EURUSD trade ideas
Testing Upper Channel Line || Eyes on 1.16 and Previous High📌 EURUSD 4H – Testing Upper Channel | Eyes on 1.1600-1.1666
🕓 June 12, 2025
👤 By: MJTrading
🔍 Technical Overview:
EURUSD continues its upward trajectory within a clean ascending channel, respecting both dynamic structure and EMA support zones. We're now retesting a key confluence area:
==============================================================
🔻 Bearish Setup Idea:
Entry Zone: 1.1570–1.1600
Stop Loss: Above 1.16666 (round number & psychological resistance)
Target: Channel midline (~1.1450) or lower band (~1.1380)
🧠 Why This Zone Matters:
🔺 Previous Swing Highs: Price is revisiting the April peak zone (~1.1570)
🧱 Round Number Confluence: 1.1600 & 1.1666
📉 Rising Channel Resistance: Upper boundary hit after extended leg
🔄 Potential Mean Reversion: EMAs are lagging behind price
⚠️ Invalidation:
A clean break and close above 1.1700 with follow-through may invalidate short bias and signal continuation toward 1.1800+
💬 Patience is power. Let the levels do the talking.
📎 #EURUSD #ForexAnalysis #TechnicalTrading #SmartMoney #PriceAction #RoundNumberLevels #MJTRADING
EURUSD BEAR - H1I have given out everything you see here for free.... Plus everything can be verified easily (TradingView Profile / Bio is all I am allowed to say).
I do have a higher bear if you saw the rules... keep an eye on the solid swing (levels)
Plus I do have a breakout BULL waiting if the bear structure fails.
I have made this very simple. I trade the wicks every time. That's why I can roll stops to entry after TP 1 (Fixed at 1:1 +35P)
All my levels have a tolerance of 15 PIPS... just like the banks. BUT I will not be adding more day trade levels (white bordered)
(Intraday levels are dashed)
Eurusd !!! Ascending Wedge Pattern Signals a Major Reversal! Time': 30 min
Technical analysis:
Ascending Wedge Pattern 📈: A clear ascending wedge signals a potential bearish reversal. The price has just completed Wave ⑤ at the top trendline, a classic trigger point for sellers.
* Elliott Wave Confirmation 🖐️: The wedge contains a perfect 5-wave Elliott structure, reinforcing our bearish bias as the final impulse wave concludes.
* Live vs. Textbook 👨🏫: Our live chart is mirroring the ideal "textbook" example shown, increasing confidence in the setup's validity.
The Trade Plan 🎯
* Entry ▶️: Short position initiated in the "Risk Zone" after rejection from the wedge resistance.
* Stop Loss ⛔️: Placed tightly above the Wave ⑤ high at ~1.14821.
* Take Profit 💰: Targeting the major support level at ~1.12925.
Conclusion ✨
This setup presents an exceptional risk-to-reward ratio. The combination of a reliable chart pattern and Elliott Wave count gives us a high-conviction bearish outlook for EUR/USD.
Disclaimer ⚠️: This is a technical idea, not financial advice. Always use proper risk management. Trade safe!
Are the Bulls Ready Yet?On the higher timeframes of the weekly, daily, and 4-hour charts, we can see that the market is bullish. The same bullishness is imminent on the 1-hour chart.
On the 1-hour chart, the trend is bullish. We see that the market is currently retracing bearish inside the bullish swing. We have 2 possible options here:
Scenario A:
We look to see a bullish reversal, which will indicate the end of the retracement and the commencement of an extension for higher prices. Where this happens, we will be targeting prices above the 1.15000 level.
We are already seeing near signs of bullishness as the current hour candle is bullish. If this bullishness holds to give us a bullish candle that engulfs the previous bearish candle(s), then we will commence our trade plan, using the Panzy Pips Bullish trade entry setup
In the event that we do not have scenario A play out, then we will look to scenario B
Scenario B:
Price is expected to continue the bearish retracement all the way down to our marked-out PB (PanzyPips Block), which has been refined to a tiny little area. Where that happens, we will look to see signs of a bullish reversal within our zone.
The moment price is in our zone and the reversal signs are clear, price will be said to be in a bullish extension, and we will expect to see price begin to rally all the way from that zone to our extension targets of regions above 1.150.
There is a second side to Scenario B, though. Let's call it scenario C.
Scenario C:
Prices can go all the way to our zone and not give us the expected bullish reversal. Instead of giving the reversal, price can take out our zone. (This is the least unlikely of the 3 scenarios, though.)
Where this happens, that is to say that price goes into our zone and fails to give us the needed reversal, we do NOTHING. If we do not see signs of a bullish reversal, as in Scenario B, we stay on the sidelines and wait.
NOTE: It is only when price gives us that reversal that we bring forth our PanzyPips Traders Checklist and look to catch the bullish move all the way to our expected target of above 1.15000.
EURUSD Potential Long then ShortEUR/USD looking to trade around a key supply zone between 1.1450–1.1500. We’re watching for signs of bearish rejection to build a short bias from this area. No trade unless price confirms.
Main Setup:
If price retests upper zone (~1.1450–1.1500) and shows clear bearish price action, I’ll be looking to enter short.
Ideal signs: rejection wicks, SFPs, bearish engulfing, lower timeframe structure shift.
Break & Retest Option:
If price breaks below 1.1390, a clean bearish retest could offer a continuation short setup.
Structure break confirmation is key here.
This is a forecast, and trades will be dependent on live PA.
If we don’t get confirmation, we don’t force it. Patience is key.
DXY Outlook:
The Dollar Index looks bearish overall but is currently in a small corrective bounce. A short-term DXY pullback would support a push into EUR/USD’s supply zone — lining up nicely with our plan. If DXY flips back to bullish, that strengthens our short setup.
EURUSD: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 1.14198 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 1.13966.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Let the market pull back toward the marked FVG.🚨 EUR/USD Traders – Eyes on This Setup! 💹
The market has been respecting a trendline over the past few days, bouncing off support and climbing steadily. 🧗♂️ While doing so, it’s also been tapping into Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)—a clear sign of smart money interest. 📊
🔥 And guess what? We’ve just seen a breakout above the trendline resistance! This could be the beginning of a strong bullish move. BUT… patience is key! 🕰️
📉 Let the market pull back toward the marked FVG zone. If it does, that could give us a golden buy opportunity with high potential upside! 🚀
🧠 Always remember: Do Your Own Research (DYOR)
📛 Not Financial Advice – Trade Smart!
EURUSD Trade Plan 08/06/2025📉 EUR/USD Technical Analysis – June 8, 2025
EUR/USD is showing signs of weakness after rejecting the resistance zone around 1.1475 (Fib 0.618 level). The pair broke below the ascending trendline, suggesting that bullish momentum is fading.
🔻 Scenario:
We may see a corrective pullback to retest the broken trendline (around 1.1450–1.1460). If this retest holds as resistance, the pair is likely to continue its decline.
🎯 Bearish Targets:
First target: 1.1303
Second target zone: 1.1253 – 1.1220
📌 Invalidation Level: A daily close above 1.1577 would invalidate this bearish scenario.
RSI is also turning lower from mid-levels, supporting a potential downside move.
⚠️ Trade with proper risk management and monitor price action around the key levels.
if you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
EURUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.1433, which is a pullback resistance aligning with a 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 1.1386, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.1457, a swing-high resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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EUR/USD Potential buys from current zone or 1.12800My outlook for EU this week closely aligns with GU — both pairs are showing similar structure and direction. Price continues to form higher highs and higher lows, maintaining its bullish momentum.
Following the most recent break of structure to the upside, EU has now entered a 9H demand zone, where I’ll be watching for signs of accumulation and potential entry as the market opens on Monday.
If this current zone fails to hold, there’s a more discounted 9H demand zone just below, which could offer a cleaner long opportunity. Either way, both scenarios follow the pro trend, which adds conviction to the buy idea.
Confluences for EU Buys:
Price has broken structure to the upside and entered a clean 9H demand zone
There’s another refined 9H demand zone just below for additional confirmation
Plenty of upside liquidity remains untouched
Structure remains bullish on the higher timeframes, making this a pro trend setup
P.S. If price reacts well and continues pushing higher, I’ll be keeping an eye on the 7H supply zone above for any possible short-term bearish reaction.
Wishing everyone a successful and disciplined trading week ahead!
Why Higher Timeframe Analysis Increases Your WIN-RATE!Many traders focus too heavily on lower timeframes, chasing setups without any real context. But what if the secret to improving your consistency was as simple as zooming out?
In this video, we break down why analyzing higher timeframes—and trading in their direction—can significantly increase your win rate across Forex, crypto, stocks, and futures. This isn’t just a theory. It’s a principle used by institutional traders, prop firms, and consistently profitable independent traders.
✅ Here’s what you’ll learn in this deep-dive:
The real purpose of higher timeframe analysis and how it acts like a GPS for your trading decisions.
How to identify structure, liquidity, and key levels on the daily, 4H, and weekly charts
Why trading against the higher timeframe flow often leads to premature stop-outs or fakeouts
The power of multi-timeframe alignment: how to sync HTF bias with LTF entries
How trading with higher timeframe momentum helps filter noise, reduce overtrading, and increase conviction
A walkthrough example showing how to use HTF context to validate a lower timeframe setup
Whether you're trading ICT concepts, Fibs, RSI, VWAP, or your own system—this principle applies. Trading in alignment with the higher timeframe doesn’t just increase your odds, it adds structure, patience, and confidence to your process.
📌 Key takeaway: When you understand what the market is doing on the higher timeframe, you stop guessing and start positioning yourself with the move—not against it.
🛠️ Helpful for traders using:
Smart money concepts (SMC)
ICT-based models (like AMD, OTE, and NDOG)
Supply and demand strategies
Price action or indicator-based systems
PRACTICALLY ANY TYPE OF STRATEGY OR METHODOLOGY
So, I hope the video was insightful for you. Let me know if you apply higher timeframe analysis, and how it has helped you.
- R2F Trading
EURUSD ahead of NFPYesterday, the ECB cut interest rates, and EURUSD climbed to 1,1495.
Today, the U.S. jobs data (NFP) will be released.
This news comes out on the first Friday of every month at 1:30 PM London time and tends to have a significant impact on the market.
It's advisable to reduce risk on open positions and avoid rushing into new trades before the news is released.
Watch how the price reacts around key levels and whether it has the strength to continue the trend.
Bearish drop for the Fiber?The price is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1452
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.1495
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.1375
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD Trade Signal – BUY NOW Entry Point: 1.14160EURUSD Trade Signal – BUY NOW
Entry Point: 1.14160
🎯 1st Target: 1.14500
🎯 Final Target: 1.14900
📈 EURUSD showing bullish potential
🔍 Strong support zone at 1.14000
📊 Clean price action setup on H1/H4
🟢 Buyers stepping in with volume
🧠 Risk Management is Essential
📉 Suggested Stop-Loss: Below 1.13900
⚖️ Risk 1–2% of total capital per trade
🛡️ Always secure your capital first
🧭 Stick to your trading plan
⏱️ Wait for a solid entry confirmation
📌 Patience pays in forex
📊 Set your TP & SL — then let it run
💬 Monitor news that may affect EUR/USD
✅ Trade with discipline, not emotion
📢 Smart risk, smart rewards
Bearish drop?Fiber (EUR/USD) has reacted off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which is an overlap support.
Pivot: 1.1449
1st Support: 1.1371
1st Resistance: 1.1496
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D10 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D10 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block
✅15' order block
✅4 hour order block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EURUSD: Local Bullish Bias! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 1.14158 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 1.14327 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
WILL EUR CONTINUE TO RALLY AHEAD OF THE IMPORTANT NFP DATA?EUR/USD – WILL EUR CONTINUE TO RALLY AHEAD OF THE IMPORTANT NFP DATA?
📈 EUR/USD IS AT A CRITICAL POINT AHEAD OF KEY ECONOMIC DATA
Amid the ongoing pressure on the US Dollar and macroeconomic factors supporting the Euro, EUR/USD might continue its short-term bullish trend. However, key data such as US CPI and central bank meetings could determine the direction for this currency pair moving forward.
🌍 Macroeconomic Overview & Market Sentiment
USD & DXY: The US Dollar continues to weaken due to signals from the Federal Reserve (Fed) that they are not in a hurry to cut interest rates. DXY has fallen below the 99 level, with macroeconomic factors showing a continued bearish trend for the USD.
Eurozone: The ECB (European Central Bank) is maintaining a slightly tight monetary policy. However, the Eurozone economy is showing signs of recovery, with positive data from the region.
US Economy: Forecasts for the US labor market data could impact the USD and lead to volatility in the EUR/USD pair. All attention is on the reports from the US this week.
📊 Technical Analysis (H1 – H4 – D1)
EMA 13/34/89/200: The EMA indicators on the H1 and H4 timeframes support the current bullish trend for EUR/USD in the short term. In particular, the EMA 13 and EMA 34 are crossing above the EMA 200, signaling a strong upward trend.
Wave Structure: EUR/USD is currently in a corrective wave after testing the strong resistance level at 1.1450. A recovery signal is emerging around the support level at 1.1380, which could present a buying opportunity in the short term.
Fibonacci Expansion: The Fibonacci extension levels at 1.1470 and 1.1490 could be the next targets if EUR/USD breaks through the 1.1400 resistance zone.
⚡ Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1470, 1.1490, 1.1500
Support: 1.1380, 1.1350, 1.1320, 1.1300
🧭 Trading Scenario
🔵 BUY ZONE: 1.1380 – 1.1365
SL: 1.1340
TP: 1.1420 → 1.1450 → 1.1470 → 1.1490
🔻 SELL ZONE: 1.1450 – 1.1460
SL: 1.1475
TP: 1.1420 → 1.1400 → 1.1370 → 1.1350
✅ Summary
EUR/USD is currently in a short-term bullish trend and could continue to rise if the support at 1.1365 holds. However, key economic data from the US, especially CPI and central bank meetings from the Fed and ECB, could impact the next direction for this pair. Traders should keep an eye on important support and resistance levels to identify safe trading opportunities.