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EURUSD trade ideas

EURUSD Under Pressure! SELL! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the EUR/USD next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1092 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.0900 My Stop Loss - 1.1202 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
EURUSD March 30 Weekly Analysis EURUSD March 30 Weekly Analysis Price parent bias is bull Previous session Premium Current trading range Premium Price pivoted March 19 to seek sell side coming into this week. I suspected that price would seek lower prices gravitating to the 50% of current trading range. Price did lower past the 50 level and dig into the daily BISI to the .618 level and energetically bouncing off. Price made the low closing Wednesdays session. Price retraces starting Thursday and continued Friday to close taking the majority of the weeks buy side. Was the last 2 weeks of lower price delivery just a liquidity run before continuing with our seasonal bull run? Waiting for Sundays delivery to give insight before I commit to any ideas, just yet. Keep focused on session to session for set ups. You know what you need before you will engage. *Note coming into this week is NFP week a highly volatile week. *Note prices high resistance delivery Wednesday and Thursday days to be very nimble to read and not speculate. *Note on the 4 hourly chart how much time price spent weaving in and out of the 50 level. *Note how after months of consolidating on the 50 level on the weekly chart, March moves away with energetic expansion to the buy side.
by LeanLena
2
EURUSD: Is the Market Ready for a Reversal? Hi Traders! Since March 18, EURUSD has been moving within a descending parallel channel, with its boundaries holding the trend in place. Yesterday, we saw a bounce off the lower boundary of the channel, accompanied by: ✅ A correction reaching 38% Fibonacci of subwave 3 ✅ Wave C of the expected horizontal correction (wave 4) reaching 1.68 of wave B 📊 What Does This Mean? At this point, we have a strong case for a EURUSD reversal and a continuation of the upward movement. ⚡ Key Signal: To enter a position, we need to wait for a confirmed breakout above the channel. This will provide a solid basis for a medium-term trade, with targets at: 🔹 1.0950 🔹 1.1150 🔹 The 1.12 - 1.1250 zone
Long
by AUREA_RATIO
1
POTENTIAL LONG TRADE SET UP FOR EURUSDAnalysis: Utilizing chart patterns, highs & lows, and impulses & corrections, the focus is on identifying a continuation corrective structure following a breakout. The price has approached the lower bound of a bullish continuation structure on the higher time frame (HTF) with a broadening descending structure on the Mid time frame (MTF). We will now monitor for a bullish impulse and continuation structure to identify a potential entry point for the trade. Expectation: A upward move is expected, with the initial target at 1.08 and subsequently at the top of the HTF bullish continuation structure. ⚠️ Reminder: Always conduct your own analysis and apply proper risk management, as forex trading involves no guarantees. This is a high-risk activity, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trade responsibly!
Long
by TheTradingAmbience
7
EURUSD - Will Bears Keep Pushing Lower?Overview of Market Structure The EUR/USD pair has been experiencing strong bullish momentum over the past few weeks, leading to the creation of an extended bullish leg. However, as with most impulsive moves, the market has left behind imbalances—price inefficiencies where the market moved too quickly without sufficient pullbacks to ensure order fulfillment. Recently, we have observed a break in bullish structure, signaling a potential shift in momentum. This break suggests that the market may now be in a phase where it seeks to rebalance inefficiencies before deciding its next directional move. My expectation is that price will first retrace to fill the imbalance zone above, which acts as a supply area, before reversing and targeting the imbalance zones left behind in the bullish rally. Key Resistance and Market Rejections A crucial area in this setup is the strong resistance zone (marked in red), which has been rejected twice. Each time price attempted to break through, sellers stepped in, pushing price lower. This level serves as a significant supply zone where institutions may have unfilled sell orders. With this in mind, the most logical movement for price would be to return to this area, collect liquidity, and then initiate a bearish move. Imbalance Zones and Market Efficiency Imbalance zones are areas on the chart where price has moved too quickly, leaving behind inefficiencies. These areas often get revisited later as price seeks to rebalance liquidity. There are two key imbalance zones in this setup: The imbalance zone above the current price (first target) – This is the area where price is expected to retrace before reversing. The imbalance zone below the current price (final target) – Created during the rapid bullish rally, this area remains untested and is likely to be filled once bearish momentum takes over. These zones are high-probability areas where price is expected to react due to unfulfilled institutional orders. Break of Bullish Structure & Shift in Momentum A key element of this trade idea is the break in bullish structure. This break was confirmed when a bearish candle closed below the previous higher low, invalidating the uptrend. This structural shift suggests that bulls may be losing control, and a deeper retracement is likely before any potential continuation of the overall trend. The break also increases the probability of the lower imbalance zone getting filled before the market makes its next major move. Trade Execution Plan Step 1: Identify the Optimal Short Entry Wait for price to fill the imbalance zone above. Once confirmation is seen, a short position can be entered. Step 2: Bearish Move to Lower Imbalance Zone After rejection from the supply zone, expect price to break lower. The target for this move will be the imbalance left behind in the bullish rally. Trailing stop-loss can be used to maximize profits while reducing risk. Why This Trade Has High Probability Market Favors Liquidity Grabs – The imbalance zone above is a likely liquidity grab area before the bearish move. Break in Market Structure – The recent bearish structure break increases the probability of downside continuation. Historical Resistance Rejection – The resistance zone above has already rejected price twice, indicating strong selling pressure. Imbalance Fill Below – Price tends to fill inefficiencies left behind in fast-moving markets, making the lower imbalance zone a logical target. Risk Management Considerations Stop-loss should be placed slightly above the imbalance zone above to protect against unexpected breakouts. Take-profit should be set at the lower imbalance zone, allowing for a strong risk-to-reward ratio. If price breaks past the resistance zone above without rejection, it would invalidate this bearish setup, signaling a reevaluation of market conditions. Conclusion This trade idea is based on a smart money concept (SMC) approach, focusing on liquidity grabs, imbalance fills, and structural shifts. If the market follows the expected path, we could see price first push up to fill the imbalance above, reject from that level, and then begin a bearish move to fill the imbalance left in the previous bullish rally. By patiently waiting for price to reach key areas and confirming rejections, this trade setup provides a high-probability opportunity with a strong risk-to-reward ratio. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Short
by TehThomas
21
MarketBreakdown | EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, AUDUSD Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list. 1️⃣ #EURUSD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇺🇸 For the last 2 weeks, EURUSD shows a strong bearish momentum. The price managed to break and close below a key daily support cluster. A strong bearish reaction that followed after its retest confirms a strong selling pressure. I think that the pair has a potential to drop lower this week. 2️⃣ #GBPUSD daily time frame 🇬🇧🇺🇸 In comparison to EURUSD, GBPUSD looks very stable. The pair is consolidating within quite a wide range on a daily. For now, probabilities are high that sideways movement will continue. Consider trading the upper and lower boundary of the underlined channel. Alternatively, a breakout of one of the underlined structures will give you a strong bullish/breaish signal. 3️⃣ #USDJPY daily time frame 🇺🇸🇯🇵 Looks like the market is returning to a mid-term bearish trend. The price is currently breaking a support line of a bearish flag pattern. A daily candle close below its support will provide a strong bearish confirmation. 4️⃣ #AUDUSD daily time frame 🇦🇺🇺🇸 I see a completed head & shoulders pattern on a daily. The price is currently breaking its neckline. A daily candle close below that will provide a strong bearish confirmation and suggest a highly probable bearish continuation. Do you agree with my market breakdown? ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VasilyTrader
1
EURUSD MIGHT PUSH DOWNEURUSD has a high chance of continuing the bearish movement and the reasons are as follows: 1. We can see EURUSD formed a Double top, this is a sign that bulls could not push the price higher to create a Higher high meaning bears are fighting back to push the price down lol 2. The zone we see a double top at is also a strong zone on the Daily timeframe that means the price couldn't push above it, shows the supply zone is strong 3. Price broke out the neckline meaning that selling pressure is now pushing the price down 4. We see a correction move after price broke down(retest on the neckline), this means that after this correction move/retracement price might actually start to push down continuing the bearish move(start of the Impulsive move) Note: this is not a signal but my point of view and something that might possibly happen, but at the moment I haven't got a Bearish candlestick sign that will confirm it will push down, so there's also a chance price might not respect the Neckline and continue up. REMEMBER: we as traders don't place trades without a confirmation, we are not gambling here😂anyways, this is just a heads up
Short
by StarleXtheTrader
Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.0765 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that line sup with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.0732 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 1.0836 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
EUR/USD Retracement (and maybe more)Hey traders! So as promised friday here's a breakdown for the week ahead for EURUSD and how I see things going forward. First let's recap what happened on the larger timeframe: Daily: Few things to note: - The Weekly is in a downtrend since last year (and monthly for even longer) - There has not been a single proper retracement until now as we finally did retrace almost to the 79% That can mean two things: either we're gonna keep pushing up to make new highs as price reversed , or we're most likely done with the retracement and will push lower to target possibly the parity (remember all the talk after trump's election about heading straight to parity? we just broke above the election price level and diving back down at the moment) for new lows and and old important gap left below parity (but let's not get ahead of ourselves). In both cases we can play a short position on EURUSD: If we're gonna make new highs, we'll probably get a pullback after the massive push up from march.. And if we're gonna make new lows then shorting is very obvious. Why going short now? Simple answer: all the timeframes turned bearish this week, with the daily finally breaking the bullish structure on thursday's close (and more decisively on friday), while the 4h finally turned bearish on thursday as well (again if barely, but clearly on friday). Since we want to trade with the trend, it makes no sense currently to take any long position until the situation change (which would be a break of this week's high) To support the idea we can also look at the RSI's divergences, which appears on every timeframe but more importantly on the Daily recently and the 4H one which made a very respected trendline, only broken in what seems to be a fakeout when it made the last new high just to fall back in line afterwards (last liquidity grab) Now about the entry to go short. It's been a really tough week and with no clear easy entry on the 4+H timeframe imo, but while we had a good retracement on tuesday (while the trend was still up though), we didn't get any since then, which might give us an opportunity this week (unless it decides to dump real hard like it pumped real hard on the way up). We have one very important level (currently, but it might change if price just keep going down, I'll try to update this page until we get the actual entry) at the 79%ish retracement level. That's around where we have a big 4h gap that could get mitigated for the most ideal entry with the highest risk/reward ratio (around the 1.0885 level) with a stoploss around 1.093 for the safest location (there is a 4h gap there and while I think the retracement there was deep enough, it's a possibility that we'll be efficient enough to close this), or the 1.0918 level that should be safe. That would be the ideal most efficient case, which is not necessarely the most likely, especially if we open going down on monday. Also I don't have the new pivots for the week since the markets are still close at the time of writing, I'll update that tomorrow if I have the time) In the case it does pullback for a retracement, I would think 1.0873 is a more realistic target for a deep retracement, at a good support/resistance zone, which I believe to be still quite deep. Monday has some news (unlike friday which reflects in the terrible volume and awkward movements despite being the quadruple witching day) so we might get those deep movement happening, on the news maybe even, in which case you'll have to be quick and nimble to catch the move, just prepare and be ready, do not react on impulse while seeing big candles and big movements. How about the targets? Like I mentioned we could be aiming for new lows on the pair.. or we might just be in a pullback on the daily, in which case we should be targeting the low hanging fruit that fits both narrative (and still grants a huge amount of pips) And that would be the daily golden zone retracement at a very big support/resistance over the years (and in recent weeks) at around 1.053 That level should see reaction no matter what the case is and getting out of a short at that level should be great since we could still re enter short higher on a reaction if the market gives us the signal. And if this was just a retracement to go higher then you would most likely exit at around the lows, if not THE low. Of course we'll have to see how the market reacts etc at those levels when the time comes. But there you have all my thoughts and intention for the weeks ahead, I wrote enough for you to understand the thoughts behind it, I didn't write all the technical details with the RSI etc but you can make it up from the screenshots etc I believe as it's been a long post already. Here's what the big trade could be with more than 300pips to grab on the way down. At the time of writing it's hard to place an exact entry as it could be decided either with the RSI or lower than expected if the price dives further before retracing. But you have the big picture and you can go from there. I'll be posting in the mind section this week as usual to update in a more reactive way, but if you set alerts at all the levels mentioned you shouldn't have to be staring at the screen for no reason! Get plenty of rest, it's probably gonna be an eventful week with a lot of movement and possibly lots of big news (ukraine war, tariff approaching on the 2nd april etc etc)
Short
by Nordic_Wings
UPDATE ON EUR/USDEUR/USD 30 - As you can see price is playing out relatively well up to now, providing us with the structure we want and expected after the penetration of the Demand Zone below. I am expecting a continuation higher now but not without a slight pullback, you can see above I have drawn out a path I believe price will take, trading us down and into the fractal Demand Zone below before a move higher. This trade is currently running + 29 pips. (+ 1.8%) 1.8RR A big well done to those involved in this market, if you have any questions with regards to the analysis I have gone through today drop me a message or comment below. Please ensure you are taking partials and applying safety measures with the trades you are placing, its important that your trades are managed well to make the most of the trades themselves.
Long
by Lukegforex
Potential bearish reversal?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.0876 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.0948 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance. Take profit: 1.0799 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
GO SHORT The Market has made the move I wanted to see. Price did test into the 1.08203-1.08292 level as I thought it could before finally making its way back down. Currently I'd still like to see price meet the 1.07612 level. If price can make a rebound to 1.07969, while the Eur & Usd sessions come to a close. Using the 30M or 15M timeframes I'd look for entry there to simply go back to first support level mentioned (1.07612) If price just keeps falling I'd wait for an entry around 1.07786 price level. And my ideal with this entry and exit is: if price doesn't rebound to entry 1 we look even more bearish on the 4H time frame, which may allow us find profits at our deeper support level of 1.07326. That's all I have. Study on your but my opinion can be insight to someone hopefully. Good day traders
Short
by XTyriq
2
EURUSD forming a top?EURUSD - Intraday Continued upward momentum from 1.0778 resulted in the pair posting net daily gains yesterday. Trades at the highest level in 6 months. A Fibonacci confluence area is located at 1.1105. Our medium term bias is bearish below 1.1014 towards 1.0700. There is scope for mild buying at the open but gains should be limited. We look to Sell at 1.1160 (stop at 1.1245) Our profit targets will be 1.0837 and 1.0700 Resistance: 1.1146 / 1.1160 / 1.1214 Support: 1.0837 / 1.0700 / 1.0675 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA