows. This consolidation phase often results in inside bars (Scenario 1) and suggests indecision or reduced momentum. Traders frequently watch for potential breakouts as the market transitions out of contraction. Combining Scenarios and Context Ultimately, there are many combinations of these bars under the STRAT method, each with names like the 3-2-2 Bearish Reversal, 2-2 Bearish Continuation, 1-2-2 Bullish Reversal, and so on. For traders new to this system, it might be easier to start with a handful of patterns and practice them before adding others to their arsenal. Some of the basic starting patterns include: 2-1-2 Reversal 3-1-2 Reversal 2-1-2 Continuation 2-2 Continuation However, each of these scenarios becomes even more meaningful when paired with other market data, such as higher timeframes or candlestick structures. For instance, patterns like hammers or shooting starts often emerge within these scenarios, offering specific signals to traders. Timeframe Continuity: A Core Pillar Timeframe continuity is a fundamental aspect when interpreting the STRAT candle patterns, offering traders a way to align their analysis across multiple timeframes. It’s about ensuring that the price action on smaller timeframes complements what’s happening on larger ones. When all timeframes “agree,” it can provide a clearer picture of market direction and potentially improve the decision-making process. In practice, traders using the STRAT in stocks, forex, commodities, and other assets often look at three primary timeframes: the daily, weekly, and monthly charts. Each represents a piece of the puzzle. For example, if a trader sees a bullish “Scenario 2” (directional bar) on the daily chart, but the weekly chart shows a bearish pattern, this misalignment might signal caution. However, when the daily, weekly, and monthly timeframes all show bullish directional movement, it creates a stronger case for a trend continuation. Timeframe continuity also helps traders filter out noise. Shorter timeframes, like the 15-minute or hourly charts, can produce conflicting signals, leading to overtrading or confusion. By focusing on the larger timeframes first, traders can ground their analysis in broader market trends and avoid reacting impulsively to minor fluctuations. Practical Application of the STRAT Method Applying the STRAT method involves a systematic approach to analysing charts and identifying potential opportunities. While every trader may adapt the method to their own style, the process generally follows a logical flow. Here’s how it can be broken down: Step 1: Understanding the Current Scenario Traders typically start by identifying the active scenario (1, 2, or 3) on their chosen timeframe. This initial classification helps to set the context. For instance, in the EUR/USD daily chart above, we initially see an outside bar (Scenario 3), followed by two inside bars (Scenario 1)—a 3-1-1 Bullish Reversal pattern; this transitions into a 1-2 Bullish Reversal before a 2-2 Bullish Continuation. In other words, the market is seen as entering a bullish phase. Step 2: Aligning Multiple Timeframes The next step involves assessing how the current scenario fits within the larger market structure by checking higher timeframes. In the EUR/USD example, the monthly chart shows three consecutive bullish directional bars (Scenario 2), also known as a 2-2 Bullish Continuation. This is supported by the weekly chart. Initially, there are two bearish directional bars before a bullish outside bar (Scenario 3) and a bullish directional bar. This indicates an alignment of bullish momentum, indicating a higher probability for the daily chart setup. Step 3: Identifying Supporting Patterns and Signals Within the scenario, specific candlestick patterns, like hammers or shooting stars, alongside key support and resistance levels, often provide additional context. These signals are believed to be more effective when they align with the broader market direction and timeframe continuity. In the EUR/USD example, the weekly chart shows a candle resembling a hammer (the outside bar), while the daily chart shows a pattern resembling a Three Stars in the South formation (the 3, 1, 1 candles). While rare, the three stars in the south pattern can signal sellers are losing momentum, when: The first candle features a long body and long lower wick. The second candle has a shorter body and closes above the first candle’s low. The third candle has another short body with minimal wicks and a range inside the second candle. While both formations don’t meet the technical criteria for their respective patterns, a trader might consider them to add weight to the bullish idea. The weekly chart also shows the price breaking past a previous resistance level, which adds confluence. Step 4: Entering and Exiting A trader would typically enter as the candle on their chosen timeframe closes. A stop loss could be set beyond the entry candle or a nearby swing high/low. Some traders prefer to close the position depending on the next candle close and corresponding scenario, while others might target a particular support/resistance level or use multi-timeframe analysis to find a suitable exit point. Advantages and Challenges of the STRAT Method The STRAT method offers a unique, structured approach to trading, but like any strategy, it comes with both advantages and challenges. Understanding these can help traders decide how to integrate it into their approach. Advantages - Clarity in Analysis: By categorising price action into simple scenarios, the STRAT’s patterns simplify market behaviour, reducing ambiguity. - Focus on Price Action: The method relies on raw price data rather than indicators, offering a direct view of market dynamics. - Adaptability Across Markets: Whether trading equities, forex, or commodities, the STRAT applies universally to any market with candlestick data. - Improved Consistency: Its rules-based framework helps traders avoid impulsive decisions and stay aligned with their analysis. Challenges - Learning Curve: Understanding the nuances of scenarios and timeframe continuity requires time and practice. - Patience Required: Waiting for alignment across multiple timeframes may lead to fewer trade opportunities, which may frustrate active traders. - Context Dependency: While structured, the STRAT still requires interpretation, and outcomes depend on how well traders incorporate broader market factors. The Bottom Line The STRAT method offers traders a structured way to analyse price action, combining scenarios, candlestick patterns, and timeframe continuity to navigate markets with confidence. While it requires discipline to master, its clear framework can potentially improve decision-making. FAQ What Is the STRAT Strategy by Rob Smith? Rob Smith developed the STRAT strategy, a trading method that simplifies technical analysis by categorising price action into three STRAT candle scenarios: inside bars, directional bars, and outside bars. It focuses on understanding market structure, using timeframe continuity and actionable signals to interpret trends and reversals. What Is the STRAT Method of Trading? The STRAT method is a rules-based approach to trading that prioritises price action over indicators. It uses specific candlestick patterns and scenarios to identify potential trading opportunities and aligns multiple timeframes to provide a cohesive market view. What Is a Rev Strat? According to Rob Smith, a “rev strat” refers to particular setups. First is a 1-2-2, initially with an inside bar, then a directional bar in one direction, and finally a directional bar in the opposite direction, marking a possible reversal. The second is a 1-3 setup, with an inside bar followed by an outside bar. This signals an expanding market in the STRAT, meaning a period of heightened volatility, and is considered bullish or bearish based on the outside bar’s direction. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
3
EUR/USD Price Action Update – April 8, 2025📊 EUR/USD Price Action Update – April 8, 2025 🎯 🔹 Current Price: 1.09983 🔹 Timeframe: 4H 📌 Key Support Levels (Demand Zones): 🟢 1.08549 – Immediate Demand Zone (Watch for bullish reaction) 🟢 1.07887 – Deeper Support (Liquidity sweep potential) 🟢 1.07572 – Strong Institutional Demand (Major reversal zone) 📌 Key Resistance Levels (Potential Targets): 🔴 1.10000+ – Psychological Resistance & Round Number 🔴 1.10500 – Next clean target if price reverses bullish 📈 Bullish Scenario: If price dips into the 1.08549 demand zone and shows signs of rejection (e.g., bullish engulfing or strong wick rejection), we may see a bounce back toward 1.10000 and beyond. A successful retest of this zone with momentum could open the path toward 1.10500. 📉 Bearish Scenario: If price breaks below 1.08549, we may see a further drop to sweep liquidity around 1.07887 or even 1.07572 before bullish interest returns. Failure to hold 1.07572 could indicate trend shift toward deeper lows. ⚡ Trading Tip: ✅ Wait for bullish confirmations at key demand zones before entering longs. ✅ Track lower timeframes for entry (15M/1H) within the 4H zones. ✅ Avoid FOMO; let the price react first and manage risk accordingly. #EURUSD #ForexTrading #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #LiquidityZones #ForexSetup #MarketStructure #ForexSignals #SwingTrading #FVG #DemandZone #ReversalPattern #ForexMarket #BreakoutStrategy #ScalpingIdeas
Long
by FXFOREVER_87
EURUSD April 8 Trade ExecutedEURUSD April 8 Trade Executed Analysis coming into the Asia session *Price in discount previous session and recent range *Previous session Price takes sell stops in NY am session comes back down again at 16:00 *Price closes NY in a small consolidation cycle *Expect an expansion in Asia *Asia could come to the 50 level *cross referencing DXY discerning it was in a Premium and likely to seek lower to its 50 level Model factors met to take the trade *Liquidity was taken and tested again *In a deep discount price will want to seek the equilibrium level *On smaller timeframes price *18:00 price makes a swing high *Price comes into a FVG twice to test and then creates a FVG energetically moving to buy side *20:00 open of Asia creates a large displacement candle *20:09 inside the 20 macro I entered *22:40 I exited at the 50 level i had the equal highs as a target, however what I focusing now is low stress in and out trade model repeatable I also wanted to practice my greed wanting more and controlling that need for a clean trade! My model consists of many blending of ICT SMC and this 1 trade model I am back testing is when price is in those deep discounts/premiums at the .79 with liquidity taken HTF target and coming out of a consolidation cycle its getting clearer to see that the 50-equilibrium level is a logic trade. The value of knowing what cycle price is in, is so important along with premium/discount and PD array. Very happy after weeks and weeks of not trusting my analysis and so much discernment, today marks the foundation I can take forward to continuing my back testing this model for consistency in prep for my funded account challenge. Excited to back test 1 model now that I think I m getting it. So cool.
Long
by LeanLena