EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD June 9 Trade executed and stopped out HINDSIGHT STUDYEURUSD
June 9 Trade executed and stopped out
Parent bias bull
NARRATIVE FOR MONDAYS DELIVERY
FRIDAY-Retrace Delivery
With previous day delivery taking buy side liquidity an obvious set up for a sell off for Asia into London
*Classic set up for a sell off day
*Price in a discount coming into Asia
*higher prices expected for Monday with a buy bias
*Price took sell side in NY session creating nesting equal lows
*anticipated for price to head to the 50 or potentially the noted equal highs
WHAT WENT WRONG
*too eager at Asia open when price expanded and bought right at the opening
*hindsight PATIENCE could have been employed to see if price wanted to come back down to engage the nesting equal lows and inefficient delivered price, from the dealers range
*cross reference DXY it gapped lower and came back to clear that before it rally for lows I noted in posted journal yesterday-I anticipated for DXY to have a sell off day
*why I did not buy at 21:00 when my set up formed-fear of being wrong and just be impulsive upon Asia opening clouding my judgement
*learning patience, learning no fear, its only a demo account so even if your wrong again you can study why
*1 trade rule a day and trying to keep to it
*your analysis was correct and need to be committed to your idea and not let a bad entry hold back
WHAT CAN I DO DIFFERENT
*apply patience upon the opening of Asia
*study the minor liquidity taken to wait for your set up to form before reacting
*study the dealers range delivery with higher sense of scrutiny
*do you really want to buy where you bought-NO its not a high odds probability trade with poor candle formation
TAKE AWAYS
I have been studying this Asia expansion trade and am really liking the results when I am patient to wait for it to set up
Mondays are typically my best days and I was too excited after three days of rest
Learn to sit back and wait for price to form and let it come to you-such a hard thing to do when all you want to do is be trading
EURUSD : Dips Below 1.1400 The EUR/USD pair is currently hovering around 1.141, reflecting a clear lack of buying interest. As Friday's U.S. session unfolded, the pair lost momentum and slipped below the 1.1400 mark—an important psychological level that had previously offered support.
This decline came on the back of stronger-than-expected U.S. nonfarm payrolls data for May, which surprised markets and reignited confidence in the resilience of the American labor market. As a result, the U.S. dollar gained significant strength, bolstered by the growing probability that the Federal Reserve will hold interest rates steady through the next two policy meetings.
EUR/USD – Bullish Outlook (1H Chart)📈 EUR/USD – Bullish Outlook (1H Chart)
The pair is forming higher lows and pushing toward key breakout levels. Current structure supports a bullish scenario with clean targets ahead:
🔹 Key Breakout Zone: 1.14314
🔹 Next Target: 1.14942
🔹 Final Target: 1.15549
📍 Price is showing bullish momentum after reclaiming structure — if 1.14314 holds as support, we may see continuation toward the upper liquidity zones.
⚠️ Wait for confirmation on retest zones before entry.
#EURUSD #ForexForecast #FXFOREVER #PriceAction #BreakoutTrading #MarketStructure #BullishBias
EURUSD – Upper Boundary Holds Firm, Watch for a PullbackEURUSD remains well-contained within its ascending channel, but price has repeatedly been rejected near the upper boundary around the 1.14790 zone. This highlights that profit-taking pressure near the previous high remains significant.
The current bounce from the lower boundary is unconvincing, as the recent highs are not surpassing the previous ones. While EMA34 and EMA89 are still offering support, if price moves toward 1.14790 but fails to break through, a “minor double top” pattern may emerge—raising the risk of a short-term correction.
A notable scenario would be a rejection at 1.14790, followed by a pullback toward the lower channel boundary around 1.13870. A break below this level could temporarily invalidate the short-term uptrend.
At this stage, buyers should remain patient and only look to re-enter near clear support zones. Avoid chasing entries near major resistance areas.
USD/JPY Short, AUD/NZD Short, AUD/JPY Neutral and EUR/USD ShortUSD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
- If tight non-structured 5 min continuation forms, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 5 min continuation forms, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
- If tight non-structured 15 min continuation forms, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 15 min continuation forms, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
AUD/NZD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
- If tight non-structured 15 min continuation forms, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 15 min continuation forms, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
AUD/JPY Neutral
Minimum entry requirements:
- If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
Minimum entry requirements:
- 1H impulse down below area of value.
- If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
- If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
EUR/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
- Tap into area of value.
- 1H impulse down below area of value.
- If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
DeGRAM | EURUSD formed a bullish takeover📊 Technical Analysis
● A bullish engulfing on the grey 1.135-1.139 demand band reclaimed the inner trend-median and confirmed the base of the rising 2-month channel.
● The pull-back has just retested the broken wedge top (~1.140) as support; pattern height projects a grind to the channel mid-rail / horizontal cluster at 1.1565.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Ahead of the ECB’s expected “one-and-pause” 25 bp cut, EZ core CPI stayed stuck at 2.9 % y/y while soft US job-openings and lower T-bill yields narrowed the 2-yr spread, helping bids return to the euro.
✨ Summary
Long 1.137-1.140; hold above 1.135 seeks 1.156 ➜ 1.160. Invalidate on H4 close < 1.126.
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#004 Forex: Recovery Week and Macro Expectations
The week just ended marked a tactical turning point in global financial markets. After the correction in April and the instability in May, investors seem to be starting to bet on a return to stability, but caution remains a must. Let's look in detail at the main events and scenarios that marked this week in the stock markets and in the world of forex.
📈 Global stock markets: technical rebound or inversion?
In the United States, the Nasdaq was the protagonist of a recovery supported by tech and AI stocks. After weeks of selling, some key sectors such as semiconductors and gold led the recovery.
In Asia, Hong Kong (+0.9%) and emerging markets showed strength, also driven by the rebound in the MSCI EM index.
In Europe, stock markets benefited from a more relaxed climate and an ECB that is gradually becoming more accommodating.
💱 Forex: Dollar Weak, Euro Consolidating
The US dollar has been struggling all week, weighed down by dovish macro data expectations and rising geopolitical tensions.
EUR/USD has shown signs of consolidating above 1.08, with room for further bullish extensions if dollar sentiment deteriorates further.
Also of note is the Russian Central Bank’s rate cut, which had little effect on EM currencies but signals a global return to looser monetary policies.
📆 Busy Macro Week: Key Data Coming Soon
Traders are eagerly awaiting US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), CPI and the Fed meeting on June 12. These events will be key to the future direction of US monetary policy.
In parallel, China’s CPI and PPI will complete a highly relevant macro picture for FX trading.
🌍 Geopolitics and volatility: risk remains high
Trade instability, with new statements from Trump, has caused some pressure on Asian stock markets.
The "triple witching day" (simultaneous expiration of options and derivatives) at the end of June is approaching, which could amplify volatility especially in US markets.
📌 In summary: what to watch now
Stocks: is the rebound technical or the start of a new trend? The answer will depend on US data and the Fed's response.
Forex: watch out for the dollar's structural weakness, with the euro likely to remain the leading currency of the month.
Volatility: likely spikes around the technical expirations of mid/late June.
Outlook: mixed context, with tactical opportunities but still high risk.
📍 Conclusion
Markets are looking for a balance, but it is a fragile balance. Incoming macro data and global political tensions will act as catalysts in the next two weeks. For those trading stocks or forex, it’s time to stay informed, flexible and disciplined.
Lingrid | EURUSD potential Sideways Consolidation PhaseFX:EURUSD recently tested the upper boundary of the resistance zone near 1.14550 and produced a fake breakout above the trendline. The pair is now showing signs of hesitation below that level, suggesting a potential move toward the consolidation area. A breakdown below 1.14000 may trigger a decline back to 1.13550 support.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 1.13550–1.13800
Buy trigger: bounce from support with bullish engulfing pattern
Target: 1.14550
Sell trigger: confirmed close below 1.14000
💡 Risks
Prolonged consolidation weakens bullish momentum
Failure to reclaim 1.14550 may lead to deeper pullback
Breakdown of trendline support would shift bias bearish
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
EUR/USD 4H – Potential Quasimodo + Bearish Divergence SetupCurrently monitoring EUR/USD for a potential sell setup based on several strong technical confluences:
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🧠 Price Structure: Possible Quasimodo (QM) Pattern
• The chart is showing early signs of a Quasimodo pattern (QM) formation.
• Left Shoulder and Right Shoulder are developing, with a higher high (false break) between them.
• The recent Dominant Break above 1.14948 could be a liquidity grab — classic in QM setups.
• Price appears to be retesting the right shoulder area, signaling potential for a bearish reversal.
⸻
📉 AO Indicator: Bearish Divergence as Confirmation
• Clear bearish divergence between price action and the Awesome Oscillator (AO):
• Price made a higher high, but AO printed a lower high.
• This signals weakening bullish momentum — a powerful confluence for a potential drop.
⸻
⚠️ Confluences for Sell Setup:
1. ✅ Potential QM Pattern forming
2. ✅ Dominant Break followed by a potential right shoulder retest
3. ✅ Strong bearish divergence on AO
4. ✅ Price failing to break and close strongly above recent high (~1.1494)
⸻
📍 Sell Trade Plan (if confirms):
• Entry Zone: Around 1.14400–1.14600 (right shoulder zone)
• Stop Loss: Above previous high (~1.15000)
• Take-Profit Options:
• TP1: Previous structure support around 1.13600
• TP2: Deeper support zone ~1.13000–1.12700
• TP3 (Aggressive): Full QM target near 1.12100 (as marked on the chart)
⸻
⏳ Wait For:
• Bearish rejection or momentum candle on 4H or 1H
• AO to cross below 0 or accelerate red bars for extra confirmation
⸻
💡 Conclusion:
EUR/USD is showing signs of a bearish reversal with a textbook QM setup supported by AO divergence. If the right shoulder holds and bearish momentum kicks in, this could offer a high-probability short opportunity.
EURUSD - TECH. 2Hello Traders! It's Nika.
In this technical work, as we see here, there is a few things happening at the same moment.
First thing to focus on is that we have formatting double double-head acceding triangle.
We need wait or also go short for that with small time period. After that my prediction is the price will enter that channel in price range 1.13917 - 1.13247. So, after that we can wait for the market price confirmation and only after going Buy or Sell.
After all, what we got here is two good options.
1. Open short when market will open until the price will hit "Double-head acceding triangle" bottom.
2. Go into the position after a few days, when the price will enter & left channel range 1.13917 - 1.13247.
In long time period sell and buy probability, there is price marks on chart! So, you can use it as your TP.
Thank you!
Have a profitable day. :)
My Thoughts #014The pair seems to have still maintained its bullish trend.
Since the market is making a new higher high.
As you can see the fractal low is still holding so anything can happen
I see that pair has a potential to buy and move higher since it's been In a strong trend to the upside.
The pair could just change and sell at any point
So let's use proper risk management
And let's do the most
Bullish momentum to extend?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is also a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.1079
1st Support: 1.1075
1st Resistance: 1.1512
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