EUR/USD Wave 5 Setup – The Calm Before the SurgeWe're tracking a potential Wave (5) extension on EUR/USD after a clean completion of Wave (4), which bounced right from the golden zone between the 0.382–0.5 fib levels.
🔍 Structure & Context:
Wave (4) bottomed at 1.1065, aligning with key fib confluence and RSI oversold bounce.
Price is now showing early signs of bullish momentum, currently trading just under 1.1200, above the 0.382 retracement.
If this count holds, we could be entering the early phase of a bullish impulse leg toward 1.1572 and possibly 1.1755 for Wave (5).
🧩 Technical Confluences:
✅ Fib retracement support (0.382–0.5) held strong
✅ Price reclaiming 20/50 EMAs; 200 EMA still overhead but flattening
✅ RSI recovering above 47, showing room for upside
✅ Minor resistance at 1.1272 → watch for breakout confirmation
🎯 Key Levels:
Entry Zone: 1.1150–1.1190
Wave 5 Target:
⚡ TP1: 1.1388 (0.618 ext)
⚡ TP2: 1.1572 (wave projection)
⚡ TP3: 1.1755 (extended target)
Invalidation: Break and close below 1.1045
📌 Plan: Looking for bullish continuation confirmation above 1.1225 with strong momentum. Tight risk with upside reward aligning beautifully with the wave structure 📈
💬 Let me know your thoughts on this count—bullish or premature?
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@WrightWayInvestments
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@WrightWayInvestments
EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD - TOUGH but LOGICAL - SELL SHORT Hello Dear Traders, EURUDS bias is Short based on following confluences
The first thing to note is that market has respected BEARISH TRENDLINE resistance followed by rejection from MAJOR RESISTANCE LEVEL, which is also a FIB golden level of 0.382.
based on this, if market breaks the MINOR support level which is also 0.68 level of FIB then we can sell short the market with SELL STOP order and take profits on LL of the market.
Further, EXY (EUR Index) is bearish and DXY is positive so EUR/USD = net bearish which is also a strong sign of selling short.
similarly, if we look at the sentiments of the market, which although is 60 % bias towards short, its not a strong confluence but I will give weightage to the market senstiments.
Keep your stop loss above last LH / support level and enjoy trades.
EURUSD: Bearish Continuation
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THOUGHTS ON EUR/USDEUR/USD 4H - As you can see price has broken structure to the upside, giving us the confluence to suggest enough Demand has been introduced to see price now trade us higher longer term.
The reason this here is a valid break in structure is because the high that set the lowest low within this correction has now been broken, suggesting that we are no longer following the laws of bearishness but now following the laws of bullishness.
In order for us to be able to get involved in this market now with the longer term bias to take it long, we want to see price pullback initially to set a higher low, once price does that, that is when we can look to take part in the market.
I have gone ahead and marked out an area of interest I feel price will fall back down and into before trading us higher, we want to see price trade down and into this, then break structure fractally before taking us higher in the market.
Eur usd sell side baisThe EUR/USD pair currently presents a bearish bias, driven by a combination of eurozone economic weakness and relative dollar strength. Key technical indicators suggest downward momentum, with the pair trading below key moving averages and showing lower highs on the daily chart. Macroeconomic factors such as hawkish Fed sentiment, persistent inflation in the U.S., and weaker-than-expected eurozone data support the sell-side outlook. Traders may look for short opportunities on pullbacks toward resistance levels, with close attention to upcoming ECB and Fed statements for confirmation.
EUR/USD SHORT IDEAon the daily timeframe the price continues to form lower lows and lower highs. indicating that the trend is going down, and now the price has entered the discount price area and is experiencing rejection
then on the 4H timeframe we can see in the picture, the price is accumulating and there is a fakeout upwards and continues to decline until the breakdown downwards, the price will likely continue to decline
EURUSD Pullback in Play – Next Stop: $1.1337EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is moving in the Resistance zone($1.1310-$1.1162) while the upper line of the descending channel has been broken.
According to Elliott Wave theory , a breakout of the descending channel can at least confirm the end of a corrective wave . The corrective wave structure was a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect EURUSD to rise to at least $1.1337 after completing a pullback to the upper line of the descending channel .
Note: If EURUSD touches $1.11590, we can expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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EUR/USD Bearish Trend Continues DevelopmentThe EUR/USD sell-off took a big step forward on Monday. Before that, we had a break of a descending triangle as sellers finally took out the Fibonacci level at 1.1275. But sellers weren't able to make much ground below 1.1200 last week and the breakdown remained short-lived until sellers took control on Monday. As I wrote in the post on Monday, chasing the pair lower after such a strong move seemed dangerous, and given the prior support at 1.1200 or even around the 1.1275 level, there were two areas of interest for lower-highs.
Given the pullback in USD on Tuesday, EUR/USD rallied all the way from a support test at 1.1100 up to re-test that resistance zone around 1.1275. But, notably, bears came in to defend a lower-high, keeping price below the 1.1293 level that marked the swing high on Friday.
Sellers have taken another step forward today to drive prices back-below the 1.1200 handle and the pair remains in the spotlight for USD-strength scenarios as we go into a really big batch of data tomorrow. The U.S. takes centerstage with retail sales, PPI and a speech from Chair Powell, but there's also some European drivers on the calendar before that.
In EUR/USD bears need to hold resistance below 1.1275 to retain control of the trend, and for next support 1.1100 seems obvious with the 1.1000 and 1.0943 levels below that. - js
EURUSD: Pullback From Support 🇪🇺🇺🇸
It looks like it is finally the moment for EURUSD to pull back.
I see a strong intraday bullish confirmation this morning
with a formation of a cup & handle pattern on an hourly time frame.
I expect a pullback at least to 1.117
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Important EURUSD UpdateYesterday, EURUSD continued its pullback, reaching 1,1062.
Today, the U.S. inflation data will be released.
EURUSD is currently sitting in a support zone, and we're watching for a potential bounce.
This news could confirm the start of the next bullish move.
The goal: a test and breakout above the previous high!
EURUSd -change of Character) marked — showing a potential Overall projection shows:
Small bullish wave → BOS
Pullback → Higher low → Another BOS
Continuation toward the supply zone near 1.16458
---
Current Price:
1.11729, with SL area near 1.10882 / 1.10629
TP projected at 1.16458
---
Trade Idea Summary:
Entry Idea: Current level (reaction from demand zone)
Stop Loss: Below 1.10629
Target: 1.16458
RR: Approximately 1:5+
EURUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis For This Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest support and resistance analysis for EURUSD.
Resistance 1: 1.1250 - 1.1295 area
Resistance 2: 1.1368 - 1.1381 area
Resistance 3: 1.1420 - 1.1427 area
Resistance 4: 1.1510 - 1.1574 area
Support 1: 1.1051 - 1.1093 area
Support 2: 1.1085 - 1.1089 area
Support 3: 1.1073 - 1.1078 area
Consider these zones for pullback/breakout trading.
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EU is ready to riseHi traders,
Last week EU made another wave down into the Daily FVG. Check my outlook of last week.
After the bigger correction was finished, price made the first impulse wave up and a correction down.
So next week we could see the next impulse wave 3 of 5 (black) up.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small impulse wave up and a correction down on a lower timeframe to trade longs to the higher Weekly FVG.
If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
EURUSD: a calm week ahead?From economic data the US inflation was in the spotlight of the financial markets during the previous week. The US inflation in April reached 0,2% for the month, and 2,3% on a yearly basis, which was fully in line with market expectations. The Core inflation was standing at the level of 0,2% for the month and 2,8% for the year. The Producers Price Index in April was -0,5%, which was significantly below market estimate of 0,2%. Retail Sales in April were higher by 0,1% for the month modestly above the forecasted 0%. Building Permits preliminary for April were 1.412M, below market estimate of 1.450M, while Housing Starts in April were also below market estimate, with 1.362, while market was expecting to see the figure of 1.37M. The end of the week brought University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index preliminary for May, which was standing at the level of 50,8, modestly below forecasted 53,4. There has been a modest increase in 5 years inflation expectations to the level of 4,6%, from 4,4% previously posted. There has also been increased expectations for the inflation for this year, which reached the level of 7,3%, from 6,5% posted previously.
This week there has not been too much significant macro data posted for the Euro Zone. The ZEW Economic Sentiment Index in May in Germany was standing at 25,2 which was surprisingly much higher from anticipated 12,5. The same indicator for the Euro Zone was at the level of 11,6 again above market expectations of -6.
The previous week started in favor of the US Dollar against euro, due to decreased tariffs tensions between the US and China. Still, volatility continued for the rest of the week. The highest weekly level of the currency pair was 1,1263, while the pair is ending the week at the level of 1,1164. The RSI was relatively calmly moving around the level of 50, still closing the week at the level of 46. This is an indication that the investors are modestly eyeing the oversold market side in the coming period. The MA50 is still modestly diverging from MA200, without a clear indication that the change of course might happen in the coming period.
Charts are indicating that the market was testing the 1,12 level during the previous week. This could be also treated as a level with historical significance, considering that the currency pair historically spent a lot of time around this level. Considering that the week ahead is not bringing much of the currently significant data, which markets closely watch, it could be expected that it is going to be one calm week. However, it should be taken into account news published on Saturday, that the rating agency Moody’s downgraded US credit rating by one notch. This news is still not reflected in the eurusd currency pair, which might indicate some higher volatility at the start of trading hours on Monday. This would be a one-off effect. As per current charts, if the level 1,12 withholds pressure to the downside, then the market could revert toward the 1,13 level. In the opposite case, charts are indicating the level of 1,1050.
Important news to watch during the week ahead are:
EUR: Inflation rate final for April in the EuroZone, Producers Price Index in Germany in April, HCOB manufacturing PMI Flash for May for both Germany and the Euro Zone, Ifo Business Climate for Germany in May, GDP Growth rate for Germany final for Q1
USD: Existing Home Sales in April